Bitcoin
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Will Bitcoin hold the 9K area?

162
Hello crypto friends,

As was mentioned in my previous idea Bitcoin will likely go down to test 9K again:

Will Bitcoin test 9K again?

It was a good low risk trade.

Now Bitcoin is approaching bottom line of a descending triangle.
As you know the more often the price tests a support, the higher chances it won't hold.
Moreover, Bitcoin loves breaking descending triangles to the downside.

Comparing this triangle to the one on a bigger time frame we can see the same pattern and scenario that likely will happen.

I'm expecting BTC price drop to the 8.6K area and close CME gap. Afterwards we might expect pullback, but it is to early to talk about that.

What will happen next the price will tell.

This idea is not a financial advise, but you probably know that already ;)
Uwaga
Noticed gap on Coinbase after today outage:

snapshot
Never before saw a gap on Coinbase. I wonder how it will be closed?
Uwaga
Bitcoin is showing some strength. After retracing to 0.786 fib BTC is building bullish engulfing structure. Crushing markets do not behave like this. There is a possibility that 9K holds and price will test 9500-9700 area, then afterwards retrace to the bottom again:

snapshot

Remember to manage your risk. My SL is in breakeven. I'm waiting for marker decision in a completely safe position, I hope you too.
Uwaga
If Bitcoin consolidates above 9200 this idea will be invalidated:

snapshot
Uwaga
Bitcoin met serious resistance at 9.3K level and failed to break through it.
Idea still valid. But my SL was triggered at 9305 :(
I'll watch price action to reenter the trade.
Uwaga
Gap was filled!
But not that one on CME you might thought :)
Yesterday gap on Coinbase was closed with that upper wick:

snapshot
I'm wondering what if that pump was tied to gap closure?
Uwaga
As you might know Coinbase is a regulated exchange in the USA. Therefore, leaving the gap open may lead to allegations of manipulation by the authorities.
Uwaga
Re-entered the trade but at much less attractive prices. Still my risk below 1%, so it's totally nothing comparing to R:R I have in this trade.
Uwaga
Wow! That last wick was violent with high volatility:

snapshot
Price keeps being rejected by upper triangle line
Transakcja zakończona: osiągnięto poziom stop
Bitcoin just broke the upper resistance line out of triangle:

snapshot
Uwaga
Sl triggered again. That time I lost a tiny amount, nothing to care about. Hope you are safe too.
Uwaga
Previous resistance line tested as a support. Seems like 9K level holds:

snapshot
Still needed a confirmation with a daily candle closed above that line
Uwaga
We might be in a bigger triangle formation as well:

snapshot

Thanks for reading, see you in future updates!

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