Market Zone Analyzer[BullByte]Understanding the Market Zone Analyzer
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1. Purpose of the Indicator
The Market Zone Analyzer is a Pine Script™ (version 6) indicator designed to streamline market analysis on TradingView. Rather than scanning multiple separate tools, it unifies four core dimensions—trend strength, momentum, price action, and market activity—into a single, consolidated view. By doing so, it helps traders:
• Save time by avoiding manual cross-referencing of disparate signals.
• Reduce decision-making errors that can arise from juggling multiple indicators.
• Gain a clear, reliable read on whether the market is in a bullish, bearish, or sideways phase, so they can more confidently decide to enter, exit, or hold a position.
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2. Why a Trader Should Use It
• Unified View: Combines all essential market dimensions into one easy-to-read score and dashboard, eliminating the need to piece together signals manually.
• Adaptability: Automatically adjusts its internal weighting for trend, momentum, and price action based on current volatility. Whether markets are choppy or calm, the indicator remains relevant.
• Ease of Interpretation: Outputs a simple “BULLISH,” “BEARISH,” or “SIDEWAYS” label, supplemented by an intuitive on-chart dashboard and an oscillator plot that visually highlights market direction.
• Reliability Features: Built-in smoothing of the net score and hysteresis logic (requiring consecutive confirmations before flips) minimize false signals during noisy or range-bound phases.
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3. Why These Specific Indicators?
This script relies on a curated set of well-established technical tools, each chosen for its particular strength in measuring one of the four core dimensions:
1. Trend Strength:
• ADX/DMI (Average Directional Index / Directional Movement Index): Measures how strong a trend is, and whether the +DI line is above the –DI line (bullish) or vice versa (bearish).
• Moving Average Slope (Fast MA vs. Slow MA): Compares a shorter-period SMA to a longer-period SMA; if the fast MA sits above the slow MA, it confirms an uptrend, and vice versa for a downtrend.
• Ichimoku Cloud Differential (Senkou A vs. Senkou B): Provides a forward-looking view of trend direction; Senkou A above Senkou B signals bullishness, and the opposite signals bearishness.
2. Momentum:
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): Identifies overbought (above its dynamically calculated upper bound) or oversold (below its lower bound) conditions; changes in RSI often precede price reversals.
• Stochastic %K: Highlights shifts in short-term momentum by comparing closing price to the recent high/low range; values above its upper band signal bullish momentum, below its lower band signal bearish momentum.
• MACD Histogram: Measures the difference between the MACD line and its signal line; a positive histogram indicates upward momentum, a negative histogram indicates downward momentum.
3. Price Action:
• Highest High / Lowest Low (HH/LL) Range: Over a defined lookback period, this captures breakout or breakdown levels. A closing price near the recent highs (with a positive MA slope) yields a bullish score, and near the lows (with a negative MA slope) yields a bearish score.
• Heikin-Ashi Doji Detection: Uses Heikin-Ashi candles to identify indecision or continuation patterns. A small Heikin-Ashi body (doji) relative to recent volatility is scored as neutral; a larger body in the direction of the MA slope is scored bullish or bearish.
• Candle Range Measurement: Compares each candle’s high-low range against its own dynamic band (average range ± standard deviation). Large candles aligning with the prevailing trend score bullish or bearish accordingly; unusually small candles can indicate exhaustion or consolidation.
4. Market Activity:
• Bollinger Bands Width (BBW): Measures the distance between BB upper and lower bands; wide bands indicate high volatility, narrow bands indicate low volatility.
• Average True Range (ATR): Quantifies average price movement (volatility). A sudden spike in ATR suggests a volatile environment, while a contraction suggests calm.
• Keltner Channels Width (KCW): Similar to BBW but uses ATR around an EMA. Provides a second layer of volatility context, confirming or contrasting BBW readings.
• Volume (with Moving Average): Compares current volume to its moving average ± standard deviation. High volume validates strong moves; low volume signals potential lack of conviction.
By combining these tools, the indicator captures trend direction, momentum strength, price-action nuances, and overall market energy, yielding a more balanced and comprehensive assessment than any single tool alone.
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4. What Makes This Indicator Stand Out
• Multi-Dimensional Analysis: Rather than relying on a lone oscillator or moving average crossover, it simultaneously evaluates trend, momentum, price action, and activity.
• Dynamic Weighting: The relative importance of trend, momentum, and price action adjusts automatically based on real-time volatility (Market Activity State). For example, in highly volatile conditions, trend and momentum signals carry more weight; in calm markets, price action signals are prioritized.
• Stability Mechanisms:
• Smoothing: The net score is passed through a short moving average, filtering out noise, especially on lower timeframes.
• Hysteresis: Both Market Activity State and the final bullish/bearish/sideways zone require two consecutive confirmations before flipping, reducing whipsaw.
• Visual Interpretation: A fully customizable on-chart dashboard displays each sub-indicator’s value, regime, score, and comment, all color-coded. The oscillator plot changes color to reflect the current market zone (green for bullish, red for bearish, gray for sideways) and shows horizontal threshold lines at +2, 0, and –2.
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5. Recommended Timeframes
• Short-Term (5 min, 15 min): Day traders and scalpers can benefit from rapid signals, but should enable smoothing (and possibly disable hysteresis) to reduce false whipsaws.
• Medium-Term (1 h, 4 h): Swing traders find a balance between responsiveness and reliability. Less smoothing is required here, and the default parameters (e.g., ADX length = 14, RSI length = 14) perform well.
• Long-Term (Daily, Weekly): Position traders tracking major trends can disable smoothing for immediate raw readings, since higher-timeframe noise is minimal. Adjust lookback lengths (e.g., increase adxLength, rsiLength) if desired for slower signals.
Tip: If you keep smoothing off, stick to timeframes of 1 h or higher to avoid excessive signal “chatter.”
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6. How Scoring Works
A. Individual Indicator Scores
Each sub-indicator is assigned one of three discrete scores:
• +1 if it indicates a bullish condition (e.g., RSI above its dynamically calculated upper bound).
• 0 if it is neutral (e.g., RSI between upper and lower bounds).
• –1 if it indicates a bearish condition (e.g., RSI below its dynamically calculated lower bound).
Examples of individual score assignments:
• ADX/DMI:
• +1 if ADX ≥ adxThreshold and +DI > –DI (strong bullish trend)
• –1 if ADX ≥ adxThreshold and –DI > +DI (strong bearish trend)
• 0 if ADX < adxThreshold (trend strength below threshold)
• RSI:
• +1 if RSI > RSI_upperBound
• –1 if RSI < RSI_lowerBound
• 0 otherwise
• ATR (as part of Market Activity):
• +1 if ATR > (ATR_MA + stdev(ATR))
• –1 if ATR < (ATR_MA – stdev(ATR))
• 0 otherwise
Each of the four main categories shares this same +1/0/–1 logic across their sub-components.
B. Category Scores
Once each sub-indicator reports +1, 0, or –1, these are summed within their categories as follows:
• Trend Score = (ADX score) + (MA slope score) + (Ichimoku differential score)
• Momentum Score = (RSI score) + (Stochastic %K score) + (MACD histogram score)
• Price Action Score = (Highest-High/Lowest-Low score) + (Heikin-Ashi doji score) + (Candle range score)
• Market Activity Raw Score = (BBW score) + (ATR score) + (KC width score) + (Volume score)
Each category’s summed value can range between –3 and +3 (for Trend, Momentum, and Price Action), and between –4 and +4 for Market Activity raw.
C. Market Activity State and Dynamic Weight Adjustments
Rather than contributing directly to the netScore like the other three categories, Market Activity determines how much weight to assign to Trend, Momentum, and Price Action:
1. Compute Market Activity Raw Score by summing BBW, ATR, KCW, and Volume individual scores (each +1/0/–1).
2. Bucket into High, Medium, or Low Activity:
• High if raw Score ≥ 2 (volatile market).
• Low if raw Score ≤ –2 (calm market).
• Medium otherwise.
3. Apply Hysteresis (if enabled): The state only flips after two consecutive bars register the same high/low/medium label.
4. Set Category Weights:
• High Activity: Trend = 50 %, Momentum = 35 %, Price Action = 15 %.
• Low Activity: Trend = 25 %, Momentum = 20 %, Price Action = 55 %.
• Medium Activity: Use the trader’s base weight inputs (e.g., Trend = 40 %, Momentum = 30 %, Price Action = 30 % by default).
D. Calculating the Net Score
5. Normalize Base Weights (so that the sum of Trend + Momentum + Price Action always equals 100 %).
6. Determine Current Weights based on the Market Activity State (High/Medium/Low).
7. Compute Each Category’s Contribution: Multiply (categoryScore) × (currentWeight).
8. Sum Contributions to get the raw netScore (a floating-point value that can exceed ±3 when scores are strong).
9. Smooth the netScore over two bars (if smoothing is enabled) to reduce noise.
10. Apply Hysteresis to the Final Zone:
• If the smoothed netScore ≥ +2, the bar is classified as “Bullish.”
• If the smoothed netScore ≤ –2, the bar is classified as “Bearish.”
• Otherwise, it is “Sideways.”
• To prevent rapid flips, the script requires two consecutive bars in the new zone before officially changing the displayed zone (if hysteresis is on).
E. Thresholds for Zone Classification
• BULLISH: netScore ≥ +2
• BEARISH: netScore ≤ –2
• SIDEWAYS: –2 < netScore < +2
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7. Role of Volatility (Market Activity State) in Scoring
Volatility acts as a dynamic switch that shifts which category carries the most influence:
1. High Activity (Volatile):
• Detected when at least two sub-scores out of BBW, ATR, KCW, and Volume equal +1.
• The script sets Trend weight = 50 % and Momentum weight = 35 %. Price Action weight is minimized at 15 %.
• Rationale: In volatile markets, strong trending moves and momentum surges dominate, so those signals are more reliable than nuanced candle patterns.
2. Low Activity (Calm):
• Detected when at least two sub-scores out of BBW, ATR, KCW, and Volume equal –1.
• The script sets Price Action weight = 55 %, Trend = 25 %, and Momentum = 20 %.
• Rationale: In quiet, sideways markets, subtle price-action signals (breakouts, doji patterns, small-range candles) are often the best early indicators of a new move.
3. Medium Activity (Balanced):
• Raw Score between –1 and +1 from the four volatility metrics.
• Uses whatever base weights the trader has specified (e.g., Trend = 40 %, Momentum = 30 %, Price Action = 30 %).
Because volatility can fluctuate rapidly, the script employs hysteresis on Market Activity State: a new High or Low state must occur on two consecutive bars before weights actually shift. This avoids constant back-and-forth weight changes and provides more stability.
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8. Scoring Example (Hypothetical Scenario)
• Symbol: Bitcoin on a 1-hour chart.
• Market Activity: Raw volatility sub-scores show BBW (+1), ATR (+1), KCW (0), Volume (+1) → Total raw Score = +3 → High Activity.
• Weights Selected: Trend = 50 %, Momentum = 35 %, Price Action = 15 %.
• Trend Signals:
• ADX strong and +DI > –DI → +1
• Fast MA above Slow MA → +1
• Ichimoku Senkou A > Senkou B → +1
→ Trend Score = +3
• Momentum Signals:
• RSI above upper bound → +1
• MACD histogram positive → +1
• Stochastic %K within neutral zone → 0
→ Momentum Score = +2
• Price Action Signals:
• Highest High/Lowest Low check yields 0 (close not near extremes)
• Heikin-Ashi doji reading is neutral → 0
• Candle range slightly above upper bound but trend is strong, so → +1
→ Price Action Score = +1
• Compute Net Score (before smoothing):
• Trend contribution = 3 × 0.50 = 1.50
• Momentum contribution = 2 × 0.35 = 0.70
• Price Action contribution = 1 × 0.15 = 0.15
• Raw netScore = 1.50 + 0.70 + 0.15 = 2.35
• Since 2.35 ≥ +2 and hysteresis is met, the final zone is “Bullish.”
Although the netScore lands at 2.35 (Bullish), smoothing might bring it slightly below 2.00 on the first bar (e.g., 1.90), in which case the script would wait for a second consecutive reading above +2 before officially classifying the zone as Bullish (if hysteresis is enabled).
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9. Correlation Between Categories
The four categories—Trend Strength, Momentum, Price Action, and Market Activity—often reinforce or offset one another. The script takes advantage of these natural correlations:
• Bullish Alignment: If ADX is strong and pointed upward, fast MA is above slow MA, and Ichimoku is positive, that usually coincides with RSI climbing above its upper bound and the MACD histogram turning positive. In such cases, both Trend and Momentum categories generate +1 or +2. Because the Market Activity State is likely High (given the accompanying volatility), Trend and Momentum weights are at their peak, so the netScore quickly crosses into Bullish territory.
• Sideways/Consolidation: During a low-volatility, sideways phase, ADX may fall below its threshold, MAs may flatten, and RSI might hover in the neutral band. However, subtle price-action signals (like a small breakout candle or a Heikin-Ashi candle with a slight bias) can still produce a +1 in the Price Action category. If Market Activity is Low, Price Action’s weight (55 %) can carry enough influence—even if Trend and Momentum are neutral—to push the netScore out of “Sideways” into a mild bullish or bearish bias.
• Opposing Signals: When Trend is bullish but Momentum turns negative (for example, price continues up but RSI rolls over), the two scores can partially cancel. Market Activity may remain Medium, in which case the netScore lingers near zero (Sideways). The trader can then wait for either a clearer momentum shift or a fresh price-action breakout before committing.
By dynamically recognizing these correlations and adjusting weights, the indicator ensures that:
• When Trend and Momentum align (and volatility supports it), the netScore leaps strongly into Bullish or Bearish.
• When Trend is neutral but Price Action shows an early move in a low-volatility environment, Price Action’s extra weight in the Low Activity State can still produce actionable signals.
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10. Market Activity State & Its Role (Detailed)
The Market Activity State is not a direct category score—it is an overarching context setter for how heavily to trust Trend, Momentum, or Price Action. Here’s how it is derived and applied:
1. Calculate Four Volatility Sub-Scores:
• BBW: Compare the current band width to its own moving average ± standard deviation. If BBW > (BBW_MA + stdev), assign +1 (high volatility); if BBW < (BBW_MA × 0.5), assign –1 (low volatility); else 0.
• ATR: Compare ATR to its moving average ± standard deviation. A spike above the upper threshold is +1; a contraction below the lower threshold is –1; otherwise 0.
• KCW: Same logic as ATR but around the KCW mean.
• Volume: Compare current volume to its volume MA ± standard deviation. Above the upper threshold is +1; below the lower threshold is –1; else 0.
2. Sum Sub-Scores → Raw Market Activity Score: Range between –4 and +4.
3. Assign Market Activity State:
• High Activity: Raw Score ≥ +2 (at least two volatility metrics are strongly spiking).
• Low Activity: Raw Score ≤ –2 (at least two metrics signal unusually low volatility or thin volume).
• Medium Activity: Raw Score is between –1 and +1 inclusive.
4. Hysteresis for Stability:
• If hysteresis is enabled, a new state only takes hold after two consecutive bars confirm the same High, Medium, or Low label.
• This prevents the Market Activity State from bouncing around when volatility is on the fence.
5. Set Category Weights Based on Activity State:
• High Activity: Trend = 50 %, Momentum = 35 %, Price Action = 15 %.
• Low Activity: Trend = 25 %, Momentum = 20 %, Price Action = 55 %.
• Medium Activity: Use trader’s base weights (e.g., Trend = 40 %, Momentum = 30 %, Price Action = 30 %).
6. Impact on netScore: Because category scores (–3 to +3) multiply by these weights, High Activity amplifies the effect of strong Trend and Momentum scores; Low Activity amplifies the effect of Price Action.
7. Market Context Tooltip: The dashboard includes a tooltip summarizing the current state—e.g., “High activity, trend and momentum prioritized,” “Low activity, price action prioritized,” or “Balanced market, all categories considered.”
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11. Category Weights: Base vs. Dynamic
Traders begin by specifying base weights for Trend Strength, Momentum, and Price Action that sum to 100 %. These apply only when volatility is in the Medium band. Once volatility shifts:
• High Volatility Overrides:
• Trend jumps from its base (e.g., 40 %) to 50 %.
• Momentum jumps from its base (e.g., 30 %) to 35 %.
• Price Action is reduced to 15 %.
Example: If base weights were Trend = 40 %, Momentum = 30 %, Price Action = 30 %, then in High Activity they become 50/35/15. A Trend score of +3 now contributes 3 × 0.50 = +1.50 to netScore; a Momentum +2 contributes 2 × 0.35 = +0.70. In total, Trend + Momentum can easily push netScore above the +2 threshold on its own.
• Low Volatility Overrides:
• Price Action leaps from its base (30 %) to 55 %.
• Trend falls to 25 %, Momentum falls to 20 %.
Why? When markets are quiet, subtle candle breakouts, doji patterns, and small-range expansions tend to foreshadow the next swing more effectively than raw trend readings. A Price Action score of +3 in this state contributes 3 × 0.55 = +1.65, which can carry the netScore toward +2—even if Trend and Momentum are neutral or only mildly positive.
Because these weight shifts happen only after two consecutive bars confirm a High or Low state (if hysteresis is on), the indicator avoids constantly flipping its emphasis during borderline volatility phases.
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12. Dominant Category Explained
Within the dashboard, a label such as “Trend Dominant,” “Momentum Dominant,” or “Price Action Dominant” appears when one category’s absolute weighted contribution to netScore is the largest. Concretely:
• Compute each category’s weighted contribution = (raw category score) × (current weight).
• Compare the absolute values of those three contributions.
• The category with the highest absolute value is flagged as Dominant for that bar.
Why It Matters:
• Momentum Dominant: Indicates that the combined force of RSI, Stochastic, and MACD (after weighting) is pushing netScore farther than either Trend or Price Action. In practice, it means that short-term sentiment and speed of change are the primary drivers right now, so traders should watch for continued momentum signals before committing to a trade.
• Trend Dominant: Means ADX, MA slope, and Ichimoku (once weighted) outweigh the other categories. This suggests a strong directional move is in place; trend-following entries or confirming pullbacks are likely to succeed.
• Price Action Dominant: Occurs when breakout/breakdown patterns, Heikin-Ashi candle readings, and range expansions (after weighting) are the most influential. This often happens in calmer markets, where subtle shifts in candle structure can foreshadow bigger moves.
By explicitly calling out which category is carrying the most weight at any moment, the dashboard gives traders immediate insight into why the netScore is tilting toward bullish, bearish, or sideways.
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13. Oscillator Plot: How to Read It
The “Net Score” oscillator sits below the dashboard and visually displays the smoothed netScore as a line graph. Key features:
1. Value Range: In normal conditions it oscillates roughly between –3 and +3, but extreme confluences can push it outside that range.
2. Horizontal Threshold Lines:
• +2 Line (Bullish threshold)
• 0 Line (Neutral midline)
• –2 Line (Bearish threshold)
3. Zone Coloring:
• Green Background (Bullish Zone): When netScore ≥ +2.
• Red Background (Bearish Zone): When netScore ≤ –2.
• Gray Background (Sideways Zone): When –2 < netScore < +2.
4. Dynamic Line Color:
• The plotted netScore line itself is colored green in a Bullish Zone, red in a Bearish Zone, or gray in a Sideways Zone, creating an immediate visual cue.
Interpretation Tips:
• Crossing Above +2: Signals a strong enough combined trend/momentum/price-action reading to classify as Bullish. Many traders wait for a clear crossing plus a confirmation candle before entering a long position.
• Crossing Below –2: Indicates a strong Bearish signal. Traders may consider short or exit strategies.
• Rising Slope, Even Below +2: If netScore climbs steadily from neutral toward +2, it demonstrates building bullish momentum.
