Nasan Hull-smoothed envelope The Nasan Hull-Smoothed Envelope indicator is a sophisticated overlay designed to track price movement within an adaptive "envelope." It dynamically adjusts to market volatility and trend strength, using a series of smoothing and volatility-correction techniques. Here's a detailed breakdown of its components, from the input settings to the calculated visual elements:
Inputs
look_back_length (500):
Defines the lookback period for calculating intraday volatility (IDV), smoothing it over time. A higher value means the indicator considers a longer historical range for volatility calculations.
sl (50):
Sets the smoothing length for the Hull Moving Average (HMA). The HMA smooths various lines, creating a balance between sensitivity and stability in trend signals.
mp (1.5):
Multiplier for IDV, scaling the volatility impact on the envelope. A higher multiplier widens the envelope to accommodate higher volatility, while a lower one tightens it.
p (0.625):
Weight factor that determines the balance between extremes (highest high and lowest low) and averages (sma of high and sma of low) in the high/low calculations. A higher p gives more weight to extremes, making the envelope more responsive to abrupt market changes.
Volatility Calculation (IDV)
The Intraday Volatility (IDV) metric represents the average volatility per bar as an exponentially smoothed ratio of the high-low range to the close price. This is calculated over the look_back_length period, providing a base volatility value which is then scaled by mp. The IDV enables the envelope to dynamically widen or narrow with market volatility, making it sensitive to current market conditions.
Composite High and Low Bands
The high and low bands define the upper and lower bounds of the envelope.
High Calculation
a_high:
Uses a multi-period approach to capture the highest highs over several intervals (5, 8, 13, 21, and 34 bars). Averaging these highs provides a more stable reference for the high end of the envelope, capturing both immediate and recent peak values.
b_high:
Computes the average of shorter simple moving averages (5, 8, and 13 bars) of the high prices, smoothing out fluctuations in the recent highs. This generates a balanced view of high price trends.
high_c:
Combines a_high and b_high using the weight p. This blend creates a composite high that balances between recent peaks and smoothed averages, making the upper envelope boundary adaptive to short-term price shifts.
Low Calculation
a_low and b_low:
Similar to the high calculation, these capture extreme lows and smooth low values over the same intervals. This approach creates a stable and adaptive lower bound for the envelope.
low_c:
Combines a_low and b_low using the weight p, resulting in a composite low that adjusts to price fluctuations while maintaining a stable trend line.
Volatility-Adjusted Bands
The final composite high (c_high) and composite low (c_low) bands are adjusted using IDV, which accounts for intraday volatility. When volatility is high, the bands expand; when it’s low, they contract, providing a visual representation of volatility-adjusted price bounds.
Basis Line
The basis line is a Hull Moving Average (HMA) of the average of c_high and c_low. The HMA is known for its smoothness and responsiveness, making the basis line a central trend indicator. The color of the basis line changes:
Green when the basis line is increasing.
Red when the basis line is decreasing.
This color-coded basis line serves as a quick visual reference for trend direction.
Short-Term Trend Strength Block
This component analyzes recent price action to assess short-term bullish and bearish momentum.
Conditions (green, red, green1, red1):
These are binary conditions that categorize price movements as bullish or bearish based on the close compared to the open and the close’s relationship with the exponential moving average (EMA). This separation helps capture different types of strength (above/below EMA) and different bullish or bearish patterns.
Composite Trend Strength Values:
Each of the bullish and bearish counts (above and below the EMA) is normalized, resulting in the following values:
green_EMAup_a and red_EMAup_a for bullish and bearish strength above the EMA.
green_EMAdown_a and red_EMAdown_a for bullish and bearish strength below the EMA.
Trend Strength (t_s):
This calculated metric combines the normalized trend strengths with extra weight to conditions above the EMA, giving more relevance to trends that have momentum behind them.
Enhanced Trend Strength
avg_movement:
Calculates the average absolute price movement over the short_term_length, providing a measurement of recent price activity that scales with volatility.
enhanced_t_s:
Multiplies t_s by avg_movement, creating an enhanced trend strength value that reflects both directional strength and the magnitude of recent price movement.
min and max:
Minimum and maximum percentile thresholds, respectively, based on enhanced_t_s for controlling the color gradient in the fill area.
Fill Area
The fill area between plot_c_high and plot_c_low is color-coded based on the enhanced trend strength (enhanced_t_s):
Gradient color transitions from blue to green based on the strength level, with blue representing weaker trends and green indicating stronger trends.
This visual fill provides an at-a-glance assessment of trend strength across the envelope, with color shifts highlighting momentum shifts.
Summary
The indicator’s purpose is to offer an adaptive price envelope that reflects real-time market volatility and trend strength. Here’s what each component contributes:
Basis Line: A trend-following line in the center that adjusts color based on trend direction.
Envelope (c_high, c_low): Adapts to volatility by expanding and contracting based on IDV, giving traders a responsive view of expected price bounds.
Fill Area: A color-gradient region representing trend strength within the envelope, helping traders easily identify momentum changes.
Overall, this tool helps to identify trend direction, market volatility, and strength of price movements, allowing for more informed decisions based on visual cues around price boundaries and trend momentum.
Wskaźniki i strategie
Kalman Based VWAP [EdgeTerminal]Kalman VWAP is a different take on volume-weighted average price (VWAP) indicator where we enhance the results with Kalman filtering and dynamic wave visualization for a more smooth and improved trend identification and volatility analysis.
A little bit about Kalman Filter:
Kalman filtering (also known as linear quadratic estimation) is an algorithm that uses a series of measurements observed over time, including statistical noise and other inaccuracies, to produce estimates of unknown variables that tend to be more accurate than those based on a single measurement, by estimating a joint probability distribution over the variables for each time-step. The filter is constructed as a mean squared error minimiser, but an alternative derivation of the filter is also provided showing how the filter relates to maximum likelihood statistics
This indicator combines:
Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) for institutional price levels
Kalman filtering for noise reduction and trend smoothing
Dynamic wave visualization for volatility zones
This creates a robust indicator that helps traders identify trends, support/resistance zones, and potential reversal points with high precision.
What makes this even more special is the fact that we use open price as a data source instead of usual close price. This allows you to tune the indicator more accurately when back testing it and generally get results that are closer to real time market data.
The math:
In case if you're interested in the math of this indicator, the indicator employs a state-space Kalman filter model:
State Equation: x_t = x_{t-1} + w_t
Measurement Equation: z_t = x_t + v_t
x_t is the filtered VWAP state
w_t is process noise ~ N(0, Q)
v_t is measurement noise ~ N(0, R)
z_t is the traditional VWAP measurement
The Kalman filter recursively updates through:
Prediction: x̂_t|t-1 = x̂_{t-1}
Update: x̂_t = x̂_t|t-1 + K_t(z_t - x̂_t|t-1)
Where K_t is the Kalman gain, optimally balancing between prediction and measurement.
Input Parameters
Measurement Noise: Controls signal smoothing (0.0001 to 1.0)
Process Noise: Adjusts trend responsiveness (0.0001 to 1.0)
Wave Size: Multiplier for volatility bands (0.1 to 5.0)
Trend Lookback: Period for trend determination (1 to 100)
Bull/Bear Colors: Customizable color schemes
Application:
I recommend using this along other indicators. This is best used for assets that don't have a close time, such as BTC but can be used with anything as long as the data is there.
