Adaptive Bollinger-RSI Trend Signal [CHE]Adaptive Bollinger-RSI Trend Signal
Indicator Overview:
The "Adaptive Bollinger-RSI Trend Signal " (ABRT Signal ) is a sophisticated trading tool designed to provide clear and actionable buy and sell signals by combining the power of Bollinger Bands and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This indicator aims to help traders identify potential trend reversals and confirm entry and exit points with greater accuracy.
Key Features:
1. Bollinger Bands Integration:
- Utilizes Bollinger Bands to detect price volatility and identify overbought or oversold conditions.
- Configurable parameters: Length, Source, and Multiplier for precise adjustments based on trading preferences.
- Color customization: Change the colors of the basis line, upper band, lower band, and the fill color between bands.
2. RSI Integration:
- Incorporates the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to validate potential buy and sell signals.
- Configurable parameters: Length, Source, Upper Threshold, and Lower Threshold for customized signal generation.
3. Signal Generation:
- Buy Signal: Generated when the price crosses below the lower Bollinger Band and the RSI crosses above the lower threshold, indicating a potential upward trend.
- Sell Signal: Generated when the price crosses above the upper Bollinger Band and the RSI crosses below the upper threshold, indicating a potential downward trend.
- Color customization: Change the colors of the buy and sell signal labels.
4. State Tracking:
- Tracks and records crossover and crossunder states of the price and RSI to ensure signals are only generated under the right conditions.
- Monitors the basis trend (SMA of the Bollinger Bands) to provide context for signal validation.
5. Counters and Labels:
- Labels each buy and sell signal with a counter to indicate the number of consecutive signals.
- Counters reset upon the generation of an opposite signal, ensuring clarity and preventing signal clutter.
6. DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) Calculation:
- Stores the close price at each signal and calculates the average entry price (DCA) for both buy and sell signals.
- Displays the number of positions and DCA values in a label on the chart.
7. Customizable Inputs:
- Easily adjustable parameters for Bollinger Bands, RSI, and colors to suit various trading strategies and timeframes.
- Boolean input to show or hide the table label displaying position counts and DCA values.
- Intuitive and user-friendly configuration options for traders of all experience levels.
How to Use:
1. Setup:
- Add the "Adaptive Bollinger-RSI Trend Signal " to your TradingView chart.
- Customize the input parameters to match your trading style and preferred timeframe.
- Adjust the colors of the indicator elements to your preference for better visibility and clarity.
2. Interpreting Signals:
- Buy Signal: Look for a "Buy" label on the chart, indicating a potential entry point when the price is oversold and RSI signals upward momentum.
- Sell Signal: Look for a "Sell" label on the chart, indicating a potential exit point when the price is overbought and RSI signals downward momentum.
3. Trade Execution:
- Use the buy and sell signals to guide your trade entries and exits, aligning them with your overall trading strategy.
- Monitor the counter labels to understand the strength and frequency of signals, helping you make informed decisions.
4. Adjust and Optimize:
- Regularly review and adjust the indicator parameters based on market conditions and backtesting results.
- Combine this indicator with other technical analysis tools to enhance your trading accuracy and performance.
5. Monitor DCA Values:
- Enable the table label to display the number of positions and average entry prices (DCA) for both buy and sell signals.
- Use this information to assess the cost basis of your trades and make strategic adjustments as needed.
Conclusion:
The Adaptive Bollinger-RSI Trend Signal is a powerful and versatile trading tool designed to help traders identify and capitalize on trend reversals with confidence. By combining the strengths of Bollinger Bands and RSI, this indicator provides clear and reliable signals, making it an essential addition to any trader's toolkit. Customize the settings, interpret the signals, and execute your trades with precision using this comprehensive indicator.
Wyszukaj w skryptach "band"
Harmonic Rolling VWAP (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Harmonic Rolling VWAP (Zeiierman) indicator combines the concept of the Rolling Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) with advanced harmonic analysis using Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT). This innovative indicator aims to provide traders with a dynamic view of price action, capturing both the volume-weighted price and underlying harmonic patterns. By leveraging this combination, traders can gain deeper insights into market trends and potential reversal points.
█ How It Works
The Harmonic Rolling VWAP calculates the rolling VWAP over a specified window of bars, giving more weight to periods with higher trading volume. This VWAP is then subjected to harmonic analysis using the Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT), which decomposes the VWAP into its frequency components.
Key Components:
Rolling VWAP (RVWAP): A moving average that gives more weight to higher volume periods, calculated over a user-defined window.
True Range (TR): Measures volatility by comparing the current high and low prices, considering the previous close price.
Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT): Analyzes the harmonic patterns within the RVWAP by decomposing it into its frequency components.
Standard Deviation Bands: These bands provide a visual representation of price volatility around the RVWAP, helping traders identify potential overbought or oversold conditions.
█ How to Use
Identify Trends: The RVWAP line helps in identifying the underlying trend by smoothing out short-term price fluctuations and focusing on volume-weighted prices.
Assess Volatility: The standard deviation bands around the RVWAP give a clear view of price volatility, helping traders identify potential breakout or breakdown points.
Find Entry and Exit Points: Traders can look for entries when the price is near the lower bands in an uptrend or near the upper bands in a downtrend. Exits can be considered when the price approaches the opposite bands or shows harmonic divergence.
█ Settings
VWAP Source: Defines the price data used for VWAP calculations. The source input defines the price data used for calculations. This setting affects the VWAP calculations and the resulting bands.
Window: Sets the number of bars used for the rolling calculations. The window input sets the number of bars used for the rolling calculations. A larger window smooths the VWAP and standard deviation bands, making the indicator less sensitive to short-term price fluctuations. A smaller window makes the indicator more responsive to recent price changes.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Johnny's Adjusted BB Buy/Sell Signal"Johnny's Adjusted BB Buy/Sell Signal" leverages Bollinger Bands and moving averages to provide dynamic buy and sell signals based on market conditions. This indicator is particularly useful for traders looking to identify strategic entry and exit points based on volatility and trend analysis.
How It Works
Bollinger Bands Setup: The indicator calculates Bollinger Bands using a specified length and multiplier. These bands serve to identify potential overbought (upper band) or oversold (lower band) conditions.
Moving Averages: Two moving averages are calculated — a trend moving average (trendMA) and a long-term moving average (longTermMA) — to gauge the market's direction over different time frames.
Market Phase Determination: The script classifies the market into bullish or bearish phases based on the relationship of the closing price to the long-term moving average.
Strong Buy and Sell Signals: Enhanced signals are generated based on how significantly the price deviates from the Bollinger Bands, coupled with the average candle size over a specified lookback period. The signals are adjusted based on whether the market is bullish or bearish:
In bullish markets, a strong buy signal is triggered if the price significantly drops below the lower Bollinger Band. Conversely, a strong sell signal is activated when the price rises well above the upper band.
In bearish markets, these signals are modified to be more conservative, adjusting the thresholds for triggering strong buy and sell signals.
Features:
Flexibility: Users can adjust the length of the Bollinger Bands and moving averages, as well as the multipliers and factors that determine the strength of buy and sell signals, making it highly customizable to different trading styles and market conditions.
Visual Aids: The script vividly plots the Bollinger Bands and moving averages, and signals are visually represented on the chart, allowing traders to quickly assess trading opportunities:
Regular buy and sell signals are indicated by simple shapes below or above price bars.
Strong buy and sell signals are highlighted with distinctive colors and placed prominently to catch the trader's attention.
Background Coloring: The background color changes based on the market phase, providing an immediate visual cue of the market's overall sentiment.
Usage:
This indicator is ideal for traders who rely on technical analysis to guide their trading decisions. By integrating both Bollinger Bands and moving averages, it provides a multi-faceted view of market trends and volatility, making it suitable for identifying potential reversals and continuation patterns. Traders can use this tool to enhance their understanding of market dynamics and refine their trading strategies accordingly.
RSI and ATR Trend Reversal SL/TPQuick History:
I was frustrated with a standard fixed percent TP/SL as they often were not receptive to quick market rallies/reversals. I developed this TP/SL and eventually made it into a full fledge strategy and found it did well enough to publish. This strategy can be used as a standalone or tacked onto another strategy as a TP/SL. It does function as both with a single line. This strategy has been tested with TSLA , AAPL, NVDA, on the 15 minutes timeframe.
