BTC is pausing mid-trend after a clean reclaim of ≈118 k. Structure remains impulsive (HH–HL). We map the path, mark the sweep zones, and let price confirm.
1W
• Near 121.4 k after reclaim of ≈118 k (old supply → support).
• Weekly close > 122 k opens 128–130 k liquidity shelf.
• Lose 118 k → 112–113 k retest window.
2D
• Displacement ≈114 k → 124 k, now mid-range consolidation.
• Breakout base 117.8–118.5 k respected.
• Acceptance > 123 k resumes markup; volume taper = cool-off, not distribution.
12H
• Micro pullback after 125 k sweep.
• 120–118 k OB = primary defense.
• Close < 118 k → corrective leg toward 114–115 k.
• POC ≈ 120.7 k (Binance perp) acts as a magnet.
📈 Orderflow / Derivatives (Binance + Bybit snapshot)
• POC: ≈ 120.7 k (Binance Perp)
• OI: ≈ $38 B, stable — no forced unwind
• Funding: +0.01–0.02 % (neutral / slightly positive)
• CVD: flat — spot buyers absorbing perp selling
• Liquidations: cluster below 118 k (≈ $220 M)
• 3-mo basis: 8 % → 7 % drift — cool-off, not risk-off
⸻
⚔️ Sweep Zones / Execution Boxes
🔶 Resistance Sweep Zone — 123.8 k → 125.4 k
Why: equal-highs on 12H + September wick cluster; last pockets of short liquidity.
Inside-box note:
• 12H close > 125.5 k with OI > $38 B and funding > 0.03 % → expansion to 128–130 k.
• Rejection + OI drop → short-term top → reversion to 120 k POC.
Execution bias:
• Swept + rejected → look for LTF BOS under 124 k → short to 120 k.
• Accepted → continuation leg to 128–130 k.
🟩 Support Sweep Zone — 118.2 k → 119.8 k
Why: last breakout base + weekly demand flip + 12H OB body alignment.
Inside-box note:
• 12H close < 118 k with rising OI and funding neutral / negative → shorts push → 114–115 k rebuild.
• Hold + delta absorption → reload → 123–125 k retest.
Execution bias:
• Delta absorption or reclaim of 120 k = safer long to 124–125 k.
• Break < 118 k → bearish expansion → 114–115 k liquidity shelf.
⚫ Optional Deep Sweep Zone — 113.5 k → 115.2 k
Why: prior liquidity shelf + weekly imbalance fill.
Inside-box note: Final demand defense; failure here risks 111–112 k HTF retest.
⸻
🔭 Summary Logic
• 125 k sweep → possible top unless clean 12H close above.
• 118 k sweep → reload if defended with absorption.
• 114–115 k = last liquidity shelf before weekly structure cracks.
Signals are posted only when triggers actually fire to keep execution reliable and precise.
1W
• Near 121.4 k after reclaim of ≈118 k (old supply → support).
• Weekly close > 122 k opens 128–130 k liquidity shelf.
• Lose 118 k → 112–113 k retest window.
2D
• Displacement ≈114 k → 124 k, now mid-range consolidation.
• Breakout base 117.8–118.5 k respected.
• Acceptance > 123 k resumes markup; volume taper = cool-off, not distribution.
12H
• Micro pullback after 125 k sweep.
• 120–118 k OB = primary defense.
• Close < 118 k → corrective leg toward 114–115 k.
• POC ≈ 120.7 k (Binance perp) acts as a magnet.
📈 Orderflow / Derivatives (Binance + Bybit snapshot)
• POC: ≈ 120.7 k (Binance Perp)
• OI: ≈ $38 B, stable — no forced unwind
• Funding: +0.01–0.02 % (neutral / slightly positive)
• CVD: flat — spot buyers absorbing perp selling
• Liquidations: cluster below 118 k (≈ $220 M)
• 3-mo basis: 8 % → 7 % drift — cool-off, not risk-off
⸻
⚔️ Sweep Zones / Execution Boxes
🔶 Resistance Sweep Zone — 123.8 k → 125.4 k
Why: equal-highs on 12H + September wick cluster; last pockets of short liquidity.
Inside-box note:
• 12H close > 125.5 k with OI > $38 B and funding > 0.03 % → expansion to 128–130 k.
• Rejection + OI drop → short-term top → reversion to 120 k POC.
Execution bias:
• Swept + rejected → look for LTF BOS under 124 k → short to 120 k.
• Accepted → continuation leg to 128–130 k.
🟩 Support Sweep Zone — 118.2 k → 119.8 k
Why: last breakout base + weekly demand flip + 12H OB body alignment.
Inside-box note:
• 12H close < 118 k with rising OI and funding neutral / negative → shorts push → 114–115 k rebuild.
• Hold + delta absorption → reload → 123–125 k retest.
Execution bias:
• Delta absorption or reclaim of 120 k = safer long to 124–125 k.
• Break < 118 k → bearish expansion → 114–115 k liquidity shelf.
⚫ Optional Deep Sweep Zone — 113.5 k → 115.2 k
Why: prior liquidity shelf + weekly imbalance fill.
Inside-box note: Final demand defense; failure here risks 111–112 k HTF retest.
⸻
🔭 Summary Logic
• 125 k sweep → possible top unless clean 12H close above.
• 118 k sweep → reload if defended with absorption.
• 114–115 k = last liquidity shelf before weekly structure cracks.
Signals are posted only when triggers actually fire to keep execution reliable and precise.
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Informacje i publikacje przygotowane przez TradingView lub jego użytkowników, prezentowane na tej stronie, nie stanowią rekomendacji ani porad handlowych, inwestycyjnych i finansowych i nie powinny być w ten sposób traktowane ani wykorzystywane. Więcej informacji na ten temat znajdziesz w naszym Regulaminie.