Probability: Bull/Bear Dominance | Ratio | Bar CountIntro
What's the probability of the next bar being red? How about green? Well, there are many ways to quantify the probability but I am presenting just one stupidly simple (but generally accurate) way to measure it.
Strangely... no one has done this before that I can find. I try to check if someone else has done it first (Pro Tip: Plz do this. We honestly don't need the 5 trillionth "MTF MAs" script.)
Indicator
Its a basic counting script, but the nice thing about this script is you choose the time range. It starts counting from a specified point of your choosing. It counts up the bull bars and bear bars separately.
Bull Bar = Close > Open
Bear Bar = Open > Close
You can look at them in sum or as a ratio of Green Bars : Red Bars
I know, it's almost too simple. But, here's some interesting food for thought from a layman to fellow laymen.
Analysis/Edge
Between the time of candle open and candle close, the price can do one of three things, close higher, close lower, or close equal to.
'Equal to' is rare on higher timeframes in liquid markets and it provides no useful information. Thus, we'll nix it for purposes of this conversation.
So boil it down. The next candle is going to be a red candle or a green candle.
It is popular to refer to the general probability of most candles as 50/50, with trader's mission in life being to seek an edge that tilts the probabilities slightly in their favor.
The truth is the odds are probably never actually 50/50, but knowing the precisely correct probability is unknowable, just like the accuracy of a weather forecast is inherently unknowable. What we're trying to do as traders is develop systems that give us predictive probabilistic outcomes that correspond with future realities based on various ways of measuring the market (most often heavily dependent on the past).
The reality is that the market can be measured in many, many different ways. The important thing is that you measure it in a way that is accurate, relevant, and universally applicable.
So look at this indicator here:
You start from a point in time on a chosen timeframe and you put red bars in the red column, green in the green column, and count them all up.
Then you make a ratio, in this case, Green : Red.
What the ratio shows you is the percentage of green bars compared to red bars . At the time of this screenshot, the 4h on the SPX starting from the 2020 bottom is showing a ratio of 1.2.
This means there have been 20% more green bars than there have been red bars.
Now there are 1,000 directions you can take this discussion. What is the overall volatility picture, the size of the red bars vs the green bars, what happens if you miss out on the 5 biggest green bars... so many more variables that you would need to take into account to develop a true edge from this idea. But, the bottom line fact (which is what I like about this) is that we can take this data and say with a certain level of confidence that on the SPX you have a 20% better shot at making money (otherwise stated there's a 60/40 chance) if you open a LONG trade at the beginning of a 4h candle than if you open a short.
That's useful information. One could argue that it's not a complete strategy in and of itself (although I bet it could be with a couple of additional parameters). But I can tell you, based on the 4h candles in the 2020 rally if you open a short, the deck is stacked against you from this perspective. And we can actually somewhat demonstrate this to be true for our dataset because we can look at the price history and see who likely made more money. The SPX is up 1000pts off the bottom. So, thus far, for this dataset, it rings true; Bulls have been doing way better in the latter part of 2020 than the bears.
Conclusion
Predictive systems with a small number of variables tend to be more robust than a system with many variables when applied to a complex system. I may keep updating this script if people like it and determine aspects like population vs sample size, confidence intervals, volatility, and exclusion of outliers. For now, this is just an opening foray into the basic idea of how we can establish an edge in the markets. It really can be this simple.
Thanks for Reading.
Wyszukaj w skryptach "富时中国50期指"
WR% VARIATIONThis indicator plot the change of the William R%.
We have 3 hlines, 50, 0, -50
You can use this as a confirmation indicator for different entries:
ENTRIES
When change is higher than 50 we have a strong LONG signal
When change is lower than -50 we have a strong SHORT signal
CONTINUATION TRADES
When we are in a Bull Market, candle is red and change crossover the 0 line, we have a LONG continuation trade
When we are in a Bear Market, candle is green and change crossunder the 0 line, we have a SHORT continuation trade
EXITS
When we are in a Bull Market, candle is green and change crossunder the 0 line, we have an Exit, or a Reversal
When we are in a Bear Market, candle is read and change crossover the 0 line, we have an Exit, or a Reversal
RISK-OFF.RISK.ON-ppxdf.v3======================================= RISK-OFF & RISK ON INDEX ================================================
1. Stock Price Momentum: Measuring the Standard & Poor's 500 Index ( S&P 500 ) versus its 125-day moving average (MA)
2. Stock Price Strength: Calculating the number of stocks hitting 52-week highs versus those hitting 52-week lows on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)
3. Stock Price Breadth: Analyzing trading volumes in rising stocks against declining stocks
4. Put and Call Options: How much do put options lag behind call options, signifying greed, or surpass them, indicating fear
5. Junk Bond Demand: Gauging appetite for higher risk strategies by measuring the spread between yields on investment-grade bonds and junk bonds
6. Market Volatility: CNN measures the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index ( VIX ), concentrating on a 50-day MA
7. Safe Haven Demand: The difference in returns for stocks versus treasuries
Each of these seven indicators is measured on a scale from 0 to 100, with the index being computed by taking an equal-weighted average of each of them.
A reading of 50 is deemed NEUTRAL.
