ICT NY Opening Price Lines (12AM/8:30AM/9:30AM) ICT NY Opens (12AM / 8:30AM / 9:30AM)
This indicator plots three key New York session reference levels used by ICT traders and intraday scalpers: the Midnight Open (12:00 AM EST), the 8:30 AM EST level , and the 9:30 AM EST RTH open. Each line is drawn at that day’s opening price for the specified time and extends horizontally to 4:15 PM true daily close so you always have clean, fixed anchors for the entire trading day.
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✨Smart Option MACD: Bullish, Bearish, Neutral Logic by AKM ✨The **Smart Option MACD: Bullish, Bearish, Neutral Logic by AKM** is an advanced indicator designed for TradingView, tailored for option traders on indices like NIFTY. It automates options trend scanning by applying MACD analysis to both Call (CE) and Put (PE) options near the ATM (At-The-Money) strike, providing actionable market states—Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral—using distinct logic for both strikes and overall market context.
***
### Core Features
- **Option Selection Logic:** The script dynamically calculates ATM, CE, and PE strike prices based on the underlying index spot price and customizable user inputs for expiry, strike distance, and OTM/ITM shift.
- **MACD on Option Prices:** For both CE and PE symbols, the indicator computes the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) and Signal lines. It uses standard MACD settings: 12-period EMA (fast), 26-period EMA (slow), and 9-period Signal.
- **Strike Status Classification:**
- AZL 🔼: Indicates MACD > 0 for that option, signifying positive momentum.
- BZL 🔽: Indicates MACD 0 & crossover up), PE is bearish (MACD<0 & crossover down).
- **Bearish:** PE is bullish & crossover up, CE is bearish & crossover down.
- **Neutral:** All other scenarios—including mixed or undefined signals.
***
### Table Output
A real-time table is displayed on the chart (top-right) with key option and market details:
- Spot price
- ATM Strike
- CE/PE strike status (momentum + crossover logic)
- Option prices
- Overall market state, color-coded for clarity
***
### How to Use This Indicator
- **Entry Signal:** Use the Bullish/Bearish status for directional trades or option strategies. Bullish calls for buying or selling upward momentum options; Bearish favors downside trades. Neutral advises caution or range-bound trades.
- **Customizability:** Expiry, strike width, OTM/ITM offset, and chart resolution are user-controlled, allowing adaptation to different market contexts.
- **Best Practice:** Use alongside price action, support/resistance zones and other indicators to confirm options momentum, as MACD is powerful yet not infallible.
***
### Who Is It For?
- **Option traders** who want to automate trend/momentum detection for CE/PE strikes instead of manual chart switching.
- **Index traders** (NIFTY, BANKNIFTY...) seeking systematic edge in intraday/positional strategies tied to option momentum.
- **Technical analysts** interested in visual, rule-based signals combining options data and classic MACD logic.
***
The Smart Option MACD indicator streamlines multi-strike, multi-option momentum analysis and presents clear actionable logic directly on your chart for enhanced decision-making. Use it as a core part of your TradingView toolkit for options-focused market views.
Dip Hunter [BackQuant]Dip Hunter
What this tool does in plain language
Dip Hunter is a pullback detector designed to find high quality buy-the-dip opportunities inside healthy trends and to avoid random knife catches. It watches for a quick drop from a recent high, checks that the drop happened with meaningful participation and volatility, verifies short-term weakness inside a larger uptrend, then scores the setup and paints the chart so you can act with confidence. It also draws clean entry lines, provides a meter that shows dip strength at a glance, and ships with alerts that match common execution workflows.
How Dip Hunter thinks
It defines a recent swing reference, measures how far price has dipped off that high, and only looks at candidates that meet your minimum percentage drop.
It confirms the dip with real activity by requiring a volume spike and a volatility spike.
It checks structure with two EMAs. Price should be weak in the short term while the larger context remains constructive.
It optionally requires a higher-timeframe trend to be up so you focus on pullbacks in trending markets.
It bundles those checks into a score and shows you the score on the candles and on a gradient meter.
When everything lines up it paints a green triangle below the bar, shades the background, and (if you wish) draws a horizontal entry line at your chosen level.
Inputs and what they mean
Dip Hunter Settings
• Vol Lookback and Vol Spike : The script computes an average volume over the lookback window and flags a spike when current volume is a multiple of that average. A multiplier of 2.0 means today’s volume must be at least double the average. This helps filter noise and focuses on dips that other traders actually traded.
• Fast EMA and Slow EMA : Short-term and medium-term structure references. A dip is more credible if price closes below the fast EMA while the fast EMA is still below the slow EMA during the pullback. That is classic corrective behavior inside a larger trend.
• Price Smooth : Optional smoothing length for price-derived series. Use this if you trade very noisy assets or low timeframes.
• Volatility Len and Vol Spike (volatility) : The script checks both standard deviation and true range against their own averages. If either expands beyond your multiplier the market confirms the move with range.
• Dip % and Lookback Bars : The engine finds the highest high over the lookback window, then computes the percentage drawdown from that high to the current close. Only dips larger than your threshold qualify.
Trend Filter
• Enable Trend Filter : When on, Dip Hunter will only trigger if the market is in an uptrend.
• Trend EMA Period : The longer EMA that defines the session’s backbone trend.
• Minimum Trend Strength : A small positive slope requirement. In practice this means the trend EMA should be rising, and price should be above it. You can raise the value to be more selective.
Entries
• Show Entry Lines : Draws a horizontal guide from the signal bar for a fixed number of bars. Great for limit orders, scaling, or re-tests.
• Line Length (bars) : How far the entry guide extends.
• Min Gap (bars) : Suppresses new entry lines if another dip fired recently. Prevents clutter during choppy sequences.
• Entry Price : Choose the line level. “Low” anchors at the signal candle’s low. “Close” anchors at the signal close. “Dip % Level” anchors at the theoretical level defined by recent_high × (1 − dip%). This lets you work resting orders at a consistent discount.
Heat / Meter
• Color Bars by Score : Colors each candle using a red→white→green gradient. Red is overheated, green is prime dip territory, white is neutral.
• Show Meter Table : Adds a compact gradient strip with a pointer that tracks the current score.
• Meter Cells and Meter Position : Resolution and placement of the meter.
UI Settings
• Show Dip Signals : Plots green triangles under qualifying bars and tints the background very lightly.
• Show EMAs : Plots fast, slow, and the trend EMA (if the trend filter is enabled).
• Bullish, Bearish, Neutral colors : Theme controls for shapes, fills, and bar painting.
Core calculations explained simply
Recent high and dip percent
The script finds the highest high over Lookback Bars , calls it “recent high,” then calculates:
dip% = (recent_high − close) ÷ recent_high × 100.
If dip% is larger than Dip % , condition one passes.
