In our previous post we had highlighted the importance of 8986-9027 level. That level is still being respected. Nifty has closed in the said range at 8993.
Let’s see what data has to say for the expiry week 16th April 2020.
FIIs sold 8.46K contracts worth 474.69 Cr.
FIIs booked profits and squared off 7489 Long Contracts and they added just 979 Short contracts.
Retail Clients added 5507 Long contracts and exited 11312 contracts from Short position.
Pro traders squared off 2226 Long contracts and added 4181 Short contracts.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Option Data Analysis
On the Call option front FIIs bought 7318 Long Contracts and added 6010 Call Short Position.
Retail traders were again active in Call Options adding 1.06 Lakhs Long contracts and adding 89.3K Short contracts.
Pro traders bought 21.6K Call Long and also created fresh 40.50K Short Contracts.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
On the Put Option front, FIIs bought 8565 Put Long contracts and also added 5466 Put Short contracts.
Retail traders added 93.7K Put Long and created 85.2K Put Short contracts.
Pro traders have bought 23.9K Put Contracts and added 35.5K Put Short Contracts.
Prima facie, it looks like Retail traders are expecting a big move, although, are not sure in which direction. FIIs are still playing it light and Pro traders are playing for a range bound movement.
The broader range is 8500-9500. However, considering Tuesday is a holiday and looking at the activity there is a strong probability of expiry between 8788 on the lower side & 9185-9233 levels on the upper side.
So that's our view.
Aggressive traders may consider the following strategy
Sell Nifty 8800 Put option 16 April expiry
Price range: 100-120
& simultaneously
Sell Nifty 9200 Put option 16 April
Price range : 90-100
The strategy will have maximum profit potential of Rs 14250 – Rs 16500/-
In built loss protection for a fall up to 8610-8580 or for a rise up to 9390-9420 in Nifty levels on 16th April 2020.
Tomorrow being a holiday Will update further in this thread on Wednesday morning.
Keep watching... Do hit the Like button and comment below
Take care & safe trading…!!!