Above 50 signals the market with RISK-ON. (GREED)
Below 50, Signals the market with RISK-OFF (FEAR)
8
Ultimate Moving Average Package (17 MA's)Included is the:
VWAP
Current time frame 10 EMA
Current time frame 20 EMA
Current time frame 50 EMA
Current time frame 10 SMA
Current time frame 20 SMA
Current time frame 50 SMA
Daily 10 EMA
Daily 20 EMA
Daily 50 EMA
Daily 50 SMA
Daily 100 SMA
Daily 200 SMA
Weekly 100 SMA
Weekly 200 SMA
Monthly 100 SMA
Monthly 200 SMA
All Daily/Weekly/Monthly MA's can be seen on intraday charts. Current time frame MA's change depending on your time frame. Obviously you dont need all 17 on your chart but you can pick the ones you like and disable the rest.
OVL_Kikoocycle Beta_Pine3This script use :
- A custom Chande Kroll Stop for generate the channel
- Some custom Parabolic S.A.R for generate cycles
This script can be separated into 3 categories:
- Channel Kroll generator : one layer for the actual interval and a layer for a Large Timeframe .(with ratio)
- "Range" generator : one layer for actual Interval and a layer for a Large Timeframe.(with automique ratio)
-Targets generator : one layer for actual interval with different trend.
"Channel Kroll" :
- I "hijack" the Chande Kroll Stop formula with custom parameters for generate this channel. Overall, it works like other types of channels like BB, etc... A midline and two borders. The thickness of the borders are relatively important here. A thick border shows some resistance of the area. And so the probability of seeing the market return to its first contact is stronger. While a very thin and vertical border would rather play the role of a breach, a bit like the idea of gaps. Often the market seems to want to go after several cycles.
You can activate its Large TimeFrame version, its midline is strong and fine borders helps to judge the risk.
SARget + "SAR Limited" :
- (S.A.R + targets) The philosophy of this function is simple... When a small cycle is broken, it creates a mark on a higher cycle. So on until the SAR called "SAR Limited". For simplicity, imagine a fractal image but inverted ... Break the small figure, it will mark the larger figure at this time but to get there you still have to make the way to the small figure.
Targets are : cross ("+") for fast targets(hidden by default because, theire work only on lower interval), squares (for medium trend), Xcross(for large trend) and red cross(they try to find a large contexte). When a target proc, it is for later (market need some cycles for going to, but it is relative to your interval). This gives you speculative goals.
Why 2 targets for a same type and a triangle with a 90deg angle : This give a potential area for management.The triangle help to visualize the SAR and to juge the market reaction. You need to adapte your trade with that...
Targets may be slightly too far because I am a bad coder... Currently the targets appear at the moment of rupture but it would be necessary to wait for the end of the breaking movement. Which can bring a positional error if the break is violent.
RnG and LTF RnG :
- Attempt to generate a Fibo range for each cycle and see interressing areas to enter or exit. This is played with the same philosophy as the Fibo extensions and retracement.
When a new RnG is generated, do not rush. It appears showing 50/50 for both sides. When a new RnG is generated, do not rush. It appears showing 50/50 for both sides. As long as the market is out of the middle zone (the 3 lines) keep in mind the past RnG.
When the market is out of range, you can use the FibRetracement tool for have extensions. One point at each end, as on the presentation graph. (Values 1.14, 1.272, 1.414, 1.618, 1.786, 2, 2.4 and 4 work well.) If too extrem you can active the LTF version.
Never fomo a break, market like to pull a level... Observe and be patient.
It's easier to use than to explain xD
NB : Do not use the LTF as context. For this, it is better to look at a higher interval.
I invite you to look in the style tab of the script and deselect the plots named UNCHECKEME, this will ease your browser.
Amazing Crossover System - 100+ pips per day!I got the main concept for this system on another site. While I have made one important change, I must stress that the heart of this system was created by someone else! We must give credit where credit is due!
Y'all know baby pips. @ForexPhantom published about this system and did both back and forward test around 10 years ago.
I found it on the sit and now I put it to code to see how it performs. I assume 10 points spread for every trade. I use Renesource or AxiTrader to get the low spreads.
There are 2 mods, the single trades and constant trading on the direction.
Main concept
Indicators
5 EMA -- YELLOW
10 EMA -- RED
RSI (10 - Apply to Median Price: HL/2) -- One level at 50.
TIME FRAME
1 Hour Only (very important!)
PAIRS
Virtually any pair seems to work as this is strictly technical analysis.
I recommend sticking to the main currencies and avoiding cross currencies (just his preference).
WHEN TO ENTER A TRADE
Enter LONG when the Yellow EMA crosses the Red EMA from underneath.
RSI must be approaching 50 from the BOTTOM and cross 50 to warrant entry.
Enter SHORT when the Yellow EMA crosses the Red EMA from the top.
RSI must be approaching 50 from the TOP and cross 50 to warrant entry.
I've attached a picture which demonstrates all these conditions.
That's it!
f.bpcdn.co
MFIww MFI/RSI_v2[wozdux]A new version of the indicator Mfi_v2. Added new control parameters.
tt - the averaging period of the volume.
Len - the period for calculating the MPI.
nn-averaging period MFI (blue line). level-critical levels from below and above (black horizontal lines).
Level 0 or 50 - switch between different histogram views with the middle at either level 50 or level 0.
key level-key to remove black critical levels.
key ema (MFI, nn) - key to remove mfi averaging (blue line).
key color-key to remove histogram coloring.
key colomns a-line - key switching modes represent the mfi histrogram or line.
---------------------------
Новая версия индикатора MFIww_v2. Добавлены новые управляющие параметры.
tt- период усреднения объема.
Len - период вычисления MFI.
nn- период усреднения MFI (голубая линия).
level- критические уровни снизу и сверху (черные горизонтальные линии).