Volume confirmation
It computes a simple moving average of volume over Vol Lookback . If current volume ÷ average volume > Vol Spike , we have a participation spike. It also checks 5-bar ROC of volume. If ROC > 50 the spike is forceful. This gets an extra score point.
Volatility confirmation
Two independent checks:
• Standard deviation of closes vs its own average.
• True range vs ATR.
If either expands beyond Vol Spike (volatility) the move has range. This prevents false triggers from quiet drifts.
Short-term structure
Price should close below the Fast EMA and the fast EMA should be below the Slow EMA at the moment of the dip. That is the anatomy of a pullback rather than a full breakdown.
Macro trend context (optional)
When Enable Trend Filter is on, the Trend EMA must be rising and price must be above it. The logic prefers “micro weakness inside macro strength” which is the highest probability pattern for buying dips.
Signal formation
A valid dip requires:
• dip% > threshold
• volume spike true
• volatility spike true
• close below fast EMA
• fast EMA below slow EMA
If the trend filter is enabled, a rising trend EMA with price above it is also required. When all true, the triangle prints, the background tints, and optional entry lines are drawn.
Scoring and visuals
Binary checks into a continuous score
Each component contributes to a score between 0 and 1. The script then rescales to a centered range (−50 to +50).
• Low or negative scores imply “overheated” conditions and are shaded toward red.
• High positive scores imply “ripe for a dip buy” conditions and are shaded toward green.
• The gradient meter repeats the same logic, with a pointer so you can read the state quickly.
Bar coloring
If you enable “Color Bars by Score,” each candle inherits the gradient. This makes sequences obvious. Red clusters warn you not to buy. White means neutral. Increasing green suggests the pullback is maturing.
EMAs and the trend EMA
• Fast EMA turns down relative to the slow EMA inside the pullback.
• Trend EMA stays rising and above price once the dip exhausts, which is your cue to focus on long setups rather than bottom fishing in downtrends.
Entry lines
When a fresh signal fires and no other signal happened within Min Gap (bars) , the indicator draws a horizontal level for Line Length bars. Use these lines for limit entries at the low, at the close, or at the defined dip-percent level. This keeps your plan consistent across instruments.
Alerts and what they mean
• Market Overheated : Score is deeply negative. Do not chase. Wait for green.
• Close To A Dip : Score has reached a healthy level but the full signal did not trigger yet. Prepare orders.
• Dip Confirmed : First bar of a fresh validated dip. This is the most direct entry alert.
• Dip Active : The dip condition remains valid. You can scale in on re-tests.
• Dip Fading : Score crosses below 0.5 from above. Momentum of the setup is fading. Tighten stops or take partials.
• Trend Blocked Signal : All dip conditions passed but the trend filter is offside. Either reduce risk or skip, depending on your plan.
How to trade with Dip Hunter
Classic pullback in uptrend
Turn on the trend filter.
Watch for a Dip Confirmed alert with green triangle.
Use the entry line at “Dip % Level” to stage a limit order. This keeps your entries consistent across assets and timeframes.
Initial stop under the signal bar’s low or under the next lower EMA band.
First target at prior swing high, second target at a multiple of risk.
If you use partials, trail the remainder under the fast EMA once price reclaims it.
Aggressive intraday scalps
Lower Dip % and Lookback Bars so you catch shallow flags.
Keep Vol Spike meaningful so you only trade when participation appears.
Take quick partials when price reclaims the fast EMA, then exit on Dip Fading if momentum stalls.
Counter-trend probes
Disable the trend filter if you intentionally hunt reflex bounces in downtrends.
Require strong volume and volatility confirmation.
Use smaller size and faster targets. The meter should move quickly from red toward white and then green. If it does not, step aside.
Risk management templates
Stops
• Conservative: below the entry line minus a small buffer or below the signal bar’s low.
• Structural: below the slow EMA if you aim for swing continuation.
• Time stop: if price does not reclaim the fast EMA within N bars, exit.
Position sizing
Use the distance between the entry line and your structural stop to size consistently. The script’s entry lines make this distance obvious.
Scaling
• Scale at the entry line first touch.
• Add only if the meter stays green and price reclaims the fast EMA.
• Stop adding on a Dip Fading alert.
Tuning guide by market and timeframe
Equities daily
• Dip %: 1.5 to 3.0
• Lookback Bars: 5 to 10
• Vol Spike: 1.5 to 2.5
• Volatility Len: 14 to 20
• Trend EMA: 100 or 200
• Keep trend filter on for a cleaner list.
Futures and FX intraday
• Dip %: 0.4 to 1.2
• Lookback Bars: 3 to 7
• Vol Spike: 1.8 to 3.0
• Volatility Len: 10 to 14
• Use Min Gap to avoid clusters during news.
Crypto
• Dip %: 3.0 to 6.0 for majors on higher timeframes, lower on 15m to 1h
• Lookback Bars: 5 to 12
• Vol Spike: 1.8 to 3.0
• ATR and stdev checks help in erratic sessions.
Reading the chart at a glance
• Green triangle below the bar: a validated dip.
• Light green background: the current bar meets the full condition.
• Bar gradient: red is overheated, white is neutral, green is dip-friendly.
• EMAs: fast below slow during the pullback, then reclaim fast EMA on the bounce for quality continuation.
• Trend EMA: a rising spine when the filter is on.
• Entry line: a fixed level to anchor orders and risk.
• Meter pointer: right side toward “Dip” means conditions are maturing.
Why this combination reduces false positives
Any single criterion will trigger too often. Dip Hunter demands a dip off a recent high plus a volume surge plus a volatility expansion plus corrective EMA structure. Optional trend alignment pushes odds further in your favor. The score and meter visualize how many of these boxes you are actually ticking, which is more reliable than a binary dot.
Limitations and practical tips
• Thin or illiquid symbols can spoof volume spikes. Use larger Vol Lookback or raise Vol Spike .
• Sideways markets will show frequent small dips. Increase Dip % or keep the trend filter on.
• News candles can blow through entry lines. Widen stops or skip around known events.
• If you see many back-to-back triangles, raise Min Gap to keep only the best setups.
Quick setup recipes
• Clean swing trader: Trend filter on, Dip % 2.0 to 3.0, Vol Spike 2.0, Volatility Len 14, Fast 20 EMA, Slow 50 EMA, Trend 100 EMA.
• Fast intraday scalper: Trend filter off, Dip % 0.7 to 1.0, Vol Spike 2.5, Volatility Len 10, Fast 9 EMA, Slow 21 EMA, Min Gap 10 bars.
• Crypto swing: Trend filter on, Dip % 4.0, Vol Spike 2.0, Volatility Len 14, Fast 20 EMA, Slow 50 EMA, Trend 200 EMA.
