VIDYA Auto-Trading(Reversal Logic)Overview
This script is a dynamic trend-following strategy based on the Variable Index Dynamic Average (VIDYA). It adapts in real time to market volatility, aiming to enhance entry precision and optimize risk management.
⚠️ This strategy is intended for educational and research purposes. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All results are based on historical simulations using fixed parameters.
Strategy Objectives
The objective of this strategy is to respond swiftly to sudden price movements and trend reversals, providing consistent and reliable trade signals under historical testing conditions. It is designed to be intuitive and efficient for traders of all levels.
Key Features
Momentum Sensitivity via VIDYA: Reacts quickly to momentum shifts, allowing for accurate trend-following entries.
Volatility-Based ATR Bands: Automatically adjusts stop levels and entry conditions based on current market volatility.
Intuitive Trend Visualization: Uptrends are marked with green zones, and downtrends with red zones, giving traders clear visual guidance.
Trading Rules
Long Entry: Triggered when price crosses above the upper band. Any existing short position is closed.
Short Entry: Triggered when price crosses below the lower band. Any existing long position is closed.
Exit Conditions: Positions are reversed based on signal changes, using a position reversal strategy.
Risk Management Parameters
Market: ETHUSD(5M)
Account Size: $3,000 (reasonable approximation for individual traders)
Commission: 0.02%
Slippage: 2 pip
Risk per Trade: 5% of account equity (adjusted to comply with TradingView guidelines for realistic risk levels)
Number of Trades: 251 (based on backtest over the selected dataset)
⚠️ The risk per trade and other values can be customized. Users are encouraged to adapt these to their individual needs and broker conditions.
Trading Parameters & Considerations
VIDYA Length: 10
VIDYA Momentum: 20
Distance factor for upper/lower bands: 2
Source: close
Visual Support
Trend zones, entry points, and directional shifts are clearly plotted on the chart. These visual cues enhance the analytical experience and support faster decision-making.
Visual elements are designed to improve interpretability and are not intended as financial advice or trade signals.
Strategy Improvements & Uniqueness
Inspired by the public work of BigBeluga, this script evolves the original concept with meaningful enhancements. By combining VIDYA and ATR bands, it offers greater adaptability and practical value compared to conventional trend-following strategies.
This adaptation is original work and not a direct copy. Improvements are designed to enhance usability, risk control, and market responsiveness.
Summary
This strategy offers a responsive and adaptive approach to trend trading, built on momentum detection and volatility-adjusted risk management. It balances clarity, precision, and practicality—making it a powerful tool for traders seeking reliable trend signals.
⚠️ All results are based on historical data and are subject to change under different market conditions. This script does not guarantee profit and should be used with caution and proper risk management.
Wyszukaj w skryptach "volume"
VWAP StrategyVWAP and volatility filters for structured intraday trades.
How the Strategy Works
1. VWAP Anchored to Session
VWAP is calculated from the start of each trading day.
Standard deviations are used to create bands above/below the VWAP.
2. Entry Triggers: Al Brooks H1/H2 and L1/L2
H1/H2 (Long Entry): Opens below 2nd lower deviation, closes above it.
L1/L2 (Short Entry): Opens above 2nd upper deviation, closes below it.
3. Volatility Filter (ATR)
Skips trades when deviation bands are too tight (< 3 ATRs).
4. Stop Loss
Based on the signal bar’s high/low ± stop buffer.
Longs: signalBarLow - stopBuffer
Shorts: signalBarHigh + stopBuffer
5. Take Profit / Exit Target
Exit logic is customizable per side:
VWAP, Deviation Band, or None
6. Safety Exit
Exits early if X consecutive bars go against the trade.
Longs: X red bars
Shorts: X green bars
Explanation of Strategy Inputs
- Stop Buffer: Distance from signal bar for stop-loss.
- Long/Short Exit Rule: VWAP, Deviation Band, or None
- Long/Short Target Deviation: Standard deviation for target exit.
- Enable Safety Exit: Toggle emergency exit.
- Opposing Bars: Number of opposing candles before safety exit.
- Allow Long/Short Trades: Enable or disable entry side.
- Show VWAP/Entry Bands: Toggle visual aids.
- Highlight Low Vol Zones: Orange shading for low volatility skips.
Tuning Tips
- Stop buffer: Use 1–5 points.
- Target deviation: Start with VWAP. In strong trends use 2nd deviation and turn off the counter-trend entry.
- Safety exit: 3 bars recommended.
- Disable short/long side to focus on one type of reversal.
Backtest Setup Suggestions
- initial_capital = 2000
- default_qty_value = 1 (fixed contracts or percent-of-equity)
Supertrend + MACD CrossoverKey Elements of the Template:
Supertrend Settings:
supertrendFactor: Adjustable to control the sensitivity of the Supertrend.
supertrendATRLength: ATR length used for Supertrend calculation.
MACD Settings:
macdFastLength, macdSlowLength, macdSignalSmoothing: These settings allow you to fine-tune the MACD for better results.
Risk Management:
Stop-Loss: The stop-loss is based on the ATR (Average True Range), a volatility-based indicator.
Take-Profit: The take-profit is based on the risk-reward ratio (set to 3x by default).
Both stop-loss and take-profit are dynamic, based on ATR, which adjusts according to market volatility.
Buy and Sell Signals:
Buy Signal: Supertrend is bullish, and MACD line crosses above the Signal line.
Sell Signal: Supertrend is bearish, and MACD line crosses below the Signal line.
Visual Elements:
The Supertrend line is plotted in green (bullish) and red (bearish).
Buy and Sell signals are shown with green and red triangles on the chart.
Next Steps for Optimization:
Backtesting:
Run backtests on BTC in the 5-minute timeframe and adjust parameters (Supertrend factor, MACD settings, risk-reward ratio) to find the optimal configuration for the 60% win ratio.
Fine-Tuning Parameters:
Adjust supertrendFactor and macdFastLength to find more optimal values based on BTC's market behavior.
Tweak the risk-reward ratio to maximize profitability while maintaining a good win ratio.
Evaluate Market Conditions:
The performance of the strategy can vary based on market volatility. It may be helpful to evaluate performance in different market conditions or pair it with a filter like RSI or volume.
Let me know if you'd like further tweaks or explanations!
Supply & Demand Zones + Order Block (Pro Fusion) - Auto Order Strategy Title:
Smart Supply & Demand Zones + Order Block Auto Strategy with ScalpPro (Buy-Focused)
📄 Strategy Description:
This strategy combines the power of Supply & Demand Zone analysis, Order Block detection, and an enhanced Scalp Pro momentum filter, specifically designed for automated decision-making based on high-volume breakouts.
✅ Key Features:
Auto Entry (Buy Only) Based on Breakouts
Automatically enters a Buy position when the price breaks out of a valid demand zone, confirmed by EMA 50 trend and volume spike.
Order Block Logic
Identifies bullish and bearish order blocks using consecutive candle structures and significant price movement.
Dynamic Stop Loss & Trailing Stop
Implements a trailing stop once price moves in profit, along with static initial stop loss for risk management.
Clear Visual Labels & Alerts
Displays BUY/SELL, Demand/Supply, and Order Block labels directly on the chart. Alerts trigger on valid breakout signals.
Scalp Pro Momentum Filter (Optimized)
Uses a modified MACD-style momentum indicator to confirm trend strength and filter out weak signals.
Forex Fire EMA/MA/RSI StrategyEURUSD
The entry method in the Forex Fire EMA/MA/RSI Strategy combines several conditions across two timeframes. Here's a breakdown of how entries are determined:
Long Entry Conditions:
15-Minute Timeframe Conditions:
EMA 13 > EMA 62 (short-term momentum is bullish)
Price > MA 200 (trading above the major trend indicator)
Fast RSI (7) > Slow RSI (28) (momentum is increasing)
Fast RSI > 50 (showing bullish momentum)
Volume is increasing compared to 20-period average
4-Hour Timeframe Confluence:
EMA 13 > EMA 62 (larger timeframe confirms bullish trend)
Price > MA 200 (confirming overall uptrend)
Slow RSI (28) > 40 (showing bullish bias)
Fast RSI > Slow RSI (momentum is supporting the move)
Additional Precision Requirement:
Either EMA 13 has just crossed above EMA 62 (crossover)
OR price has just crossed above MA 200
Short Entry Conditions:
15-Minute Timeframe Conditions:
EMA 13 < EMA 62 (short-term momentum is bearish)
Price < MA 200 (trading below the major trend indicator)
Fast RSI (7) < Slow RSI (28) (momentum is decreasing)
Fast RSI < 50 (showing bearish momentum)
Volume is increasing compared to 20-period average
4-Hour Timeframe Confluence:
EMA 13 < EMA 62 (larger timeframe confirms bearish trend)
Price < MA 200 (confirming overall downtrend)
Slow RSI (28) < 60 (showing bearish bias)
Fast RSI < Slow RSI (momentum is supporting the move)
Additional Precision Requirement:
Either EMA 13 has just crossed under EMA 62 (crossunder)
OR price has just crossed under MA 200
The key aspect of this strategy is that it requires alignment between the shorter timeframe (15m) and the larger timeframe (4h), which helps filter out false signals and focuses on trades that have strong multi-timeframe support. The crossover/crossunder requirement further refines entries by looking for actual changes in direction rather than just conditions that might have been in place for a long time.
iD EMARSI on ChartSCRIPT OVERVIEW
The EMARSI indicator is an advanced technical analysis tool that maps RSI values directly onto price charts. With adaptive scaling capabilities, it provides a unique visualization of momentum that flows naturally with price action, making it particularly valuable for FOREX and low-priced securities trading.