Level 0 or 50 - переключение между разными представлениями гистрограммы с серединой либо на уровне 50 , либо на уровне 0.
key level- ключ убрать черные критические уровни.
key ema(mfi,nn) - ключ убрать усреднение mfi (голубая линия).
key color- ключ убрать расцветку гистрограммы.
key colomns-line - ключ переключения режимов представления mfi гистрограммой или линией.
GoTiT|Simple Auto Fib v1.0Simple Auto Fib!
Notes:
1. Always set the trend manually! Don't rely on the auto trend detection.
2. The first parameter Length sets the number of candles back (left) to search for highs and lows from the current candle.
3. The High Offset parameter sets the number of candles back (left) to ignore/skip before searching for highs.
4. The Low Offset parameter sets the number of candles back (left) to ignore/skip before searching for lows.
5. The offset parameters change the behavior of the Length parameter.
Example 1:
Length = 100
High Offset = 0
Low Offset = 0
This is the default behavior, and the search for highs and lows occurs on the last 100 candles.
Example 2:
Length = 50
High Offset = 20 (Ignore the last 20 candles, and search for highs starting at candle 21 to 71 (or 50 candles back)
Low Offset = 15 (Ignore the last 15 candles, and search for lows starting at candle 16 to 66 (or 50 candles back)
In example 2, search starts on candle 21 for highs, and candle 16 for lows and extends 50 candles further back from there.
6. The Trend Detection parameter sets the number of candles back (left) to use in the trend calculations. Larger values give better "marco trend" detection. Smaller values give better "micro trend" detection. See note #1.
7. The white fib line is fib0. Assuming you correctly set the trend manually (or the trend is auto detected correctly), in a downtrend fib0 should be bellow the red fib line, and in an uptrend fib0 should be above the red fib line.
MACD + Stochastic + RSI (Long + Short)My strategy uses a combination of three indicators MACD Stochastic RSI .
The Idea is to GO LONG when ( MACD > Signal and RSI > 50 and Stochastic > 50) occures at the same time
and GO SHORT when ( MACD < Signal and RSI < 50 and Stochastic < 50)
This strategy works well on futures and stocks especially during market breaking up after consolidation
The best results are on Daily charts , so its NOT a scalping strategy. But it can work also on 1H charts.
The strategy does not have any stops and profit targets, so we can take all the market can give us at the moment.
The exit point only when MACD goes under/over Signal line
Its Preformance is quite stable.
So, use it, trade it.
If it will help you to imprive your trading results, please donate me
BTC: 12kd1F8buWisUBdq27BBwRkUvzW7Ey3og5
Trend Lines and MoreMulti-Indicator consisting of several useful indicators in a single package.
TREND LINES
-By default the 20 SMA and 50 SMA are shown.
-Use "MOVING AVERAGE TYPE" to select SMA, EMA, Double-EMA, Triple-EMA, or Hull.
-Use "50 MA TREND COLOR" to have the 50 turn green/red for uptrend/downtrend.
-Use "DAILY SOURCE ONLY" to always show daily averages regardless of timeframe.
-Use "SHOW LONG MA" to also include 100, 150, and 200 moving averages.
-Use "SHOW MARKERS" to show a small colored marker identifying which line is which.
OTHER INDICATORS
-You can show Bollinger Bands and Parabolic SAR.
-You can highlight key reversal times (9:50-10:10 and 14:40-15:00).
-You can show price offset markers, where was the price "n" periods ago.
That last one is useful to show the level of prices which are about to "fall off" the moving average
and be replaced with current price. So for example, if current price is significantly below the
200-days-ago price, you can gauge the difficulty for the 200 MA to start climbing again.
Multi SMA EMA WMA HMA BB (4x3 MAs Bollinger Bands) Pro MTF - RRBMulti SMA EMA WMA HMA 4x3 Moving Averages with Bollinger Bands Pro MTF by RagingRocketBull 2018
Version 1.0
This indicator shows multiple MAs of any type SMA EMA WMA HMA etc with BB and MTF support, can show MAs as dynamically moving levels.
There are 4 MA groups + 1 BB group. You can assign any type/timeframe combo to a group, for example:
- EMAs 50,100,200 x H1, H4, D1, W1 (4 TFs x 3 MAs x 1 type)
- EMAs 8,13,21,55,100,200 x M15, H1 (2 TFs x 6 MAs x 1 type)
- D1 EMAs and SMAs 12,26,50,100,200,400 (1 TF x 6 MAs x 2 types)
- H1 WMAs 7,77,231; H4 HMAs 50,100,200; D1 EMAs 144,169,233; W1 SMAs 50,100,200 (4 TFs x 3 MAs x 4 types)
- +1 extra MA type/timeframe for BB
compile time: 25-30 sec
full redraw time after parameter change in UI: 3 sec
There are several versions: Simple, MTF, Pro MTF, Advanced MTF and Ultimate MTF. This is the Pro MTF version. The Differences are listed below. All versions have BB
- Simple: you have 2 groups of MAs that can be assigned any type (5+5)
- MTF: +2 custom Timeframes for each group (2x5 MTF)
- Pro MTF: +4 custom Timeframes for each group (4x3 MTF), MA levels and show max bars back options
- Advanced MTF: +2 extra MAs/group (4x5 MTF), custom Ticker/Symbol, backreferences for type, TF and MA lengths in UI
- Ultimate MTF: +individual settings for each MA, custom Ticker/Symbols
Features:
- 4x3 = 12 MAs of any type including Hull Moving Average (HMA)
- 4x MTF groups with step line smoothing
- BB +1 extra TF/type for BB MAs
- 12 MA levels with adjustable group offsets, indents and shift
- show max bars back
- you can show/hide both groups of MAs/levels and individual MAs
Notes:
1. based on 3EmaBB, uses plot*, barssince and security functions
2. you can't set certain constants from input due to Pinescript limitations - change the code as needed, recompile and use as a private version
3. Levels = trackprice implementation
4. Show Max Bars Back = show_last implementation
5. uses timeframe textbox instead of input resolution to allow for 120 240 and other custom TFs. Also supports TFs in hours: 2H or H2
6. swma has a fixed length = 4, alma and linreg have additional offset and smoothing params
7. Smoothing is applied by default for visual aesthetics on MTF. To use exact ma mtf values (lines with stair stepping) - disable it
MTF Notes:
- uses simple timeframe textbox instead of input resolution dropdown to allow for 120, 240 and other custom TFs, also supports timeframes in H: 2H, H2
- Groups that are not assigned a Custom TF will use Current Timeframe (0).