With default settings, this works better for swing trades but you can adjust it for day trading as well, by adjusting the lookback and also process noise.
NASI +The NASI + indicator is an advanced adaptation of the classic McClellan Oscillator, a tool widely used to gauge market breadth. It calculates the McClellan Oscillator by measuring the difference between the 19-day and 39-day EMAs of net advancing issues, which are optionally adjusted to account for the relative strength of advancing vs. declining stocks.
To enhance this analysis, NASI + applies the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to the cumulative McClellan Oscillator values, generating a unique momentum-based view of market breadth. Additionally, two extra EMAs—a 10-day and a 4-day EMA—are applied to the RSI, providing further refinement to signals for overbought and oversold conditions.
With NASI +, users benefit from:
-A deeper analysis of market momentum through cumulative breadth data.
-Enhanced sensitivity to trend shifts with the applied RSI and dual EMAs.
-Clear visual cues for overbought and oversold conditions, aiding in intuitive signal identification.
Spreads between contractsA simple indicator that automatically calculates and charts the difference between the nearby futures contract (1!) and the next contract (2!), enabling contango and backwardation analysis. If needed, any two contracts can also be manually entered.
Market structureHi all!
This script shows you the market structure. You can choose to show internal market structure (with pivots of a default length of 5) and swing market structure (with pivots of a default length of 50). For these two trends it will show you:
• Break of structure (BOS)
• Change of character (CHoCH) (mandatory)
• Equal high/low (EQH/EQL)
It's inspired by "Smart Money Concepts (SMC) " by LuxAlgo that will also show you the market structure.
It will create the two market structures depending on the pivots found. Both of these market structures can be enabled/disabled. The pivots length can be configured separately. The pivots found will be the 'base' of this indicator and will show you when price breaks it. When that happens a break of structure or a change of character will be created. The latest 5 pivots found within the current trends will be kept to take action on. The internal market structure is shown with dashed lines and swing market structure is shown with solid lines.
A break of structure is removed if an earlier pivots within the same trend is broken. Like in the images below, the first pivot (in the first image) is removed when an earlier pivot's higher price within the same trend is broken (the second image):
Equal high/lows have a pink zone (by default but can be changed by the user). These zones can be configured to be extended to the right (off by default). Equal high/lows are only possible if it's not been broken by price and if a later bar has a high/low within the limit it's added to the zone (without it being more 'extreme' (high or low) then the previous price). A factor (percentage of width) of the Average True Length (of length 14) that the pivot must be within to to be considered an Equal high/low. This is configurable and sets this 'limit' and is 10 by default.
You are able to show the pivots that are used. "HH" (higher high), "HL" (higher low), "LH" (lower high), "LL" (lower low) and "H"/"L" (for pivots (high/low) when the trend has changed) are the labels used.
This script has proven itself useful for me to quickly see how the current market is. You can see the pivots (price and bar) where break of structure or change of character happens to see the current trends. I hope that you will find this useful for you.
When programming I focused on simplicity and ease of read. I did not focus on performance, I will do so if it's a problem (haven't noticed it is one yet).
You can set alerts for when a change of character happens. You can configure it to fire on when it happens (all or once per bar) but it defaults to 'once_per_bar_close' to avoid repainting. This has the drawback to alert you when the bar closes.
TLDR: this is an indicator showing you the market structure (break of structures and change of characters) using swing points/pivots. Two trends can be shown, internal (with pivots of length of 5) and swing (with pivots of the length of 50).
Best of trading luck!
Trend Trader-RemasteredThe script was originally coded in 2018 with Pine Script version 3, and it was in invite only status. It has been updated and optimised for Pine Script v5 and made completely open source.
Overview
The Trend Trader-Remastered is a refined and highly sophisticated implementation of the Parabolic SAR designed to create strategic buy and sell entry signals, alongside precision take profit and re-entry signals based on marked Bill Williams (BW) fractals. Built with a deep emphasis on clarity and accuracy, this indicator ensures that only relevant and meaningful signals are generated, eliminating any unnecessary entries or exits.
Key Features
1) Parabolic SAR-Based Entry Signals:
This indicator leverages an advanced implementation of the Parabolic SAR to create clear buy and sell position entry signals.
The Parabolic SAR detects potential trend shifts, helping traders make timely entries in trending markets.
These entries are strategically aligned to maximise trend-following opportunities and minimise whipsaw trades, providing an effective approach for trend traders.
2) Take Profit and Re-Entry Signals with BW Fractals:
The indicator goes beyond simple entry and exit signals by integrating BW Fractal-based take profit and re-entry signals.
Relevant Signal Generation: The indicator maintains strict criteria for signal relevance, ensuring that a re-entry signal is only generated if there has been a preceding take profit signal in the respective position. This prevents any misleading or premature re-entry signals.
Progressive Take Profit Signals: The script generates multiple take profit signals sequentially in alignment with prior take profit levels. For instance, in a buy position initiated at a price of 100, the first take profit might occur at 110. Any subsequent take profit signals will then occur at prices greater than 110, ensuring they are "in favour" of the original position's trajectory and previous take profits.
3) Consistent Trend-Following Structure:
This design allows the Trend Trader-Remastered to continue signaling take profit opportunities as the trend advances. The indicator only generates take profit signals in alignment with previous ones, supporting a systematic and profit-maximising strategy.
This structure helps traders maintain positions effectively, securing incremental profits as the trend progresses.
4) Customisability and Usability:
Adjustable Parameters: Users can configure key settings, including sensitivity to the Parabolic SAR and fractal identification. This allows flexibility to fine-tune the indicator according to different market conditions or trading styles.
User-Friendly Alerts: The indicator provides clear visual signals on the chart, along with optional alerts to notify traders of new buy, sell, take profit, or re-entry opportunities in real-time.
TrigWave Suite [InvestorUnknown]The TrigWave Suite combines Sine-weighted, Cosine-weighted, and Hyperbolic Tangent moving averages (HTMA) with a Directional Movement System (DMS) and a Relative Strength System (RSS).
Hyperbolic Tangent Moving Average (HTMA)
The HTMA smooths the price by applying a hyperbolic tangent transformation to the difference between the price and a simple moving average. It also adjusts this value by multiplying it by a standard deviation to create a more stable signal.
// Function to calculate Hyperbolic Tangent
tanh(x) =>
e_x = math.exp(x)
e_neg_x = math.exp(-x)
(e_x - e_neg_x) / (e_x + e_neg_x)
// Function to calculate Hyperbolic Tangent Moving Average
htma(src, len, mul) =>
tanh_src = tanh((src - ta.sma(src, len)) * mul) * ta.stdev(src, len) + ta.sma(src, len)
htma = ta.sma(tanh_src, len)
Sine-Weighted Moving Average (SWMA)
The SWMA applies sine-based weights to historical prices. This gives more weight to the central data points, making it responsive yet less prone to noise.