Summary
Dip Hunter is a focused pullback engine. It quantifies a real dip off a recent high, validates it with volume and volatility expansion, enforces corrective structure with EMAs, and optionally restricts signals to an uptrend. The score, bar gradient, and meter make reading conditions instant. Entry lines and alerts turn that read into an executable plan. Tune the thresholds to your market and timeframe, then let the tool keep you patient in red, selective in white, and decisive in green.
Price MapperPrice Mapper is a dynamic trading tool designed to map strike prices between two related financial instruments using real-time ratio calculations. The indicator displays a customizable table showing strike levels for your primary ticker alongside their equivalent mapped prices for a secondary instrument, making it invaluable for cross-market analysis, pairs trading, and hedging strategies. Whether you're comparing an ETF to its underlying futures, analyzing currency pairs, or exploring relationships between correlated assets, Price Mapper provides instant visual mapping of how price movements in one instrument translate to equivalent levels in another. The ratio calculation updates daily using 12:00 PM New York time closing prices, ensuring consistent reference points while maintaining relevance to current market conditions.
The tool automatically centers around the current market price and allows complete customization of display parameters including strike increments, number of price levels, decimal precision, and table positioning. Advanced color customization options let you highlight the current price level and adjust the appearance to match your trading setup. Price Mapper eliminates the mental math typically required when trading related instruments, instantly showing you equivalent entry and exit levels across different markets. This makes it particularly powerful for options traders working with ETFs and futures, forex traders analyzing currency correlations, or any trader looking to understand precise price relationships between connected financial instruments.
Kitti-Playbook Regression ChannelThis indicator used to study price movements in the form of a Regression Channel, and offers the following capabilities:
1)Specify the starting point., which bar to start from
2)Specify the ending point., which bar to end at
3)Option to set the end point to the very last bar
4)Adjust the channel width from 0 to 4 standard deviations (SD)
5)Adjust the channel color
6)Extend channel ( Left / Right / Both )
7)Display points where the MACD (12, 26) crosses the zero line”
IU Indicators DashboardDESCRIPTION
The IU Indicators Dashboard is a comprehensive multi-stock monitoring tool that provides real-time technical analysis for up to 10 different stocks simultaneously. This powerful indicator creates a customizable table overlay that displays the trend status of multiple technical indicators across your selected stocks, giving you an instant overview of market conditions without switching between charts.
Perfect for portfolio monitoring, sector analysis, and quick market screening, this dashboard consolidates critical technical data into one easy-to-read interface with color-coded trend signals.
USER INPUTS
Stock Selection (10 Configurable Stocks):
- Stock 1-10: Customize any symbols (Default: NSE:CDSL, NSE:RELIANCE, NSE:VEDL, NSE:TCS, NSE:BEL, NSE:BHEL, NSE:TATAPOWER, NSE:TATASTEEL, NSE:ITC, NSE:LT)
Technical Indicator Parameters:
- EMA 1 Length: First Exponential Moving Average period (Default: 20)
- EMA 2 Length: Second Exponential Moving Average period (Default: 50)
- EMA 3 Length: Third Exponential Moving Average period (Default: 200)
- RSI Length: Relative Strength Index calculation period (Default: 14)
- SuperTrend Length: SuperTrend indicator period (Default: 10)
- SuperTrend Factor: SuperTrend multiplier factor (Default: 3.0)
Visual Customization:
- Table Size: Choose from Normal, Tiny, Small, or Large
- Table Background Color: Customize dashboard background
- Table Frame Color: Set frame border color
- Table Border Color: Configure border styling
- Text Color: Set text display color
- Bullish Color: Color for positive/bullish signals (Default: Green)
- Bearish Color: Color for negative/bearish signals (Default: Red)
LOGIC OF THE INDICATOR
The dashboard employs a multi-timeframe analysis approach using five key technical indicators:
1. Triple EMA Analysis
- Compares current price against three different EMA periods (20, 50, 200)
- Bullish Signal: Price above EMA level
- Bearish Signal: Price below EMA level
- Provides short-term, medium-term, and long-term trend perspective
2. RSI Momentum Analysis
- Uses 14-period RSI with 50-level threshold
- Bullish Signal: RSI > 50 (upward momentum)
- Bearish Signal: RSI < 50 (downward momentum)
- Identifies momentum strength and potential reversals
3. SuperTrend Direction
- Utilizes SuperTrend with configurable length and factor
- Bullish Signal: SuperTrend direction = -1 (uptrend)
- Bearish Signal: SuperTrend direction = 1 (downtrend)
- Provides clear trend direction with volatility-adjusted signals
4. MACD Histogram Analysis
- Uses standard MACD (12, 26, 9) histogram values
- Bullish Signal: Histogram > 0 (bullish momentum)
- Bearish Signal: Histogram < 0 (bearish momentum)
- Identifies momentum shifts and trend confirmations
5. Real-time Data Processing
- Implements request.security() for multi-symbol data retrieval
- Uses barstate.isrealtime logic for accurate live data
- Processes data only on the last bar for optimal performance
WHY IT IS UNIQUE
Multi-Stock Monitoring
- Monitor up to 10 different stocks simultaneously on a single chart
- No need to switch between multiple charts or timeframes
Highly Customizable Interface
- Full color customization for personalized visual experience
- Adjustable table size and positioning
- Clean, professional dashboard design
Real-time Analysis
- Live data processing with proper real-time handling
- Instant visual feedback through color-coded signals
- Optimized performance with smart data retrieval
Comprehensive Technical Coverage
- Combines trend-following, momentum, and volatility indicators
- Multiple timeframe perspective through different EMA periods
- Balanced approach using both lagging and leading indicators
Flexible Configuration
- Easy symbol switching for different markets (NSE, BSE, NYSE, NASDAQ)
- Adjustable indicator parameters for different trading styles
- Suitable for both swing trading and position trading
HOW USERS CAN BENEFIT FROM IT
Portfolio Management
- Quick Portfolio Health Check: Instantly assess the technical status of your entire stock portfolio
- Diversification Analysis: Monitor stocks across different sectors to ensure balanced exposure
- Risk Management: Identify which positions are showing bearish signals for potential exit strategies
- Rebalancing Decisions: Spot strongest performers for potential position increases
Market Screening and Analysis
- Sector Rotation: Compare different sector stocks to identify rotation opportunities
- Relative Strength Analysis: Quickly identify which stocks are outperforming or underperforming
- Market Breadth Assessment: Gauge overall market sentiment by monitoring diverse stock selections
- Trend Confirmation: Validate market trends by observing multiple stock behaviors
Time-Efficient Trading
- Single-Glance Analysis: Get complete technical overview without chart-hopping
- Pre-Market Preparation: Quickly assess overnight changes across multiple positions
- Intraday Monitoring: Track multiple opportunities simultaneously during trading hours
- End-of-Day Review: Efficiently review all watched stocks for next-day planning
Strategic Decision Making
- Entry Point Identification: Spot stocks showing bullish alignment across multiple indicators
- Exit Signal Recognition: Identify positions showing deteriorating technical conditions
- Swing Trading Opportunities: Find stocks with favorable technical setups for swing trades
- Long-term Investment Guidance: Use 200 EMA signals for long-term position decisions
Educational Benefits
- Pattern Recognition: Learn how different indicators behave across various market conditions
- Correlation Analysis: Understand how stocks move relative to each other
- Technical Analysis Learning: Observe multiple indicator interactions in real-time
- Market Sentiment Understanding: Develop better market timing skills through multi-stock observation
Workflow Optimization
- Reduced Chart Clutter: Keep your main chart clean while monitoring multiple stocks
- Faster Analysis: Complete technical analysis of 10 stocks in seconds instead of minutes
- Consistent Methodology: Apply the same technical criteria across all monitored stocks
- Alert Integration: Easy visual identification of stocks requiring immediate attention
This indicator is designed for traders and investors who want to maximize their market awareness while minimizing analysis time. Whether you're managing a portfolio, screening for opportunities, or learning technical analysis, the IU Indicators Dashboard provides the comprehensive overview you need for better trading decisions.
