SPX - turnaround Tuesday and Oil - ready to move higher

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Both discussed in the video. The SPX resistance level of 4340 is an area where an objective short can be tried. It may go higher but I don't think by much. Oil is almost done consolidating for a bigger move to the upside. Possible cup and handle target would be $120

Good luck!
Uwaga
no selling yet - QQQ looks like it wants to get to 372, then we'll see.... snapshot
Uwaga
OIl still consolidating. snapshot
Uwaga
to me the count looks like this - sideways B and we're in the middle of C another wave up on C makes sense but not too much higher. The whole correction looks like WXY snapshot
Uwaga
false breakdown on oil - to take out stops I assume - may breakout today. snapshot
Uwaga
Good morning, we may have topped yesterday, I'm not sure. PPI this morning and FOMC minutes at 2pm so it may be a wild day. I'm watching this channel, we are now on top of it, back into it would be bearish but we could go back to the top of it again. That retest may be a short opp. Also strong support at 4340 should not be ignored. snapshot
Uwaga
OIl looks to be breaking down, so it should be a strong move down from here unless they save it soon. snapshot
Uwaga
the channel could also be like this - in which case, they may sell it here at 830. snapshot
Uwaga
2nd stab at channel, short opp snapshot
Uwaga
Oil double bottom - may reverse here - over 86 and it looks better for bulls. nothing decided yet. snapshot
Uwaga
watch for a potential break and fail. snapshot
Uwaga
price is compressing with low rsi on small time frames, a breakout and a higher high is certainly possible into 2pm fomc minutes. snapshot
Uwaga
SPX appears to be in a triangle, or something like that - probably into FOMC minutes at 2pm. snapshot
Uwaga
looks like a tradable top, a bounce with the fomc minutes will likely get sold, snapshot
Uwaga
RTY coming into a support level. Objective long especially here I think. Still cold be more upside in this rally. Never underestimate the buy the dip crowd when it works. Lately it has. snapshot
Uwaga
gap at 4400 level on spx cash still not filled, could be a target if a rally sticks. snapshot
Uwaga
should continue higher to fill the gap on SPX
Uwaga
snapshot
Uwaga
back to the channel by end of day. It could be a trap - note the hourly bearish divergence here. We'll see tomorrow.... snapshot
Uwaga
nq resistance area snapshot
Uwaga
us oil gap fill, not sure what to make of it I got stopped out. snapshot
Uwaga
IWM was weak today compared to other indices, sometimes a leading indicator. Stopped at it's daily18ma snapshot
Uwaga
IWM still has not made it's target of 165 (head and shoulders) i think it does by November. snapshot
Uwaga
us.econoday.com/byweek.asp CPI today at 830
Uwaga
market keeps pushing against the channel. A break above with CPI and continuation into 930 (to take out shorts) is possible. usually these kinds of patterns have a "blow off top" moment. I do think today the market will turn down regardless of how high it gets first.

snapshot
Uwaga
soxx back to channel resistance snapshot
Uwaga
qqq to 372 area - channel resistance snapshot
Uwaga
ES (futures) suggest 4450 area as possible target. snapshot
Uwaga
15 minute rsi too low again, expecting higher snapshot
Uwaga
after open I still expect a short squeeze, RSI is hinting at it. I could be wrong, but here it is. snapshot
Uwaga
looks correct, snapshot
Uwaga
current count - snapshot
Uwaga
support level here - if it can hold it probably goes higher. Feels like a bear trap - again. snapshot
Uwaga
lost support, looks like the top may be in. test of that 4376 - 80 level may hold it back. snapshot
Uwaga
we have an expanding channel here - which may prove to be the bottom before a final rally. Just best to be careful. snapshot
Uwaga
this channel is acting as support. one more high would not surprise me in the least bit. RSI extremely oversold on small and mid time frames snapshot
Uwaga
q's gap at 376 area, may be what's driving the tech move. snapshot
Uwaga
resistance of 4380 still holds. if it breaks it's bullish. snapshot
Uwaga
secondary resistance here. so far looks bullish but it may stop around here. snapshot
Uwaga
secondary channel structure reached, but it looks like it's going to crack. snapshot
Uwaga
if they break the channel (blue) any test of it is an objective short. If they hold and test the yellow trendline which held earlier, that now should be resistance. snapshot
Uwaga
ok we're bearish snapshot
Uwaga
Larger structure still looks like a channel. Wave 5 down starting i think. snapshot
Uwaga
coming back to test the channel. I'm not sure what's going to happen here but they will keep everyone guessing into the close I'm sure. Above 4370 tomorrow and it's going to make another high. snapshot
Uwaga
how the day ended - snapshot
Uwaga
New Video - I will update there - enjoy
Chart PatternsTechnical IndicatorsS&P 500 (SPX500)Wave Analysis

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