• Divergence: If price makes a higher high but the oscillator fails to reach a new high, it can warn of weakening momentum and a potential reversal.
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14. Comments and Their Necessity
Every sub-indicator (ADX, MA slope, Ichimoku, RSI, Stochastic, MACD, HH/LL, Heikin-Ashi, Candle Range, BBW, ATR, KCW, Volume) generates a short comment that appears in the detailed dashboard. Examples:
• “Strong bullish trend” or “Strong bearish trend” for ADX/DMI
• “Fast MA above slow MA” or “Fast MA below slow MA” for MA slope
• “RSI above dynamic threshold” or “RSI below dynamic threshold” for RSI
• “MACD histogram positive” or “MACD histogram negative” for MACD Hist
• “Price near highs” or “Price near lows” for HH/LL checks
• “Bullish Heikin Ashi” or “Bearish Heikin Ashi” for HA Doji scoring
• “Large range, trend confirmed” or “Small range, trend contradicted” for Candle Range
Additionally, the top-row comment for each category is:
• Trend: “Highly Bullish,” “Highly Bearish,” or “Neutral Trend.”
• Momentum: “Strong Momentum,” “Weak Momentum,” or “Neutral Momentum.”
• Price Action: “Bullish Action,” “Bearish Action,” or “Neutral Action.”
• Market Activity: “Volatile Market,” “Calm Market,” or “Stable Market.”
Reasons for These Comments:
• Transparency: Shows exactly how each sub-indicator contributed to its category score.
• Education: Helps traders learn why a category is labeled bullish, bearish, or neutral, building intuition over time.
• Customization: If, for example, the RSI comment says “RSI neutral” despite an impending trend shift, a trader might choose to adjust RSI length or thresholds.
In the detailed dashboard, hovering over each comment cell also reveals a tooltip with additional context (e.g., “Fast MA above slow MA” or “Senkou A above Senkou B”), helping traders understand the precise rule behind that +1, 0, or –1 assignment.
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15. Real-Life Example (Consolidated)
• Instrument & Timeframe: Bitcoin (BTCUSD), 1-hour chart.
• Current Market Activity: BBW and ATR both spike (+1 each), KCW is moderately high (+1), but volume is only neutral (0) → Raw Market Activity Score = +2 → State = High Activity (after two bars, if hysteresis is on).
• Category Weights Applied: Trend = 50 %, Momentum = 35 %, Price Action = 15 %.
• Trend Sub-Scores:
1. ADX = 25 (above threshold 20) with +DI > –DI → +1.
2. Fast MA (20-period) sits above Slow MA (50-period) → +1.
3. Ichimoku: Senkou A > Senkou B → +1.
→ Trend Score = +3.
• Momentum Sub-Scores:
4. RSI = 75 (above its moving average +1 stdev) → +1.
5. MACD histogram = +0.15 → +1.
6. Stochastic %K = 50 (mid-range) → 0.
→ Momentum Score = +2.
• Price Action Sub-Scores:
7. Price is not within 1 % of the 20-period high/low and slope = positive → 0.
8. Heikin-Ashi body is slightly larger than stdev over last 5 bars with haClose > haOpen → +1.
9. Candle range is just above its dynamic upper bound but trend is already captured, so → +1.
→ Price Action Score = +2.
• Calculate netScore (before smoothing):
• Trend contribution = 3 × 0.50 = 1.50
• Momentum contribution = 2 × 0.35 = 0.70
• Price Action contribution = 2 × 0.15 = 0.30
• Raw netScore = 1.50 + 0.70 + 0.30 = 2.50 → Immediately classified as Bullish.
• Oscillator & Dashboard Output:
• The oscillator line crosses above +2 and turns green.
• Dashboard displays:
• Trend Regime “BULLISH,” Trend Score = 3, Comment = “Highly Bullish.”
• Momentum Regime “BULLISH,” Momentum Score = 2, Comment = “Strong Momentum.”
• Price Action Regime “BULLISH,” Price Action Score = 2, Comment = “Bullish Action.”
• Market Activity State “High,” Comment = “Volatile Market.”
• Weights: Trend 50 %, Momentum 35 %, Price Action 15 %.
• Dominant Category: Trend (because 1.50 > 0.70 > 0.30).
• Overall Score: 2.50, posCount = (three +1s in Trend) + (two +1s in Momentum) + (two +1s in Price Action) = 7 bullish signals, negCount = 0.
• Final Zone = “BULLISH.”
• The trader sees that both Trend and Momentum are reinforcing each other under high volatility. They might wait one more candle for confirmation but already have strong evidence to consider a long.
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Disclaimer
This indicator is strictly a technical analysis tool and does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk, including potential loss of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Traders should:
• Always backtest the “Market Zone Analyzer ” on their chosen symbols and timeframes before committing real capital.
• Combine this tool with sound risk management, position sizing, and, if possible, fundamental analysis.
• Understand that no indicator is foolproof; always be prepared for unexpected market moves.
Goodluck
-BullByte!
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Fibonacci Levels with MACD ConfirmationHow to Understand and Use the Fibonacci Levels with MACD Confirmation Script
This custom Pine Script is designed to give traders a clear visual framework by combining dynamic Fibonacci retracement levels, MACD histogram confirmation, and volatility-based swing zones. It aims to simplify trend analysis, improve entry timing, and adapt to various market conditions.
How to Interpret the 23.6% & 61.8% Labels
These Fibonacci levels represent key retracement zones where price often reacts during trend pullbacks or reversals.
The 23.6% level indicates a shallow retracement, useful in strong trends where price resumes early.
The 61.8% level is a deeper retracement, often a "last line of defense" before trend invalidation.
The script labels these zones with "CC 23.6" and "CC 61.8" when the price crosses them with MACD histogram confirmation:
Green label (CC) = bullish confirmation
Red label (CC) = bearish confirmation
How to Modify Inputs (Manual Adjustments)
Input Purpose Default How to Use
ATR Period Measures volatility 14 Increase for smoother, slower reactions; reduce for faster swings
Min Lookback Minimum bars for swing zone 20 Avoids short-term noise
Max Lookback Cap for swing zone scan 100 Avoids excessively wide retracement levels
Inverse Candle Chart Flips high/low logic false Enable for inverted analysis or backtesting "opposite logic"
How to Use the Inverse Candle Chart Option
Activating inverse mode flips candle logic:
Highs become negative lows, and vice versa.
Useful for:
Contrarian analysis
Inverse ETFs or short-biased views
Backtesting reverse-pattern behavior
How to Adjust the Style
You can manually personalize the script’s visual appearance:
Change line width in plot(..., linewidth=2) for bolder or thinner Fib levels.
Change colors from color.green, color.red, etc., to suit your theme.
Modify label.size, label.style, and label.color for different labeling visuals.
Customize MACD histogram style from plot.style_columns to other styles like style_histogram.
How the MACD is Set and Displayed
The MACD uses non-standard values:
Fast Length = 24
Slow Length = 52
Signal Smoothing = 18
These values slow down the indicator, reducing noise and aligning better with medium- to long-term trends.
MACD histogram is plotted directly on the main chart for faster, on-screen decision making.
Color-coded histogram:
Green/Lime = Bullish momentum increasing or steady
Red/Maroon = Bearish momentum increasing or steady
How to Use the Indicator in Real-World Trading
This indicator is most effective when used to:
✅ 1. Spot High-Probability Trend Continuation Zones
In a strong trend, price will often retrace to 23.6% or 61.8%, then resume.
Wait for:
Price to cross 23.6 or 61.8
MACD histogram rising (bullish) or falling (bearish)
"CC 23.6" or "CC 61.8" label to appear
🟢 Entry Example: Price retraces to Fib 61.8%, crosses up with green MACD histogram → take long position
✅ 2. Validate Reversal or Breakout Zones
These Fib levels also act as support/resistance.
If price crosses a Fib level but MACD fails to confirm, it may be a fake breakout.
Use confirmation labels only when MACD aligns.
✅ 3. Add Volatility Context (ATR) for Risk Management
The ATR label shows both value and %.
Use ATR to:
Set dynamic stop-losses (e.g., 1.5x ATR below entry)
Decide trade size based on volatility
How to Combine the Indicator With Other Tools
You can combine this script with other technical tools for a powerful trading framework:
🔁 With Moving Averages
Use 50/200 MA for overall trend direction
Take signals only in the direction of MA slope
🔄 With Price Action Patterns
Use the Fib/MACD signals at confluence points:
Support/resistance zones
Breakout retests
Candlestick patterns (pin bars, engulfing)
🔺 With Volume or Order Flow
Combine with volume spikes or order book signals
Confirm that Fib/MACD signals align with strong volume for conviction
✅ Trade Setup Summary
Criteria Long Setup Short Setup
Price at Fib Level At or crossing Fib 23.6 / 61.8 Same
MACD Histogram Rising and above previous bar Falling and below previous bar
Label Appears Green "CC 23.6" or "CC 61.8" Red "CC 23.6" or "CC 61.8"
Optional Filters Trend direction, ATR range, volume, price pattern Same
Multi-Factor Reversal AnalyzerMulti-Factor Reversal Analyzer – Quantitative Reversal Signal System
OVERVIEW
Multi-Factor Reversal Analyzer is a comprehensive technical analysis toolkit designed to detect market tops and bottoms with high precision. It combines trend momentum analysis, price action behavior, wave oscillation structure, and volatility breakout potential into one unified indicator.
This indicator is not a random mix of tools — each module is carefully selected for a specific purpose. When combined, they form a multi-dimensional view of the market, merging trend analysis, momentum divergence, and volatility compression to produce high-confidence signals.
Why Combine These Modules?
Module Combination Ideas & How to Use Them
Factor A: Trend Detector + Gold Zone
Concept:
• The Trend Detector (light yellow histogram) evaluates market strength:
• Histogram trending downward or staying below 50 → bearish conditions;
• Trending upward or staying above 50 → bullish conditions.
• The Gold Zone identifies areas of volatility compression — typically a prelude to explosive market moves.
Practical Application:
• When the Gold Zone appears and the Trend Detector is bearish → likely downside move;
• When the Gold Zone appears and the Trend Detector is bullish → likely upside breakout.
• Note: The Gold Zone does not mean the bottom is in. It is not a buy signal on its own — always combine it with other modules for directional bias.
Factor B: PAI + Wave Trend
Concept:
• PAI (Price Action Index) is a custom oscillator that combines price momentum with volatility dispersion, displaying strength zones:
• Green area → bullish dominance;
• Red area → bearish pressure.
• Wave Trend offers smoothed crossover signals via the main and signal lines.
Practical Application:
• When PAI is in the green zone and Wave Trend makes a bullish crossover → potential reversal to the upside;
• When PAI is in the red zone and Wave Trend shows a bearish crossover → potential start of a downtrend.
Factor C: Trend Detector + PAI
Concept:
• Combines directional trend strength with price action strength to confirm setups via confluence.
Practical Application:
• Trend Detector histogram bottoms out + PAI enters the green zone → high chance of upward reversal;
• Histogram tops out + PAI in the red zone → increased likelihood of downside continuation.
Multi-Factor Confluence (Advanced Use)
• When Trend Detector, PAI, and Wave Trend all align in the same direction (bullish or bearish), the directional signal becomes significantly more reliable.
• This setup is especially useful for trend-following or swing trade entries.
KEY FEATURES
1. Multi-Layer Reversal Logic
• Combines trend scoring, oscillator divergence, and volatility squeezes for triangulated reversal detection.
• Helps traders distinguish between trend pullbacks and true reversals.
2. Advanced Divergence Detection
• Detects both regular and hidden divergences using pivot-based confirmation logic.
• Customizable lookback ranges and pivot sensitivity provide flexible tuning for different market styles.
3. Gold Zone Volatility Compression
• Highlights pre-breakout zones using custom oscillation models (RSI, harmonic, Karobein, etc.).
• Improves anticipation of breakout opportunities following low-volatility compressions.
4. Trend Direction Context
• PAI and Trend Score components provide top-down insight into prevailing bias.
• Built-in “Straddle Area” highlights consolidation zones; breakouts from this area often signal new trend phases.
5. Flexible Visualization
• Color-coded trend bars, reversal markers, normalized oscillator plots, and trend strength labels.
• Designed for both visual discretionary traders and data-driven system developers.
USAGE GUIDELINES
1. Applicable Markets
• Suitable for stocks, crypto, futures, and forex
• Supports reversal, mean-reversion, and breakout trading styles
2. Recommended Timeframes
• Short-term traders: 5m / 15m / 1H — use Wave Trend divergence + Gold Zone
• Swing traders: 4H / Daily — rely on Price Action Index and Trend Detector
• Macro trend context: use PAI HTF mode for higher timeframe overlays
3. Reversal Strategy Flow
• Watch for divergence (WT/PAI) + Gold Zone compression
• Confirm with Trend Score weakening or flipping
• Use Straddle Area breakout for final trigger
• Optional: enable bar coloring or labels for visual reinforcement
• The indicator performs optimally when used in conjunction with a harmonic pattern recognition tool
4. Additional Note on the Gold Zone
The “Gold Zone” does not directly indicate a market bottom. Since it is displayed at the bottom of the chart, it may be misunderstood as a bullish signal. In reality, the Gold Zone represents a compression of price momentum and volatility, suggesting that a significant directional move is about to occur. The direction of that move—upward or downward—should be determined by analyzing the histogram:
• If histogram momentum is weakening, the Gold Zone may precede a downward move.
• If histogram momentum is strengthening, it may signal an upcoming rebound or rally.
Treat the Gold Zone as a warning of impending volatility, and always combine it with trend indicators for accurate directional judgment.
RISK DISCLAIMER
• This indicator calculates trend direction based on historical data and cannot guarantee future market performance. When using this indicator for trading, always combine it with other technical analysis tools, fundamental analysis, and personal trading experience for comprehensive decision-making.
• Market conditions are uncertain, and trend signals may result in false positives or lag. Traders should avoid over-reliance on indicator signals and implement stop-loss strategies and risk management techniques to reduce potential losses.
• Leverage trading carries high risks and may result in rapid capital loss. If using this indicator in leveraged markets (such as futures, forex, or cryptocurrency derivatives), exercise caution, manage risks properly, and set reasonable stop-loss/take-profit levels to protect funds.
• All trading decisions are the sole responsibility of the trader. The developer is not liable for any trading losses. This indicator is for technical analysis reference only and does not constitute investment advice.
• Before live trading, it is recommended to use a demo account for testing to fully understand how to use the indicator and apply proper risk management strategies.
CHANGELOG
v1.0: Initial release featuring integrated Price Action Index, Trend Strength Scoring, Wave Trend Oscillator, Gold Zone Compression Detection, and dual-type divergence recognition. Supports higher timeframe (HTF) synchronization, visual signal markers, and diversified parameter configurations.
Moving Average Convergence DivergenceThis script is written in Pine Script (version 6) for TradingView and implements the **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)** indicator. The MACD is a popular momentum oscillator used to identify trend direction, strength, and potential reversals. This version includes customizable inputs, visual enhancements (like crossover markers), and alerts for key events. Below is a detailed explanation of the script:
---
### **1. Purpose**
- The script calculates and displays the MACD line, signal line, and histogram.
- It highlights key events such as MACD/signal line crossovers and zero-line crosses with shapes and colors.
- It provides alerts for changes in the histogram's direction (rising to falling or vice versa).
---
### **2. User Inputs**
- **Fast Length**: Period for the fast moving average (default: 12).
- **Slow Length**: Period for the slow moving average (default: 26).
- **Source**: Data input for calculation (default: closing price, `close`).
- **Signal Smoothing**: Period for the signal line (default: 9, range: 1–50).
- **Oscillator MA Type**: Type of moving average for MACD calculation (options: SMA or EMA, default: EMA).
- **Signal Line MA Type**: Type of moving average for the signal line (options: SMA or EMA, default: EMA).
---
### **3. MACD Calculation**
The MACD is calculated in three parts:
1. **MACD Line**: Difference between the fast and slow moving averages.
- Fast MA: Either SMA or EMA of the source over `fast_length`.
- Slow MA: Either SMA or EMA of the source over `slow_length`.
- Formula: `macd = fast_ma - slow_ma`.
2. **Signal Line**: A moving average (SMA or EMA) of the MACD line over `signal_length`.
- Formula: `signal = sma_signal == "SMA" ? ta.sma(macd, signal_length) : ta.ema(macd, signal_length)`.
3. **Histogram**: Difference between the MACD line and the signal line.
- Formula: `hist = macd - signal`.
---
### **4. Key Events Detection**
#### **MACD/Signal Line Crossovers**
- **Bullish Cross**: MACD crosses above the signal line (`ta.crossover(macd, signal)`).
- **Bearish Cross**: MACD crosses below the signal line (`ta.crossunder(macd, signal)`).
#### **Zero Line Crosses**
- **Cross Above Zero**: MACD crosses above 0 (`ta.crossover(macd, 0)`).
- **Cross Below Zero**: MACD crosses below 0 (`ta.crossunder(macd, 0)`).
---
### **5. Colors**
- **MACD Line**: Green (#089981) if MACD > signal (bullish), red (#f23645) if MACD < signal (bearish).
- **Signal Line**: White (`color.white`).
- **Histogram**:
- Positive (MACD > signal): Light green (#B2DFDB) if decreasing, darker green (#26A69A) if increasing.
- Negative (MACD < signal): Light red (#FFCDD2) if increasing in magnitude, darker red (#FF5252) if decreasing in magnitude.
- **Zero Line**: Gray with 50% transparency (`color.new(#787B86, 50)`).
---
### **6. Visual Outputs**
#### **Plotted Lines**
- **MACD Line**: Plotted with dynamic coloring based on its position relative to the signal line.
- **Signal Line**: Plotted in white.
- **Histogram**: Displayed as columns, with colors indicating direction and momentum.
- **Zero Line**: Horizontal line at 0 for reference.
#### **Shapes for Key Events**
- **Bullish Cross Below Zero**: Green circle on the MACD line when MACD crosses above the signal line while still below zero.
- **Bearish Cross Above Zero**: Red circle on the MACD line when MACD crosses below the signal line while still above zero.
- **Cross Above Zero**: Green upward label at the zero line when MACD crosses above 0.
- **Cross Below Zero**: Red downward label at the zero line when MACD crosses below 0.
---
### **7. Alerts**
- **Rising to Falling**: Triggers when the histogram switches from positive (or zero) to negative.
- Condition: `hist >= 0 and hist < 0`.
- Message: "MACD histogram switched from rising to falling".
- **Falling to Rising**: Triggers when the histogram switches from negative (or zero) to positive.
- Condition: `hist <= 0 and hist > 0`.
- Message: "MACD histogram switched from falling to rising".
---
### **8. How It Works**
1. **Trend Direction**:
- MACD above signal line (green) suggests bullish momentum.
- MACD below signal line (red) suggests bearish momentum.
2. **Momentum Strength**:
- Histogram height shows the strength of the momentum (larger bars = stronger momentum).
- Histogram color changes indicate whether momentum is increasing or decreasing.
3. **Reversal Signals**:
- Crossovers between MACD and signal lines often signal potential trend changes.
- Zero-line crosses indicate shifts between bullish (above 0) and bearish (below 0) territory.
---
### **9. How to Use**
1. Add the script to TradingView.
2. Adjust inputs (e.g., fast/slow lengths, MA types) to suit your trading style.
3. Monitor the chart:
- Green MACD and upward histogram bars suggest bullish conditions.
- Red MACD and downward histogram bars suggest bearish conditions.
- Watch for circles (crossovers) and labels (zero-line crosses) for trade signals.
4. Set up alerts to notify you of histogram direction changes.
---
### **10. Key Features**
- **Customization**: Flexible MA types and periods.
