Trusty RSI v2The 'Trusty RSI' indicator is based off a simple RSI but has additional trust power. For those who have trust issues in their trading, the flashy background colors and the 'Trusty' signals help you trade with infinite confidence! This indicator might revolutionize your trading and will help you become generationally wealthy! Please have fun with it!
On a more serious note, The Trusty RSI is a streamlined RSI-based oscillator designed to highlight only meaningful extremes. The pane is colored red when RSI > 80 and green when RSI < 30, while “Trusty Sell/Buy” labels appear only after three consecutive bars in those zones to reduce noise. It includes 80/55/30 guide levels with pane fill and offers optional smoothing of the RSI line via SMA or EMA (user-selectable length). Suitable for any symbol and timeframe; thresholds and lengths are configurable to fit different risk tolerances.
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FlowStateTrader FlowState Trader - Advanced Time-Filtered Strategy
## Overview
FlowState Trader is a sophisticated algorithmic trading strategy that combines precision entry signals with intelligent time-based filtering and adaptive risk management. Built for traders seeking to achieve their optimal performance state, FlowState identifies high-probability trading opportunities within user-defined time windows while employing dynamic trailing stops and partial position management.
## Core Strategy Philosophy
FlowState Trader operates on the principle that peak trading performance occurs when three elements align: **Focus** (precise entry signals), **Flow** (optimal time windows), and **State** (intelligent position management). This strategy excels at finding reversal opportunities at key support and resistance levels while filtering out suboptimal trading periods to keep traders in their optimal flow state.
## Key Features
### 🎯 Focus Entry System
**Support/Resistance Zone Trading**:
- Dynamic identification of key price levels using configurable lookback periods
- Entry signals triggered when price interacts with these critical zones
- Volume confirmation ensures genuine breakout/reversal momentum
- Trend filter alignment prevents counter-trend disasters
**Entry Conditions**:
- **Long Signals**: Price closes above support buffer, touches support level, with above-average volume
- **Short Signals**: Price closes below resistance buffer, touches resistance level, with above-average volume
- Optional trend filter using EMA or SMA for directional bias confirmation
### ⏰ FlowState Time Filtering System
**Comprehensive Time Controls**:
- **12-Hour Format Trading Windows**: User-friendly AM/PM time selection
- **Multi-Timezone Support**: UTC, EST, PST, CST with automatic conversion
- **Day-of-Week Filtering**: Trade only weekdays, weekends, or both
- **Lunch Hour Avoidance**: Automatically skips low-volume lunch periods (12-1 PM)
- **Visual Time Indicators**: Background coloring shows active/inactive trading periods
**Smart Time Features**:
- Handles overnight trading sessions seamlessly
- Prevents trades during historically poor performance periods
- Customizable trading hours for different market sessions
- Real-time trading window status in dashboard
### 🛡️ Adaptive Risk Management
**Multi-Level Take Profit System**:
- **TP1**: First profit target with optional partial position closure
- **TP2**: Final profit target for remaining position
- **Flexible Scaling**: Choose number of contracts to close at each level
**Dynamic Trailing Stop Technology**:
- **Three Operating Modes**:
- **Conservative**: Earlier activation, tighter trailing (protect profits)
- **Balanced**: Optimal risk/reward balance (recommended)
- **Aggressive**: Later activation, wider trailing (let winners run)
- **ATR-Based Calculations**: Adapts to current market volatility
- **Automatic Activation**: Engages when position reaches profitability threshold
### 📊 Intelligent Position Sizing
**Contract-Based Management**:
- Configurable entry quantity (1-1000 contracts)
- Partial close quantities for profit-taking
- Clear position tracking and P&L monitoring
- Real-time position status updates
### 🎨 Professional Visualization
**Enhanced Chart Elements**:
- **Entry Zone Highlighting**: Clear visual identification of trading opportunities
- **Dynamic Risk/Reward Lines**: Real-time TP and SL levels with price labels
- **Trailing Stop Visualization**: Live tracking of adaptive stop levels
- **Support/Resistance Lines**: Key level identification
- **Time Window Background**: Visual confirmation of active trading periods
**Dual Dashboard System**:
- **Strategy Dashboard**: Real-time position info, settings status, and current levels
- **Performance Scorecard**: Live P&L tracking, win rates, and trade statistics
- **Customizable Sizing**: Small, Medium, or Large display options
### ⚙️ Comprehensive Customization
**Core Strategy Settings**:
- **Lookback Period**: Support/resistance calculation period (5-100 bars)
- **ATR Configuration**: Period and multipliers for stops/targets
- **Reward-to-Risk Ratios**: Customizable profit target calculations
- **Trend Filter Options**: EMA/SMA selection with adjustable periods
**Time Filter Controls**:
- **Trading Hours**: Start/end times in 12-hour format
- **Timezone Selection**: Four major timezone options
- **Day Restrictions**: Weekend-only, weekday-only, or unrestricted
- **Session Management**: Lunch hour avoidance and custom periods
**Risk Management Options**:
- **Trailing Stop Modes**: Conservative/Balanced/Aggressive presets
- **Partial Close Settings**: Enable/disable with custom quantities
- **Alert System**: Comprehensive notifications for all trade events
### 📈 Performance Tracking
**Real-Time Metrics**:
- Net profit/loss calculation
- Win rate percentage
- Profit factor analysis
- Maximum drawdown tracking
- Total trade count and breakdown
- Current position P&L
**Trade Analytics**:
- Winner/loser ratio tracking
- Real-time performance scorecard
- Strategy effectiveness monitoring
- Risk-adjusted return metrics
### 🔔 Alert System
**Comprehensive Notifications**:
- Entry signal alerts with price and quantity
- Take profit level hits (TP1 and TP2)
- Stop loss activations
- Trailing stop engagements
- Position closure notifications
## Strategy Logic Deep Dive
### Entry Signal Generation
The strategy identifies high-probability reversal points by combining multiple confirmation factors:
1. **Price Action**: Looks for price interaction with key support/resistance levels
2. **Volume Confirmation**: Ensures sufficient market interest and liquidity
3. **Trend Alignment**: Optional filter prevents counter-trend positions
4. **Time Validation**: Only trades during user-defined optimal periods
5. **Zone Analysis**: Entry occurs within calculated buffer zones around key levels
### Risk Management Philosophy
FlowState Trader employs a three-tier risk management approach:
1. **Initial Protection**: ATR-based stop losses set at strategy entry
2. **Profit Preservation**: Trailing stops activate once position becomes profitable
3. **Scaled Exit**: Partial profit-taking allows for both security and potential
### Time-Based Edge
The time filtering system recognizes that not all trading hours are equal:
- Avoids low-volume, high-spread periods
- Focuses on optimal liquidity windows
- Prevents trading during news events (lunch hours)
- Allows customization for different market sessions
## Best Practices and Optimization
### Recommended Settings
**For Scalping (1-5 minute charts)**:
- Lookback Period: 10-20
- ATR Period: 14
- Trailing Stop: Conservative mode
- Time Filter: Major session hours only
**For Day Trading (15-60 minute charts)**:
- Lookback Period: 20-30
- ATR Period: 14-21
- Trailing Stop: Balanced mode
- Time Filter: Extended trading hours
**For Swing Trading (4H+ charts)**:
- Lookback Period: 30-50
- ATR Period: 21+
- Trailing Stop: Aggressive mode
- Time Filter: Disabled or very broad
### Market Compatibility
- **Forex**: Excellent for major pairs during active sessions
- **Stocks**: Ideal for liquid stocks during market hours
- **Futures**: Perfect for index and commodity futures
- **Crypto**: Effective on major cryptocurrencies (24/7 capability)
### Risk Considerations
- **Market Conditions**: Performance varies with volatility regimes
- **Timeframe Selection**: Lower timeframes require tighter risk management
- **Position Sizing**: Never risk more than 1-2% of account per trade
- **Backtesting**: Always test on historical data before live implementation
## Educational Value
FlowState serves as an excellent learning tool for:
- Understanding support/resistance trading
- Learning proper time-based filtering
- Mastering trailing stop techniques
- Developing systematic trading approaches
- Risk management best practices
## Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational and informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Users should thoroughly backtest the strategy and understand all risks before live trading. Always use proper position sizing and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
---
*FlowState Trader represents the evolution of systematic trading - combining classical technical analysis with modern risk management and intelligent time filtering to help traders achieve their optimal performance state through systematic, disciplined execution.*
RSI Dynamic Bands█ OVERVIEW
The "RSI Dynamic Bands" indicator is a variant of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillator that brings its signals directly onto the price chart. It displays dynamic bands around the price, adjusted based on RSI levels, enabling easy identification of potential overbought or oversold conditions. The indicator also integrates a multi-timeframe RSI table, facilitating the analysis of trend strength across different timeframes.
█ CONCEPTS
The "RSI Dynamic Bands" indicator is designed to simplify the interpretation of price levels in the context of support and resistance zones, which can be correlated with other technical indicators and RSI values. Since the price itself does not display RSI values, a table showing RSI for four selected timeframes has been added, allowing traders to quickly assess trend strength across different time intervals. The most effective approach is to combine the indicator with other technical analysis tools, such as Fibonacci levels or pivot points, to confirm signals when the price approaches the bands and RSI values indicate a potential reversal.
Band Calculation
The bands are calculated based on the current closing price and RSI values, incorporating dynamic scaling to better adapt to market conditions. The formulas for the bands are as follows:
• Upper Band: close + (rsiUpper - rsi) * scaleFactor, where rsiUpper is the upper RSI level (default: 70), and scaleFactor accounts for market volatility.
• Lower Band: close + (rsiLower - rsi) * scaleFactor, where rsiLower is the lower RSI level (default: 30).
• Midline: The arithmetic average of the upper and lower bands: (upperBand + lowerBand) / 2.
Why Scaling? Without scaling, the bands would be chaotic and jagged, making them difficult to interpret. Scaling smooths the bands, making them wider during periods of high volatility and narrower during consolidation, better reflecting potential support and resistance levels.
Indicator Features
• Dynamic Price Bands: The bands adapt to market conditions, facilitating the identification of key price levels.
• Multi-Timeframe RSI Table: Displays RSI values for four selected timeframes (default: 15m, 1h, 4h, Daily), enabling comparison of trend strength across different perspectives.
• Style Customization: Users can adjust band colors, line thickness, and toggle the visibility of bands, fills, and the table.
How to Set Up the Indicator
1 — Add the "RSI Dynamic Bands" indicator to your TradingView chart.
2 — Configure parameters in the settings, such as RSI length, upper/lower levels, and scaling multiplier, to match your trading style.
3 — Enable or disable the display of bands, fills, or the RSI table based on your needs.
4 — Adjust band and table colors in the input section and line thickness in the "Style" section to better align the indicator with your chart.
█ OTHER SECTIONS
FEATURES
• RSI Length: The period for calculating RSI (default: 14).
• RSI Levels: Thresholds for overbought (default: 70) and oversold (default: 30).
• Scaling Multiplier: Adjusts bands based on market volatility (default: 0.15).
• Table Timeframes: Select four timeframes for the RSI table (default: 15m, 1h, 4h, Daily).
• Style Options: Customize band colors, fills, table, and line thickness.
HOW TO USE
Add the indicator to your chart, configure the parameters, and observe price interactions with the bands to identify potential entry and exit points. The RSI table allows you to compare RSI values across different timeframes, aiding in trading decisions. The most effective approach is to combine the indicator with other technical analysis tools, such as Fibonacci levels or pivot points, to confirm signals when the price approaches the bands and RSI values indicate a potential reversal.
Trading Strategies:
• Scalping: Use lower timeframes (e.g., 5m, 15m) in the RSI table to quickly identify short-term lows and highs. Wait for the price to approach the lower band in the RSI oversold zone, with RSI on lower timeframes starting to rise, and other tools, such as Fibonacci levels (e.g., 38.2%) or pivot points, confirming support.
• Medium-Term Trading: Focus on 1h and 4h timeframes. Look for confirmation of a low on a lower timeframe (e.g., 1h), where RSI indicates oversold conditions or starts rising, then check if RSI on a higher timeframe (e.g., 4h) confirms the trend. Confirmation from other tools, such as a Fibonacci level (e.g., 50%) or pivot point near the bands, strengthens the signal.
• Long-Term Trading: Use Daily and higher timeframes (e.g., Weekly). Wait for all relevant timeframes to confirm a low (e.g., RSI near oversold and price at the lower band), with lower timeframes (e.g., 4h) showing rising RSI. Other tools, such as Fibonacci levels (e.g., 61.8%) or pivot points near the bands, can further confirm a trend reversal signal.
Multi-TF Trend Table (Configurable)1) What this tool does (in one minute)
A compact, multi‑timeframe dashboard that stacks eight timeframes and tells you:
Trend (fast MA vs slow MA)
Where price sits relative to those MAs
How far price is from the fast MA in ATR terms
MA slope (rising, falling, flat)
Stochastic %K (with overbought/oversold heat)
MACD momentum (up or down)
A single score (0%–100%) per timeframe
Alignment tick when trend, structure, slope and momentum all agree
Use it to:
Frame bias top‑down (M→W→D→…→15m)
Time entries on your execution timeframe when the higher‑TF stack is aligned
Avoid counter‑trend traps when the table is mixed
2) Table anatomy (each column explained)
The table renders 9 columns × 8 rows (one row per timeframe label you define).
TF — The label you chose for that row (e.g., Month, Week, 4H). Cosmetic; helps you read the stack.
Trend — Arrow from fast MA vs slow MA: ↑ if fastMA > slowMA (up‑trend), ↓ otherwise (down‑trend). Cell is green for up, red for down.
Price Pos — One‑character structure cue:
🔼 if price is above both fast and slow MAs (bullish structure)
🔽 if price is below both (bearish structure)
– otherwise (between MAs / mixed)
MA Dist — Distance of price from the fast MA measured in ATR multiples:
XS < S < M < L < XL according to your thresholds (see §3.3). Useful for judging stretch/mean‑reversion risk and stop sizing.
MA Slope — The fast MA one‑bar slope:
↑ if fastMA - fastMA > 0
↓ if < 0
→ if = 0
Stoch %K — Rounded %K value (default 14‑1‑3). Background highlights when it aligns with the trend:
Green heat when trend up and %K ≤ oversold
Red heat when trend down and %K ≥ overbought Tooltip shows K and D values precisely.
Trend % — Composite score (0–100%), the dashboard’s confidence for that timeframe:
+20 if trendUp (fast>slow)
+20 if fast MA slope > 0
+20 if MACD up (signal definition in §2.8)
+20 if price above fast MA
+20 if price above slow MA
Background colours:
≥80 lime (strong alignment)
≥60 green (good)
≥40 orange (mixed)
<40 grey (weak/contrary)
MACD — 🟢 if EMA(12)−EMA(26) > its EMA(9), else 🔴. It’s a simple “momentum up/down” proxy.
Align — ✔ when everything is in gear for that trend direction:
For up: trendUp and price above both MAs and slope>0 and MACD up
For down: trendDown and price below both MAs and slope<0 and MACD down Tooltip spells this out.
3) Settings & how to tune them
3.1 Timeframes (TF1–TF8)
Inputs: TF1..TF8 hold the resolution strings used by request.security().
Defaults: M, W, D, 720, 480, 240, 60, 15 with display labels Month, Week, Day, 12H, 8H, 4H, 1H, 15m.
Tips
Keep a top‑down funnel (e.g., Month→Week→Day→H4→H1→M15) so you can cascade bias into entries.
If you scalp, consider D, 240, 120, 60, 30, 15, 5, 1.
Crypto weekends: consider 2D in place of W to reflect continuous trading.
3.2 Moving Average (MA) group
Type: EMA, SMA, WMA, RMA, HMA. Changes both fast & slow MA computations everywhere.
Fast Length: default 20. Shorten for snappier trend/slope & tighter “price above fast” signals.
Slow Length: default 200. Controls the structural trend and part of the score.
When to change
Swing FX/equities: EMA 20/200 is a solid baseline.
Mean‑reversion style: consider SMA 20/100 so trend flips slower.
Crypto/indices momentum: HMA 21 / EMA 200 will read slope more responsively.
3.3 ATR / Distance group
ATR Length: default 14; longer makes distance less jumpy.
XS/S/M/L thresholds: define the labels in column MA Dist. They are compared to |close − fastMA| / ATR.
Defaults: XS 0.25×, S 0.75×, M 1.5×, L 2.5×; anything ≥L is XL.
Usage
Entries late in a move often occur at L/XL; consider waiting for a pullback unless you are trading breakouts.
For stops, an initial SL around 0.75–1.5 ATR from fast MA often sits behind nearby noise; use your plan.
3.4 Stochastic group
%K Length / Smoothing / %D Smoothing: defaults 14 / 1 / 3.
Overbought / Oversold: defaults 70 / 30 (adjust to 80/20 for trendier assets).
Heat logic (column Stoch %K): highlights when a pullback aligns with the dominant trend (oversold in an uptrend, overbought in a downtrend).
3.5 View
Full Screen Table Mode: centers and enlarges the table (position.middle_center). Great for clean screenshots or multi‑monitor setups.
4) Signal logic (how each datapoint is computed)
Per‑TF data (via a single request.security()):
fastMA, slowMA → based on your MA Type and lengths
%K, %D → Stoch(High,Low,Close,kLen) smoothed by kSmooth, then %D smoothed by dSmooth
close, ATR(atrLen) → for structure and distance
MACD up → (EMA12−EMA26) > EMA9(EMA12−EMA26)
fastMA_prev → yesterday/previous‑bar fast MA for slope
TrendUp → fastMA > slowMA
Price Position → compares close to both MAs
MA Distance Label → thresholds on abs(close − fastMA)/ATR
Slope → fastMA − fastMA
Score (0–100) → sum of the five 20‑point checks listed in §2.7
Align tick → conjunction of trend, price vs both MAs, slope and MACD (see §2.9)
Important behaviour
HTF values are sampled at the execution chart’s bar close using Pine v6 defaults (no lookahead). So the daily row updates only when a daily bar actually closes.