// Function to calculate the Sine-Weighted Moving Average
f_Sine_Weighted_MA(series float src, simple int length) =>
var float sine_weights = array.new_float(0)
array.clear(sine_weights) // Clear the array before recalculating weights
for i = 0 to length - 1
weight = math.sin((math.pi * (i + 1)) / length)
array.push(sine_weights, weight)
// Normalize the weights
sum_weights = array.sum(sine_weights)
for i = 0 to length - 1
norm_weight = array.get(sine_weights, i) / sum_weights
array.set(sine_weights, i, norm_weight)
// Calculate Sine-Weighted Moving Average
swma = 0.0
if bar_index >= length
for i = 0 to length - 1
swma := swma + array.get(sine_weights, i) * src
swma
Cosine-Weighted Moving Average (CWMA)
The CWMA uses cosine-based weights for data points, which produces a more stable trend-following behavior, especially in low-volatility markets.
f_Cosine_Weighted_MA(series float src, simple int length) =>
var float cosine_weights = array.new_float(0)
array.clear(cosine_weights) // Clear the array before recalculating weights
for i = 0 to length - 1
weight = math.cos((math.pi * (i + 1)) / length) + 1 // Shift by adding 1
array.push(cosine_weights, weight)
// Normalize the weights
sum_weights = array.sum(cosine_weights)
for i = 0 to length - 1
norm_weight = array.get(cosine_weights, i) / sum_weights
array.set(cosine_weights, i, norm_weight)
// Calculate Cosine-Weighted Moving Average
cwma = 0.0
if bar_index >= length
for i = 0 to length - 1
cwma := cwma + array.get(cosine_weights, i) * src
cwma
Directional Movement System (DMS)
DMS is used to identify trend direction and strength based on directional movement. It uses ADX to gauge trend strength and combines +DI and -DI for directional bias.
// Function to calculate Directional Movement System
f_DMS(simple int dmi_len, simple int adx_len) =>
up = ta.change(high)
down = -ta.change(low)
plusDM = na(up) ? na : (up > down and up > 0 ? up : 0)
minusDM = na(down) ? na : (down > up and down > 0 ? down : 0)
trur = ta.rma(ta.tr, dmi_len)
plus = fixnan(100 * ta.rma(plusDM, dmi_len) / trur)
minus = fixnan(100 * ta.rma(minusDM, dmi_len) / trur)
sum = plus + minus
adx = 100 * ta.rma(math.abs(plus - minus) / (sum == 0 ? 1 : sum), adx_len)
dms_up = plus > minus and adx > minus
dms_down = plus < minus and adx > plus
dms_neutral = not (dms_up or dms_down)
signal = dms_up ? 1 : dms_down ? -1 : 0
Relative Strength System (RSS)
RSS employs RSI and an adjustable moving average type (SMA, EMA, or HMA) to evaluate whether the market is in a bullish or bearish state.
// Function to calculate Relative Strength System
f_RSS(rsi_src, rsi_len, ma_type, ma_len) =>
rsi = ta.rsi(rsi_src, rsi_len)
ma = switch ma_type
"SMA" => ta.sma(rsi, ma_len)
"EMA" => ta.ema(rsi, ma_len)
"HMA" => ta.hma(rsi, ma_len)
signal = (rsi > ma and rsi > 50) ? 1 : (rsi < ma and rsi < 50) ? -1 : 0
ATR Adjustments
To minimize false signals, the HTMA, SWMA, and CWMA signals are adjusted with an Average True Range (ATR) filter:
// Calculate ATR adjusted components for HTMA, CWMA and SWMA
float atr = ta.atr(atr_len)
float htma_up = htma + (atr * atr_mult)
float htma_dn = htma - (atr * atr_mult)
float swma_up = swma + (atr * atr_mult)
float swma_dn = swma - (atr * atr_mult)
float cwma_up = cwma + (atr * atr_mult)
float cwma_dn = cwma - (atr * atr_mult)
This adjustment allows for better adaptation to varying market volatility, making the signal more reliable.
Signals and Trend Calculation
The indicator generates a Trend Signal by aggregating the output from each component. Each component provides a directional signal that is combined to form a unified trend reading. The trend value is then converted into a long (1), short (-1), or neutral (0) state.
Backtesting Mode and Performance Metrics
The Backtesting Mode includes a performance metrics table that compares the Buy and Hold strategy with the TrigWave Suite strategy. Key statistics like Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, and Omega Ratio are displayed to help users assess performance. Note that due to labels and plotchar use, automatic scaling may not function ideally in backtest mode.
Alerts and Visualization
Trend Direction Alerts: Set up alerts for long and short signals
Color Bars and Gradient Option: Bars are colored based on the trend direction, with an optional gradient for smoother visual feedback.
Important Notes
Customization: Default settings are experimental and not intended for trading/investing purposes. Users are encouraged to adjust and calibrate the settings to optimize results according to their trading style.
Backtest Results Disclaimer: Please note that backtest results are not indicative of future performance, and no strategy guarantees success.
Daily CRTDaily CRT Indicator
The Daily CRT Indicator is a custom technical analysis tool designed to help traders identify and visualize key price patterns on the daily timeframe. Specifically, it detects and marks the "Sweep and Close Inside" pattern, which is a price action pattern that can signal potential trading opportunities.
Key Features:
Pattern Detection:
The indicator detects two specific price action patterns:
Sweep and Close Above: When the current price sweeps above the previous day’s high and closes inside the range, indicating a potential bullish breakout or continuation.
Sweep and Close Below: When the current price sweeps below the previous day’s low and closes inside the range, signaling a potential bearish move.
Horizontal Lines:
The indicator automatically draws horizontal lines at the previous day’s high and low levels whenever a pattern is detected, providing a visual reference for key support and resistance zones.
These lines are displayed in real-time on the chart and adjust dynamically as new patterns form.
Customizable Line Appearance:
Choose the color, thickness, and style (solid, dashed, or dotted) of the lines to fit your preferred chart aesthetic.
Alert System:
The indicator comes with built-in alerts. Set an alert to notify you when the Sweep and Close Inside pattern is detected, helping you stay on top of potential trade setups.
History Management:
Show History: Optionally display the detected patterns on previous bars (past patterns).
Customizable History Duration: Control how far back you want to view the patterns, allowing you to adjust for a cleaner chart and focus on the most recent setups.
Visual Labels:
When the pattern is detected, the indicator can display a label under the bar (customizable) to highlight the occurrence of the pattern, making it easier for traders to spot potential trade signals.
Built for the Daily Timeframe:
This indicator is specifically designed to work on the daily timeframe and is ideal for swing traders and longer-term traders who are focused on the daily price action and want to capture patterns that indicate potential market reversals or breakouts.
How It Works:
The indicator monitors the previous day's price action and looks for situations where the current price action either sweeps the previous day's high or low and then closes inside the range of the previous day's bar. This type of price movement can often signal that a reversal or continuation is about to occur. The indicator marks these setups by drawing horizontal lines and optionally displays labels for quick identification.
Settings & Customization:
Line Color: Customize the color of the lines marking the previous day’s high and low.
Line Thickness: Choose from different thickness levels for better visibility.
Line Style: Pick from solid, dashed, or dotted styles.
Show History: Toggle the display of historical patterns, with the option to control how many days back to show.
Show Labels: Option to toggle the display of labels when the pattern is detected.
Alert Condition: Receive alerts when a pattern is detected, ensuring you never miss a trade opportunity.
Ideal For:
Swing Traders: This indicator is perfect for traders looking to capture swings in the market based on daily price action.
Pattern Traders: Those who trade based on specific chart patterns will benefit from this tool, as it identifies important reversal and breakout signals.
Technical Analysts: Anyone who incorporates price action patterns into their strategy can use this tool as a supplemental analysis tool to improve their trading decisions.