- **Visual Clarity**: Dynamic colors and shapes highlight key events.
- **Alerts**: Notifies users of momentum shifts via histogram changes.
- **Intuitive**: Combines all MACD components (line, signal, histogram) in one indicator.
This script is ideal for traders who rely on MACD for momentum analysis and want clear visual cues and alerts for decision-making.
MACD, ADX & RSI -> for altcoins# MACD + ADX + RSI Combined Indicator
## Overview
This advanced technical analysis tool combines three powerful indicators (MACD, ADX, and RSI) into a single view, providing a comprehensive analysis of trend, momentum, and divergence signals. The indicator is designed to help traders identify potential trading opportunities by analyzing multiple aspects of price action simultaneously.
## Components
### 1. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
- **Purpose**: Identifies trend direction and momentum
- **Components**:
- Fast EMA (default: 12 periods)
- Slow EMA (default: 26 periods)
- Signal Line (default: 9 periods)
- Histogram showing the difference between MACD and Signal line
- **Visual**:
- Blue line: MACD line
- Orange line: Signal line
- Green/Red histogram: MACD histogram
- **Interpretation**:
- Histogram color changes indicate potential trend shifts
- Crossovers between MACD and Signal lines suggest entry/exit points
### 2. ADX (Average Directional Index)
- **Purpose**: Measures trend strength and direction
- **Components**:
- ADX line (default threshold: 20)
- DI+ (Positive Directional Indicator)
- DI- (Negative Directional Indicator)
- **Visual**:
- Navy blue line: ADX
- Green line: DI+
- Red line: DI-
- **Interpretation**:
- ADX > 20 indicates a strong trend
- DI+ crossing above DI- suggests bullish momentum
- DI- crossing above DI+ suggests bearish momentum
### 3. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
- **Purpose**: Identifies overbought/oversold conditions and divergences
- **Components**:
- RSI line (default: 14 periods)
- Divergence detection
- **Visual**:
- Purple line: RSI
- Horizontal lines at 70 (overbought) and 30 (oversold)
- Divergence labels ("Bull" and "Bear")
- **Interpretation**:
- RSI > 70: Potentially overbought
- RSI < 30: Potentially oversold
- Bullish/Bearish divergences indicate potential trend reversals
## Alert System
The indicator includes several automated alerts:
1. **MACD Alerts**:
- Rising to falling histogram transitions
- Falling to rising histogram transitions
2. **RSI Divergence Alerts**:
- Bullish divergence formations
- Bearish divergence formations
3. **ADX Trend Alerts**:
- Strong trend development (ADX crossing threshold)
- DI+ crossing above DI- (bullish)
- DI- crossing above DI+ (bearish)
## Settings Customization
All components can be fine-tuned through the settings panel:
### MACD Settings
- Fast Length
- Slow Length
- Signal Smoothing
- Source
- MA Type options (SMA/EMA)
### ADX Settings
- Length
- Threshold level
### RSI Settings
- RSI Length
- Source
- Divergence calculation toggle
## Usage Guidelines
### Entry Signals
Strong entry signals typically occur when multiple components align:
1. MACD histogram color change
2. ADX showing strong trend (>20)
3. RSI showing divergence or leaving oversold/overbought zones
### Exit Signals
Consider exits when:
1. MACD crosses signal line in opposite direction
2. ADX shows weakening trend
3. RSI reaches extreme levels with divergence
### Risk Management
- Use the indicator as part of a complete trading strategy
- Combine with price action and support/resistance levels
- Consider multiple timeframe analysis for confirmation
- Don't rely solely on any single component
## Technical Notes
- Built for TradingView using Pine Script v5
- Compatible with all timeframes
- Optimized for real-time calculation
- Includes proper error handling and NA value management
- Memory-efficient calculations for smooth performance
## Installation
1. Copy the provided Pine Script code
2. Open TradingView Chart
3. Create New Indicator -> Pine Editor
4. Paste the code and click "Add to Chart"
5. Adjust settings as needed through the indicator settings panel
## Version Information
- Version: 2.0
- Last Updated: November 2024
- Platform: TradingView
- Language: Pine Script v5
MTF RSI+CMO PROThis RSI+CMO script combines the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO), providing a powerful tool to help traders analyze price momentum and spot potential turning points in the market. Unlike using RSI alone, the CMO (especially with a 14-period length) moves faster and accentuates price pops and dips in the histogram, making price shifts more apparent.
Indicator Features:
➡️RSI and CMO Combined: This indicator allows traders to track both RSI and CMO values simultaneously, highlighting differences in their movement. RSI and CMO values are both plotted on the histogram, while CMO values are also drawn as a line moving through the histogram, giving a visual representation of their relationship. The often faster-moving CMO accentuates short-term price movements, helping traders spot subtle shifts in momentum that the RSI might smooth out.
➡️Multi-Time Frame Table: A real-time, multi-time frame table displays RSI and CMO values across various timeframes. This gives traders an overview of momentum across different intervals, making it easier to spot trends and divergences across short and long-term time frames.
➡️Momentum Chart Label: A chart label compares the current RSI and CMO values with values from 1 and 2 bars back, providing an additional metric to gauge momentum. This feature allows traders to easily see if momentum is increasing or decreasing in real-time.
➡️RSI/CMO Bullish and Bearish Signals: Colored arrow plot shapes (above the histogram) indicate when RSI and CMO values are signaling bullish or bearish conditions. For example, green arrows appear when RSI is above 65, while purple arrows show when RSI is below 30 and CMO is below -40, indicating strong bearish momentum.
➡️Divergences in Histogram: The histogram can make it easier for traders to spot divergences between price and momentum. For instance, if the price is making new highs but the RSI or CMO is not, a bearish divergence may be forming. Similarly, bullish divergences can be spotted when prices are making lower lows while RSI or CMO is rising.
➡️Alert System: Alerts are built into the indicator and will trigger when specific conditions are met, allowing traders to stay informed of potential entry or exit points based on RSI and CMO levels without constantly monitoring the chart. These are set manually. Look for the 3 dots in the indicator name.
How Traders Can Use the Indicator:
💥Identifying Momentum Shifts: The RSI+CMO combination is ideal for spotting momentum shifts in the market. Traders can monitor the histogram and the CMO line to determine if the market is gaining or losing strength.
💥Confirming Trade Entries/Exits: Use the real-time RSI and CMO values across multiple time frames to confirm trades. For instance, if the 1-hour RSI is above 70 but the 1-minute RSI is turning down, it could indicate short-term overbought conditions, signaling a potential exit or reversal.
💥Spotting Divergences: Divergences are critical for predicting potential reversals. The histogram can be used to spot divergences when RSI and CMO values deviate from price action, offering an early signal of market exhaustion.
💥Tracking Multi-Time Frame Trends: The multi-time frame table provides insight into the market’s overall trend across several timeframes, helping traders ensure their decisions align with both short and long-term trends.
RSI vs. CMO: Why Use Both?
While both RSI and CMO measure momentum, the CMO often moves faster with a value of 14 for example, reacting to price changes more quickly. This makes it particularly effective for detecting sharp price movements, while RSI helps smooth out price action. By using both, traders get a clearer picture of the market's momentum, particularly during volatile periods.
Confluence and Price Fluidity:
One of the powerful ways to enhance the effectiveness of this indicator is by using it in conjunction with other technical analysis tools to create confluence. Confluence occurs when multiple indicators or price action signals align, providing stronger confirmation for a trade decision. For example:
🎯Support and Resistance Levels: Traders can use RSI+CMO in combination with key support and resistance zones. If the price is nearing a support level and RSI+CMO values start to signal a bullish reversal, this alignment strengthens the case for entering a long position.
🎯Moving Averages: When the RSI+CMO signals a potential trend reversal and this is confirmed by a crossover in moving averages (such as a 50-day and 200-day moving average), traders gain additional confidence in the trade direction.
🎯Momentum Indicators: Traders can also look for momentum indicators like the MACD to confirm the strength of a trend or potential reversal. For instance, if the RSI+CMO values start to decrease rapidly while both the RSI+CMO also shows overbought conditions, this could provide stronger confirmation to exit a long trade or enter a short position.
🎯Candlestick Patterns: Price fluidity can be monitored using candlestick formations. For example, a bearish engulfing pattern with decreasing RSI+CMo values offers confluence, adding confidence to the signal to close or short the trade.
By combining the MTF RSI+CMO PRO with other tools, traders ensure that they are not relying on a single indicator. This layered approach can reduce the likelihood of false signals and improve overall trading accuracy.
Day-of-Week PerformanceThis Pine Script indicator calculates and displays the average performance for each weekday over a specified lookback period on a chart. The performance is computed based on the percentage change from the open to the close price of each day.
Features:
Lookback Period:
Input field to specify the number of days to look back for calculating performance. The default is set to 756 days.
Performance Calculation:
Calculates the average percentage change from open to close for each weekday (Monday through Friday) within the specified lookback period.
Histogram Plots:
Displays histograms on the chart for each weekday. Each histogram represents the average performance of that day of the week.
Histograms are plotted with distinct colors:
Monday: Blue
Tuesday: Red
Wednesday: Green
Thursday: Orange
Friday: Purple
Performance Table:
A table is displayed in the top-right corner of the chart showing the average percentage performance for each weekday.
The table updates with the lookback period and the calculated average performance values for each weekday.
Positive performance values are shown in green, and negative values are shown in red.
This indicator helps visualize day-of-the-week performance trends, providing insights into which days typically perform better or worse over the specified period.
MACD 4C with DivergenceMACD 4C Indicator with Divergence
This indicator, named MACD 4C, enhances the traditional MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) by providing a visually intuitive representation with four distinct colors for the histogram bars. It offers a clear interpretation of market momentum and potential trend reversals.
Key Features:
Customizable Parameters: Users can adjust the fast and slow moving average periods along with the signal smoothing parameter to tailor the indicator to their preferred trading style and market conditions.
Four-color Histogram: The histogram bars are color-coded for easy interpretation. Lime and green bars indicate increasing bullish momentum, while maroon and red bars signify increasing bearish momentum.
Bullish and Bearish Divergence Detection: The indicator identifies bullish and bearish divergences between the MACD histogram and price action. Bullish divergence occurs when the price makes a lower low while the MACD histogram forms a higher low, indicating potential bullish reversal. Conversely, bearish divergence occurs when the price makes a higher high while the MACD histogram forms a lower high, suggesting a potential bearish reversal.
How to Use:
Trend Confirmation: Monitor the color of the histogram bars. A series of green (or lime) bars suggests a strengthening bullish trend, while a series of red (or maroon) bars indicates a strengthening bearish trend.
Divergence Identification: Watch for divergences between the MACD histogram and price action. Bullish divergence may signal a potential bullish reversal, while bearish divergence may indicate a potential bearish reversal. These signals can be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools to confirm trade entries and exits.
The MACD 4C indicator was developed by user vkno422 You can find the original author and their work on their TradingView profile: www.tradingview.com
MAGIC MACDMAGIC MACD ( MACD Indicator with Trend Filter and EMA Crossover confirmation and Momentum). This MACD uses Default Trading view MACD
from Technical indicators library and adding a second MACD along with 3 EMA's to detect Trend and confirm MACD Signal.
Eliminates usage of 3different indicators (Default MACD , MACD-2,EMA5, EMA20, EMA50)
Basic IDEA.
Idea is to filter Histogram when price is above or below 50EMA. Similar to QQE -mod oscillator but Has a EMA Filter
1.Take DEFAULT MACD crossover signals with lower period
2.check with a Higher MACD Histogram.
3.Enter upon EMA crossover signal and Histogram confirmation.
Histogram changes to GRAY when price is below EMA 50 or above EMA 50 (Follows Trend)
4.Exit on next Default MACD crossover signal.
Overview :
Moving Average Convergence Divergence Indicator Popularly Known as MACD is widely used. MACD Usually generates a lots of False signals
and noise in Lower Time Frames, making it difficult to enter a trade in sideways market. Divergence is a major issue along with sideways
movement and tangling of MACD and Signal Lines. There is no way to confirm a Default MACD signal, except to switch time frames and
verify.
Magic MACD Can be used to in combination with other signals.
This MACD uses two MACD Signals to verify the signal given by Default MACD . The Histogram Plot shown is of a higher period
MACD (close,5,50,30) values. When a signal is generated on a lower MACD it is verified by the histogram with higher time period.
Technicals Used:
1. Lower MACD-1 values 12,26 and signal-9 (crossover Signals)
2. Higher MACD-2 values 5,50 and signal-30 (Histogram)
3. EMA 50 (Histogram Filter to allow only if price above or below Ema 50)
4. EMA 5 and EMA 20 for crossover confirmation of trend
What's is in this Indicator?
1.Histogram-(higher period 5,50 and 30signal)
2. MACD crossover Signals-(lower period Default MACD setting)
3.Signal Lines-( EMA 5 & 20)
Implemented & Removed in this Indicator
1. Default MACD and Signal Lines are removed completely
2. MACD crossover are taken on lower periods and plotted as signals(Blue Triangle or Red Triangle)
3. Histogram is plotted from a higher Period providing a clear picture with Higher Time period
4. EMA 5 and EMA 20 are used for MACD signal confirmation
How to use?
Up Signal
1. MACD Default (12,26,30) up signals are shown in Blue
2. Wait till the Histogram changes Blue
3. Look for EMA signals crossover near by
Down Signal
1. MACD Default (12,26,30) up signals are shown in Red
2. Wait till the Histogram changes Red
3. Look for EMA signals crossover near by
Do's
Consider only opposite color as signals
1. Red Triangle on Blue Histogram(likely to move down direction)
2. Blue Triangle on Red Histogram (Likely to move up direction)
Don'ts
1.Ignore Blue Signal on Blue Histogram (pull back signals can be used to enter trade if you miss first crossover)
2.Ignore Red Signal on Red Histogram(pull back signals can be used to enter trade if you miss first crossover)
3.Ignore Up and Down signals till Gray or Blacked out area is finished in Histogram
Tips:
1. EMA plot also shows pull back areas along with signals
2.side by side opposite signals shows sides ways movement
3. EMA 5,20 is plotted on MACD Histogram for Additional Benefit
Thanks & Credits
To Tradingview Team for allowing me to use their default MACD version and coding it in to a MAGIC MACD by adding a few lines of code that
makes it more enhanced.
Warning...!
This is purely for Educational purpose only. Not to be used as a stand alone indicator. Usage is at your own Risk. Please get familiar with its working before implementing. Its not a Financial Advice or Suggestion . Any losses or gains is at your own risk.
MACD XDThis indicator is based on the classic MACD indicator, and with the following additional features:
1. Another set of MACD and signal lines (green and orange) is added for analyzing a bigger trend in a higher time frame. The default set of MACD and signal lines (red and blue) are used for the smaller trend (current time frame).
2. Small upward and downward triangles are added to mark the golden and death crosses of MACD and signal lines: Blue and red triangles (buy and sell signals) - golden and death crosses of MACD and signal lines for the smaller trend (current time frame), green and orange triangles (buy and sell signals) - golden and death crosses of MACD and signal lines for the bigger trend (a higher time frame).
3. The total areas of histograms above and below the MACD zero axis are calculated and shown by the numbers next to the histogram. This information can be used to analyze the top and bottom divergences of the smaller trend (current time frame).
4. A line connecting peaks of adjacent positive or negative histograms is drawn when top and bottom divergences occur, which indicates a potential trend reversal.
This indicator can be used in the following way: after a golden cross occurs in the bigger trend (green arrow), a death cross in the smaller trend (red arrow) may lead to a potential long entry at the pull back of the bigger up trend; after a death cross occurs in the bigger trend (orange arrow), a golden cross in the smaller trend (blue arrow) may lead to a potential short entry at the pull back of the bigger down trend. Note that in general, golden crosses occur when MACD and signal lines are above the zero axis means a higher high will be made, and death crosses occur when MACD and signal lines are below the zero axis means a lower low will be made. On the contrary, golden crosses occurring below the zero axis or death crosses occurring above the zero axis may only lead to a potential pull back in a trend.
本指标基于经典的MACD指标，适合与缠论指标结合使用：
1. 加入第二组MACD线和信号线，适用于辅助判断缠论中的线段背离。
2. 加入计算直方图（红绿柱子）面积的部分，有助于判断缠论中的笔背离。
3. 标注出两组MACD线与信号线的金叉死叉，以及用特殊颜色表示零轴上方金叉和零轴下方死叉的情况。
4. 用直线标注出顶底背离发生的情况，利于准确分辨和判断。
Volume Profile Free Pro (25 Levels Value Area VWAP) by RRBVolume Profile Free Pro by RagingRocketBull 2019
Version 1.0
All available Volume Profile Free Pro versions are listed below (They are very similar and I don't want to publish them as separate indicators):
ver 1.0: style columns implementation
ver 2.0: style histogram implementation
ver 3.0: style line implementation
This indicator calculates Volume Profile for a given range and shows it as a histogram consisting of 25 horizontal bars.
It can also show Point of Control (POC), Developing POC, Value Area/VWAP StdDev High/Low as dynamically moving levels.
Free accounts can't access Standard TradingView Volume Profile, hence this indicator.
There are 3 basic methods to calculate the Value Area for a session.
- original method developed by Steidlmayr (calculated around POC)
- classical method using StdDev (calculated around the mean VWAP)
- another method based on the mean absolute deviation (calculated around the median)
POC is a high volume node and can be used as support/resistance. But when far from the day's average price it may not be as good a trend filter as the other methods.
The 80% Rule: When the market opens above/below the Value Area and then returns/stays back inside for 2 consecutive 30min periods it has 80% chance of filling VA (like a gap).
There are several versions: Free, Free Pro, Free MAX. This is the Free Pro version. The Differences are listed below:
- Free: 30 levels, Buy/Sell/Total Volume Profile views, POC
- Free Pro: 25 levels, +Developing POC, Value Area/VWAP High/Low Levels, Above/Below Area Dimming
- Free MAX: 50 levels, packed to the limit
Features:
- Volume Profile with up to 25 levels (3 implementations)
- POC, Developing POC Levels
- Buy/Sell/Total/Side by Side View modes
- Side Cover
- Value Area, VAH/VAL dynamic levels
- VWAP High/Low dynamic levels with Source, Length, StdDev as params
- Show/Hide all levels
- Dim Non Value Area Zones
- Custom Range with Highlighting
- 3 Anchor points for Volume Profile
- Flip Levels Horizontally
- Adjustable width, offset and spacing of levels
- Custom Color for POC/VA/VWAP levels and Transparency for buy/sell levels
Usage:
- specify max_level/min_level for a range (required in ver 1.0/2.0, auto/optional in ver 3.0 = set to highest/lowest)
- select range (start_bar, range length), confirm with range highlighting
- select mode Value Area or VWAP to show corresponding levels.
- flip/select anchor point to position the buy/sell levels, adjust width and spacing as needed
- select Buy/Sell/Total/Side by Side view mode
- use POC/Developing POC/VA/VWAP High/Low as S/R levels. Usually daily values from 1-3 days back are used as levels for the current day.
- Green - buy volume of a specific price level in a range, Red - sell volume. Green + Red = Total volume of a price level in a range
There's no native support for vertical histograms in Pinescript (with price axis as base)
Basically, there are 4 ways to plot a series of horizontal bars stacked on top of each other:
1. plotshape style labeldown (ver 0 prototype discarded)
- you can have a set of fixed width/height text labels consisting of a series of underscores and moving dynamically as levels. Level offset controls visible length.