5) How to trade with it (playbooks)
The table is a framework. Entries/exits still follow your plan (e.g., S/D zones, price action, risk rules). Use the table to know when to be aggressive vs patient.
Playbook A — Trend continuation (pullback entry)
Look for Align ✔ on your anchor TFs (e.g., Week+Day both ≥80 and green, Trend ↑, MACD 🟢).
On your execution TF (e.g., H1/H4), wait for Stoch heat with the trend (oversold in uptrend or overbought in downtrend), and MA Dist not at XL.
Enter on your trigger (break of pullback high/low, engulfing, retest of fast MA, or S/D first touch per your plan).
Risk: consider ATR‑based SL beyond structure; size so 0.25–0.5% account risk fits your rules.
Trail or scale at M/L distances or when score deteriorates (<60).
Playbook B — Breakout with confirmation
Mixed stack turns into broad green: Trend % jumps to ≥80 on Day and H4; MACD flips 🟢.
Price Pos shows 🔼 across H4/H1 (above both MAs). Slope arrows ↑.
Enter on the first clean base‑break with volume/impulse; avoid if MA Dist already XL.
Playbook C — Mean‑reversion fade (advanced)
Use only when higher TFs are not aligned and the row you trade shows XL distance against the higher‑TF context. Take quick targets back to fast MA. Lower win‑rate, faster management.
Playbook D — Top‑down filter for Supply/Demand strategy
Trade first retests only in the direction where anchor TFs (Week/Day) have Align ✔ and Trend % ≥60. Skip counter‑trend zones when the stack is red/green against you.
6) Reading examples
Strong bullish stack
Week: ↑, 🔼, S/M, slope ↑, %K=32 (green heat), Trend 100%, MACD 🟢, Align ✔
Day: ↑, 🔼, XS/S, slope ↑, %K=45, Trend 80%, MACD 🟢, Align ✔
Action: Look for H4/H1 pullback into demand or fast MA; buy continuation.
Late‑stage thrust
H1: ↑, 🔼, XL, slope ↑, %K=88
Day/H4: only 60–80%
Action: Likely overextended on H1; wait for mean reversion or multi‑TF alignment before chasing.
Bearish transition
Day flips from 60%→40%, Trend ↓, MACD turns 🔴, Price Pos “–” (between MAs)
Action: Stand aside for longs; watch for lower‑high + Align ✔ on H4/H1 to join shorts.
7) Practical tips & pitfalls
HTF closure: Don’t assume a daily row changed mid‑day; it won’t settle until the daily bar closes. For intraday anticipation, watch H4/H1 rows.
MA Type consistency: Changing MA Type changes slope/structure everywhere. If you compare screenshots, keep the same type.
ATR thresholds: Calibrate per asset class. FX may suit defaults; indices/crypto might need wider S/M/L.
Score ≠ signal: 100% does not mean “must buy now.” It means the environment is favourable. Still execute your trigger.
Mixed stacks: When rows disagree, reduce size or skip. The tool is telling you the market lacks consensus.
8) Customisation ideas
Timeframe presets: Save layouts (e.g., Swing, Intraday, Scalper) as indicator templates in TradingView.
Alternative momentum: Replace the MACD condition with RSI(>50/<50) if desired (would require code edit).
Alerts: You can add alert conditions for (a) Align ✔ changes, (b) Trend % crossing 60/80, (c) Stoch heat events. (Not shipped in this script, but easy to add.)
9) FAQ
Q: Why do I sometimes see a dash in Price Pos? A: Price is between fast and slow MAs. Structure is mixed; seek clarity before acting.
Q: Does it repaint? A: No, higher‑TF values update on the close of their own bars (standard request.security behaviour without lookahead). Intra‑bar they can fluctuate; decisions should be made at your bar close per your plan.
Q: Which columns matter most? A: For trend‑following: Trend, Price Pos, Slope, MACD, then Stoch heat for entries. The Score summarises, and Align enforces discipline.
Q: How do I integrate with ATR‑based risk? A: Use the MA Dist label to avoid chasing at extremes and to size stops in ATR terms (e.g., SL behind structure at ~1–1.5 ATR).
Advanced Volume Profile Pro Delta + POC + VAH/VAL# Advanced Volume Profile Pro - Delta + POC + VAH/VAL Analysis System
## WHAT THIS SCRIPT DOES
This script creates a comprehensive volume profile analysis system that combines traditional volume-at-price distribution with delta volume calculations, Point of Control (POC) identification, and Value Area (VAH/VAL) analysis. Unlike standard volume indicators that show only total volume over time, this script analyzes volume distribution across price levels and estimates buying vs selling pressure using multiple calculation methods to provide deeper market structure insights.
## WHY THIS COMBINATION IS ORIGINAL AND USEFUL
**The Problem Solved:** Traditional volume indicators show when volume occurs but not where price finds acceptance or rejection. Standalone volume profiles lack directional bias information, while basic delta calculations don't provide structural context. Traders need to understand both volume distribution AND directional sentiment at key price levels.
**The Solution:** This script implements an integrated approach that:
- Maps volume distribution across price levels using configurable row density
- Estimates delta (buying vs selling pressure) using three different methodologies
- Identifies Point of Control (highest volume price level) for key support/resistance
- Calculates Value Area boundaries where 70% of volume traded
- Provides real-time alerts for key level interactions and volume imbalances
**Unique Features:**
1. **Developing POC Visualization**: Real-time tracking of Point of Control migration throughout the session via blue dotted trail, revealing institutional accumulation/distribution patterns before they complete
2. **Multi-Method Delta Calculation**: Price Action-based, Bid/Ask estimation, and Cumulative methods for different market conditions
3. **Adaptive Timeframe System**: Auto-adjusts calculation parameters based on chart timeframe for optimal performance
4. **Flexible Profile Types**: N Bars Back (precise control), Days Back (calendar-based), and Session-based analysis modes
5. **Advanced Imbalance Detection**: Identifies and highlights significant buying/selling imbalances with configurable thresholds
6. **Comprehensive Alert System**: Monitors POC touches, Value Area entry/exit, and major volume imbalances
## HOW THE SCRIPT WORKS TECHNICALLY
### Core Volume Profile Methodology:
**1. Price Level Distribution:**
- Divides price range into user-defined rows (10-50 configurable)
- Calculates row height: `(Highest Price - Lowest Price) / Number of Rows`
- Distributes each bar's volume across price levels it touched proportionally
**2. Delta Volume Calculation Methods:**
**Price Action Method:**
```
Price Range = High - Low
Buy Pressure = (Close - Low) / Price Range
Sell Pressure = (High - Close) / Price Range
Buy Volume = Total Volume × Buy Pressure
Sell Volume = Total Volume × Sell Pressure
Delta = Buy Volume - Sell Volume
```
**Bid/Ask Estimation Method:**
```
Average Price = (High + Low + Close) / 3
Buy Volume = Close > Average ? Volume × 0.6 : Volume × 0.4
Sell Volume = Total Volume - Buy Volume
```
**Cumulative Method:**
```
Buy Volume = Close > Open ? Volume : Volume × 0.3
Sell Volume = Close ≤ Open ? Volume : Volume × 0.3
```
**3. Point of Control (POC) Identification:**
- Scans all price levels to find maximum volume concentration
- POC represents the price level with highest trading activity
- Acts as significant support/resistance level
- **Developing POC Feature**: Tracks POC evolution in real-time via blue dotted trail, showing how institutional interest migrates throughout the session. Upward POC migration indicates accumulation patterns, downward migration suggests distribution, providing early trend signals before price confirmation.
**4. Value Area Calculation:**
- Starts from POC and expands up/down to encompass 70% of total volume
- VAH (Value Area High): Upper boundary of value area
- VAL (Value Area Low): Lower boundary of value area
- Expansion algorithm prioritizes direction with higher volume
**5. Adaptive Range Selection:**
Based on profile type and timeframe optimization:
- **N Bars Back**: Fixed lookback period with performance optimization (20-500 bars)
- **Days Back**: Calendar-based analysis with automatic timeframe adjustment (1-365 days)
- **Session**: Current trading session or custom session times
### Performance Optimization Features:
- **Sampling Algorithm**: Reduces calculation load on large datasets while maintaining accuracy
- **Memory Management**: Clears previous drawings to prevent performance degradation
- **Safety Constraints**: Prevents excessive memory usage with configurable limits
## HOW TO USE THIS SCRIPT
### Initial Setup:
1. **Profile Configuration**: Select profile type based on trading style:
- N Bars Back: Precise control over data range
- Days Back: Intuitive calendar-based analysis
- Session: Real-time session development
2. **Row Density**: Set number of rows (30 default) - more rows = higher resolution, slower performance
3. **Delta Method**: Choose calculation method based on market type:
- Price Action: Best for trending markets
- Bid/Ask Estimate: Good for ranging markets
- Cumulative: Smoothed approach for volatile markets
4. **Visual Settings**: Configure colors, position (left/right), and display options
### Reading the Profile:
**Volume Bars:**
- **Length**: Represents relative volume at that price level
- **Color**: Green = net buying pressure, Red = net selling pressure
- **Intensity**: Darker colors indicate volume imbalances above threshold
**Key Levels:**
- **POC (Blue Line)**: Highest volume price - major support/resistance
- **VAH (Purple Dashed)**: Value Area High - upper boundary of fair value
- **VAL (Orange Dashed)**: Value Area Low - lower boundary of fair value
- **Value Area Fill**: Shaded region showing main trading range
**Developing POC Trail:**
- **Blue Dotted Lines**: Show real-time POC evolution throughout the session
- **Migration Patterns**: Upward trail indicates bullish accumulation, downward trail suggests bearish distribution
- **Early Signals**: POC movement often precedes price movement, providing advance warning of institutional activity
- **Institutional Footprints**: Reveals where smart money concentrated volume before final POC establishment
### Trading Applications:
**Support/Resistance Analysis:**
- POC acts as magnetic price level - expect reactions
- VAH/VAL provide intermediate support/resistance levels
- Profile edges show areas of low volume acceptance
**Developing POC Analysis:**
- **Upward Migration**: POC moving higher = institutional accumulation, bullish bias
- **Downward Migration**: POC moving lower = institutional distribution, bearish bias
- **Stable POC**: Tight clustering = balanced market, range-bound conditions
- **Early Trend Detection**: POC direction change often precedes price breakouts
**Entry Strategies:**
- Buy at VAL with POC as target (in uptrends)
- Sell at VAH with POC as target (in downtrends)
- Breakout plays above/below profile extremes
**Volume Imbalance Trading:**
- Strong buying imbalance (>60% threshold) suggests continued upward pressure
- Strong selling imbalance suggests continued downward pressure
- Imbalances near key levels provide high-probability setups
**Multi-Timeframe Context:**
- Use higher timeframe profiles for major levels
- Lower timeframe profiles for precise entries
- Session profiles for intraday trading structure
## SCRIPT SETTINGS EXPLANATION
### Volume Profile Settings:
- **Profile Type**: Determines data range for calculation
- N Bars Back: Exact number of bars (20-500 range)
- Days Back: Calendar days with timeframe adaptation (1-365 days)
- Session: Trading session-based (intraday focus)
- **Number of Rows**: Profile resolution (10-50 range)
- **Profile Width**: Visual width as chart percentage (10-50%)
- **Value Area %**: Volume percentage for VA calculation (50-90%, 70% standard)
- **Auto-Adjust**: Automatically optimizes for different timeframes
### Delta Volume Settings:
- **Show Delta Volume**: Enable/disable delta calculations
- **Delta Calculation Method**: Choose methodology based on market conditions
- **Highlight Imbalances**: Visual emphasis for significant volume imbalances
- **Imbalance Threshold**: Percentage for imbalance detection (50-90%)
### Session Settings:
- **Session Type**: Daily, Weekly, Monthly, or Custom periods
- **Custom Session Time**: Define specific trading hours
- **Previous Sessions**: Number of historical sessions to display
### Days Back Settings:
- **Lookback Days**: Number of calendar days to analyze (1-365)
- **Automatic Calculation**: Script automatically converts days to bars based on timeframe:
- Intraday: Accounts for 6.5 trading hours per day
- Daily: 1 bar per day
- Weekly/Monthly: Proportional adjustment
### N Bars Back Settings:
- **Lookback Bars**: Exact number of bars to analyze (20-500)
- **Precise Control**: Best for systematic analysis and backtesting
### Visual Customization:
- **Colors**: Bullish (green), Bearish (red), and level colors
- **Profile Position**: Left or Right side of chart
- **Profile Offset**: Distance from current price action
- **Labels**: Show/hide level labels and values
- **Smooth Profile Bars**: Enhanced visual appearance
### Alert Configuration:
- **POC Touch**: Alerts when price interacts with Point of Control
- **VA Entry/Exit**: Alerts for Value Area boundary interactions
- **Major Imbalance**: Alerts for significant volume imbalances
## VISUAL FEATURES
### Profile Display:
- **Horizontal Bars**: Volume distribution across price levels
- **Color Coding**: Delta-based coloring for directional bias
- **Smooth Rendering**: Optional smoothing for cleaner appearance
- **Transparency**: Configurable opacity for chart readability
### Level Lines:
- **POC**: Solid blue line with optional label
- **VAH/VAL**: Dashed colored lines with value displays
- **Extension**: Lines extend across relevant time periods
- **Value Area Fill**: Optional shaded region between VAH/VAL
### Information Table:
- **Current Values**: Real-time POC, VAH, VAL prices
- **VA Range**: Value Area width calculation
- **Positioning**: Multiple table positions available
- **Text Sizing**: Adjustable for different screen sizes
## IMPORTANT USAGE NOTES
**Realistic Expectations:**
- Volume profile analysis provides structural context, not trading signals
- Delta calculations are estimations based on price action, not actual order flow
- Past volume distribution does not guarantee future price behavior
- Combine with other analysis methods for comprehensive market view
**Best Practices:**
- Use appropriate profile types for your trading style:
- Day Trading: Session or Days Back (1-5 days)
- Swing Trading: Days Back (10-30 days) or N Bars Back
- Position Trading: Days Back (60-180 days)
- Consider market context (trending vs ranging conditions)
- Verify key levels with additional technical analysis
- Monitor profile development for changing market structure
**Performance Considerations:**
- Higher row counts increase calculation complexity
- Large lookback periods may affect chart performance
- Auto-adjust feature optimizes for most use cases
- Consider using session profiles for intraday efficiency
**Limitations:**
- Delta calculations are estimations, not actual transaction data
- Profile accuracy depends on available price/volume history
- Effectiveness varies across different instruments and market conditions
- Requires understanding of volume profile concepts for optimal use
**Data Requirements:**
- Requires volume data for accurate calculations
- Works best on liquid instruments with consistent volume
- May be less effective on very low volume or exotic instruments
This script serves as a comprehensive volume analysis tool for traders who need detailed market structure information with integrated directional bias analysis and real-time POC development tracking for informed trading decisions.
MACROFLOW 200 — Bias & Triggersstephtradez model
MACROFLOW 200 — at a glance (the elevator pitch)
Trade direction = Macro Bias + 1H 200 EMA filter + DXY confirm.
Locations = 1H supply/demand zones.
Triggers (15m): (T1) Retest rejection, (T2) Liquidity sweep + BOS/CHOCH, (T3) Momentum break + shallow pullback.
Stops: structure‑based beyond zone with ATR buffer.
Targets: 2R base, scale at 1.5R, trail to next HTF zone.
Sessions: 7–10 pm ET and 9:30–10:30 am ET.
Risk: tight, prop‑friendly max 1% per session
Bottom Reversal Radar — Berk v1.4Bottom Reversal Radar — Berk v1.4
What it does:
Combines RSI recovery after oversold, MACD bull cross, close above EMA8, near-EMA200 proximity, volume expansion, and simple bullish divergence (pivot lows) into a single score.
Signal: Trigger when Score ≥ Threshold (default 3). Set alert via Create Alert → “Dipten Dönüş — Ana Sinyal” → Once per bar close.
How it works
RSI recovery: After touching oversold (30), RSI crosses up 35 within last X bars.
MACD bull cross: MACD Line crosses above Signal.
Close above EMA8 and BOS (close above recent swing high) confirm momentum.
Near EMA200: Price within −5%…+2% band adds a point.
Volume spike: Volume ≥ 1.5× SMA(20) adds a point.
Bullish divergence: Lower price low + higher RSI low (pivot 3/3) adds a point.
Inputs
RSI(14), rsiOS=30, rsiRecover=35, Volume SMA(20) with 1.5× multiplier, EMA200 proximity band −5%…+2%, lookbackBars=5, Score threshold default 3.
Usage tips
Best on Daily / 4H. If too many false positives: raise threshold to 4 and volume to 1.8–2.0×.
Pair with Screener filters: RSI≥35, MACD Line>Signal, Price above EMA8, Volume/Avg(20)≥1.5, and near EMA200 (%).
Disclaimer
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Release notes (v1.4)
Fixed bullDiv typo; simplified visuals; Pine v5.
Tags: rsi, macd, ema, volume, divergence, reversal, trend, screener, bist, stocks, crypto
Becak I-series: Indicator Floating Panels v.80Becak I-series: Floating Panels v.80th (Indonesia Independence Days)
What it does:
This indicator creates three floating overlay panels that display MACD, RSI, and Stochastic oscillators directly on your price chart. Unlike traditional separate panes, these panels hover over your chart with customizable positioning and transparency, providing a clean, space-efficient way to monitor multiple technical indicators simultaneously.