By using the Daily CRT Indicator, you’ll have a powerful tool to help you spot important price action patterns that may indicate key market moves. Whether you're looking to catch breakouts, reversals, or simply track significant support and resistance levels, this indicator is a versatile addition to your trading toolkit.
This description provides a clear understanding of how the Daily CRT Indicator works and what value it offers, making it easy for traders to know if it fits their trading style. Feel free to tweak the description further depending on the details you’d like to emphasize.
Sharpe Ratio Z-ScoreThis indicator calculates the Sharpe Ratio and its Z-Score , which are used to evaluate the risk-adjusted return of an asset over a given period. The Sharpe Ratio is computed using the average return and the standard deviation of returns, while the Z-Score standardizes this ratio to assess how far the current Sharpe Ratio deviates from its historical average.
The Sharpe Ratio is a measure of how much return an investment has generated relative to the risk it has taken. In the context of this script, the risk-free rate is assumed to be 0, but in real applications, it would typically be the return on a safe investment, like a Treasury bond. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates that the investment's returns are higher compared to its risk, making it a more favorable investment. Conversely, a lower Sharpe Ratio suggests that the investment may not be worth the risk.
Calculation:
Daily Returns Calculation: The script calculates the daily return of the asset. This measures the percentage change in the asset’s closing price from one period to the next.
Sharpe Ratio Calculation: The Sharpe Ratio is calculated by taking the average daily return and dividing it by the standard deviation of the returns, then multiplying by the square root of the period length.
Usage:
Traders and Investors can use the Sharpe Ratio to evaluate how well the asset is compensating for risk. A high Sharpe Ratio indicates a high return per unit of risk, whereas a low or negative Sharpe Ratio suggests poor risk-adjusted returns. In overbought times, an asset would have high/positive returns per unit of risk. In oversold times, an asset would have low/negative returns per unit of risk.
The Z-Score provides a way to compare the current Sharpe Ratio to its historical distribution, offering a more standardized view of how extreme or typical the current ratio is.
Positive Z-score: Indicates that the asset's return is significantly lower than its risk, suggesting potential oversold conditions.
Negative Z-score: Indicates that the asset's return is significantly higher than its risk, suggesting potential overbought conditions.
Red Zone (-3 to -2): Strong overbought conditions.
Green Zone (2 to 3): Strong oversold conditions.
Sharpe Ratio Limitations:
While the Sharpe Ratio is widely used to evaluate risk-adjusted returns, it has its limitations.
Fat Tails: It assumes that returns are normally distributed and does not account for extreme events or "fat tails" in the return distribution. This can be problematic for assets like cryptocurrencies, which may experience large, sudden price swings that skew the return distribution.
Single Risk Factor: The Sharpe Ratio only considers standard deviation (total volatility) as a measure of risk, ignoring other types of risks like skewness or kurtosis, which may also impact an asset’s performance.
Time Frame Sensitivity: The accuracy of the Sharpe Ratio and its Z-Score is heavily influenced by the time frame chosen for the calculation. A longer period may smooth out short-term fluctuations, while a shorter period might be more sensitive to recent volatility.
Overbought and Oversold Zones: The script marks overbought and oversold conditions based on the Z-Score, but this is not a guarantee of market reversal. It’s important to combine this tool with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis for a more comprehensive market evaluation.
Volatility: The Sharpe Ratio and Z-Score depend on the volatility (standard deviation) of the asset’s returns. For highly volatile assets, such as cryptocurrencies, the Sharpe Ratio may not fully capture the true risk or may be misleading if the volatility is transient.
Doesn't Account for Downside Risk: The Sharpe Ratio treats upside and downside volatility equally, which may not reflect how investors perceive risk. Some investors may be more concerned with downside risk, which the Sharpe Ratio does not distinguish from upside fluctuations.
Important Considerations:
The Sharpe Ratio should not be used in isolation. While it provides valuable insights into risk-adjusted returns, it is important to combine it with other performance and risk indicators to form a more comprehensive market evaluation. Relying solely on the Sharpe Ratio may lead to misleading conclusions, particularly in volatile or non-normally distributed markets.
When integrated into a broader investment strategy, the Sharpe Ratio can help traders and investors better assess the risk-return profile of an asset, identifying periods of potential overperformance or underperformance. However, it should be used alongside other tools to ensure more informed decision-making, especially in highly fluctuating markets.
Volume Flow ConfluenceVolume Flow Confluence (CMF-KVO Integration)
Core Function:
The Volume Flow Confluence Indicator combines two volume-analysis methods: Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) and the Klinger Volume Oscillator (KVO). It displays a histogram only when both indicators align in their respective signals.
Signal States:
• Green Bars: CMF is positive (> 0) and KVO is above its signal line
• Red Bars: CMF is negative (< 0) and KVO is below its signal line
• No Bars: When indicators disagree
Technical Components:
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF):
Measures the relationship between volume and price location within the trading range:
• Calculates money flow volume using close position relative to high/low range
• Aggregates and normalizes over specified period
• Default period: 20
Klinger Volume Oscillator (KVO):
Evaluates volume in relation to price movement:
• Tracks trend changes using HLC3
• Applies volume force calculation
• Uses two EMAs (34/55) with a signal line (13)
Practical Applications:
1. Signal Identification
- New colored bars after blank periods show new agreement between indicators
- Color intensity differentiates new signals from continuations
- Blank spaces indicate lack of agreement
2. Trend Analysis
- Consecutive colored bars show continued indicator agreement
- Transitions between colors or to blank spaces show changing conditions
- Can be used alongside other technical analysis tools
3. Risk Considerations
- Signals are not predictive of future price movement
- Should be used as one of multiple analysis tools
- Effectiveness may vary across different markets and timeframes
Technical Specifications:
Core Algorithm
CMF = Σ(((C - L) - (H - C))/(H - L) × V)n / Σ(V)n
KVO = EMA(VF, 34) - EMA(VF, 55)
Where VF = V × |2(dm/cm) - 1| × sign(Δhlc3)
Signal Line = EMA(KVO, 13)
Signal Logic
Long: CMF > 0 AND KVO > Signal
Short: CMF < 0 AND KVO < Signal
Neutral: All other conditions
Parameters
CMF Length = 20
KVO Fast = 34
KVO Slow = 55
KVO Signal = 13
Volume = Regular/Actual Volume
Data Requirements
Price Data: OHLC
Volume Data: Required
Minimum History: 55 bars
Recommended Timeframe: ≥ 1H
Credits:
• Marc Chaikin - Original CMF development
• Stephen Klinger - Original KVO development
• Alex Orekhov (everget) - CMF script implementation
• nj_guy72 - KVO script implementation
3 CANDLE SUPPLY/DEMANDExplanation of the Code:
Demand Zone Logic: The script checks if the second candle closes below the low of the first candle and the third candle closes above both the highs of the first and second candles.
Zone Plotting: Once the pattern is identified, a demand zone is plotted from the low of the first candle to the high of the third candle, using a dashed green line for clarity.
Markers: A small triangle marker is added below the bars where a demand zone is detected for easy visualization.
Efficient Logic: The script checks the conditions for demand zone formation for every three consecutive candles on the chart.
This approach should be both accurate and efficient in plotting demand zones, making it easier to spot potential support levels on the chart.
