As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Price Action Analysis:
- Current Price: ₹3,695.40
- 52-Week Range: ₹738.60 - ₹3,745.00
- Recent Performance: +64% gain in a Month with strong momentum
- Price structure shows consistently higher highs and higher lows pattern
- Stock has demonstrated remarkable resilience with a 380% rally from its 52-week low
Volume Spread Analysis:
- Volume surge visible during recent breakout phases
- High volume of 24.25M shares traded, indicating institutional participation
- Volume expansion coinciding with price breakouts confirms genuine buying interest
- Strong volume accumulation during consolidation phases suggests smart money positioning
Chart Patterns Identified:
- Symmetrical Triangle Breakout: Successfully broken above the triangle pattern
- Ascending Triangle: Multiple resistance tests followed by decisive breakout
- Flag and Pennant Patterns: Short-term consolidation after sharp moves
Key Technical Levels:
Support Levels:
- Immediate Support: ₹3,200 (recent consolidation zone)
- Strong Support: ₹2,800 (previous resistance turned support)
- Major Support: ₹2,400 (trendline support and psychological level)
- Critical Support: ₹2,000 (long-term ascending trendline)
Resistance Levels:
- Immediate Resistance: ₹3,745 (52-week high)
- Next Resistance: ₹4,000 (psychological round number)
- Extended Resistance: ₹4,400 (measured move projection)
- Long-term Resistance: ₹5,000
Base Formation:
- Primary Base: ₹1,200-₹1,600 range (established during deep consolidation)
- Secondary Base: ₹2,400-₹2,800 range (recent re-accumulation zone)
- The stock has clearly established a strong foundation above the ₹2,400 levels
Technical Indicators Assessment:
Momentum Indicators:
- RSI is in overbought territory but showing positive divergence
- MACD showing bullish crossover with expanding histogram
- Stochastic indicates strong upward momentum
- ADX suggesting strong trending behaviour
Moving Averages:
- Price trading well above all major moving averages
- 20 EMA, 50 EMA, and 200 EMA in perfect bullish alignment
- Strong uptrend confirmed by ascending moving averages
- No signs of trend reversal in the near term
Sectoral and Fundamental Backdrop:
AI Infrastructure Sector Outlook:
- India's IndiaAI Mission with ₹10,372 crore budget creating massive opportunities
- Government's push for sovereign AI infrastructure benefiting domestic players
- Global demand for AI computing infrastructure is experiencing exponential growth
- Limited domestic competition in the high-end computing solutions space
Company-Specific Fundamentals:
- Netweb's supercomputers have appeared 15 times across three entries in the global Top 500 supercomputers ranking
- The company is almost debt-free with a market cap of ₹20,936 crore
- Recent order wins worth ₹1,734 crore for IndiaAI Mission and ₹450 crore additional order
- Order pipeline of ₹4,142.1 crore as of June 2025, excluding new mandates
Key Growth Catalysts:
- Delivery of servers built on NVIDIA's Blackwell Architecture for India's Sovereign AI System
- Expanding presence in high-performance computing and AI systems
- Strong relationships with global technology partners
- Beneficiary of the government's Digital India and AI initiatives
Financial Performance Metrics:
- Strong revenue visibility from a large order book
- Improving profit margins due to premium product offerings
- Healthy cash flows supporting future expansion
- Zero debt structure providing financial flexibility
Strategic Outlook:
- Expect continued momentum driven by the AI infrastructure theme
- News-driven volatility possible around order execution updates
- Sector rotation into a technology infrastructure play is expected
- Quarterly results will be the key catalyst for sustained momentum
- India's AI infrastructure buildout is a multi-year opportunity
- The company is well-positioned to capture significant market share
Risk Factors to Monitor:
Technical Risks:
- Overbought conditions may lead to profit-taking
- High volatility expected given the stock's momentum
- Any break below ₹3,000 would signal trend weakness
Fundamental Risks:
- Execution risk on large government orders
- Competition from global players in AI infrastructure
- Technology disruption risks in a rapidly evolving sector
- Dependence on government spending cycles
Market Risks:
- Overall market correction could impact high-beta stocks
- Sector rotation away from technology themes
- Global supply chain disruptions affecting component availability
My 2 Cents:
Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week
Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
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As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
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