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Uwaga
snapshot

seems we going to have red weeks ahead (2-4weeks)
Uwaga
snapshot

red line for hopium
Uwaga
snapshot

poc was 47491, its now 46386.
absorbed or sold ? leaning on distribution still.

volume surge towards resistance = evidence of supply.
Uwaga
Note

Big flows into bonds this coming week; risk off
Uwaga
Note

eager longs will be punished.
Uwaga
snapshot

red line shows bullas hopium.
dont see a any good retest of spring action.
i will only consider margin long if price reclaims and support on poc,
or market shows some signs of strength ( from spots )
Uwaga
snapshot

those red box is good buy opp anyway if it given.
Uwaga
snapshot
Uwaga
note

if price reclaims positive delta zone 44.9.
this will be a new range low, till then its range high.
Uwaga
snapshot

note

opposite view based on TA

3 drives reversal pattern
bullish divergence
Uwaga
snapshot
Uwaga
snapshot

for the W(in)
Uwaga
snapshot
Uwaga
note

why CO made a range up here? and dumped on fresh demand?
btc going to further dip? like 30k?
check back later
Uwaga
snapshot
Uwaga
snapshot

AKA 2nd spring?
Uwaga
Not longing under 47300.
Uwaga
derivative rally like 42-58k = not healthy, why volume is not moderate.
Uwaga
47k is poc for this whole range up.
don't see good market buy action coming in from spot.
big longs opened in finex, not sure if its sustainable.
Uwaga
snapshot
Uwaga
note

March 26 Derebit options expiry
Notional Value 3.5b
Put/Call ratio 0.91
2 potential calls buying with bigger value 48k, 52k
puts - 40k Max pain > 28k
Uwaga
note

Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $46,380

Spot Vol.
 Buy: 72.7M
 Sell: 77.5M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: 331.2M
 Sell: 386.3M

USDT Vol.
 Buy: 22.3M
 Sell: 20.8M

(Latest 1 hours of data)
Uwaga
note

Deribit BTC Options
Call OI:95870 (+2%) Vol:14M (-18%)
Put OI:80135 (+1%) Vol:14M (+16%)
PCR:77 (+1%)

RD】3/5 (8:00 UTC) C 9289 / P 9650
YE】3/12 C 4864 / P 4076
PL】3/19 C 1888 / P 1964
GN】3/26 C 39826 / P 36170
BL】4/30 C 5221 / P 4134

210301 13:35
Uwaga
note

bounced with push on derivatives.
no signs of strength on spot market.
relief rally possible. no bias here, leaning we do have more downside after this.
Uwaga
snapshot

yellow box btc face supply
Uwaga
snapshot

zoom out.
its another accumulation. dont know the bottom, top.
should be defined soon.
Uwaga
snapshot
Uwaga
wyckoff theory / volume anal

snapshot
Uwaga
snapshot
Uwaga
snapshot

volume has trend
Uwaga
snapshot

note

47753 CB POC
Uwaga
snapshot

46891 FINEX
Uwaga
note

finex premium gone when this range poc reversed.
Uwaga
continuation vs reaccumulation

continuation target should be around over 69k
reaccumulation target range around 33-40 (with possible spring to 29k)
Uwaga
snapshot

black ghost pattern if its continuation
Uwaga
snapshot

open a position after confirmation, y loss bottom or top, but there is many move to come with.
Uwaga
snapshot

its like dec 2020. no moderate volume in rise, but it broke upward without strength.
sideline for now
Uwaga
Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $49,477

Spot Vol.
 Buy: 257.9M
 Sell: 172.1M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: 11B
 Sell: 11B

USDT Vol.
 Buy: 18.1M
 Sell: 35.3M

(Latest 1 hours of data)
Uwaga
snapshot

382 support for leg up? 34k for reaccumulation?
Uwaga
reclaim 618, i will look for long,
until then hedged with btc short.
Uwaga
small prints from last day, keep getting smaller smaller.
lots of onchain movements.
exchanges seems refunding.
note
same happened last nov.30 ish, dec 25ish.
Uwaga
4 hour vwap 46550
1 hour vwap 49002
Uwaga
poc 46372

around 46k would be good point if y look for long.
not interested atm.
Uwaga
snapshot

note

dxy showing strength
Uwaga
lots of absorption on range high
Uwaga
snapshot

and alts recovered well.

hmm? up we go?
Uwaga
im buying spot btc.
Transakcja zamknięta: osiągnięto wyznaczony cel
PHASE 1 #week1.march
Trend Analysis

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