DISCLAIMER :
This indicator is not financial advice, it's for educational purposes only highlighting the power of coding( pine script) in TradingView, I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. Trading and investing involve risk, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. I do not guarantee profits or take responsibility for any losses you may incur.
MacD Alerts MACD Triggers (MTF) — Buy/Sell Alerts
What it is
A clean, multi-timeframe MACD indicator that gives you separate, ready-to-use alerts for:
• MACD Buy – MACD line crosses above the Signal line
• MACD Sell – MACD line crosses below the Signal line
It keeps the familiar MACD lines + histogram, adds optional 4-color histogram logic, and marks crossovers with green/red dots. Works on any symbol and any timeframe.
How signals are generated
• MACD = EMA(fast) − EMA(slow)
• Signal = SMA(MACD, length)
• Buy when crossover(MACD, Signal)
• Sell when crossunder(MACD, Signal)
• You can compute MACD on the chart timeframe or lock it to another timeframe (e.g., 1h MACD on a 4h chart).
Key features
• MTF engine: choose Use Current Chart Resolution or a custom timeframe.
• Separate alert conditions: publish two alerts (“MACD Buy” and “MACD Sell”)—ideal for different notifications or webhooks.
• Visuals: MACD/Signal lines, optional 4-color histogram (trend & above/below zero), and crossover dots.
• Heikin Ashi friendly: runs on whatever candle type your chart uses. (Tip below if you want “regular” candles while viewing HA.)
Settings (Inputs)
• Use Current Chart Resolution (on/off)
• Custom Timeframe (when the above is off)
• Show MACD & Signal / Show Histogram / Show Dots
• Color MACD on Signal Cross
• Use 4-color Histogram
• Lengths: Fast EMA (12), Slow EMA (26), Signal SMA (9)
How to set alerts (2 minutes)
1. Add the script to your chart.
2. Click ⏰ Alerts → + Create Alert.
3. Condition: choose this indicator → MACD Buy.
4. Options: Once per bar close (recommended).
5. Set your notification method (popup/email/webhook) → Create.
6. Repeat for MACD Sell.
Webhook tip: send JSON like
{"symbol":"{{ticker}}","time":"{{timenow}}","signal":"BUY","price":"{{close}}"}
(and “SELL” for the sell alert).
Good to know
• Symbol-agnostic: use it on crypto, stocks, indices—no symbol is hard-coded.
• Timeframe behavior: alerts are evaluated on bar close of the MACD timeframe you pick. Using a higher TF on a lower-TF chart is supported.
• Heikin Ashi note: if your chart uses HA, the calculations use HA by default. To force “regular” candles while viewing HA, tweak the code to use ticker.heikinashi() only when you want it.
• No repainting on close: crossover signals are confirmed at bar close; choose Once per bar close to avoid intra-bar noise.
Disclaimer
This is a tool, not advice. Test across timeframes/markets and combine with risk management (position sizing, SL/TP). Past performance ≠ future results.
BTC/USD Confluence Breakout Pro – IST EditionBTC/USD Confluence Breakout Pro – IST Edition is a multi-factor breakout trading system designed for intraday and swing traders.
It combines trend, momentum, price action, volume, and candlestick analysis with time-based volatility windows to deliver high-probability Buy/Sell signals.
Key Features:
Trend Filters: EMA 9/21 crossover + optional EMA 200 bias filter.
Price Action Breakouts: Detects closes above/below the last N bars’ range.
Candlestick Patterns: Bullish/Bearish engulfing, hammer, and shooting star.
Momentum Indicators: RSI (14) with configurable thresholds, MACD (12/26/9).
Volume Confirmation: Volume spike vs 20-period SMA.
IST Breakout Windows: Highlights Early London, London–US Overlap, and US Open momentum periods (Hyderabad/IST time). Optionally restricts signals to these windows.
Risk Management: ATR-based stop-loss + auto-plotted 1R, 2R, and 3R take-profit levels.
Visual Aids: EMA plots, bar coloring, shaded volatility windows, and clear entry/exit labels.
Alerts: Configurable alerts for both Buy and Sell signals.
Best Use:
Apply on 1m–15m charts for intraday trading or 1H–4H for swings.
Works best during high-volatility IST windows (London–US overlap & US open).
Ideal for BTC/USD but adaptable to other crypto or forex pairs.
BTC/USD Breakout Hours – IST (Hyderabad)This indicator highlights the most volatile BTC/USD trading hours based on Hyderabad (IST) time.
It marks three key breakout windows:
London–US Overlap (17:30–20:30 IST) – Highest liquidity & volatility
US Market Open Momentum (19:00–23:30 IST) – Strong trend moves
Early London Session (12:30–15:30 IST) – Pre-US setup moves
The script automatically converts chart time to IST, shades each breakout window, and includes optional alerts for:
Window start
15 minutes before start
Ideal for traders who want to align entries with high-probability market moves while avoiding low-volume hours.
Information Theory Market AnalysisINFORMATION THEORY MARKET ANALYSIS
OVERVIEW
This indicator applies mathematical concepts from information theory to analyze market behavior, measuring the randomness and predictability of price and volume movements through entropy calculations. Unlike traditional technical indicators, it provides insight into market structure and regime changes.
