Nifty Bank Index
Short

Banknifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 30th September

25
Detailed Market Structure Breakdown

4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend)

Structure: The Bank Nifty is in an accelerated corrective phase, trading below a clear descending channel. The price broke major support but found powerful buying interest at the 54,250 - 54,350 zone. This area is a key Bullish Order Block (OB) and a strong horizontal support.

Key Levels:

Major Supply (Resistance): 54,750 - 54,850. This area is now the immediate and most critical resistance, aligning with the FVG (Fair Value Gap) and a prior broken support.

Major Demand (Support): 54,250 - 54,350. This is the key "line in the sand." A sustained break below 54,250 would signal a deeper correction toward 53,500.

Outlook: The trend is strongly bearish, but the fierce defense of 54,250 on Monday suggests a temporary bottom may be in place.

1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View)

Structure: The 1H chart is bearish, confined to a descending channel. The market made a sharp move down, followed by a strong recovery, printing a large wick that penetrated the 54,250 demand zone. The strong rejection of lower prices indicates heavy buying.

Key Levels:

Immediate Resistance: The upper boundary of the descending channel, currently near 54,700.

Immediate Support: 54,250.

15-Minute Chart (Intraday View)

Structure: The 15M chart shows clear consolidation, forming a small bullish flag or pennant after the sharp recovery. The price is trading above the intraday FVG, which suggests a mild bullish bias for the short-term breakout.

Key Levels:

Intraday Supply: 54,750. This is the high of the recent consolidation and aligns with the major resistance.

Intraday Demand: 54,350. The immediate support level that must be defended.

Outlook: Neutral-to-Bullish for the session open, focused on a break of the tight consolidation.

Trade Plan (Tuesday, 30th September)

Market Outlook: The Bank Nifty is at a major support level. The strategy should be reactive, focusing on a breakout from the tight consolidation, with a strong emphasis on the 54,750 resistance.

Bullish Scenario (Bounce/Reversal Plan)

Justification: The strong defense of the 54,250 macro support and the tight consolidation pattern suggest buyers are ready for a counter-trend move.

Entry: Long entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close above 54,750 (breaking the resistance/FVG zone).

Stop Loss (SL): Below 54,500.

Targets:

T1: 55,000 (Psychological resistance).

T2: 55,250 (Major Order Block/Supply).

Bearish Scenario (Continuation Plan)

Justification: The continuation of the strong bearish trend, with the breakdown of the major support.

Entry: Short entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 54,250.

Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 54,450.

Targets:

T1: 54,000 (Psychological support).

T2: 53,500 - 53,750 (Next major demand zone).

Key Levels for Observation:

Immediate Decision Point: The 54,350 - 54,750 zone.

Bearish Confirmation: A break and sustained move below 54,250.

Bullish Confirmation: A recapture of the 54,750 level.

Line in the Sand: 54,250. The overall bullish structure remains intact only if this level holds.

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