HOW IT WORKS:
Inputs:
Length: Simple enough, it determines the length of the RSI and ATR used.
Multiplier: This multiplies the RSI and ATR calculation, more on this later.
Delay to prevent Idealization: TradingView will use the open of the bar the strategy triggers on when calculating the backtest. This can produce unrealistic results depending on the source. If your source is open, set to 0, if anything else, set to 1.
Minimum Difference: This is essentially a traditional SL/TP, it is borderline unnecessary, but if the other parameters are wacky this can be used to ensure the SL/TP. It multiplies the source by the percent, so if it is set to 10, the SL/TP is initialized at src +- 10%.
Source input: Self Explanatory, be sure to update the Delay if you use open.
CALCULATION:
Parameters Initialization:
The strategy uses Heikinashi values for calculations, this is not toggleable in parameters, but can be easily changed by changing hclose to equal src.
FUNCTION INITIALIZATION:
highest_custom and lowest_custom do the same thing as ta.highest and ta.lowest, however the built in ta library does not allow for var int input, so I had to create my own functions to be used here. I actually developed these years ago and have used them in almost every strategy since. Feel especially free to use these in your own scripts.
The rsilev is where the magic happens.
SL/TP min/max are initially calculated to be used later.
Then we begin by establishing variables.
BullGuy is used to determine the length since the last crossup or crossdown, until one happens, it returns na, breaking the function. BearGuy is used in all the calculations, and is the same as BullGuy, unless BullGuy is na, where BearGuy counts up from 1 on each bar from 0.
We create our rsi and have to modify the second one to suit the function. In the case of the upper band, we mirror the lower one. So if the RSI is 80, we want it to be 20 on the upper band.
the upper band and lower band are calculated the exact same way, but mirrored. For the purpose of writing, I'm going to talk about the lower band. Assume everything is mirrored for the upper one. It finds the highest source since the last crossup or crossdown. It then multiplies from 1 / the RSI, this means that a rapid RSI increase will increase the band dramatically, so it is able to capture quick rally/reversals. We add this to the atr to source ratio, as the general volatility is a massive factor to be included. We then multiply this number by our chosen amount, and subtract it from the highest source, creating the band.
We do this same process but mirrored with both bands and compared it to the source. If the source is above the lower band, it suggests an uptrend, so the lower band is outputted, and vice versa for the upper one.
PLOTTING:
We also determine the line color in the same manner as we do the trend direction.
STRATEGY:
We then use the source again, and if it crosses up or down relative to the selected band, we enter a long or short respectively.
This may not be the most superb independent strategy, but it can be very useful as a TP/SL for your chosen entry conditions, especially in volatile markets or tickers.
Thank you for taking the time to read, and please enjoy.
Deck@r True Range IndexThis Pine Script calculates the True Range Index (TRI) using ATR and Fib Levels and uses the result to generate buy and sell signals based on certain conditions.
Here's a breakdown of the code:
Inputs:
atr_period: Determines the period for calculating the Average True Range (ATR), preferred setting at 14.
atr_multiplier: Multiplier used to set the width of the ATR bands preferred setting at 1.
Calculations:
atr_value: Calculates the Average True Range (ATR) using the input period.
upper_band: Calculates the upper band of the ATR bands using a Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the close price plus the ATR multiplied by the multiplier.
lower_band: Calculates the lower band of the ATR bands using a Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the close price minus the ATR multiplied by the multiplier.
midline_75 and midline_25: Calculate midlines at Fibonacci retracement levels of 0.75 and 0.25, respectively, between the upper and lower bands.
Plotting:
Plots the upper and lower bands of the ATR bands.
Optionally plots midlines for the ATR bands (commented out in the code).
Buy and Sell Conditions:
buy_condition: Defines a condition for a buy signal, which occurs when the close price is above the midline at the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.25.
sell_condition: Defines a condition for a sell signal, which occurs when the close price is below the midline at the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.75.
Candle Color:
Sets the candle color based on the buy and sell conditions.
Buy and Sell Signals:
buy_signal: Checks for a buy signal when the close price crosses above the midline at the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.25.
sell_signal: Checks for a sell signal when the close price crosses below the midline at the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.75.
Plots buy and sell signals on the chart.
Progressive Trend TrackerProgressive Trend Tracker (PTT) is a development combining Bollinger Bands with Highest Highs and Lowest Lows by K.Hasan Alpay & Anıl Özekşi.
Bollinger Bands have originally 3 lines: Simple Moving Average (Middle Line), Upper Band and Lower Band.
PTT concentrates on the upper and lower Bollinger band lines.
First, it calculates the bands using the Highest & Lowest prices in a period of time (Faster period and period) instead of closing prices.
Then, PTT takes the lowest values of the calculated upper band and, conversely, the highest values of the calculated lower band in a Slower period.
Default values:
Faster Period: 5
Period: 5
Bollinger Band Moving Average Period: 2
Slower Period: 10
These values are designed for daily time frame, so they have to be optimized in other timeframes by the user. (Ex: Higher values can be considered in lower time frames)
One more significant difference considering original Bollinger Bands is that PTT uses VIDYA (Variable Dynamic Moving Average = VAR) in the calculation instead of a Simple Moving Average.
Bollinger Bands cannot create significant BUY & SELL signals considering their original logic, but the primary purpose of PTT is to have substantial trading signals:
BUY when the price crosses above the PTT Lower line (cyan line)
STOP when the price crosses back below the PTT Lower line (cyan line)
SELL when the price crosses below the PTT Upper line (cyan line)
STOP when the price crosses back above the PTT Upper line (cyan line)
Developer Anıl Özekşi advises that traders may have more accurate signals when using a short-period moving average instead of closing prices, so I added the VIDYA moving average with the same default length ( 2 ), which is used in Bollinger Bands calculation. You can check the "SHOW MOVING AVERAGE?" box on the settings tab of the indicator.
Matrix Momentum Expansion [IkkeOmar]The indicator consists of several features:
Candlestick chart: The indicator plots a candlestick chart based on the input parameters of the user. The candlesticks are colored blue or orange depending on whether the closing price is above or below the upper and lower bands.
Support and Resistance levels: The indicator also plots support and resistance levels based on the CCI (Commodity Channel Index) of the asset's price. These levels are dynamic and change based on the user's input parameters.
Momentum: The indicator calculates the momentum of the market based on the smoothed and standard deviation of the asset's price. It uses this momentum to calculate upper and lower bands that are plotted on the chart.
Warning signals: The indicator can also be used to identify potential warning signals. When the closing price of the asset moves above the upper band, it could indicate that the market is overbought and a potential reversal could occur. Conversely, when the closing price moves below the lower band, it could indicate that the market is oversold and a potential reversal could occur.
Contractions and expansions in the bands can provide important information to traders about potential price movements.
When the bands contract, it indicates that the market is experiencing low volatility and the price is likely to move sideways. During these periods, traders may look for other signals, such as support and resistance levels or price patterns, to determine potential entry and exit points.
On the other hand, when the bands expand, it indicates that the market is experiencing high volatility and the price is likely to move in a particular direction. Traders can use this information to identify potential trend reversals or continuation patterns. When the upper and lower bands move further apart, it indicates that the trend is becoming stronger, while when they move closer together, it indicates that the trend may be weakening.
When the price moves outside of the bands, it can also provide important information to traders. If the price moves above the upper band, it could indicate that the market is overbought and a potential reversal could occur. Conversely, if the price moves below the lower band, it could indicate that the market is oversold and a potential reversal could occur.
Very important note!
When you see contractions, please understand that it's a wonderful opportunity to pivot into position to catch a good trade because we will see an expansion after!
MESThe Double Bollinger Bands strategy is a trend-following strategy that aims to identify high-probability trading opportunities in trending markets. The strategy involves using two sets of Bollinger Bands with different standard deviation values to identify potential entry and exit points.
