AMG ready to go long

AMG is on a uptrend. As we can see the Connors rsi iwas below 30 yesterday, today it is breaking up. with a long inferior shadow. This setup had 70% of Win probabiltiy in the last 3 years in this stock. with a 5% target profit and 5% stop loss target. The average duration of the trades was 12 days.
I am starting a bull put spread with 195 / 210.