KEY FEATURES
1 PRICE MAPPED RSI VISUALIZATION
Unlike traditional RSI that displays in a separate window, EMARSI plots the RSI directly on the price chart, creating a flowing line that identifies momentum shifts within the context of price action:
// Map RSI to price chart with better scaling
mappedRsi = useAdaptiveScaling ?
median + ((rsi - 50) / 50 * (pQH - pQL) / 2 * math.min(1.0, 1/scalingFactor)) :
down == pQL ? pQH : up == pQL ? pQL : median - (median / (1 + up / down))
2 ADAPTIVE SCALING SYSTEM
The script features an intelligent scaling system that automatically adjusts to different market conditions and price levels:
// Calculate adaptive scaling factor based on selected method
scalingFactor = if scalingMethod == "ATR-Based"
math.min(maxScalingFactor, math.max(1.0, minTickSize / (atrValue/avgPrice)))
else if scalingMethod == "Price-Based"
math.min(maxScalingFactor, math.max(1.0, math.sqrt(100 / math.max(avgPrice, 0.01))))
else // Volume-Based
math.min(maxScalingFactor, math.max(1.0, math.sqrt(1000000 / math.max(volume, 100))))
3 MODIFIED RSI CALCULATION
EMARSI uses a specially formulated RSI calculation that works with an adaptive base value to maintain consistency across different price ranges:
// Adaptive RSI Base based on price levels to improve flow
adaptiveRsiBase = useAdaptiveScaling ? rsiBase * scalingFactor : rsiBase
// Calculate RSI components with adaptivity
up = ta.rma(math.max(ta.change(rsiSourceInput), adaptiveRsiBase), emaSlowLength)
down = ta.rma(-math.min(ta.change(rsiSourceInput), adaptiveRsiBase), rsiLengthInput)
// Improved RSI calculation with value constraint
rsi = down == 0 ? 100 : up == 0 ? 0 : 100 - (100 / (1 + up / down))
4 MOVING AVERAGE CROSSOVER SYSTEM
The indicator creates a smooth moving average of the RSI line, enabling a crossover system that generates trading signals:
// Calculate MA of mapped RSI
rsiMA = ma(mappedRsi, emaSlowLength, maTypeInput)
// Strategy entries
if ta.crossover(mappedRsi, rsiMA)
strategy.entry("RSI Long", strategy.long)
if ta.crossunder(mappedRsi, rsiMA)
strategy.entry("RSI Short", strategy.short)
5 VISUAL REFERENCE FRAMEWORK
The script includes visual guides that help interpret the RSI movement within the context of recent price action:
// Calculate pivot high and low
pQH = ta.highest(high, hlLen)
pQL = ta.lowest(low, hlLen)
median = (pQH + pQL) / 2
// Plotting
plot(pQH, "Pivot High", color=color.rgb(82, 228, 102, 90))
plot(pQL, "Pivot Low", color=color.rgb(231, 65, 65, 90))
med = plot(median, style=plot.style_steplinebr, linewidth=1, color=color.rgb(238, 101, 59, 90))
6 DYNAMIC COLOR SYSTEM
The indicator uses color fills to clearly visualize the relationship between the RSI and its moving average:
// Color fills based on RSI vs MA
colUp = mappedRsi > rsiMA ? input.color(color.rgb(128, 255, 0), '', group= 'RSI > EMA', inline= 'up') :
input.color(color.rgb(240, 9, 9, 95), '', group= 'RSI < EMA', inline= 'dn')
colDn = mappedRsi > rsiMA ? input.color(color.rgb(0, 230, 35, 95), '', group= 'RSI > EMA', inline= 'up') :
input.color(color.rgb(255, 47, 0), '', group= 'RSI < EMA', inline= 'dn')
fill(rsiPlot, emarsi, mappedRsi > rsiMA ? pQH : rsiMA, mappedRsi > rsiMA ? rsiMA : pQL, colUp, colDn)
7 REAL TIME PARAMETER MONITORING
A transparent information panel provides real-time feedback on the adaptive parameters being applied:
// Information display
var table infoPanel = table.new(position.top_right, 2, 3, bgcolor=color.rgb(0, 0, 0, 80))
if barstate.islast
table.cell(infoPanel, 0, 0, "Current Scaling Factor", text_color=color.white)
table.cell(infoPanel, 1, 0, str.tostring(scalingFactor, "#.###"), text_color=color.white)
table.cell(infoPanel, 0, 1, "Adaptive RSI Base", text_color=color.white)
table.cell(infoPanel, 1, 1, str.tostring(adaptiveRsiBase, "#.####"), text_color=color.white)
BENEFITS FOR TRADERS
INTUITIVE MOMENTUM VISUALIZATION
By mapping RSI directly onto the price chart, traders can immediately see the relationship between momentum and price without switching between different indicator windows.
ADAPTIVE TO ANY MARKET CONDITION
The three scaling methods (ATR-Based, Price-Based, and Volume-Based) ensure the indicator performs consistently across different market conditions, volatility regimes, and price levels.
PREVENTS EXTREME VALUES
The adaptive scaling system prevents the RSI from generating extreme values that exceed chart boundaries when trading low-priced securities or during high volatility periods.
CLEAR TRADING SIGNALS
The RSI and moving average crossover system provides clear entry signals that are visually reinforced through color changes, making it easy to identify potential trading opportunities.
SUITABLE FOR MULTIPLE TIMEFRAMES
The indicator works effectively across multiple timeframes, from intraday to daily charts, making it versatile for different trading styles and strategies.
TRANSPARENT PARAMETER ADJUSTMENT
The information panel provides real-time feedback on how the adaptive system is adjusting to current market conditions, helping traders understand why the indicator is behaving as it is.
CUSTOMIZABLE VISUALIZATION
Multiple visualization options including Bollinger Bands, different moving average types, and customizable colors allow traders to adapt the indicator to their personal preferences.
CONCLUSION
The EMARSI indicator represents a significant advancement in RSI visualization by directly mapping momentum onto price charts with adaptive scaling. This approach makes momentum shifts more intuitive to identify and helps prevent the scaling issues that commonly affect RSI-based indicators when applied to low-priced securities or volatile markets.
EMA 5 Alert Candle ShortThe 5 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Strategy is a simple yet effective trading strategy that helps traders identify short-term trends and potential entry and exit points. This strategy is widely used in intraday and swing trading, particularly in forex, stocks, and crypto markets.
Components of the 5 EMA Strategy
5 EMA: A fast-moving average that reacts quickly to price movements.
15-minute or 1-hour timeframe (commonly used, but adaptable to other timeframes).
Candlestick Patterns: To confirm entry signals.
How the 5 EMA Strategy Works
Buy (Long) Setup:
Price Above the 5 EMA: The price should be trading above the 5 EMA.
Pullback to the 5 EMA: A minor retracement or consolidation near the 5 EMA.
Bullish Candlestick Confirmation: A bullish candle (e.g., engulfing or pin bar) forms near the 5 EMA.
Entry: Enter a long trade at the close of the bullish candle.
Stop Loss: Place below the recent swing low or 5-10 pips below the 5 EMA.
Take Profit: Aim for a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or trail the stop using a higher EMA (e.g., 10 or 20 EMA).
Sell (Short) Setup:
Price Below the 5 EMA: The price should be trading below the 5 EMA.
Pullback to the 5 EMA: A small retracement towards the 5 EMA.
Bearish Candlestick Confirmation: A bearish candle (e.g., engulfing or pin bar) near the 5 EMA.
Entry: Enter a short trade at the close of the bearish candle.
Stop Loss: Place above the recent swing high or 5-10 pips above the 5 EMA.
Take Profit: Aim for a 1:2 risk-reward ratio or use a trailing stop.
Additional Filters for Better Accuracy
Higher Timeframe Confirmation: Check the trend on a higher timeframe (e.g., 1-hour or 4-hour).
Volume Confirmation: Enter trades when volume is increasing.
Avoid Sideways Market: Use the strategy only when the market is trending.
Advantages of the 5 EMA Strategy
✔️ Simple and easy to use.
✔️ Works well in trending markets.
✔️ Helps traders capture short-term momentum.
Disadvantages
❌ Less effective in choppy or sideways markets.
❌ Requires discipline in following stop-loss rules.
Btc and Eth 5 min winnerWhat the Strategy Does
Finding the Trend (Like Watching the Bus Move): The strategy uses special tools called Hull Moving Averages (HMAs) to figure out if Bitcoin (BTC) Ethereum (ETH) prices are generally going up or down. It looks at short-term (5 minutes) and long-term (10 minutes) price movements to make sure the “bus” (the market) is moving strongly in one direction—up for buying, down for selling.
Spotting Good Times to Jump On (Buy or Sell Signals): It looks for two types of opportunities:
Pullbacks: When the price dips a little while still moving up (like the bus slowing down but not stopping), it’s a chance to buy.
Breakouts: When the price suddenly jumps higher after being stuck (like the bus speeding up), it’s another chance to buy. It does the opposite for selling when prices are dropping.
It also checks if there’s enough “passenger activity” (volume) and momentum (speed of price change) to make sure it’s a good move.
Avoiding Traffic Jams (Filters): The strategy uses tools like RSI (to check if the market’s too fast or too slow), volume (to see if enough people are trading), and ATR (to measure how wild the price swings are). It skips trades if things look too chaotic or if the trend isn’t strong enough.
Setting Safety Stops and Profit Targets: Once you’re on the “bus,” it sets rules to protect you:
Stop-Loss: If the price moves against you by a small amount (0.5% of the typical price swing), you jump off to avoid losing too much—think of it as getting off before the bus crashes.
Take-Profit: If the price moves in your favor by a small amount (1.0% of the typical swing), you cash out—imagine getting off at your stop with a profit.
Trailing Stop: If the price keeps moving your way, it adjusts your exit point to lock in more profit, like moving your stop closer as the bus keeps going.
Using Leverage (10x Boost): This strategy uses 10x leverage on Binance futures, meaning for every $1 you have, you trade like you have $10. This can make profits (or losses) 10 times bigger, so it’s risky but can be rewarding if you’re careful.
Why 5 Minutes and Bitcoin and Ethereum?
5-Minute Chart: This is like checking the bus every 5 minutes to make quick, small trades—perfect for fast, short profits.
Bitcoin Ethereum (BTC/USD)(ETH/USD): It’s the most popular and liquid crypto, so there’s lots of activity, making it easier to jump on and off without getting stuck.
Why It Aims for 90% Wins (But Be Realistic)
The goal is to win 9 out of 10 trades by being super picky about when to trade—only jumping on when the trend, momentum, and volume are all perfect. But in real trading, markets can be unpredictable, so 90% is very hard to achieve. Still, this strategy tries to be as accurate as possible by avoiding bad moves and focusing on strong trends.
Risks for a New Trader
Leverage: Trading with 10x leverage means small price moves can lead to big losses if you’re not careful. Start with a demo account (pretend money) on TradingView or Binance to practice.
Learning Curve: This strategy uses technical terms (like HMAs, RSI) and tools you’ll need to learn over time. Don’t rush—just practice and ask questions!
How to Use It
Go to TradingView, load this strategy on a 5-minute BTC/USD futures chart on Binance.
Watch the green triangles (buy signals) and red triangles (sell signals) on the chart—they tell you when to trade.
Use the stops and targets to manage your trades—don’t guess, let the strategy guide you.
Start small, learn from each trade, and don’t risk money you can’t afford to lose.
This is like learning to ride a bike—start slow, practice, and you’ll get better. If you have more questions or want simpler tips, feel free to ask! Trading can be fun and rewarding, but it takes patience and practice.
CBC Strategy with Trend Confirmation & Separate Stop LossCBC Flip Strategy with Trend Confirmation and ATR-Based Targets
This strategy is based on the CBC Flip concept taught by MapleStax and inspired by the original CBC Flip indicator by AsiaRoo. It focuses on identifying potential reversals or trend continuation points using a combination of candlestick patterns (CBC Flips), trend filters, and a time-based entry window. This approach helps traders avoid false signals and increase trade accuracy.
What is a CBC Flip?
The CBC Flip is a candlestick-based pattern that identifies moments when the market is likely to change direction or strengthen its trend. It checks for a shift in price behavior between consecutive candles, signaling a bullish (upward) or bearish (downward) move.
However, not all flips are created equal! This strategy differentiates between Strong Flips and All Flips, allowing traders to choose between a more conservative or aggressive approach.
Strong Flips vs. All Flips
Strong Flips
A Strong Flip is a high-probability setup that occurs only after liquidity is swept from the previous candle’s high or low.