- MTF will work for any MA type assigned to the group
- MTF works both ways: you can display a higher TF MA/BB on a lower TF or a lower TF MA/BB on a higher TF.
- MTF MA values are normally aligned at the boundary of their native timeframe. This produces stair stepping when a higher TF MA is viewed on a lower TF.
Therefore X Y Point Density/Smoothing is applied by default on MA MTF for visual aesthetics. Set both to 0 to disable and see exact ma mtf values (lines with stair stepping and original mtf alignment).
- Smoothing is disabled for BB MTF bands because fill doesn't work with smoothed MAs after duplicate values are replaced with na.
- MTF MA Value fluctuation is possible on the current bar due to default security lookahead
Smoothing:
- X,Y == 0 - X,Y smoothing disabled (stair stepping on high TFs)
- X == 0, Y > 0 - X,Y smoothing applied to all TFs
- Y == 0, X > 0 - X smoothing applied to all TFs < deltaX_max_tf, Y smoothing disabled
- X > 0, Y > 0 - Y smoothing applied to all TFs, then X smoothing applied to all TFs < deltaX_max_tf
X Smoothing with Y == 0 - shows only every deltaX-th point starting from the first bar.
X Smoothing with Y > 0 - shows only every deltaX-th point starting from the last shown Y point, essentially filling huge gaps remaining after Y Smoothing with points and preserving the curve's general shape
X Smoothing on high TFs with already scarce points produces weird curve shapes, it works best only on high density lower TFs
Y Smoothing reduces points on all TFs, removes adjacent points with prices within deltaY, while preserving the smaller curve details.
A combination of X,Y produces the most accurate smoothing. Higher delta value - larger range, more points removed.
Show Max Bars Back:
- can't set plot show_last from input -> implemented using a timenow based range check
- you can't delete/modify history once plotted, so essentially it just sets a start point for plotting (from num_bars bars back) that works only in realtime mode (not in replay)
Levels:
You can plot current MA value using plot trackprice=true or by checking Show Price Line in Style. Problem is:
- you can only change color (not the dashed line style, width), have both ma + price line (not just the line), and it's full screen wide
- you can't set plot trackprice from input => implemented using plotshape/plotchar with fixed text labels serving as levels
- there's no other way of creating a dynamic level: hline, plot, offset - nothing else works.
- you can't plot a text var - all text strings must be constants, so you can't change the style, width and text labels without recompiling.
- from input you can only adjust offset, indent and shift for each level group, and change color
- the dot below each level line is the exact MA value. If you want just the line swap plotshape with plotchar, recompile and save as your private version, adjust Y shift.
To speed up redraw times: reduce last_bars to ~2000, recompile and use as your own private version
Pinescript is a rudimentary language (should be called Painscript instead) that can basically only plot data. You can't do much else. Please see the code for tips and hints.
Certain things just can't be done or require shady workarounds and weeks of testing trying to resolve weird node.js compiler errors.
Feel free to learn from/reuse/change the code as needed and use as your own private version. See comments in code. Good Luck!
Simple_longshort_signalsLong Entry
Criteria:
1) Green candle close above 50MA
2) Green candle close above 20MA
3) MA of RSI(14) is cross upward 50
Result: displays green up arrow
Long Exit
Criteria:
1) Three red candles in a row
2) Any candle close bellow 20MA
3) MA of RSI(14) cross downward 50
Result: displays green diamond
Short Entry
1) Red candle close bellow 50MA
2) Red candle close bellow 20MA
3) MA of RSI(14) is cross downward 50
Result: displays red down arrow
Short Exit
Criteria
1) Three green candles in a row
2) Any candle close above 20MA
3) MA of RSI(14) is cross upward 50
Result: displays red diamond
Noro's Double RSI Strategy 1.0Strategy uses only 2 RSI indicators. Slow and fast.
If slow RSI > 50 and fast RSI < 50 - to open a long-position
If slow RSI < 50 and fast RSI > 50 - to open a short-position
If the long-position is open and a candle green - to close a long-position
if the short-position is open and a candle red - to close a short-position
GoldenCross by PuffyThis is a simple trading strategy that seeks the Golden Cross and Death Cross on the 4HR chart. The fast moving indicator in this strategy is the EMA 50 and the slow moving indicator is the EMA 200. When the EMA 50 crosses over the EMA 200 the strategy indicates a buy. When the EMA 50 crosses below the EMA 200 the strategy indicates a sell. This strategy averages trades in the 40 - 50 day range and as such should not be used with heavy leverage.
Exponential Moving Average (Set of 3) [Krypt] + 13/34 EMAsI took Krypt's script and essentially added on to it.
the 20/50/100/200 EMAs should be used together as support and resistance as normal.