Bollinger Bands are a technical analysis tool that consists of three lines plotted on a price chart: a simple moving average (SMA) in the middle, and an upper and lower band that are each a certain number of standard deviations away from the SMA. The standard deviation value determines the width of the bands, with a larger deviation resulting in wider bands.
In this indicator, the first set of Bollinger Bands is calculated using a length of 20 bars and a standard deviation of 2, while the second set uses a length of 20 bars and a standard deviation of 3. The bands are plotted on the price chart along with the SMA for each set.
The buy signal is generated when the price falls below the lower band of the second set of Bollinger Bands (the 3-standard deviation band) and then rises above the lower band of the first set (the 2-standard deviation band). This is interpreted as a potential reversal point in a downtrend and a signal to enter a long position.
Conversely, the sell signal is generated when the price rises above the upper band of the second set of Bollinger Bands and then falls below the upper band of the first set. This is interpreted as a potential reversal point in an uptrend and a signal to enter a short position.
To make it easier to identify buy and sell signals on the price chart, the indicator plots triangles above the bars for sell signals and below the bars for buy signals.
Overall, the Double Bollinger Bands strategy can be a useful tool for traders who want to follow trends and identify potential entry and exit points. However, as with any trading strategy, it is important to backtest and thoroughly evaluate its performance before using it in live trading.
Mean ReversionThe "Mean Reversion" indicator in this script is a popular trading strategy that is based on the concept that over time, prices tend to move back towards their mean or average. This trading strategy seeks to identify instances where the price has deviated significantly from its mean and therefore presents an opportunity to profit from its eventual reversion to the mean.
The script calculates the distance between the current price and the EMA using the ATR, which is a measure of volatility. By multiplying the ATR by a specified factor, the script establishes a distance between the current price and the EMA. If the price falls below this distance, it triggers a potential buy signal, indicating that the price may be oversold and due for a rebound.
The script also uses Bollinger Bands to help identify potential buying and selling opportunities. The Bollinger Bands are a technical indicator that measures the volatility of an asset by plotting two standard deviations away from a moving average. When the price moves outside of the Bollinger Bands, it can indicate that the asset is overbought or oversold, potentially triggering a buy or sell signal.
The script's "buySignal" variable is triggered when the price is below the EMA by the specified ATR distance and also falls below the lower Bollinger Band. Conversely, the "sellSignal" variable is triggered when the price is above the EMA by the specified ATR distance and also rises above the upper Bollinger Band.
The script plots the EMA, Bollinger Bands, and the buy and sell signals on the chart for easy visualization. Additionally, the script includes alerts that can be set up to notify the user when a buy or sell signal is triggered, so that they can act on the information in a timely manner.
In summary, this script is a Mean Reversion indicator that aims to identify potential opportunities to buy or sell assets based on deviations from their mean price using a combination of the ATR, EMA, and Bollinger Bands.
Momentum Channel - [Volume Filter]The indicator incorporates a volume filter to ensure that the RSI only moves when the volume is above the moving average of the volume.
The filtered RSI is then used to calculate the Bollinger Bands and moving averages, providing insights into the market dynamics.
It also gives you insight into the bigger timeframes so you can monitor momentum!
Volume Filter Length: Input parameter for the length of the volume filter moving average.
Overview of code:
rsiPeriod: Input parameter for the RSI period.
bandLength: Input parameter for the length of the Bollinger Bands.
lengthrsipl: Input parameter for the length of the fast moving average (MA) on the RSI.
volumeFilterLength: Input parameter for the length of the volume filter moving average.
volumeAvg: Calculates the moving average of the volume using the ta.sma() function with the specified volume filter length.
filteredRsi: Uses the ta.valuewhen() function to obtain the RSI value only when the volume is greater than or equal to the volume moving average. This creates a filtered RSI based on the volume filter.
offs: Calculates the offset value for the Bollinger Bands. It is derived by multiplying 1.6185 with the standard deviation of the filtered RSI using the ta.stdev() function.
Bollinger Pair TradeNYSE:MA-1.6*NYSE:V
Revision: 1
Author: @ozdemirtrading
Revision 2 Considerations :
- Simplify and clean up plotting
Disclaimer: This strategy is currently working on the 5M chart. Change the length input to accommodate your needs.
For the backtesting of more than 3 months, you may need to upgrade your membership.
Description:
The general idea of the strategy is very straightforward: it takes positions according to the lower and upper Bollinger bands.
But I am mainly using this strategy for pair trading stocks. Do not forget that you will get better results if you trade with cointegrated pairs.
Bollinger band: Moving average & standard deviation are calculated based on 20 bars on the 1H chart (approx 240 bars on a 5m chart). X-day moving averages (20 days as default) are also used in the background in some of the exit strategy choices.
You can define position entry levels as the multipliers of standard deviation (for exp: mult2 as 2 * standard deviation).
There are 4 choices for the exit strategy:
SMA: Exit when touches simple moving average (SMA)
SKP: Skip SMA and do not stop if moving towards 20D SMA, and exit if it touches the other side of the band
SKPXDSMA: Skip SMA if moving towards 20D SMA, and exit if it touches 20D SMA
NoExit: Exit if it touches the upper & lower band only.
Options:
- Strategy hard stop: if trade loss reaches a point defined as a percent of the initial capital. Stop taking new positions. (not recommended for pair trade)
- Loss per trade: close position if the loss is at a defined level but keeps watching for new positions.
- Enable expected profit for trade (expected profit is calculated as the distance to SMA) (recommended for pair trade)
- Enable VIX threshold for the following options: (recommended for volatile periods)
- Stop trading if VIX for the previous day closes above the threshold
- Reverse active trade direction if VIX for the previous day is above the threshold
- Take reverse positions (assuming the Bollinger band is going to expand) for all trades
Backtesting:
Close positions after a defined interval: mark this if you want the close the final trade for backtesting purposes. Unmark it to get live signals.
Use custom interval: Backtest specific time periods.
Other Options:
- Use EMA: use an exponential moving average for the calculations instead of simple moving average
- Not against XDSMA: do not take a position against 20D SMA (if X is selected as 20) (recommended for pairs with a clear trend)
- Not in XDSMA 1 DEV: do not take a position in 20D SMA 1*standart deviation band (recommended if you need to decrease # of trades and increase profit for trade)
- Not in XDSMA 2 DEV: do not take a position in 20D SMA 2*standart deviation band
Session management:
- Not in session: Session start and end times can be defined here. If you do not want to trade in certain time intervals, mark that session.(helps to reduce slippage and get more realistic backtest results)
Keltner Channel Width Oscillator (KingThies)Definition
The Keltner Channel Width oscillator is a technical analysis indicator derived originally from the same relationship the Bollinger Band Width indicator takes on Bollinger Bands.
Similar to the Bollinger Bands, Kelts measure volatility in relation to price, and factor in various range calculations to create three bands around the price of a given stock or digital asset. The Middle Line is typically a 20 Day Exponential Moving Average while the upper and lower bands highlight price at different range variations around its basis. Keltner Channel Width serve as a way to quantitatively measure the width between the Upper and Lower Bands and identify opportunities for entires and exits, based on the relative range price is experiencing that day.
Calculation
Kelt Channel Width = (Upper Band - Lower Band) / Middle Band
More on Keltner Channels
Keltner channel was first described by a Chicago grain trader called Chester W. Keltner in his 1960 book How to Make Money in Commodities. Though Keltner claimed no ownership of the original idea and simply called it the ten-day moving average trading rule, his name was applied by those who heard of this concept through his books.
Similarly to the Bollinger Bands, Keltner channel is a technical analysis tool based on three parallel lines. In fact, the Keltner indicator consists of a central moving average in addition to channel lines spread above and below it. The central line represents a 10-day simple moving average of what Chester W. Keltner called typical price. The typical price is defined as the average of the high, low and close. The distance between the central line and the upper, or lower line, is equivalent to the simple moving average of the preceding 10 days' trading ranges.
