Mean Deviation Detector - Throw Out All Other IndicatorsI set out this morning to create a script that searches out price moves that went too far too fast relative to historical pricing, given that such situations often result in the most profitable trading opportunities. I came up with the mean deviation detector. This script should be used as a means of judging how far a price is trading, in percent terms, from it's "average trading zone".
This is extremely helpful in a couple scenarios.
First, it can be used to judge a move's volatility relative to it's previous volatility. Put simply, a 5% move in the stock of Coca Cola is a lot more meaningful than a 5% move in the stock of Tesla, and the detector puts moves into historical (visual) perspective.
Second, the indicator can be used in real time as a means of determining when the chances of mean reversion are high or low. Extreme values are unsustainable and often lead to EITHER A.) price mean reversion or B.) time mean reversion. Put simply, prices either went too far and are due to fall back to a historical mean, or they need more time to digest a potentially new pricing zone.
Without getting too deep into volume profile analysis, the MDD can be a simple way of telling that a stock has moved into an "air pocket", where prices will either come back to the previous volume node (price mean reversion) or set up shop in a new, uncharted area (time mean reversion).
An extreme value doesn't always mean a trading opportunity, but it means that something interesting is happening in the stock / instrument.
I use this indicator to help me trade covered calls. Lots of high yielding weekly opportunities are stocks that have moved too far too fast, and I like to use this indicator as a means of either a.) scooping up stocks that have gotten beat up from a historical mean perspective & have likely seen the risk already "beaten" out of them, or to b.) stay away from stocks that have a very high chance of price correcting lower. In situations where I say that the risk has been "beaten" out of something, it doesn't mean that the stock won't continue to fall, it simply means that the degree and acceleration of the fall has peaked and that risk premiums in selling options will / should easily pay for continued losses. In the event that it's a price correction and not a time correction, you also increase your bat rate because you get auto-liquidated at a max profit. It's a really valuable tool in my kit.
You can also feel free to put a Keltner Chanel overlay onto the MDD to filter out noise, identify "extreme" values, and place mean reversion trades if you expect price mean reversion is likely, if you want to use this as the basis of a proper trading strategy. For a high extreme value, you could sell short term OTM call spreads, for example.
The MDD is adaptable to your own trading style & preferences.
Wyszukaj w skryptach "TESLA"
Trend detectorThis is trend detector
buy above 0 sell bellow zero (lime and orange color)
you can set it using min distance (now set to 1440)
The MTF sytem source original idea by Duyck
perfect indicator for the day trader
you can use the Low scanner that i put early for entry or use this system for it
tesla
QuantNomad - Elastic Volume Weighted Moving AverageEVWMA is a quite interesting moving average where period of the MA is defined from volume itself.
It incorporates volume information in a natural and logical way. The eVWMA can be looked at as an approximation to the average price paid per share.
As a volume period you can use:
- Absolute volume value, for example floating number of shares. 134M for Tesla for example.
- Sum of the last x bars volumes.
Indicator was developer by Christian P. Fries, Ph.D.
QuantNomad - SuperTrend - TSLA - 1mInteresting performance for Super Trend strategy for Tesla ( TSLA ) 1m chart.
Params: ST Mult: 3, ST Period 120.
Performance:61% profit, 637 trades, only 33% prof, 4.84% dd , 0.4 Sharpe.
On its own, it might be not a very good strategy, but the big amount of trades allows you to add more filters and improve it.
The strategy is not bad both with "when" params when strategy executed on open of next bar and with stop orders when strategy enters on exact Super Trend level.
You can comment/uncomment lines in the code and switch from one approach to another.
And remember:
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