- you can move levels and scale the base width of the volume profile histogram dynamically
- you can calculate the highest/lowest range values automatically. max_level/min_level inputs are optional
- you can't fill the gaps between levels/adjust/extend width, height - this results in a half baked volume profile and looks ugly
- fixed text level height doesn't adjust and looks bad on a log scale
- fixed font width also doesn't scale and can't be properly aligned with bars when zooming
2. plot style columns + hist_base (ver 1.0)
- you can plot long horizontal bars using a series of small adjacent vertical columns with level offsets controlling visible length.
- you can't hide/move levels of the volume profile histogram dynamically on each bar, they must be plotted at all times regardless - you can't delete the history of a plot.
- you can't scale the base width of the volume profile histogram dynamically, can't set show_last from input, must use a preset fixed width for each level
- hist_base can only be a static const expression, can't be assigned highest/lowest range values automatically - you have to specify max_level/min_level manually from input
- you can't control spacing between columns - there's an equalizer bar effect when you zoom in, and solid bars when you zoom out
- using hist_base for levels results in ugly load/redraw times - give it 3-5 sec to finalize its shape after each UI param change
- level top can be properly aligned with another level's bottom producing a clean good looking histogram
- columns are properly aligned with bars automatically
3. plot style histogram + hist_base (ver 2.0)
- you can plot long horizontal bars using a series of small vertical bars (horizontal histogram) instead of columns.
- you can control the width of each histogram bar comprising a level (spacing/horiz density). Large enough width will cause bar overlapping and give level a "solid" look regardless of zoom
- you can only set width <= 4 in UI Style - custom textbox input is provided for larger values. You can set width and plot transparency from input
- this method still uses hist_base and inherits other limitations of ver 2.0
4. plot style lines (ver 3.0)
- you can also plot long horizontal bars using lines with level offsets controlling visible length.
- lines don't need hist_base - fast and smooth redraw times
- you can calculate the highest/lowest range values automatically. max_level/min_level inputs are optional
- level top can't be properly aligned with another level's bottom and have a proper spacing because line width uses its own units and doesn't scale
- fixed line width of a level (vertical thickness) doesn't scale and looks bad on log (level overlapping)
- you can only set width <= 4 in UI Style, a custom textbox input is provided for larger values. You can set width and plot transparency from input
Notes:
- hist_base for levels results in ugly load/redraw times - give it 3-5 sec to finalize its shape after each UI param change
- indicator is slow on TFs with long history 10000+ bars
- Volume Profile/Value Area are calculated for a given range and updated on each bar. Each level has a fixed width. Offsets control visible level parts. Side Cover hides the invisible parts.
- Custom Color for POC/VA/VWAP levels - UI Style color/transparency can only change shape's color and doesn't affect textcolor, hence this additional option
- Custom Widh for levels - UI Style supports only width <= 4, hence this additional option
- POC is visible in both modes. In VWAP mode Developing POC becomes VWAP, VA High and Low => VWAP High and Low correspondingly to minimize the number of plot outputs
- You can't change buy/sell level colors (only plot transparency) - this requires 2x plot outputs exceeding max 64 limit. That's why 2 additional plots are used to dim the non Value Area zones
- Use Side by Side view to compare buy and sell volumes between each other: base width = max(total_buy_vol, total_sell_vol)
- All buy/sell volume lengths are calculated as % of a fixed base width = 100 bars (100%). You can't set show_last from input
- Sell Offset is calculated relative to Buy Offset to stack/extend sell on top of buy. Buy Offset = Zero - Buy Length. Sell Offset = Buy Offset - Sell Length = Zero - Buy Length - Sell Length
- If you see "loop too long error" - change some values in UI and it will recalculate - no need to refresh the chart
- There's no such thing as buy/sell volume, there's just volume, but for the purposes of the Volume Profile method, assume: bull candle = buy volume, bear candle = sell volume
- Volume Profile Range is limited to 5000 bars for free accounts
P.S. Cantaloupia Will be Free!
Links on Volume Profile and Value Area calculation and usage:
www.tradingview.com
stockcharts.com
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Adaptive Market Wave TheoryAdaptive Market Wave Theory
🌊 CORE INNOVATION: PROBABILISTIC PHASE DETECTION WITH MULTI-AGENT CONSENSUS
Adaptive Market Wave Theory (AMWT) represents a fundamental paradigm shift in how traders approach market phase identification. Rather than counting waves subjectively or drawing static breakout levels, AMWT treats the market as a hidden state machine —using Hidden Markov Models, multi-agent consensus systems, and reinforcement learning algorithms to quantify what traditional methods leave to interpretation.
The Wave Analysis Problem:
Traditional wave counting methodologies (Elliott Wave, harmonic patterns, ABC corrections) share fatal weaknesses that AMWT directly addresses:
1. Non-Falsifiability : Invalid wave counts can always be "recounted" or "adjusted." If your Wave 3 fails, it becomes "Wave 3 of a larger degree" or "actually Wave C." There's no objective failure condition.
2. Observer Bias : Two expert wave analysts examining the same chart routinely reach different conclusions. This isn't a feature—it's a fundamental methodology flaw.
3. No Confidence Measure : Traditional analysis says "This IS Wave 3." But with what probability? 51%? 95%? The binary nature prevents proper position sizing and risk management.
4. Static Rules : Fixed Fibonacci ratios and wave guidelines cannot adapt to changing market regimes. What worked in 2019 may fail in 2024.
5. No Accountability : Wave methodologies rarely track their own performance. There's no feedback loop to improve.
The AMWT Solution:
AMWT addresses each limitation through rigorous mathematical frameworks borrowed from speech recognition, machine learning, and reinforcement learning:
• Non-Falsifiability → Hard Invalidation : Wave hypotheses die permanently when price violates calculated invalidation levels. No recounting allowed.
• Observer Bias → Multi-Agent Consensus : Three independent analytical agents must agree. Single-methodology bias is eliminated.
• No Confidence → Probabilistic States : Every market state has a calculated probability from Hidden Markov Model inference. "72% probability of impulse state" replaces "This is Wave 3."
• Static Rules → Adaptive Learning : Thompson Sampling multi-armed bandits learn which agents perform best in current conditions. The system adapts in real-time.
• No Accountability → Performance Tracking : Comprehensive statistics track every signal's outcome. The system knows its own performance.
The Core Insight:
"Traditional wave analysis asks 'What count is this?' AMWT asks 'What is the probability we are in an impulsive state, with what confidence, confirmed by how many independent methodologies, and anchored to what liquidity event?'"
🔬 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION: HIDDEN MARKOV MODELS
Why Hidden Markov Models?
Markets exist in hidden states that we cannot directly observe—only their effects on price are visible. When the market is in an "impulse up" state, we see rising prices, expanding volume, and trending indicators. But we don't observe the state itself—we infer it from observables.
This is precisely the problem Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) solve. Originally developed for speech recognition (inferring words from sound waves), HMMs excel at estimating hidden states from noisy observations.
HMM Components:
1. Hidden States (S) : The unobservable market conditions
2. Observations (O) : What we can measure (price, volume, indicators)
3. Transition Matrix (A) : Probability of moving between states
4. Emission Matrix (B) : Probability of observations given each state
5. Initial Distribution (π) : Starting state probabilities
AMWT's Six Market States:
State 0: IMPULSE_UP
• Definition: Strong bullish momentum with high participation
• Observable Signatures: Rising prices, expanding volume, RSI >60, price above upper Bollinger Band, MACD histogram positive and rising
• Typical Duration: 5-20 bars depending on timeframe
• What It Means: Institutional buying pressure, trend acceleration phase
State 1: IMPULSE_DN
• Definition: Strong bearish momentum with high participation
• Observable Signatures: Falling prices, expanding volume, RSI <40, price below lower Bollinger Band, MACD histogram negative and falling
• Typical Duration: 5-20 bars (often shorter than bullish impulses—markets fall faster)
• What It Means: Institutional selling pressure, panic or distribution acceleration
State 2: CORRECTION
• Definition: Counter-trend consolidation with declining momentum
• Observable Signatures: Sideways or mild counter-trend movement, contracting volume, RSI returning toward 50, Bollinger Bands narrowing
• Typical Duration: 8-30 bars
• What It Means: Profit-taking, digestion of prior move, potential accumulation for next leg
State 3: ACCUMULATION
• Definition: Base-building near lows where informed participants absorb supply
• Observable Signatures: Price near recent lows but not making new lows, volume spikes on up bars, RSI showing positive divergence, tight range
• Typical Duration: 15-50 bars
• What It Means: Smart money buying from weak hands, preparing for markup phase
State 4: DISTRIBUTION
• Definition: Top-forming near highs where informed participants distribute holdings
• Observable Signatures: Price near recent highs but struggling to advance, volume spikes on down bars, RSI showing negative divergence, widening range
• Typical Duration: 15-50 bars
• What It Means: Smart money selling to late buyers, preparing for markdown phase
State 5: TRANSITION
• Definition: Regime change period with mixed signals and elevated uncertainty
• Observable Signatures: Conflicting indicators, whipsaw price action, no clear momentum, high volatility without direction
• Typical Duration: 5-15 bars
• What It Means: Market deciding next direction, dangerous for directional trades
The Transition Matrix:
The transition matrix A captures the probability of moving from one state to another. AMWT initializes with empirically-derived values then updates online:
From/To IMP_UP IMP_DN CORR ACCUM DIST TRANS
IMP_UP 0.70 0.02 0.20 0.02 0.04 0.02
IMP_DN 0.02 0.70 0.20 0.04 0.02 0.02
CORR 0.15 0.15 0.50 0.10 0.10 0.00
ACCUM 0.30 0.05 0.15 0.40 0.05 0.05
DIST 0.05 0.30 0.15 0.05 0.40 0.05
TRANS 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.15 0.15 0.10
Key Insights from Transition Probabilities:
• Impulse states are sticky (70% self-transition): Once trending, markets tend to continue
• Corrections can transition to either impulse direction (15% each): The next move after correction is uncertain
• Accumulation strongly favors IMP_UP transition (30%): Base-building leads to rallies
• Distribution strongly favors IMP_DN transition (30%): Topping leads to declines
The Viterbi Algorithm:
Given a sequence of observations, how do we find the most likely state sequence? This is the Viterbi algorithm—dynamic programming to find the optimal path through the state space.
Mathematical Formulation:
δ_t(j) = max_i × B_j(O_t)
Where:
δ_t(j) = probability of most likely path ending in state j at time t
A_ij = transition probability from state i to state j
B_j(O_t) = emission probability of observation O_t given state j
AMWT Implementation:
AMWT runs Viterbi over a rolling window (default 50 bars), computing the most likely state sequence and extracting:
• Current state estimate
• State confidence (probability of current state vs alternatives)
• State sequence for pattern detection
Online Learning (Baum-Welch Adaptation):
Unlike static HMMs, AMWT continuously updates its transition and emission matrices based on observed market behavior:
f_onlineUpdateHMM(prev_state, curr_state, observation, decay) =>
// Update transition matrix
A *= decay
A += (1.0 - decay)
// Renormalize row
// Update emission matrix
B *= decay
B += (1.0 - decay)
// Renormalize row
The decay parameter (default 0.85) controls adaptation speed:
• Higher decay (0.95): Slower adaptation, more stable, better for consistent markets
• Lower decay (0.80): Faster adaptation, more reactive, better for regime changes
Why This Matters for Trading:
Traditional indicators give you a number (RSI = 72). AMWT gives you a probabilistic state assessment :
"There is a 78% probability we are in IMPULSE_UP state, with 15% probability of CORRECTION and 7% distributed among other states. The transition matrix suggests 70% chance of remaining in IMPULSE_UP next bar, 20% chance of transitioning to CORRECTION."
This enables:
• Position sizing by confidence : 90% confidence = full size; 60% confidence = half size
• Risk management by transition probability : High correction probability = tighten stops
• Strategy selection by state : IMPULSE = trend-follow; CORRECTION = wait; ACCUMULATION = scale in
🎰 THE 3-BANDIT CONSENSUS SYSTEM
The Multi-Agent Philosophy:
No single analytical methodology works in all market conditions. Trend-following excels in trending markets but gets chopped in ranges. Mean-reversion excels in ranges but gets crushed in trends. Structure-based analysis works when structure is clear but fails in chaotic markets.
AMWT's solution: employ three independent agents , each analyzing the market from a different perspective, then use Thompson Sampling to learn which agents perform best in current conditions.
Agent 1: TREND AGENT
Philosophy : Markets trend. Follow the trend until it ends.
Analytical Components:
• EMA Alignment: EMA8 > EMA21 > EMA50 (bullish) or inverse (bearish)
• MACD Histogram: Direction and rate of change
• Price Momentum: Close relative to ATR-normalized movement
• VWAP Position: Price above/below volume-weighted average price
Signal Generation:
Strong Bull: EMA aligned bull AND MACD histogram > 0 AND momentum > 0.3 AND close > VWAP
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.75 + |momentum| × 0.4
Moderate Bull: EMA stack bull AND MACD rising AND momentum > 0.1
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.65 + |momentum| × 0.3
Strong Bear: EMA aligned bear AND MACD histogram < 0 AND momentum < -0.3 AND close < VWAP
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.75 + |momentum| × 0.4
Moderate Bear: EMA stack bear AND MACD falling AND momentum < -0.1
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.65 + |momentum| × 0.3
When Trend Agent Excels:
• Trend days (IB extension >1.5x)
• Post-breakout continuation
• Institutional accumulation/distribution phases
When Trend Agent Fails:
• Range-bound markets (ADX <20)
• Chop zones after volatility spikes
• Reversal days at major levels
Agent 2: REVERSION AGENT
Philosophy: Markets revert to mean. Extreme readings reverse.
Analytical Components:
• Bollinger Band Position: Distance from bands, percent B
• RSI Extremes: Overbought (>70) and oversold (<30)
• Stochastic: %K/%D crossovers at extremes
• Band Squeeze: Bollinger Band width contraction
Signal Generation:
Oversold Bounce: BB %B < 0.20 AND RSI < 35 AND Stochastic < 25
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.70 + (30 - RSI) × 0.01
Overbought Fade: BB %B > 0.80 AND RSI > 65 AND Stochastic > 75
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.70 + (RSI - 70) × 0.01
Squeeze Fire Bull: Band squeeze ending AND close > upper band
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.65
Squeeze Fire Bear: Band squeeze ending AND close < lower band
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.65
When Reversion Agent Excels:
• Rotation days (price stays within IB)
• Range-bound consolidation
• After extended moves without pullback
When Reversion Agent Fails:
• Strong trend days (RSI can stay overbought for days)
• Breakout moves
• News-driven directional moves
Agent 3: STRUCTURE AGENT
Philosophy: Market structure reveals institutional intent. Follow the smart money.
Analytical Components:
• Break of Structure (BOS): Price breaks prior swing high/low
• Change of Character (CHOCH): First break against prevailing trend
• Higher Highs/Higher Lows: Bullish structure
• Lower Highs/Lower Lows: Bearish structure
• Liquidity Sweeps: Stop runs that reverse
Signal Generation:
BOS Bull: Price breaks above prior swing high with momentum
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.70 + structure_strength × 0.2
CHOCH Bull: First higher low after downtrend, breaking structure
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.75
BOS Bear: Price breaks below prior swing low with momentum
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.70 + structure_strength × 0.2
CHOCH Bear: First lower high after uptrend, breaking structure
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.75
Liquidity Sweep Long: Price sweeps below swing low then reverses strongly
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.80
Liquidity Sweep Short: Price sweeps above swing high then reverses strongly
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.80
When Structure Agent Excels:
• After liquidity grabs (stop runs)
• At major swing points
• During institutional accumulation/distribution
When Structure Agent Fails:
• Choppy, structureless markets
• During news events (structure becomes noise)
• Very low timeframes (noise overwhelms structure)
Thompson Sampling: The Bandit Algorithm
With three agents giving potentially different signals, how do we decide which to trust? This is the multi-armed bandit problem —balancing exploitation (using what works) with exploration (testing alternatives).
Thompson Sampling Solution:
Each agent maintains a Beta distribution representing its success/failure history:
Agent success rate modeled as Beta(α, β)
Where:
α = number of successful signals + 1
β = number of failed signals + 1
On Each Bar:
1. Sample from each agent's Beta distribution
2. Weight agent signals by sampled probabilities
3. Combine weighted signals into consensus
4. Update α/β based on trade outcomes
Mathematical Implementation:
// Beta sampling via Gamma ratio method
f_beta_sample(alpha, beta) =>
g1 = f_gamma_sample(alpha)
g2 = f_gamma_sample(beta)
g1 / (g1 + g2)
// Thompson Sampling selection
for each agent:
sampled_prob = f_beta_sample(agent.alpha, agent.beta)
weight = sampled_prob / sum(all_sampled_probs)
consensus += agent.signal × agent.confidence × weight
Why Thompson Sampling?
• Automatic Exploration : Agents with few samples get occasional chances (high variance in Beta distribution)
• Bayesian Optimal : Mathematically proven optimal solution to exploration-exploitation tradeoff
• Uncertainty-Aware : Small sample size = more exploration; large sample size = more exploitation
• Self-Correcting : Poor performers naturally get lower weights over time
Example Evolution:
Day 1 (Initial):
Trend Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
Reversion Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
Structure Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
After 50 Signals:
Trend Agent: Beta(28,23) → samples ~0.55 (moderate confidence)
Reversion Agent: Beta(18,33) → samples ~0.35 (underperforming)
Structure Agent: Beta(32,19) → samples ~0.63 (outperforming)
Result: Structure Agent now receives highest weight in consensus
Consensus Requirements by Mode:
Aggressive Mode:
• Minimum 1/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 45%
• Use case: More signals, higher risk tolerance
Balanced Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 55%
• Use case: Standard trading
Conservative Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 65%
• Use case: Higher quality, fewer signals
Institutional Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 75%
• Additional: Session quality >0.65, mode adjustment +0.10
• Use case: Highest quality signals only
🌀 INTELLIGENT CHOP DETECTION ENGINE
The Chop Problem:
Most trading losses occur not from being wrong about direction, but from trading in conditions where direction doesn't exist . Choppy, range-bound markets generate false signals from every methodology—trend-following, mean-reversion, and structure-based alike.
AMWT's chop detection engine identifies these low-probability environments before signals fire, preventing the most damaging trades.
Five-Factor Chop Analysis:
Factor 1: ADX Component (25% weight)
ADX (Average Directional Index) measures trend strength regardless of direction.
ADX < 15: Very weak trend (high chop score)
ADX 15-20: Weak trend (moderate chop score)
ADX 20-25: Developing trend (low chop score)
ADX > 25: Strong trend (minimal chop score)
adx_chop = (i_adxThreshold - adx_val) / i_adxThreshold × 100
Why ADX Works: ADX synthesizes +DI and -DI movements. Low ADX means price is moving but not directionally—the definition of chop.
Factor 2: Choppiness Index (25% weight)
The Choppiness Index measures price efficiency using the ratio of ATR sum to price range:
CI = 100 × LOG10(SUM(ATR, n) / (Highest - Lowest)) / LOG10(n)
CI > 61.8: Choppy (range-bound, inefficient movement)
CI < 38.2: Trending (directional, efficient movement)
CI 38.2-61.8: Transitional
chop_idx_score = (ci_val - 38.2) / (61.8 - 38.2) × 100
Why Choppiness Index Works: In trending markets, price covers distance efficiently (low ATR sum relative to range). In choppy markets, price oscillates wildly but goes nowhere (high ATR sum relative to range).
Factor 3: Range Compression (20% weight)
Compares recent range to longer-term range, detecting volatility squeezes:
recent_range = Highest(20) - Lowest(20)
longer_range = Highest(50) - Lowest(50)
compression = 1 - (recent_range / longer_range)
compression > 0.5: Strong squeeze (potential breakout imminent)
compression < 0.2: No compression (normal volatility)
range_compression_score = compression × 100
Why Range Compression Matters: Compression precedes expansion. High compression = market coiling, preparing for move. Signals during compression often fail because the breakout hasn't occurred yet.