KEY COMPONENTS
Four Main Signals:
• Price Entropy (Deep Blue): Measures randomness in price movements
• Volume Entropy (Bright Blue): Analyzes volume pattern predictability
• Entropy MACD (Purple): Shows relationship between price and volume entropy
• SEMM (Royal Blue): Stochastic Entropy Market Monitor - overall market randomness gauge
Market State Detection:
The indicator identifies seven distinct market states:
• Strong Trending (SEMM < 0.1)
• Weak Trending (0.1-0.2)
• Neutral (0.2-0.3)
• Moderate Random (0.3-0.5)
• High Randomness (0.5-0.8)
• Very Random (0.8-1.0)
• Chaotic (>1.0)
KEY FEATURES
Advanced Analytics:
• Signal Strength Confluence: 0-5 scale measuring alignment of multiple factors
• Entropy Crossovers: Detects shifts between accumulation and distribution phases
• Extreme Readings: Identifies statistical outliers for potential reversals
• Trend Bias Analysis: Directional momentum assessment
Information Dashboard:
• Real-time entropy values and market state
• Signal strength indicator with visual highlighting
• Trend bias with directional arrows
• Color-coded alerts for extreme conditions
Customizable Display:
• Adjustable SEMM scaling (5x to 100x) for optimal visibility
• Multiple line styles: Smooth, Stepped, Dotted
• 9 table positions with 3 size options
• Professional blue color scheme with transparency controls
Comprehensive Alert System - 15 Alert Types Including:
• Extreme entropy readings (price/volume)
• Crossover signals (dominance shifts)
• Market state changes (trending ↔ random)
• High confluence signals (3+ factors aligned)
HOW TO USE
Reading the Signals:
• Entropy Values > ±25: Strong structural signals
• Entropy Values > ±40: Extreme readings, potential reversals
• SEMM < 0.2: Trending market favors directional strategies
• SEMM > 0.5: Random market favors range/scalping strategies
Signal Confluence:
Look for multiple factors aligning:
• Signal Strength ≥ 3.0 for higher probability setups
• Background highlighting indicates confluence
• Table shows real-time strength assessment
Timeframe Optimization:
• Short-term (1m-15m): Entropy Length 14-22, Sensitivity 3-5
• Swing Trading (1H-4H): Default settings optimal
• Position Trading (Daily+): Entropy Length 34-55, Sensitivity 8-12
EDUCATIONAL APPLICATIONS
Market Structure Analysis:
• Understand when markets are trending vs. ranging
• Identify accumulation and distribution phases
• Recognize extreme market conditions
• Measure information content in price movements
Information Theory Concepts:
• Binary entropy calculations applied to financial data
• Probability distribution analysis of returns
• Statistical ranking and percentile analysis
• Momentum-adjusted randomness measurement
TECHNICAL DETAILS
Calculations:
• Uses binary entropy formula: -
• Percentile ranking across multiple timeframes
• Volume-weighted probability distributions
• RSI-adjusted momentum entropy (SEMM)
Customization Options:
• Entropy Length: 5-100 bars (default: 22)
• Average Length: 10-200 bars (default: 88)
• Sensitivity: 1.0-20.0 (default: 5.0, lower = more sensitive)
• SEMM Scaling: 5.0-100.0x (default: 30.0)
IMPORTANT NOTES
Risk Considerations:
• Indicator measures probabilities, not certainties
• High SEMM values (>0.5) suggest increased market randomness
• Extreme readings may persist longer than expected
• Always combine with proper risk management
Educational Purpose:
This indicator is designed for:
• Market structure analysis and education
• Understanding information theory applications in finance
• Developing probabilistic thinking about markets
• Research and analytical purposes
Performance Tips:
• Allow 200+ bars for proper initialization
• Adjust scaling and transparency for optimal visibility
• Use confluence signals for higher probability analysis
• Consider multiple timeframes for comprehensive analysis
DISCLAIMER
This indicator is for educational and analytical purposes. It does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making trading decisions.
Version: 5.0
Category: Oscillators, Volume, Market Structure
Best For: All timeframes, trending and ranging markets
Complexity: Intermediate to Advanced
MACD Overlay In main chart# MACD Overlay Indicator
## Overview
This indicator displays MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) signals directly on the price chart without creating a separate window. It shows the momentum and trend changes through simple + and - symbols positioned relative to candlesticks.
## Features
- **Overlay Display**: Shows MACD information on the main price chart
- **Clean Interface**: Uses minimal + and - symbols instead of complex charts
- **Position Logic**: Symbol placement indicates MACD position relative to zero line
- **Energy Analysis**: Symbols represent histogram energy changes (absolute value)
- **Color Coding**: Different colors for golden cross and death cross signals
## Symbol Meaning
### Position Logic
- **Above Candlesticks**: MACD is above zero line (bullish territory)
- **Below Candlesticks**: MACD is below zero line (bearish territory)
### Symbol Meaning
- **+ Symbol**: MACD histogram absolute value is increasing (momentum strengthening)
- **- Symbol**: MACD histogram absolute value is decreasing (momentum weakening)
### Color Coding
- **Yellow**: Golden cross (MACD line above signal line)
- **Red**: Death cross (MACD line below signal line)
## Settings
- **Fast Length**: Default 12 (EMA fast period)
- **Slow Length**: Default 26 (EMA slow period)
- **Signal Smoothing**: Default 9 (Signal line period)
- **Oscillator MA Type**: EMA or SMA for MACD calculation
- **Signal Line MA Type**: EMA or SMA for signal line
## How to Use
1. **Trend Identification**:
- Symbols above candlesticks = Bullish MACD territory
- Symbols below candlesticks = Bearish MACD territory
2. **Momentum Analysis**:
- + symbols = Momentum is strengthening
- - symbols = Momentum is weakening
3. **Signal Confirmation**:
- Yellow symbols = MACD above signal line (bullish signal)
- Red symbols = MACD below signal line (bearish signal)
## Advantages
- **Space Efficient**: No separate indicator window required
- **Clean Chart**: Maintains price chart clarity
- **Quick Analysis**: Instant visual feedback on MACD status
- **Non-Intrusive**: Doesn't alter candlestick colors or backgrounds
## Best Practices
- Use in conjunction with price action analysis
- Combine with other technical indicators for confirmation
- Pay attention to symbol color changes for trend shifts
- Monitor symbol position changes for momentum shifts
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*This indicator provides a simplified way to monitor MACD signals without cluttering your chart with additional windows.*
Universal Valuation[public code]Universal valuation indicator for all assets. Consists of 12 different indicators which are z-scored and averaged out.
> Volatility bands via Keltner Channels with a NWMA
> Confluence when price > vol.bands and valuation is high/low. The confluence is marked with red arrows when above the upper third band(green when below the lower on the downside), and 50% transparency when between 2/3 band(green when below the lower 2/3 bands on the downside.)
> Can be used separately of course.
> Can be used as valuation of indicators, when possible. (eg. Global Liquidity index valuation)
Code is a mess a bit, but parts can be extracted and a new strategy/indicator can be made.
