Gold Daily count and plan

8 lip 2017

If 1203-1198 doesn't hold, target is 1170. However bear looks a little stretched here tbh because 1296 was still a higher high. The technical retracement I'm expecting up to 1258+ offers best risk reward.

11 lip 2017

Uwaga

As of Monday 10/7 close there's a 1195 target so I wouldn't start fading the bears just yet. If gold produces another small bounce before going bear again then different target.

11 lip 2017

Uwaga

Finally, last down: 1196/95. There are no calculations left except 1184 if gold breaks down 1193.

12 lip 2017

Uwaga

I'm short 1218/19 for decent risk reward (smaller positions) and looking at this.

12 lip 2017

Transakcja zakończona: osiągnięto poziom stop

My shorts hit breakeven. This is my updated chart:


I had to go back to my original wave count where wave circle iv on daily was a running flat. This changes alot of calculations, as per chart the target completion was 1206. I erroneously introduced another sub-wave this week instead to be on safer side due to Yellen news. It doesn't matter anyway because it looks like wave A is forming nicely and we can capitalise on buying B wave bottom for C wave rally. It looks like a zig-zag correction, perhaps 1.5-2wks. Then resume longer term selling on daily/weekly chart.

21 lip 2017

Uwaga

This is a decent area to start building short positions. Above 1254 and above 1258 are my zones.

21 lip 2017

Zlecenie aktywne

24 lip 2017

Uwaga

I'm short and looking at this if B wave materialises. Won't really know until the waves form but there's a higher likelihood that another upside C wave will form. If it does: will be very quick as compared to A wave.

27 lip 2017

Uwaga

I'm ignoring A-B-C. I think it's just going to sell off into wave 3 down from here. My earlier shorts BE. Now selling again.

28 lip 2017

Uwaga

I'm TPing shorts below yesterday's 1254 pivot low. Reason is i see a WXY on h1, indicating that wave 2 of C is in play. (FOMC created the C wave). No point risking shorts since its easy to sell again if my wave count gets invalidated. So I'm buying later for 2 waves then selling hard possibly 1288 or 1275. Bulls are getting stretched as it is. I'll put up charts when i can.

28 lip 2017

Uwaga

This is my ref chart. Waiting for the C blow-off dip before TPing shorts.

31 lip 2017

Uwaga

My WXY didn't work and blew past my red line. I like going long at green line 1264 and above 1262 red line. Seeing as there are only 2 impulses left for this C, it is prudent to spread long positions across down to 1260 in case ending diagonal forms. Destination targets of 1275 and 1288 remains.

1 sie 2017

Uwaga

My longs triggered and my wave count is still valid across all my brokers. For some reason Tradingview's XAUUSD IDC quotes show that my count was invalidated:



This is not the first time this has happened so I'll stop using IDC from now on.

2 sie 2017

Uwaga

Last rally here. Gold is really vulnerable especially at 1279-83. Or possibly double top 1274.

3 sie 2017

Uwaga

Last rally done. This is my wave count and long term short positions:


Good luck all.

4 sie 2017

Uwaga

I won't be updating this chart idea anymore.it turned out to be Daily retracement idea lol. Anyway, its just a bunch of 1-2-1-2s within the 1250s and 1260s region until then Wave 3 daily kicks in. Just sell $5/10/15 pullbacks for a couple of months. I'll publish a new idea if I think this wave 3 of C (weekly) formation changes.

8 sie 2017

Uwaga

I changed my mind about updating this chart. Truth is I find it tiring publishing new charts. Here's the update. Still short and adding on continuation shorts 1291.90:

8 sie 2017

Uwaga

1261.90 (not 1291.90)

9 sie 2017

Uwaga

Just be wary of bull and bear traps here. Main trend tends to confuse people before it sets off. This is my expectation because I still can't see bullish side yet unless 1274 breaks.


Remember that Wave B (bear trap) correction need not go that low to activate Wave C (bull trap). The correction on H1/H4 a zig-zag.