What is a liquidity sweep? This happens when the price briefly moves beyond the high or low of the previous candle, triggering stop-losses and trapping traders in the wrong direction. These sweeps often create fuel for the next move, making them powerful reversal signals.
Examples:
Long Setup: The price dips below the previous candle’s low (sweeping liquidity) and then closes higher, signaling a potential bullish move.
Short Setup: The price moves above the previous candle’s high and then closes lower, signaling a potential bearish move.
Why Use Strong Flips?
They provide fewer signals, but the accuracy is generally higher.
Ideal for trending markets where liquidity sweeps often mark key turning points.
All Flips
All Flips are less selective, offering both Strong Flips and additional signals without requiring a liquidity sweep.
This approach gives traders more frequent opportunities but comes with a higher risk of false signals, especially in sideways markets.
Examples:
Long Setup: A CBC flip occurs without sweeping the previous low, but the trend direction is confirmed (slow EMA is still above VWAP).
Short Setup: A CBC flip occurs without sweeping the previous high, but the trend is still bearish (slow EMA below VWAP).
Why Use All Flips?
Provides more frequent entries for active or aggressive traders.
Works well in trending markets but requires caution during consolidation periods.
How This Strategy Works
The strategy combines CBC Flips with multiple filters to ensure better trade quality:
Trend Confirmation: The slow EMA (20-period) must be positioned relative to the VWAP to confirm the overall trend direction.
Long Trades: Slow EMA must be above VWAP (upward trend).
Short Trades: Slow EMA must be below VWAP (downward trend).
Time-Based Filter: Traders can specify trading hours to limit entries to a particular time window, helping avoid low-volume or high-volatility periods.
Profit Target and Stop-Loss:
Profit Target: Defined as a multiple of the 14-period ATR (Average True Range). For example, if the ATR is 10 points and the profit target multiplier is set to 1.5, the strategy aims for a 15-point profit.
Stop-Loss: Uses a dynamic, candle-based stop-loss:
Long Trades: The trade closes if the market closes below the low of two candles ago.
Short Trades: The trade closes if the market closes above the high of two candles ago.
This approach adapts to recent price behavior and protects against unexpected reversals.
Customizable Settings
Strong Flips vs. All Flips: Choose between a more selective or aggressive entry style.
Profit Target Multiplier: Adjust the ATR multiplier to control the distance for profit targets.
Entry Time Range: Define specific trading hours for the strategy.
Indicators and Visuals
Fast EMA (10-Period) – Black Line
Slow EMA (20-Period) – Red Line
VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) – Orange Line
Visual Labels:
▵ (Triangle Up) – Marks long entries (buy signals).
▿ (Triangle Down) – Marks short entries (sell signals).
Credits
CBC Flip Concept: Inspired by MapleStax, who teaches this concept.
Original Indicator: Developed by AsiaRoo, this strategy builds on the CBC Flip framework with additional features for improved trade management.
Risks and Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Trading involves significant risk and may result in the loss of capital. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use this strategy in a simulated environment before applying it to live trading.
Macro-Sentiment Index Model (MSIM)Macro-Sentiment Index Model (MSIM) is a comprehensive trading strategy developed to analyze and interpret the broader macroeconomic and market sentiment. The strategy integrates various quantitative signals, including market volatility, trading volume, market breadth, and economic indicators, to assess the prevailing mood in the financial markets. This sentiment analysis is then used to guide trading decisions, helping identify optimal entry and exit points based on underlying market conditions. The model is specifically designed to capture the shifts in investor sentiment, which have been shown to significantly influence market behavior (Fleming et al., 2001).
The MSIM utilizes a multi-faceted approach to measure sentiment. Drawing from the theory that macroeconomic variables can influence financial markets (Stock & Watson, 2002), the strategy incorporates market volatility (VIX), volume measures, and long-term market trends. These indicators help form a robust view of the market’s risk appetite and potential for price movement. For instance, high volatility often signals increased market uncertainty (Bollerslev, 1986), while volume-based indicators provide insights into investor conviction (Chen, 1991).
Additionally, the model incorporates macroeconomic proxies like GDP growth, interest rates, and unemployment data, leveraging the findings of macroeconomic studies that indicate a direct correlation between these factors and market performance (Hamilton, 1994). By normalizing these economic indicators, the model provides a standardized sentiment score that reflects the aggregated impact of these factors on the market’s outlook.
The MSIM aims to exploit market inefficiencies by responding to shifts in sentiment before they manifest in price movements. Studies have shown that sentiment indicators, such as the Advance-Decline Line and the Stock-Bond Ratio, can be predictive of future price movements (Neely, 2010). The model integrates these indicators into a single composite sentiment score, which is then filtered through momentum signals to refine entry points. This approach is grounded in behavioral finance theory, which suggests that investor sentiment plays a crucial role in driving asset prices, sometimes beyond the reach of fundamental data alone (Shiller, 2000).
The strategy is designed to identify long opportunities when sentiment is particularly favorable, with a focus on minimizing risk during adverse conditions. By analyzing market trends alongside macroeconomic signals, the MSIM helps traders stay aligned with the prevailing market forces.
References:
• Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307-327.
• Chen, S. S. (1991). The determinants of stock market liquidity. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 26(3), 283-305.
• Fleming, M. J., Kirby, C. W., & Ostdiek, B. (2001). The economic value of volatility timing. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 36(1), 113-134.
• Hamilton, J. D. (1994). Time series analysis. Princeton University Press.
• Neely, C. J. (2010). The behavior of exchange rates: A survey of recent empirical literature. International Finance Discussion Papers, 981.
• Shiller, R. J. (2000). Irrational Exuberance. Princeton University Press.
• Stock, J. H., & Watson, M. W. (2002). Macroeconomic forecasting using diffusion indexes. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(2), 147-162.
Forex Hammer and Hanging Man StrategyThe strategy is based on two key candlestick chart patterns: Hammer and Hanging Man. These chart patterns are widely used in technical analysis to identify potential reversal points in the market. Their relevance in the Forex market, known for its high liquidity and volatile price movements, is particularly pronounced. Both patterns provide insights into market sentiment and trader psychology, which are critical in currency trading, where short-term volatility plays a significant role.
1. Hammer:
• Typically occurs after a downtrend.
• Signals a potential trend reversal to the upside.
• A Hammer has:
• A small body (close and open are close to each other).
• A long lower shadow, at least twice as long as the body.
• No or a very short upper shadow.
2. Hanging Man:
• Typically occurs after an uptrend.
• Signals a potential reversal to the downside.
• A Hanging Man has:
• A small body, similar to the Hammer.
• A long lower shadow, at least twice as long as the body.
• A small or no upper shadow.
These patterns are a manifestation of market psychology, specifically the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. The Hammer reflects a situation where sellers tried to push the price down but were overpowered by buyers, while the Hanging Man shows that buyers failed to maintain the upward movement, and sellers could take control.
Relevance of Chart Patterns in Forex
In the Forex market, chart patterns are vital tools because they offer insights into price action and market sentiment. Since Forex trading often involves large volumes of trades, chart patterns like the Hammer and Hanging Man are important for recognizing potential shifts in market momentum. These patterns are a part of technical analysis, which aims to forecast future price movements based on historical data, relying on the psychology of market participants.
Scientific Literature on the Relevance of Candlestick Patterns
1. Behavioral Finance and Candlestick Patterns:
Research on behavioral finance supports the idea that candlestick patterns, such as the Hammer and Hanging Man, are relevant because they reflect shifts in trader psychology and sentiment. According to Lo, Mamaysky, and Wang (2000), patterns like these could be seen as representations of collective investor behavior, influenced by overreaction, optimism, or pessimism, and can often signal reversals in market trends.
2. Statistical Validation of Chart Patterns:
Studies by Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992) explored the profitability of technical analysis strategies, including candlestick patterns, and found evidence that certain patterns, such as the Hammer, can have predictive value in financial markets. While their study primarily focused on stock markets, their findings are generally applicable to the Forex market as well.
3. Market Efficiency and Candlestick Patterns:
The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) posits that all available information is reflected in asset prices, but some studies suggest that markets may not always be perfectly efficient, allowing for profitable exploitation of certain chart patterns. For instance, Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) found that momentum strategies, which often rely on price patterns and trends, could generate significant returns, suggesting that patterns like the Hammer or Hanging Man may provide a slight edge, particularly in short-term Forex trading.
Testing the Strategy in Forex Using the Provided Script
The provided script allows traders to test and evaluate the Hammer and Hanging Man patterns in Forex trading by entering positions when these patterns appear and holding the position for a specified number of periods. This strategy can be tested to assess its performance across different currency pairs and timeframes.
1. Testing on Different Timeframes:
• The effectiveness of candlestick patterns can vary across different timeframes, as market dynamics change with the level of detail in each timeframe. Shorter timeframes may provide more frequent signals, but with higher noise, while longer timeframes may produce more reliable signals, but with fewer opportunities. This multi-timeframe analysis could be an area to explore to enhance the strategy’s robustness.
2. Exit Strategies:
• The script incorporates an exit strategy where positions are closed after holding them for a specified number of periods. This is useful for testing how long the reversal patterns typically take to play out and when the optimal exit occurs for maximum profitability. It can also help to adjust the exit logic based on real-time market behavior.
Conclusion
The Hammer and Hanging Man patterns are widely recognized in technical analysis as potential reversal signals, and their application in Forex trading is valuable due to the market’s high volatility and liquidity. This strategy leverages these candlestick patterns to enter and exit trades based on shifts in market sentiment and psychology. Testing and optimization, as offered by the script, can help refine the strategy and improve its effectiveness.
For further refinement, it could be valuable to consider combining candlestick patterns with other technical indicators or using multi-timeframe analysis to confirm patterns and increase the probability of successful trades.
References:
• Lo, A. W., Mamaysky, H., & Wang, J. (2000). Foundations of Technical Analysis: Computational Algorithms, Statistical Inference, and Empirical Implementation. The Journal of Finance, 55(4), 1705-1770.
• Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns. The Journal of Finance, 47(5), 1731-1764.
• Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
This provides a theoretical basis for the use of candlestick patterns in trading, supported by academic literature and research on market psychology and efficiency.
[3Commas] DCA Bot TesterDCA Bot Tester
🔷What it does: A tool designed to simulate the behavior of a Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy based on input signals from a source indicator. Additionally, it enables you to send activation signals to 3Commas Bots via TradingView webhooks.
🔷Who is it for: This tool is ideal for those who want a visual representation and strategy report of how a DCA Bot would perform under specific conditions. By adjusting the parameters, you can assess whether the strategy aligns with your risk/reward expectations before implementation, helping you save time and protect your capital.
🔷How does it work: The tool leverages a pyramiding function to simulate price averaging, mimicking how a DCA Bot operates. It calculates volume-based averaging and, upon reaching the target, closes the positions. Conversely, if the target isn't reached, a Stop Loss is triggered, potentially resulting in significant losses if improperly configured.
🔷Why It’s Unique
Easy visualization of DCA Bot entry and exit points according to user preferences.
DCA Bot Summary table same as the one shown in the new 3Commas interface.
Use plots from other indicators as Entry Trigger Source, with a small modification of the code.