One way to interpret the Keltner Channel would be to consider the price breakouts outside of the channel. A trader would track price movement and consider any close above the upper line as a strong buy signal. Equivalently, any close below the lower line would be considered a strong sell signal. The trader would follow the trend emphasized by the indicator while complementing his analysis with the use of other indicators as well. However, the breakout method only works well when the market moves from a range-bound setting to an established trend. In a trend-less configuration, the Keltner Channel is better used as an overbought/oversold indicator. Thus, as the price breaks out below the lower band, a trader waits for the next close inside the Keltner Channel and considers this price behavior as an oversold situation indicating a potential buy signal. Similarly, as the price breaks out above the upper band, the trader waits for the next close inside the Keltner Channel and considers this price action as an overbought situation indicating a potential sell signal. By waiting for the price to close within the Channel, the trader avoids getting caught in a real upside or downside breakout.
Cryptogrithm's Secret Momentum and Volatility IndicatorThis indicator is hard-coded for Bitcoin, but you may try it on other asset classes/coins. I have not updated this indicator in over 3 years, but it seems to still work very well for Bitcoin.
This indicator is NOT for beginners and is directed towards intermediate/advanced traders with a sensibility to agree/disagree with what this indicator is signalling (common sense).
This indicator was developed back in 2018 and I has not been maintained since, which is the reason why I am releasing it. (It still works great though! At the time of this writing of May 2022).
How to use:
Terms:
PA (Price Action): Literally the candlestick formations on your chart (and the trend formation). If you don't know how to read and understand price action, I will make a fast-track video/guide on this later (but in the meanwhile, you need to begin by learning Order-Flow Analysis, please google it first before asking).
CG Level (Cryptogrithm Level/Yellow Line): PA level above = bullish, PA level below = bearish
CG Bands (Cryptogrithm Bands): This is similar to how bollingers work, you can use this the same was as bollinger bands. The only difference is that the CG bands are more strict with the upper and lower levels as it uses different calculations to hug the price tighter allowing it to be more reactive to drastic price changes (earlier signals for oversold/overbought).
CG Upper Band (Red Upper Line): Above this upper bound line means overbought.
CG Middle Band (Light Blue Line): If PA trades above this line, the current PA trend is bullish continuing in the uptrend. If PA trades below this line, the current PA trend is bearish continuing in the downtrend. This band should only be used for short-term trends.
CG Lower Band (Green Lower Line): Below this lower bound line means oversold.
What the CG Level (yellow line) tells you:
PA is trading above CG Level = Bullish
PA is trading below CG Level = Bearish
Distance between CG Level and price = Momentum
What this means is that the further away the price is from the CG Level, the greater the momentum of the current PA trend. An increasing gap between the CG Level and PA indicates the price's strength (momentum) towards the current upward/downward trend. Basically when the PA and CG Level diverge, it means that the momentum is increasing in the current trend and when they converge, the current trend is losing momentum and the direction of the PA trend may flip towards the other direction (momentum flip).
PA+CG Level Momentum:
To use the CG Level as a momentum indicator, you need to pay attention to how the price and the CG level are moving away/closer from each other:
PA + CG Level Diverges = Momentum Increasing
PA + CG Level Converges = Momentum Decreasing
Examples (kind of common sense, but just for clarity):
Case 1: Bullish Divergence (Bullish): The PA is ABOVE and trending AWAY above from the CG Level = very bullish, this means that momentum is increasing towards the upside and larger moves will come (increasing gap between the price and CG Level)
Case 2: Bearish Convergence (Bearish): - The PA is ABOVE the CG Level and trending TOWARDS the CG Level = bearish, there is a possibility that the upward trend is ending. Look to start closing off long positions until case 1 (divergence) occurs again.
Case 3: Neutral - The PA is trading on the CG Level (no clear divergence or convergence between the PA and CG Level) = Indicates a back and forth (tug of war) between bears and bulls. Beware of choppy price patterns as the trend is undecisive until either supply/liquidity is dried out and a winner between bull/bear is chosen. This is a no trade zone, but do as you wish.
Case 4: Bearish Divergence (Bearish): The PA is BELOW and trending AWAY BELOW from the CG Level = very bearish, this means that momentum is increasing towards the downside and larger downward moves will come (increasing gap between the price and CG Level).
Case 5: Bullish Convergence (Bullish): - The PA is BELOW the CG Level and trending TOWARDS the CG Level = bullish, there is a possibility that the downward trend is ending and a trend flip is occuring. Look to start closing off short positions until case 4 (divergence) occurs again.
CG Bands + CG Level: You can use the CG bands instead of the PA candles to get a cleaner interpretation of reading the momentum. I won't go into detail as this is pretty self-explanatory. It is the same explanation as PA+CG Level Momentum, but you are replacing the PA candles with the CG Bands for interpretation. So instead of the PA converging/diverging from the CG Level, the Upper and Lower Bound levels are converging/diverging from the CG level instead.
Convergence: CG Level (yellow line) trades inside the CG bands
Divergence: CG Level (yellow line) trades outside the CG bands
Bullish/Bearish depends on whether the CG Band is trading below or above the CG level. If CG Band is above the CG Level, this is bullish. If CG Band is below the CG level, this is bearish.
Crosses (PA or CG Band crosses with CG level): This typically indicates volatility is incoming.
There are MANY MANY MANY other ways to use this indicator that is not explained here and even other undiscovered methods. Use some common sense as to how this indicator works (it is a momentum indicator and volatility predictor). You can get pretty creative and apply your own methods / knowledge to it and look for patterns that occur. Feel free to comment and share what you came up with!
ATR Volatility and Trend AnalysisATR Volatility and Trend Analysis
Unlock the power of the Average True Range (ATR) with the ATR Volatility and Trend Analysis indicator. This comprehensive tool is designed to provide traders with a multi-faceted view of market dynamics, combining volatility analysis, dynamic support and resistance levels, and trend detection into a single, easy-to-use indicator.
How It Works
The ATR Volatility and Trend Analysis indicator is built upon the core concept of the ATR, a classic measure of market volatility. It expands on this by providing several key features:
Dynamic ATR Bands: The indicator plots three sets of upper and lower bands around the price. These bands are calculated by multiplying the current ATR value by user-defined multipliers. They act as dynamic support and resistance levels, widening during volatile periods and contracting during calm markets.
Volatility Breakout Signals: Identify potential breakouts with precision. The indicator generates a signal when the current ATR value surges above its own moving average by a specified threshold, indicating a significant increase in volatility that could lead to a strong price move.
Trend Detection: The indicator determines the market trend by analyzing both price action and ATR behavior. A bullish trend is signaled when the price is above its moving average and volatility is increasing. Conversely, a bearish trend is signaled when the price is below its moving average and volatility is increasing.
How to Use the ATR Multi-Band Indicator
Identify Support and Resistance: Use the ATR bands as key levels. Price approaching the outer bands may indicate overbought or oversold conditions, while a break of the bands can signal a strong continuation.
Confirm Breakouts: Look for a volatility breakout signal to confirm the strength behind a price move. A breakout from a consolidation range accompanied by a volatility signal is a strong indicator of a new trend.
Trade with the Trend: Use the background coloring and trend signals to align your trades with the dominant market direction. Enter long positions during confirmed bullish trends and short positions during bearish trends.
Set Up Alerts: The indicator includes alerts for band crosses, trend changes, and volatility breakouts, ensuring you never miss a potential trading opportunity.
What makes it different?
While many indicators use ATR, the ATR Volatility and Trend Analysis tool is unique in its integration of multiple ATR-based concepts into a single, cohesive system. It doesn't just show volatility; it interprets it in the context of price action to deliver actionable trend and breakout signals, making it a complete solution for ATR-based analysis.
Disclaimer
This indicator is designed as a technical analysis tool and should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis and proper risk management.
Past performance does not guarantee future results, and traders should thoroughly test any strategy before implementing it with real capital.
The Barking Rat LiteMomentum & FVG Reversion Strategy
The Barking Rat Lite is a disciplined, short-term mean-reversion strategy that combines RSI momentum filtering, EMA bands, and Fair Value Gap (FVG) detection to identify short-term reversal points. Designed for practical use on volatile markets, it focuses on precise entries and ATR-based take profit management to balance opportunity and risk.
Core Concept
This strategy seeks potential reversals when short-term price action shows exhaustion outside an EMA band, confirmed by momentum and FVG signals:
EMA Bands:
Parameters used: A 20-period EMA (fast) and 100-period EMA (slow).