Wait for price to break 200 EMA
Wait for 50 EMA to cross 200 EMA
Wait for pullback to 50 EMA to open position
20 and 100 EMAs are for extra information about moving support and resistance
and 13/34 EMAs should be used in conjunction
When 13 EMA crosses 34 EMA, open position
When price gets far from 13/34, close position (because price will attempt to revert back to mean)
This is better for scalping and swing trades than the 20/50/100/200 setup.
Twitter: @AzorAhai06
MTF EMAExponential Moving Average indicator that can be configured to display different timeframe EMA's.
Timeframe is set in minutes. Max timeframe currently is the daily (1440 minutes). Any value higher than 1440 will result in no plot.
Examples:
Daily 50 EMA plotted on 4H chart
4H 50 EMA and Daily 50 EMA plotted on 1H chart
Can also work in reverse if needed.
Example, Daily 50 EMA plotted on Weekly Chart
Price vs VolImproved version of OBV/price (this one actually works)
Both lines show where price is going relative to volume metrics (one line uses OBV, the other uses accumulation/distribution).
Green and above 50 means price is rising faster then buying volume
Red and below 50 means price is falling faster then selling volume
you can add smoothing in the controls and color will go according to raw (even if smoothing goes above/below 50)
under the hood: changes price, OBV and AD to RSI for comparability, calculates the difference between price and the others, then an RSI on the result to create an <50< style indicator.
this script replaces the previouse from:
Analog Flow [KedArc Quant]Overview
AnalogFlow is an advanced analogue based market projection engine that reconstructs future price tendencies by matching current price behavior to historical analogues in the same instrument. Instead of using traditional indicators such as moving averages, RSI, or regression, AnalogFlow applies pattern vector similarity analysis - a data driven technique that identifies historically similar sequences and aggregates their subsequent movements into a smooth, forward looking curve.
Think of it as a market memory system:
If the current pattern looks like one we have seen before, how did price move afterward?
Why AnalogFlow Is Unique
1. Pattern centric - it does not rely on any standard indicator formula; it directly analyzes price movement vectors.
2. Adaptive - it learns from the same instrument's past behavior, making it self calibrating to volatility and regime shifts.
3. Non repainting - the projection is generated on the latest completed bar and remains fixed until new data is available.
4. Noise resistant - the EMA Blend engine smooths the projected trajectory, reducing random variance between analogues.
Inputs and Configuration
Pattern Bars
Number of bars in the reference pattern window: 40
Projection Bars
Number of bars forward to project: 30
Search Depth
Number of bars back to look for matching analogues: 600
Distance Metric
Comparison method: Euclidean, Manhattan, or Cosine (default Euclidean)
Matches
Number of top analogues to blend (1-5): Top 3
Build Mode
Projection type: Cumulative, MeanStep, or EMA Blend (default EMA Blend)
EMA Blend Length
Smoothness of the projected path: 15
Normalize Pattern
Enable Z score normalization for shape matching: true
Dissimilarity Mode
If true, finds inverse analogues for mean reversion analysis: false
Line Color and Width
Style settings for projection curve: Blue, width 2
How It Works with Past Data
1. The system builds a memory bank of patterns from the last N bars based on the scanDepth value.
2. It compares the latest Pattern Bars segment to each historical segment.
3. It selects the Top K most similar or dissimilar analogues.
4. For each analogue, it retrieves what happened after that pattern historically.
5. It averages or smooths those forward moves into a single composite forecast curve.
6. The forecast (blue line) is drawn ahead of the current candle using line.new with no repainting.
Output Explained
Blue Path
The weighted mean future trajectory based on historical analogues.
Smoother when EMA Blend mode is enabled.
Flat Section
Indicates low directional consensus or equilibrium across analogues.
Upward or Downward Slope
Represents historical tendency toward continuation or reversal following similar conditions.
Recommended Timeframes
Scalping / Short Term
1m - 5m : Short winLen (20-30), small ahead (10-15)
Swing Trading
15m - 1h : Balanced settings (winLen 40-60, ahead 20-30)
Positional / Multi Day
4h - 1D : Large windows (winLen 80-120, ahead 30-50)
Instrument Compatibility
Works seamlessly on:
Stocks and ETFs
Indices
Cryptocurrency
Commodities (Gold, Crude, etc.)
Futures and F&O (both intraday and positional)
Forex
No symbol specific calibration needed. It self adapts to volatility.
How Traders Can Use It
Forecast Context
Identify likely short term price path or drift direction.
Reversal Detection
Flip seekOpp to true for mean reversion pattern analysis.
Scenario Comparison
Observe whether the current regime tends to continue or stall.
Momentum Confirmation
Combine with trend tools such as EMA or MACD for directional bias.
Backtesting Support
Compare projected path versus realized price to evaluate reliability.
FAQ
Q1. Does AnalogFlow repaint?
No. It calculates only once per completed bar and projects forward. The future path remains static until a new bar closes.
Q2. Is it a neural network or AI model?
Not in the machine learning sense. It is a deterministic analogue matching engine using statistical distance metrics.
Q3. Why does the projection sometimes flatten?
That means similar historical setups had no clear consensus in direction (neutral expectation).
Q4. Can I use it for live trading signals?
AnalogFlow is not a signal generator. It provides probabilistic context for upcoming movement.
Q5. Does higher scanDepth improve accuracy?
Up to a point. More depth gives more analogues, but too much can dilute recency. Try 400 to 800.
Glossary
Analogue
A past pattern similar to the current price behavior.