Option to Review message format before sending Signals to 3Commas. Compatibility with Multi-Pair, and futures contract pairs.
Option to filter signals by session and day according to the user’s timezone.
👉 Before continuing with the explanation of the tool, please take a few minutes to read this information, paying special attention to the risks of using DCA strategies.
DCA Bot: What is it, how does it work, and what are its advantages and risks?
A DCA Bot is an automated tool designed to simplify and optimize your trading operations, particularly in cryptocurrencies. Based on the concept of Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) , this bot implements scaled strategies that allow you to distribute your investments intelligently. The key lies in dividing your capital into multiple orders, known as base orders and safety orders, which are executed at different price levels depending on market conditions.
These bots are highly customizable, meaning you can adapt them to your goals and trading style, whether you're operating Long (expecting a price increase) or Short (expecting a price decrease). Their primary purpose is to reduce the impact of entries that move against the estimated direction and ensure you achieve a more favorable average price.
🔸 Key Features of DCA Bots
Customizable configuration: DCA bots allow you to adjust the size of your initial investment, the number of safety orders, and the price levels at which these orders execute. These orders can be equal or incremental, depending on your risk tolerance.
Scaled safety orders: If the asset's price moves against your position, the bot executes safety orders at strategic levels to average your entry price and increase your chances of closing in profit.
Automatic Take Profit: When the predefined profit level is reached, the bot closes the position, ensuring net gains by averaging all entries made using the DCA strategy.
Stop Loss option: To protect your capital, you can set a stop loss level that limits losses if the market moves drastically against your position.
Flexibility: Bots can integrate with 3Commas technical indicators or external signals from TradingView, allowing you to trade in any trend, whether bullish or bearish.
Support for multiple assets: You can trade cryptocurrency pairs and exchanges compatible with 3Commas, offering a wide range of possibilities to diversify your strategies.
✅ Advantages of DCA Bots
Time-saving automation: DCA bots eliminate the need for constant market monitoring, executing your trades automatically and efficiently based on predefined settings.
Favorable averages in volatile markets: By averaging your entries, the bot can offer more competitive prices even under adverse market conditions. This increases your chances of recovering a position and closing it profitably.
Advanced capital management: With customizable settings, you can adjust the size of base and safety orders to optimize capital usage and reduce risk.
Additional protection: The ability to set a stop loss ensures your losses are limited, safeguarding your capital in extreme scenarios.
⚠️ Risks of Using a DCA Bot
Requires significant capital: Safety orders can accumulate quickly if the price moves against your position. This issue is compounded if increasing amounts are used for safety orders, which can immobilize large portions of capital in adverse markets.
Markets lacking clear direction: During consolidation periods or erratic movements, the bot may generate unrealized losses and make position recovery difficult.
Opportunity cost: Investing in an asset that doesn't show favorable behavior can prevent you from seizing opportunities in other markets.
Emotional pressure: Large investments in advanced stages of the DCA strategy can cause stress, especially if an asset takes too long to reach your take profit level.
Dependence on market recovery: DCA assumes that the price will eventually move in your favor, which does not always happen, especially in assets without solid fundamentals.
📖 Key Considerations for Effectively Using a DCA Bot
Use small amounts for your base and safety orders: Setting small initial orders not only limits capital usage but also allows you to manage multiple bots simultaneously, maximizing portfolio diversification.
Capital management: Define a clear budget and never risk more than you are willing to lose. This is essential for maintaining sustainable operations.
Select assets with strong fundamentals: Apply DCA to assets you understand and that have solid fundamentals and a proven historical growth record. Additionally, analyze each cryptocurrency's fundamentals: What problem does it solve? Does it have a clear use case? Is it viable in the long term? These questions will help you make more informed decisions.
Diversification: Do not concentrate all your capital on a single asset or strategy. Spread your risk across multiple bots or assets.
Monitor regularly: While bots are automated and eliminate the need to monitor the market constantly, it is essential to monitor the bots themselves to ensure they are performing as expected. This includes reviewing their performance and making adjustments if market conditions change. Remember, the goal is to automate trades, but active bot management is crucial to avoid surprises.
A DCA Bot is a powerful tool for traders looking to automate their strategies and reduce the impact of market fluctuations. However, like any tool, its success depends on how it is configured and used. By applying solid capital management principles, carefully selecting assets, and using small amounts in your orders, you can maximize its potential and minimize risks.
🔷FEATURES & HOW TO USE
🔸Strategy: Here you must select the type of signal you are going to analyze and send signals to the DCA Bot, either Long for buy signals or Short for sell signals. This must match the Bot created in 3Commas.
🔸Add a Source Indicator for Entry Triggers
Tradingview allows us to use indicator plots as a source in other indicators, we will use this functionality so that the buy or sell signals of an indicator are processed by the DCA Bot Tester.
In this EXAMPLE we will use a simple strategy that uses a Donchian Channel (DC) and an Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
Trigger to buy or long signal will be when: the price closes above the previous upper level and the average of the upper and lower level (basis) is greater than the EMA.
Trigger sell or short signal will be when: the price closes below the previous lower level and the average of the upper and lower level (basis) is less than the EMA.
trigger_buy = ta.crossover (close,upper ) and basis > ema and barstate.isconfirmed
trigger_sell = ta.crossunder(close,lower ) and basis < ema and barstate.isconfirmed
Then we create the plots that will be used as input source in the DCA Bot Tester indicator.
When a buy condition is given the plot "🟢 Trigger Buy" will have a value of 1 otherwise it will remain at 0.
When a sell condition is given the plot "🔴 Trigger Sell" will have a value of -1 otherwise it will remain at 0.
plot(trigger_buy ? 1 : 0 , '🟢 Trigger Buy' , color = na, display = display.data_window)
plot(trigger_sell? -1 : 0 , '🔴 Trigger Sell', color = na, display = display.data_window)
Here you have the complete code so you can use it and do tests. Basically you just have to define the buy or sell conditions of your preferred indicator or strategy and then create the plots with the same format that will be used in DCA Bot Tester.
//@version=6
indicator(title="Simple Strategy Example", overlay= false)
// Indicator and Signal Triggers
length = input.int(10, title = "DC Length" , display = display.none)
length_ema = input.int(50, title = "EMA Length", display = display.none)
lower = ta.lowest (length)
upper = ta.highest(length)
ema = ta.ema (close, length_ema)
basis = math.avg (upper, lower)
plot(basis, "Basis", color = color.orange, display = display.all-display.status_line)
plot(upper, "Upper", color = color.blue , display = display.all-display.status_line)
plot(lower, "Lower", color = color.blue , display = display.all-display.status_line)
plot(ema , "EMA" , color = color.red , display = display.all-display.status_line)
candlecol = open < close ? color.teal : color.red
plotcandle(open, high, low, close, title='Candles', color = candlecol, wickcolor = candlecol, bordercolor = candlecol, display = display.pane)
trigger_buy = ta.crossover (close,upper ) and basis > ema and barstate.isconfirmed
trigger_sell = ta.crossunder(close,lower ) and basis < ema and barstate.isconfirmed
plotshape(trigger_buy ?close:na, title="Label Buy" , style=shape.labelup , location= location.belowbar, color=color.green, text="B", textcolor=color.white, display=display.pane)
plotshape(trigger_sell?close:na, title="Label Sell", style=shape.labeldown, location= location.abovebar, color=color.red , text="S", textcolor=color.white, display=display.pane)
// ――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――
// 👇 Plots to be used in the DCA Bot Indicator as source triggers.
// ――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――
plot(trigger_buy ? 1 : 0 , '🟢 Trigger Buy' , color = na, display = display.data_window)
plot(trigger_sell? -1 : 0 , '🔴 Trigger Sell', color = na, display = display.data_window)
To use the example code
Open the Pine Editor, paste the code and then click Add to chart.
Then in the Plot Entry Trigger Source option, we will select 🟢 Trigger Buy, as the plot that will give us the buy signals when it is worth 1, otherwise for the sell signals you must change the value to -1 in the Plot Entry Trigger Value and remember to change the strategy mode to Short.
🔸DCA Settings: Here you need to configure the DCA values of the strategy, you can see the meaning of each value in the Settings Section. Once you are satisfied with the tests configure the 3Commas DCA Bot with the same values so that the Summary Table matches the 3Commas Table. Pay close attention to the Total Volume that the Bot will use, according to the amount of Safety Orders you are going to execute, and that all the values in the table adapt to your risk tolerance.
🔸DCA Bot Deal Start: Once you create the Bot in 3Commas with the same settings it will give you a Deal Start Message, you must copy and paste it in this section, verify that it is the same in the summary table, this is used to be sent through tradingview alerts to the Bot and it can process the signals.
🔸DCA Bot Multi-Pair: A Multi-Pair Bot allows you to manage several pairs with a single bot, but you must specify which pair it will run on. You must activate it if you want to use the signals in a DCA Bot Multi-pair. In the text box you must enter (using the 3Commas format) the symbol for each pair before you create the alert so that the bot understands which pair to work on.
In the following image we would be configuring the indicator to send a signal to activate the bot in the BTCUSDT pair using the given format it would be USDT_BTC, but if we wanted to send a signal in another pair we must change the pair in the chart and also in the configuration, an example with ETHUSDT would be USDT_ETH. After this we could create the alert, and the Mult-Pair Bot would detect it correctly.
🔸Strategy Tester Filters: This is useful if you want to test the strategy's result on a certain time window, the indicator will only enter this range. If disabled it will use all historical data available on the chart. If you are going to use the tool to send signals, make sure to disable the Use Custom Test Period. If you want the entries to only run at a certain time and day, in that case make sure that the timezone matches the one you are using in the chart.
🔸Properties: Adjust your initial capital and exchange commission appropriately to achieve realistic results.
🔸Create alerts to trigger the DCA Bot
Check that the message is the same as the one indicated by the DCA Bot.
In the case of Multi-Pair, enable the option to add the symbol with the correct format.
When creating an alert, select Any alert() function call.
Enter the any name of the alert.
Open the Notifications tab and enable Webhook URL
Paste Webhook URL provided by 3Commas looking in the section How to use TradingView custom signals.
Done, alerts will be sent with the correct format automatically to 3Commas.
🔷 INDICATOR SETTINGS
🔸3Commas DCA Bot Settings
Strategy: Select the direction of the strategy to test Long or Short, this must be the same as the Bot created in 3Commas, so that the signals are processed properly.
DCA Bot Deal Start: Copy and paste the message for the deal start signal of the DCA Bot you created in 3Commas. This is the message that will be sent with the alert to the Bot, you must verify that it is the same as the 3Commas bot so that it can process properly so that it executes and starts the trade.
DCA Bot Multi-Pair: A Multi-Pair Bot allows you to manage several pairs with a single bot, but you must specify which pair it will run on.
DCA Bot Summary Table: Here you can activate the display of table as well as change the size, position, text color and background color.
🔸Source Indicator Settings
Plot Entry Trigger Source: Select a Plot for Entries of the Source Indicator. This refers to the Long or Short entry signal that the indicator will use as BO (Base Order).