Why chosen:
- The 20 EMA is sensitive to short-term moves and reflects immediate momentum.
- The 100 EMA provides a slower, structural anchor.
When price trades outside both bands, it often signals overextension relative to both short-term and medium-term trends.
Application in strategy:
- Long entries are only considered when price dips below both EMAs, identifying potential undervaluation.
- Short entries are only considered when price rises above both EMAs, identifying potential overvaluation.
This dual-band filter avoids counter-trend signals that would occur if only a single EMA was used, making entries more selective..
Fair Value Gap Detection (FVG):
Parameters used: The script checks for dislocations using a 12-bar lookback (i.e. comparing current highs/lows with values 12 candles back).
Why chosen:
- A 12-bar displacement highlights significant inefficiencies in price structure while filtering out micro-gaps that appear every few bars in high-volatility markets.
- By aligning FVG signals with candle direction (bullish = close > open, bearish = close < open), the strategy avoids random gaps and instead targets ones that suggest exhaustion.
Application in strategy:
- Bullish FVGs form when earlier lows sit above current highs, hinting at downward over-extension.
- Bearish FVGs form when earlier highs sit below current lows, hinting at upward over-extension.
This gives the strategy a structural filter beyond simple oscillators, ensuring signals have price-dislocation context.
RSI Momentum Filter:
Parameters used: 14-period RSI with thresholds of 80 (overbought) and 20 (oversold).
Why chosen:
- RSI(14) is a widely recognized momentum measure that balances responsiveness with stability.
- The thresholds are intentionally extreme (80/20 vs. the more common 70/30), so the strategy only engages at genuine exhaustion points rather than frequent minor corrections.
Application in strategy:
- Longs trigger when RSI < 20, suggesting oversold exhaustion.
- Shorts trigger when RSI > 80, suggesting overbought exhaustion.
This ensures entries are not just technically valid but also backed by momentum extremes, raising conviction.
ATR-Based Take Profit:
Parameters used: 14-period ATR, with a default multiplier of 4.
Why chosen:
- ATR(14) reflects the prevailing volatility environment without reacting too much to outliers.
- A multiplier of 4 is a pragmatic compromise: wide enough to let trades breathe in volatile conditions, but tight enough to enforce disciplined exits before mean reversion fades.
Application in strategy:
- At entry, a fixed target is set = Entry Price ± (ATR × 4).
- This target scales automatically with volatility: narrower in calm periods, wider in explosive markets.
By avoiding discretionary exits, the system maintains rule-based discipline.
Visual Signals on Chart
Blue “▲” below candle: Potential long entry
Orange/Yellow “▼” above candle: Potential short entry
Green “✔️”: Trade closed at ATR take profit
Blue (20 EMA) & Orange (100 EMA) lines: Dynamic channel reference
⚙️Strategy report properties
Position size: 25% equity per trade
Initial capital: 10,000.00 USDT
Pyramiding: 10 entries per direction
Slippage: 2 ticks
Commission: 0.055% per side
Backtest timeframe: 1-minute
Backtest instrument: HYPEUSDT
Backtesting range: Jul 28, 2025 — Aug 17, 2025
Note on Sample Size:
You’ll notice the report displays fewer than the ideal 100 trades in the strategy report above. This is intentional. The goal of the script is to isolate high-quality, short-term reversal opportunities while filtering out low-conviction setups. This means that the Barking Rat Lite strategy is very selective, filtering out over 90% of market noise. The brief timeframe shown in the strategy report here illustrates its filtering logic over a short window — not its full capabilities. As a result, even on lower timeframes like the 1-minute chart, signals are deliberately sparse — each one must pass all criteria before triggering.
For a larger dataset:
Once the strategy is applied to your chart, users are encouraged to expand the lookback range or apply the strategy to other volatile pairs to view a full sample.
💡Why 25% Equity Per Trade?
While it's always best to size positions based on personal risk tolerance, we defaulted to 25% equity per trade in the backtesting data — and here’s why:
Backtests using this sizing show manageable drawdowns even under volatile periods.
The strategy generates a sizeable number of trades, reducing reliance on a single outcome.
Combined with conservative filters, the 25% setting offers a balance between aggression and control.
Users are strongly encouraged to customize this to suit their risk profile.
What makes Barking Rat Lite valuable
Combines multiple layers of confirmation: EMA bands + FVG + RSI
Adaptive to volatility: ATR-based exits scale with market conditions
Clear, actionable visuals: Easy to monitor and manage trades
Bitcoin Logarithmic Growth Curve 2025 Z-Score"The Bitcoin logarithmic growth curve is a concept used to analyze Bitcoin's price movements over time. The idea is based on the observation that Bitcoin's price tends to grow exponentially, particularly during bull markets. It attempts to give a long-term perspective on the Bitcoin price movements.
The curve includes an upper and lower band. These bands often represent zones where Bitcoin's price is overextended (upper band) or undervalued (lower band) relative to its historical growth trajectory. When the price touches or exceeds the upper band, it may indicate a speculative bubble, while prices near the lower band may suggest a buying opportunity.
Unlike most Bitcoin growth curve indicators, this one includes a logarithmic growth curve optimized using the latest 2024 price data, making it, in our view, superior to previous models. Additionally, it features statistical confidence intervals derived from linear regression, compatible across all timeframes, and extrapolates the data far into the future. Finally, this model allows users the flexibility to manually adjust the function parameters to suit their preferences.
The Bitcoin logarithmic growth curve has the following function:
y = 10^(a * log10(x) - b)
In the context of this formula, the y value represents the Bitcoin price, while the x value corresponds to the time, specifically indicated by the weekly bar number on the chart.
How is it made (You can skip this section if you’re not a fan of math):
To optimize the fit of this function and determine the optimal values of a and b, the previous weekly cycle peak values were analyzed. The corresponding x and y values were recorded as follows:
113, 18.55
240, 1004.42
451, 19128.27
655, 65502.47
The same process was applied to the bear market low values:
103, 2.48
267, 211.03
471, 3192.87
676, 16255.15
Next, these values were converted to their linear form by applying the base-10 logarithm. This transformation allows the function to be expressed in a linear state: y = a * x − b. This step is essential for enabling linear regression on these values.
For the cycle peak (x,y) values:
2.053, 1.268
2.380, 3.002
2.654, 4.282
2.816, 4.816
And for the bear market low (x,y) values:
2.013, 0.394
2.427, 2.324
2.673, 3.504
2.830, 4.211
Next, linear regression was performed on both these datasets. (Numerous tools are available online for linear regression calculations, making manual computations unnecessary).
Linear regression is a method used to find a straight line that best represents the relationship between two variables. It looks at how changes in one variable affect another and tries to predict values based on that relationship.
The goal is to minimize the differences between the actual data points and the points predicted by the line. Essentially, it aims to optimize for the highest R-Square value.
Below are the results:
snapshot
snapshot
It is important to note that both the slope (a-value) and the y-intercept (b-value) have associated standard errors. These standard errors can be used to calculate confidence intervals by multiplying them by the t-values (two degrees of freedom) from the linear regression.
These t-values can be found in a t-distribution table. For the top cycle confidence intervals, we used t10% (0.133), t25% (0.323), and t33% (0.414). For the bottom cycle confidence intervals, the t-values used were t10% (0.133), t25% (0.323), t33% (0.414), t50% (0.765), and t67% (1.063).
The final bull cycle function is:
y = 10^(4.058 ± 0.133 * log10(x) – 6.44 ± 0.324)
The final bear cycle function is:
y = 10^(4.684 ± 0.025 * log10(x) – -9.034 ± 0.063)
The main Criticisms of growth curve models:
The Bitcoin logarithmic growth curve model faces several general criticisms that we’d like to highlight briefly. The most significant, in our view, is its heavy reliance on past price data, which may not accurately forecast future trends. For instance, previous growth curve models from 2020 on TradingView were overly optimistic in predicting the last cycle’s peak.
This is why we aimed to present our process for deriving the final functions in a transparent, step-by-step scientific manner, including statistical confidence intervals. It's important to note that the bull cycle function is less reliable than the bear cycle function, as the top band is significantly wider than the bottom band.
