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In this analysis, we analyze Bitcoin's daily chart through Elliott Wave theories.
Bullish Evidence
- Before a breakout taking place, Bitcoin had been consolidating in a descending wedge pattern - Using Elliott Wave counts, this was a Triple Combo Wave (WXYXZ), also known as a triple three - After breakout out, Bitcoin started its bullish rally in Impulse Wave counts (12345) - As the bullish momentum has decreased, it seems as though wave 3 has played out, as Bitcoin gets ready for a corrective wave - Based on Fibonacci retracement levels, a retrace to the 0.382 Fibonacci support at 10.5k is probable before the final impulse wave up to the 1.618 Fibonacci resistance near 12k. - All technicals currently demonstrate that Bitcoin is overbought - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains at overbought territories - The Stochastic oscillator also shows that Bitcoin is overbought - Prices have skyrocketed through the upper Bollinger band.
Market Sentiment:
Long short ratios are at 66 to 34, still with significantly more longs than shorts. While the market looks for a small correction, the overall market sentiment remains bullish.
What We Believe
We believe that a corrective wave will be in play very soon, as many technical indicators point towards Bitcoin being overbought. However, at the same time, there is a high probability of another impulse wave playing out, leading to test 12k regions.
Let us know what you think in the comment section below
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