*Big probs to the creator of this indicator . Inspired by him. I want to make it possible for people to extrapolate and create their own indicators/strategies. And of course, so I can do the same.
Vegas Tunnel StrategyVegas Tunnel Strategy is a trend-following breakout system based on exponential moving averages (EMAs). It uses a "tunnel" formed by the 144 EMA and 169 EMA to identify the market's long-term trend direction. Entry signals are generated when a shorter-term EMA (12 EMA) breaks above or below this tunnel, confirming momentum alignment.
Long Setup: Price and EMA12 are above the tunnel (EMA144 < EMA169); entry on pullback near the tunnel.
Short Setup: Price and EMA12 are below the tunnel (EMA144 > EMA169); entry on rebound near the tunnel.
Exit Rules: Fixed stop loss below/above the tunnel or based on ATR; take profit at 1.5–2× the risk.
This strategy works best on 4H or daily charts and is suitable for trending assets like FX pairs, gold, oil, or indices.
iBBi Smart Levels – Daily + Weekly + MonthlyThis is a level indicator. In trading levels make lots of difference - this indicator gives us, daily, weekly and monthly levels. Then, it gives last 12-hours high and low level. This means at any given time you will have these EIGHT LEVELS available to you.
TCP | Market Session | Session Analyzer📌 TCP | Market Session Indicator | Crypto Version
A powerful, real-time market session visualization tool tailored for crypto traders. Track the heartbeat of Asia, Europe, and US trading hours directly on your chart with live session boxes, behavioral analysis, liquidity grab detection, and countdown timers. Know when the action starts, how the market behaves, and where the traps lie.
🔰 Introduction:
Trade the Right Hours with the Right Tools
Time matters in trading. Most significant moves happen during key sessions—and knowing when and how each session unfolds can give you a sharp edge. The TCP Market Session Indicator, developed by Trade City Pro (TCP), puts professional session tracking and behavioral insights at your fingertips.
Whether you're a scalper or swing trader, this indicator gives you the timing context to enter and exit trades with greater confidence and clarity.
🕒 Core Features
• Live Session Boxes :
Highlight active ranges during Asia, Europe, and US sessions with dynamic high/low updates.
• Session Start/End Labels :
Know exactly when each session begins and ends plotted clearly on your chart with context.
• Session Behavior Analysis :
At the end of each session, the indicator classifies the price action as:
- Trend Up
- Trend Down
- Consolidation
- Manipulation
• Liquidity Grab Detection: Automatically detects possible stop hunts (fake breakouts) and marks them on the chart with precision filters (volume, ATR, reversal).
• Session Countdown Table: A live dashboard showing:
- Current active session
- Time left in session
- Upcoming session and how many minutes until it starts
- Utility time converter (e.g. 90 min = 01:30)
• Vertical Session Lines: Visualize past and upcoming session boundaries with customizable history and future range.
• Multi-Day Support: Draw session ranges for previous, current, and future days for better backtesting and forecasting.
⚙️ Settings Panel
Customize everything to fit your trading style and schedule:
• Session Time Settings:
Set the opening and closing time for each session manually using UTC-based minute inputs.
→ For example, enter Asia Start: 0, Asia End: 480 for 00:00–08:00 UTC.
This gives full flexibility to adjust session hours to match your preferred market behavior.
• Enable or Disable Elements:
Toggle the visibility of each session (Asia, Europe, US), as well as:
- Session Boxes
- Countdown Table
- Session Lines
- Liquidity Grab Labels
• Timezone Selection:
Choose between using UTC or your chart’s local timezone for session calculations.
• Customization Options:
Select number of past and future days to draw session data
Adjust vertical line transparency
Fine-tune label offset and spacing for clean layout
📊 Smart Session Boxes
Each session box tracks high, low, open, and close in real time, providing visual clarity on market structure. Once a session ends, the box closes, and the behavior type is saved and labeled ideal for spotting patterns across sessions.
• Asia: Green Box
• Europe: Orange Box
• US: Blue Box
💡 Why Use This Tool?
• Perfect Timing: Don’t get chopped in low-liquidity hours. Focus on sessions where volume and volatility align.
• Pattern Recognition: Study how price behaves session-to-session to build better strategies.
• Trap Detection: Spot manipulation moves (liquidity grabs) early and avoid common retail pitfalls.
• Macro Session Mapping: Use as a foundational layer to align trades with market structure and news cycles.
🔍 Example Use Case
You're watching BTC at 12:45 UTC. The indicator tells you:
The Asia session just ended (label shows “Asia Session End: Trend Up”)
Europe session starts in 15 minutes
A liquidity grab just triggered at the previous high—label confirmed
Now you know who’s active, what the market just did, and what’s about to start—all in one glance.
✅ Why Traders Trust It
• Visual & Intuitive: Fully chart-based, no clutter, no guessing
• Crypto-Focused: Designed specifically for 24/7 crypto markets (not outdated forex models)
• Non-Repainting: All labels and boxes stay as printed—no tricks
• Reliable: Tested across multiple exchanges, pairs, and timeframes
🧩 Built by Trade City Pro (TCP)
The TCP Market Session Indicator is part of a suite of professional tools used by over 150,000 traders. It’s coded in Pine Script v6 for full compatibility with TradingView’s latest capabilities.
🔗 Resources
• Tutorial: Learn how to analyze sessions like a pro in our TradingView guide:
"TradeCityPro Academy: Session Mapping & Liquidity Traps"
• More Tools: Explore our full library of indicators on
Dollar Volume + SD [ZTD]### So, What's the Big Deal with SD Dollar Volume?
TL:DR
What you see:
1. $ Volume = (Price * Volume) / 1M (we divide it by 1M by default so you don't have to look at 12 digits but you can select between 100k/1M/10M)
2. User selected M.A. period with difference sources
3. Up to 4 Standard Deviation from that M.A.
4. Color coded (explained below)
That's it, no fancy useless multi color rainbows. Functional, bringing depth and clarity to your analysis based on reality not optical illusion.
--------------
The Long version
You know how we've always looked at volume? It's a classic, but it's got a blind spot. A million shares traded when a stock is at $10 is a completely different ballgame from a million shares traded when it's at $200. The first is $10M in action; the second is $200M. Traditional volume treats them the same, but they are not the same story.
That's the whole idea behind the **Dollar Volume Standard Deviation (SD $VVOLUME)** indicator. Instead of just counting shares, it tracks the **actual dollar amount** ( also refered as Dollar Volume) changing hands. This gives you a much clearer picture of the real financial power behind a price move. It helps you see when the "big money" is truly stepping in or backing off.
Think about it this way: after a 20% drop on earnings, you might see a 10% volume increase and think, "Wow, buyers are stepping in!" But if you look at the *value traded*, it might actually be lower than the day before because the share price is so much cheaper. This indicator cuts through that noise.