Even so, we still believe that the Bitcoin logarithmic growth curve presented in this script is overly optimistic since it goes parly against the concept of diminishing returns which we discussed in this post:
This is why we also propose alternative parameter settings that align more closely with the theory of diminishing returns."
Now with Z-Score calculation for easy and constant valuation classification of Bitcoin according to this metric.
Created for TRW
RSI-Adaptive T3 [ChartPrime]The RSI-Adaptive T3 is a precision trend-following tool built around the legendary T3 smoothing algorithm developed by Tim Tillson , designed to enhance responsiveness while reducing lag compared to traditional moving averages. Current implementation takes it a step further by dynamically adapting the smoothing length based on real-time RSI conditions — allowing the T3 to “breathe” with market volatility. This dynamic length makes the curve faster in trending moves and smoother during consolidations.
To help traders visualize volatility and directional momentum, adaptive volatility bands are plotted around the T3 line, with visual crossover markers and a dynamic info panel on the chart. It’s ideal for identifying trend shifts, spotting momentum surges, and adapting strategy execution to the pace of the market.
HOIW IT WORKS
At its core, this indicator fuses two ideas:
The T3 Moving Average — a 6-stage recursively smoothed exponential average created by Tim Tillson , designed to reduce lag without sacrificing smoothness. It uses a volume factor to control curvature.
A Dynamic Length Engine — powered by the RSI. When RSI is low (market oversold), the T3 becomes shorter and more reactive. When RSI is high (overbought), the T3 becomes longer and smoother. This creates a feedback loop between price momentum and trend sensitivity.
// Step 1: Adaptive length via RSI
rsi = ta.rsi(src, rsiLen)
rsi_scale = 1 - rsi / 100
len = math.round(minLen + (maxLen - minLen) * rsi_scale)
pine_ema(src, length) =>
alpha = 2 / (length + 1)
sum = 0.0
sum := na(sum ) ? src : alpha * src + (1 - alpha) * nz(sum )
sum
// Step 2: T3 with adaptive length
e1 = pine_ema(src, len)
e2 = pine_ema(e1, len)
e3 = pine_ema(e2, len)
e4 = pine_ema(e3, len)
e5 = pine_ema(e4, len)
e6 = pine_ema(e5, len)
c1 = -v * v * v
c2 = 3 * v * v + 3 * v * v * v
c3 = -6 * v * v - 3 * v - 3 * v * v * v
c4 = 1 + 3 * v + v * v * v + 3 * v * v
t3 = c1 * e6 + c2 * e5 + c3 * e4 + c4 * e3
The result: an evolving trend line that adapts to market tempo in real-time.
KEY FEATURES
⯁ RSI-Based Adaptive Smoothing
The length of the T3 calculation dynamically adjusts between a Min Length and Max Length , based on the current RSI.
When RSI is low → the T3 shortens, tracking reversals faster.
When RSI is high → the T3 stretches, filtering out noise during euphoria phases.
Displayed length is shown in a floating table, colored on a gradient between min/max values.
⯁ T3 Calculation (Tim Tillson Method)
The script uses a 6-stage EMA cascade with a customizable Volume Factor (v) , as designed by Tillson (1998) .
Formula:
T3 = c1 * e6 + c2 * e5 + c3 * e4 + c4 * e3
This technique gives smoother yet faster curves than EMAs or DEMA/Triple EMA.
⯁ Visual Trend Direction & Transitions
The T3 line changes color dynamically:
Color Up (default: blue) → bullish curvature
Color Down (default: orange) → bearish curvature
Plot fill between T3 and delayed T3 creates a gradient ribbon to show momentum expansion/contraction.
Directional shift markers (“🞛”) are plotted when T3 crosses its own delayed value — helping traders spot trend flips or pullback entries.
⯁ Adaptive Volatility Bands
Optional upper/lower bands are plotted around the T3 line using a user-defined volatility window (default: 100).
Bands widen when volatility rises, and contract during compression — similar to Bollinger logic but centered on the adaptive T3.
Shaded band zones help frame breakout setups or mean-reversion zones.
⯁ Dynamic Info Table
A live stats panel shows:
Current adaptive length
Maximum smoothing (▲ MaxLen)
Minimum smoothing (▼ MinLen)
All values update in real time and are color-coded to match trend direction.
HOW TO USE
Use T3 crossovers to detect trend transitions, especially during periods of volatility compression.
Watch for volatility contraction in the bands — breakouts from narrow band periods often precede trend bursts.
The adaptive smoothing length can also be used to assess current market tempo — tighter = faster; wider = slower.
CONCLUSION
RSI-Adaptive T3 modernizes one of the most elegant smoothing algorithms in technical analysis with intelligent RSI responsiveness and built-in volatility bands. It gives traders a cleaner read on trend health, directional shifts, and expansion dynamics — all in a visually efficient package. Perfect for scalpers, swing traders, and algorithmic modelers alike, it delivers advanced logic in a plug-and-play format.
Consolidation Range with Signals (Zeiierman)█ Overview
Consolidation Range with Signals (Zeiierman) is a precision tool for identifying and trading market consolidation zones, where price contracts into tight ranges before significant movement. It provides dynamic range detection using either ADX-based trend strength or volatility compression metrics, and offers built-in take profit and stop loss signals based on breakout dynamics.
Whether you trade breakouts, range reversals, or trend continuation setups, this indicator visualizes the balance between supply and demand with clearly defined mid-bands, breakout zones, and momentum-sensitive TP/SL placements.
█ How It Works
⚪ Multi-Method Range Detection
ADX Mode
Uses the Average Directional Index (ADX) to detect low-trend-strength environments. When ADX is below your selected threshold, price is considered to be in consolidation.
Volatility Mode
This mode detects consolidation by identifying periods of volatility compression. It evaluates whether the following metrics are simultaneously below their respective historical rolling averages:
Standard Deviation
Variance
Average True Range (ATR)
⚪ Dynamic Range Band System
Once a range is confirmed, the system builds a dynamic band structure using a volatility-based filter and price-jump logic:
Middle Line (Trend Filter): Reacts to price imbalance using adaptive jump logic.
Upper & Lower Bands: Calculated by expanding from the middle line using a configurable multiplier.
This creates a clean, visual box that reflects current consolidation conditions and adapts as price fluctuates within or escapes the zone.
⚪ SL/TP Signal Engine
On detection of a breakout from the range, the indicator generates up to 3 Take Profit levels and one Stop Loss, based on the breakout direction:
All TP/SL levels are calculated using the filtered base range and multipliers.
Cooldown logic ensures signals are not spammed bar-to-bar.
Entries are visualized with colored lines and labeled levels.
This feature is ideal for traders who want automated risk and reward reference points for range breakout plays.
█ How to Use
⚪ Breakout Traders
Use the SL/TP signals when the price breaks above or below the range bands, especially after extended sideways movement. You can customize how far TP1, TP2, and TP3 sit from the entry using your own risk/reward profile.
⚪ Mean Reversion Traders
Use the bands to locate high-probability reversion zones. These serve as reference zones for scalping or fade entries within stable consolidation phases.
█ Settings
Range Detection Method – Choose between ADX or Volatility compression to define range criteria.
Range Period – Determines how many bars are used to compute trend/volatility.
Range Multiplier – Scales the width of the consolidation zone.
SL/TP System – Optional levels that project TP1/TP2/TP3 and SL from the base price using multipliers.
Cooldown – Prevents repeated SL/TP signals from triggering too frequently.
ADX Threshold & Smoothing – Adjusts sensitivity of trend strength detection.
StdDev / Variance / ATR Multipliers – Fine-tune compression detection logic.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Daily ATR Bonanza: Expected Moves - Tr33man Daily ATR Bonanza: Expected Moves
Overview 🤷♂️
The Daily ATR Bonanza script is a powerful trading tool designed to help traders visualize and understand potential price movements using the Average True Range (ATR). It provides daily and weekly ATR levels, historical statistics, and conditional probability analysis to give traders actionable insights. The script also plots the daily Keltner channel. This script is ideal for traders who want to gauge volatility, identify key levels, and make data-driven decisions.
b]Key Features:
📈 1. Daily and Weekly ATR Levels
🔵ATR Levels: The script calculates and displays ATR-based levels for the day and week. These levels are derived from the previous day's or week's close price and are adjusted using customizable multipliers (0.5x, 1x, and 1.5x by default).