Plot Entry Trigger Value: Value of the Source Indicator to Deal Start Condition Trigger. The default value is 1, this means that when a signal is given for example Long in the source indicator, we will use 1 or for Short -1 if there is no signal it will be 0 so it will not execute any entry, please review the example code and adjust the indicator you are going to use in the same way.
🔸DCA Settings
Base Order: The Base Order is the first order the bot will create when starting a new deal.
Safety Order: Enter the amount of funds your safety orders will use to average the cost of the asset being traded.Safety orders are also known as Dollar Cost Averaging and help when prices move in the opposite direction to your bot's take profit target.
Safety Orders Deviation %: Enter the percentage difference in price to create the first Safety Order. All Safety Orders are calculated from the price the initial Base Order was filled on the exchange account.
Safety Orders Max Count: This is the total number of Safety Orders the bot is allowed to use per deal that is opened. All Safety Orders created by the bot are placed as Limit Orders on the exchange's order book.
Safety Orders Volume Scale: The Safety Order Volume Scale is used to multiply the amount of funds used by the last Safety Order that was created. Using a larger amount of funds for Safety Orders allows your bot to be more aggressive at Dollar Cost Averaging the price of the asset being traded.
Safety Orders Step Scale: The Safety Order Step Scale is used to multiply the Price Deviation percentage used by the last Safety Order placed on the exchange account. Using a larger value here will reduce the amount of Safety Orders your bot will require to cover a larger move in price in the opposite direction to the active deal's take profit target.
Take Profit %: The Take Profit section offers tools for flexible management of target parameters: automatic profit upon reaching one or more target levels in percentage.
Stop Loss % | Use SL: To enable Stop Loss, please check the "Use SL" box. This is the percentage that price needs to move in the opposite direction to close the deal at a loss. This must be greater than the sum of the deviations from the safety orders.
🔸Strategy Tester Filters
Use Custom Test Period: When enabled signals only works in the selected time window.. If disabled it will use all historical data available on the chart.
Test Start and End: Once the Custom Test Period is enabled, here you select the start and end date that you want to analyze.
Session Filter | Days | Background: Here you can choose a time zone in which signals will be sent or your strategy will be tested, as well as the days and a background of it. It is important that you use the same timezone as your chart so that it matches.
👨🏻💻💭 If this tool helps you, don’t forget to give it a boost! Feel free to share in the comments how you're using it or if you have any questions.
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The information and publications within the 3Commas TradingView account are not meant to be and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by 3Commas and any of the parties acting on behalf of 3Commas, including its employees, contractors, ambassadors, etc.
Triple CCI Strategy MFI Confirmed [Skyrexio]Overview
Triple CCI Strategy MFI Confirmed leverages 3 different periods Commodity Channel Index (CCI) indicator in conjunction Money Flow Index (MFI) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability setups. Fast period CCI is used for having the high probability to enter in the direction of short term trend, middle and slow period CCI are used for confirmation, if market now likely in the mid and long-term uptrend. MFI is used to confirm trade with the money inflow/outflow with the high probability. EMA is used as an additional trend filter. Moreover, strategy uses exponential moving average (EMA) to trail the price when it reaches the specific level. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
Dynamic stop-loss system: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes average true range (ATR) multiplied by user given number subtracted from the position entry price as a dynamic stop loss level.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Four layers trade filtering system: Strategy utilizes two different period CCI indicators, MFI and EMA indicators to confirm the signals produced by fast period CCI.
Trailing take profit level: After reaching the trailing profit activation level scrip activate the trailing of long trade using EMA. More information in methodology.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
Fast period CCI shall crossover the zero-line.
Slow and Middle period CCI shall be above zero-lines.
Price shall close above the EMA. Crossover is not obligatory
MFI shall be above 50
When long trade is executed, strategy set the stop-loss level at the price ATR multiplied by user-given value below the entry price. This level is recalculated on every next candle close, adjusting to the current market volatility.
At the same time strategy set up the trailing stop validation level. When the price crosses the level equals entry price plus ATR multiplied by user-given value script starts to trail the price with EMA. If price closes below EMA long trade is closed. When the trailing starts, script prints the label “Trailing Activated”.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup the following strategy settings:
ATR Stop Loss (by default = 1.75)
ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level (by default = 2.25)
CCI Fast Length (by default = 14, used for calculation short term period CCI)
CCI Middle Length (by default = 25, used for calculation short term period CCI)
CCI Slow Length (by default = 50, used for calculation long term period CCI)
MFI Length (by default = 14, used for calculation MFI
EMA Length (by default = 50, period of EMA, used for trend filtering EMA calculation)
Trailing EMA Length (by default = 20)
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Before understanding why this particular combination of indicator has been chosen let's briefly explain what is CCI, MFI and EMA.
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is a momentum-based technical indicator that measures the deviation of a security's price from its average price over a specific period. It helps traders identify overbought or oversold conditions and potential trend reversals.
The CCI formula is:
CCI = (Typical Price − SMA) / (0.015 × Mean Deviation)
Typical Price (TP): This is calculated as the average of the high, low, and closing prices for the period.
Simple Moving Average (SMA): This is the average of the Typical Prices over a specific number of periods.
Mean Deviation: This is the average of the absolute differences between the Typical Price and the SMA.
The result is a value that typically fluctuates between +100 and -100, though it is not bounded and can go higher or lower depending on the price movement.
The Money Flow Index (MFI) is a technical indicator that measures the strength of money flowing into and out of a security. It combines price and volume data to assess buying and selling pressure and is often used to identify overbought or oversold conditions. The formula for MFI involves several steps:
1. Calculate the Typical Price (TP):
TP = (high + low + close) / 3
2. Calculate the Raw Money Flow (RMF):
Raw Money Flow = TP × Volume
3. Determine Positive and Negative Money Flow:
If the current TP is greater than the previous TP, it's Positive Money Flow.
If the current TP is less than the previous TP, it's Negative Money Flow.
4. Calculate the Money Flow Ratio (MFR):
Money Flow Ratio = Sum of Positive Money Flow (over n periods) / Sum of Negative Money Flow (over n periods)
5. Calculate the Money Flow Index (MFI):
MFI = 100 − (100 / (1 + Money Flow Ratio))
MFI above 80 can be considered as overbought, below 20 - oversold.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that places greater weight and significance on the most recent data points. It is widely used in technical analysis to smooth price data and identify trends more quickly than the Simple Moving Average (SMA).
Formula:
1. Calculate the multiplier
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1) , Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
This strategy leverages Fast period CCI, which shall break the zero line to the upside to say that probability of short term trend change to the upside increased. This zero line crossover shall be confirmed by the Middle and Slow periods CCI Indicators. At the moment of breakout these two CCIs shall be above 0, indicating that there is a high probability that price is in middle and long term uptrend. This approach increases chances to have a long trade setup in the direction of mid-term and long-term trends when the short-term trend starts to reverse to the upside.
Additionally strategy uses MFI to have a greater probability that fast CCI breakout is confirmed by this indicator. We consider the values of MFI above 50 as a higher probability that trend change from downtrend to the uptrend is real. Script opens long trades only if MFI is above 50. As you already know from the MFI description, it incorporates volume in its calculation, therefore we have another one confirmation factor.
Finally, strategy uses EMA an additional trend filter. It allows to open long trades only if price close above EMA (by default 50 period). It increases the probability of taking long trades only in the direction of the trend.
ATR is used to adjust the strategy risk management to the current market volatility. If volatility is low, we don’t need the large stop loss to understand the there is a high probability that we made a mistake opening the trade. User can setup the settings ATR Stop Loss and ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level to realize his own risk to reward preferences, but the unique feature of a strategy is that after reaching trailing profit activation level strategy is trying to follow the trend until it is likely to be finished instead of using fixed risk management settings. It allows sometimes to be involved in the large movements. It’s also important to make a note, that script uses another one EMA (by default = 20 period) as a trailing profit level.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2022.04.01 - 2024.11.25. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 50%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -4.13%
Maximum Single Profit: +19.66%
Net Profit: +5421.21 USDT (+54.21%)
Total Trades: 108 (44.44% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.006
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 777.40 USDT (-7.77%)
Average Profit per Trade: 50.20 USDT (+0.85%)
Average Trade Duration: 44 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 2h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Ichimoku + RSI + MACD Strategy1. Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Overview:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100 and is typically used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in a market.
How to Use with Ichimoku:
Long Entry: Look for RSI to be above 30 (indicating it is not oversold) when the price is above the Ichimoku Cloud.
Short Entry: Look for RSI to be below 70 (indicating it is not overbought) when the price is below the Ichimoku Cloud.
2. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
Overview:
The MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security’s price. It consists of the MACD line, signal line, and histogram.
How to Use with Ichimoku:
Long Entry: Enter a long position when the MACD line crosses above the signal line while the price is above the Ichimoku Cloud.
Short Entry: Enter a short position when the MACD line crosses below the signal line while the price is below the Ichimoku Cloud.
Combined Strategy Example
Here’s a brief outline of how to structure a trading strategy using Ichimoku, RSI, and MACD:
Long Entry Conditions:
Price is above the Ichimoku Cloud.
RSI is above 30.
MACD line crosses above the signal line.
Short Entry Conditions:
Price is below the Ichimoku Cloud.
RSI is below 70.
MACD line crosses below the signal line.
Exit Conditions:
Exit long when MACD line crosses below the signal line.
Exit short when MACD line crosses above the signal line.
MFI Strategy with Oversold Zone Exit and AveragingThis strategy is based on the Money Flow Index (MFI) and aims to enter a long position when the MFI exits an oversold zone, with specific rules for limit orders, stop-loss, and take-profit settings. Here's a detailed breakdown:
Key Components
1. **Money Flow Index (MFI)**: The strategy uses the MFI, a volume-weighted indicator, to gauge whether the market is in an oversold condition (default threshold of MFI < 20). Once the MFI rises above the oversold threshold, it signals a potential buying opportunity.
2. **Limit Order for Long Entry**: Instead of entering immediately after the oversold condition is cleared, the strategy places a limit order at a price slightly below the current price (by a user-defined percentage). This helps achieve a better entry price.
3. **Stop-Loss and Take-Profit**:
- **Stop-Loss**: A stop-loss is set to protect against significant losses, calculated as a percentage below the entry price.
- **Take-Profit**: A take-profit target is set as a percentage above the entry price to lock in gains.
4. **Order Cancellation**: If the limit order isn’t filled within a specific number of bars (default is 5 bars), it’s automatically canceled to avoid being filled at a potentially suboptimal price as market conditions change.
Strategy Workflow
1. **Identify Oversold Zone**: The strategy checks if the MFI falls below a defined oversold level (default is 20). Once this condition is met, the flag `inOversoldZone` is set to `true`.
2. **Wait for Exit from Oversold Zone**: When the MFI rises back above the oversold level, it’s considered a signal that the market is potentially recovering, and the strategy prepares to enter a position.
3. **Place Limit Order**: Upon exiting the oversold zone, the strategy places a limit order for a long position at a price below the current price, defined by the `Long Entry Percentage` parameter.
