GBP/USD: flat dynamics in the short term

Current trend

The pound shows a weak upward dynamics of trading during the morning session, developing the "bullish" momentum formed the day before, when GBP/USD retreated from the local lows of March 30. Demand for the British currency remains quite low, and in general, the instrument shows rather flat dynamics in the short term, due to growing risks of increased pressure against the Russian economy due to the situation in Ukraine.

Western countries are discussing the introduction of another package of sanctions against the Russian economy, referring to the crimes of the Russian military in the Ukrainian city of Bucha. New restrictions could include a ban on Russian ships using EU ports, an embargo on coal, oil or gas supplies, and personal sanctions.

The UK announced a complete embargo on Russian oil imports back in March, as the dependence of the British economy on energy from the Russian Federation is significantly lower than that of European countries. However, prices for "black gold", gasoline and gas are growing here too, threatening the pace of national economic recovery. Earlier, the Governor of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey, warned that the country could face the most powerful crisis since 1970, and inflation by the end of 2022 could reach 9%.

It should also be noted that the British Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak said that he had instructed the Royal Mint to develop and issue its own non-fungible token (NFT) by this summer. Thus, the British authorities are trying to take a leading position in the crypto space and take the regulation of digital assets in the country to a new level. In particular, some tokens will be included in the national payment system to legalize work with them, traders will be able to receive advice when trading, and groups will be created to interact with crypto assets, chaired by ministers and members of regulatory bodies in the UK and industry.

Support and resistance

In the D1 chart, Bollinger Bands are reversing horizontally. The price range is almost constant, remaining rather spacious for the current level of activity in the market. MACD is growing preserving a weak buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic turned into a horizontal plane in the center of its area, indicating an approximate balance of power in the short and ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1.3150, 1.3200, 1.3250, 1.3300.

Support levels: 1.3100, 1.3050, 1.3000, 1.2960.
Fundamental Analysis

Wyłączenie odpowiedzialności