🔵You can choose the number of ATR levels (1, 2, or 3) and adjust the multipliers to suit your trading strategy.
🌐 2. ATR Bands (Keltner Channels)
🔵The script includes an option to display ATR Bands, which are volatility-based envelopes around a moving average. These bands help identify overbought and oversold conditions.
🔵You can adjust the ATR multiplier and the length of the moving average used for the bands.
🧮 3. Historical Statistics and Conditional Probability
🔵 Historical Analysis: The script analyzes historical price movements to calculate the likelihood of closing at certain ATR levels.
🔵 Conditional Probability: This feature shows the probability of the price reaching specific ATR levels given the current market conditions. The conditional matches historical data by an open in the same opening ATR bucket, as well as the current price bucket having been visited in the historical case. Conditional probabilities are just statistics, and do not predict anything.
Data Table: 📚
🔵 Historical Close Probability: The percentage of days the price closed within each ATR level.
🔵 Conditional Close Probability: The likelihood of the price closing within each ATR level today.
❓ What is Conditional Probability? ❓
Conditional probability is a statistical measure that calculates the likelihood of an event occurring given that another event has already occurred. In this script, it is used to determine the probability of the price reaching specific ATR levels based on the current opening range as well as current ATR distance from the previous close.
For example:
If the market opens near the lower end of the first ATR level, the script calculates the likelihood of the price reaching the upper end of the first, second, or third ATR level.
This analysis is based on historical data, making it a powerful tool for understanding potential price movements.
🌟 Understanding the Levels
🔵Daily Levels: These are based on the previous day's close price and ATR. They are updated at the start of each new day.
🔵Weekly Levels: These are based on the previous week's close price and ATR. They are updated at the start of each new week.
🔵ATR Bands: These are dynamic levels that adjust with market volatility.
🔬 Analyze the Statistics (Daily only for now, no weekly yet)
🔵Use the interactive table to understand historical probabilities and conditional probabilities.
🔵Focus on the current opening range and the likelihood of reaching specific levels.
🧠 Make Trading Decisions
🔵Use the ATR levels and bands to identify key support and resistance levels.
🔵Use the conditional probability table to gauge the likelihood of reaching specific targets.
🔵Adjust your strategy based on the historical performance of the market.
Example Use Cases
1. Day Trading
Use the daily ATR levels to set intraday targets and stop-loss levels.
Monitor the conditional probability table to adjust your expectations based on the opening range.
2. Swing Trading
Use the weekly ATR levels to identify longer-term support and resistance levels.
3. Scalping
Use the ATR bands to identify overbought and oversold conditions.
Use the conditional probability table to quickly assess the likelihood of price movements.
VWAP StrategyVWAP and volatility filters for structured intraday trades.
How the Strategy Works
1. VWAP Anchored to Session
VWAP is calculated from the start of each trading day.
Standard deviations are used to create bands above/below the VWAP.
2. Entry Triggers: Al Brooks H1/H2 and L1/L2
H1/H2 (Long Entry): Opens below 2nd lower deviation, closes above it.
L1/L2 (Short Entry): Opens above 2nd upper deviation, closes below it.
3. Volatility Filter (ATR)
Skips trades when deviation bands are too tight (< 3 ATRs).
4. Stop Loss
Based on the signal bar’s high/low ± stop buffer.
Longs: signalBarLow - stopBuffer
Shorts: signalBarHigh + stopBuffer
5. Take Profit / Exit Target
Exit logic is customizable per side:
VWAP, Deviation Band, or None
6. Safety Exit
Exits early if X consecutive bars go against the trade.
Longs: X red bars
Shorts: X green bars
Explanation of Strategy Inputs
- Stop Buffer: Distance from signal bar for stop-loss.
- Long/Short Exit Rule: VWAP, Deviation Band, or None
- Long/Short Target Deviation: Standard deviation for target exit.
- Enable Safety Exit: Toggle emergency exit.
- Opposing Bars: Number of opposing candles before safety exit.
- Allow Long/Short Trades: Enable or disable entry side.
- Show VWAP/Entry Bands: Toggle visual aids.
- Highlight Low Vol Zones: Orange shading for low volatility skips.
Tuning Tips
- Stop buffer: Use 1–5 points.
- Target deviation: Start with VWAP. In strong trends use 2nd deviation and turn off the counter-trend entry.
- Safety exit: 3 bars recommended.
- Disable short/long side to focus on one type of reversal.
Backtest Setup Suggestions
- initial_capital = 2000
- default_qty_value = 1 (fixed contracts or percent-of-equity)
Fib BB on VWMA*ATRThis TradingView Pine Script is designed to plot Fibonacci Bollinger Bands on a Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) using the Average True Range (ATR). The script takes a higher timeframe (HTF) approach, allowing traders to analyze price action and volatility from a broader market perspective.
🔹 How It Works
Higher Timeframe Data Integration
Users can select a specific timeframe to calculate the VWMA and ATR.
This allows for a more macro perspective, avoiding the noise of lower timeframes.
Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA)
Unlike the Simple Moving Average (SMA), VWMA gives higher weight to price movements with larger volume.
Calculation Formula:
𝑉𝑊𝑀𝐴=∑(𝐶𝑙𝑜𝑠𝑒×𝑉𝑜𝑙𝑢𝑚𝑒) / ∑𝑉𝑜𝑙𝑢𝑚𝑒
Since VWMA accounts for volume, it is more reactive to price zones with high buying or selling activity, making it useful for identifying liquidity zones.
ATR-Based Fibonacci Bollinger Bands
The Average True Range (ATR) is used to measure market volatility.
Instead of standard deviation-based Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci multipliers (2.618, 3.0, 3.414) are applied to ATR.
These bands adjust dynamically with market volatility.
🔹 Key Findings from Exploration
Through testing and analysis, this indicator seems to effectively detect supply and demand zones, particularly at the Fibonacci levels of 2.618 to 3.414.
Price frequently reacts at these bands, indicating that they capture key liquidity zones.
Potential Order Block Detection:
The ends of the Fibonacci Bollinger Bands (especially at 2.618, 3.0, and 3.414) tend to align with order blocks—areas where institutional traders previously accumulated or distributed positions.
This is particularly useful for order flow traders who focus on unfilled institutional orders.
🔹 How to Use This Indicator?
Identifying Order Blocks
When price reaches the upper or lower bands, check if there was a strong reaction (rejection or consolidation).
If price rapidly moves away from a band, that level might be an order block.
Spotting Liquidity Pools
VWMA’s nature enhances liquidity detection since it emphasizes high-volume price action.
If a price level repeatedly touches the band without breaking through, it suggests institutional orders may be absorbing liquidity there.
Trend Confirmation
If VWMA is trending upwards and price keeps rejecting the lower bands, it confirms a strong bullish trend.
Conversely, constant rejection from the upper bands suggests a bearish market.
This script is designed for open-source publication and offers traders a refined approach to detecting order blocks and liquidity zones using Fibonacci-based volatility bands.
📌 한글 설명 (상세 설명)
이 트레이딩뷰 파인스크립트는 거래량 가중 이동평균(VWMA)과 평균 실제 범위(ATR)를 활용하여 피보나치 볼린저 밴드를 표시하는 지표입니다.
또한, 고차 타임프레임(HTF) 데이터를 활용하여 시장의 큰 흐름을 분석할 수 있도록 설계되었습니다.
🔹 지표 작동 방식
고차 타임프레임(HTF) 데이터 적용
사용자가 원하는 타임프레임을 선택하여 VWMA와 ATR을 계산할 수 있습니다.
이를 통해 더 큰 시장 흐름을 분석할 수 있으며, 저타임프레임의 노이즈를 줄일 수 있습니다.
거래량 가중 이동평균(VWMA) 적용
VWMA는 단순 이동평균(SMA)보다 거래량이 많은 가격 움직임에 더 큰 가중치를 부여합니다.