When to use:
When you need to monitor momentum, trend strength, and overbought/oversold conditions without cluttering your workspace
Perfect for traders who want quick visual access to multiple oscillators while maintaining focus on price action
Ideal for any timeframe and asset class (stocks, crypto, forex, commodities)
How it works:
The script calculates standard MACD (12,26,9), RSI (14), and Stochastic (14,3,3) values, then renders them as floating panels with:
MACD Panel: Shows MACD line (blue), Signal line (orange), and histogram (green/red bars)
RSI Panel: Displays RSI line (purple) with overbought (70) and oversold (30) reference levels
Stochastic Panel: Shows %K (blue) and %D (orange) lines with optional buy/sell signals and highlighted overbought/oversold zones
Customization options:
Position: Choose Top, Bottom, or Auto-Center placement
Size: Adjust panel height (15-35% of chart) and spacing between panels
Positioning: Fine-tune vertical center offset and horizontal positioning
Appearance: Toggle panel backgrounds and adjust transparency (50-95%)
Parameters: Modify all indicator lengths and overbought/oversold levels
Signals: Enable/disable Stochastic crossover signals
Display: Control lookback period (30-100 bars) and right margin spacing
Universal compatibility: Works seamlessly across all asset types with automatic range detection and scaling.
DIRGAHAYU HARI KEMERDEKAAN KE 80 - INDONESIA ... MERDEKA!!!!!
Markov Chain [3D] | FractalystWhat exactly is a Markov Chain?
This indicator uses a Markov Chain model to analyze, quantify, and visualize the transitions between market regimes (Bull, Bear, Neutral) on your chart. It dynamically detects these regimes in real-time, calculates transition probabilities, and displays them as animated 3D spheres and arrows, giving traders intuitive insight into current and future market conditions.
How does a Markov Chain work, and how should I read this spheres-and-arrows diagram?
Think of three weather modes: Sunny, Rainy, Cloudy.
Each sphere is one mode. The loop on a sphere means “stay the same next step” (e.g., Sunny again tomorrow).
The arrows leaving a sphere show where things usually go next if they change (e.g., Sunny moving to Cloudy).
Some paths matter more than others. A more prominent loop means the current mode tends to persist. A more prominent outgoing arrow means a change to that destination is the usual next step.
Direction isn’t symmetric: moving Sunny→Cloudy can behave differently than Cloudy→Sunny.
Now relabel the spheres to markets: Bull, Bear, Neutral.
Spheres: market regimes (uptrend, downtrend, range).
Self‑loop: tendency for the current regime to continue on the next bar.
Arrows: the most common next regime if a switch happens.
How to read: Start at the sphere that matches current bar state. If the loop stands out, expect continuation. If one outgoing path stands out, that switch is the typical next step. Opposite directions can differ (Bear→Neutral doesn’t have to match Neutral→Bear).
What states and transitions are shown?
The three market states visualized are:
Bullish (Bull): Upward or strong-market regime.
Bearish (Bear): Downward or weak-market regime.
Neutral: Sideways or range-bound regime.
Bidirectional animated arrows and probability labels show how likely the market is to move from one regime to another (e.g., Bull → Bear or Neutral → Bull).
How does the regime detection system work?
You can use either built-in price returns (based on adaptive Z-score normalization) or supply three custom indicators (such as volume, oscillators, etc.).
Values are statistically normalized (Z-scored) over a configurable lookback period.
The normalized outputs are classified into Bull, Bear, or Neutral zones.
If using three indicators, their regime signals are averaged and smoothed for robustness.
How are transition probabilities calculated?
On every confirmed bar, the algorithm tracks the sequence of detected market states, then builds a rolling window of transitions.
The code maintains a transition count matrix for all regime pairs (e.g., Bull → Bear).
Transition probabilities are extracted for each possible state change using Laplace smoothing for numerical stability, and frequently updated in real-time.
What is unique about the visualization?
3D animated spheres represent each regime and change visually when active.
Animated, bidirectional arrows reveal transition probabilities and allow you to see both dominant and less likely regime flows.
Particles (moving dots) animate along the arrows, enhancing the perception of regime flow direction and speed.
All elements dynamically update with each new price bar, providing a live market map in an intuitive, engaging format.
Can I use custom indicators for regime classification?
Yes! Enable the "Custom Indicators" switch and select any three chart series as inputs. These will be normalized and combined (each with equal weight), broadening the regime classification beyond just price-based movement.
What does the “Lookback Period” control?
Lookback Period (default: 100) sets how much historical data builds the probability matrix. Shorter periods adapt faster to regime changes but may be noisier. Longer periods are more stable but slower to adapt.
How is this different from a Hidden Markov Model (HMM)?
It sets the window for both regime detection and probability calculations. Lower values make the system more reactive, but potentially noisier. Higher values smooth estimates and make the system more robust.
How is this Markov Chain different from a Hidden Markov Model (HMM)?
Markov Chain (as here): All market regimes (Bull, Bear, Neutral) are directly observable on the chart. The transition matrix is built from actual detected regimes, keeping the model simple and interpretable.
Hidden Markov Model: The actual regimes are unobservable ("hidden") and must be inferred from market output or indicator "emissions" using statistical learning algorithms. HMMs are more complex, can capture more subtle structure, but are harder to visualize and require additional machine learning steps for training.
A standard Markov Chain models transitions between observable states using a simple transition matrix, while a Hidden Markov Model assumes the true states are hidden (latent) and must be inferred from observable “emissions” like price or volume data. In practical terms, a Markov Chain is transparent and easier to implement and interpret; an HMM is more expressive but requires statistical inference to estimate hidden states from data.
Markov Chain: states are observable; you directly count or estimate transition probabilities between visible states. This makes it simpler, faster, and easier to validate and tune.
HMM: states are hidden; you only observe emissions generated by those latent states. Learning involves machine learning/statistical algorithms (commonly Baum–Welch/EM for training and Viterbi for decoding) to infer both the transition dynamics and the most likely hidden state sequence from data.
How does the indicator avoid “repainting” or look-ahead bias?
All regime changes and matrix updates happen only on confirmed (closed) bars, so no future data is leaked, ensuring reliable real-time operation.
Are there practical tuning tips?
Tune the Lookback Period for your asset/timeframe: shorter for fast markets, longer for stability.
Use custom indicators if your asset has unique regime drivers.
Watch for rapid changes in transition probabilities as early warning of a possible regime shift.
Who is this indicator for?
Quants and quantitative researchers exploring probabilistic market modeling, especially those interested in regime-switching dynamics and Markov models.
Programmers and system developers who need a probabilistic regime filter for systematic and algorithmic backtesting:
The Markov Chain indicator is ideally suited for programmatic integration via its bias output (1 = Bull, 0 = Neutral, -1 = Bear).
Although the visualization is engaging, the core output is designed for automated, rules-based workflows—not for discretionary/manual trading decisions.
Developers can connect the indicator’s output directly to their Pine Script logic (using input.source()), allowing rapid and robust backtesting of regime-based strategies.
It acts as a plug-and-play regime filter: simply plug the bias output into your entry/exit logic, and you have a scientifically robust, probabilistically-derived signal for filtering, timing, position sizing, or risk regimes.
The MC's output is intentionally "trinary" (1/0/-1), focusing on clear regime states for unambiguous decision-making in code. If you require nuanced, multi-probability or soft-label state vectors, consider expanding the indicator or stacking it with a probability-weighted logic layer in your scripting.
Because it avoids subjectivity, this approach is optimal for systematic quants, algo developers building backtested, repeatable strategies based on probabilistic regime analysis.
What's the mathematical foundation behind this?
The mathematical foundation behind this Markov Chain indicator—and probabilistic regime detection in finance—draws from two principal models: the (standard) Markov Chain and the Hidden Markov Model (HMM).
How to use this indicator programmatically?
The Markov Chain indicator automatically exports a bias value (+1 for Bullish, -1 for Bearish, 0 for Neutral) as a plot visible in the Data Window. This allows you to integrate its regime signal into your own scripts and strategies for backtesting, automation, or live trading.
Step-by-Step Integration with Pine Script (input.source)
Add the Markov Chain indicator to your chart.
This must be done first, since your custom script will "pull" the bias signal from the indicator's plot.
In your strategy, create an input using input.source()
Example:
//@version=5
strategy("MC Bias Strategy Example")
mcBias = input.source(close, "MC Bias Source")
After saving, go to your script’s settings. For the “MC Bias Source” input, select the plot/output of the Markov Chain indicator (typically its bias plot).
Use the bias in your trading logic
Example (long only on Bull, flat otherwise):
if mcBias == 1
strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)
else
strategy.close("Long")
For more advanced workflows, combine mcBias with additional filters or trailing stops.
How does this work behind-the-scenes?
TradingView’s input.source() lets you use any plot from another indicator as a real-time, “live” data feed in your own script (source).
The selected bias signal is available to your Pine code as a variable, enabling logical decisions based on regime (trend-following, mean-reversion, etc.).
This enables powerful strategy modularity : decouple regime detection from entry/exit logic, allowing fast experimentation without rewriting core signal code.
Integrating 45+ Indicators with Your Markov Chain — How & Why
The Enhanced Custom Indicators Export script exports a massive suite of over 45 technical indicators—ranging from classic momentum (RSI, MACD, Stochastic, etc.) to trend, volume, volatility, and oscillator tools—all pre-calculated, centered/scaled, and available as plots.
// Enhanced Custom Indicators Export - 45 Technical Indicators
// Comprehensive technical analysis suite for advanced market regime detection
//@version=6
indicator('Enhanced Custom Indicators Export | Fractalyst', shorttitle='Enhanced CI Export', overlay=false, scale=scale.right, max_labels_count=500, max_lines_count=500)
// |----- Input Parameters -----| //
momentum_group = "Momentum Indicators"
trend_group = "Trend Indicators"
volume_group = "Volume Indicators"
volatility_group = "Volatility Indicators"
oscillator_group = "Oscillator Indicators"
display_group = "Display Settings"
// Common lengths
length_14 = input.int(14, "Standard Length (14)", minval=1, maxval=100, group=momentum_group)
length_20 = input.int(20, "Medium Length (20)", minval=1, maxval=200, group=trend_group)
length_50 = input.int(50, "Long Length (50)", minval=1, maxval=200, group=trend_group)
// Display options
show_table = input.bool(true, "Show Values Table", group=display_group)
table_size = input.string("Small", "Table Size", options= , group=display_group)
// |----- MOMENTUM INDICATORS (15 indicators) -----| //
// 1. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
rsi_14 = ta.rsi(close, length_14)
rsi_centered = rsi_14 - 50
// 2. Stochastic Oscillator
stoch_k = ta.stoch(close, high, low, length_14)
stoch_d = ta.sma(stoch_k, 3)
stoch_centered = stoch_k - 50
// 3. Williams %R
williams_r = ta.stoch(close, high, low, length_14) - 100
// 4. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
= ta.macd(close, 12, 26, 9)
// 5. Momentum (Rate of Change)
momentum = ta.mom(close, length_14)
momentum_pct = (momentum / close ) * 100
// 6. Rate of Change (ROC)
roc = ta.roc(close, length_14)
// 7. Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
cci = ta.cci(close, length_20)
// 8. Money Flow Index (MFI)
mfi = ta.mfi(close, length_14)
mfi_centered = mfi - 50
// 9. Awesome Oscillator (AO)
ao = ta.sma(hl2, 5) - ta.sma(hl2, 34)
// 10. Accelerator Oscillator (AC)
ac = ao - ta.sma(ao, 5)
// 11. Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)
cmo = ta.cmo(close, length_14)
// 12. Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO)
dpo = close - ta.sma(close, length_20)
// 13. Price Oscillator (PPO)
ppo = ta.sma(close, 12) - ta.sma(close, 26)
ppo_pct = (ppo / ta.sma(close, 26)) * 100
// 14. TRIX
trix_ema1 = ta.ema(close, length_14)
trix_ema2 = ta.ema(trix_ema1, length_14)
trix_ema3 = ta.ema(trix_ema2, length_14)
trix = ta.roc(trix_ema3, 1) * 10000
// 15. Klinger Oscillator
klinger = ta.ema(volume * (high + low + close) / 3, 34) - ta.ema(volume * (high + low + close) / 3, 55)
// 16. Fisher Transform
fisher_hl2 = 0.5 * (hl2 - ta.lowest(hl2, 10)) / (ta.highest(hl2, 10) - ta.lowest(hl2, 10)) - 0.25
fisher = 0.5 * math.log((1 + fisher_hl2) / (1 - fisher_hl2))
// 17. Stochastic RSI
stoch_rsi = ta.stoch(rsi_14, rsi_14, rsi_14, length_14)
stoch_rsi_centered = stoch_rsi - 50
// 18. Relative Vigor Index (RVI)
rvi_num = ta.swma(close - open)
rvi_den = ta.swma(high - low)
rvi = rvi_den != 0 ? rvi_num / rvi_den : 0
// 19. Balance of Power (BOP)
bop = (close - open) / (high - low)
// |----- TREND INDICATORS (10 indicators) -----| //
// 20. Simple Moving Average Momentum
sma_20 = ta.sma(close, length_20)
sma_momentum = ((close - sma_20) / sma_20) * 100
// 21. Exponential Moving Average Momentum
ema_20 = ta.ema(close, length_20)
ema_momentum = ((close - ema_20) / ema_20) * 100
// 22. Parabolic SAR
sar = ta.sar(0.02, 0.02, 0.2)
sar_trend = close > sar ? 1 : -1
// 23. Linear Regression Slope
lr_slope = ta.linreg(close, length_20, 0) - ta.linreg(close, length_20, 1)
// 24. Moving Average Convergence (MAC)
mac = ta.sma(close, 10) - ta.sma(close, 30)
// 25. Trend Intensity Index (TII)
tii_sum = 0.0
for i = 1 to length_20
tii_sum += close > close ? 1 : 0
tii = (tii_sum / length_20) * 100
// 26. Ichimoku Cloud Components
ichimoku_tenkan = (ta.highest(high, 9) + ta.lowest(low, 9)) / 2
ichimoku_kijun = (ta.highest(high, 26) + ta.lowest(low, 26)) / 2
ichimoku_signal = ichimoku_tenkan > ichimoku_kijun ? 1 : -1
// 27. MESA Adaptive Moving Average (MAMA)
mama_alpha = 2.0 / (length_20 + 1)
mama = ta.ema(close, length_20)
mama_momentum = ((close - mama) / mama) * 100
// 28. Zero Lag Exponential Moving Average (ZLEMA)
zlema_lag = math.round((length_20 - 1) / 2)
zlema_data = close + (close - close )
zlema = ta.ema(zlema_data, length_20)
zlema_momentum = ((close - zlema) / zlema) * 100
// |----- VOLUME INDICATORS (6 indicators) -----| //
// 29. On-Balance Volume (OBV)
obv = ta.obv
// 30. Volume Rate of Change (VROC)
vroc = ta.roc(volume, length_14)
// 31. Price Volume Trend (PVT)
pvt = ta.pvt
// 32. Negative Volume Index (NVI)
nvi = 0.0
nvi := volume < volume ? nvi + ((close - close ) / close ) * nvi : nvi
// 33. Positive Volume Index (PVI)
pvi = 0.0
pvi := volume > volume ? pvi + ((close - close ) / close ) * pvi : pvi
// 34. Volume Oscillator
vol_osc = ta.sma(volume, 5) - ta.sma(volume, 10)
// 35. Ease of Movement (EOM)
eom_distance = high - low
eom_box_height = volume / 1000000
eom = eom_box_height != 0 ? eom_distance / eom_box_height : 0
eom_sma = ta.sma(eom, length_14)
// 36. Force Index
force_index = volume * (close - close )
force_index_sma = ta.sma(force_index, length_14)
// |----- VOLATILITY INDICATORS (10 indicators) -----| //
// 37. Average True Range (ATR)
atr = ta.atr(length_14)
atr_pct = (atr / close) * 100
// 38. Bollinger Bands Position
bb_basis = ta.sma(close, length_20)
bb_dev = 2.0 * ta.stdev(close, length_20)
bb_upper = bb_basis + bb_dev
bb_lower = bb_basis - bb_dev
bb_position = bb_dev != 0 ? (close - bb_basis) / bb_dev : 0
bb_width = bb_dev != 0 ? (bb_upper - bb_lower) / bb_basis * 100 : 0
// 39. Keltner Channels Position
kc_basis = ta.ema(close, length_20)
kc_range = ta.ema(ta.tr, length_20)
kc_upper = kc_basis + (2.0 * kc_range)
kc_lower = kc_basis - (2.0 * kc_range)
kc_position = kc_range != 0 ? (close - kc_basis) / kc_range : 0
// 40. Donchian Channels Position
dc_upper = ta.highest(high, length_20)
dc_lower = ta.lowest(low, length_20)
dc_basis = (dc_upper + dc_lower) / 2
dc_position = (dc_upper - dc_lower) != 0 ? (close - dc_basis) / (dc_upper - dc_lower) : 0
// 41. Standard Deviation
std_dev = ta.stdev(close, length_20)
std_dev_pct = (std_dev / close) * 100
// 42. Relative Volatility Index (RVI)
rvi_up = ta.stdev(close > close ? close : 0, length_14)
rvi_down = ta.stdev(close < close ? close : 0, length_14)
rvi_total = rvi_up + rvi_down
rvi_volatility = rvi_total != 0 ? (rvi_up / rvi_total) * 100 : 50
// 43. Historical Volatility
hv_returns = math.log(close / close )
hv = ta.stdev(hv_returns, length_20) * math.sqrt(252) * 100
// 44. Garman-Klass Volatility
gk_vol = math.log(high/low) * math.log(high/low) - (2*math.log(2)-1) * math.log(close/open) * math.log(close/open)
gk_volatility = math.sqrt(ta.sma(gk_vol, length_20)) * 100
// 45. Parkinson Volatility
park_vol = math.log(high/low) * math.log(high/low)
parkinson = math.sqrt(ta.sma(park_vol, length_20) / (4 * math.log(2))) * 100
// 46. Rogers-Satchell Volatility
rs_vol = math.log(high/close) * math.log(high/open) + math.log(low/close) * math.log(low/open)
rogers_satchell = math.sqrt(ta.sma(rs_vol, length_20)) * 100
// |----- OSCILLATOR INDICATORS (5 indicators) -----| //
// 47. Elder Ray Index
elder_bull = high - ta.ema(close, 13)
elder_bear = low - ta.ema(close, 13)
elder_power = elder_bull + elder_bear
// 48. Schaff Trend Cycle (STC)
stc_macd = ta.ema(close, 23) - ta.ema(close, 50)
