GOLD SELL setup

Zaktualizowano
In my view gold is bearish and sell point is close.
Arguments:
- 4 week trendline is broken.
- divergence in last top(17 jan)
- wave 2(blue) looks like clear abc (5-3-5) zigzag pattern.
- goldusd move is opposite to usdjpy. and in my view usdjpy is clearly bullish.
there may be last little swing up, which should not go beyond 17 jan top.
in anyway selling flag breakout will be a good idea.
also there is a good R/R ratio!
Keep an eye on it!
Good luck!
Uwaga
snapshot
Before posting an idea I doubted about my wave count.
Today price exceeds 17 jan top level.(a little bit, but it does)
wave 2 can't correct more than 100% of wave 1.
so it looks like abc correction pattern 3-3-5 flat. (wave B can correct more than 100% of wave A)
so, sell setup is still valid, but now it's short-term sell.
we need 5 waves structure to comlete wave C downward move. (wait for 3 swing down, and to corrective swings up) 1st wave inside wave C may be done.
good luck!
Transakcja zakończona: osiągnięto poziom stop
Zlecenie aktywne
It may still be an active trade.
snapshot
ABC(blue) flat(3-3-5) pattern should correct 3rd wave(yellow).
Here is full picture.
snapshot
If wave B(blue) is done, gold should start falling in the area of 38% of 3rd wave (1191).
keep an eye on it!
Uwaga
snapshot
Uwaga
if it breaks, sell it!
snapshot
Uwaga
looks like possible ending diagonal
snapshot
Uwaga
one more scenario for wave (c) - diagonal.
snapshot
Uwaga
looks like zig-zag pattern.
flag breakout will be a confirmation.
gold may drop well below 1991
snapshot
Uwaga
possible scenario
snapshot
Zlecenie aktywne
1991 target is reached
next one is 1174
snapshot
Transakcja zamknięta: osiągnięto wyznaczony cel
Original price target (wave C = 1.618 * wave A = 1180.7) was reached
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Goldgoldusd

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