Factor 4: Channel Position (15% weight)
Tracks price position within the macro channel:
channel_position = (close - channel_low) / (channel_high - channel_low)
position 0.4-0.6: Center of channel (indecision zone)
position <0.2 or >0.8: Near extremes (potential reversal or breakout)
channel_chop = abs(0.5 - channel_position) < 0.15 ? high_score : low_score
Why Channel Position Matters: Price in the middle of a range is in "no man's land"—equally likely to go either direction. Signals in the channel center have lower probability.
Factor 5: Volume Quality (15% weight)
Assesses volume relative to average:
vol_ratio = volume / SMA(volume, 20)
vol_ratio < 0.7: Low volume (lack of conviction)
vol_ratio 0.7-1.3: Normal volume
vol_ratio > 1.3: High volume (conviction present)
volume_chop = vol_ratio < 0.8 ? (1 - vol_ratio) × 100 : 0
Why Volume Quality Matters: Low volume moves lack institutional participation. These moves are more likely to reverse or stall.
Combined Chop Intensity:
chopIntensity = (adx_chop × 0.25) + (chop_idx_score × 0.25) +
(range_compression_score × 0.20) + (channel_chop × 0.15) +
(volume_chop × i_volumeChopWeight × 0.15)
Regime Classifications:
Based on chop intensity and component analysis:
• Strong Trend (0-20%): ADX >30, clear directional momentum, trade aggressively
• Trending (20-35%): ADX >20, moderate directional bias, trade normally
• Transitioning (35-50%): Mixed signals, regime change possible, reduce size
• Mid-Range (50-60%): Price trapped in channel center, avoid new positions
• Ranging (60-70%): Low ADX, price oscillating within bounds, fade extremes only
• Compression (70-80%): Volatility squeeze, expansion imminent, wait for breakout
• Strong Chop (80-100%): Multiple chop factors aligned, avoid trading entirely
Signal Suppression:
When chop intensity exceeds the configurable threshold (default 80%), signals are suppressed entirely. The dashboard displays "⚠️ CHOP ZONE" with the current regime classification.
Chop Box Visualization:
When chop is detected, AMWT draws a semi-transparent box on the chart showing the chop zone. This visual reminder helps traders avoid entering positions during unfavorable conditions.
💧 LIQUIDITY ANCHORING SYSTEM
The Liquidity Concept:
Markets move from liquidity pool to liquidity pool. Stop losses cluster at predictable locations—below swing lows (buy stops become sell orders when triggered) and above swing highs (sell stops become buy orders when triggered). Institutions know where these clusters are and often engineer moves to trigger them before reversing.
AMWT identifies and tracks these liquidity events, using them as anchors for signal confidence.
Liquidity Event Types:
Type 1: Volume Spikes
Definition: Volume > SMA(volume, 20) × i_volThreshold (default 2.8x)
Interpretation: Sudden volume surge indicates institutional activity
• Near swing low + reversal: Likely accumulation
• Near swing high + reversal: Likely distribution
• With continuation: Institutional conviction in direction
Type 2: Stop Runs (Liquidity Sweeps)
Definition: Price briefly exceeds swing high/low then reverses within N bars
Detection:
• Price breaks above recent swing high (triggering buy stops)
• Then closes back below that high within 3 bars
• Signal: Bullish stop run complete, reversal likely
Or inverse for bearish:
• Price breaks below recent swing low (triggering sell stops)
• Then closes back above that low within 3 bars
• Signal: Bearish stop run complete, reversal likely
Type 3: Absorption Events
Definition: High volume with small candle body
Detection:
• Volume > 2x average
• Candle body < 30% of candle range
• Interpretation: Large orders being filled without moving price
• Implication: Accumulation (at lows) or distribution (at highs)
Type 4: BSL/SSL Pools (Buy-Side/Sell-Side Liquidity)
BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity):
• Cluster of swing highs within ATR proximity
• Stop losses from shorts sit above these highs
• Breaking BSL triggers short covering (fuel for rally)
SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity):
• Cluster of swing lows within ATR proximity
• Stop losses from longs sit below these lows
• Breaking SSL triggers long liquidation (fuel for decline)
Liquidity Pool Mapping:
AMWT continuously scans for and maps liquidity pools:
// Detect swing highs/lows using pivot function
swing_high = ta.pivothigh(high, 5, 5)
swing_low = ta.pivotlow(low, 5, 5)
// Track recent swing points
if not na(swing_high)
bsl_levels.push(swing_high)
if not na(swing_low)
ssl_levels.push(swing_low)
// Display on chart with labels
Confluence Scoring Integration:
When signals fire near identified liquidity events, confluence scoring increases:
• Signal near volume spike: +10% confidence
• Signal after liquidity sweep: +15% confidence
• Signal at BSL/SSL pool: +10% confidence
• Signal aligned with absorption zone: +10% confidence
Why Liquidity Anchoring Matters:
Signals "in a vacuum" have lower probability than signals anchored to institutional activity. A long signal after a liquidity sweep below swing lows has trapped shorts providing fuel. A long signal in the middle of nowhere has no such catalyst.
📊 SIGNAL GRADING SYSTEM
The Quality Problem:
Not all signals are created equal. A signal with 6/6 factors aligned is fundamentally different from a signal with 3/6 factors aligned. Traditional indicators treat them the same. AMWT grades every signal based on confluence.
Confluence Components (100 points total):
1. Bandit Consensus Strength (25 points)
consensus_str = weighted average of agent confidences
score = consensus_str × 25
Example:
Trend Agent: +1 signal, 0.80 confidence, 0.35 weight
Reversion Agent: 0 signal, 0.50 confidence, 0.25 weight
Structure Agent: +1 signal, 0.75 confidence, 0.40 weight
Weighted consensus = (0.80×0.35 + 0×0.25 + 0.75×0.40) / (0.35 + 0.40) = 0.77
Score = 0.77 × 25 = 19.25 points
2. HMM State Confidence (15 points)
score = hmm_confidence × 15
Example:
HMM reports 82% probability of IMPULSE_UP
Score = 0.82 × 15 = 12.3 points
3. Session Quality (15 points)
Session quality varies by time:
• London/NY Overlap: 1.0 (15 points)
• New York Session: 0.95 (14.25 points)
• London Session: 0.70 (10.5 points)
• Asian Session: 0.40 (6 points)
• Off-Hours: 0.30 (4.5 points)
• Weekend: 0.10 (1.5 points)
4. Energy/Participation (10 points)
energy = (realized_vol / avg_vol) × 0.4 + (range / ATR) × 0.35 + (volume / avg_volume) × 0.25
score = min(energy, 1.0) × 10
5. Volume Confirmation (10 points)
if volume > SMA(volume, 20) × 1.5:
score = 10
else if volume > SMA(volume, 20):
score = 5
else:
score = 0
6. Structure Alignment (10 points)
For long signals:
• Bullish structure (HH + HL): 10 points
• Higher low only: 6 points
• Neutral structure: 3 points
• Bearish structure: 0 points
Inverse for short signals
7. Trend Alignment (10 points)
For long signals:
• Price > EMA21 > EMA50: 10 points
• Price > EMA21: 6 points
• Neutral: 3 points
• Against trend: 0 points
8. Entry Trigger Quality (5 points)
• Strong trigger (multiple confirmations): 5 points
• Moderate trigger (single confirmation): 3 points
• Weak trigger (marginal): 1 point
Grade Scale:
Total Score → Grade
85-100 → A+ (Exceptional—all factors aligned)
70-84 → A (Strong—high probability)
55-69 → B (Acceptable—proceed with caution)
Below 55 → C (Marginal—filtered by default)
Grade-Based Signal Brightness:
Signal arrows on the chart have transparency based on grade:
• A+: Full brightness (alpha = 0)
• A: Slight fade (alpha = 15)
• B: Moderate fade (alpha = 35)
• C: Significant fade (alpha = 55)
This visual hierarchy helps traders instantly identify signal quality.
Minimum Grade Filter:
Configurable filter (default: C) sets the minimum grade for signal display:
• Set to "A" for only highest-quality signals
• Set to "B" for moderate selectivity
• Set to "C" for all signals (maximum quantity)
🕐 SESSION INTELLIGENCE
Why Sessions Matter:
Markets behave differently at different times. The London open is fundamentally different from the Asian lunch hour. AMWT incorporates session-aware logic to optimize signal quality.
Session Definitions:
Asian Session (18:00-03:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Lower volatility, range-bound tendency, fewer institutional participants
• Quality Score: 0.40 (40% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Fade extremes, expect ranges, smaller position sizes
• Best For: Mean-reversion setups, accumulation/distribution identification
London Session (03:00-12:00 ET)
• Characteristics: European institutional activity, volatility pickup, trend initiation
• Quality Score: 0.70 (70% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Watch for trend development, breakouts more reliable
• Best For: Initial trend identification, structure breaks
New York Session (08:00-17:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Highest liquidity, US institutional activity, major moves
• Quality Score: 0.95 (95% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Best environment for directional trades
• Best For: Trend continuation, momentum plays
London/NY Overlap (08:00-12:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Peak liquidity, both European and US participants active
• Quality Score: 1.0 (100%—maximum quality)
• Strategy Implications: Highest probability for successful breakouts and trends
• Best For: All signal types—this is prime time
Off-Hours
• Characteristics: Thin liquidity, erratic price action, gaps possible
• Quality Score: 0.30 (30% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Avoid new positions, wider stops if holding
• Best For: Waiting
Smart Weekend Detection:
AMWT properly handles the Sunday evening futures open:
// Traditional (broken):
isWeekend = dayofweek == saturday OR dayofweek == sunday
// AMWT (correct):
anySessionActive = not na(asianTime) or not na(londonTime) or not na(nyTime)
isWeekend = calendarWeekend AND NOT anySessionActive
This ensures Sunday 6pm ET (when futures open) correctly shows "Asian Session" rather than "Weekend."
Session Transition Boosts:
Certain session transitions create trading opportunities:
• Asian → London transition: +15% confidence boost (volatility expansion likely)
• London → Overlap transition: +20% confidence boost (peak liquidity approaching)
• Overlap → NY-only transition: -10% confidence adjustment (liquidity declining)
• Any → Off-Hours transition: Signal suppression recommended
📈 TRADE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
The Signal Spam Problem:
Many indicators generate signal after signal, creating confusion and overtrading. AMWT implements a complete trade lifecycle management system that prevents signal spam and tracks performance.
Trade Lock Mechanism:
Once a signal fires, the system enters a "trade lock" state:
Trade Lock Duration: Configurable (default 30 bars)
Early Exit Conditions:
• TP3 hit (full target reached)
• Stop Loss hit (trade failed)
• Lock expiration (time-based exit)
During lock:
• No new signals of same type displayed
• Opposite signals can override (reversal)
• Trade status tracked in dashboard
Target Levels:
Each signal generates three profit targets based on ATR:
TP1 (Conservative Target)
• Default: 1.0 × ATR
• Purpose: Quick partial profit, reduce risk
• Action: Take 30-40% off position, move stop to breakeven
TP2 (Standard Target)
• Default: 2.5 × ATR
• Purpose: Main profit target
• Action: Take 40-50% off position, trail stop
TP3 (Extended Target)
• Default: 5.0 × ATR
• Purpose: Runner target for trend days
• Action: Close remaining position or continue trailing
Stop Loss:
• Default: 1.9 × ATR from entry
• Purpose: Define maximum risk
• Placement: Below recent swing low (longs) or above recent swing high (shorts)
Invalidation Level:
Beyond stop loss, AMWT calculates an "invalidation" level where the wave hypothesis dies:
invalidation = entry - (ATR × INVALIDATION_MULT × 1.5)
If price reaches invalidation, the current market interpretation is wrong—not just the trade.
Visual Trade Management:
During active trades, AMWT displays:
• Entry arrow with grade label (▲A+, ▼B, etc.)
• TP1, TP2, TP3 horizontal lines in green
• Stop Loss line in red
• Invalidation line in orange (dashed)
• Progress indicator in dashboard
Persistent Execution Markers:
When targets or stops are hit, permanent markers appear:
• TP hit: Green dot with "TP1"/"TP2"/"TP3" label
• SL hit: Red dot with "SL" label
These persist on the chart for review and statistics.
💰 PERFORMANCE TRACKING & STATISTICS
Tracked Metrics:
• Total Trades: Count of all signals that entered trade lock
• Winning Trades: Signals where at least TP1 was reached before SL
• Losing Trades: Signals where SL was hit before any TP
• Win Rate: Winning / Total × 100%
• Total R Profit: Sum of R-multiples from winning trades
• Total R Loss: Sum of R-multiples from losing trades
• Net R: Total R Profit - Total R Loss
Currency Conversion System:
AMWT can display P&L in multiple formats:
R-Multiple (Default)
• Shows risk-normalized returns
• "Net P&L: +4.2R | 78 trades" means 4.2 times initial risk gained over 78 trades
• Best for comparing across different position sizes
Currency Conversion (USD/EUR/GBP/JPY/INR)
• Converts R-multiples to currency based on:
- Dollar Risk Per Trade (user input)
- Tick Value (user input)
- Selected currency
Example Configuration:
Dollar Risk Per Trade: $100
Display Currency: USD
If Net R = +4.2R
Display: Net P&L: +$420.00 | 78 trades
Ticks
• For futures traders who think in ticks
• Converts based on tick value input
Statistics Reset:
Two reset methods:
1. Toggle Reset
• Turn "Reset Statistics" toggle ON then OFF
• Clears all statistics immediately
2. Date-Based Reset
• Set "Reset After Date" (YYYY-MM-DD format)
• Only trades after this date are counted
• Useful for isolating recent performance
🎨 VISUAL FEATURES
Macro Channel:
Dynamic regression-based channel showing market boundaries:
• Upper/lower bounds calculated from swing pivot linear regression
• Adapts to current market structure
• Shows overall trend direction and potential reversal zones
Chop Boxes:
Semi-transparent overlay during high-chop periods:
• Purple/orange coloring indicates dangerous conditions
• Visual reminder to avoid new positions
Confluence Heat Zones:
Background shading indicating setup quality:
• Darker shading = higher confluence
• Lighter shading = lower confluence
• Helps identify optimal entry timing
EMA Ribbon:
Trend visualization via moving average fill:
• EMA 8/21/50 with gradient fill between
• Green fill when bullish aligned
• Red fill when bearish aligned
• Gray when neutral
Absorption Zone Boxes:
Marks potential accumulation/distribution areas:
• High volume + small body = absorption
• Boxes drawn at these levels
• Often act as support/resistance
Liquidity Pool Lines:
BSL/SSL levels with labels:
• Dashed lines at liquidity clusters
• "BSL" label above swing high clusters
• "SSL" label below swing low clusters
Six Professional Themes:
• Quantum: Deep purples and cyans (default)
• Cyberpunk: Neon pinks and blues
• Professional: Muted grays and greens
• Ocean: Blues and teals
• Matrix: Greens and blacks
• Ember: Oranges and reds
🎓 PROFESSIONAL USAGE PROTOCOL
Phase 1: Learning the System (Week 1)
Goal: Understand AMWT concepts and dashboard interpretation
Setup:
• Signal Mode: Balanced
• Display: All features enabled
• Grade Filter: C (see all signals)
Actions:
• Paper trade ONLY—no real money
• Observe HMM state transitions throughout the day
• Note when agents agree vs disagree
• Watch chop detection engage and disengage
• Track which grades produce winners vs losers
Key Learning Questions:
• How often do A+ signals win vs B signals? (Should see clear difference)
• Which agent tends to be right in current market? (Check dashboard)
• When does chop detection save you from bad trades?
• How do signals near liquidity events perform vs signals in vacuum?
Phase 2: Parameter Optimization (Week 2)
Goal: Tune system to your instrument and timeframe
Signal Mode Testing:
• Run 5 days on Aggressive mode (more signals)
• Run 5 days on Conservative mode (fewer signals)
• Compare: Which produces better risk-adjusted returns?
Grade Filter Testing:
• Track A+ only for 20 signals
• Track A and above for 20 signals
• Track B and above for 20 signals
• Compare win rates and expectancy
Chop Threshold Testing:
• Default (80%): Standard filtering
• Try 70%: More aggressive filtering
• Try 90%: Less filtering
• Which produces best results for your instrument?
Phase 3: Strategy Development (Weeks 3-4)
Goal: Develop personal trading rules based on system signals
Position Sizing by Grade:
• A+ grade: 100% position size
• A grade: 75% position size
• B grade: 50% position size
• C grade: 25% position size (or skip)
Session-Based Rules:
• London/NY Overlap: Take all A/A+ signals
• NY Session: Take all A+ signals, selective on A
• Asian Session: Only A+ signals with extra confirmation
• Off-Hours: No new positions
Chop Zone Rules:
• Chop >70%: Reduce position size 50%
• Chop >80%: No new positions
• Chop <50%: Full position size allowed
Phase 4: Live Micro-Sizing (Month 2)
Goal: Validate paper trading results with minimal risk
Setup:
• 10-20% of intended full position size
• Take ONLY A+ signals initially
• Follow trade management religiously
Tracking:
• Log every trade: Entry, Exit, Grade, HMM State, Chop Level, Agent Consensus
• Calculate: Win rate by grade, by session, by chop level
• Compare to paper trading (should be within 15%)
Red Flags:
• Win rate diverges significantly from paper trading: Execution issues
• Consistent losses during certain sessions: Adjust session rules
• Losses cluster when specific agent dominates: Review that agent's logic
Phase 5: Scaling Up (Months 3-6)
Goal: Gradually increase to full position size
Progression:
• Month 3: 25-40% size (if micro-sizing profitable)
• Month 4: 40-60% size
• Month 5: 60-80% size
• Month 6: 80-100% size
Scale-Up Requirements:
• Minimum 30 trades at current size
• Win rate ≥50%
• Net R positive
• No revenge trading incidents
• Emotional control maintained
💡 DEVELOPMENT INSIGHTS
Why HMM Over Simple Indicators:
Early versions used standard indicators (RSI >70 = overbought, etc.). Win rates hovered at 52-55%. The problem: indicators don't capture state. RSI can stay "overbought" for weeks in a strong trend.
The insight: markets exist in states, and state persistence matters more than indicator levels. Implementing HMM with state transition probabilities increased signal quality significantly. The system now knows not just "RSI is high" but "we're in IMPULSE_UP state with 70% probability of staying in IMPULSE_UP."
The Multi-Agent Evolution:
Original version used a single analytical methodology—trend-following. Performance was inconsistent: great in trends, destroyed in ranges. Added mean-reversion agent: now it was inconsistent the other way.
The breakthrough: use multiple agents and let the system learn which works . Thompson Sampling wasn't the first attempt—tried simple averaging, voting, even hard-coded regime switching. Thompson Sampling won because it's mathematically optimal and automatically adapts without manual regime detection.
Chop Detection Revelation:
Chop detection was added almost as an afterthought. "Let's filter out obviously bad conditions." Testing revealed it was the most impactful single feature. Filtering chop zones reduced losing trades by 35% while only reducing total signals by 20%. The insight: avoiding bad trades matters more than finding good ones.
Liquidity Anchoring Discovery:
Watched hundreds of trades. Noticed pattern: signals that fired after liquidity events (stop runs, volume spikes) had significantly higher win rates than signals in quiet markets. Implemented liquidity detection and anchoring. Win rate on liquidity-anchored signals: 68% vs 52% on non-anchored signals.
The Grade System Impact:
Early system had binary signals (fire or don't fire). Adding grading transformed it. Traders could finally match position size to signal quality. A+ signals deserved full size; C signals deserved caution. Just implementing grade-based sizing improved portfolio Sharpe ratio by 0.3.