stc_k = ta.stoch(stc_macd, stc_macd, stc_macd, 10)
stc_d = ta.ema(stc_k, 3)
stc = ta.stoch(stc_d, stc_d, stc_d, 10)
// 49. Coppock Curve
coppock_roc1 = ta.roc(close, 14)
coppock_roc2 = ta.roc(close, 11)
coppock = ta.wma(coppock_roc1 + coppock_roc2, 10)
// 50. Know Sure Thing (KST)
kst_roc1 = ta.roc(close, 10)
kst_roc2 = ta.roc(close, 15)
kst_roc3 = ta.roc(close, 20)
kst_roc4 = ta.roc(close, 30)
kst = ta.sma(kst_roc1, 10) + 2*ta.sma(kst_roc2, 10) + 3*ta.sma(kst_roc3, 10) + 4*ta.sma(kst_roc4, 15)
// 51. Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO)
ppo_line = ((ta.ema(close, 12) - ta.ema(close, 26)) / ta.ema(close, 26)) * 100
ppo_signal = ta.ema(ppo_line, 9)
ppo_histogram = ppo_line - ppo_signal
// |----- PLOT MAIN INDICATORS -----| //
// Plot key momentum indicators
plot(rsi_centered, title="01_RSI_Centered", color=color.purple, linewidth=1)
plot(stoch_centered, title="02_Stoch_Centered", color=color.blue, linewidth=1)
plot(williams_r, title="03_Williams_R", color=color.red, linewidth=1)
plot(macd_histogram, title="04_MACD_Histogram", color=color.orange, linewidth=1)
plot(cci, title="05_CCI", color=color.green, linewidth=1)
// Plot trend indicators
plot(sma_momentum, title="06_SMA_Momentum", color=color.navy, linewidth=1)
plot(ema_momentum, title="07_EMA_Momentum", color=color.maroon, linewidth=1)
plot(sar_trend, title="08_SAR_Trend", color=color.teal, linewidth=1)
plot(lr_slope, title="09_LR_Slope", color=color.lime, linewidth=1)
plot(mac, title="10_MAC", color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=1)
// Plot volatility indicators
plot(atr_pct, title="11_ATR_Pct", color=color.yellow, linewidth=1)
plot(bb_position, title="12_BB_Position", color=color.aqua, linewidth=1)
plot(kc_position, title="13_KC_Position", color=color.olive, linewidth=1)
plot(std_dev_pct, title="14_StdDev_Pct", color=color.silver, linewidth=1)
plot(bb_width, title="15_BB_Width", color=color.gray, linewidth=1)
// Plot volume indicators
plot(vroc, title="16_VROC", color=color.blue, linewidth=1)
plot(eom_sma, title="17_EOM", color=color.red, linewidth=1)
plot(vol_osc, title="18_Vol_Osc", color=color.green, linewidth=1)
plot(force_index_sma, title="19_Force_Index", color=color.orange, linewidth=1)
plot(obv, title="20_OBV", color=color.purple, linewidth=1)
// Plot additional oscillators
plot(ao, title="21_Awesome_Osc", color=color.navy, linewidth=1)
plot(cmo, title="22_CMO", color=color.maroon, linewidth=1)
plot(dpo, title="23_DPO", color=color.teal, linewidth=1)
plot(trix, title="24_TRIX", color=color.lime, linewidth=1)
plot(fisher, title="25_Fisher", color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=1)
// Plot more momentum indicators
plot(mfi_centered, title="26_MFI_Centered", color=color.yellow, linewidth=1)
plot(ac, title="27_AC", color=color.aqua, linewidth=1)
plot(ppo_pct, title="28_PPO_Pct", color=color.olive, linewidth=1)
plot(stoch_rsi_centered, title="29_StochRSI_Centered", color=color.silver, linewidth=1)
plot(klinger, title="30_Klinger", color=color.gray, linewidth=1)
// Plot trend continuation
plot(tii, title="31_TII", color=color.blue, linewidth=1)
plot(ichimoku_signal, title="32_Ichimoku_Signal", color=color.red, linewidth=1)
plot(mama_momentum, title="33_MAMA_Momentum", color=color.green, linewidth=1)
plot(zlema_momentum, title="34_ZLEMA_Momentum", color=color.orange, linewidth=1)
plot(bop, title="35_BOP", color=color.purple, linewidth=1)
// Plot volume continuation
plot(nvi, title="36_NVI", color=color.navy, linewidth=1)
plot(pvi, title="37_PVI", color=color.maroon, linewidth=1)
plot(momentum_pct, title="38_Momentum_Pct", color=color.teal, linewidth=1)
plot(roc, title="39_ROC", color=color.lime, linewidth=1)
plot(rvi, title="40_RVI", color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=1)
// Plot volatility continuation
plot(dc_position, title="41_DC_Position", color=color.yellow, linewidth=1)
plot(rvi_volatility, title="42_RVI_Volatility", color=color.aqua, linewidth=1)
plot(hv, title="43_Historical_Vol", color=color.olive, linewidth=1)
plot(gk_volatility, title="44_GK_Volatility", color=color.silver, linewidth=1)
plot(parkinson, title="45_Parkinson_Vol", color=color.gray, linewidth=1)
// Plot final oscillators
plot(rogers_satchell, title="46_RS_Volatility", color=color.blue, linewidth=1)
plot(elder_power, title="47_Elder_Power", color=color.red, linewidth=1)
plot(stc, title="48_STC", color=color.green, linewidth=1)
plot(coppock, title="49_Coppock", color=color.orange, linewidth=1)
plot(kst, title="50_KST", color=color.purple, linewidth=1)
// Plot final indicators
plot(ppo_histogram, title="51_PPO_Histogram", color=color.navy, linewidth=1)
plot(pvt, title="52_PVT", color=color.maroon, linewidth=1)
// |----- Reference Lines -----| //
hline(0, "Zero Line", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dashed, linewidth=1)
hline(50, "Midline", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dotted, linewidth=1)
hline(-50, "Lower Midline", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dotted, linewidth=1)
hline(25, "Upper Threshold", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dotted, linewidth=1)
hline(-25, "Lower Threshold", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dotted, linewidth=1)
// |----- Enhanced Information Table -----| //
if show_table and barstate.islast
table_position = position.top_right
table_text_size = table_size == "Tiny" ? size.tiny : table_size == "Small" ? size.small : size.normal
var table info_table = table.new(table_position, 3, 18, bgcolor=color.new(color.white, 85), border_width=1, border_color=color.gray)
// Headers
table.cell(info_table, 0, 0, 'Category', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 70))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 0, 'Indicator', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 70))
table.cell(info_table, 2, 0, 'Value', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 70))
// Key Momentum Indicators
table.cell(info_table, 0, 1, 'MOMENTUM', text_color=color.purple, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.purple, 90))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 1, 'RSI Centered', text_color=color.purple, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 1, str.tostring(rsi_centered, '0.00'), text_color=color.purple, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 2, '', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 2, 'Stoch Centered', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 2, str.tostring(stoch_centered, '0.00'), text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 3, '', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 3, 'Williams %R', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 3, str.tostring(williams_r, '0.00'), text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 4, '', text_color=color.orange, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 4, 'MACD Histogram', text_color=color.orange, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 4, str.tostring(macd_histogram, '0.000'), text_color=color.orange, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 5, '', text_color=color.green, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 5, 'CCI', text_color=color.green, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 5, str.tostring(cci, '0.00'), text_color=color.green, text_size=table_text_size)
// Key Trend Indicators
table.cell(info_table, 0, 6, 'TREND', text_color=color.navy, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.navy, 90))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 6, 'SMA Momentum %', text_color=color.navy, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 6, str.tostring(sma_momentum, '0.00'), text_color=color.navy, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 7, '', text_color=color.maroon, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 7, 'EMA Momentum %', text_color=color.maroon, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 7, str.tostring(ema_momentum, '0.00'), text_color=color.maroon, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 8, '', text_color=color.teal, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 8, 'SAR Trend', text_color=color.teal, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 8, str.tostring(sar_trend, '0'), text_color=color.teal, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 9, '', text_color=color.lime, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 9, 'Linear Regression', text_color=color.lime, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 9, str.tostring(lr_slope, '0.000'), text_color=color.lime, text_size=table_text_size)
// Key Volatility Indicators
table.cell(info_table, 0, 10, 'VOLATILITY', text_color=color.yellow, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.yellow, 90))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 10, 'ATR %', text_color=color.yellow, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 10, str.tostring(atr_pct, '0.00'), text_color=color.yellow, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 11, '', text_color=color.aqua, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 11, 'BB Position', text_color=color.aqua, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 11, str.tostring(bb_position, '0.00'), text_color=color.aqua, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 12, '', text_color=color.olive, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 12, 'KC Position', text_color=color.olive, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 12, str.tostring(kc_position, '0.00'), text_color=color.olive, text_size=table_text_size)
// Key Volume Indicators
table.cell(info_table, 0, 13, 'VOLUME', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 90))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 13, 'Volume ROC', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 13, str.tostring(vroc, '0.00'), text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 14, '', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 14, 'EOM', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 14, str.tostring(eom_sma, '0.000'), text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
// Key Oscillators
table.cell(info_table, 0, 15, 'OSCILLATORS', text_color=color.purple, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.purple, 90))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 15, 'Awesome Osc', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 15, str.tostring(ao, '0.000'), text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 16, '', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 16, 'Fisher Transform', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 16, str.tostring(fisher, '0.000'), text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
// Summary Statistics
table.cell(info_table, 0, 17, 'SUMMARY', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.gray, 70))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 17, 'Total Indicators: 52', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size)
regime_color = rsi_centered > 10 ? color.green : rsi_centered < -10 ? color.red : color.gray
regime_text = rsi_centered > 10 ? "BULLISH" : rsi_centered < -10 ? "BEARISH" : "NEUTRAL"
table.cell(info_table, 2, 17, regime_text, text_color=regime_color, text_size=table_text_size)
This makes it the perfect “indicator backbone” for quantitative and systematic traders who want to prototype, combine, and test new regime detection models—especially in combination with the Markov Chain indicator.
How to use this script with the Markov Chain for research and backtesting:
Add the Enhanced Indicator Export to your chart.
Every calculated indicator is available as an individual data stream.
Connect the indicator(s) you want as custom input(s) to the Markov Chain’s “Custom Indicators” option.
In the Markov Chain indicator’s settings, turn ON the custom indicator mode.
For each of the three custom indicator inputs, select the exported plot from the Enhanced Export script—the menu lists all 45+ signals by name.
This creates a powerful, modular regime-detection engine where you can mix-and-match momentum, trend, volume, or custom combinations for advanced filtering.
Backtest regime logic directly.
Once you’ve connected your chosen indicators, the Markov Chain script performs regime detection (Bull/Neutral/Bear) based on your selected features—not just price returns.
The regime detection is robust, automatically normalized (using Z-score), and outputs bias (1, -1, 0) for plug-and-play integration.
Export the regime bias for programmatic use.
As described above, use input.source() in your Pine Script strategy or system and link the bias output.
You can now filter signals, control trade direction/size, or design pairs-trading that respect true, indicator-driven market regimes.
With this framework, you’re not limited to static or simplistic regime filters. You can rigorously define, test, and refine what “market regime” means for your strategies—using the technical features that matter most to you.
Optimize your signal generation by backtesting across a universe of meaningful indicator blends.
Enhance risk management with objective, real-time regime boundaries.
Accelerate your research: iterate quickly, swap indicator components, and see results with minimal code changes.
Automate multi-asset or pairs-trading by integrating regime context directly into strategy logic.
Add both scripts to your chart, connect your preferred features, and start investigating your best regime-based trades—entirely within the TradingView ecosystem.
References & Further Reading
Ang, A., & Bekaert, G. (2002). “Regime Switches in Interest Rates.” Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(2), 163–182.
Hamilton, J. D. (1989). “A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle.” Econometrica, 57(2), 357–384.
Markov, A. A. (1906). "Extension of the Limit Theorems of Probability Theory to a Sum of Variables Connected in a Chain." The Notes of the Imperial Academy of Sciences of St. Petersburg.
Guidolin, M., & Timmermann, A. (2007). “Asset Allocation under Multivariate Regime Switching.” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 31(11), 3503–3544.
Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets. New York Institute of Finance.
Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). “Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns.” Journal of Finance, 47(5), 1731–1764.
Zucchini, W., MacDonald, I. L., & Langrock, R. (2017). Hidden Markov Models for Time Series: An Introduction Using R (2nd ed.). Chapman and Hall/CRC.
On Quantitative Finance and Markov Models:
Lo, A. W., & Hasanhodzic, J. (2009). The Heretics of Finance: Conversations with Leading Practitioners of Technical Analysis. Bloomberg Press.
Patterson, S. (2016). The Man Who Solved the Market: How Jim Simons Launched the Quant Revolution. Penguin Press.
TradingView Pine Script Documentation: www.tradingview.com
TradingView Blog: “Use an Input From Another Indicator With Your Strategy” www.tradingview.com
GeeksforGeeks: “What is the Difference Between Markov Chains and Hidden Markov Models?” www.geeksforgeeks.org
What makes this indicator original and unique?
- On‑chart, real‑time Markov. The chain is drawn directly on your chart. You see the current regime, its tendency to stay (self‑loop), and the usual next step (arrows) as bars confirm.
- Source‑agnostic by design. The engine runs on any series you select via input.source() — price, your own oscillator, a composite score, anything you compute in the script.
- Automatic normalization + regime mapping. Different inputs live on different scales. The script standardizes your chosen source and maps it into clear regimes (e.g., Bull / Bear / Neutral) without you micromanaging thresholds each time.
- Rolling, bar‑by‑bar learning. Transition tendencies are computed from a rolling window of confirmed bars. What you see is exactly what the market did in that window.
- Fast experimentation. Switch the source, adjust the window, and the Markov view updates instantly. It’s a rapid way to test ideas and feel regime persistence/switch behavior.
Integrate your own signals (using input.source())
- In settings, choose the Source . This is powered by input.source() .
- Feed it price, an indicator you compute inside the script, or a custom composite series.
- The script will automatically normalize that series and process it through the Markov engine, mapping it to regimes and updating the on‑chart spheres/arrows in real time.
Credits:
Deep gratitude to @RicardoSantos for both the foundational Markov chain processing engine and inspiring open-source contributions, which made advanced probabilistic market modeling accessible to the TradingView community.
Special thanks to @Alien_Algorithms for the innovative and visually stunning 3D sphere logic that powers the indicator’s animated, regime-based visualization.
Disclaimer
This tool summarizes recent behavior. It is not financial advice and not a guarantee of future results.
Inicator open NYSEИндикатор отображает линией время открытие биржи NYSE в 9:30 по UTC-(New York).
Дополнительно он отображает в будущих днях.
----
The indicator displays a line at the opening of the NYSE at 9:30 UTC-(New York).
Additionally, it is displayed on subsequent days.
Coin Jin Multi SMA+ BB+ SMA forecast Ver 2.0Coin Jin Multi SMA + BB + SMA Forecast 2.0
개요
여러 개의 단순이동평균(SMA: 5/20/60/112/224/448/896 + 사용자 정의 X1/X2), 볼린저 밴드(BB), 그리고 접선 기반 곡선 예측선을 한 번에 표시합니다. 예측선은 선형회귀 기울기와 그 변화율(가속도)을 EMA로 스무딩해 곡선 외삽으로 앞으로 그려지며, 어떤 줌에서도 깔끔하게 보이도록 점선(dotted) 스타일을 강제할 수 있습니다.
스택 마커(정배열/역배열) 안내
조건: 이동평균이 정배열(5>20>60>112>224>448>(896)) 또는 역배열(5<20<60<112<224<448<(896))로 새로 전환되는 순간 삼각형 마커가 생성됩니다.
896일선 포함(with 896): SOLID 마커로 표시, Bull = 초록색, Bear = 빨간색.
896일선 미포함(no 896): HOLLOW(윤곽) 마커로 표시, 시선을 덜 끌도록 투명도 70 적용(Bull = 연두, Bear = 빨강 동일색).
방향: Bull = ▼(위, abovebar) / Bear = ▲(아래, belowbar) 로 배치됩니다.
주요 기능
SMA 7종 기본 + 사용자 정의 SMA 2개(X1/X2) 추가(기본 꺼짐, 길이/색/두께/타입 자유).
BB: 길이/배수/선두께/밴드 채움(기본 90% 투명) 지원.
예측선: Forward bars(1–100, 기본 30), 기울기 산출 길이, 스무딩 강도, 세그먼트 개수, 점/대시 스타일 선택 및 도트 강제.
스택(정/역배열) 전환 마커: with 896=SOLID, no 896=HOLLOW(투명도 70).
처음 사용하는 분들을 위한 팁 (중요)
가격 스케일을 ‘우측’으로 고정하세요.
방법 ① 차트 우측 축을 사용(기본).
방법 ② 지표 레전드의 ‘⋯’ 메뉴 → Move to → Right scale.
예측선이 본선과 어긋나 보이면 스케일이 좌측/양측으로 되어 있거나 자동 합침된 경우이니 Right scale로 맞춰주세요.
입력 요약
MA Source, 각 SMA on/off·길이·색·두께·타입
BB length/mult/width/fill/opacity(기본 90)
Forecast bars ahead(1–100), slope lookback, smoothing, segments, style/opacity, 적용 대상 선택(SMA별)
주의/면책
예측선은 가격 예언 도구가 아니라 시각적 외삽 보조지표입니다. 단독 매매 판단에 사용하지 마세요.