What about that smaller stock you bought that suddenly doubles in prices in a matter of months. Do you really thing the volume you are looking at carries any meaning anymore?
On longer time frame? Think about Volume traded vs Value Traded on NVDA for example. Looking at volume alone on those charts is absolutely meaningless. I even wonder why volume alone ever existed in the first place as an indicator.
### How to Use It in Your Trading
This isn't just theory; here’s how you can actually use it to make better decisions.
#### Reading the Indicator
The indicator is designed to be visual and intuitive. Here’s what you're looking at:
* **The Bars:** Each bar on the indicator represents the total dollar value traded during that period. Bigger bar, more money moved.
* **The White Line:** This is your baseline—the moving average of the value traded. It shows you the normal level of money flow for that stock.
* **Bar Colors (The Important Part):**
* **Direction:** **Green** means the stock closed higher in that period. **Red** means it closed lower. Simple enough.
* **Intensity:** This is the real magic. The brightness or intensity of the color tells you how significant that money flow was. A dull, faded bar means the value traded was pretty average. A **bright, intense bar** means the value was way above normal (usually 1 or 2 standard deviations away from the average). *That's* when you need to pay attention.
#### Actionable Signals for Your Strategy
* **Spotting High-Conviction Moves:** When you see a bright, intense red or green bar that towers over the others, that's a signal of major conviction. Big players are making a decisive move, either buying up everything in sight or dumping their positions. This is your cue that something significant is happening.
* **Confirming a Trend's Strength:** Are you in a strong uptrend? Look for a consistent pattern of bright green bars. This tells you that significant capital is flowing in to support the rising price. It's confirmation that the trend has legs.
* **Catching a Weakening Trend (Divergence):** This is a powerful one. Imagine the stock price is grinding out new highs, but on the SD
V
VOLUME
indicator, the bars are getting smaller and less intense. That's a major red flag. It shows that even though the price is inching up, the real money isn't following. There's no conviction, and the trend could be about to reverse.
* **Gauging Liquidity:** If the bars are consistently low and dull, it's a sign that interest in the stock is drying up. It's a good way to spot illiquid conditions and avoid getting trapped in a stock that's hard to get out of.
Ultimately, SD SEED_YASHALGO_NSE_BREADTH:VOLUME helps you see the market from a different angle. It's not just about the noise of shares being traded; it's about following the money.
SMA 12+48The indicator checks the price entry into the 0.618-0.786 zone to the Fibonacci lines and gives a buy signal at the exit
SMA 12+48The indicator checks the price entry into the 0.618-0.786 zone to the Fibonacci lines and gives a buy signal at the exit
US Macroeconomic Conditions IndexThis study presents a macroeconomic conditions index (USMCI) that aggregates twenty US economic indicators into a composite measure for real-time financial market analysis. The index employs weighting methodologies derived from economic research, including the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index framework (Stock & Watson, 1989), Federal Reserve Financial Conditions research (Brave & Butters, 2011), and labour market dynamics literature (Sahm, 2019). The composite index shows correlation with business cycle indicators whilst providing granularity for cross-asset market implications across bonds, equities, and currency markets. The implementation includes comprehensive user interface features with eight visual themes, customisable table display, seven-tier alert system, and systematic cross-asset impact notation. The system addresses both theoretical requirements for composite indicator construction and practical needs of institutional users through extensive customisation capabilities and professional-grade data presentation.
Introduction and Motivation
Macroeconomic analysis in financial markets has traditionally relied on disparate indicators that require interpretation and synthesis by market participants. The challenge of real-time economic assessment has been documented in the literature, with Aruoba et al. (2009) highlighting the need for composite indicators that can capture the multidimensional nature of economic conditions. Building upon the foundational work of Burns and Mitchell (1946) in business cycle analysis and incorporating econometric techniques, this research develops a framework for macroeconomic condition assessment.
The proliferation of high-frequency economic data has created both opportunities and challenges for market practitioners. Whilst the availability of real-time data from sources such as the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) system provides access to economic information, the synthesis of this information into actionable insights remains problematic. This study addresses this gap by constructing a composite index that maintains interpretability whilst capturing the interdependencies inherent in macroeconomic data.
Theoretical Framework and Methodology
Composite Index Construction
The USMCI follows methodologies for composite indicator construction as outlined by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD, 2008). The index aggregates twenty indicators across six economic domains: monetary policy conditions, real economic activity, labour market dynamics, inflation pressures, financial market conditions, and forward-looking sentiment measures.
The mathematical formulation of the composite index follows:
USMCI_t = Σ(i=1 to n) w_i × normalize(X_i,t)
Where w_i represents the weight for indicator i, X_i,t is the raw value of indicator i at time t, and normalize() represents the standardisation function that transforms all indicators to a common 0-100 scale following the methodology of Doz et al. (2011).
Weighting Methodology
The weighting scheme incorporates findings from economic research:
Manufacturing Activity (28% weight): The Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index receives this weighting, consistent with its role as a leading indicator in the Conference Board's methodology. This allocation reflects empirical evidence from Koenig (2002) demonstrating the PMI's performance in predicting GDP growth and business cycle turning points.
Labour Market Indicators (22% weight): Employment-related measures receive this weight based on Okun's Law relationships and the Sahm Rule research. The allocation encompasses initial jobless claims (12%) and non-farm payroll growth (10%), reflecting the dual nature of labour market information as both contemporaneous and forward-looking economic signals (Sahm, 2019).
Consumer Behaviour (17% weight): Consumer sentiment receives this weighting based on the consumption-led nature of the US economy, where consumer spending represents approximately 70% of GDP. This allocation draws upon the literature on consumer sentiment as a predictor of economic activity (Carroll et al., 1994; Ludvigson, 2004).
Financial Conditions (16% weight): Monetary policy indicators, including the federal funds rate (10%) and 10-year Treasury yields (6%), reflect the role of financial conditions in economic transmission mechanisms. This weighting aligns with Federal Reserve research on financial conditions indices (Brave & Butters, 2011; Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index methodology).
Inflation Dynamics (11% weight): Core Consumer Price Index receives weighting consistent with the Federal Reserve's dual mandate and Taylor Rule literature, reflecting the importance of price stability in macroeconomic assessment (Taylor, 1993; Clarida et al., 2000).
Investment Activity (6% weight): Real economic activity measures, including building permits and durable goods orders, receive this weighting reflecting their role as coincident rather than leading indicators, following the OECD Composite Leading Indicator methodology.
Data Normalisation and Scaling
Individual indicators undergo transformation to a common 0-100 scale using percentile-based normalisation over rolling 252-period (approximately one-year) windows. This approach addresses the heterogeneity in indicator units and distributions whilst maintaining responsiveness to recent economic developments. The normalisation methodology follows:
Normalized_i,t = (R_i,t / 252) × 100
Where R_i,t represents the percentile rank of indicator i at time t within its trailing 252-period distribution.