🚨 LIMITATIONS & CRITICAL ASSUMPTIONS
What AMWT Is NOT:
• NOT a Holy Grail : No system wins every trade. AMWT improves probability, not certainty.
• NOT Fully Automated : AMWT provides signals and analysis; execution requires human judgment.
• NOT News-Proof : Exogenous shocks (FOMC surprises, geopolitical events) invalidate all technical analysis.
• NOT for Scalping : HMM state estimation needs time to develop. Sub-minute timeframes are not appropriate.
Core Assumptions:
1. Markets Have States : Assumes markets transition between identifiable regimes. Violation: Random walk markets with no regime structure.
2. States Are Inferable : Assumes observable indicators reveal hidden states. Violation: Market manipulation creating false signals.
3. History Informs Future : Assumes past agent performance predicts future performance. Violation: Regime changes that invalidate historical patterns.
4. Liquidity Events Matter : Assumes institutional activity creates predictable patterns. Violation: Markets with no institutional participation.
Performs Best On:
• Liquid Futures : ES, NQ, MNQ, MES, CL, GC
• Major Forex Pairs : EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY
• Large-Cap Stocks : AAPL, MSFT, TSLA, NVDA (>$5B market cap)
• Liquid Crypto : BTC, ETH on major exchanges
Performs Poorly On:
• Illiquid Instruments : Low volume stocks, exotic pairs
• Very Low Timeframes : Sub-5-minute charts (noise overwhelms signal)
• Binary Event Days : Earnings, FDA approvals, court rulings
• Manipulated Markets : Penny stocks, low-cap altcoins
Known Weaknesses:
• Warmup Period : HMM needs ~50 bars to initialize properly. Early signals may be unreliable.
• Regime Change Lag : Thompson Sampling adapts over time, not instantly. Sudden regime changes may cause short-term underperformance.
• Complexity : More parameters than simple indicators. Requires understanding to use effectively.
⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE
Trading futures, stocks, options, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Adaptive Market Wave Theory, while based on rigorous mathematical frameworks including Hidden Markov Models and multi-armed bandit algorithms, does not guarantee profits and can result in significant losses.
AMWT's methodologies—HMM state estimation, Thompson Sampling agent selection, and confluence-based grading—have theoretical foundations but past performance is not indicative of future results.
Hidden Markov Model assumptions may not hold during:
• Major news events disrupting normal market behavior
• Flash crashes or circuit breaker events
• Low liquidity periods with erratic price action
• Algorithmic manipulation or spoofing
Multi-agent consensus assumes independent analytical perspectives provide edge. Market conditions change. Edges that existed historically can diminish or disappear.
Users must independently validate system performance on their specific instruments, timeframes, and broker execution environment. Paper trade extensively before risking capital. Start with micro position sizing.
Never risk more than you can afford to lose completely. Use proper position sizing. Implement stop losses without exception.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge these risks and accept full responsibility for all trading decisions and outcomes.
"Elliott Wave was a first-order approximation of market phase behavior. AMWT is the second—probabilistic, adaptive, and accountable."
Initial Public Release
Core Engine:
• True Hidden Markov Model with online Baum-Welch learning
• Viterbi algorithm for optimal state sequence decoding
• 6-state market regime classification
Agent System:
• 3-Bandit consensus (Trend, Reversion, Structure)
• Thompson Sampling with true Beta distribution sampling
• Adaptive weight learning based on performance
Signal Generation:
• Quality-based confluence grading (A+/A/B/C)
• Four signal modes (Aggressive/Balanced/Conservative/Institutional)
• Grade-based visual brightness
Chop Detection:
• 5-factor analysis (ADX, Choppiness Index, Range Compression, Channel Position, Volume)
• 7 regime classifications
• Configurable signal suppression threshold
Liquidity:
• Volume spike detection
• Stop run (liquidity sweep) identification
• BSL/SSL pool mapping
• Absorption zone detection
Trade Management:
• Trade lock with configurable duration
• TP1/TP2/TP3 targets
• ATR-based stop loss
• Persistent execution markers
Session Intelligence:
• Asian/London/NY/Overlap detection
• Smart weekend handling (Sunday futures open)
• Session quality scoring
Performance:
• Statistics tracking with reset functionality
• 7 currency display modes
• Win rate and Net R calculation
Visuals:
• Macro channel with linear regression
• Chop boxes
• EMA ribbon
• Liquidity pool lines
• 6 professional themes
Dashboards:
• Main Dashboard: Market State, Consensus, Trade Status, Statistics
📋 AMWT vs AMWT-PRO:
This version includes all core AMWT functionality:
✓ Full Hidden Markov Model state estimation
✓ 3-Bandit Thompson Sampling consensus system
✓ Complete 5-factor chop detection engine
✓ All four signal modes
✓ Full trade management with TP/SL tracking
✓ Main dashboard with complete statistics
✓ All visual features (channels, zones, pools)
✓ Identical signal generation to PRO
✓ Six professional themes
✓ Full alert system
The PRO version adds the AMWT Advisor panel—a secondary dashboard providing:
• Real-time Market Pulse situation assessment
• Agent Matrix visualization (individual agent votes)
• Structure analysis breakdown
• "Watch For" upcoming setups
• Action Command coaching
Both versions generate identical signals . The Advisor provides additional guidance for interpreting those signals.
Taking you to school. - Dskyz, Trade with probability. Trade with consensus. Trade with AMWT.
Anchored VWAP PercentageINDICATOR: ANCHORED VWAP PERCENTAGE (AVWAP)
1. Overview
The Anchored VWAP Percentage (AVWAP) is a quantitative momentum and mean-reversion tool. It measures the percentage distance between the current price and a Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) that resets automatically based on specific time cycles. It allows traders to identify overextended market conditions relative to institutional value.
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2. Core Logic & Calculation
The script tracks the relationship between price and volume starting from a specific Anchor Point .
* Volume-Weighted Foundation: Unlike simple moving averages, this indicator uses the VWAP formula: sum(Volume * Price) / sum(Volume) .
* Automatic Anchoring: The starting point (Anchor) resets automatically depending on the chart timeframe (e.g., resets weekly on a 15m chart, or yearly on a Daily chart).
* Percentage Deviation: It calculates the precise gap between the price and the VWAP, plotted as an oscillator: ((Price - VWAP) / VWAP) * 100 .
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3. Adaptive Intelligence (Multi-Asset & Multi-TF)
The AVWAP is built with an internal database of 85th Percentile (P85) volatility thresholds. It recognizes that different assets have different "stretching" limits:
1. Asset-Specific Calibration: It includes optimized data for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Altcoins, Forex, and Indices .
2. Dynamic Timeframe Mapping: The anchor period and the exhaustion thresholds adjust automatically. For example:
* Intraday (1m-5m): Anchors to an 8-hour (480 min) cycle.
* Mid-Term (15m-60m): Anchors to a Weekly (W) cycle.
* Swing (Daily): Anchors to a Yearly (12M) cycle.
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4. Visual Anatomy
The indicator is designed for high-speed decision-making:
* The Histogram:
* Green: Price is trading above the VWAP (Bullish premium).
* Red: Price is trading below the VWAP (Bearish discount).
* P85 Threshold Lines:
* These lines represent the 85th percentile of historical deviations . Historically, the price stays within these boundaries 85% of the time.
* Background Highlighting: When the histogram crosses the P85 line, the background glows, signaling a Statistical Exhaustion Zone where a retracement to the mean is highly probable.
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5. How to Trade with AVWAP
* Mean Reversion: When the histogram reaches the P85 Zone , the price is "statistically overextended." This is a prime area to look for reversals or to take profits on existing trends.
* Trend Strength: If the histogram stays near the Zero Line while the price moves, the trend is supported by healthy volume.
* Value Area: The Zero Line represents the Fair Value . Buying near the Zero Line during a bullish histogram (Green) offers a high-probability entry with low risk.
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6. Technical Parameters
* Asset Selection: A dropdown to switch between Crypto, Forex, and Indices.
* Color Customization: User-defined colors for bullish and bearish sentiment.
* Precision Control: 4-decimal precision for accurate tracking of thin-margin assets like Forex.
RSI & MACD SuiteRSI & MACD Suite
A professional combination of two essential momentum indicators - Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) - designed to provide comprehensive market analysis in a single, clean interface.
OVERVIEW
This indicator combines the power of RSI and MACD to help traders identify potential overbought/oversold conditions, momentum shifts, and trend changes. Both indicators are displayed with enhanced visual elements including gradient fills, customizable bands, and clear signal lines.
FEATURES
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
- Customizable Period: Adjustable RSI length (default: 14)
- Visual Zones: Overbought zone (above 70) with green gradient, Oversold zone (below 30) with red gradient, Background fill between bands for easy reference
- Key Levels: Clear horizontal lines at 30, 50, and 70
- Flexible Source: Choose any price source (close, open, high, low, etc.)
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
- Customizable Parameters: Fast Length (default: 12), Slow Length (default: 26), Signal Length (default: 9)
- MA Type Selection: Choose between EMA or SMA for both oscillator and signal line
- Color-Coded Histogram: Green for bullish momentum, Red for bearish momentum
- Clear Signal Lines: Blue MACD line and orange Signal line for easy identification
ALERT CONDITIONS
The indicator includes 7 built-in alert conditions:
RSI Alerts:
1. RSI Overbought - Triggers when RSI crosses above 70
2. RSI Oversold - Triggers when RSI crosses below 30
3. RSI Midline Cross - Triggers when RSI crosses the 50 level
MACD Alerts:
4. MACD Bullish Cross - Triggers when MACD line crosses above Signal line
5. MACD Bearish Cross - Triggers when MACD line crosses below Signal line
6. MACD Histogram Bullish - Triggers when histogram crosses above zero
7. MACD Histogram Bearish - Triggers when histogram crosses below zero
CUSTOMIZATION
Clean Organization
- Inputs Tab: Separate groups for RSI and MACD settings
- Style Tab: All visual elements clearly labeled with "RSI -" or "MACD -" prefixes for easy identification
- Full Control: Customize colors, line widths, and visibility of all elements
Visual Clarity
- Professional color scheme optimized for both light and dark themes
- Gradient fills for intuitive zone identification
- Clear separation between RSI and MACD elements
SETTINGS
RSI Settings
- Length: Lookback period for RSI calculation (default: 14)
- Source: Price data to use for calculation (default: close)
MACD Settings
- Source: Price data to use for calculation (default: close)
- Fast Length: Period for fast moving average (default: 12)
- Slow Length: Period for slow moving average (default: 26)
- Signal Length: Period for signal line (default: 9)
- Oscillator MA Type: EMA or SMA for MACD calculation
- Signal MA Type: EMA or SMA for signal line
TECHNICAL DETAILS
- Pine Script Version: v6
- Indicator Type: Oscillator (subplot)
- Calculation Method: RSI uses Relative Strength Index with RMA smoothing, MACD uses Fast MA minus Slow MA with configurable MA types
- Input Validation: Built-in checks to ensure valid parameter combinations
NOTES
- Default settings are industry-standard values (RSI: 14, MACD: 12/26/9)
- All visual elements can be hidden/shown individually in the Style tab
- Alerts must be manually created by users through TradingView's alert system
- This indicator does not repaint - all signals are based on closed candles
WHO SHOULD USE THIS
- Day traders looking for momentum signals
- Swing traders identifying trend changes
- Technical analysts performing multi-indicator analysis
- Traders who want a clean, all-in-one momentum solution
DISCLAIMER
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis and risk assessment before making trading decisions.
Version: 1.0
Author: aaboomar
License: Mozilla Public License 2.0
Arbitrage Detector [LuxAlgo]The Arbitrage Detector unveils hidden spreads in the crypto and forex markets. It compares the same asset on the main crypto exchanges and forex brokers and displays both prices and volumes on a dashboard, as well as the maximum spread detected on a histogram divided by four user-selected percentiles. This allows traders to detect unusual, high, typical, or low spreads.
This highly customizable tool features automatic source selection (crypto or forex) based on the asset in the chart, as well as current and historical spread detection. It also features a dashboard with sortable columns and a historical histogram with percentiles and different smoothing options.
🔶 USAGE
Arbitrage is the practice of taking advantage of price differences for the same asset across different markets. Arbitrage traders look for these discrepancies to profit from buying where it’s cheaper and selling where it’s more expensive to capture the spread.
For begginers this tool is an easy way to understand how prices can vary between markets, helping you avoid trading at a disadvantage.
For advanced traders it is a fast tool to spot arbitrage opportunities or inefficiencies that can be exploited for profit.
Arbitrage opportunities are often short‑lived, but they can be highly profitable. By showing you where spreads exist, this tool helps traders:
Understand market inefficiencies
Avoid trading at unfavorable prices
Identify potential profit opportunities across exchanges
As we can see in the image, the tool consists of two main graphics: a dashboard on the main chart and a histogram in the pane below.
Both are useful for understanding the behavior of the same asset on different crypto exchanges or forex brokers.
The tool's main goal is to detect and categorize spread activity across the major crypto and forex sources. The comparison uses data from up to 19 crypto exchanges and 13 forex brokers.
🔹 Forex or Crypto
The tool selects the appropriate sources (crypto exchanges or forex brokers) based on the asset in the chart. Traders can choose which one to use.
The image shows the prices and volumes for Bitcoin and the euro across the main sources, sorted by descending average price over the last 20 days.
🔹 Dashboard
The dashboard displays a list of all sources with four main columns: last price, average price, volume, and total volume.
All four columns can be sorted in ascending or descending order, or left unsorted. A background gradient color is displayed for the sorted column.
Price and volume delta information between the chart asset and each exchange can be enabled or disabled from the settings panel.
🔹 Histogram
The histogram is excellent for visualizing historical values and comparing them with the asset price.
In this case, we have the Euro/U.S. Dollar daily chart. As we can see, the unusual spread activity detected since 2016, with values at or above 98%, is usually a good indication of increased trader activity, which may result in a key price area where the market could turn around.
By default, the histogram has the gradient and smoothing auto features enabled.
The differences are visible in the chart above. On top is an adaptive moving average with higher values for unusual activity. At the bottom is an exponential moving average with a length of 9.
The differences between the gradient and solid colors are evident. In the first case, the colors are in sync with the data values, becoming more yellow with higher values and more green with lower values. In the second case, the colors are solid and only distinguish data above or below the defined percentiles.
🔶 SETTINGS
Sources: Choose between crypto exchanges, forex brokers, or automatic selection based on the asset in the chart.
Average Length: Select the length for the price and volume averages.
🔹 Percentiles
Percentile Length: Select the length for the percentile calculation, or enable the use of the full dataset. Enabling this option may result in runtime errors due to exceeding the allotted resources.
Unusual % >: Select the unusual percentile.
High % >: Select the high percentile.
Typical % >: Select the typical percentile.
🔹 Dashboard
Dashboard: Enable or disable the dashboard.
Sorting: Select the sorting column and direction.
Position: Select the dashboard location.
Size: Select the dashboard size.
Price Delta: Show the price difference between each exchange and the asset on the chart.
Volume Delta: Show the volume difference between each exchange and the asset on the chart.
🔹 Style
Unusual: Enable the plot of the unusual percentile and select its color.
High: Enable the plot of the high percentile and select its color.
Typical: Enable the plot of the typical percentile and select its color.
Low: Select the color for the low percentile.
Percentiles Auto Color: Enable auto color for all plotted percentiles.
Histogram Gradient: Enable the gradient color for the histogram.
Histogram Smoothing: Select the length of the EMA smoothing for the histogram or enable the Auto feature. The Auto feature uses an adaptive moving average with the data percent rank as the efficiency ratio.
RSI Distribution [Kodexius]RSI Distribution is a statistics driven visualization companion for the classic RSI oscillator. In addition to plotting RSI itself, it continuously builds a rolling sample of recent RSI values and projects their distribution as a forward drawn histogram, so you can see where RSI has spent most of its time over the selected lookback window.
The indicator is designed to add context to oscillator readings. Instead of only treating RSI as a single point estimate that is either “high” or “low”, you can evaluate the current RSI level relative to its own recent history. This makes it easier to recognize when the market is operating inside a familiar regime, and when RSI is pushing into rarer tail conditions that tend to appear during momentum bursts, exhaustion, or volatility expansion.
To complement the histogram, the script can optionally overlay a Gaussian curve fitted to the sample mean and standard deviation. It also runs a Jarque Bera normality check, based on skewness and excess kurtosis, and surfaces the result both visually and in a compact dashboard. On the oscillator panel itself, RSI is presented with a clean gradient line and standard overbought and oversold references, with fills that become more visible when RSI meaningfully extends beyond key thresholds.
🔹 Features
1. Distribution Histogram of Recent RSI Values
The script stores the last N RSI values in an internal sample and uses that rolling window to compute a frequency distribution across a user selected number of bins. The histogram is drawn into the future by a configurable width in bars, which keeps it readable and prevents it from colliding with the active RSI plot. The result is a compact visual summary of where RSI clusters most often, whether it is spending more time near the center, or shifting toward higher or lower regimes.
2. Gaussian Overlay for Shape Intuition
If enabled, a fitted bell curve is drawn on top of the histogram using the sample mean and standard deviation. This overlay is not intended as a direct trading signal. Its purpose is to provide a fast visual comparator between the empirical RSI distribution and a theoretical normal shape. When the histogram diverges strongly from the curve, you can quickly spot skew, heavy tails, or regime changes that often occur when market structure or volatility conditions shift.
3. Jarque Bera Normality Check With Clear PASS/FAIL Feedback
The script computes skewness and excess kurtosis from the RSI sample, then forms the Jarque Bera statistic and compares it to a fixed 95% critical value. When the distribution is closer to normal under this test, the status is marked as PASS, otherwise it is marked as FAIL. This result is displayed in the dashboard and can also influence the histogram styling, giving immediate feedback about whether the recent RSI behavior resembles a bell shaped distribution or a more distorted, regime driven profile.
Jarque Bera is a goodness of fit test that evaluates whether a dataset looks consistent with a normal distribution by checking two shape properties: skewness (asymmetry) and kurtosis (tail heaviness, expressed here as excess kurtosis where a perfect normal has 0). Under the null hypothesis of normality, skewness should be near 0 and excess kurtosis should be near 0. The test combines deviations in both into a single statistic, which is then compared to a chi square threshold. A PASS in this script means the sample does not show strong evidence against normality at the chosen threshold, while a FAIL means the sample is meaningfully skewed, heavy tailed, or both. In practical trading terms, a FAIL often suggests RSI is behaving in a regime where extremes and asymmetry are more common, which is typical during strong trends, volatility expansions, or one sided market pressure. It is still a statistical diagnostic, not a prediction tool, and results can vary with lookback length and market conditions.
4. Integrated Stats Dashboard
A compact table in the top right summarizes key distribution moments and the normality result: Mean, StdDev, Skewness, Kurtosis, and the JB statistic with PASS/FAIL text. Skewness is color coded by sign to quickly distinguish right skew (more time at higher RSI) versus left skew (more time at lower RSI), which can be helpful when diagnosing trend bias and momentum persistence.
5. RSI Visual Quality and Context Zones
RSI is plotted with a gradient color scheme and standard overbought and oversold reference lines. The overbought and oversold areas are filled with a smart gradient so visual emphasis increases when RSI meaningfully extends beyond the 70 and 30 regions, improving readability without overwhelming the panel.
🔹 Calculations
This section summarizes the main calculations and transformations used internally.