공개 스크린샷은 본 지표만 보이도록 깔끔하게 캡처해 주세요(다른 지표/드로잉 혼합 금지).
변경사항(v2.0)
곡선 예측선 안정화 및 도트 강제 개선.
스택 마커 no 896 상태 HOLLOW 투명도 70 적용(가독성 향상).
사용자 정의 SMA X1/X2 추가(기본 OFF).
Coin Jin Multi SMA + BB + SMA Forecast 2.0 (English)
Overview
This indicator plots multiple Simple Moving Averages (SMA: 5/20/60/112/224/448/896 + two user-defined X1/X2), Bollinger Bands, and a tangent-based curved forecast in one overlay. The forecast extrapolates forward using the linear-regression slope and its rate of change (acceleration) smoothed by EMA, and you can force a dotted look so it stays clean at any zoom level.
Stack Markers (Bullish/Bearish alignment)
Markers appear only when a full bullish stack (5>20>60>112>224>448>(896)) or bearish stack (5<20<60<112<224<448<(896)) is newly formed.
With 896 included: shown as SOLID triangles — Bull = green, Bear = red.
Without 896: shown as HOLLOW (outline) with 70 transparency to reduce visual weight — Bull = lime, Bear = red (same hue).
Orientation: Bull = ▼ abovebar, Bear = ▲ belowbar.
Features
7 standard SMAs + two custom SMAs (X1/X2) (default OFF; fully configurable length/color/width/style).
BB with length/multiplier/width/fill (default fill opacity 90%).
Forecast controls: forward bars (1–100, default 30), slope window, smoothing, segment count, style/opacity, force dotted option.
Stack markers: with 896 = SOLID, without 896 = HOLLOW (70 transparency).
First-time setup (Important)
Pin the indicator to the Right price scale.
Option A: Use the right price axis.
Option B: Indicator legend “⋯” → Move to → Right scale.
If the forecast appears detached from the MA, your series is likely on the left/both scales; switch to Right scale.
Inputs
MA source; per-SMA on/off, length, color, width, style
BB length/multiplier/width/fill/opacity (default 90)
Forecast bars ahead (1–100), slope lookback, smoothing, segments, style/opacity, per-SMA apply switches
Disclaimer
The forecast is a visual extrapolation, not a price prediction. Do not use it alone to make trading decisions.
For publication, please use a clean screenshot that shows only this indicator (no mixed overlays).
What’s new in v2.0
More robust curved forecast with improved “force dotted” rendering.
HOLLOW (no 896) markers now use 70 transparency for better readability.
Added two user-defined SMAs (X1/X2), OFF by default.
Ray Dalio's All Weather Strategy - Portfolio CalculatorTHE ALL WEATHER STRATEGY INDICATOR: A GUIDE TO RAY DALIO'S LEGENDARY PORTFOLIO APPROACH
Introduction: The Genesis of Financial Resilience
In the sprawling corridors of Bridgewater Associates, the world's largest hedge fund managing over 150 billion dollars in assets, Ray Dalio conceived what would become one of the most influential investment strategies of the modern era. The All Weather Strategy, born from decades of market observation and rigorous backtesting, represents a paradigm shift from traditional portfolio construction methods that have dominated Wall Street since Harry Markowitz's seminal work on Modern Portfolio Theory in 1952.
Unlike conventional approaches that chase returns through market timing or stock picking, the All Weather Strategy embraces a fundamental truth that has humbled countless investors throughout history: nobody can consistently predict the future direction of markets. Instead of fighting this uncertainty, Dalio's approach harnesses it, creating a portfolio designed to perform reasonably well across all economic environments, hence the evocative name "All Weather."
The strategy emerged from Bridgewater's extensive research into economic cycles and asset class behavior, culminating in what Dalio describes as "the Holy Grail of investing" in his bestselling book "Principles" (Dalio, 2017). This Holy Grail isn't about achieving spectacular returns, but rather about achieving consistent, risk-adjusted returns that compound steadily over time, much like the tortoise defeating the hare in Aesop's timeless fable.
HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT AND EVOLUTION
The All Weather Strategy's origins trace back to the tumultuous economic periods of the 1970s and 1980s, when traditional portfolio construction methods proved inadequate for navigating simultaneous inflation and recession. Raymond Thomas Dalio, born in 1949 in Queens, New York, founded Bridgewater Associates from his Manhattan apartment in 1975, initially focusing on currency and fixed-income consulting for corporate clients.
Dalio's early experiences during the 1970s stagflation period profoundly shaped his investment philosophy. Unlike many of his contemporaries who viewed inflation and deflation as opposing forces, Dalio recognized that both conditions could coexist with either economic growth or contraction, creating four distinct economic environments rather than the traditional two-factor models that dominated academic finance.
The conceptual breakthrough came in the late 1980s when Dalio began systematically analyzing asset class performance across different economic regimes. Working with a small team of researchers, Bridgewater developed sophisticated models that decomposed economic conditions into growth and inflation components, then mapped historical asset class returns against these regimes. This research revealed that traditional portfolio construction, heavily weighted toward stocks and bonds, left investors vulnerable to specific economic scenarios.
The formal All Weather Strategy emerged in 1996 when Bridgewater was approached by a wealthy family seeking a portfolio that could protect their wealth across various economic conditions without requiring active management or market timing. Unlike Bridgewater's flagship Pure Alpha fund, which relied on active trading and leverage, the All Weather approach needed to be completely passive and unleveraged while still providing adequate diversification.
Dalio and his team spent months developing and testing various allocation schemes, ultimately settling on the 30/40/15/7.5/7.5 framework that balances risk contributions rather than dollar amounts. This approach was revolutionary because it focused on risk budgeting—ensuring that no single asset class dominated the portfolio's risk profile—rather than the traditional approach of equal dollar allocations or market-cap weighting.
The strategy's first institutional implementation began in 1996 with a family office client, followed by gradual expansion to other wealthy families and eventually institutional investors. By 2005, Bridgewater was managing over $15 billion in All Weather assets, making it one of the largest systematic strategy implementations in institutional investing.
The 2008 financial crisis provided the ultimate test of the All Weather methodology. While the S&P 500 declined by 37% and many hedge funds suffered double-digit losses, the All Weather strategy generated positive returns, validating Dalio's risk-balancing approach. This performance during extreme market stress attracted significant institutional attention, leading to rapid asset growth in subsequent years.
The strategy's theoretical foundations evolved throughout the 2000s as Bridgewater's research team, led by co-chief investment officers Greg Jensen and Bob Prince, refined the economic framework and incorporated insights from behavioral economics and complexity theory. Their research, published in numerous institutional white papers, demonstrated that traditional portfolio optimization methods consistently underperformed simpler risk-balanced approaches across various time periods and market conditions.
Academic validation came through partnerships with leading business schools and collaboration with prominent economists. The strategy's risk parity principles influenced an entire generation of institutional investors, leading to the creation of numerous risk parity funds managing hundreds of billions in aggregate assets.
In recent years, the democratization of sophisticated financial tools has made All Weather-style investing accessible to individual investors through ETFs and systematic platforms. The availability of high-quality, low-cost ETFs covering each required asset class has eliminated many of the barriers that previously limited sophisticated portfolio construction to institutional investors.
The development of advanced portfolio management software and platforms like TradingView has further democratized access to institutional-quality analytics and implementation tools. The All Weather Strategy Indicator represents the culmination of this trend, providing individual investors with capabilities that previously required teams of portfolio managers and risk analysts.
Understanding the Four Economic Seasons
The All Weather Strategy's theoretical foundation rests on Dalio's observation that all economic environments can be characterized by two primary variables: economic growth and inflation. These variables create four distinct "economic seasons," each favoring different asset classes. Rising growth benefits stocks and commodities, while falling growth favors bonds. Rising inflation helps commodities and inflation-protected securities, while falling inflation benefits nominal bonds and stocks.
This framework, detailed extensively in Bridgewater's research papers from the 1990s, suggests that by holding assets that perform well in each economic season, an investor can create a portfolio that remains resilient regardless of which season unfolds. The elegance lies not in predicting which season will occur, but in being prepared for all of them simultaneously.
Academic research supports this multi-environment approach. Ang and Bekaert (2002) demonstrated that regime changes in economic conditions significantly impact asset returns, while Fama and French (2004) showed that different asset classes exhibit varying sensitivities to economic factors. The All Weather Strategy essentially operationalizes these academic insights into a practical investment framework.
The Original All Weather Allocation: Simplicity Masquerading as Sophistication
The core All Weather portfolio, as implemented by Bridgewater for institutional clients and later adapted for retail investors, maintains a deceptively simple static allocation: 30% stocks, 40% long-term bonds, 15% intermediate-term bonds, 7.5% commodities, and 7.5% Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). This allocation may appear arbitrary to the uninitiated, but each percentage reflects careful consideration of historical volatilities, correlations, and economic sensitivities.
The 30% stock allocation provides growth exposure while limiting the portfolio's overall volatility. Stocks historically deliver superior long-term returns but with significant volatility, as evidenced by the Standard & Poor's 500 Index's average annual return of approximately 10% since 1926, accompanied by standard deviation exceeding 15% (Ibbotson Associates, 2023). By limiting stock exposure to 30%, the portfolio captures much of the equity risk premium while avoiding excessive volatility.
The combined 55% allocation to bonds (40% long-term plus 15% intermediate-term) serves as the portfolio's stabilizing force. Long-term bonds provide substantial interest rate sensitivity, performing well during economic slowdowns when central banks reduce rates. Intermediate-term bonds offer a balance between interest rate sensitivity and reduced duration risk. This bond-heavy allocation reflects Dalio's insight that bonds typically exhibit lower volatility than stocks while providing essential diversification benefits.
The 7.5% commodities allocation addresses inflation protection, as commodity prices typically rise during inflationary periods. Historical analysis by Bodie and Rosansky (1980) demonstrated that commodities provide meaningful diversification benefits and inflation hedging capabilities, though with considerable volatility. The relatively small allocation reflects commodities' high volatility and mixed long-term returns.
Finally, the 7.5% TIPS allocation provides explicit inflation protection through government-backed securities whose principal and interest payments adjust with inflation. Introduced by the U.S. Treasury in 1997, TIPS have proven effective inflation hedges, though they underperform nominal bonds during deflationary periods (Campbell & Viceira, 2001).
Historical Performance: The Evidence Speaks
Analyzing the All Weather Strategy's historical performance reveals both its strengths and limitations. Using monthly return data from 1970 to 2023, spanning over five decades of varying economic conditions, the strategy has delivered compelling risk-adjusted returns while experiencing lower volatility than traditional stock-heavy portfolios.
During this period, the All Weather allocation generated an average annual return of approximately 8.2%, compared to 10.5% for the S&P 500 Index. However, the strategy's annual volatility measured just 9.1%, substantially lower than the S&P 500's 15.8% volatility. This translated to a Sharpe ratio of 0.67 for the All Weather Strategy versus 0.54 for the S&P 500, indicating superior risk-adjusted performance.
More impressively, the strategy's maximum drawdown over this period was 12.3%, occurring during the 2008 financial crisis, compared to the S&P 500's maximum drawdown of 50.9% during the same period. This drawdown mitigation proves crucial for long-term wealth building, as Stein and DeMuth (2003) demonstrated that avoiding large losses significantly impacts compound returns over time.
The strategy performed particularly well during periods of economic stress. During the 1970s stagflation, when stocks and bonds both struggled, the All Weather portfolio's commodity and TIPS allocations provided essential protection. Similarly, during the 2000-2002 dot-com crash and the 2008 financial crisis, the portfolio's bond-heavy allocation cushioned losses while maintaining positive returns in several years when stocks declined significantly.
However, the strategy underperformed during sustained bull markets, particularly the 1990s technology boom and the 2010s post-financial crisis recovery. This underperformance reflects the strategy's conservative nature and diversified approach, which sacrifices potential upside for downside protection. As Dalio frequently emphasizes, the All Weather Strategy prioritizes "not losing money" over "making a lot of money."
Implementing the All Weather Strategy: A Practical Guide
The All Weather Strategy Indicator transforms Dalio's institutional-grade approach into an accessible tool for individual investors. The indicator provides real-time portfolio tracking, rebalancing signals, and performance analytics, eliminating much of the complexity traditionally associated with implementing sophisticated allocation strategies.
To begin implementation, investors must first determine their investable capital. As detailed analysis reveals, the All Weather Strategy requires meaningful capital to implement effectively due to transaction costs, minimum investment requirements, and the need for precise allocations across five different asset classes.
For portfolios below $50,000, the strategy becomes challenging to implement efficiently. Transaction costs consume a disproportionate share of returns, while the inability to purchase fractional shares creates allocation drift. Consider an investor with $25,000 attempting to allocate 7.5% to commodities through the iPath Bloomberg Commodity Index ETF (DJP), currently trading around $25 per share. This allocation targets $1,875, enough for only 75 shares, creating immediate tracking error.
At $50,000, implementation becomes feasible but not optimal. The 30% stock allocation ($15,000) purchases approximately 37 shares of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) at current prices around $400 per share. The 40% long-term bond allocation ($20,000) buys 200 shares of the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) at approximately $100 per share. While workable, these allocations leave significant cash drag and rebalancing challenges.
The optimal minimum for individual implementation appears to be $100,000. At this level, each allocation becomes substantial enough for precise implementation while keeping transaction costs below 0.4% annually. The $30,000 stock allocation, $40,000 long-term bond allocation, $15,000 intermediate-term bond allocation, $7,500 commodity allocation, and $7,500 TIPS allocation each provide sufficient size for effective management.
For investors with $250,000 or more, the strategy implementation approaches institutional quality. Allocation precision improves, transaction costs decline as a percentage of assets, and rebalancing becomes highly efficient. These larger portfolios can also consider adding complexity through international diversification or alternative implementations.
The indicator recommends quarterly rebalancing to balance transaction costs with allocation discipline. Monthly rebalancing increases costs without substantial benefits for most investors, while annual rebalancing allows excessive drift that can meaningfully impact performance. Quarterly rebalancing, typically on the first trading day of each quarter, provides an optimal balance.
Understanding the Indicator's Functionality
The All Weather Strategy Indicator operates as a comprehensive portfolio management system, providing multiple analytical layers that professional money managers typically reserve for institutional clients. This sophisticated tool transforms Ray Dalio's institutional-grade strategy into an accessible platform for individual investors, offering features that rival professional portfolio management software.
The indicator's core architecture consists of several interconnected modules that work seamlessly together to provide complete portfolio oversight. At its foundation lies a real-time portfolio simulation engine that tracks the exact value of each ETF position based on current market prices, eliminating the need for manual calculations or external spreadsheets.
DETAILED INDICATOR COMPONENTS AND FUNCTIONS
Portfolio Configuration Module
The portfolio setup begins with the Portfolio Configuration section, which establishes the fundamental parameters for strategy implementation. The Portfolio Capital input accepts values from $1,000 to $10,000,000, accommodating everyone from beginning investors to institutional clients. This input directly drives all subsequent calculations, determining exact share quantities and portfolio values throughout the implementation period.
The Portfolio Start Date function allows users to specify when they began implementing the All Weather Strategy, creating a clear demarcation point for performance tracking. This feature proves essential for investors who want to track their actual implementation against theoretical performance, providing realistic assessment of strategy effectiveness including timing differences and implementation costs.
Rebalancing Frequency settings offer two options: Monthly and Quarterly. While monthly rebalancing provides more precise allocation control, quarterly rebalancing typically proves more cost-effective for most investors due to reduced transaction costs. The indicator automatically detects the first trading day of each period, ensuring rebalancing occurs at optimal times regardless of weekends, holidays, or market closures.
The Rebalancing Threshold parameter, adjustable from 0.5% to 10%, determines when allocation drift triggers rebalancing recommendations. Conservative settings like 1-2% maintain tight allocation control but increase trading frequency, while wider thresholds like 3-5% reduce trading costs but allow greater allocation drift. This flexibility accommodates different risk tolerances and cost structures.
Visual Display System
The Show All Weather Calculator toggle controls the main dashboard visibility, allowing users to focus on chart visualization when detailed metrics aren't needed. When enabled, this comprehensive dashboard displays current portfolio value, individual ETF allocations, target versus actual weights, rebalancing status, and performance metrics in a professionally formatted table.
Economic Environment Display provides context about current market conditions based on growth and inflation indicators. While simplified compared to Bridgewater's sophisticated regime detection, this feature helps users understand which economic "season" currently prevails and which asset classes should theoretically benefit.
Rebalancing Signals illuminate when portfolio drift exceeds user-defined thresholds, highlighting specific ETFs that require adjustment. These signals use color coding to indicate urgency: green for balanced allocations, yellow for moderate drift, and red for significant deviations requiring immediate attention.
Advanced Label System
The rebalancing label system represents one of the indicator's most innovative features, providing three distinct detail levels to accommodate different user needs and experience levels. The "None" setting displays simple symbols marking portfolio start and rebalancing events without cluttering the chart with text. This minimal approach suits experienced investors who understand the implications of each symbol.
"Basic" label mode shows essential information including portfolio values at each rebalancing point, enabling quick assessment of strategy performance over time. These labels display "START $X" for portfolio initiation and "RBL $Y" for rebalancing events, providing clear performance tracking without overwhelming detail.
"Detailed" labels provide comprehensive trading instructions including exact buy and sell quantities for each ETF. These labels might display "RBL $125,000 BUY 15 SPY SELL 25 TLT BUY 8 IEF NO TRADES DJP SELL 12 SCHP" providing complete implementation guidance. This feature essentially transforms the indicator into a personal portfolio manager, eliminating guesswork about exact trades required.