Distance Metric
Mathematical formula for pattern similarity.
Step Vector
Difference between consecutive closing prices.
EMA Blend
Exponential smoothing of the projected path.
Cumulative Mode
Adds sequential historical deltas directly.
Z Score Normalization
Rescaling to mean 0 and variance 1 for shape comparison.
Summary
AnalogFlow converts the market's historical echoes into a structured, statistically weighted forward projection. It gives traders a contextual roadmap, not a signal, showing how similar past setups evolved and allowing better informed entries, exits, and scenario planning across all asset classes.
Disclaimer
This script is provided for educational purposes only.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Trading involves risk, and users should exercise caution and proper risk management when applying this strategy.
Traderei SessionsTraderei Sessions shows the previous daily H/L + previous weekly H + L, daily open from the current day, the H/L from Asia/London/NY Session, including the 50% Level for Premium or Discount Price.
VPOC for each Session. VPOC do not work on FX ! only Crypto + Gold !
2 EMAs and 1 SMA, + 1 additional EMA/SMA.
default settings for EMA 20/50, SMA 200
all lines, labels can be toggled
BAY Technical Indicators//@version=5
indicator("BAY Technical Indicators", overlay=true)
// Price source
price = close
// VWAP
vwap = ta.vwap
plot(vwap, title="VWAP", color=color.blue, linewidth=2)
// SMMA (RMA) 20 and 50
smma20 = ta.rma(price, 20)
smma50 = ta.rma(price, 50)
plot(smma20, title="SMMA 20", color=color.lime)
plot(smma50, title="SMMA 50", color=color.purple)
// EMA 9 and 21
ema9 = ta.ema(price, 9)
ema21 = ta.ema(price, 21)
plot(ema9, title="EMA 9", color=color.white)
plot(ema21, title="EMA 21", color=color.red)
// MA 200
ma200 = ta.sma(price, 200)
plot(ma200, title="MA 200", color=color.orange, linewidth=2)
// SMA 325 (Dark Green)
sma325 = ta.sma(price, 325)
plot(sma325, title="SMA 325", color=color.new(color.green, 0)) // Dark green
// Volume SMA 9 (plotted in data window only)
volume_sma9 = ta.sma(volume, 9)
plot(volume_sma9, title="Volume SMA 9", color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=1, display=display.data_window)
AG Pro Crypto Screener & Signal Dashboard🚀 OVERVIEW
Welcome to the AG Pro Crypto Screener & Signal Dashboard, an institutional-grade scanner designed to find high-probability buy opportunities in the chaotic crypto market. This powerful tool is being offered completely free as an introduction to the precision and performance of the exclusive AG Pro series.
Tired of manually flipping through dozens of charts? This dashboard is your new command center. It simultaneously scans up to 40 crypto assets against a robust, multi-filter strategy. It filters out the noise and delivers a clean, actionable list of symbols that are showing combined signs of strength, momentum, and a confirmed uptrend.
🧠 THE CORE STRATEGY: A Multi-Filter Confluence
This screener doesn't rely on a single, weak indicator. A symbol only appears on the "Buy List" if it passes a strict, user-configurable set of confluence filters:
Bullish EMA Crossover: Confirms a new, bullish shift in short-term momentum by looking for a recent crossover of a Fast EMA over a Slow EMA (e.g., 20/50). The "Freshness" feature ensures the signal is recent.
RSI Momentum Filter: Ensures the asset has strong buying momentum. The signal is only valid if the RSI is above a specified level (e.g., > 50).
Long-Term Trend Filter: This is the most critical filter. It keeps you on the right side of the market by confirming the price is above a key long-term Moving Average (e.g., SMA 50, 100, 200). You trade with the trend, not against it.
MACD Crossover (Optional): For traders who want an extra layer of confirmation, you can enable a filter to check for a bullish MACD crossover.
Only when all selected conditions are met does the asset appear on your dashboard. This multi-layered approach is designed to find quality over quantity.
✨ KEY FEATURES
Dynamic 40-Symbol Scanner: Monitor your entire watchlist (up to 40 symbols) from a single chart.
Professional Signal Dashboard: A clean, sortable table displaying all active signals, last price, RSI value, and volume.
"Freshness" & "Trend" Icons: Instantly gauge signal quality.
Freshness: See how many bars ago the signal appeared (🔥 Hot / ❇️ Fresh / ⏳ Old).
Trend: A clear visual icon shows if the asset is in a long-term uptrend (🔼) or downtrend (🔽).
NEW Signal Alerts: Don't miss an opportunity. Set an alert to be notified only when a new symbol appears on the list. This non-intrusive system avoids constant, repetitive alerts.
Fully Customizable Strategy: You are in control.
Toggle any of the four main filters (EMA, RSI, Trend, MACD) on or off.
Adjust all indicator lengths (EMAs, RSI, MACD, and Trend MA) to fit your trading style.
Reliable "On-Close" Signaling: Includes an option to generate signals only on bar close, ensuring high-quality, non-repainting signals.
Clean UI: Adjustable table text size ("Tiny", "Small", "Normal", "Large") for perfect visibility on any setup.
💎 THE AG PRO DIFFERENCE
This free screener is just the beginning. It's a demonstration of the stable, high-performance, and results-driven philosophy that defines the AG Pro brand.
We believe in empowering traders with tools that provide a clear, statistical edge. While this screener is powerful, our private, premium AG Pro scripts (such as the AG Pro Trading Suite) offer a complete, institutional-grade solution for serious traders. These advanced tools feature predictive models, proprietary signal algorithms, and comprehensive risk management modules that are the result of years of professional development.
