The market is preparing a truckload of surprises for the next two months. The biggest of them will be the crash in Treasuries, which will cause a giant run into the dollar, causing the metals, stocks and base pairs to fall dramatically.
Consider the following: - TLT is ready to move down, 80..100 realistic targets - GBP is ready to move to 1.06 - EURGBP - ready for 0.78 (down together with the Pound!) - USDJPY - begins the final descent to 83..86 - EURJPY is about to exit a decade-long triangle and move down wildly (look on the weekly, it's hilarious) - In Silver, Wave E will be the last one in the downtrend that began in Aug'20, I expect it to last for as long as the EUR and other base pairs fall.
The fact that all instruments get aligned for one big move are evidence of a very long term cycle ending. The larger the cycle, the more various instruments tend to move together towards its end.
I think in H1'21 we will see the end of a long-term cycle in Stocks (a major low, SPX ~1000) and in Treasuries at the same time, which will be followed by a few years of recovery.
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