Professional Color Themes
Eight professionally designed color themes adapt the indicator's appearance to different aesthetic preferences and market analysis styles. The "Gold" theme reflects traditional wealth management aesthetics, while "EdgeTools" provides modern professional appearance. "Behavioral" uses psychologically informed colors that reinforce disciplined decision-making, while "Quant" employs high-contrast combinations favored by quantitative analysts.
"Ocean," "Fire," "Matrix," and "Arctic" themes provide distinctive visual identities for traders who prefer unique chart aesthetics. Each theme automatically adjusts for dark or light mode optimization, ensuring optimal readability across different TradingView configurations.
Real-Time Portfolio Tracking
The portfolio simulation engine continuously tracks five separate ETF positions: SPY for stocks, TLT for long-term bonds, IEF for intermediate-term bonds, DJP for commodities, and SCHP for TIPS. Each position's value updates in real-time based on current market prices, providing instant feedback about portfolio performance and allocation drift.
Current share calculations determine exact holdings based on the most recent rebalancing, while target shares reflect optimal allocation based on current portfolio value. Trade calculations show precisely how many shares to buy or sell during rebalancing, eliminating manual calculations and potential errors.
Performance Analytics Suite
The indicator's performance measurement capabilities rival professional portfolio analysis software. Sharpe ratio calculations incorporate current risk-free rates obtained from Treasury yield data, providing accurate risk-adjusted performance assessment. Volatility measurements use rolling periods to capture changing market conditions while maintaining statistical significance.
Portfolio return calculations track both absolute and relative performance, comparing the All Weather implementation against individual asset classes and benchmark indices. These metrics update continuously, providing real-time assessment of strategy effectiveness and implementation quality.
Data Quality Monitoring
Sophisticated data quality checks ensure reliable indicator operation across different market conditions and potential data interruptions. The system monitors all five ETF price feeds plus economic data sources, providing quality scores that alert users to potential data issues that might affect calculations.
When data quality degrades, the indicator automatically switches to fallback values or alternative data sources, maintaining functionality during temporary market data interruptions. This robust design ensures consistent operation even during volatile market conditions when data feeds occasionally experience disruptions.
Risk Management and Behavioral Considerations
Despite its sophisticated design, the All Weather Strategy faces behavioral challenges that have derailed countless well-intentioned investment plans. The strategy's conservative nature means it will underperform growth stocks during bull markets, potentially by substantial margins. Maintaining discipline during these periods requires understanding that the strategy optimizes for risk-adjusted returns over absolute returns.
Behavioral finance research by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) demonstrates that investors feel losses approximately twice as intensely as equivalent gains. This loss aversion creates powerful psychological pressure to abandon defensive strategies during bull markets when aggressive portfolios appear more attractive. The All Weather Strategy's bond-heavy allocation will seem overly conservative when technology stocks double in value, as occurred repeatedly during the 2010s.
Conversely, the strategy's defensive characteristics provide psychological comfort during market stress. When stocks crash 30-50%, as they periodically do, the All Weather portfolio's modest losses feel manageable rather than catastrophic. This emotional stability enables investors to maintain their investment discipline when others capitulate, often at the worst possible times.
Rebalancing discipline presents another behavioral challenge. Selling winners to buy losers contradicts natural human tendencies but remains essential for the strategy's success. When stocks have outperformed bonds for several quarters, rebalancing requires selling high-performing stock positions to purchase seemingly stagnant bond positions. This action feels counterintuitive but captures the strategy's systematic approach to risk management.
Tax considerations add complexity for taxable accounts. Frequent rebalancing generates taxable events that can erode after-tax returns, particularly for high-income investors facing elevated capital gains rates. Tax-advantaged accounts like 401(k)s and IRAs provide ideal vehicles for All Weather implementation, eliminating tax friction from rebalancing activities.
Capital Requirements and Cost Analysis
Comprehensive cost analysis reveals the capital requirements for effective All Weather implementation. Annual expenses include management fees for each ETF, transaction costs from rebalancing, and bid-ask spreads from trading less liquid securities.
ETF expense ratios vary significantly across asset classes. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF charges 0.09% annually, while the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF charges 0.20%. The iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF charges 0.15%, the Schwab US TIPS ETF charges 0.05%, and the iPath Bloomberg Commodity Index ETF charges 0.75%. Weighted by the All Weather allocations, total expense ratios average approximately 0.19% annually.
Transaction costs depend heavily on broker selection and account size. Premium brokers like Interactive Brokers charge $1-2 per trade, resulting in $20-40 annually for quarterly rebalancing. Discount brokers may charge higher per-trade fees but offer commission-free ETF trading for selected funds. Zero-commission brokers eliminate explicit trading costs but often impose wider bid-ask spreads that function as hidden fees.
Bid-ask spreads represent the difference between buying and selling prices for each security. Highly liquid ETFs like SPY maintain spreads of 1-2 basis points, while less liquid commodity ETFs may exhibit spreads of 5-10 basis points. These costs accumulate through rebalancing activities, typically totaling 10-15 basis points annually.
For a $100,000 portfolio, total annual costs including expense ratios, transaction fees, and spreads typically range from 0.35% to 0.45%, or $350-450 annually. These costs decline as a percentage of assets as portfolio size increases, reaching approximately 0.25% for portfolios exceeding $250,000.
Comparing costs to potential benefits reveals the strategy's value proposition. Historical analysis suggests the All Weather approach reduces portfolio volatility by 35-40% compared to stock-heavy allocations while maintaining competitive returns. This volatility reduction provides substantial value during market stress, potentially preventing behavioral mistakes that destroy long-term wealth.
Alternative Implementations and Customizations
While the original All Weather allocation provides an excellent starting point, investors may consider modifications based on personal circumstances, market conditions, or geographic considerations. International diversification represents one potential enhancement, adding exposure to developed and emerging market bonds and equities.
Geographic customization becomes important for non-US investors. European investors might replace US Treasury bonds with German Bunds or broader European government bond indices. Currency hedging decisions add complexity but may reduce volatility for investors whose spending occurs in non-dollar currencies.
Tax-location strategies optimize after-tax returns by placing tax-inefficient assets in tax-advantaged accounts while holding tax-efficient assets in taxable accounts. TIPS and commodity ETFs generate ordinary income taxed at higher rates, making them candidates for retirement account placement. Stock ETFs generate qualified dividends and long-term capital gains taxed at lower rates, making them suitable for taxable accounts.
Some investors prefer implementing the bond allocation through individual Treasury securities rather than ETFs, eliminating management fees while gaining precise maturity control. Treasury auctions provide access to new securities without bid-ask spreads, though this approach requires more sophisticated portfolio management.
Factor-based implementations replace broad market ETFs with factor-tilted alternatives. Value-tilted stock ETFs, quality-focused bond ETFs, or momentum-based commodity indices may enhance returns while maintaining the All Weather framework's diversification benefits. However, these modifications introduce additional complexity and potential tracking error.
Conclusion: Embracing the Long Game
The All Weather Strategy represents more than an investment approach; it embodies a philosophy of financial resilience that prioritizes sustainable wealth building over speculative gains. In an investment landscape increasingly dominated by algorithmic trading, meme stocks, and cryptocurrency volatility, Dalio's methodical approach offers a refreshing alternative grounded in economic theory and historical evidence.
The strategy's greatest strength lies not in its potential for extraordinary returns, but in its capacity to deliver reasonable returns across diverse economic environments while protecting capital during market stress. This characteristic becomes increasingly valuable as investors approach or enter retirement, when portfolio preservation assumes greater importance than aggressive growth.
Implementation requires discipline, adequate capital, and realistic expectations. The strategy will underperform growth-oriented approaches during bull markets while providing superior downside protection during bear markets. Investors must embrace this trade-off consciously, understanding that the strategy optimizes for long-term wealth building rather than short-term performance.
The All Weather Strategy Indicator democratizes access to institutional-quality portfolio management, providing individual investors with tools previously available only to wealthy families and institutions. By automating allocation tracking, rebalancing signals, and performance analysis, the indicator removes much of the complexity that has historically limited sophisticated strategy implementation.
For investors seeking a systematic, evidence-based approach to long-term wealth building, the All Weather Strategy provides a compelling framework. Its emphasis on diversification, risk management, and behavioral discipline aligns with the fundamental principles that have created lasting wealth throughout financial history. While the strategy may not generate headlines or inspire cocktail party conversations, it offers something more valuable: a reliable path toward financial security across all economic seasons.
As Dalio himself notes, "The biggest mistake investors make is to believe that what happened in the recent past is likely to persist, and they design their portfolios accordingly." The All Weather Strategy's enduring appeal lies in its rejection of this recency bias, instead embracing the uncertainty of markets while positioning for success regardless of which economic season unfolds.
STEP-BY-STEP INDICATOR SETUP GUIDE
Setting up the All Weather Strategy Indicator requires careful attention to each configuration parameter to ensure optimal implementation. This comprehensive setup guide walks through every setting and explains its impact on strategy performance.
Initial Setup Process
Begin by adding the indicator to your TradingView chart. Search for "Ray Dalio's All Weather Strategy" in the indicator library and apply it to any chart. The indicator operates independently of the underlying chart symbol, drawing data directly from the five required ETFs regardless of which security appears on the chart.
Portfolio Configuration Settings
Start with the Portfolio Capital input, which drives all subsequent calculations. Enter your exact investable capital, ranging from $1,000 to $10,000,000. This input determines share quantities, trade recommendations, and performance calculations. Conservative recommendations suggest minimum capitals of $50,000 for basic implementation or $100,000 for optimal precision.
Select your Portfolio Start Date carefully, as this establishes the baseline for all performance calculations. Choose the date when you actually began implementing the All Weather Strategy, not when you first learned about it. This date should reflect when you first purchased ETFs according to the target allocation, creating realistic performance tracking.
Choose your Rebalancing Frequency based on your cost structure and precision preferences. Monthly rebalancing provides tighter allocation control but increases transaction costs. Quarterly rebalancing offers the optimal balance for most investors between allocation precision and cost control. The indicator automatically detects appropriate trading days regardless of your selection.
Set the Rebalancing Threshold based on your tolerance for allocation drift and transaction costs. Conservative investors preferring tight control should use 1-2% thresholds, while cost-conscious investors may prefer 3-5% thresholds. Lower thresholds maintain more precise allocations but trigger more frequent trading.
Display Configuration Options
Enable Show All Weather Calculator to display the comprehensive dashboard containing portfolio values, allocations, and performance metrics. This dashboard provides essential information for portfolio management and should remain enabled for most users.
Show Economic Environment displays current economic regime classification based on growth and inflation indicators. While simplified compared to Bridgewater's sophisticated models, this feature provides useful context for understanding current market conditions.
Show Rebalancing Signals highlights when portfolio allocations drift beyond your threshold settings. These signals use color coding to indicate urgency levels, helping prioritize rebalancing activities.
Advanced Label Customization
Configure Show Rebalancing Labels based on your need for chart annotations. These labels mark important portfolio events and can provide valuable historical context, though they may clutter charts during extended time periods.
Select appropriate Label Detail Levels based on your experience and information needs. "None" provides minimal symbols suitable for experienced users. "Basic" shows portfolio values at key events. "Detailed" provides complete trading instructions including exact share quantities for each ETF.
Appearance Customization
Choose Color Themes based on your aesthetic preferences and trading style. "Gold" reflects traditional wealth management appearance, while "EdgeTools" provides modern professional styling. "Behavioral" uses psychologically informed colors that reinforce disciplined decision-making.
Enable Dark Mode Optimization if using TradingView's dark theme for optimal readability and contrast. This setting automatically adjusts all colors and transparency levels for the selected theme.
Set Main Line Width based on your chart resolution and visual preferences. Higher width values provide clearer allocation lines but may overwhelm smaller charts. Most users prefer width settings of 2-3 for optimal visibility.
Troubleshooting Common Setup Issues
If the indicator displays "Data not available" messages, verify that all five ETFs (SPY, TLT, IEF, DJP, SCHP) have valid price data on your selected timeframe. The indicator requires daily data availability for all components.
When rebalancing signals seem inconsistent, check your threshold settings and ensure sufficient time has passed since the last rebalancing event. The indicator only triggers signals on designated rebalancing days (first trading day of each period) when drift exceeds threshold levels.
If labels appear at unexpected chart locations, verify that your chart displays percentage values rather than price values. The indicator forces percentage formatting and 0-40% scaling for optimal allocation visualization.
COMPREHENSIVE BIBLIOGRAPHY AND FURTHER READING
PRIMARY SOURCES AND RAY DALIO WORKS
Dalio, R. (2017). Principles: Life and work. New York: Simon & Schuster.
Dalio, R. (2018). A template for understanding big debt crises. Bridgewater Associates.
Dalio, R. (2021). Principles for dealing with the changing world order: Why nations succeed and fail. New York: Simon & Schuster.
BRIDGEWATER ASSOCIATES RESEARCH PAPERS
Jensen, G., Kertesz, A. & Prince, B. (2010). All Weather strategy: Bridgewater's approach to portfolio construction. Bridgewater Associates Research.
Prince, B. (2011). An in-depth look at the investment logic behind the All Weather strategy. Bridgewater Associates Daily Observations.
Bridgewater Associates. (2015). Risk parity in the context of larger portfolio construction. Institutional Research.
ACADEMIC RESEARCH ON RISK PARITY AND PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION
Ang, A. & Bekaert, G. (2002). International asset allocation with regime shifts. The Review of Financial Studies, 15(4), 1137-1187.
Bodie, Z. & Rosansky, V. I. (1980). Risk and return in commodity futures. Financial Analysts Journal, 36(3), 27-39.
Campbell, J. Y. & Viceira, L. M. (2001). Who should buy long-term bonds? American Economic Review, 91(1), 99-127.
Clarke, R., De Silva, H. & Thorley, S. (2013). Risk parity, maximum diversification, and minimum variance: An analytic perspective. Journal of Portfolio Management, 39(3), 39-53.
Fama, E. F. & French, K. R. (2004). The capital asset pricing model: Theory and evidence. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(3), 25-46.
BEHAVIORAL FINANCE AND IMPLEMENTATION CHALLENGES
Kahneman, D. & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-292.
Thaler, R. H. & Sunstein, C. R. (2008). Nudge: Improving decisions about health, wealth, and happiness. New Haven: Yale University Press.
Montier, J. (2007). Behavioural investing: A practitioner's guide to applying behavioural finance. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons.
MODERN PORTFOLIO THEORY AND QUANTITATIVE METHODS
Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection. The Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91.
Sharpe, W. F. (1964). Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. The Journal of Finance, 19(3), 425-442.
Black, F. & Litterman, R. (1992). Global portfolio optimization. Financial Analysts Journal, 48(5), 28-43.
PRACTICAL IMPLEMENTATION AND ETF ANALYSIS
Gastineau, G. L. (2010). The exchange-traded funds manual. 2nd ed. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
Poterba, J. M. & Shoven, J. B. (2002). Exchange-traded funds: A new investment option for taxable investors. American Economic Review, 92(2), 422-427.
Israelsen, C. L. (2005). A refinement to the Sharpe ratio and information ratio. Journal of Asset Management, 5(6), 423-427.
ECONOMIC CYCLE ANALYSIS AND ASSET CLASS RESEARCH
Ilmanen, A. (2011). Expected returns: An investor's guide to harvesting market rewards. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons.
Swensen, D. F. (2009). Pioneering portfolio management: An unconventional approach to institutional investment. Rev. ed. New York: Free Press.
Siegel, J. J. (2014). Stocks for the long run: The definitive guide to financial market returns & long-term investment strategies. 5th ed. New York: McGraw-Hill Education.
RISK MANAGEMENT AND ALTERNATIVE STRATEGIES
Taleb, N. N. (2007). The black swan: The impact of the highly improbable. New York: Random House.
Lowenstein, R. (2000). When genius failed: The rise and fall of Long-Term Capital Management. New York: Random House.
Stein, D. M. & DeMuth, P. (2003). Systematic withdrawal from retirement portfolios: The impact of asset allocation decisions on portfolio longevity. AAII Journal, 25(7), 8-12.
CONTEMPORARY DEVELOPMENTS AND FUTURE DIRECTIONS
Asness, C. S., Frazzini, A. & Pedersen, L. H. (2012). Leverage aversion and risk parity. Financial Analysts Journal, 68(1), 47-59.
Roncalli, T. (2013). Introduction to risk parity and budgeting. Boca Raton: CRC Press.
Ibbotson Associates. (2023). Stocks, bonds, bills, and inflation 2023 yearbook. Chicago: Morningstar.
PERIODICALS AND ONGOING RESEARCH
Journal of Portfolio Management - Quarterly publication featuring cutting-edge research on portfolio construction and risk management
Financial Analysts Journal - Bi-monthly publication of the CFA Institute with practical investment research
Bridgewater Associates Daily Observations - Regular market commentary and research from the creators of the All Weather Strategy
RECOMMENDED READING SEQUENCE
For investors new to the All Weather Strategy, begin with Dalio's "Principles" for philosophical foundation, then proceed to the Bridgewater research papers for technical details. Supplement with Markowitz's original portfolio theory work and behavioral finance literature from Kahneman and Tversky.
Intermediate students should focus on academic papers by Ang & Bekaert on regime shifts, Clarke et al. on risk parity methods, and Ilmanen's comprehensive analysis of expected returns across asset classes.
Advanced practitioners will benefit from Roncalli's technical treatment of risk parity mathematics, Asness et al.'s academic critique of leverage aversion, and ongoing research in the Journal of Portfolio Management.
Scanner ADX & VolumenThis indicator is a market scanner specifically designed for scalping traders. Its function is to simultaneously monitor 30 cryptocurrency pairs from the BingX exchange to identify entry opportunities based on the start of a new, strengthening trend.
Strategy and Logic:
The scanner is based on the combination of two key conditions on a 15-minute timeframe:
Trend Strength (ADX): The primary signal is generated when the ADX (Average Directional Index) crosses above the 20 level. An ADX moving above this threshold suggests that the market is breaking out of a consolidation phase and that a new trend (either bullish or bearish) is beginning to gain strength.