If you find value in this free tool, imagine what our full suite can do for your trading. We invite you to experience the next level of trading precision.
🛠️ HOW TO USE
Add the "🏆 AG Pro Crypto Screener & Signal Dashboard V3" to your chart.
Open the indicator's Settings.
Under the "Symbol List to Scan" tab, replace the default symbols with your own 40 preferred assets (e.g., "BINANCE:BTCUSDT", "BINANCE:ETHUSDT", "COINBASE:SOLUSD").
Under the "Filter Settings" tab, configure your desired strategy. You can start with the defaults or customize them.
(Recommended) Right-click the table and select "Create Alert". Choose the "NEW BUY" condition and "Once Per Bar Close" to be notified of new signals.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
This script is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial or investment advice. All trading involves significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please conduct your own research and implement your own risk management strategy before making any trading decisions.
0DTE Options - Iron Condor & ButterflyTo help options traders:
Plan and structure Iron Condor or Butterfly spreads in “Setup Mode.”
Track live trades, including P&L, breach risk, and strike distances, in “Live Mode.”
Visualize the trade on the price chart with profit zones, breakeven lines, strike markers, and alerts.
Evaluate market conditions using IV Rank, ATR-based range modeling, and modeled Delta approximation.
Essentially, it turns your TradingView chart into an options risk graph + planning terminal.
⚙️ Core Modes of Operation
🧱 1. Setup Mode
Used for planning new trades. It automatically suggests strikes based on:
ATR (volatility proxy)
IV Rank
Target Delta
Chosen risk tier (High / Mid / Low / Delta)
You can:
Preview recommended short and long strikes.
See estimated credit, width, and risk/reward ratios in a setup table.
Auto-feed these calculated strikes into the Live Mode to track them later.
Example Use:
Before market open, choose Setup Mode → Mid Risk Tier → see what strike widths and credits make sense for the day.
📈 2. Live Mode
Used to track real trades you’ve already opened.
You can:
Paste your real trade data (strikes, credits, etc.) into the 📋 paste field.
Or auto-feed from Setup Mode (if “Auto-Feed” is enabled).
The indicator then plots:
Short/long strikes
Breakevens
Profit/loss zone
Real-time breach detection and delta drift
Alerts when price nears your strikes or exits your safe zone.
Example Use:
After opening an Iron Condor on SPX, paste in 626,628,620,618,1.20,1, and the chart visually shows your safe range and warning zones.
🧮 Built-In Calculations
1. IV Rank (Volatility Environment)
Uses a 20-day log return volatility model to calculate IV Rank (percentile of volatility over the last 252 bars).
You can use this automatically or manually override it if you have data from your broker.
→ High IV Rank (>50) = better for selling Iron Condors (more premium).
2. ATR (Average True Range)
Measures short-term volatility to estimate expected daily price movement.
Used in Setup Mode to model distance between strikes.
3. Strike Calculations (Setup Mode)
Based on risk tier:
High Risk → wide wings, high credit, high potential drawdown
Mid Risk → balanced setup
Low Risk → narrow wings, safer but less credit
Delta Mode → based purely on target delta (e.g., 0.20)
Uses ATR × multiplier to determine how far short strikes should be from current price.
4. Credit Estimation
Based on strike width × IV Rank multiplier:
IV > 50 → 30% of width
IV 30–50 → 25%
IV < 30 → 20%
5. Profit & Loss Modeling
The indicator computes:
Max Profit:
Iron Condor → credit × 100 × contracts
Butterfly → (wing width − debit) × 100 × contracts
Max Loss:
Iron Condor → width − credit
Butterfly → debit × 100 × contracts
Breakevens:
Iron Condor → short strikes ± credit
Butterfly → body ± debit
Current P&L: Approximated by where the underlying is relative to the short/long strikes.
6. Delta Modeling
Estimates each short strike’s modeled delta based on how far it is from current price.
Displays total delta balance to show directional bias.
If Delta drifts too high → market imbalance → consider rolling or adjusting.
7. Breach Detection System
Automatically classifies your trade as:
🟢 In Range: Price between short strikes (safe zone).
🟠 Near Breach: Price close to short strike (risk zone).
🔴 Breached: Price outside long strike (stop or adjust zone).
This dynamically changes color in your profit box and info label.
🎨 Visual Components
Element Meaning Color
Red Line Put side strikes 🔻 Red
Green Line Call side strikes 🔺 Green
Yellow Dotted Lines Breakevens 🟡 Yellow
Green Box Profit zone 🟩 Light green
Orange Box Adjustment zone (near breach) 🟧 Orange
Red Box Breach zone 🟥 Red
White Line Current price ⚪ White
Optional labels display strike details and distances (e.g., “📉 Short Put: 620 – 5 pts away”).
📊 Setup Table (Setup Mode Only)
Displays a grid comparing all risk tiers:
Tier Short Call Short Put Width Est. Credit R:R
High 632 614 4.0 $1.20 0.43
Mid 630 616 3.0 $0.90 0.43
Low 628 618 2.0 $0.60 0.43
Highlighted row = selected risk tier.
This lets you compare how wide/narrow each setup is before committing to a trade.