4. **Monitor Limit Order**: A counter (`barsSinceEntryOrder`) starts counting the bars since the limit order was placed. If the order isn’t filled within the specified number of bars, it’s canceled automatically.
5. **Set Stop-Loss and Take-Profit**: Once the order is filled, a stop-loss and take-profit are set based on user-defined percentages relative to the entry price.
6. **Exit Strategy**: The trade will close automatically when either the stop-loss or take-profit level is hit.
Advantages
- **Risk Management**: With configurable stop-loss and take-profit, the strategy ensures losses are limited while capturing profits at pre-defined levels.
- **Controlled Entry**: The use of a limit order below the current price helps secure a better entry point, enhancing risk-reward.
- **Oversold Exit Trigger**: Using the exit from an oversold zone as an entry condition can help catch reversals.
Disadvantages
- **Missed Entries**: If the limit order isn’t filled due to insufficient downward movement after the oversold signal, potential opportunities may be missed.
- **Dependency on MFI Sensitivity**: As the MFI is sensitive to both price and volume, its fluctuations might not always accurately represent oversold conditions.
Overall Purpose
The strategy is suited for traders who want to capture potential reversals after oversold conditions in the market, with a focus on precise entries, risk management, and an automated exit plan.
RVI Crossover Strategy[Kopottaja]Overview of the RVI Crossover Strategy
Strategy Name: RVI Crossover Strategy
Purpose: The RVI Crossover Strategy is based on the crossover signals between the Relative Vigor Index (RVI) and its moving average signal line. This strategy aims to identify potential buy and sell signals by evaluating the market’s directional trend.
Key Indicator Features
Relative Vigor Index (RVI): This indicator measures the momentum of price changes over a specified period and helps identify the market’s current trend. The RVI is based on the idea that prices generally close higher than they open in an uptrend (and lower in a downtrend). The RVI helps provide an indication of the strength and direction of a trend.
Signal Line: A moving average (e.g., SMA) is applied to the RVI values, creating a "signal line." When the RVI crosses above or below this line, it signals a potential trading opportunity.
Calculations and Settings
Calculating the RVI: The RVI is calculated by comparing the difference between the close and open prices to the difference between high and low prices. This provides information about the direction and momentum of price movement:
RVI= Sum(SWMA(high−low))Sum(SWMA(close−open))
where SWMA is a smoothed weighted moving average over a specified period.
Signal Line Calculation: The RVI value is smoothed by applying a simple moving average (SMA) to create the signal line. This signal line helps filter crossover signals for improved accuracy.
Buy and Sell Conditions: Buy and sell conditions are identified based on crossovers between the RVI and its signal line.
Buy Signal: A buy condition is triggered when the RVI crosses above the signal line, provided that the "Bearish" condition (trend confirmation) is met.
Sell Signal: A sell condition occurs when the RVI crosses below the signal line, alongside the "Bullish" trend confirmation.
Volume-Weighted Moving Averages (VWMA): VWMA indicators are used to assess price-volume relationships over different timeframes:
Fast VWMA: A short-period volume-weighted moving average.
Slow VWMA: A longer-period volume-weighted moving average. These values are used to strengthen the buy and sell conditions by confirming trend directions (Bullish or Bearish).
Disclaimer: This is an educational and informational tool. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always backtest before using in live markets
Advanced Multi-Seasonality StrategyThe Multi-Seasonality Strategy is a trading system based on seasonal market patterns. Seasonality refers to recurring market trends driven by predictable calendar-based events. These patterns emerge due to economic cycles, corporate activities (e.g., earnings reports), and investor behavior around specific times of the year. Studies have shown that such effects can influence asset prices over defined periods, leading to opportunities for traders who exploit these patterns (Hirshleifer, 2001; Bouman & Jacobsen, 2002).
How the Strategy Works:
The strategy allows the user to define four distinct periods within a calendar year. For each period, the trader selects:
Entry Date (Month and Day): The date to enter the trade.
Holding Period: The number of trading days to remain in the trade after the entry.
Trade Direction: Whether to take a long or short position during that period.
The system is designed with flexibility, enabling the user to activate or deactivate each of the four periods. The idea is to take advantage of seasonal patterns, such as buying during historically strong periods and selling during weaker ones. A well-known example is the "Sell in May and Go Away" phenomenon, which suggests that stock returns are higher from November to April and weaker from May to October (Bouman & Jacobsen, 2002).
Seasonality in Financial Markets:
Seasonal effects have been documented across different asset classes and markets:
Equities: Stock markets tend to exhibit higher returns during certain months, such as the "January effect," where prices rise after year-end tax-loss selling (Haugen & Lakonishok, 1987).
Commodities: Agricultural commodities often follow seasonal planting and harvesting cycles, which impact supply and demand patterns (Fama & French, 1987).
Forex: Currency pairs may show strength or weakness during specific quarters based on macroeconomic factors, such as fiscal year-end flows or central bank policy decisions.
Scientific Basis:
Research shows that market anomalies like seasonality are linked to behavioral biases and institutional practices. For example, investors may respond to tax incentives at the end of the year, and companies may engage in window dressing (Haugen & Lakonishok, 1987). Additionally, macroeconomic factors, such as monetary policy shifts and holiday trading volumes, can also contribute to predictable seasonal trends (Bouman & Jacobsen, 2002).
Risks of Seasonal Trading:
While the strategy seeks to exploit predictable patterns, there are inherent risks:
Market Changes: Seasonal effects observed in the past may weaken or disappear as market conditions evolve. Increased algorithmic trading, globalization, and policy changes can reduce the reliability of historical patterns (Lo, 2004).
Overfitting: One of the risks in seasonal trading is overfitting the strategy to historical data. A pattern that worked in the past may not necessarily work in the future, especially if it was based on random chance or external factors that no longer apply (Sullivan, Timmermann, & White, 1999).
Liquidity and Volatility: Trading during specific periods may expose the trader to low liquidity, especially around holidays or earnings seasons, leading to slippage and larger-than-expected price swings.
Economic and Geopolitical Shocks: External events such as pandemics, wars, or political instability can disrupt seasonal patterns, leading to unexpected market behavior.
Conclusion:
The Multi-Seasonality Strategy capitalizes on the predictable nature of certain calendar-based patterns in financial markets. By entering and exiting trades based on well-established seasonal effects, traders can potentially capture short-term profits. However, caution is necessary, as market dynamics can change, and seasonal patterns are not guaranteed to persist. Rigorous backtesting, combined with risk management practices, is essential to successfully implementing this strategy.
References:
Bouman, S., & Jacobsen, B. (2002). The Halloween Indicator, "Sell in May and Go Away": Another Puzzle. American Economic Review, 92(5), 1618-1635.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1987). Commodity Futures Prices: Some Evidence on Forecast Power, Premiums, and the Theory of Storage. Journal of Business, 60(1), 55-73.
Haugen, R. A., & Lakonishok, J. (1987). The Incredible January Effect: The Stock Market's Unsolved Mystery. Dow Jones-Irwin.
Hirshleifer, D. (2001). Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing. Journal of Finance, 56(4), 1533-1597.
Lo, A. W. (2004). The Adaptive Markets Hypothesis: Market Efficiency from an Evolutionary Perspective. Journal of Portfolio Management, 30(5), 15-29.
Sullivan, R., Timmermann, A., & White, H. (1999). Data-Snooping, Technical Trading Rule Performance, and the Bootstrap. Journal of Finance, 54(5), 1647-1691.
This strategy harnesses the power of seasonality but requires careful consideration of the risks and potential changes in market behavior over time.
Stochastic RSI OHLC StrategyThe script titled "Stochastic RSI High Low Close Bars" is a versatile trading strategy implemented in Pine Script, designed for TradingView. Here's an overview of its features:
Description
This strategy leverages the Stochastic RSI to determine entry and exit signals in the market, focusing on high, low, and close values of the indicator. It incorporates various trading styles, stop-loss mechanisms, and multi-timeframe analysis to adapt to different market conditions.
Key Features
Stochastic RSI Analysis:
Uses the Stochastic RSI to identify potential entry points for long and short positions.
Tracks high, low, and close values for more granular analysis.
Multiple Trading Styles:
Supports diverse trading styles like Volume Color Swing, RSI Divergence, RSI Pullback, and more.
Allows switching between these styles to suit market dynamics.
Session-Based Trading:
Offers session control, limiting trades to specific hours (e.g., NY sessions).
Can close all positions at the end of the trading day.
Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Mechanisms:
Includes both static and dynamic stop-losses, with options for time-based stops, trailing stops, and momentum-based exits.
Customizable take-profit levels ensure efficient trade management.
Volume Analysis:
Integrates volume indicators to add a bias for trade entries and exits, enhancing signal reliability.
Multi-Timeframe Integration:
Employs multi-timeframe RSI analysis, allowing the strategy to capture broader trends and optimize entries.
This script is designed to provide flexibility and adaptability, making it useful for different trading strategies and market conditions. It is suitable for traders looking to refine their entries and exits with a focus on the Stochastic RSI.
Central Pivot Point Cross & Retrace Strategy // AlgoFyreThe Central Pivot Point Cross & Retrace Strategy uses pivot points for trend identification and trade entry. It combines accumulation/distribution indicators with pivot point levels to generate signals. The strategy incorporates dynamic position sizing based on a fixed risk amount and allows for both long and short positions with customizable stop-loss levels.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
🔶 ORIGINALITY
🔸Pivot Point-Based Trading
🔸Accumulation/Distribution
🔸Dynamic Position Sizing
🔸Customizable Risk Management
🔶 FUNCTIONALITY
🔸Indicators
🞘 Pivot Points
🞘 Accumulation/Distribution
🔸Conditions
🞘 Long Entry
🞘 Short Entry
🞘 Take Profit
🞘 Stop Loss
🔶 INSTRUCTIONS
🔸Adding the Strategy to the Chart
🔸Configuring the Strategy
🔸Backtesting and Practice
🔸Market Awareness
🔸Visual Customization
🔶 CONCLUSION
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🔶 ORIGINALITY The Central Pivot Point Cross & Retrace Strategy uniquely combines pivot point analysis with accumulation/distribution indicators to identify optimal entry and exit points. It employs dynamic position sizing based on a fixed risk amount, ensuring consistent risk management across trades. This approach allows traders to adapt to varying market conditions by adjusting position sizes according to predefined risk parameters, enhancing both flexibility and control in trading decisions. The strategy's integration of customizable stop-loss levels further refines its risk management capabilities.
🔸Pivot Point-Based Trading This strategy utilizes daily pivot points to identify key support and resistance levels, providing a framework for trend identification and trade entry. The central pivot point serves as the intraday point of balance between buyers and sellers, with the largest amount of trading volume assumed to take place in this area.
🔸Accumulation/Distribution The strategy incorporates the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) line, an underrated volume-based indicator, to establish the main trend. The A/D line is used in conjunction with a trend based indicator like the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to confirm trend direction and strength.
🔸Dynamic Position Sizing Position sizes are calculated dynamically based on a fixed risk amount, allowing traders to maintain consistent risk exposure across trades.