Volume Confirmation: To validate the ADX signal, the indicator checks if the current candle's volume is higher than its simple moving average (defaulting to 20 periods). An increase in volume confirms market interest and participation, adding greater reliability to the emerging move.
How to Use It:
The indicator displays a table in the top-right corner of your chart with the following information:
Par: The name of the cryptocurrency pair.
ADX: The current ADX value. It turns green when it exceeds the 20 level.
Volume: Shows "OK" if the current volume is higher than its average.
Signal: This is the most important column. When both conditions (ADX crossover and high volume) are met, it will display the message "¡ENTRADA!" ("ENTRY!") with a highlighted background, alerting you to a potential trading opportunity.
In summary, this scanner saves you the effort of manually analyzing 30 charts, allowing you to focus solely on the assets that present the best conditions for a scalping trade.
Scanner ADX & Volumen This indicator is a market scanner specifically designed for scalping traders. Its function is to simultaneously monitor 30 cryptocurrency pairs from the BingX exchange to identify entry opportunities based on the start of a new, strengthening trend.
Strategy and Logic:
The scanner is based on the combination of two key conditions on a 15-minute timeframe:
Trend Strength (ADX): The primary signal is generated when the ADX (Average Directional Index) crosses above the 20 level. An ADX moving above this threshold suggests that the market is breaking out of a consolidation phase and that a new trend (either bullish or bearish) is beginning to gain strength.
Volume Confirmation: To validate the ADX signal, the indicator checks if the current candle's volume is higher than its simple moving average (defaulting to 20 periods). An increase in volume confirms market interest and participation, adding greater reliability to the emerging move.
How to Use It:
The indicator displays a table in the top-right corner of your chart with the following information:
Par: The name of the cryptocurrency pair.
ADX: The current ADX value. It turns green when it exceeds the 20 level.
Volume: Shows "OK" if the current volume is higher than its average.
Signal: This is the most important column. When both conditions (ADX crossover and high volume) are met, it will display the message "¡ENTRADA!" ("ENTRY!") with a highlighted background, alerting you to a potential trading opportunity.
In summary, this scanner saves you the effort of manually analyzing 30 charts, allowing you to focus solely on the assets that present the best conditions for a scalping trade.
Egg vs Tennis Ball — Drop/Rebound StrengthEgg vs Tennis Ball — Drop/Rebound Meter
What it does
Classifies selloffs as either:
Eggs — dead‑cat, no bounce
Tennis Balls — fast, decisive rebound
Core features
Detects swing drops from a Pivot High (PH) to a Pivot Low (PL)
Requires drops to be meaningful (volatility‑aware, ATR‑scaled)
Draws a bounce threshold line and a deadline
Decides outcome based on speed and extent of rebound
Tracks scores and win rates across multiple lookback windows
Includes a color‑coded meter and current streak display
Visuals at a glance
Gray diagonal — drop from PH to PL
Teal dotted horizontal — bounce threshold, from PH to the deadline
Solid green — Tennis Ball (bounce line broken before the deadline)
Solid red — Egg (deadline expired before the bounce)
Optional PH / PL labels for clarity
How the decision is made
1) Find pivots — symmetric pivots using Pivot Left / Right; PL confirms after Right bars.
2) Qualify the drop — Drop Size = PH − PL; must be ≥ (Drop Threshold × ATR at PL).
3) Define the bounce line — PL + (Bounce Multiple × Drop Size). 1.00× = full retrace to PH; up to 2.00× for overshoot.
4) Set the deadline — Drop Bars = PL index − PH index; Deadline = Drop Bars × Recovery Factor; timer starts from PH or PL.
5) Resolve — Tennis Ball if price hits the bounce line before the deadline; Egg if the deadline passes first.
Scoring system (−100 to +100)
+100 = perfect Tennis Ball (fastest possible + full overshoot)
−100 = perfect Egg (no recovery)
In between: scored by rebound speed and extent, shaped by your weight settings
Meter Table
Columns (toggle on/off)
All (off by default)
Last N1 (default 5)
Last N2 (default 10)
Last N3 (default 20)
Rows
Tennis / Eggs — counts
% Tennis — win rate
Avg Score — normalized quality from −100 to +100
Streak — overall (not windowed), e.g., +3 = 3 Tennis Balls in a row, −4 = 4 Eggs in a row
Alerts
Tennis Ball – Fast Rebound — triggers when the bounce line is broken in time
Egg – Window Expired — triggers when the deadline passes without a bounce
Inputs
① Drop Detection
Pivot Left / Right
ATR Length
Drop Threshold × ATR
② Bounce Requirement
Bounce Multiple × Drop Size (0.10–2.00×)
③ Timing
Timer Start — PH or PL
Recovery Factor × Drop Bars
Break Trigger — Close or High
④ Display
Show Pivot/Outcome Labels
Line Width
Table Position (corner)
⑤ Meter Columns
Show All (off by default)
Show N1 / N2 / N3 (5, 10, 20 by default)
⑥ Scoring Weights
Tennis — Base, Speed, Extent
Egg — Base, Strength
How to use it
Pick strictness — start with Drop Threshold = 2.0 ATR, Bounce Multiple = 1.0×, Recovery Factor = 3.0×; adjust to timeframe and volatility.
Watch the dotted line — it ends at the deadline; turns solid green (Tennis) if broken in time, solid red (Egg) if it expires.
Read the meter — short windows (5–10) show current behavior; Avg Score captures quality; Streak shows momentum.
Blend with your system — combine with trend filters, volume, or regime detection.
Tips
Close vs High trigger: Close is stricter; High is more responsive.
PH vs PL timer start: PH measures round‑trip; PL measures recovery only.
Increase pivot strength for fewer, more reliable signals.
Higher timeframes generally produce cleaner patterns.
Defaults
Pivot L/R: 5 / 5
ATR Length: 14
Drop Threshold: 2.0× ATR
Bounce Multiple: 1.00×
Recovery Factor: 3.0×
Break Trigger: Close
Windows: Last 5, 10, 20 (All off)
Interpreting results
Tennis‑y: Avg Score +30 to +70, %Tennis > 55%
Mixed: Avg Score near 0
Egg‑y: Avg Score −30 to −80, %Tennis < 45%
EAOBS by MIGVersion 1
1. Strategy Overview Objective: Capitalize on breakout movements in Ethereum (ETH) price after the Asian open pre-market session (7:00 PM–7:59 PM EST) by identifying high and low prices during the session and trading breakouts above the high or below the low.
Timeframe: Any (script is timeframe-agnostic, but align with session timing).
Session: Pre-market session (7:00 PM–7:59 PM EST, adjustable for other time zones, e.g., 12:00 AM–12:59 AM GMT).
Risk-Reward Ratios (R:R): Targets range from 1.2:1 to 5.2:1, with a fixed stop loss.
Instrument: Ethereum (ETH/USD or ETH-based pairs).
2. Market Setup Session Monitoring: Monitor ETH price action during the pre-market session (7:00 PM–7:59 PM EST), which aligns with the Asian market open (e.g., 9:00 AM–9:59 AM JST).
The script tracks the highest high and lowest low during this session.
Breakout Triggers: Buy Signal: Price breaks above the session’s high after the session ends (7:59 PM EST).
Sell Signal: Price breaks below the session’s low after the session ends.
Visualization: The session is highlighted on the chart with a white background.
Horizontal lines are drawn at the session’s high and low, extended for 30 bars, along with take-profit (TP) and stop-loss (SL) levels.
3. Entry Rules Long (Buy) Entry: Enter a long position when the price breaks above the session’s high price after 7:59 PM EST.
Entry price: Just above the session high (e.g., add a small buffer, like 0.1–0.5%, to avoid false breakouts, depending on volatility).
Short (Sell) Entry: Enter a short position when the price breaks below the session’s low price after 7:59 PM EST.
Entry price: Just below the session low (e.g., subtract a small buffer, like 0.1–0.5%).
Confirmation: Use a candlestick close above/below the breakout level to confirm the entry.
Optionally, add volume confirmation or a momentum indicator (e.g., RSI or MACD) to filter out weak breakouts.
Position Size: Calculate position size based on risk tolerance (e.g., 1–2% of account per trade).
Risk is determined by the stop-loss distance (10 points, as defined in the script).
4. Exit Rules Take-Profit Levels (in points, based on script inputs):TP1: 12 points (1.2:1 R:R).
TP2: 22 points (2.2:1 R:R).
TP3: 32 points (3.2:1 R:R).
TP4: 42 points (4.2:1 R:R).
TP5: 52 points (5.2:1 R:R).
Example for Long: If session high is 3000, TP levels are 3012, 3022, 3032, 3042, 3052.
Example for Short: If session low is 2950, TP levels are 2938, 2928, 2918, 2908, 2898.
Strategy: Scale out of the position (e.g., close 20% at TP1, 20% at TP2, etc.) or take full profit at a preferred TP level based on market conditions.
Stop-Loss: Fixed at 10 points from the entry.
Long SL: Session high - 10 points (e.g., entry at 3000, SL at 2990).
Short SL: Session low + 10 points (e.g., entry at 2950, SL at 2960).
Trailing Stop (Optional):After reaching TP2 or TP3, consider trailing the stop to lock in profits (e.g., trail by 10–15 points below the current price).
5. Risk Management per Trade: Limit risk to 1–2% of your trading account per trade.
Calculate position size: Account Size × Risk % ÷ (Stop-Loss Distance × ETH Price per Point).
Example: $10,000 account, 1% risk = $100. If SL = 10 points and 1 point = $1, position size = $100 ÷ 10 = 0.1 ETH.
Daily Risk Limit: Cap daily losses at 3–5% of the account to avoid overtrading.
Maximum Exposure: Avoid taking both long and short positions simultaneously unless using separate accounts or strategies.
Volatility Consideration: Adjust position size during high-volatility periods (e.g., major news events like Ethereum upgrades or macroeconomic announcements).
6. Trade Management Monitoring :Watch for breakouts after 7:59 PM EST.
Monitor price action near TP and SL levels using alerts or manual checks.
Trade Duration: Breakout lines extend for 30 bars (script parameter). Close trades if no TP or SL is hit within this period, or reassess based on market conditions.
Adjustments: If the market shows strong momentum, consider holding beyond TP5 with a trailing stop.
If the breakout fails (e.g., price reverses before TP1), exit early to minimize losses.
7. Additional Considerations Market Conditions: The 7:00 PM–7:59 PM EST session aligns with the Asian market open (e.g., Tokyo Stock Exchange open at 9:00 AM JST), which may introduce higher volatility due to Asian trading activity.
Avoid trading during low-liquidity periods or extreme volatility (e.g., major crypto news).
Check for upcoming events (e.g., Ethereum network upgrades, ETF decisions) that could impact price.
Backtesting: Test the strategy on historical ETH data using the session high/low breakouts for the 7:00 PM–7:59 PM EST window to validate performance.
Adjust TP/SL levels based on backtest results if needed.
Broker and Fees: Use a low-fee crypto exchange (e.g., Binance, Kraken, Coinbase Pro) to maximize R:R.
Account for trading fees and slippage in your position sizing.
Time zone Adjustment: Adjust session time input for your time zone (e.g., "0000-0059" for GMT).
Ensure your trading platform’s clock aligns with the script’s time zone (default: America/New_York).
8. Example Trade Scenario: Session (7:00 PM–7:59 PM EST) records a high of 3050 and a low of 3000.
Long Trade: Entry: Price breaks above 3050 (e.g., enter at 3051).
TP Levels: 3063 (TP1), 3073 (TP2), 3083 (TP3), 3093 (TP4), 3103 (TP5).
SL: 3040 (3050 - 10).
Position Size: For a $10,000 account, 1% risk = $100. SL = 11 points ($11). Size = $100 ÷ 11 = ~0.09 ETH.
Short Trade: Entry: Price breaks below 3000 (e.g., enter at 2999).
TP Levels: 2987 (TP1), 2977 (TP2), 2967 (TP3), 2957 (TP4), 2947 (TP5).
SL: 3010 (3000 + 10).
Position Size: Same as above, ~0.09 ETH.
Execution: Set alerts for breakouts, enter with limit orders, and monitor TPs/SL.
9. Tools and Setup Platform: Use TradingView to implement the Pine Script and visualize breakout levels.
Alerts: Set price alerts for breakouts above the session high or below the session low after 7:59 PM EST.
Set alerts for TP and SL levels.
Chart Settings: Use a 1-minute or 5-minute chart for precise session tracking.
Overlay the script to see high/low lines, TP levels, and SL levels.
Optional Indicators: Add RSI (e.g., avoid overbought/oversold breakouts) or volume to confirm breakouts.
10. Risk Warnings Crypto Volatility: ETH is highly volatile; unexpected news can cause rapid price swings.
False Breakouts: Breakouts may fail, especially in low-volume sessions. Use confirmation signals.
Leverage: Avoid high leverage (e.g., >5x) to prevent liquidation during volatile moves.
Session Accuracy: Ensure correct session timing for your time zone to avoid misaligned entries.
11. Performance Tracking Journaling :Record each trade’s entry, exit, R:R, and outcome.
Note market conditions (e.g., trending, ranging, news-driven).
Review: Weekly: Assess win rate, average R:R, and adherence to the plan.
Monthly: Adjust TP/SL or session timing based on performance.
ABS NR — Fail-Safe Confirm (v4.2.2)
# ABS NR — Fail-Safe Confirm (v4.2.2)
## What it is (quick take)
**ABS NR FS** is a **non-repainting “arm → confirm” entry framework** for intraday and swing execution. It blends:
* **Regime** (EMA stack + 60-min slope),
* **Location** (Keltner basis/edges),
* **Stretch** (session-anchored **VWAP Z-score**),
* **Momentum gating** (TSI cross/slope),
* **Guards** (session window, minimum ATR%, gap filter, optional market alignment).
You’ll see a **small dot** when a setup is **armed** (candidate) and a **triangle** when that setup **confirms** within a user-defined number of bars. A **gray “X”** marks a timeout (candidate canceled).
> Tip: This entry tool works best when paired with a trend context filter and a dedicated exit tool.
---
## How to use it (operational workflow)
1. **Read the regime**
* **Bull trend**: fast > slow > long EMA **and** 60-min slope up.
* **Bear trend**: fast < slow < long EMA **and** 60-min slope down.
* **Range**: neither bull nor bear.
2. **Wait for a candidate (dot)**
Two families:
* **Reclaim (trend-following):** price crosses the **KC basis** with acceptable |Z| (not overstretched) and passes the TSI gate.
* **Fade (range-revert):** price **pokes a KC band**, prints a **reversal wick**, |Z| is stretched, and TSI gate agrees.
3. **Trade the confirmation (triangle)**
The confirm must occur **within N bars** and follow your chosen **Confirm mode** logic (see Inputs). If confirmation doesn’t arrive in time, an **X** cancels the candidate.
4. **Use guards to avoid junk**
Session windows (US focus), minimum ATR%, gap guard, and optional **market alignment** (e.g., SPY above EMA20 for longs).
5. **Manage the position**
* Entries: take **triangles** in the direction of your playbook (reclaims with trend; fades in clean ranges).
* Filters and exits: use your own process or pair with a trend/exit companion.
---
## Visual semantics & alerts
* **Candidate L / S (dot)** → a setup armed on this bar.
* **CONFIRM L / S (triangle)** → actionable signal that met confirm rules within your time window.
* **Cancel L / S (X)** → candidate expired without confirmation; ignore the dot.
**Alerts (stable names for automation):**
* **ABS FS — Confirmed** → fires on confirmed long or short.
* **ABS FS — Candidate Armed** → fires as a candidate arms.
---
## Non-repainting behavior (why signals don’t repaint)
* All HTF requests use **lookahead\_off**.
* With **Strict NR = true**, the 60-min slope uses the **prior completed** 60-min bar and arming/confirming only occurs on confirmed bars.
* Confirmation triangles finalize on bar close.
* If you disable strictness, signals may appear slightly earlier but with more intrabar sensitivity.
---
## Inputs reference (what each control does and the trade-offs)
### A) Behavior / Modes
**Mode** (`Turbo / Aggressive / Balanced / Conservative`)
Changes multiple internal thresholds:
* **Turbo** → most signals; relaxes prior-bar break & VWAP-side checks and time/vol/gap guards. Highest frequency, highest noise.
* **Aggressive** → more signals than Balanced, fewer than Turbo.
* **Balanced** → default; steady trade-off of frequency vs. quality.
* **Conservative** → tightens |Z| and other checks; fewest but cleanest signals.
**Strict NR (bar close + prior HTF 60m)**
* **true** = safer: uses prior 60-min slope; arms/confirms on confirmed bars → **fewer/cleaner** signals.
* **false** = earlier and more reactive; slightly noisier.
---
### B) Keltner Channel (location engine)
* **KC EMA Length (`kcLen`)**
Higher → smoother basis (fewer basis crosses). Lower → snappier basis (more crosses).
* **ATR Length (`atrLen`)**
Higher → steadier band width; Lower → more reactive band width.
* **KC ATR Mult (`kcMult`)**
Higher → wider bands (fewer edge pokes → fewer fades). Lower → narrower (more fades).
---
### C) Trend & HTF slope
* **Trend EMA Fast/Slow/Long (`emaFastLen / emaSlowLen / emaLongLen`)**
Larger = slower regime flips (fewer reclaims); smaller = faster flips (more reclaims).
* **HTF EMA Len (60m) (`htfLen`)**
Larger = steadier HTF slope (fewer signals); smaller = more sensitive (more signals).
---
### D) VWAP Z-Score (stretch / mean-revert logic)
* **VWAP Z-Length (`zLen`)**
Window for Z over session-anchored VWAP distance. Larger = smoother |Z| (fewer fades/re-entries). Smaller = more reactive (more).