🧾 Info Box (Live Mode)
Displays real-time stats such as:
🔶 IRON CONDOR | 1 Contract
📊 Calls: 626 / 628 | Puts: 620 / 618
💵 Credit: $1.20 | 💰 Profit: $120 | 🔴 Loss: $180
⬆️ BE: 627.2 | ⬇️ BE: 618.8
📍 Current: $623 | 💵 P&L: +$35.00 (+29.1%)
📏 To Short Call: 3 | To Short Put: 3
📊 Delta: 0.05 | IV Rank: 56% (FAVORABLE)
🔴 BREACH STATUS: In Range
🚨 Alerts
The indicator generates TradingView alerts for:
⚠️ Approaching Call Zone → nearing short call
⚠️ Approaching Put Zone → nearing short put
🛑 Stop Loss Triggered → current P&L exceeds loss threshold
🟠 Near Breach → price entering adjustment zone
🔴 Breached → price outside protection (long strikes)
These alerts can be used with TradingView notifications or webhooks.
🧠 How to Use It Step-by-Step
A. Planning (Setup Mode)
Set mode to “Setup.”
Adjust:
Risk Tier (High / Mid / Low / Delta)
Target Delta (0.15–0.30 recommended)
Strike Interval (e.g., 1.0 or 5.0)
Check Setup Table → see suggested strikes & credits.
Optionally toggle Auto-Feed → Live to send to live mode later.
B. Executing (Broker)
Confirm and enter your trade in your brokerage (use the strikes shown).
Record your strikes, net credit/debit, and number of contracts.
C. Tracking (Live Mode)
Switch to “Live” mode.
Paste your strikes in the 📋 Paste Data field:
Iron Condor Example: 626,628,620,618,1.20,1
Butterfly Example: 600,620,640,2.50,2
The chart updates:
Lines = your strikes
Boxes = profit/risk zones
Labels = strike info, distance to price
Info box = P&L, delta, IV rank, breach status
Set alerts for automatic notifications.
D. Managing the Trade
When the chart turns orange or red, you’re approaching or breaching a strike.
Use this signal to roll, hedge, or close your trade.
Monitor Gamma Risk: warning appears when price nears short strikes (explosive delta risk).
📌 Summary
Feature Description
Mode Switching Plan (Setup) or Track (Live)
IV Rank & ATR Modeling Estimates volatility environment
Auto Strike Planning Suggests strikes based on risk/delta
Visual Range Map Profit, breakeven, and adjustment zones
Real-Time Alerts Warns when nearing or breaching strikes
Trade Info Box Displays live risk, reward, delta, IV, and P&L
Setup Table Compares setups across risk tiers
Fully Configurable Works for Iron Condors or Butterflies
Iron Condor & Butterfly VisualizerIt helps you visualize and manage your option spread by:
Plotting strike prices and breakeven lines directly on the chart.
Showing profit/loss zones, adjustment zones, and alerts when price nears critical levels.
Calculating risk/reward, probability of profit, theta decay, IV condition, and trade score.
🎯 2. Inputs & Configuration
You input your trade details as a comma-separated string:
For an Iron Condor
ShortCall, LongCall, ShortPut, LongPut, Credit, Contracts, Target%
Example: 626,628,620,618,1.20,1,30
For a Butterfly Spread
LowerWing, Body, UpperWing, Debit, Contracts, Target%
Example: 600,620,640,2.50,2,50
The indicator automatically parses this and knows which strategy type you selected.
You can also control:
Visuals (profit zones, breakevens, labels)
Risk (stop loss %, adjustment zones)
Account/risk sizing
Market conditions (IV Rank, current IV, DTE)
⚙️ 3. Data Parsing & Strategy Recognition
The code reads your pasted string, splits it by commas, and determines:
Which strikes are short vs long (or wings/body for Butterfly)
Whether the strategy is credit (Iron Condor) or debit (Butterfly)
Calculates net credit/debit, contract size, and profit target
📈 4. Profit/Loss Calculations
It dynamically calculates:
Max Profit
Iron Condor: net credit × 100 × contracts
Butterfly: (wing width − debit) × 100 × contracts
Max Loss
Iron Condor: difference between strikes minus credit
Butterfly: debit × 100 × contracts
Breakeven points
Iron Condor: short strikes ± net credit
Butterfly: body ± debit
Current P&L relative to the live price (close).
⚖️ 5. Risk & Position Sizing
It checks:
Stop-loss trigger (% of max loss)
Adjustment alert if price nears short strikes
Recommended contract size based on account size and % risk per trade
Actual % of account at risk
⏱️ 6. Time Decay & IV Analysis
If you input days to expiration, it shows:
Theta (approx daily time decay)
Decay progress bar (% of 30-day cycle)
IV condition:
Green: favorable (>50 IV Rank)
Yellow: neutral (30–50)
Red: poor (<30)
🧮 7. Trade Scoring
It gives a Trade Score (0–100) based on:
IV Rank (favorable market)
Risk/Reward ratio
Probability of profit
Default 20 baseline points
This helps gauge whether the setup is statistically attractive.
🧠 8. Visualizations
When the indicator runs, it draws on your chart:
Lines
Red = short strikes
Orange dashed = long strikes
Yellow dotted = breakeven levels
Boxes
Green = profit zone
Orange shaded = adjustment zones (approaching danger)
Labels (optional)
Strike labels (call/put prices)
Info box summarizing:
Profit, loss, risk/reward
Breakevens, theta, target, gamma risk flag
🚨 9. Alerts
The script triggers TradingView alerts when:
Price nears call or put adjustment zones
Profit target is hit
Stop loss is hit
These help you manage the trade without constant monitoring.
🧭 10. In Practice
You’d:
Copy the option strikes and trade details from your broker or analyzer.
Paste them into 📋 PASTE YOUR TRADE DATA HERE.
The indicator plots:
Profit/loss region
Adjustment warnings
Key metrics
Alerts if your trade is in danger or near target.
