NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 26-Sep-2025

NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 26-Sep-2025

Nifty closed at 24,904.55, very close to the Opening Resistance Zone at 24,904 – 24,923. Tomorrow’s opening will be crucial in determining whether bulls regain control or bears extend pressure further.

📌 Key Levels to Watch:

Opening Resistance: 24,904 – 24,923

Immediate Resistance: 25,044

Last Intraday Resistance: 25,160

Opening Important Support: 24,801

Last Important Support: 24,625

🚀 Scenario 1: Gap Up Opening (100+ points)

1. [] If Nifty opens near or above 25,000 – 25,050, it will immediately test the Opening Resistance at 25,044.
   [] Sustaining above 25,044 can invite further upside towards 25,160 (Last Intraday Resistance).
   [] A breakout above 25,160 may trigger fresh momentum buying, potentially extending towards higher zones.
   [] However, failure to hold above 25,044 may attract selling pressure and drag prices back into the 24,904 – 24,923 consolidation zone.
   

👉 Educational Note: Gap-ups often trap late buyers. Always look for follow-through candles above resistance before adding long positions.

⚖️ Scenario 2: Flat Opening (within ±100 points)

1. [] A flat start around 24,850 – 24,950 will keep Nifty in the Opening Resistance zone (24,904 – 24,923).
   [] Sustaining above 24,923 will give buyers an edge, opening the path towards 25,044 → 25,160.
   [] On the flip side, if the index struggles and slips below 24,904, weakness may extend towards 24,801 (Opening Important Support).
   [] Traders should be prepared for range-bound price action until either side decisively breaks.
   

👉 Educational Note: Flat openings offer better clarity as both buyers and sellers test their levels naturally, reducing false breakouts.

📉 Scenario 3: Gap Down Opening (100+ points)

1. [] If Nifty opens below 24,800, it will directly test the Opening Important Support at 24,801.
   [] A breakdown below this level can extend bearishness towards 24,625 (Last Important Support).
   [] If buyers defend 24,801 – 24,625, a relief rally back to 24,904 is possible through short-covering.
   [] But sustained trading below 24,625 may accelerate selling pressure, weakening market sentiment further.
   

👉 Educational Note: Gap-downs are usually panic-driven. Safer trades emerge after waiting for confirmation at key supports instead of chasing the first move.

🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders

• [] Wait for the first 15–30 minutes before entering trades to avoid being trapped by initial volatility.
  [] Use hourly candle close to validate stop losses instead of reacting to intraday spikes.
  [] Avoid naked call/put buying near resistance/support; instead, use spreads (Bull Call / Bear Put).
  [] Keep a minimum 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio for every trade.
  [] Book partial profits on the way instead of holding full lots till the final target.
  [] Always position size carefully—never risk more than 2% of capital in a single trade.
  

📌 Summary & Conclusion

• [] Bullish View: Above 25,044, momentum may extend to 25,160.
  [] Range-Bound Zone: Between 24,904 – 24,923, expect consolidation until breakout.
  
• Bearish View: Below 24,801, weakness may drag Nifty towards 24,625.
  

📊 Nifty is trading around a decisive resistance zone. The first 30 minutes will be crucial to determine whether bulls can push above 25,044 or bears take charge below 24,801. Patience and disciplined risk management are key.

⚠️ Disclaimer: This trading plan is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please do your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before trading.