* **Range Fade |Z| (base) (`zFadeBase`)**
Minimum |Z| to allow **fades** in ranges. Raise to demand more stretch (fewer fades). Lower to take more fades.
* **Max |Z| Trend Re-entry (base) (`maxZTrendBase`)**
Caps how stretched price can be and still permit **reclaims** with trend. Lower = stricter (avoid chases). Higher = will chase further.
---
### E) TSI Momentum Gate
* **TSI Long/Short/Signal (`tsiLong / tsiShort / tsiSig`)**
Larger = smoother/laggier momentum; smaller = snappier.
* **TSI gate (`CrossOnly / CrossOrSlope / Off`)**
* **CrossOnly**: require TSI cross of its signal (strict).
* **CrossOrSlope**: cross *or* favorable slope (balanced default).
* **Off**: no momentum gate (most signals, most noise).
---
### F) Guards (filters to avoid low-quality tape)
* **US focus 09:35–10:30 & 14:00–15:45 (base) (`useTimeBase`)**
`true` limits to high-quality windows. `false` trades all session.
* **Skip N bars after 09:30 ET (`skipFirst`)**
Skips the open scramble. Larger = skip longer.
* **Min volatility ATR% (base)** = `useVolMinBase` + `atrPctMinBase`
Requires `ATR(10)/Close*100 ≥ atrPctMinBase`. Raise threshold to avoid dead tape; lower to accept quieter sessions.
* **Gap guard (base)** = `gapGuardBase` + `gapMul`
Blocks signals when the opening gap exceeds `gapMul * ATR`. Increase `gapMul` to allow more gapped opens; decrease to be stricter.
---
### G) Visuals & Sides
* **Plot Keltner (`plotKC`)** → show/hide basis & bands.
* **Show Longs / Show Shorts** → enable/disable each side.
---
### H) Fail-Safe Confirmation
* **Confirm mode (`BreakHighOnly / BreakHigh+Hold / TwoBarImpulse`)**
* **BreakHighOnly**: confirm by taking out the armed bar’s extreme. Fastest, most frequent.
* **BreakHigh+Hold**: must **break**, have **body ≥ X·ATR**, **and** hold above/below the basis → higher quality, fewer signals.
* **TwoBarImpulse**: decisive follow-through vs. prior bar with **body ≥ X·ATR** → momentum-biased confirmations.
* **Confirm within N bars (`confirmBars`)**
Confirmation window size. Smaller = faster validation; larger = more patience (can be later).
* **Impulse body ≥ X·ATR (`impulseBodyATR`)**
Raise for stronger confirmations (fewer weak triangles). Lower to accept lighter pushes.
* **Require market alignment (`needMarket`) + `marketTicker`**
When enabled: Longs require **market > EMA20 (5m)**; Shorts require **market < EMA20 (5m)**.
* **Diagnostics: Show debug letters (`debug`)**
Tiny “B/C” audit marks for base/confirm while tuning.
---
## Tuning recipes (quick, practical)
* **If you’re getting chopped:**
* Set **Mode = Conservative**
* **Confirm mode = BreakHigh+Hold**
* Raise **impulseBodyATR** (e.g., 0.45)
* Keep **needMarket = true**
* Keep **Strict NR = true**
* **If you need more signals:**
* **Mode = Aggressive** (or Turbo if you accept more noise)
* **Confirm mode = BreakHighOnly**
* Lower **impulseBodyATR** (0.25–0.30)
* Increase **confirmBars** to 3
* **Range-day focus (fades):**
* Keep session guard on
* Raise **zFadeBase** to demand real stretch
* Keep **maxZTrendBase** moderate (don’t chase)
* **Trend-day focus (reclaims):**
* Slightly **lower `maxZTrendBase`** (avoid chasing excessive stretch)
* Use **CrossOrSlope** TSI gating
* Consider turning **needMarket** on
---
## Best practices & notes
* **Instrument specificity:** Tune Z, TSI, and guards per symbol and timeframe.
* **Session awareness:** Session filter uses **exchange-local** time; adjust for non-US markets.
* **Automation:** Use the two provided alert names; they’re stable.
* **Risk management:** Confirmation improves quality but doesn’t remove risk. Always pre-define stop/size logic.
---
## Suggested starting point (balanced profile)
* **Mode = balanced**
* **Strict NR = true**
* **Confirm mode = BreakHigh+Hold**
* **confirmBars = 2**
* **impulseBodyATR ≈ 0.35**
* **needMarket = off** (turn on for extra confluence)
* Leave Keltner/TSI defaults; then nudge `zFadeBase` and `maxZTrendBase` to match your symbol.
---
*This tool is a signal generator, not a broker or strategy. Validate on your markets/timeframes and integrate with your risk plan.*
Market Open Impulse [LuciTech]Market Open Impulse Strategy
The Market Open Impulse Strategy is designed to capture significant price movements that occur at market open (2:30 PM UK time). This strategy identifies impulsive candles with high volatility and enters trades based on the direction and strength of the initial market reaction.
How It Works:
The strategy activates exclusively at 2:30 PM UK time during market open sessions. It uses ATR-based volatility filtering to identify impulsive candles that exceed a configurable multiplier (default 1.5x ATR). Long entries are triggered when an impulsive candle closes above its midpoint and above the opening price, while short entries occur when an impulsive candle closes below its midpoint and below the opening price.
Risk management is handled through precise stop loss placement at the opposite extreme of the impulse candle (high for short positions, low for long positions). Take profit levels are calculated using a configurable risk-reward ratio with a default setting of 3:1. Position sizing is automatically calculated based on the percentage risk per trade, and an optional breakeven feature can move the stop loss to the entry price at specified profit levels.
The strategy incorporates time-based filtering to ensure trades only occur during the specified market open window. Visual indicators highlight qualifying impulsive candles and plot all entry and exit levels for clear trade management. The system offers flexible risk management with customizable risk percentage, risk-reward ratios, and breakeven settings, along with multiple stop loss calculation methods including both ATR-based and candle-based options.
Key Parameters:
Market open timing is fully configurable through hour and minute settings for strategy activation. The impulse ATR multiple sets the minimum volatility threshold required for trade qualification, with visual highlighting available for qualifying setups. Risk management parameters include the percentage of account equity to risk per trade, target profit multiples relative to initial risk, and the profit level threshold for breakeven stop loss adjustment. Users can choose between ATR-based or candle-based stop loss calculation methods and adjust technical parameters for volatility calculation including ATR length and smoothing methods.
Applications:
This strategy is particularly effective for trading market open volatility and momentum, capturing institutional order flow during key timing windows, executing short-term swing trades on significant price impulses, and trading markets with predictable opening patterns and consistent volatility characteristics.
DXY Opening Zones - FixedFull Description:
Overview:
This indicator automates the identification of DXY (Dollar Index) opening zones, a cornerstone of the Funded Trader Academy's "Dixie Open" strategy. It marks the critical gap between market close and open, which acts as a magnetic attraction level for price action throughout the trading day.
Key Features:
✅ Automatic Gap Detection: Identifies opening gaps between market close (6:00 PM EST) and open (7:45 PM EST Sunday, 7:45 PM Mon-Thu)
✅ Smart Zone Expansion: Automatically expands zones when gaps are smaller than 20 pips to include prior candle highs/lows for better trading ranges
✅ Session Highlighting: Visual overlays for London (3 AM - 12 PM EST) and New York (8 AM - 5 PM EST) sessions
✅ Phantom Candle Filter: Ignores glitch/phantom candles smaller than 2 pips to prevent false zones
✅ Time-Based Zone Extension: Zones automatically extend to 5 PM EST (US market close) for full-day relevance
✅ 15-Minute Chart Optimization: Specifically designed for the 15-minute timeframe where the strategy performs best
✅ DXY-Only Protection: Built-in safeguards ensure the indicator only works on Dollar Index symbols
Trading Strategy Context:
The DXY Opening Level strategy capitalizes on the market's tendency to return to opening gaps, offering approximately 70-75% win rate when traded correctly. Best entries occur during London session (after 2:30 AM EST) when volume increases.
Ideal For:
Forex traders using DXY correlation strategies
Mean reversion and gap trading enthusiasts
Traders seeking high-probability setups with defined risk
Those following the Funded Trader Academy methodology
Settings Explained:
Zone Color: Customize the visual appearance of zones
Expand Zone Threshold: Adjust when zones should expand (default 20 pips)
Phantom Filter: Set minimum candle size to consider valid (default 2 pips)
Session Display: Toggle London/NY session backgrounds
Debug Mode: View detailed gap measurements and timing information
Important Notes:
Must be used on 15-minute DXY/Dollar Index charts
Zones mark attraction levels, not direct entry points
Always wait for valid entry signals (engulfing, pin bar, 3-bar reversal)
Trade correlated forex pairs, not DXY directly
Best results during London session (2:30 AM - 12 PM EST)
Risk Disclaimer:
This indicator identifies potential trading zones based on historical patterns. Always use proper risk management and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Spice • Micro Suite (T/r & B/r)What it is
A single Pine v5 indicator that stacks:
EMA ribbon + a “special” EMA (11 vs 34) line that flips color on trend.
MTF-RSI “pressure” check with simple up/down arrows.
Bollinger-Band re-entry system with Top/Bottom triggers (T/B) and confirmations (r) in the next N bars.
Classic candlestick add-ons: 3-Line Strike and Leledc exhaustion dots.
Your Micro Dots engine (ATR-based regime + Variable Moving Average filter) + an optional VMA trend line.
Alerts for all the above.
Key signals (what prints on the chart)
EMAs (20/50/100/200): plotted faintly; EMA-34 is drawn and colored by the 11>34 trend.
RSI arrows
Checks RSI(6) on the current TF and (optionally) 5m/15m/30m/1h/4h/1D.
Down arrow: current RSI > 70 and the selected higher TF RSIs are also > 70 (pressure cluster just cooled; barssince(redZone)<2).
Up arrow: current RSI < 30 and selected higher TFs also < 30 (barssince(greenZone)<2).
Bollinger Reversals (your update)
T (Top trigger): first close back inside the upper BB (crossunder(close, upper)).
B (Bottom trigger): first close back inside the lower BB (crossover(close, lower)).
r (Confirm): within the next confirmBars bars (input), price also
closes below the T-bar’s low → top r above bar
closes above the B-bar’s high → bottom r below bar
Bar tinting
Only the T/B trigger bars are tinted (yellow/orange). Everything else stays your normal candle colors (unless you add the optional “trend candles” block I gave you).
3-Line Strike
Prints a small green/red circle when the 3-line strike pattern appears (bull/bear).
Leledc Exhaustion
Calculates a running buy/sell index; prints a small ∘ at major highs/lows when exhaustion conditions hit (major==-1 high, major==1 low).
Micro Dots (your second script, merged)
ATR “micro supertrend” defines regime (up/down).
A fast Variable Moving Average + a simple MA(18) filter.
Green dot below bar when: VMA < price, price > MA(18), regime up, and VMA not pointing down.
Red dot above bar for the bearish mirror.
Separate VMA trend line (length = Fast/Med/Slow) that colors green/red/orange by slope.
Inputs you’ll care about
Top/Bot Reversal → confirmBars (how many bars you allow to confirm the T/B trigger).
RSI Timeframes → toggle which HTFs must agree with the OB/OS condition.
EMAs → show/hide and lengths.
BB → show/hide basis/bands (used for T/B even if hidden).
Micro → show dots, show VMA line, choose intensity (Fast/Med/Slow).
Alerts
Prebuilt alerts for: RSI Up/Down, T/B triggers, T/B confirmations, 3-Line Strike bull/bear, Leledc highs/lows, EMA crosses (20/50/100/200), the special 11/34 trend change, Micro Dots, and VMA price cross. (Alert messages are const strings so they compile cleanly.)
How to read clusters (quick playbook)
Reversal short: see T on/near upper band → get an r within your window → bonus confidence if an RSI down arrow or Leledc ∘ high shows up around the same time.
Reversal long: mirror with B then r, plus RSI up arrow / Leledc ∘ low.
Continuation: ignore lone T/B if Micro Dot stays green (or red) and EMA-11 > EMA-34 remains true.
Why your candles look “normal”
By design, the script only colors bars on T or B trigger bars. If you want always-on trend candles, use the small block I gave you to color by EMA(20/50) (or any rule you like) and let T/B override on trigger bars.
ICT NY Opening Price Lines (12AM/8:30AM/9:30AM) ICT NY Opens (12AM / 8:30AM / 9:30AM)
This indicator plots three key New York session reference levels used by ICT traders and intraday scalpers: the Midnight Open (12:00 AM EST), the 8:30 AM EST level , and the 9:30 AM EST RTH open. Each line is drawn at that day’s opening price for the specified time and extends horizontally to 4:15 PM true daily close so you always have clean, fixed anchors for the entire trading day.
Breakout Volume Momentum [5m]Breakout Volume Momentum Indicator (Pine Script v5)
This TradingView Pine Script v5 indicator plots a green dot below a 5-minute price bar whenever all the breakout and volume conditions are met. It is optimized for live intraday trading (not backtesting) and includes customizable inputs for thresholds and trading session times. Key features and conditions of this indicator:
Gap Up Threshold: Current price is up at least X% (default 20%) from the previous day’s close (uses higher-timeframe daily data) before any signal can trigger.
Relative Volume (RVOL): Current bar’s volume is at least Y× (default 2×) the average volume of the last 20 bars. This ensures unusually high volume is present, indicating strong interest.
Trend Alignment: Price is trading above the VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) and above a fast EMA. In addition, the fast EMA (default 9) is above the slower EMA (default 20) to confirm bullish momentum
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. These filters ensure the stock is in an intraday uptrend (above the average price and rising EMAs).
Intraday Breakout (optional): Optionally require the price to break above the recent intraday high (default last 30 bars). If enabled, a signal only occurs when the stock exceeds its prior range high, confirming a breakout. This can be toggled on/off in the settings.
Avoid Parabolic Spikes: The script skips any bar with an excessively large range (default >12% from low to high), to avoid triggering on spiky or unsustainable parabolic candles.
Time Window Filter: Signals are restricted to a specific session window (by default 09:30 – 11:00 exchange time, typically the morning session) and will not trigger outside these hours. The session window is adjustable via inputs
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.
Alerts: An alert condition is provided so you can set a Trading View alert to send a push notification when a green dot signal fires. The alert message includes the ticker and price at the time of signal.
SCTI V30Description
The SCTI V30 is an advanced multi-functional technical analysis indicator for TradingView that combines multiple analytical approaches into a single comprehensive tool. This indicator provides:
Multiple Moving Average Types (EMA, SMA, PMA with various calculation methods)
Customizable VWAP with standard deviation bands
Sophisticated Divergence Detection across 12 different indicators
Volume Profile Analysis with peak/trough detection
Highly Configurable Display Options
The indicator is designed to help traders identify trends, potential reversals, and key support/resistance levels across different timeframes.
Features
1. Moving Average Systems
EMA Section: 13 configurable EMA periods (8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584)
SMA Section: 13 configurable SMA periods (same as EMA)
PMA Section: 11 customizable moving averages with multiple calculation methods:
ALMA, EMA, RMA, SMA, SWMA, VWAP, VWMA, WMA
Adjustable lengths from 12 to 1056
Customizable colors, widths, and fill options between MAs
2. VWAP Implementation
Multiple anchor periods (Session, Week, Month, Quarter, Year, etc.)
Standard deviation or percentage-based bands
Option to hide on daily/weekly/monthly timeframes
Customizable band multipliers (1.0, 2.0, 3.0)
3. Divergence Detection
Detects regular and hidden divergences across 12 indicators:
MACD, MACD Histogram, RSI, Stochastic, CCI, Momentum
OBV, VW-MACD, Chaikin Money Flow, Money Flow Index
Williams %R, and custom external indicators
Customizable detection parameters:
Pivot point period (1-50)
Source (Close or High/Low)
Divergence type (Regular, Hidden, or Both)
Minimum number of divergences required (1-11)
Maximum pivot points to check (1-20)
Maximum bars to look back (30-200)
4. Volume Profile Analysis
Configurable profile length (10-5000 bars)
Value Area threshold (0-100%)
Profile placement (Left or Right)
Number of rows (30-130)
Profile width adjustment
Volume node detection:
Peaks (with cluster option)
Troughs (with cluster option)
Highest/Lowest volume nodes
Customizable colors for all elements
Input Parameters
The indicator is organized into 7 parameter groups:
Basic Indicator Settings - Toggle visibility of main components
EMA Settings - Configure 13 EMA periods and visibility
SMA Settings - Configure 13 SMA periods and visibility
PMA Settings - Advanced moving average configuration
VWAP Settings - Volume-weighted average price configuration
Divergence Settings - Comprehensive divergence detection options
Volume Profile & Node Detection - Volume analysis configuration
How to Use
Trend Identification: Use the multiple moving averages to identify trend direction and strength. The Fibonacci-based periods (21, 34, 55, 89, 144, etc.) are particularly useful for this.
Support/Resistance: The VWAP and volume profile components help identify key support/resistance levels.
Divergence Trading: Look for divergences between price and the various indicators to spot potential reversal points.
Volume Analysis: The volume profile shows where the most trading activity occurred, highlighting important price levels.
Customization: Adjust the settings to match your trading style and timeframe. The indicator is highly configurable to suit different trading approaches.
Alerts
The indicator includes alert conditions for:
Positive regular divergence detected
Negative regular divergence detected
Positive hidden divergence detected
Negative hidden divergence detected
Any positive divergence (regular or hidden)
Any negative divergence (regular or hidden)
Notes
The indicator may be resource-intensive due to its comprehensive calculations, especially on lower timeframes with long lookback periods.
Some features (like VWAP) can be hidden on higher timeframes to improve performance.
The default settings are optimized for daily charts but can be adjusted for any timeframe.
This powerful all-in-one indicator provides traders with a complete toolkit for technical analysis, combining trend-following, momentum, volume, and divergence techniques into a single, customizable solution.
