1. Asset: AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) on NYSE 2. Timeframe: 1-hour chart 3. Date Range: August 2023 to September 2024 (future projection)
Price Action and Trend Analysis: The chart shows a bullish trend from August 2023 to June 2024, with the price rising from around $150 to a peak of about $170. There are several notable features:
1. Strong upward momentum from November 2023 to January 2024. 2. Consolidation phase from January to May 2024. 3. Recent breakout to new highs in June 2024.
Support and Resistance Levels: - Major support: $155.12 - Minor support: $163.60 - Current resistance/sell point: $170.83 - Previous resistance turned support: $165.21
Volume Analysis: Without clear volume bars, it's challenging to make a definitive volume-based analysis. However, the presence of multiple long and short positions indicated on the chart suggests active trading periods.
Technical Indicators: RSI-VWAP Indicator (17, 19, 80) is visible at the bottom of the chart, currently reading 57.20. This indicates: 1. The asset is not overbought or oversold (neutral territory). 2. There's still potential for upward movement before reaching overbought conditions.
Trading Strategy and Projections: The chart includes a projected trading strategy with the following key points:
1. Current price: $170.83 2. Sell Point identified at the current price level 3. Projected price movement: A decline followed by a period of consolidation 4. Take Profits level: Around $155.12
Risk and Reward Scenario: - Potential Reward: If the projected decline occurs, there's a potential for a 9.2% return from the current price to the Take Profits level. - Risk: The asset is at all-time highs, which could lead to continued bullish momentum, invalidating the short-term bearish projection.
Trading Opportunities: 1. Short-term Short Position: - Entry: Current price ($170.83) - Stop Loss: Above recent high (e.g., $172.00) - Take Profit: $155.12 - Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3
2. Long-term Long Position: - Entry: At support level ($163.60 or $155.12) - Stop Loss: Below the entered support level - Take Profit: New all-time highs above $171.00
Anomalies and Divergences: The rapid price increase from May to June 2024 without a clear consolidation phase might indicate potential overextension of the bullish trend.
Conclusion: ABBV shows a strong overall uptrend but appears to be at a critical juncture. The chart suggests a potential short-term bearish move, followed by consolidation. However, traders should be cautious of the overall bullish trend and the possibility of continued upward movement.
Risk Management: Always use proper position sizing and stop-loss orders. The volatile nature of this asset, as evidenced by large price swings, necessitates strict risk management.
Note: This analysis is based solely on the technical aspects visible in the provided chart. Fundamental analysis and broader market conditions should also be considered before making any trading decisions.
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Informacje i publikacje przygotowane przez TradingView lub jego użytkowników, prezentowane na tej stronie, nie stanowią rekomendacji ani porad handlowych, inwestycyjnych i finansowych i nie powinny być w ten sposób traktowane ani wykorzystywane. Więcej informacji na ten temat znajdziesz w naszym Regulaminie.