Strategy: HMA 50 + Supertrend SniperHMA 50 + Supertrend Confluence Strategy (Trend Following with Noise Filtering)
Description:
Introduction and Concept This strategy is designed to solve a common problem in trend-following trading: Lag vs. False Signals. Standard Moving Averages often lag too much, while price action indicators can generate false signals during choppy markets. This script combines the speed of the Hull Moving Average (HMA) with the volatility-based filtering of the Supertrend indicator to create a robust "Confluence System."
The primary goal of this script is not just to overlay two indicators, but to enforce a strict rule where a trade is only taken when Momentum (HMA) and Volatility Direction (Supertrend) are in perfect agreement.
Why this combination? (The Logic Behind the Mashup)
Hull Moving Average (HMA 50): We use the HMA because it significantly reduces lag compared to SMA or EMA by using weighted calculations. It acts as our primary Trend Direction detector. However, HMA can be too sensitive and "whipsaw" during sideways markets.
Supertrend (ATR-based): We use the Supertrend (Factor 3.0, Period 10) as our Volatility Filter. It uses Average True Range (ATR) to determine the significant trend boundary.
How it Works (Methodology) The strategy uses a boolean logic system to filter out low-quality trades:
Bullish Confluence: The HMA must be rising (Slope > 0) AND the Close Price must be above the Supertrend line (Uptrend).
Bearish Confluence: The HMA must be falling (Slope < 0) AND the Close Price must be below the Supertrend line (Downtrend).
The "Choppy Zone" (Noise Filter): This is a unique feature of this script. If the HMA indicates one direction (e.g., Rising) but the Supertrend indicates the opposite (e.g., Downtrend), the market is considered "Choppy" or indecisive. In this state, the script paints the candles or HMA line Gray and exits all positions (optional setting) to preserve capital.
Visual Guide & Signals To make the script easy to interpret for traders who do not read Pine Script, I have implemented specific visual cues:
Green Cross (+): Indicates a LONG entry signal. Both HMA and Supertrend align bullishly.
Red Cross (X): Indicates a SHORT entry signal. Both HMA and Supertrend align bearishly.
Thick Line (HMA): The main line changes color based on the trend.
Green: Bullish Confluence.
Red: Bearish Confluence.
Gray: Divergence/Choppy (No Trade Zone).
Thin Step Line: This is the Supertrend line, serving as your dynamic Trailing Stop Loss.
Strategy Settings
HMA Length: Default is 50 (Mid-term trend).
ATR Factor/Period: Default is 3.0/10 (Standard for trend catching).
Exit on Choppy: A toggle switch allowing users to decide whether to hold through noise or exit immediately when indicators disagree.
Risk Warning This strategy performs best in trending markets (Forex, Crypto, Indices). Like all trend-following systems, it may experience drawdown during prolonged accumulation/distribution phases. Please backtest with your specific asset before using it with real capital.
Volatilityindex
Strategy Myth-Busting #11 - TrendMagic+SqzMom+CDV - [MYN]This is part of a new series we are calling "Strategy Myth-Busting" where we take open public manual trading strategies and automate them. The goal is to not only validate the authenticity of the claims but to provide an automated version for traders who wish to trade autonomously.
Our 11th one is an automated version of the "Magic Trading Strategy : Most Profitable Indicator : 1 Minute Scalping Strategy Crypto" strategy from "Fx MENTOR US" who doesn't make any official claims but given the indicators he was using, it looked like on the surface that this might actually work. The strategy author uses this on the 1 minute and 3 minute timeframes on mostly FOREX and Heiken Ashi candles but as the title of his strategy indicates is designed for Crypto. So who knows..
To backtest this accurately and get a better picture we resolved the Heiken Ashi bars to standard candlesticks . Even so, I was unable to sustain any consistency in my results on either the 1 or 3 min time frames and both FOREX and Crypto. 10000% Busted.
This strategy uses a combination of 3 open-source public indicators:
Trend Magic by KivancOzbilgic
Squeeze Momentum by LazyBear
Cumulative Delta Volume by LonesomeTheBlue
Trend Magic consists of two main indicators to validate momentum and volatility. It uses an ATR like a trailing Stop to determine the overarching momentum and CCI as a means to validate volatility. Together these are used as the primary indicator in this strategy. When the CCI is above 0 this is confirmation of a volatility event is occurring with affirmation based upon current momentum (ATR).
The CCI volatility indicator gets confirmation by the the Cumulative Delta Volume indicator which calculates the difference between buying and selling pressure. Volume Delta is calculated by taking the difference of the volume that traded at the offer price and the volume that traded at the bid price. The more volume that is traded at the bid price, the more likely there is momentum in the market.
And lastly the Squeeze Momentum indicator which uses a combination of Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels and Momentum are used to again confirm momentum and volatility. During periods of low volatility, Bollinger bands narrow and trade inside Keltner channels. They can only contract so much before it can’t contain the energy it’s been building. When the Bollinger bands come back out, it explodes higher. When we see the histogram bar exploding into green above 0 that is a clear confirmation of increased momentum and volatile. The opposite (red) below 0 is true when there are low periods. This indicator is used as a means to really determine when there is premium selling plays going on leading to big directional movements again confirming the positive or negative momentum and volatility direction.
If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
Trading Rules
1 - 3 min candles
FOREX or Crypto
Stop loss at swing high/low | 1.5 risk/ratio
Long Condition
Trend Magic line is Blue ( CCI is above 0) and above the current close on the bar
Squeeze Momentum's histogram bar is green/lime
Cumulative Delta Volume line is green
Short Condition
Trend Magic line is Red ( CCI is below 0) and below the current close on the bar
Squeeze Momentum's histogram bar is red/maroon
Cumulative Delta Volume line is peach
