GBPUSD Roadmap March 2017

Od Neon

Zaktualizowano

Prepare for landing..and relaunch

Uwaga

And we start with budget statement today..String of events over next few weeks

Uwaga

Interesting that this could be essentially a double bottom/marginal new low 6 months apart from Oct 2016

Uwaga

OK, so we have NFP tomorrow, FED meeting on 15 and G20 meeting the weekend of 18. So critical period this March 10-20 for FX

Uwaga

Good so far, seems selling is abating. Next week ultracritical

Uwaga

Large build in net short spec position

Uwaga

OK, so we getting there. It could be sell the rumour, buy the fact event once the process Article 50 has been filed and the process started. Monitor carefully

Uwaga

It does seem Article 50 will be filed last week of March, tomorrow is FED, Thursday could be US proposed budget, and this weekend G20. So not much left for final climax which in any way should be limited

Uwaga

Based on Big Picture ED, GBP should be able to retrace 50% of the decline from 2014 which is around 1.45 by later this year/early next year

Uwaga

Dovish FED , BOE in mins

Uwaga

OK, one marginal move to hawkishness via one member. Train is in motion...

Uwaga

All time high net speculative short position..another piece in the puzzle

Uwaga

Article 50 to be triggered on March 29 with USD potentially making a final up to (lower high or marginal new high) into 2Q17. So clearly, decision time coming

Uwaga

Another solid data point supporting the basing process today. Inflation was hot, so soon I exoect a new theme to emerge called MPGA (Make Pound Great Again).

Uwaga

Sell the rumour, buy the fact. Article 50 trigger week

Uwaga

Pound has bottomed. One more higher low before the breakout IMHO. Medium term target range 1.40/1.45.

Uwaga

GBP pushing strongly

Uwaga

Snap elections MPGA, first time above 200 dma since last June

Neon

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