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Ishares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

TLT Roadmap Dec 2023

Od Neon
Zaktualizowano
Yields are likely in early stages of significant multi-month retrace lower into summer 2024
Uwaga
Good start
Uwaga
Early stage
Uwaga
More pulling back ahead
Uwaga
Should start turning up
Uwaga
Very good price action following the expected path
Uwaga
I made a mistake with the instrument here, instead of TLT should have used IEF as 10 yr yields will fall faster than 30 yr yields
Uwaga
It is highly likely that this upswing starting Oct 2023 extends into Oct 2025. Obviously no straight line but some correction starting Aug into Oct 2024
Uwaga
Entertaining to say the least
Uwaga
Market participants are fully imposing the Trump trade across asset markets. This most likely will form a triangle (currently D wave forming to the downside) before new highs in yields/lows in bonds
Uwaga
Bonds setting initial low on that decline likely this week
Uwaga
JP was a bit hesitant yesterday which is incrementally hawkish (as was Logan). I was very confident that this will happen once DJT wins. More cuts will further destabilize yields
Uwaga
Probably quick rally this week
Trend Analysis
Neon

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