Potential Downtrend in Tesla

Tesla has struggled for months, and traders may expect another push to the downside.

The main pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs and lower lows since July 19. The EV maker is near the top of this parallel channel, which may create risk of a move toward the bottom.

Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) has been declining and is now below the 100-day SMA. That may reflect weakness over the longer term.

Third, TSLA has slipped under its 8-day exponential moving average (EMA). That may reflect weakness over the shorter term.

Fourth, stochastics are dipping from an overbought condition.

Finally, recent weeks have seen money shift from large-cap growth names toward smaller companies. For example, TradeStation data shows the number of Russell 2000 members hitting new 52-week highs more than doubling in the last week. Meanwhile the number of new highs in the Nasdaq-100 dropped more than 50 percent.

More of this rotation could potentially weigh on megacaps like TSLA.

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Centered OscillatorsMoving AveragesParallel Channel

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