BusterLundh

Cocoa Long Long Term

Long
NYMEX:CJ1!   Kakao Futures
Cocoa has hit levels which has previously proven to be support levels in 2011/12 and again in 2013. I believe that this may be the turning point for the cocoa price, after a rough 2016 with a 32% decline. If the support level is broken, though, it's probably wiser to open a short position.

What's interesting is that the short interest in cocoa is very high, and many traders and institutions hold a short position in cocoa, which could open up for a so called "short squeeze".
The short interest is something I would monitor carefully, because if we see a decline in short positions, this could indicate that more people believe in a rise in cocoa prices, and have either just covered their short, or switched sides of the trade.
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