Oil Driller May Face Downside Risk

Marathon Oil has staggered along with other energy stocks in recent months, and now traders may see risk of a selloff.

The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since mid-November while prices bounced at or near $26. A potentially bearish descending-triangle pattern has been the result.

Second, consider how that triangle began soon after MRO failed to break $33. That may represent a double-top combined with the peak from late May.

Next, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) has been falling toward the 200-day SMA. Is a “death cross” around the corner?

Speaking of moving averages, this chart includes our 2 MA Ratio custom script. It shows the default settings of the 8- and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs). Notice how the faster EMA has been under the slower EMA for most of the last three months.

Finally, MRO has traded in a tight range and just completed a bearish inside week. That may allow volatility to increase if a directional move begins.

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