Nextracker Inc.Long
1/28/25 - $nxt - Long like a clown.
1/28/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NXT
Long like a clown.
- i'm breaking some risk mgmt rules here b/c i'm still pulling 10% ytd even after y'day's massive give-back.
- have dumped my
NVDA (juice that i added y'day) and a lot of the 
TSM and a few others. even some btc.
- while i don't claim to know how the stock will trade this result, let's make a few things abundantly clear:
1/ this company has a track record of beating, beating, beating. could they miss? backlog shrink. sure.
2/ is industrial solar a rising tide besides what agent orange and oil mafia, nuclear bros say? yes. it's literally unstoppable.
3/ highest ROIC in the industry, nearly 100% FCF conversion and 15-20% fcf mgns.
4/ net cash
5/ and perhaps the most understated fact: dan (the man) shugar, ceo, founded this co with 4 mm dollars over 10 yrs ago. he remains at the helm and he's been ripping the ball off the cover for this long. you couldn't find a more capable leader and track record. all these tech-bros saying "founder led". idk why nxt always gets missed, but consider it a blessing.
...
so while we could yank up down and all 'round. while energy is getting crushed b/c 'muh datacenter needs less AI bc CCP's LLM... newsflash: datacenters don't run on solar. they *will* and it will be incremental lin a few years come battery tech, but rn that's purely incremental. the mkt is forecasting 10-15% top line growth for best in class solar names. but reality is, we're climbing the S-curve, not past the mid-way point, and
the best. is yet. to. come.
so will this Q be another beat and rip? god knows.
but my bags are packed, because i won't be able to look myself squarely in the face having done the work, understanding 8% fcf yields and 10% growth rates for a tech-infra-enabler climbing the S-curve as a leader... were missed because y'day we a tough day.
we all have tough days. i survived. we risk managed. we took some ST gains from the risk we put on last night into the close.
and we move on. and today that play is nxt. if it works, great. if not, we sort it out and work thru it.
i like this one, for myself. have a look and do your own research. the only miss here, is not taking a look.
be blessed, godspeed. see u all in the morning
V
NXTLong like a clown.
- i'm breaking some risk mgmt rules here b/c i'm still pulling 10% ytd even after y'day's massive give-back.
- have dumped my
NVDA (juice that i added y'day) and a lot of the TSM and a few others. even some btc.- while i don't claim to know how the stock will trade this result, let's make a few things abundantly clear:
1/ this company has a track record of beating, beating, beating. could they miss? backlog shrink. sure.
2/ is industrial solar a rising tide besides what agent orange and oil mafia, nuclear bros say? yes. it's literally unstoppable.
3/ highest ROIC in the industry, nearly 100% FCF conversion and 15-20% fcf mgns.
4/ net cash
5/ and perhaps the most understated fact: dan (the man) shugar, ceo, founded this co with 4 mm dollars over 10 yrs ago. he remains at the helm and he's been ripping the ball off the cover for this long. you couldn't find a more capable leader and track record. all these tech-bros saying "founder led". idk why nxt always gets missed, but consider it a blessing.
...
so while we could yank up down and all 'round. while energy is getting crushed b/c 'muh datacenter needs less AI bc CCP's LLM... newsflash: datacenters don't run on solar. they *will* and it will be incremental lin a few years come battery tech, but rn that's purely incremental. the mkt is forecasting 10-15% top line growth for best in class solar names. but reality is, we're climbing the S-curve, not past the mid-way point, and
the best. is yet. to. come.
so will this Q be another beat and rip? god knows.
but my bags are packed, because i won't be able to look myself squarely in the face having done the work, understanding 8% fcf yields and 10% growth rates for a tech-infra-enabler climbing the S-curve as a leader... were missed because y'day we a tough day.
we all have tough days. i survived. we risk managed. we took some ST gains from the risk we put on last night into the close.
and we move on. and today that play is nxt. if it works, great. if not, we sort it out and work thru it.
i like this one, for myself. have a look and do your own research. the only miss here, is not taking a look.
be blessed, godspeed. see u all in the morning
V
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Wyłączenie odpowiedzialności
Informacje i publikacje przygotowane przez TradingView lub jego użytkowników, prezentowane na tej stronie, nie stanowią rekomendacji ani porad handlowych, inwestycyjnych i finansowych i nie powinny być w ten sposób traktowane ani wykorzystywane. Więcej informacji na ten temat znajdziesz w naszym Regulaminie.