$1.1160-80 to be followed closely on EURUSD

Risk aversion has been supporting the euro this week (carry trade affected) in a similar manner to what we saw in August 2015, albeit with less volatility so far. EURUSD has risen so much this week, the market seems poised to test the bearish trendline under which we witnessed a sharp selloff in October. This trendline, as well as the 200-DMA are found at $1.1160/80. It'll be interesting to see what happens at this level. If the market keeps rising without any brief pause before hitting this resistance, I would expect there to be some euro weakness following that test. Fundamentals (Fed!) will definitely determine whether or not this trendline is eventually breached. I will update as technicals/fundamentals develop more.