Rikki's DikFat Bull/Bear OscillatorRikki's DikFat Bull/Bear Oscillator - Trend Identification & Candle Colorization
Rikki's DikFat Bull/Bear Oscillator is a powerful visual tool designed to help traders easily identify bullish and bearish trends on the chart. By analyzing market momentum using specific elements of the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) , this indicator highlights key trend reversals and continuations with color-coded candles, allowing you to quickly spot areas of opportunity.
How It Works
At the heart of this indicator is the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) , a popular momentum-based oscillator. The CCI measures the deviation of price from its average over a specified period (default is 30 bars). This helps identify whether the market is overbought, oversold, or trending.
Here's how the indicator interprets the CCI:
Bullish Trend (Green Candles) : When the market is showing signs of continued upward momentum, the candles turn green. This happens when the current CCI is less than 200 and moves from a value greater than 100 with velocity, signaling that the upward trend is still strong, and the market is likely to continue rising. Green candles indicate bullish price action , suggesting it might be a good time to look for buying opportunities or hold your current long position.
Bearish Trend (Red Candles) : Conversely, when the CCI shows signs of downward momentum (both the current and previous CCI readings are negative), the candles turn red. This signals that the market is likely in a bearish trend , with downward price action expected to continue. Red candles are a visual cue to consider selling opportunities or to stay out of the market if you're risk-averse.
How to Use It
Bullish Market : When you see green candles, the market is in a bullish phase. This suggests that prices are moving upward, and you may want to focus on buying signals . Green candles are your visual confirmation of a strong upward trend.
Bearish Market : When red candles appear, the market is in a bearish phase. This indicates that prices are moving downward, and you may want to consider selling or staying out of long positions. Red candles signal that downward pressure is likely to continue.
Why It Works
This indicator uses momentum to identify shifts in trend. By tracking the movement of the CCI , the oscillator detects whether the market is trending strongly or simply moving in a sideways range. The color changes in the candles help you quickly visualize where the market momentum is headed, giving you an edge in determining potential buy or sell opportunities.
Clear Visual Signals : The green and red candles make it easy to follow market trends, even for beginners.
Identifying Trend Continuations : The oscillator helps spot ongoing trends, whether bullish or bearish, so you can align your trades with the prevailing market direction.
Quick Decision-Making : By using color-coded candles, you can instantly know whether to consider entering a long (buy) or short (sell) position without needing to dive into complex indicators.
NOTES This indicator draws and colors it's own candles bodies, wicks and borders. In order to have the completed visualization of red and green trends, you may need to adjust your TradingView chart settings to turn off or otherwise modify chart candles.
Conclusion
With Rikki's DikFat Bull/Bear Oscillator , you have an intuitive and easy-to-read tool that helps identify bullish and bearish trends based on proven momentum indicators. Whether you’re a novice or an experienced trader, this oscillator allows you to stay in tune with the market’s direction and make more informed, confident trading decisions.
Make sure to use this indicator in conjunction with your own trading strategy and risk management plan to maximize your trading potential and limit your risks.
Cross-Asset Correlation Trend IndicatorCross-Asset Correlation Trend Indicator
This indicator uses correlations between the charted asset and ten others to calculate an overall trend prediction. Each ticker is configurable, and by analyzing the trend of each asset, the indicator predicts an average trend for the main asset on the chart. The strength of each asset's trend is weighted by its correlation to the charted asset, resulting in a single average trend signal. This can be a rather robust and effective signal, though it is often slow.
Functionality Overview :
The Cross-Asset Correlation Trend Indicator calculates the average trend of a charted asset based on the correlation and trend of up to ten other assets. Each asset is assigned a trend signal using a simple EMA crossover method (two customizable EMAs). If the shorter EMA crosses above the longer one, the asset trend is marked as positive; if it crosses below, the trend is negative. Each trend is then weighted by the correlation coefficient between that asset’s closing price and the charted asset’s closing price. The final output is an average weighted trend signal, which combines each trend with its respective correlation weight.
Input Parameters :
EMA 1 Length : Sets the period of the shorter EMA used to determine trends.
EMA 2 Length : Sets the period of the longer EMA used to determine trends.
Correlation Length : Defines the lookback period used for calculating the correlation between the charted asset and each of the other selected assets.
Asset Tickers : Each of the ten tickers is configurable, allowing you to set specific assets to analyze correlations with the charted asset.
Show Trend Table : Toggle to show or hide a table with each asset’s weighted trend. The table displays green, red, or white text for each weighted trend, indicating positive, negative, or neutral trends, respectively.
Table Position : Choose the position of the trend table on the chart.
Recommended Use :
As always, it’s essential to backtest the indicator thoroughly on your chosen asset and timeframe to ensure it aligns with your strategy. Feel free to modify the input parameters as needed—while the defaults work well for me, they may need adjustment to better suit your assets, timeframes, and trading style.
As always, I wish you the best of luck and immense fortune as you develop your systems. May this indicator help you make well-informed, profitable decisions!
Composite Oscillation Indicator Based on MACD and OthersThis indicator combines various technical analysis tools to create a composite oscillator that aims to capture multiple aspects of market behavior. Here's a breakdown of its components:
* Individual RSIs (xxoo1-xxoo15): The code calculates the RSI (Relative Strength Index) of numerous indicators, including volume-based indicators (NVI, PVI, OBV, etc.), price-based indicators (CCI, CMO, etc.), and moving averages (WMA, ALMA, etc.). It also includes the RSI of the MACD histogram (xxoo14).
* Composite RSI (xxoojht): The individual RSIs are then averaged to create a composite RSI, aiming to provide a more comprehensive view of market momentum and potential turning points.
* MACD Line RSI (xxoo14): The RSI of the MACD histogram incorporates the momentum aspect of the MACD indicator into the composite measure.
* Double EMA (co, coo): The code employs two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) of the composite RSI, with different lengths (9 and 18 periods).
* Difference (jo): The difference between the two EMAs (co and coo) is calculated, aiming to capture the rate of change in the composite RSI.
* Smoothed Difference (xxp): The difference (jo) is further smoothed using another EMA (9 periods) to reduce noise and enhance the signal.
* RSI of Smoothed Difference (cco): Finally, the RSI is applied to the smoothed difference (xxp) to create the core output of the indicator.
Market Applications and Trading Strategies:
* Overbought/Oversold: The indicator's central line (plotted at 50) acts as a reference for overbought/oversold conditions. Values above 50 suggest potential overbought zones, while values below 50 indicate oversold zones.
* Crossovers and Divergences: Crossovers of the cco line above or below its previous bar's value can signal potential trend changes. Divergences between the cco line and price action can also provide insights into potential trend reversals.
* Emoji Markers: The code adds emoji markers ("" for bullish and "" for bearish) based on the crossover direction of the cco line. These can provide a quick visual indication of potential trend shifts.
* Colored Fill: The area between the composite RSI line (xxoojht) and the central line (50) is filled with color to visually represent the prevailing market sentiment (green for above 50, red for below 50).
Trading Strategies (Examples):
* Long Entry: Consider a long entry (buying) signal when the cco line crosses above its previous bar's value and the composite RSI (xxoojht) is below 50, suggesting a potential reversal from oversold conditions.
* Short Entry: Conversely, consider a short entry (selling) signal when the cco line crosses below its previous bar's value and the composite RSI (xxoojht) is above 50, suggesting a potential reversal from overbought conditions.
* Confirmation: Always combine the indicator's signals with other technical analysis tools and price action confirmation for better trade validation.
