dvdubrovsky

Australian Dollar at Risk as AUD/JPY Enters Downtrend?

FX_IDC:AUDJPY   Dolar Australijski/Jen Japoński
The Australian Dollar may be vulnerable to the Japanese Yen following a couple of bearish technical developments. This follows a rejection of the 86.253 - 85.909 resistance zone.

AUD/JPY recently confirmed a breakout under the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement at 84.50 on the 4-hour chart. This also follows a bearish Death Cross between the 20- and 50-period Simple Moving Averages.

This has exposed the 38.2% level at 83.416. Still, prices remain above the 200-period line, which could reinstate the broader upside focus. On the other hand, breaking under it could open the door to extending losses towards the September low at 78.825.

Keep a close eye on the 82.028 - 81.662 inflection zone. The latter price is the 61.8% retracement.

Positive RSI divergence does show fading downside momentum, which can at times precede a turn higher.

Clearing 86.253 would open the door to resuming gains since August.

AUDJPY

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