1. RSI Series
RSI is computed from the selected source and length using the standard RSI function:
rsi_val = ta.rsi(rsi_src, rsi_len)
2. Rolling Sample Collection
A float array stores recent RSI values. Each bar appends the newest RSI, and if the array exceeds the configured lookback, the oldest value is removed. Conceptually:
rsi_history.push(rsi_val)
if rsi_history.size() > lookback
rsi_history.shift()
This maintains a fixed size window that represents the most recent RSI behavior.
3. Mean, Variance, and Standard Deviation
The script computes the sample mean across the array. Variance is computed as sample variance using (n - 1) in the denominator, and standard deviation is the square root of that variance. These values serve both the dashboard display and the Gaussian overlay parameters.
4. Skewness and Excess Kurtosis
Skewness is calculated from the standardized third central moment with a small sample correction. Kurtosis is computed as excess kurtosis (kurtosis minus 3), so the normal baseline is 0. These two metrics summarize asymmetry and tail heaviness, which are the core ingredients for the Jarque Bera statistic.
5. Jarque Bera Statistic and Decision Rule
Using skewness S and excess kurtosis K, the Jarque Bera statistic is computed as:
JB = (n / 6.0) * (S^2 + 0.25 * K^2)
Normality is flagged using a fixed critical value:
is_normal = JB < 5.991
This produces a simple PASS/FAIL classification suitable for fast chart interpretation.
6. Histogram Binning and Scaling
The RSI domain is treated as 0 to 100 and divided into a configurable number of bins. Bin size is:
bin_size = 100.0 / bins
Each RSI sample maps to a bin index via floor(rsi / bin_size), with clamping to ensure the index stays within valid bounds. The script counts occurrences per bin, tracks the maximum frequency, and normalizes each bar height by freq/max_freq so the histogram remains visually stable and comparable as the window updates.
7. Gaussian Curve Overlay (Optional)
The Gaussian overlay uses the normal probability density function with mu as the sample mean and sigma as the sample standard deviation:
normal_pdf(x) = (1 / (sigma * sqrt(2*pi))) * exp(-0.5 * ((x - mu)/sigma)^2)
For drawing, the script samples x across the histogram width, evaluates the PDF, and normalizes it relative to its peak so the curve fits within the same visual height scale as the histogram.
RSI Profile [Kodexius]RSI Profile is an advanced technical indicator that turns the classic RSI into a distribution profile instead of a single oscillating line. Rather than only showing where the RSI is at the current bar, it displays where the RSI has spent most of its time or most of its volume over a user defined lookback period.
The script builds a histogram of RSI values between 0 and 100, splits that range into configurable bins, and then projects the result to the right side of the chart. This gives you a clear visual representation of the RSI structure, including the Point of Control (POC), the Value Area High (VAH), and the Value Area Low (VAL). The POC marks the RSI level with the highest activity, while VAH and VAL bracket the percentage based value area around it.
By combining standard RSI, a distribution profile, and value area logic, this tool lets you study RSI behavior statistically instead of only bar by bar. You can immediately see whether the current RSI reading is located inside the dominant zone, extended above it, or depressed below it, and whether the recent regime has been biased toward overbought, oversold, or neutral territory. This is particularly useful for swing traders, mean reversion systems, and anyone who wants to integrate RSI context into a more profile oriented workflow.
🔹 Features
1. RSI-Based Distribution Profile
-Builds a histogram of RSI values between 0 and 100.
-The RSI range is divided into a user-defined number of bins (e.g., 30 bins).
-Each bin represents a band of RSI values, such as 0–3.33, 3.33–6.66, ..., 96.66–100.
-For each bar in the lookback period, the script:
-Finds which bin the RSI value belongs to
Adds either:
-1.0 → if using time/frequency
-volume → if using volume-weighted RSI distribution
This creates a clear profile of where RSI has been concentrated over the chosen lookback window.
2. Time / Volume Weighting Mode
Under Profile Settings, you can choose:
-Weight by Volume = false
→ Profile is built using time spent at each RSI level (frequency).
-Weight by Volume = true
→ Profile is built using volume traded at each RSI level.
This flexibility allows you to decide whether you want:
-A pure momentum structure (time spent at each RSI)
-Or a participation-weighted structure (where higher-volume zones are emphasized)
3. Configurable Lookback & Resolution
-Profile Lookback: number of historical bars to analyze.
-Number of Bins: controls the resolution of the histogram:
Fewer bins → smoother, fewer gaps
More bins → more detail, but potentially more visual sparsity
-Profile Width (Bars): defines how wide the histogram extends into the future (visually), converted into time using average bar duration.
This provides a balance between performance, clarity, and visual density.
4. Value Area, POC, VAH, VAL
The script computes:
-POC (Point of Control)
→ The RSI bin with the highest total value (time or volume).
-Value Area (VA)
→ The range of RSI bins that contain a user-specified percentage of total activity (e.g., 70%).
-VAH & VAL
→ Upper and lower RSI boundaries of this Value Area.
These are then drawn as horizontal lines and labeled:
-POC line and label
-VAH line and label
-VAL line and label
This gives you a profile-style view similar to classical volume profile, but entirely on the RSI axis.
5. Color Coding & Visual Design
The histogram bars (boxes) are colored using a smart scheme:
-Below 30 RSI → Oversold zone, uses the Oversold Color (default: green).
-Above 70 RSI → Overbought zone, uses the Overbought Color (default: red).
-Between 30 and 70 RSI → Neutral zone, uses a gradient between:
A soft blue at lower mid levels
A soft orange at higher mid levels
Additional styling:
-POC bin is highlighted in bright yellow.
-Bins inside the Value Area → lower transparency (more solid).
-Bins outside the Value Area → higher transparency (faded).
This makes it easy to visually distinguish:
-Core RSI activity (VA)
-Extremes (oversold/overbought)
-The single dominant zone (POC)
🔹 Calculations
This section summarizes the core logic behind the script and highlights the main building blocks that power the profile.
1. Profile Structure and Bin Initialization
A custom Profile type groups together configuration, bins and drawing objects. During initialization, the script splits the 0 to 100 RSI range into evenly spaced bins, each represented by a Bin record:
method initBins(Profile p) =>
p.bins := array.new()
float step = 100.0 / p.binCount
for i = 0 to p.binCount - 1
float low = i * step
float high = (i + 1) * step
p.bins.push(Bin.new(low, high, 0.0, box(na)))
2. Filling the Profile Over the Lookback Window
On the last bar, the script clears previous drawings and walks backward through the selected lookback window. For each historical bar, it reads the RSI and volume series and feeds them into the profile:
if barstate.islast
myProfile.reset()
int start = math.max(0, bar_index - lookback)
int end = bar_index
for i = 0 to (end - start)
float r = rsi
float v = volume
if not na(r)
myProfile.add(r, v)
The add method converts each RSI value into a bin index and accumulates either a frequency count or the bar volume, depending on the chosen mode:
method add(Profile p, float rsiValue, float volumeValue) =>
int idx = int(rsiValue / (100.0 / p.binCount))
if idx >= p.binCount
idx := p.binCount - 1
if idx < 0
idx := 0
Bin targetBin = p.bins.get(idx)
float addedValue = p.useVolume ? volumeValue : 1.0
targetBin.value += addedValue
3. Finding POC and Building the Value Area
Inside the draw method, the script first scans all bins to determine the maximum value and the total sum. The bin with the highest value becomes the POC. The value area is then constructed by expanding from that center bin until the desired percentage of total activity is covered:
for in p.bins
totalVal += b.value
if b.value > maxVal
maxVal := b.value
pocIdx := i
float vaTarget = totalVal * (p.vaPercent / 100.0)
float currentVaVol = maxVal
int upIdx = pocIdx
int downIdx = pocIdx
while currentVaVol < vaTarget
float upVol = (upIdx < p.binCount - 1) ? p.bins.get(upIdx + 1).value : 0.0
float downVol = (downIdx > 0) ? p.bins.get(downIdx - 1).value : 0.0
if upVol == 0 and downVol == 0
break
if upVol >= downVol
upIdx += 1
currentVaVol += upVol
else
downIdx -= 1
currentVaVol += downVol
MACD HTF Hardcoded (A/B Presets) + Regimes [CHE] MACD HTF Hardcoded (A/B Presets) + Regimes — Higher-timeframe MACD emulation with acceptance-based regime filter and on-chart diagnostics
Summary
This indicator emulates a higher-timeframe MACD directly on the current chart using two hardcoded preset families and a time-bucket mapping, avoiding cross-timeframe requests. It classifies four MACD regimes and applies an acceptance filter that requires several consecutive bars before a state is considered valid. A small dead-band around zero reduces noise near the axis. An on-chart table reports the active preset, the inferred time bucket, the resolved lengths, and the current regime.
Pine version: v6
Overlay: false
Primary outputs: MACD line, Signal line, Histogram columns, zero line, regime-change alert, info table
Motivation: Why this design?
Cross-timeframe indicators often rely on external timeframe requests, which can introduce repaint paths and added latency. This design provides a deterministic alternative: it maps the current chart’s timeframe to coarse higher-timeframe buckets and uses fixed EMA lengths that approximate those views. The dead-band suppresses flip-flops around zero, and the acceptance counter reduces whipsaw by requiring sustained agreement across bars before acknowledging a regime.
What’s different vs. standard approaches?
Baseline: Classical MACD with user-selected lengths on the same timeframe, or higher-timeframe MACD via cross-timeframe requests.
Architecture differences:
Hardcoded A and B length families with a bucket map derived from the chart timeframe.
No `request.security`; all calculations occur on the current series.
Regime classification from MACD and Histogram sign, gated by an acceptance count and a small zero dead-band.
Diagnostics table for transparency.
Practical effect: The MACD behaves like a slower, higher-timeframe variant without external requests. Regimes switch less often due to the dead-band and acceptance logic, which can improve stability in choppy sessions.
How it works (technical)
The script derives a coarse bucket from the chart timeframe using `timeframe.in_seconds` and maps it to preset-specific EMA lengths. EMAs of the source build MACD and Signal; their difference is the Histogram. Signs of MACD and Histogram define four regimes: strong bull, weak bull, strong bear, and weak bear. A small, user-defined band around zero treats values near the axis as neutral. An acceptance counter checks whether the same regime persisted for a given number of consecutive bars before it is emitted as the filtered regime. A single alert condition fires when the filtered regime changes. The histogram columns change shade based on position relative to zero and whether they are rising or falling. A persistent table object shows preset, bucket tag, resolved lengths, and the filtered regime. No cross-timeframe requests are used, so repaint risk is limited to normal live-bar movement; values stabilize on close.
Parameter Guide
Source — Input series for MACD — Default: Close — Using a smoother source increases stability but adds lag.
Preset — A or B length family — Default: “3,10,16” — Switch to “12,26,9” for the classic family mapped to buckets.
Table Position — Anchor for the info table — Default: Top right — Choose a corner that avoids covering price action.
Table Size — Table text size — Default: Normal — Use small on dense charts, large for presentations.
Dark Mode — Table theme — Default: Enabled — Match your chart background for readability.
Show Table — Toggle diagnostics table — Default: Enabled — Disable for a cleaner pane.
Zero dead-band (epsilon) — Noise gate around zero — Default: Zero — Increase slightly when you see frequent flips near zero.
Acceptance bars (n) — Bars required to confirm a regime — Default: Three — Raise to reduce whipsaw; lower to react faster.
Reading & Interpretation
Histogram columns: Above zero indicates bullish pressure; below zero indicates bearish pressure. Darker shade implies the histogram increased compared with the prior bar; lighter shade implies it decreased.
MACD vs. Signal lines: The spread corresponds to histogram height.
Regimes:
Strong bull: MACD above zero and Histogram above zero.
Weak bull: MACD above zero and Histogram below zero.
Strong bear: MACD below zero and Histogram below zero.
Weak bear: MACD below zero and Histogram above zero.
Table: Inspect active preset, bucket tag, resolved lengths, and the filtered regime number with its description.
Practical Workflows & Combinations
Trend following: Use strong bull to favor long exposure and strong bear to favor short exposure. Use weak states as pullback or transition context. Combine with structure tools such as swing highs and lows or a baseline moving average for confirmation.
Exits and risk: In strong trends, consider exiting partial size on a regime downgrade to a weak state. In choppy sessions, increase the acceptance bars to reduce churn.
Multi-asset / Multi-timeframe: Works on time-based charts across liquid futures, indices, currencies, and large-cap equities. Bucket mapping helps retain a consistent feel when moving from lower to higher timeframes.
Behavior, Constraints & Performance
Repaint/confirmation: No cross-timeframe requests; values can evolve intrabar and settle on close. Alerts follow your TradingView alert timing settings.
Resources: `max_bars_back` is set to five thousand. Very large resolved lengths require sufficient history to seed EMAs; expect a warm-up period on first load or after switching symbols.
Known limits: Dead-band and acceptance can delay recognition at sharp turns. Extremely thin markets or large gaps may still cause brief regime reversals.
Sensible Defaults & Quick Tuning
Start with preset “3,10,16”, dead-band near zero, and acceptance of three bars.
Too many flips near zero: increase the dead-band slightly or raise the acceptance bars.
Too sluggish in clean trends: reduce the acceptance bars by one.
Too sensitive on fast lower timeframes: switch to the “12,26,9” preset family or raise the acceptance bars.
Want less clutter: hide the table and keep the alert.
What this indicator is—and isn’t
This is a visualization and regime layer for MACD using higher-timeframe emulation and stability gates. It is not a complete trading system and does not generate position sizing or risk management. Use it with market structure, execution rules, and protective stops.
Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Do not use this indicator on Heikin-Ashi, Renko, Kagi, Point-and-Figure, or Range charts, as these chart types can produce unrealistic results for signal markers and alerts.
Best regards and happy trading
Chervolino
[AS] MACD-v & Hist [Alex Spiroglou | S.M.A.R.T. TRADER SYSTEMS] MACD-v & MACD-v Histogram
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Volatility Normalised Momentum 📈
Twice Awarded Indicator 🏆
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✅ 1. INTRODUCTION TO THE MACD-v ✅
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I created the MACD-v in 2015,
as a way to deal with the limitations
of well known indicators like the Stochastic, RSI, MACD.
I decided to publicly share a very small part of my research
in the form of a research paper I wrote in 2022,
titled "MACD-v: Volatility Normalised Momentum".
That paper was awarded twice:
1. The "Charles H. Dow" Award (2022),
for outstanding research in Technical Analysis,
by the Chartered Market Technicians Association (CMTA)
2. The "Founders" Award (2022),
for advances in Active Investment Management,
by the National Association of Active Investment Managers (NAAIM)
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❌ 2. WHY CREATE THE MACD-v ?
THE LIMITATIONS OF CONVENTIONAL MOMENTUM INDICATORS
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Technical Analysis indicators focused on momentum,
come in two general categories,
each with its own set of limitations:
(i) Range Bound Oscillators (RSI, Stochastics, etc)
These usually have a scaling of 0-100,
and thus have the advantage of having normalised readings,
that are comparable across time and securities.
However they have the following limitations (among others):
1. Skewing effect of steep trends
2. Indicator values do not adjust with and reflect true momentum
(indicator values are capped to 100)
(ii) Unbound Oscillators (MACD, RoC, etc)
These are boundless indicators,
and can expand with the market,
without being limited by a 0-100 scaling,
and thus have the advantage of really measuring momentum.
They have the main following limitations (among others):
1. Subjectivity of overbought / oversold levels
2. Not comparable across time
3. Not comparable across securities
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💡 3. THE SOLUTION TO SOLVE THESE LIMITATIONS
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In order to deal with these limitations,
I decided to create an indicator,
that would be the "Best of two worlds".
A unique & hybrid indicator,
that would have objective normalised readings
(similar to Range Bound Oscillators - RSI)
but would also be able to have no upper/lower boundaries
(similar to Unbound Oscillators - MACD).
This would be achieved by "normalising" a boundless oscillator (MACD)
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⛔ 4. DEEP DIVE INTO THE 5 LIMITATIONS OF THE MACD
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A Bloomberg study found that the MACD
is the most popular indicator after the RSI,
but the MACD has 5 BIG limitations.
Limitation 1: MACD values are not comparable across Time
The raw MACD values shift
as the underlying security's absolute value changes across time,
making historical comparisons obsolete
e.g S&P 500 maximum MACD was 1.56 in 1957-1971,
but reached 86.31 in 2019-2021 - not indicating 55x stronger momentum,
but simply different price levels.
Limitation 2: MACD values are not comparable across Assets
Traditional MACD cannot compare momentum between different assets.
S&P 500 MACD of 65 versus EUR/USD MACD of -0.5
reflects absolute price differences, not momentum differences
Limitation 3: MACD values cannot be Systematically Classified
Due to limitations #1 & #2, it is not possible to create
a momentum level classification scale
where one can define "fast", "slow", "overbought", "oversold" momentum
making systematic analysis impossible
Limitation 4: MACD Signal Line gives false crossovers in low-momentum ranges
In range-bound, low momentum environments,
most of the MACD signal line crossovers are false (noise)
Since there is no objective momentum classification system (limitation #3),
it is not possible to filter these signals out,
by avoiding them when momentum is low
Limitation 5: MACD Signal Line gives late crossovers in high momentum regimes.
Signal lag in strong trends not good at timing the turning point
— In high-momentum moves, MACD crossovers may come late.
Since there is no objective momentum classification system (limitation #3),
it is not possible to filter these signals out,
by avoiding them when momentum is high
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🏆 5. MACD-v : THE SOLUTION TO THE LIMITATIONS OF THE MACD , RSI, etc
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MACD-v is a volatility normalised momentum indicator.
It remedies these 5 limitations of the classic MACD,
while creating a tool with unique properties.
Formula: × 100
MACD-V enhances the classic MACD by normalizing for volatility,
transforming price-dependent readings into standardized momentum values.
This resolves key limitations of traditional MACD and adds significant analytical power.
Core Advantages of MACD-V
Advantage 1: Time-Based Stability
MACD-V values are consistent and comparable over time.
A reading of 100 has the same meaning today as it did in the past
(unlike traditional MACD which is influenced by changes in price and volatility over time)
Advantage 2: Cross-Market Comparability
MACD-V provides universal scaling.
Readings (e.g., ±50) apply consistently across all asset classes—stocks,
bonds, commodities, or currencies,
allowing traders to compare momentum across markets reliably.
Advantage 3: Objective Momentum Classification
MACD-V includes a defined 5-range momentum lifecycle
with standardized thresholds (e.g., -150 to +150).
This offers an objective framework for analyzing market conditions
and supports integration with broader models.
Advantage 4: False Signal Reduction in Low-Momentum Regimes
MACD-V introduces a "neutral zone" (typically -50 to +50)
to filter out these low-probability signals.
Advantage 5: Improved Signal Timing in High-Momentum Regimes
MACD-V identifies extremely strong trends,
allowing for more precise entry and exit points.
Advantage 6: Trend-Adaptive Scaling
Unlike bounded oscillators like RSI or Stochastic,
MACD-V dynamically expands with trend strength,
providing clearer momentum insights without artificial limits.
Advantage 7: Enhanced Divergence Detection
MACD-V offers more reliable divergence signals
by avoiding distortion at extreme levels,
a common flaw in bounded indicators (RSI, etc)
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⚒️ 5. HOW TO USE THE MACD-v: 7 CORE PATTERNS
HOW TO USE THE MACD-v Histogram: 2 CORE PATTERNS
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>>>>>> BASIC USE (RANGE RULES) <<<<<<
The MACD-v has 7 Core Patterns (Ranges) :
1. Risk Range (Overbought)
Condition: MACD-V > Signal Line and MACD-V > +150
Interpretation: Extremely strong bullish momentum—potential exhaustion or reversal zone.
2. Retracing
Condition: MACD-V < Signal Line and MACD-V > -50
Interpretation: Mild pullback within a bullish trend.