Additional Notes:
* The indicator offers a complex combination of multiple indicators. Consider testing and optimizing the parameters (EMAs, RSI periods) to suit your trading style and market conditions.
* Backtesting with historical data can help assess the indicator's effectiveness and identify potential strengths and weaknesses in different market environments.
* Remember that no single indicator is perfect, and the cco indicator should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis to make informed trading decisions.
By understanding the logic behind this composite oscillator and its potential applications, you can incorporate it into your trading strategy to potentially identify trends, gauge market sentiment, and generate trading signals.
RSI and Dev Advanced Volatility IndexEnglish Explanation of the "RSI and Dev Advanced Volatility Index" Pine Script Code
Understanding the Code
Purpose:
This Pine Script code creates a custom indicator that combines the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Deviation (DEV) to provide insights into market volatility.
Key Components:
* Deviation (DEV): Calculates the difference between the closing price and the 10-period simple moving average. This measures the extent to which the price deviates from its recent average, indicating volatility.
* RSI: The traditional RSI is then applied to the calculated deviations. This helps to smooth the data and identify overbought or oversold conditions in terms of volatility.
Calculation Steps:
* Deviation Calculation: The difference between the closing price and its 10-period simple moving average is calculated.
* RSI Calculation: The RSI is calculated on the deviations, providing a measure of the speed and change of volatility relative to recent volatility changes.
* Plotting:
* The RSI of the deviations is plotted on the chart.
* Horizontal lines are plotted at 50, 0, and 110 to visually represent different volatility zones.
* The area between the lines is filled with color to highlight low and high volatility regions.
Interpretation and Usage
* Volatility Analysis:
* High Volatility: When the RSI is above 50, it indicates high volatility, suggesting the market might be in a consolidation or trend reversal phase.
* Low Volatility: When the RSI is below 50, it indicates low volatility, suggesting a relatively calm market.
* Trading Signals:
* Buy Signal: When the RSI crosses above 50 from below, it might signal increasing volatility, which could be a buying opportunity.
* Sell Signal: When the RSI crosses below 50 from above, it might signal decreasing volatility, which could be a selling opportunity.
* Risk Management:
* By monitoring volatility, traders can better manage their risk. During periods of high volatility, traders might reduce their position size or adopt more conservative strategies.
Advantages
* Comprehensive: Combines RSI and DEV for a more holistic view of volatility.
* Sensitivity: Quickly responds to changes in market volatility.
* Visual Clarity: Color-coded zones provide a clear visual representation of different volatility levels.
Limitations
* Parameter Sensitivity: The indicator's performance is sensitive to parameter changes, such as the lookback period for the moving average.
* Lag: Like most technical indicators, it has some lag and might not capture every market movement.
* Not Predictive: It can only indicate current and past volatility, not future movements.
Summary
This custom indicator offers a valuable tool for analyzing market volatility. By combining RSI and DEV, it provides a more nuanced perspective on price fluctuations. However, it should be used in conjunction with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis for more robust trading decisions.
Key points to remember:
* Higher RSI values indicate higher volatility.
* Lower RSI values indicate lower volatility.
* Crossovers of the RSI line above or below 50 can provide potential trading signals.
* The indicator should be used in conjunction with other analysis tools for a more complete picture of the market.
RSI Wave Function Ultimate OscillatorEnglish Explanation of the "RSI Wave Function Ultimate Oscillator" Pine Script Code
Understanding the Code
Purpose:
This Pine Script code creates a custom indicator that combines the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with a wave function to potentially provide more nuanced insights into market dynamics.
Key Components:
* Wave Function: This is a custom calculation that introduces a sinusoidal wave component to the price data. The frequency parameter controls the speed of the oscillation, and the decay factor determines how quickly the influence of past prices diminishes.
* Smoothed Signal: The wave function is applied to the closing price to create a smoothed signal, which is essentially a price series modulated by a sine wave.
* RSI: The traditional RSI is then calculated on this smoothed signal, providing a measure of the speed and change of price movements relative to recent price changes.
Calculation Steps:
* Wave Function Calculation:
* A sinusoidal wave is generated based on the bar index and the frequency parameter.
* The wave is combined with the closing price using a weighted average, where the decay factor determines the weight given to previous values.
* RSI Calculation:
* The RSI is calculated on the smoothed signal using a standard RSI formula.
* Plotting:
* The RSI values are plotted on a chart, along with horizontal lines at 70 and 30 to indicate overbought and oversold conditions.
* The area between the RSI line and the overbought/oversold lines is filled with color to visually represent the market condition.
Interpretation and Usage
* Wave Function: The wave function introduces cyclical patterns into the price data, which can help identify potential turning points or momentum shifts.
* RSI: The RSI provides a measure of the speed and change of price movements relative to recent price changes. When applied to the smoothed signal, it can help identify overbought and oversold conditions, as well as potential divergences between price and momentum.
* Combined Indicator: The combination of the wave function and RSI aims to provide a more sensitive and potentially earlier indication of market reversals.
* Signals:
* Crossovers: Crossovers of the RSI line above or below the overbought/oversold lines can be used to generate buy or sell signals.
* Divergences: Divergences between the price and the RSI can indicate a weakening trend.
* Oscillations: The amplitude and frequency of the oscillations in the RSI can provide insights into the strength and duration of market trends.
How it Reflects Market Volatility
* Amplified Volatility: The wave function can amplify the volatility of the price data, making it easier to identify potential turning points.
* Smoothing: The decay factor helps to smooth out short-term fluctuations, allowing the indicator to focus on longer-term trends.
* Sensitivity: The combination of the wave function and RSI can make the indicator more sensitive to changes in market momentum.
In essence, this custom indicator attempts to enhance traditional RSI analysis by incorporating a cyclical component that can potentially provide earlier signals of market reversals.
Note: The effectiveness of this indicator will depend on various factors, including the specific market, time frame, and the chosen values for the frequency and decay parameters. It is recommended to conduct thorough backtesting and optimize the parameters to suit your specific trading strategy.
MACD+RSI+BBDESCRIPTION
The MACD + RSI + Bollinger Bands Indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed for traders and investors to identify potential market trends and reversals. This script combines three indicators: the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Bollinger Bands. Each of these indicators provides unique insights into market behavior.
FEATURES
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
The MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security’s price.
The script calculates the MACD line, the signal line, and the histogram, which visually represents the difference between the MACD line and the signal line.
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100 and is typically used to identify overbought or oversold conditions.
The script allows users to set custom upper and lower thresholds for the RSI, with default values of 70 and 30, respectively.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands consist of a middle band (EMA) and two outer bands (standard deviations away from the EMA). They help traders identify volatility and potential price reversals.
The script allows users to customize the length of the Bollinger Bands and the multiplier for the standard deviation.
Color-Coding Logic
The histogram color changes based on the following conditions:
Black: If the RSI is above the upper threshold and the closing price is above the upper Bollinger Band, or if the RSI is below the lower threshold and the closing price is below the lower Bollinger Band.
Green (#4caf50): If the RSI is above the upper threshold but the closing price is not above the upper Bollinger Band.
Light Green (#a5d6a7): If the histogram is positive and the RSI is not above the upper threshold.
Red (#f23645): If the RSI is below the lower threshold but the closing price is not below the lower Bollinger Band.
Light Red (#faa1a4): If the histogram is negative and the RSI is not below the lower threshold.
Inputs
Bollinger Bands Settings
Length: The number of periods for the moving average.
