Bitcoin - The Bearish Continuation Scenario
Info:
After bitcoin topped off at 5000 it made a quick deep dive to 3000 (even going below slightly) this all happened in approximately 13 days. The main reason for this is that bitcoin has completed three waves up and was ready for a potential correction but the china news about banning exchanges let it plunge at rapid speed. The bearish news of china is still acting, bulls are fighting hard against it but this price correction cuts pretty deep in future uptrend and complete recovery. My feeling says this is the bulltrap (4080-4150USD) and there will be one more wave of sellers wanting to get out. This will form a major ABC and then we consolidate in the lower part ranging from 3000 to 3600 to clear up completely what the future politcal (China volume migration) and technical (november harfork SegWit2x) direction is.
4080 is also the top of the trend channel and it's advised to close a long at this point because pullback is likely. Also this could turn in a big Head and Shoulders pattern which is indicated in the chart.
The bull versus bear fight will be though, good luck and happy trading!
-TheTrex
After bitcoin topped off at 5000 it made a quick deep dive to 3000 (even going below slightly) this all happened in approximately 13 days. The main reason for this is that bitcoin has completed three waves up and was ready for a potential correction but the china news about banning exchanges let it plunge at rapid speed. The bearish news of china is still acting, bulls are fighting hard against it but this price correction cuts pretty deep in future uptrend and complete recovery. My feeling says this is the bulltrap (4080-4150USD) and there will be one more wave of sellers wanting to get out. This will form a major ABC and then we consolidate in the lower part ranging from 3000 to 3600 to clear up completely what the future politcal (China volume migration) and technical (november harfork SegWit2x) direction is.
4080 is also the top of the trend channel and it's advised to close a long at this point because pullback is likely. Also this could turn in a big Head and Shoulders pattern which is indicated in the chart.
The bull versus bear fight will be though, good luck and happy trading!
-TheTrex
Uwaga
2H Chart close-up Zlecenie aktywne
Target zone of 4080-4100 Reached. Shorting active.Uwaga
Short closedUwaga
Waiting for a clear break upward or downward. We are still in the red triangle and I expect price to consolidate slowly upwards. Eventually when range gets narrow, if break down short otherwise potential long is possible.Uwaga
Currently we are waiting for this structure to make a clear move. Hourly MACD says down and so does wave counting. Uwaga
So this is somewhat experimental, the triangle ends at 4200 then we have fibs spirals giving us two more points of breakdown, 3978 and 4117. Uwaga
What a great swing all the way from 4150! I should try to seek support again where it broke, but the general downtrend should slowly go down. Still some cloud support present.Uwaga
Remember that good traders short or long the bottom or top. Shorting while a trend is already going lower or had several waves is risky but can sometimes work out well. Plan your entries and exits in advance!Uwaga
Retest of Neckline at 4000Uwaga
Update! Based on 1H MACD we can still expect a third wave up to 4200! Depending how strong the bulls are. We also got Ichimoku Cloud support so could be a turning point.Uwaga
After we complete this trend I will post the final picture of how the fib spiral progressed so you guys can see it's impact.Uwaga
Bulls are pushing us up to 4100-4200 and tomorrow evening I expect the dump.Uwaga
The big short could have began! Uwaga
Target point for now 3500 USDUwaga
Uwaga
Bitcoin could have one more attempt to 4200. The breakout of the wedge was not strong enough and widened the shape. The target from the fib spiral screenshot still holds. This would finally give us three clear waves and give us better confirmation to short while the raising wedge becomes narrow. Understand that no prediction follow 100% it's path and that we should be dynamic as traders.Uwaga
Within 10 hours we should see a clear move upwards to 4200 or downward to 3800 (retesting bottom).Zlecenie aktywne
Some serious dump nowUwaga
Target point on Fibs are 3671 and 3586 USDUwaga
Up we go again bounce time.Uwaga
3600 IncommingUwaga
We bounced at 3671 I think we go up or consolidate at this point.Uwaga
Almost 230$ down move. Should retrace some before more down.Uwaga
If we dont make lower lows, this should be the bottom and we should be heading up again in 15min Uwaga
I'm not sure to continue updates on this chart or make a new one for smaller timeframe. Leave in the comments if you would like to get updates on this chart (if it's orderly) or create a new one?Uwaga
Uwaga
3730-3740 Target Point (TP)Uwaga
I will make a new one then :)Uwaga
Target point cancelled..Anulowano zlecenie
This chart has become invalid. My new chart still provides us with some key levels, even outside the broken downtrend.
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