Strategy for this week:
Sunday: We will have China's GDP data, which is expected to increase from 4.5% to 8.1%. If the result is below 4.5%, it could present a buying opportunity in USDCNH.
Monday: There will be a mini statement from the Reserve Bank of Australia, which could provide an opportunity to buy the Australian dollar if there are indications of further rate hikes. It could also be an opportunity to sell if there are mentions of future rate cuts.
Tuesday: We will see Canada's inflation data. I will look for a positive deviation to buy Canadian dollars or a negative deviation to sell. There will also be New Zealand's inflation data, expected to decrease from 6.7% to 5.9%. This could be an opportunity to buy the New Zealand dollar if the result is 6.7% or higher, and to sell if it is 5.7% or lower.
Wednesday: It will be the inflation data for the UK and Europe. A positive deviation could signal a buying opportunity for their respective currencies, while a negative deviation could signal a selling opportunity. Later in the day, there will be Australian employment data. If both the employment change and the unemployment rate show a positive deviation, it could present a buying opportunity for the Australian dollar, or a selling opportunity if the deviations are negative.
Thursday: The Initial Jobless Claims data for the United States is expected to increase from 237k to 241k. If it exceeds 300k, it could be a signal to buy USD, or a signal to sell if it falls below 235k. In the afternoon, there will be Japan's inflation data, expected to increase from 3.2% to 3.3%. However, if it exceeds 3.4%, it could be a signal to buy the yen, and if it falls below 3.2%, it could be a signal to sell.
Monday: There will be a mini statement from the Reserve Bank of Australia, which could provide an opportunity to buy the Australian dollar if there are indications of further rate hikes. It could also be an opportunity to sell if there are mentions of future rate cuts.
Tuesday: We will see Canada's inflation data. I will look for a positive deviation to buy Canadian dollars or a negative deviation to sell. There will also be New Zealand's inflation data, expected to decrease from 6.7% to 5.9%. This could be an opportunity to buy the New Zealand dollar if the result is 6.7% or higher, and to sell if it is 5.7% or lower.
Wednesday: It will be the inflation data for the UK and Europe. A positive deviation could signal a buying opportunity for their respective currencies, while a negative deviation could signal a selling opportunity. Later in the day, there will be Australian employment data. If both the employment change and the unemployment rate show a positive deviation, it could present a buying opportunity for the Australian dollar, or a selling opportunity if the deviations are negative.
Thursday: The Initial Jobless Claims data for the United States is expected to increase from 237k to 241k. If it exceeds 300k, it could be a signal to buy USD, or a signal to sell if it falls below 235k. In the afternoon, there will be Japan's inflation data, expected to increase from 3.2% to 3.3%. However, if it exceeds 3.4%, it could be a signal to buy the yen, and if it falls below 3.2%, it could be a signal to sell.
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