Basis MA Type: The type of moving average (SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, VWMA).
Source: The price source for the Bollinger Bands calculation.
StdDev: The multiplier for the standard deviation.
RSI Settings
RSI Length: The number of periods for the RSI calculation.
RSI Upper: The upper threshold for the RSI.
RSI Lower: The lower threshold for the RSI.
Source: The price source for the RSI calculation.
MACD Settings
Fast Length: The length for the fast moving average.
Slow Length: The length for the slow moving average.
Signal Smoothing: The length for the signal line smoothing.
Oscillator MA Type: The type of moving average for the MACD calculation.
Signal Line MA Type: The type of moving average for the signal line.
Usage
This indicator is suitable for various trading strategies, including day trading, swing trading, and long-term investing.
Traders can use the MACD histogram to identify potential buy and sell signals, while the RSI can help confirm overbought or oversold conditions.
The Bollinger Bands provide context for price volatility and potential breakout or reversal points.
Example:
From the example, it can clearly see that the Selling Climax and Buying Climax, marked as orange circle when a black histogram occurs.
Conclusion
The MACD + RSI + Bollinger Bands Indicator is a versatile tool that combines multiple technical analysis methods to provide traders with a comprehensive view of market conditions. By utilizing this script, traders can enhance their analysis and improve their decision-making process.
Enhanced Chaikin Money FlowEnhanced Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) with Normalized Distribution
The Enhanced Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is a sophisticated version of Marc Chaikin's classic volume-weighted indicator that measures buying and selling pressure. This version incorporates statistical normalization and advanced smoothing techniques to provide more reliable signals.
Key Features
Normalized distribution (z-score) for better historical comparison
Multiple smoothing options (SMA, EMA, WMA, RMA) for noise reduction
Standard deviation bands (1σ and 2σ) to identify extreme readings
Adjustable parameters for customization
Alert system for extreme readings
Interpretation
Values represent standard deviations from the mean
Above 0: Indicates net buying pressure
Below 0: Indicates net selling pressure
Outside ±2σ bands: Suggests extreme market conditions
Crossovers of standard deviation bands may signal potential reversals
Technical Details
The indicator combines volume with price location within a bar to determine buying/selling pressure, then normalizes these values using a rolling z-score calculation. This normalization allows for better historical comparison and more reliable overbought/oversold signals.
Best used in conjunction with price action and other indicators for confirmation of potential market turns or trend strength.
Stablecoin Dominance Oscillator
The SDO is a normalized oscillator that tracks the relationship between stablecoin market capitalization (USDT + USDC + DAI) and total crypto market capitalization. It helps identify periods where stablecoins represent an unusually high or low portion of the total crypto market value.
Key components:
Main Signal (Blue Line):
Shows the normalized deviation of stablecoin dominance from its trend. Higher values indicate higher stablecoin dominance relative to history (which often corresponds with market bottoms/fear), while lower values indicate lower stablecoin dominance (often seen during strong bull markets/greed).
Dynamic Bands (Gray):
These adapt to market volatility, expanding during volatile periods and contracting during stable periods
Generally suggest temporary boundaries for the oscillator
Volatility Reference (Purple Line):
Shows the ratio between short-term and long-term volatility
Higher values indicate more volatile market conditions
Helps contextualize the reliability of the current signal
The indicator uses a 500-period lookback for baseline calculations and a 15-period Hull Moving Average for smoothing, making it responsive while filtering out noise. The final signal is normalized and volatility-adjusted to maintain consistent readings across different market regimes.
Enhanced Market Analyzer with Adaptive Cognitive LearningThe "Enhanced Market Analyzer with Advanced Features and Adaptive Cognitive Learning" is an advanced, multi-dimensional trading indicator that leverages sophisticated algorithms to analyze market trends and generate predictive trading signals. This indicator is designed to merge traditional technical analysis with modern machine learning techniques, incorporating features such as adaptive learning, Monte Carlo simulations, and probabilistic modeling. It is ideal for traders who seek deeper market insights, adaptive strategies, and reliable buy/sell signals.
Key Features:
Adaptive Cognitive Learning:
Utilizes Monte Carlo simulations, reinforcement learning, and memory feedback to adapt to changing market conditions.
Adjusts the weighting and learning rate of signals dynamically to optimize predictions based on historical and real-time data.
Hybrid Technical Indicators:
Custom RSI Calculation: An RSI that adapts its length based on recursive learning and error adjustments, making it responsive to varying market conditions.
VIDYA with CMO Smoothing: An advanced moving average that incorporates Chander Momentum Oscillator for adaptive smoothing.
Hamming Windowed VWMA: A volume-weighted moving average that applies a Hamming window for smoother calculations.
FRAMA: A fractal adaptive moving average that responds dynamically to price movements.
Advanced Statistical Analysis:
Skewness and Kurtosis: Provides insights into the distribution and potential risk of market trends.
Z-Score Calculations: Identifies extreme market conditions and adjusts trading thresholds dynamically.
Probabilistic Monte Carlo Simulation:
Runs thousands of simulations to assess potential price movements based on momentum, volatility, and volume factors.
Integrates the results into a probabilistic signal that informs trading decisions.
Feature Extraction:
Calculates a variety of market metrics, including price change, momentum, volatility, volume change, and ATR.
Normalizes and adapts these features for use in machine learning algorithms, enhancing signal accuracy.
Ensemble Learning:
Combines signals from different technical indicators, such as RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, Stochastic Oscillator, and statistical features.
Weights each signal based on cumulative performance and learning feedback to create a robust ensemble signal.
Recursive Memory and Feedback:
Stores and averages past RSI calculations in a memory array to provide historical context and improve future predictions.
Adaptive memory factor adjusts the influence of past data based on current market conditions.
Multi-Factor Dynamic Length Calculation:
Determines the length of moving averages based on volume, volatility, momentum, and rate of change (ROC).
Adapts to various market conditions, ensuring that the indicator is responsive to both high and low volatility environments.
Adaptive Learning Rate:
The learning rate can be adjusted based on market volatility, allowing the system to adapt its speed of learning and sensitivity to changes.
Enhances the system's ability to react to different market regimes.
Monte Carlo Simulation Engine:
Simulates thousands of random outcomes to model potential future price movements.
Weights and aggregates these simulations to produce a final probabilistic signal, providing a comprehensive risk assessment.
RSI with Dynamic Adjustments:
The initial RSI length is adjusted recursively based on calculated errors between true RSI and predicted RSI.
The adaptive RSI calculation ensures that the indicator remains effective across various market phases.
Hybrid Moving Averages:
Short-Term and Long-Term Averages: Combines FRAMA, VIDYA, and Hamming VWMA with specific weights for a unique hybrid moving average.
Weighted Gradient: Applies a color gradient to indicate trend strength and direction, improving visual clarity.
Signal Generation:
Generates buy and sell signals based on the ensemble model and multi-factor analysis.
Uses percentile-based thresholds to determine overbought and oversold conditions, factoring in historical data for context.
Optional settings to enable adaptation to volume and volatility, ensuring the indicator remains effective under different market conditions.
Monte Carlo and Learning Parameters:
Users can customize the number of Monte Carlo simulations, learning rate, memory factor, and reward decay for tailored performance.
Applications:
Scalping and Day Trading:
The fast response of the adaptive RSI and ensemble learning model makes this indicator suitable for short-term trading strategies.