🔸Customizable Risk Management Traders can set flexible risk-reward ratios and adjust stop-loss and take-profit levels, tailoring the strategy to their risk tolerance and market conditions. The strategy recommends taking partial profits at S1 or R1 levels and moving the stop-loss to break-even for remaining positions.
🔶 FUNCTIONALITY The Central Pivot Point Cross & Retrace Strategy leverages pivot points and accumulation/distribution indicators to identify optimal trading opportunities. This strategy is designed to capitalize on price movements around key pivot levels by dynamically adjusting position sizes based on predefined risk parameters. It allows traders to manage risk effectively while taking advantage of both long and short positions.
🔸Indicators 🞘 Pivot Points: Calculates daily pivot points (PP, R1, R2, S1, S2) to identify key support and resistance levels. The central pivot point is crucial for determining market bias and entry points.
🞘 Accumulation/Distribution: Uses the A/D line and with a trend based indicator like the 200 EMA to determine market direction and trend strength. This combination helps eliminate noise and provides more reliable trend signals. We recommend using the Adaptive MAs (Hurst, CVaR, Fractal) // AlgoFyre , but any moving average could be used.
🔸Conditions 🞘 Long Entry: Initiates a long position when the price crosses above the central pivot point (PP), retraces back to it and the A/D line is above its 200 EMA, indicating an uptrend. A limit entry order is set at the PP for entering the long trade.
🞘 Short Entry: Initiates a short position when the price crosses below the central pivot point (PP), retraces back to it and the A/D line is below its 200 EMA, indicating a downtrend. A limit entry order is set at the PP for entering the short trade.
🞘 Take Profit: 50% of the position is closed as profit when R1 for Longs and S1 for Shorts is reached. The position is fully closed when R2 for Longs and S2 for Shorts is reached.
🞘 Stop Loss: Stop loss is set via strategy settings. When the first 50% take profit for both long and shorts is taken, stop loss for both will be moved to break-even/entry.
🔶 INSTRUCTIONS
The Central Pivot Point Cross & Retrace Strategy can be set up by adding it to your TradingView chart and configuring parameters such as the accumulation/distribution source, stop-loss percentage, and risk management settings. This strategy is designed to capitalize on price movements around key pivot levels by dynamically adjusting position sizes based on predefined risk parameters. Enhance the accuracy of signals by combining this strategy with additional indicators like trend-following or momentum-based tools. Adjust settings to better manage risk and optimize entry and exit points.
🔸Adding the Strategy to the Chart Go to your TradingView chart.
Click on the "Pine Editor" button at the bottom of the chart.
Copy and paste the strategy code into the Pine Editor.
Click "Add to Chart" to apply the strategy.
Add the technical indicator "Accumulation/Distribution" to the chart.
Add the trend indicator " Adaptive MAs (Hurst, CVaR, Fractal) // AlgoFyre " or any other MA to the chart and move it to the "Accumulation/Distribution" pane.
Set the source of your trend indicator to "Accumulation/Distribution".
🔸Configuring the Strategy Open the strategy settings by clicking on the gear icon next to its name on the chart.
Accumulation/Distribution Source: Select the source for the accumulation/distribution indicator.
Accumulation/Distribution EMA Source: Select the source for the trend indicator.
Stop Loss Percentage: Set the stop loss distance from the pivot point as a percentage.
Risk Amount: Define the fixed risk amount for position sizing.
Base Order Size: Set the base order size for position calculations.
Number of Positions: Specify the maximum number of positions allowed.
Time Frame: Adjust the time frame based on the currency pair or asset being traded (e.g., 15-minute for EUR/USD, 30-minute for GBP/USD).
🔸Backtesting and Practice Backtest the strategy on historical data to understand how it performs in various market environments.
Practice using the strategy on a demo account before implementing it in live trading.
Test different time frames and asset pairs to find the most suitable combinations.
🔸Market Awareness Keep an eye on market news and events that might cause extreme price movements. The strategy reacts to price data and might not account for news-driven events that can cause large deviations.
Remember that this strategy is not recommended for stocks due to the A/D line's inability to account for gaps in its calculation.
🔸Visual Customization Visualization Settings: Customize the display of entry price, take profit, and stop loss levels.
Color Settings: Switch to the AlgoFyre theme or set custom colors for bullish, bearish, and neutral states.
Table Settings: Enable or disable the information table and adjust its position.
🔶 CONCLUSION
The Central Pivot Point Cross & Retrace Strategy provides a robust framework for capitalizing on price movements around key pivot levels by combining pivot point analysis with accumulation/distribution indicators. This strategy leverages pivot point crossovers to identify entry points and utilizes the A/D line crossover with its 200 EMA for trend confirmation, ensuring trades align with prevailing market conditions. By incorporating dynamic position sizing based on a fixed risk amount, traders can effectively manage risk and adapt to varying market conditions. The strategy's focus on trading around the central pivot point and its customizable stop-loss and take-profit levels further enhance its risk management capabilities, making it a versatile tool for both trending and ranging markets. With its strategic blend of technical indicators and risk management, the Central Pivot Point Cross & Retrace Strategy offers traders a comprehensive approach to optimizing trade execution and maximizing potential returns across various currency pairs and commodities.
Custom Buy BID StrategyThis Pine Script strategy is designed to identify and capitalize on upward trends in the market using the Average True Range (ATR) as a core component of the analysis. The script provides the following features:
Customizable ATR Calculation: Users can switch between different methods of ATR calculation (traditional or simple moving average).
Adjustable Parameters: The strategy allows for adjustable ATR periods, ATR multipliers, and custom time windows for executing trades.
Buy Signal Alerts: The strategy generates buy signals when the market shifts from a downtrend to an uptrend, based on ATR and price action.
Profit and Stop-Loss Management: Built-in take profit and stop-loss conditions are calculated as a percentage of the entry price, allowing for automatic position management.
Visual Enhancements: The script highlights the uptrend with green lines and optionally colors bars to help visualize market direction.
Flexible Timeframe: Users can configure a specific date range to activate the strategy, offering more control over when trades are executed.
This strategy is ideal for traders looking to automate their buy entries and manage risk with a straightforward trend-following approach. By utilizing customizable settings, it adapts to various market conditions and timeframes.
[Shoshi] Better Than UCTS StrategyThe Strategy is a versatile trading strategy designed to work across various timeframes and assets, with customizable presets tailored for different market conditions. This strategy leverages a combination of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to identify trend directions and entry points. It includes the following key features:
**EMA Crossovers:**
Utilizes short-term and long-term EMAs to generate buy and sell signals when a crossover occurs.
**Customizable Take Profits (TP1, TP2):**
Define up to two take-profit levels to lock in gains. These can be activated or deactivated as needed.
**Stop Loss and Break-Even:**
Implements a dynamic stop loss that can adjust to break-even after hitting the first take-profit level, providing additional risk management.
**Time and Volume Filters:**
Optional filters to avoid signals in low-volume or unfavorable time periods, enhancing the reliability of the signals.
**Risk Management Tools:**
Includes maximum drawdown, losing streak, and intraday loss limits to safeguard your capital.
This strategy is fully configurable, allowing traders to adjust settings to suit their specific needs and market conditions, making it a powerful tool for both beginner and experienced traders.
Breadth Thrust Strategy with Volatility Stop-LossThe "Breadth Thrust Strategy with Volatility Stop-Loss" is a trading strategy designed to capitalize on market momentum while managing risk through volatility-based stop-losses. Here's a detailed breakdown of the strategy:
Strategy Overview:
Market Breadth Analysis: The strategy uses the "Breadth Thrust Indicator," which evaluates market momentum by calculating the ratio of advancing stocks to the total number of stocks on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). This indicator helps identify bullish market conditions. An optional feature allows for the inclusion of volume data in this calculation, enhancing the signal's robustness.
Signal Generation: A long position is triggered when the smoothed breadth ratio (or the combined breadth and volume ratio) crosses above a specified low threshold (e.g., 0.4). This crossover indicates a potential shift towards positive market momentum.
Key Parameters:
Smoothing Length (length): Defines the period over which the breadth or combined ratio is smoothed using a simple moving average (SMA) to reduce noise and highlight the underlying trend.
Low Threshold (threshold_low): The level below which the smoothed ratio must fall before crossing back above to trigger a long signal.
Hold Periods (hold_periods): The minimum number of periods for which the position will be held once entered, ensuring the strategy captures a meaningful move.
Volatility Multiplier (volatility_multiplier): A multiplier applied to the Average True Range (ATR) to determine the distance of the stop-loss from the entry price, which adjusts according to market volatility.
Trade Management:
Entry Signal: The strategy enters a long position when the smoothed combined ratio crosses above the low threshold, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
ATR-Based Stop-Loss: Upon entering a trade, the strategy calculates a stop-loss level based on the ATR, which measures market volatility. The stop-loss is set at a distance from the entry price, determined by multiplying the ATR by the specified volatility multiplier. This adaptive stop-loss mechanism helps protect the position from adverse market moves.
Stop-Loss Adjustment: While the position is open, the stop-loss level is dynamically updated, ensuring it never decreases (trailing stop-loss effect) but can be adjusted upwards to reflect the latest price action relative to volatility.
Position Closure: The position is closed if:
The market price falls to or below the stop-loss level.
The position has been held for the specified number of periods (hold_periods), after which it is automatically closed.
Additional Settings:
Initial Capital: The strategy starts with an initial capital of $10,000.
Commissions and Slippage: Each trade incurs a commission of $5 per order, and slippage is accounted for at $1 per trade.
Background Highlighting: The chart background turns green when a position is open, providing a clear visual indication of the active trade.
This strategy is designed to identify and capitalize on upward momentum in the market while employing a volatility-adjusted stop-loss to manage risk. By combining market breadth analysis with volatility-based stop-losses, the strategy aims to balance profit potential with protection against sudden market reversals.
RunRox - Backtesting System (ASMC)Introducing RunRox - Backtesting System (ASMC), a specially designed backtesting system built on the robust structure of our Advanced SMC indicator. This innovative tool evaluates various Smart Money Concept (SMC) trading setups and serves as an automatic optimizer, displaying which entry and exit points have historically shown the best results. With cutting-edge technology, RunRox - Backtesting System (ASMC) provides you with effective strategies, maximizing your trading potential and taking your trading to the next level
🟠 HOW OUR BACKTESTING SYSTEM WORKS
Our backtesting system for the Advanced SMC (ASMC) indicator is meticulously designed to provide traders with a thorough analysis of their Smart Money Concept (SMC) strategies. Here’s an overview of how it works:
🔸 Advanced SMC Structure
Our ASMC indicator is built upon an enhanced SMC structure that integrates the Institutional Distribution Model (IDM), precise retracements, and five types of order blocks (CHoCH OB, IDM OB, Local OB, BOS OB, Extreme OB). These components allow for a detailed understanding of market dynamics and the identification of key trading opportunities.
🔸 Data Integration and Analysis
1. Historical Data Testing:
Our system tests various entry and exit points using historical market data.
The ASMC indicator is used to simulate trades based on predefined SMC setups, evaluating their effectiveness over a specified time period.
Traders can select different parameters such as entry points, stop-loss, and take-profit levels to see how these setups would have performed historically.