3. Rundown
Condition: MACD-V < Signal Line and -50 > MACD-V > -150
Interpretation: Momentum is weakening—bearish pressure building.
4. Risk Range (Oversold)
Condition: MACD-V < Signal Line and MACD-V < -150
Interpretation: Extreme bearish momentum—potential for reversal or capitulation.
5. Rebounding
Condition: MACD-V > Signal Line and MACD-V > -150
Interpretation: Bullish recovery from oversold or weak conditions.
6. Rallying
Condition: MACD-V > Signal Line and MACD-V > +50
Interpretation: Strengthening bullish trend—momentum accelerating.
7. Ranging (Neutral Zone)
Condition: MACD-V remains between -50 and +50 for 20+ bars
Interpretation: Sideways market—low conviction and momentum.
The MACD-v Histogram has 2 Core Patterns (Ranges) :
1. Risk (Overbought)
Condition: Histogram > +40
Interpretation: Short-term bullish momentum is stretched—possible overextension or reversal risk.
2. Risk (Oversold)
Condition: Histogram < -40
Interpretation: Short-term bearish momentum is stretched—potential for rebound or reversal.
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📈 6. ADVANCED PATTERNS WITH MACD-v
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Thanks to its volatility normalization,
the MACD-V framework enables the development
of a wide range of advanced pattern recognition setups,
trading signals, and strategic models.
These patterns go beyond basic crossovers,
offering deeper insight into momentum structure,
regime shifts, and high-probability trade setups.
These are not part of this script
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⚙️ 7. FUNCTIONALITY - HOW TO ADD THE INDICATORS TO YOUR CHART
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The script allows you to see :
1. MACD-v
The indicator with the ranges (150,50,0,-50,-150)
and colour coded according to its 7 basic patterns
2. MACD-v Histogram
The indicator The indicator with the ranges (40,0,-40)
and colour coded according to its 2 basic ranges / patterns
3. MACD-v Heatmap
You can see the MACD-v in a Multiple Timeframe basis,
using a colour-coded Heatmap
Note that lowest timeframe in the heatmap must be the one on the chart
i.e. if you see the daily chart, then the Heatmap will be Daily, Weekly, Monthly
4. MACD-v Dashboard
You can see the MACD-v for 7 markets,
in a multiple timeframe basis
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🤝 CONTRIBUTIONS 🤝
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I would like to thank the following people:
1. Mike Christensen for coding the indicator
@TradersPostInc, @Mik3Christ3ns3n,
2. @Indicator-Jones For allowing me to use his Scanner
3. @Daveatt For allowing me to use his heatmap
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⚠️ LEGAL - Usage and Attribution Notice ⚠️
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Use of this Script is permitted
for personal or non-commercial purposes,
including implementation by coders and TradingView users.
However, any form of paid redistribution,
resale, or commercial exploitation is strictly prohibited.
Proper attribution to the original author is expected and appreciated,
in order to acknowledge the source
and maintain the integrity of the original work.
Failure to comply with these terms,
or to take corrective action within 48 hours of notification,
will result in a formal report to TradingView’s moderation team,
and will actively pursue account suspension and removal of the infringing script(s).
Continued violations may result in further legal action, as deemed necessary.
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⚠️ DISCLAIMER ⚠️
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This indicator is For Educational Purposes Only (F.E.P.O.).
I am just Teaching by Example (T.B.E.)
It does not constitute investment advice.
There are no guarantees in trading - except one.
You will have losses in trading.
I can guarantee you that with 100% certainty.
The author is not responsible for any financial losses
or trading decisions made based on this indicator. 🙏
Always perform your own analysis and use proper risk management. 🛡️
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MACD Positive & Negative AlertThe MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is a momentum and trend-following indicator that helps traders identify the strength and direction of a trend, spot potential reversals, and fine-tune entry/exit timing.
Core Components
- MACD Line:
The difference between the 12-period and 26-period EMA (Exponential Moving Averages). This line highlights shifts in momentum and identifies the prevailing trend direction.
- Signal Line:
A 9-period EMA of the MACD line, acting as a trigger for buy/sell signals. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it suggests a bullish signal; when it crosses below, it suggests a bearish one.
- Histogram:
Shows the difference between the MACD line and the signal line as a bar graph. The histogram helps traders gauge the strength of the momentum and can warn of possible reversals. A rapidly growing histogram means strengthening momentum, while a shrinking one indicates weakening momentum.
Main Uses
- Trend Identification:
A positive MACD value typically signals a bullish trend, while a negative value signals a bearish trend.
- Momentum Analysis:
Divergences between MACD and price can warn of upcoming reversals. Increasing MACD histogram bars confirm strong momentum; shrinking bars suggest consolidation or reversal.
- Signal Generation:
Crossovers between the MACD line and the signal line generate trade signals—bullish (buy) if the MACD moves above the signal, bearish (sell) if it falls below l.
Example Interpretation
- MACD Crossover:
If the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it's often considered a buy signal; a cross below is a sell signal.
- Zero Line Cross:
If the MACD histogram moves from below zero to above, this is considered a bullish momentum shift; above zero to below is a bearish move.
The MACD is most effective in trending markets and should ideally be used alongside additional indicators for robust trading decisions.
MACD of RSI [TORYS]MACD of RSI — Momentum & Divergence Scanner
Description:
This enhanced oscillator applies MACD logic directly to the Relative Strength Index (RSI) rather than price, giving traders a clearer look at internal momentum and early shifts in trend strength. Now featuring a custom histogram, dual MA types, and RSI-based divergence detection — it’s a complete toolkit for identifying exhaustion, acceleration, and hidden reversal points in real time.
How It Works:
Calculates the MACD line as the difference between a fast and slow moving average of RSI. Adds a Signal Line (MA of the MACD) and plots a Histogram to show momentum acceleration/deceleration. Both RSI MAs and the Signal Line can be toggled between EMA and SMA for custom tuning.
Divergence Detection:
Bullish Divergence : Price makes a lower low while RSI makes a higher low → labeled with a green “D” below the curve.
Bearish Divergence : Price makes a higher high while RSI makes a lower high → labeled with a red “D” above the curve.
Configurable lookback window for tuning sensitivity to pivots, with 4 as the sweet spot.
RSI Pivot Dot Signals:
Plots green dots at RSI oversold pivot lows below 30,
Plots red dots at overbought pivot highs above 70.
Helps detect short-term exhaustion or bounce zones, plotted right on the MACD-RSI curve.
RSI 50 Crosses (Optional):
Optional ▲ and ▼ labels when RSI crosses its 50 midline — useful for momentum trend shifts or pullback confirmation, or to detect consolidation.
Histogram:
Plotted as a column chart showing the distance between MACD and Signal Line.
Colored dynamically:
Bright green : Momentum rising above zero
Light green : Weakening above zero
Bright red : Momentum falling below zero
Light red : Weakening below zero
The zero line serves as the mid-point:
Above = Bullish Bias
Below = Bearish Bias
How to Interpret:
Momentum Confirmation:
Use MACD cross above Signal Line with a rising histogram to confirm breakouts or trend entries.
Histogram shrinking near zero = momentum weakening → caution or reversal.
Exhaustion & Reversals:
Dot signals near RSI extremes + histogram peak can suggest overbought/oversold pressure.
Use divergence labels ("D") to spot early reversal signals before price breaks structure.
Inputs & Settings:
RSI Length
Fast/Slow MA Lengths for MACD (applied to RSI)
Signal Line Length
MA Type: Choose between EMA and SMA for MACD and Signal Line
Pivot Sensitivity for dot markers
Divergence Logic Toggle
Show/hide RSI 50 Crosses
Best For:
Traders who want momentum insight from inside RSI, not price
Scalpers using divergence or exhaustion entries
Swing traders seeking entry confirmation from signal crossovers
Anyone using multi-timeframe confluence with RSI and trend filters
Pro Tips:
Combine this with:
Bollinger Bands breakouts and reversals
VWAP or EMAs to filter entries by trend
Volume spikes or BBW squeezes for volatility confirmation
TTM Scalper Alert to sync structure and momentum
CCI with Zero Signal by Edwin KCCI with Zero Signal by Edwin K is a custom Commodity Channel Index (CCI) indicator designed for traders to analyze market trends and momentum more effectively. It combines the CCI calculation with a visually distinct histogram and color-coded candlestick bars for enhanced clarity and decision-making.
Key Features:
CCI Line:
Plots the CCI line based on the specified length (default: 21).
Helps identify overbought or oversold conditions, momentum shifts, and trend reversals.
Zero Signal Line:
A horizontal line at 0 serves as a reference point to distinguish between bullish and bearish momentum.
Histogram:
Displays a histogram that reflects the CCI's values.
Histogram bars change colors dynamically based on their relation to the zero line and the trend's direction.
Green/Lime: Positive momentum (above zero).
Red/Maroon: Negative momentum (below zero).
Candlestick Coloring:
Automatically paints candlesticks based on the histogram's color.
Provides an intuitive visual cue for momentum shifts directly on the price chart.
Use Cases:
Trend Confirmation: Use the histogram and candlestick colors to confirm the strength and direction of trends.
Momentum Shifts: Identify transitions between bullish and bearish momentum when the CCI crosses the zero line.
Entry and Exit Points: Combine this indicator with other tools to pinpoint optimal trade entries and exits.
This indicator offers a user-friendly yet powerful visualization of the CCI, making it an excellent tool for traders aiming to enhance their technical analysis.
Enhanced KLSE Banker Flow Oscillator# Enhanced KLSE Banker Flow Oscillator
## Description
The Enhanced KLSE Banker Flow Oscillator is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed specifically for the Malaysian stock market (KLSE). This indicator analyzes price and volume relationships to identify potential smart money movements, providing early signals for market reversals and continuation patterns.
The oscillator measures the buying and selling pressure in the market with a focus on detecting institutional activity. By combining money flow calculations with volume filters and price action analysis, it helps traders identify high-probability trading opportunities with reduced noise.
## Key Features
- Dual-Timeframe Analysis: Combines long-term money flow trends with short-term momentum shifts for more accurate signals
- Adaptive Volume Filtering: Automatically adjusts volume thresholds based on recent market conditions
- Advanced Divergence Detection: Identifies potential trend reversals through price-flow divergences
- Early Signal Detection: Provides anticipatory signals before major price movements occur
- Multiple Signal Types: Offers both early alerts and strong confirmation signals with clear visual markers
- Volatility Adjustment: Adapts sensitivity based on current market volatility for more reliable signals
- Comprehensive Visual Feedback: Color-coded oscillator, signal markers, and optional text labels
- Customizable Display Options: Toggle momentum histogram, early signals, and zone fills
- Organized Settings Interface: Logically grouped parameters for easier configuration
## Indicator Components
1. Main Oscillator Line: The primary banker flow line that fluctuates above and below zero
2. Early Signal Line: Secondary indicator showing potential emerging signals
3. Momentum Histogram: Visual representation of flow momentum changes
4. Zone Fills: Color-coded background highlighting positive and negative zones
5. Signal Markers: Visual indicators for entry and exit points
6. Reference Lines: Key levels for strong and early signals
7. Signal Labels: Optional text annotations for significant signals
## Signal Types
1. Strong Buy Signal (Green Arrow): Major bullish signal with high probability of success
2. Strong Sell Signal (Red Arrow): Major bearish signal with high probability of success
3. Early Buy Signal (Blue Circle): First indication of potential bullish trend
4. Early Sell Signal (Red Circle): First indication of potential bearish trend
5. Bullish Divergence (Yellow Triangle Up): Price making lower lows while flow makes higher lows
6. Bearish Divergence (Yellow Triangle Down): Price making higher highs while flow makes lower highs
## Parameters Explained
### Core Settings
- MFI Base Length (14): Primary calculation period for money flow index
- Short-term Flow Length (5): Calculation period for early signals
- KLSE Sensitivity (1.8): Multiplier for flow calculations, higher = more sensitive
- Smoothing Length (5): Smoothing period for the main oscillator line
### Volume Filter Settings
- Volume Filter % (65): Minimum volume threshold as percentage of average
- Use Adaptive Volume Filter (true): Dynamically adjusts volume thresholds
### Signal Levels
- Strong Signal Level (15): Threshold for strong buy/sell signals
- Early Signal Level (10): Threshold for early buy/sell signals
- Early Signal Threshold (0.75): Sensitivity factor for early signals
### Advanced Settings
- Divergence Lookback (34): Period for checking price-flow divergences
- Show Signal Labels (true): Toggle text labels for signals
### Visual Settings
- Show Momentum Histogram (true): Toggle the momentum histogram display
- Show Early Signal (true): Toggle the early signal line display
- Show Zone Fills (true): Toggle background color fills
## How to Use This Indicator
### Installation
1. Add the indicator to your TradingView chart
2. Default settings are optimized for KLSE stocks
3. Customize parameters if needed for specific stocks
### Basic Interpretation
- Oscillator Above Zero: Bullish bias, buying pressure dominates
- Oscillator Below Zero: Bearish bias, selling pressure dominates
- Crossing Zero Line: Potential shift in market sentiment
- Extreme Readings: Possible overbought/oversold conditions
### Advanced Interpretation
- Divergences: Early warning of trend exhaustion
- Signal Confluences: Multiple signal types appearing together increase reliability
- Volume Confirmation: Signals with higher volume are more significant
- Momentum Alignment: Histogram should confirm direction of main oscillator
### Trading Strategies
#### Trend Following Strategy
1. Identify market trend direction
2. Wait for pullbacks shown by oscillator moving against trend
3. Enter when oscillator reverses back in trend direction with a Strong signal
4. Place stop loss below/above recent swing low/high
5. Take profit at previous resistance/support levels
#### Counter-Trend Strategy
1. Look for oscillator reaching extreme levels
2. Identify divergence between price and oscillator
3. Wait for oscillator to cross Early signal threshold
4. Enter position against prevailing trend
5. Use tight stop loss (1 ATR from entry)
6. Take profit at first resistance/support level
#### Breakout Confirmation Strategy
1. Identify stock consolidating in a range
2. Wait for price to break out of range
3. Confirm breakout with oscillator crossing zero line in breakout direction
4. Enter position in breakout direction
5. Place stop loss below/above the breakout level
6. Trail stop as price advances
### Signal Hierarchy and Reliability
From highest to lowest reliability:
1. Strong Buy/Sell signals with divergence and high volume
2. Strong Buy/Sell signals with high volume
3. Divergence signals followed by Early signals
4. Strong Buy/Sell signals with normal volume
5. Early Buy/Sell signals with high volume
6. Early Buy/Sell signals with normal volume
## Complete Trading Plan Example
### KLSE Market Trading System
#### Pre-Trading Preparation
1. Review overall market sentiment (bullish, bearish, or neutral)
2. Scan for stocks showing significant banker flow signals
3. Note key support/resistance levels for watchlist stocks
4. Prioritize trade candidates based on signal strength and volume
#### Entry Rules for Long Positions
1. Banker Flow Oscillator above zero line (positive flow environment)
2. One or more of the following signals present:
- Strong Buy signal (green arrow)
- Bullish Divergence signal (yellow triangle up)
- Early Buy signal (blue circle) with confirming price action
3. Entry confirmation requirements:
- Volume above 65% of 20-day average
- Price above short-term moving average (e.g., 20 EMA)
- No immediate resistance within 3% of entry price
4. Entry on the next candle open after signal confirmation
#### Entry Rules for Short Positions
1. Banker Flow Oscillator below zero line (negative flow environment)
2. One or more of the following signals present:
- Strong Sell signal (red arrow)
- Bearish Divergence signal (yellow triangle down)
- Early Sell signal (red circle) with confirming price action
3. Entry confirmation requirements:
- Volume above 65% of 20-day average
- Price below short-term moving average (e.g., 20 EMA)
- No immediate support within 3% of entry price
4. Entry on the next candle open after signal confirmation
#### Position Sizing Rules
1. Base risk per trade: 1% of trading capital
2. Position size calculation: Capital × Risk% ÷ Stop Loss Distance
3. Position size adjustments:
- Increase by 20% for Strong signals with above-average volume
- Decrease by 20% for Early signals without confirming price action
- Standard size for all other valid signals
#### Stop Loss Placement
1. For Long Positions:
- Place stop below the most recent swing low
- Minimum distance: 1.5 × ATR(14)
- Maximum risk: 1% of trading capital
2. For Short Positions:
- Place stop above the most recent swing high
- Minimum distance: 1.5 × ATR(14)
- Maximum risk: 1% of trading capital
#### Take Profit Strategy
1. First Target (33% of position):
- 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio
- Move stop to breakeven after reaching first target
2. Second Target (33% of position):
- 2.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio
- Trail stop at previous day's low/high
3. Final Target (34% of position):
- 4:1 reward-to-risk ratio or
- Exit when opposing signal appears (e.g., Strong Sell for long positions)
#### Trade Management Rules
1. After reaching first target:
- Move stop to breakeven
- Consider adding to position if new confirming signal appears
2. After reaching second target:
- Trail stop using banker flow signals
- Exit remaining position when:
- Oscillator crosses zero line in opposite direction
- Opposing signal appears
- Price closes below/above trailing stop level
3. Maximum holding period:
- 20 trading days for trend-following trades
- 10 trading days for counter-trend trades
- Re-evaluate if targets not reached within timeframe
#### Risk Management Safeguards
1. Maximum open positions: 5 trades
2. Maximum sector exposure: 40% of trading capital
3. Maximum daily drawdown limit: 3% of trading capital
4. Mandatory stop trading rules:
- After three consecutive losing trades
- After reaching 5% account drawdown
- Resume after two-day cooling period and strategy review
#### Performance Tracking
1. Track for each trade:
- Signal type that triggered entry
- Oscillator reading at entry and exit
- Volume relative to average
- Price action confirmation patterns
- Holding period
- Reward-to-risk achieved
2. Review performance metrics weekly:
- Win rate by signal type
- Average reward-to-risk ratio
- Profit factor
- Maximum drawdown
3. Adjust strategy parameters based on performance:
- Increase position size for highest performing signals
- Decrease or eliminate trades based on underperforming signals
## Advanced Usage Tips
1. Combine with Support/Resistance:
- Signals are more reliable when they occur at key support/resistance levels
- Look for banker flow divergence at major price levels
2. Multiple Timeframe Analysis:
- Use the oscillator on both daily and weekly timeframes
- Stronger signals when both timeframes align
- Enter on shorter timeframe when confirmed by longer timeframe
3. Sector Rotation Strategy:
- Compare banker flow across different sectors
- Rotate capital to sectors showing strongest positive flow
- Avoid sectors with persistent negative flow
4. Volatility Adjustments:
- During high volatility periods, wait for Strong signals only
- During low volatility periods, Early signals can be more actionable
5. Optimizing Parameters:
- For more volatile stocks: Increase Smoothing Length (6-8)
- For less volatile stocks: Decrease KLSE Sensitivity (1.2-1.5)
- For intraday trading: Reduce all length parameters by 30-50%
## Fine-Tuning for Different Markets
While optimized for KLSE, the indicator can be adapted for other markets:
1. For US Stocks:
- Reduce KLSE Sensitivity to 1.5
- Increase Volume Filter to 75%
- Adjust Strong Signal Level to 18
2. For Forex:
- Increase Smoothing Length to 8
- Reduce Early Signal Threshold to 0.6
- Focus more on divergence signals than crossovers
3. For Cryptocurrencies:
- Increase KLSE Sensitivity to 2.2
- Reduce Signal Levels (Strong: 12, Early: 8)
- Use higher Volume Filter (80%)
By thoroughly understanding and properly implementing the Enhanced KLSE Banker Flow Oscillator, traders can gain a significant edge in identifying institutional money flow and making more informed trading decisions, particularly in the Malaysian stock market.
