Hello
I prepared an analysis that might be useful.
The state of this bitcoin days is probably not out of two states:
1. The price rises to the bottom line of the red triangle, 9500, and then falls to the 0.786 Fibonacci area, 6500.
2. If the price breaks 9500 and enters the red triangle, it is very likely to break the upper line of the triangle and rise to 11000.
It is less likely that if the price returns to the bottom line of the triangle, 9500, it will fall to 6500.