2. Entry and Exit Events:
The backtester can simulate trades based on 12 different entry events, 14 target events, and 14 stop-loss events, providing a comprehensive testing framework.
It allows for testing with multiple combinations of entry and exit strategies, ensuring a robust evaluation of trading setups.
3. Order Block Sensitivity:
The system uses the sensitivity settings from the ASMC indicator to determine the most relevant order blocks and fair value gaps (FVGs) for entry and exit points.
It distinguishes between different types of order blocks, helping traders identify strong institutional zones versus local zones.
🔸 Optimization Capabilities
1. Auto-Optimizer:
The backtester includes an auto-optimizer feature that evaluates various setups to find those with the best historical performance.
It automatically adjusts parameters to identify the most effective strategies for both trend-following and counter-trend trading.
2. Stop Loss and Take Profit Optimization:
It optimizes stop-loss and take-profit levels by testing different settings and identifying those that provided the best historical results.
This helps traders refine their risk management and maximize potential returns.
3. Trailing Stop Optimization:
The system also optimizes trailing stops, ensuring that traders can maximize their profits by adjusting their stops dynamically as the market moves.
🔸 Comprehensive Reporting
1. Performance Metrics:
The backtesting system provides detailed reports, including key performance metrics such as Net Profit, Win Rate, Profit Factor, and Max Drawdown.
These metrics help traders understand the historical performance of their strategies and make data-driven decisions.
2. Flexible Settings:
Traders can adjust initial balance, commission rates, and risk per trade settings to simulate real-world trading conditions.
The system supports testing with different leverage settings, allowing for realistic assessments even with tight stop-loss levels.
🔸 Conclusion
The RunRox Backtesting System (ASMC) is a powerful tool for traders seeking to validate and optimize their SMC strategies. By leveraging historical data and sophisticated optimization algorithms, it provides insights into the most effective setups, enhancing trading performance and decision-making.
🟠 HERE ARE THE AVAILABLE FEATURES
Historical backtesting for any setup – Select any entry point, exit point, and various stop-loss options to see the results of your setup on historical data.
Auto-optimizer for finding the best setups – The indicator displays settings that have shown the best results historically, providing valuable insights.
Auto-optimizer for counter-trend setups – Discover entry and exit points for counter-trend trading based on historical performance.
Auto-optimizer for stop-loss – The indicator shows stop-loss points that have been most effective historically.
Auto-optimizer for take-profit – The indicator identifies take-profit points that have performed well in historical trading data.
Auto-optimizer for trailing stop – The indicator presents trailing stop settings that have shown the best historical results.
And much more within our indicator, all of which we will cover in this post. Next, we will showcase the possible entry points, targets, and stop-loss options available for testing your strategies
🟠 ENTRY SETTINGS
12 Event Triggers for Trade Entry
Extr. ChoCh OB
Extr. ChoCh FVG
ChoCh
ChoCh OB
ChoCh FVG
IDM OB
IDM FVG
BoS FVG
BoS OB
BoS
Extr. BoS FVG
Extr. BoS OB
3 Trade Direction Options
Long Only: Enter long positions only
Short Only: Enter short positions only
Long and Short: Enter both long and short positions based on trend
3 Levels for Order Block/FVG Entries
Beginning: Enter the trade at the first touch of the Order Block/FVG
Middle: Enter the trade when the middle of the Order Block/FVG is reached
End: Enter the trade upon full filling of the Order Block/FVG
*Three levels work only for Order Blocks and FVG. For trade entries based on BOS or CHoCH, these settings do not apply as these parameters are not available for these types of entries
You can choose any combination of trade entries imaginable.
🟠 TARGET SETTINGS
14 Target Events, Including Fixed % and Fixed RR (Risk/Reward):
Fixed - % change in price
Fixed RR - Risk Reward per trade
Extr. ChoCh OB
Extr. ChoCh FVG
ChoCh
ChoCh OB
ChoCh FVG
IDM OB
IDM FVG
BoS FVG
BoS OB
BoS
Extr. BoS FVG
Extr. BoS OB
3 Levels of Order Block/FVG for Target
Beginning: Close the trade at the first touch of your target.
Middle: Close the trade at the midpoint of your chosen target.
End: Close the trade when your target is fully filled.
Customizable Parameters
Easily set your Fixed % and Fixed RR targets with a user-friendly input field. This field works only for the Fixed and Fixed RR entry parameters. When selecting a different entry point, this field is ignored
Choose any combination of target events to suit your trading strategy.
🟠 STOPLOSS SETTINGS
14 Possible StopLoss Events Including Entry Orderblock/FVG
Fixed - Fix the loss on the trade when the price moves by N%
Entry Block
Extr. ChoCh OB
Extr. ChoCh FVG
ChoCh
ChoCh OB
ChoCh FVG
IDM OB
IDM FVG
BoS FVG
BoS OB
BoS
Extr. BoS FVG
Extr. BoS OB
3 Levels for Order Blocks/FVG Exits
Beginning: Exit the trade at the first touch of the order block/FVG.
Middle: Exit the trade at the middle of the order block/FVG.
End: Exit the trade at the full completion of the order block/FVG.
Dedicated Field for Setting Fixed % Value
Set a fixed % value in a dedicated field for the Fixed parameter. This field works only for the Fixed parameter. When selecting other exit parameters, this field is ignored.
🟠 ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
Trailing Stop, %
Set a Trailing Stop as a percentage of your trade to potentially increase profit based on historical data.
Move SL to Breakeven, bars
Move your StopLoss to breakeven after exiting the entry zone for a specified number of bars. This can enhance your potential WinRate based on historical performance.
Skip trade if RR less than
This feature allows you to skip trades where the potential Risk-to-Reward ratio is less than the number set in this field.
🟠 EXAMPLE OF MANUAL SETUP
For example, let me show you how it works on the chart. You select entry parameters, stop loss parameters, and take profit parameters for your trades, and the strategy automatically tests this setup on historical data, allowing you to see the results of this strategy.
In the screenshot above, the parameters were as follows:
Trade Entry: CHoCH OB (Beginning)
Stop Loss: Entry Block
Take Profit: Break of BOS
The indicator will automatically test all possible trades on the chart and display the results for this setup.
🟠 AUTO OPTIMIZATION SETTINGS
In the screenshot above, you can see the optimization table displaying various entry points, exits, and stop-loss settings, along with their historical performance results and other parameters. This feature allows you to identify trading setups that have shown the best historical outcomes.
This functionality will enhance your trading approach, providing you with valuable insights based on historical data. You’ll be aware of the Smart Money Concept settings that have historically worked best for any specific chart and timeframe.
Our indicator includes various optimization options designed to help you find the most effective settings based on historical data. There are 5 optimization modes, each offering unique benefits for every trader
Trend Entry - Optimization of the best settings for trend-following trades. The strategy will enter trades only in the direction of the trend. If the trend is upward, it will look for long entry points and vice versa.
Counter Trend Entry - Finding setups against the trend. If the trend is upward, the script will search for short entry points. This is the opposite of trend entry optimization.
Stop Loss - Identifying stop-loss points that showed the best historical performance for the specific setup you have configured. This helps in finding effective exit points to minimize losses.
Take Profit - Determining targets for the configured setup based on historical performance, helping to identify potentially profitable take profit levels.
Trailing Stop - Finding optimal percentages for the trailing stop function based on historical data, which can potentially increase the profit of your trades.
Ability to set parameters for auto-optimization within a specified range. For example, if you choose FixRR TP from 1 to 10, the indicator will automatically test all possible Risk Reward Take Profit variations from 1 to 10 and display the results for each parameter individually.
Ability to set initial deposit parameters, position commissions, and risk per trade as a fixed percentage or fixed amount. Additionally, you can set the maximum leverage for a trade.
There are times when the stop loss is very close to the entry point, and adhering to the risk per trade values set in the settings may not allow for such a loss in any situation. That’s why we added the ability to set the maximum possible leverage, allowing you to test your trading strategy even with very tight stop losses.
Duplicated Smart Money Structure settings from our Advanced SMC indicator that you can adjust to match your trading style flexibly. All these settings will be taken into account during the optimization process or when manually calculating settings.
Additionally, you can test your strategy based on higher timeframe order blocks. For example, you can test a strategy on a 1-minute chart while displaying order blocks from a 15-minute timeframe. The auto-optimizer will consider all these parameters, including higher timeframe order blocks, and will enter trades based on these order blocks.
Highly flexible dashboard and results optimization settings allow you to display the tables you need and sort results by six different criteria: Profit Factor, Profit, Winrate, Max Drawdown, Wins, and Trades. This enables you to find the exact setup you desire, based on these comprehensive data points.
🟠 ALERT CUSTOMIZATION
With this indicator, you can set up buy and sell alerts based on the test results, allowing you to create a comprehensive trading strategy. This feature enables you to receive real-time signals, making it a powerful tool for implementing your trading strategies.
🟠 STRATEGY PROPERTIES
For backtesting, we used realistic initial data for entering trades, such as:
Starting balance: $1000
Commission: 0.01%
Risk per trade: 1%
To ensure realistic data, we used the above settings. We offer two methods for calculating your order size, and in our case, we used a 1% risk per trade. Here’s what it means:
Risk per trade: This is the maximum loss from your deposit if the trade goes against you. The trade volume can change depending on your stop-loss distance from the entry point. Here’s the formula we use to calculate the possible volume for a single trade:
1. quantity = percentage_risk * balance / loss_per_1_contract (incl. fee)
Then, we calculate the maximum allowed volume based on the specified maximum leverage:
2. max_quantity = maxLeverage * balance / entry_price
3. If quantity < max_quantity, meaning the leverage is less than the maximum allowed, we keep quantity. If quantity > max_quantity, we use max_quantity (the maximum allowed volume according to the set leverage).
This way, depending on the stop-loss distance, the position size can vary and be up to 100% of your deposit, but the loss in each trade will not exceed the set percentage, which in our case is 1% for this backtest. This is a standard risk calculation method based on your stop-loss distance.
🔸 Statistical Significance of Trade Data
In our strategy, you may notice there weren’t enough trades to form statistically significant data. This is inherent to the Smart Money Concept (SMC) strategy, where the focus is not on the number of trades but rather on the risk-to-reward ratio per trade. In SMC strategies, it’s crucial to avoid taking numerous uncertain setups and instead perform a comprehensive analysis of the market situation.
Therefore, our strategy results show fewer than 100 trades. It’s important to understand that this small sample size isn’t statistically significant and shouldn’t be relied upon for strategy analysis. Backtesting with a small number of trades should not be used to draw conclusions about the effectiveness of a strategy.
🔸 Versatile Use Cases
The methods of using this indicator are numerous, ranging from identifying potentially the best-performing order blocks on the chart to creating a comprehensive trading strategy based on the data provided by our indicator. We believe that every trader will find a valuable application for this tool, enhancing their entry and exit points in trades.
Disclaimer
Past performance is not indicative of future results. The results shown by this indicator do not guarantee similar outcomes in the future. Use this tool as part of a comprehensive trading strategy, considering all market conditions and risks.
How to access
For access to this indicator, please read the author’s instructions below this post
