- The market is trading below a bearish trendline since beginning of May 2024 ; the mid-term trend is bearish for EURGBP.
- Since the impact over 0.8397, the market has registered an increased buying pressure, preventing prices from dipping further. This slow trading mind shift has led the market into what looks like a potential inverted Head & Shoulders bullish reversal pattern.
Moving averages are reversing to the upside, even if a bullish cross remains yet to be seen. The MACD indicator has already shown a bullish break-out of its own bearish trendline.
- This is seen as a potential bullish reversal situation. Indeed, the rounding bottom/H&S usually displays a fading interest from short sellers, leading to the end of a bearish trend. In addition, this scenario is also supported by the fact more and more traders now await for dovish moves to come from the BoE, especially after they have been disappointed following the last monetary decision.
BoE Governor recently said cutting rates prior to the coming general elections in the UK wasn't a right timing, which opens the doors to a start of the next monetary easing cycle for the coming monetary meetings. This scenario would significantly decrease appetite for the Pound Sterling, leading EURGP to a new mid to long-term bullish trend.
Pierre Veyret, Technical Analyst at ActivTrades.
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