🔍🔍1929-2029: Fibonacci, Macro Economic Cycles & Black Swans🔍

10 wrz 2021

100 Years of near Perfect Fibonacci Alignments!!


In this analysis, I looked at 2 Trend Based Fibonacci Time Extensions Layered over an Inverse Fibonacci Retracement starting in 1929 and ending in 2027

Observations:

1. There is a 100% chance a break of a Time FIB & Inverse Retracement FIB together result in a recession, and that the Inverse Retracement FIB acts as a resistance flipped support for the next period of growth
- See (Fig 1.1 Recession) & (Fig 1.2 Recession)

2. There is a 82% chance that a Time FIB will precisely match a market correction
- See 14/17 Time FIBs

3. This raises to 94% chance if you include the 2 delayed ones
- See (Fig 3.1 Time FIB A: 1.0) & (Fig 3.2 Time FIB B: 1.0)

3. At a minimum, there is a 76% chance any correction will align to a Time FIB
- See 16/21 corrections

4. September 2027 is a key alignment of;
a. Time FIB B: 3.0
b. Inverse Retracement FIB 4.236
- See (Fig 4.1)

Conclusion:

Significant chance 2027 will see a major correction, followed by recession through 2029 into 2030s

Note : the Trend-based Time FIB Extensions are based off the following points;

Point 1: Last ATH succeeded by significant Lower Low
- Time FIB A: 1880 / Time FIB B: 1929

Point 2: Breakout point of Last ATH to next ATH
- Time FIB A: 1899 / Time FIB B: 1954

Point 3: Next ATH succeeded by significant Lower Low
- Time FIB A: 1929 / Time FIB B: 1969

• What are your thoughts?

yemala

10 wrz 2021

Uwaga

*Correction to Observation 3!! - the 2nd delayed Time FIB is Time FIB 1.0 (not 2.0),
1.0 is actually the same as the delayed Time FIB as delayed Time FIB A, which was also 1.0! Freaky :D