Swing Trading:
The combination of long-term moving averages and probabilistic models provides reliable signals for medium-term trends.
Volatility Analysis:
The ATR, Bollinger Bands, and adaptive moving averages offer insights into market volatility, helping traders adjust their strategies accordingly.
No Trade Zone Indicator [CHE]No Trade Zone Indicator
The "No Trade Zone Indicator " is a powerful tool designed to help traders identify periods when the market may not present favorable trading opportunities. By analyzing the percentage change in the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA20) relative to a dynamically adjusted threshold based on market volatility, this indicator highlights times when it's prudent to stay out of the market.
Why Knowing When Not to Trade Is Important
Understanding when not to trade is just as crucial as knowing when to enter or exit a position. Trading during periods of low volatility or uncertain market direction can lead to unnecessary risks and potential losses. By recognizing these "No Trade Zones," you can:
- Avoid Low-Probability Trades: Reduce the chances of entering trades with unfavorable risk-to-reward ratios.
- Preserve Capital: Protect your investment from unpredictable market movements.
- Enhance Focus: Concentrate on high-quality trading opportunities that align with your strategy.
How the Indicator Works
- SMA20 Calculation: Computes the 20-period Simple Moving Average of closing prices to identify the market's short-term trend.
- ATR Measurement: Calculates the Average True Range (ATR) over a user-defined period (default is 14) to assess market volatility.
- Dynamic Threshold: Determines an adjusted threshold by multiplying the ATR percentage by a Threshold Adjustment Factor (default is 0.05).
- Trend Analysis: Compares the percentage change of the SMA20 against the adjusted threshold to evaluate market momentum.
- Status Identification:
- Long: Indicates a rising SMA20 above the threshold—suggesting a potential upward trend.
- Short: Indicates a falling SMA20 above the threshold—suggesting a potential downward trend.
- No Trade: Signals when the SMA20 change is below the threshold, marking a period of low volatility or indecision.
Features
- Customizable Settings: Adjust the ATR period and Threshold Adjustment Factor to suit different trading styles and market conditions.
- Visual Indicators: Colored columns represent market status—green for "Long," red for "Short," and gray for "No Trade."
- On-Chart Table: An optional table displays the current market status directly on your chart for quick reference.
- Alerts: Set up alerts to receive notifications when the market enters a "No Trade Zone," helping you stay informed without constant monitoring.
How to Use the Indicator
1. Add to Chart: Apply the "No Trade Zone Indicator " to your preferred trading chart on TradingView.
2. Configure Settings: Customize the ATR period and Threshold Adjustment Factor based on your analysis and risk tolerance.
3. Interpret Signals:
- Green Columns: Consider looking for buying opportunities as the market shows upward momentum.
- Red Columns: Consider looking for selling opportunities as the market shows downward momentum.
- Gray Columns: Refrain from trading as the market lacks clear direction.
4. Monitor Alerts: Use the alert feature to get notified when the market status changes, allowing you to make timely decisions.
Conclusion
Incorporating the "No Trade Zone Indicator " into your trading toolkit can enhance your decision-making process by clearly indicating when the market may not be conducive to trading. By focusing on periods with favorable conditions and avoiding low-volatility times, you can improve your trading performance and achieve better results over the long term.
*Trade wisely, and remember—the best trade can sometimes be no trade at all.*
Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
best regards
Chervolino
Supertrend EMA & KNNSupertrend EMA & KNN
The Supertrend EMA indicator cuts through the noise to deliver clear trend signals.
This tool is built using the good old Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) with a novel of machine learning; KNN (K Nearest Neighbors) breakout detection method.
Key Features:
Effortless Trend Identification: Supertrend EMA simplifies trend analysis by automatically displaying a color-coded EMA. Green indicates an uptrend, red signifies a downtrend, and the absence of color suggests a potential range.
Dynamic Breakout Detection: Unlike traditional EMAs, Supertrend EMA incorporates a KNN-based approach to identify breakouts. This allows for faster color changes compared to standard EMAs, offering a more dynamic picture of the trend.
Customizable Parameters: Fine-tune the indicator to your trading style. Adjust the EMA length for trend smoothing, KNN lookback window for breakout sensitivity, and breakout threshold for filtering noise.
A Glimpse Under the Hood:
Dual EMA Power: The indicator utilizes two EMAs. A longer EMA (controlled by the "EMA Length" parameter) provides a smooth trend direction, while a shorter EMA (controlled by the "Short EMA Length" parameter) triggers color changes, aiming for faster response to breakouts.
KNN Breakout Detection: This innovative feature analyzes price action over a user-defined lookback period (controlled by the "KNN Lookback Length" parameter) to identify potential breakouts. If the price surpasses a user-defined threshold (controlled by the "Breakout Threshold" parameter) above the recent highs, a green color is triggered, signaling a potential uptrend. Conversely, a breakdown below the recent lows triggers a red color, indicating a potential downtrend.
Trading with Supertrend EMA:
Ride the Trend: When the indicator displays green, look for long (buy) opportunities, especially when confirmed by bullish price action patterns on lower timeframes. Conversely, red suggests potential shorting (sell) opportunities, again confirmed by bearish price action on lower timeframes.
Embrace Clarity: The color-coded EMA provides a clear visual representation of the trend, allowing you to focus on price action and refine your entry and exit strategies.
A Word of Caution:
While Supertrend EMA offers faster color changes than traditional EMAs, it's important to acknowledge a slight inherent lag. Breakout detection relies on historical data, and there may be a brief delay before the color reflects a new trend.
To achieve optimal results, consider:
Complementary Tools: Combine Supertrend EMA with other indicators or price action analysis for additional confirmation before entering trades.
Solid Risk Management: Always practice sound risk management strategies such as using stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
Supertrend EMA is a powerful tool designed to simplify trend identification and enhance your trading experience. However, remember, no single indicator guarantees success. Use it with a comprehensive trading strategy and disciplined risk management for optimal results.
Disclaimer:
While the Supertrend EMA indicator can be a valuable tool for identifying potential trend changes, it's important to note that it's not infallible. Market conditions can be highly dynamic, and indicators may sometimes provide false signals. Therefore, it's crucial to use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and sound risk management practices. Always conduct thorough research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Power Core MAThe Power Core MA indicator is a powerful tool designed to identify the most significant moving average (MA) in a given price chart. This indicator analyzes a wide range of moving averages, from 50 to 400 periods, to determine which one has the strongest influence on the current price action.
The blue line plotted on the chart represents the "Current Core MA," which is the moving average that is most closely aligned with other nearby moving averages. This line indicates the current trend and potential support or resistance levels.
The table displayed on the chart provides two important pieces of information. The "Current Core MA" value shows the length of the moving average that is currently most influential. The "Historical Core MA" value represents the average length of the most influential moving averages over time.
This indicator is particularly useful for traders and analysts who want to identify the most relevant moving average for their analysis. By focusing on the moving average that has the strongest historical significance, users can make more informed decisions about trend direction, support and resistance levels, and potential entry or exit points.
The Power Core MA is an excellent tool for those interested in finding the strongest moving average in the price history. It simplifies the process of analyzing multiple moving averages by automatically identifying the most influential one, saving time and providing valuable insights into market dynamics.
By combining current and historical data, this indicator offers a comprehensive view of the market's behavior, helping traders to adapt their strategies to the most relevant timeframes and trend strengths.
