### **Global M2 Index Percentage** **Description:** The **Global M2 Index Percentage** is a custom indicator designed to track and visualize the global money supply (M2) in a normalized percentage format. It aggregates M2 data from major economies (e.g., the US, EU, China, Japan, and the UK) and adjusts for exchange rates to provide a comprehensive view of global liquidity. This indicator helps traders and investors understand the broader macroeconomic environment, identify trends in money supply, and make informed decisions based on global liquidity conditions.
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### **How It Works:** 1. **Data Aggregation**: - The indicator collects M2 data from key economies and adjusts it using exchange rates to calculate a global M2 value. - The formula for global M2 is: \[ \text{Global M2} = \frac{(\text{CN M2} \times \text{CNY/USD}) + (\text{US M2}) + (\text{EU M2} \times \text{EUR/USD}) + (\text{JP M2} \times \text{JPY/USD}) + (\text{UK M2} \times \text{GBP/USD})}{1,000,000,000,000} \]
2. **Normalization**: - The global M2 value is normalized into a percentage (0% to 100%) based on its range over a user-defined period (default: 13 weeks). - The formula for normalization is: \[ \text{M2 Index} = \frac{\text{Current M2} - \text{Lowest M2 (13 weeks)}}{\text{Highest M2 (13 weeks)} - \text{Lowest M2 (13 weeks)}} \times 100 \]
3. **Visualization**: - The indicator plots the M2 Index as a line chart. - Key reference levels are highlighted: - **10% (Red Line)**: Oversold level (low liquidity). - **50% (Black Line)**: Neutral level. - **80% (Green Line)**: Overbought level (high liquidity).
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### **How to Use the Indicator:**
#### **1. Understanding the M2 Index:** - **Below 10%**: Indicates extremely low liquidity, which may signal economic contraction or tight monetary policy. - **Above 80%**: Indicates high liquidity, which may signal loose monetary policy or potential inflationary pressures. - **Between 10% and 80%**: Represents a neutral to moderate liquidity environment.
#### **2. Trading Strategies:** - **Long-Term Investing**: - Use the M2 Index to assess global liquidity trends. - **High M2 Index (e.g., >80%)**: Consider investing in risk assets (stocks, commodities) as liquidity supports growth. - **Low M2 Index (e.g., <10%)**: Shift to defensive assets (bonds, gold) as liquidity tightens.
- **Short-Term Trading**: - Combine the M2 Index with technical indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) for timing entries and exits. - **M2 Index Rising + RSI Oversold**: Potential buying opportunity. - **M2 Index Falling + RSI Overbought**: Potential selling opportunity.
#### **3. Macroeconomic Analysis**: - Use the M2 Index to monitor the impact of central bank policies (e.g., quantitative easing, rate hikes). - Correlate the M2 Index with inflation data (CPI, PPI) to anticipate inflationary or deflationary trends.
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### **Key Features:** - **Customizable Timeframe**: Adjust the lookback period (e.g., 13 weeks, 26 weeks) to suit your trading style. - **Multi-Economy Data**: Aggregates M2 data from the US, EU, China, Japan, and the UK for a global perspective. - **Normalized Output**: Converts raw M2 data into an easy-to-interpret percentage format. - **Reference Levels**: Includes key levels (10%, 50%, 80%) for quick analysis.
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### **Example Use Case:** - **Scenario**: The M2 Index rises from 49% to 62% over two weeks. - **Interpretation**: Global liquidity is increasing, potentially due to central bank stimulus. - **Action**: - **Long-Term**: Increase exposure to equities and commodities. - **Short-Term**: Look for buying opportunities in oversold assets (e.g., RSI < 30).
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### **Why Use the Global M2 Index Percentage?** - **Macro Insights**: Understand the broader economic environment and its impact on financial markets. - **Risk Management**: Identify periods of high or low liquidity to adjust your portfolio accordingly. - **Enhanced Timing**: Combine with technical analysis for better entry and exit points.
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### **Conclusion:** The **Global M2 Index Percentage** is a powerful tool for traders and investors seeking to incorporate macroeconomic data into their strategies. By tracking global liquidity trends, this indicator helps you make informed decisions, whether you're trading short-term or planning long-term investments. Add it to your TradingView charts today and gain a deeper understanding of the global money supply!
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**Disclaimer**: This indicator is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making investment decisions.
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