계산 공식:
𝑉𝑊𝑀𝐴=∑(𝐶𝑙𝑜𝑠𝑒×𝑉𝑜𝑙𝑢𝑚𝑒) / ∑𝑉𝑜𝑙𝑢𝑚𝑒
거래량이 많이 발생한 가격 구간을 강조하는 특성이 있어, 시장의 유동성 구간을 더 정확히 포착할 수 있습니다.
ATR 기반 피보나치 볼린저 밴드 생성
ATR(Average True Range)를 활용하여 변동성을 측정합니다.
기존의 표준편차 기반 볼린저 밴드 대신, 피보나치 계수(2.618, 3.0, 3.414)를 ATR에 곱하여 밴드를 생성합니다.
이 밴드는 시장 변동성에 따라 유동적으로 조정됩니다.
🔹 탐구 결과: 매물대 및 오더블록 감지
테스트를 통해 Fibonacci 2.618 ~ 3.414 구간에서 매물대 및 오더블록을 포착하는 경향이 있음을 확인했습니다.
가격이 피보나치 밴드(특히 2.618, 3.0, 3.414)에 닿을 때 반응하는 경우가 많음
VWMA의 특성을 통해 오더블록을 감지할 가능성이 높음
🔹 오더블록(Order Block) 감지 원리
Fibonacci 밴드 끄트머리(2.618 ~ 3.414)에서 가격이 강하게 반응
이 영역에서 가격이 강하게 튀어 오르거나(매수 압력) 급락하는(매도 압력) 경우,
→ 기관들이 포지션을 청산하거나 추가 매집하는 구간일 가능성이 큼.
과거에 대량 주문이 체결된 가격 구간(= 오더블록)일 수 있음.
VWMA를 통한 유동성 감지
VWMA는 거래량이 집중된 가격을 기준으로 이동하기 때문에, 기관 주문이 많이 들어온 가격대를 강조하는 특징이 있음.
따라서 VWMA와 피보나치 밴드가 만나는 지점은 유동성이 높은 핵심 구간이 될 가능성이 큼.
매물대 및 청산 구간 분석
가격이 밴드에 도달했을 때 강한 반등이 나오는지를 확인 → 오더블록 가능성
가격이 밴드를 여러 번 테스트하면서 돌파하지 못한다면, 해당 지점은 강한 매물대일 가능성
🔹 활용 방법
✅ 오더블록 감지:
가격이 밴드(2.618~3.414)에 닿고 강하게 튕긴다면, 오더블록 가능성
해당 지점에서 거래량 증가 및 강한 반등 발생 시 매수 고려
✅ 유동성 풀 확인:
VWMA와 피보나치 밴드가 만나는 구간에서 반복적으로 거래량이 터진다면, 해당 지점은 기관 유동성 구간일 가능성
✅ 추세 확인:
VWMA가 상승하고 가격이 밴드 하단(지지선)에서 튕긴다면 강한 상승 추세
VWMA가 하락하고 가격이 밴드 상단(저항선)에서 거부당하면 하락 추세 지속
PlanDeFi: Adaptive Trend Ribbons [ATR+RSI]#### **Overview**
The **Crypto Half-Trend Pro ** is a trend-following indicator designed to identify bullish and bearish market conditions using a combination of **moving averages, volatility adjustments, and dynamic ATR bands**. This enhanced version improves on the traditional Half-Trend system by incorporating **EMA smoothing, volatility-based adjustments, and additional fakeout/reversal detection mechanisms**.
#### **Key Features**
✅ **Trend Detection:**
- Uses a combination of fast and slow moving averages (EMA/SMA) to determine trend direction.
- Implements **Hull Moving Average (HMA)** smoothing for better trend visualization.
✅ **Dynamic ATR Bands:**
- Adjusts bands based on market volatility using **RSI-based ATR multipliers**.
- Helps identify potential **breakouts and trend reversals**.
✅ **Fakeout & Reversal Detection:**
- Detects potential **fake breakouts** by analyzing price action against extended ATR bands.
- Identifies **early reversal signals** using price crossovers and volume confirmation.
✅ **Customizable Alerts & Visuals:**
- Built-in **buy & sell signals** for trend confirmation.
- Color-coded bullish/bearish trend lines and **fakeout warnings**.
- **TradingView alerts** for trend shifts and reversals.
#### **How It Works**
🔹 The indicator calculates a **smoothed trend line** using a Hull Moving Average on dynamic price levels.
🔹 ATR bands expand/contract dynamically based on **market volatility** to improve signal accuracy.
🔹 Trend direction is confirmed when price crosses the trend line **with volume confirmation**.
🔹 **Fakeouts** are detected when price temporarily exceeds extended bands but fails to hold momentum.
🔹 **Reversal signals** are generated when price breaks back into the ATR zone with volume spikes.
#### **How to Use It**
- 📈 **Buy Signal:** When price breaks above the trend line, confirmed by volume and crossover signals.
- 📉 **Sell Signal:** When price breaks below the trend line with confirmed bearish conditions.
- 🚨 **Reversal Warning:** If price sharply re-enters the ATR zone with volume confirmation, expect a potential trend shift.
- 🛑 **Fakeout Alert:** If price temporarily breaks resistance but closes back inside, it may be a false move.
#### **Ideal For**
✔️ Crypto & Forex traders looking for **dynamic trend signals**
✔️ Swing traders wanting to **avoid fakeouts & catch reversals**
✔️ Traders seeking a **customizable, volatility-adjusted trend system**
🚀 **Try PlanDeFi: Adaptive Trend Ribbons today and improve your trend analysis!**
Channels by SmanovIndicator Description
“Channels by Smanov” is a multi-channel indicator that plots dynamic support and resistance zones around a moving average line. It is composed of two main parts:
FL 1 (Flexible Channels):
A Simple Moving Average (SMA) serves as the Basis.
Upper and lower bands are calculated by adding and subtracting an ATR-based buffer from the Basis.
User-defined inputs (such as Half Length, ATR Period, and ATR Multiplier) allow for flexibility in adapting the channel width to different market conditions.
FL 2 (Fixed Channels):
Eight additional bands expand on the same SMA + ATR logic but use fixed ATR multipliers (ranging from 2.2 up to 5.0).
These extra lines can help you gauge more distant levels of potential support or resistance.
By combining an SMA (to smooth price data) with ATR (to gauge volatility), this indicator highlights areas where price may be “stretched” relative to recent volatility. Traders often use channel-based indicators to identify potential “overbought” or “oversold” conditions, as well as to spot trend continuations or reversals.
How to Use / Trading Strategy
Trend Identification (Basis Line):
The middle line (the SMA) can be used as a trend filter:
If price consistently stays above the basis, it suggests an uptrend.
If price consistently stays below the basis, it suggests a downtrend.
Reversal Opportunities (Outer Bands):
When price moves into or beyond the upper bands, it may signal overbought conditions, creating potential short (or profit-taking) opportunities.
Conversely, when price dips into or beyond the lower bands, it may signal oversold conditions, which some traders use for initiating or adding to long positions.
Breakout or Continuation Signals:
In a strong trend, price may “ride” along the outer channels.
A clear break above/below a channel that previously acted as resistance/support could hint at trend continuation.
Failure to break these levels could suggest a potential reversal or consolidation phase.
Stop-Loss Placement:
Traders often place stops just outside a relevant band. For example, if you go long on a dip near a lower band, you might place your stop slightly below that band, relying on the ATR-based buffer to reflect normal volatility.
Multiple Timeframe Analysis:
Consider confirming signals on a higher timeframe (e.g., 4-hour or daily) while taking entries on a lower timeframe.
Channels on higher timeframes can act as stronger support or resistance, offering additional confluence.
Disclaimer
This indicator is provided for educational purposes and does not guarantee specific results. Trading involves risk, and individual traders are responsible for managing their own risk and capital. Always conduct thorough analysis and use appropriate risk management (e.g., stop-losses) when entering any market positions.
Enjoy using Channels by Smanov! Your feedback and personal insights can further refine the indicator’s settings for your preferred trading style. Good luck and trade responsibly!
This Pine Script™ code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0.
© Smanov_I