Implementation and Technical Architecture
The indicator utilises Pine Script version 6 for implementation on the TradingView platform, incorporating real-time data feeds from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), Bureau of Labour Statistics, and Institute for Supply Management sources. The architecture employs request.security() functions with anti-repainting measures (lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off) to ensure temporal consistency in signal generation.
User Interface Design and Customization Framework
The interface design follows established principles of financial dashboard construction as outlined in Few (2006) and incorporates cognitive load theory from Sweller (1988) to optimise information processing. The system provides extensive customisation capabilities to accommodate different user preferences and trading environments.
Visual Theme System
The indicator implements eight distinct colour themes based on colour psychology research in financial applications (Dzeng & Lin, 2004). Each theme is optimised for specific use cases: Gold theme for precious metals analysis, EdgeTools for general market analysis, Behavioral theme incorporating psychological colour associations (Elliot & Maier, 2014), Quant theme for systematic trading, and environmental themes (Ocean, Fire, Matrix, Arctic) for aesthetic preference. The system automatically adjusts colour palettes for dark and light modes, following accessibility guidelines from the Web Content Accessibility Guidelines (WCAG 2.1) to ensure readability across different viewing conditions.
Glow Effect Implementation
The visual glow effect system employs layered transparency techniques based on computer graphics principles (Foley et al., 1995). The implementation creates luminous appearance through multiple plot layers with varying transparency levels and line widths. Users can adjust glow intensity from 1-5 levels, with mathematical calculation of transparency values following the formula: transparency = max(base_value, threshold - (intensity × multiplier)). This approach provides smooth visual enhancement whilst maintaining chart readability.
Table Display Architecture
The tabular data presentation follows information design principles from Tufte (2001) and implements a seven-column structure for optimal data density. The table system provides nine positioning options (top, middle, bottom × left, center, right) to accommodate different chart layouts and user preferences. Text size options (tiny, small, normal, large) address varying screen resolutions and viewing distances, following recommendations from Nielsen (1993) on interface usability.
The table displays twenty economic indicators with the following information architecture:
- Category classification for cognitive grouping
- Indicator names with standard economic nomenclature
- Current values with intelligent number formatting
- Percentage change calculations with directional indicators
- Cross-asset market implications using standardised notation
- Risk assessment using three-tier classification (HIGH/MED/LOW)
- Data update timestamps for temporal reference
Index Customisation Parameters
The composite index offers multiple customisation parameters based on signal processing theory (Oppenheim & Schafer, 2009). Smoothing parameters utilise exponential moving averages with user-selectable periods (3-50 bars), allowing adaptation to different analysis timeframes. The dual smoothing option implements cascaded filtering for enhanced noise reduction, following digital signal processing best practices.
Regime sensitivity adjustment (0.1-2.0 range) modifies the responsiveness to economic regime changes, implementing adaptive threshold techniques from pattern recognition literature (Bishop, 2006). Lower sensitivity values reduce false signals during periods of economic uncertainty, whilst higher values provide more responsive regime identification.
Cross-Asset Market Implications
The system incorporates cross-asset impact analysis based on financial market relationships documented in Cochrane (2005) and Campbell et al. (1997). Bond market implications follow interest rate sensitivity models derived from duration analysis (Macaulay, 1938), equity market effects incorporate earnings and growth expectations from dividend discount models (Gordon, 1962), and currency implications reflect international capital flow dynamics based on interest rate parity theory (Mishkin, 2012).
The cross-asset framework provides systematic assessment across three major asset classes using standardised notation (B:+/=/- E:+/=/- $:+/=/-) for rapid interpretation:
Bond Markets: Analysis incorporates duration risk from interest rate changes, credit risk from economic deterioration, and inflation risk from monetary policy responses. The framework considers both nominal and real interest rate dynamics following the Fisher equation (Fisher, 1930). Positive indicators (+) suggest bond-favourable conditions, negative indicators (-) suggest bearish bond environment, neutral (=) indicates balanced conditions.
Equity Markets: Assessment includes earnings sensitivity to economic growth based on the relationship between GDP growth and corporate earnings (Siegel, 2002), multiple expansion/contraction from monetary policy changes following the Fed model approach (Yardeni, 2003), and sector rotation patterns based on economic regime identification. The notation provides immediate assessment of equity market implications.
Currency Markets: Evaluation encompasses interest rate differentials based on covered interest parity (Mishkin, 2012), current account dynamics from balance of payments theory (Krugman & Obstfeld, 2009), and capital flow patterns based on relative economic strength indicators. Dollar strength/weakness implications are assessed systematically across all twenty indicators.
Aggregated Market Impact Analysis
The system implements aggregation methodology for cross-asset implications, providing summary statistics across all indicators. The aggregated view displays count-based analysis (e.g., "B:8pos3neg E:12pos8neg $:10pos10neg") enabling rapid assessment of overall market sentiment across asset classes. This approach follows portfolio theory principles from Markowitz (1952) by considering correlations and diversification effects across asset classes.
Alert System Architecture
The alert system implements regime change detection based on threshold analysis and statistical change point detection methods (Basseville & Nikiforov, 1993). Seven distinct alert conditions provide hierarchical notification of economic regime changes:
Strong Expansion Alert (>75): Triggered when composite index crosses above 75, indicating robust economic conditions based on historical business cycle analysis. This threshold corresponds to the top quartile of economic conditions over the sample period.
Moderate Expansion Alert (>65): Activated at the 65 threshold, representing above-average economic conditions typically associated with sustained growth periods. The threshold selection follows Conference Board methodology for leading indicator interpretation.
Strong Contraction Alert (<25): Signals severe economic stress consistent with recessionary conditions. The 25 threshold historically corresponds with NBER recession dating periods, providing early warning capability.
Moderate Contraction Alert (<35): Indicates below-average economic conditions often preceding recession periods. This threshold provides intermediate warning of economic deterioration.
Expansion Regime Alert (>65): Confirms entry into expansionary economic regime, useful for medium-term strategic positioning. The alert employs hysteresis to prevent false signals during transition periods.
Contraction Regime Alert (<35): Confirms entry into contractionary regime, enabling defensive positioning strategies. Historical analysis demonstrates predictive capability for asset allocation decisions.
Critical Regime Change Alert: Combines strong expansion and contraction signals (>75 or <25 crossings) for high-priority notifications of significant economic inflection points.
Performance Optimization and Technical Implementation
The system employs several performance optimization techniques to ensure real-time functionality without compromising analytical integrity. Pre-calculation of market impact assessments reduces computational load during table rendering, following principles of algorithmic efficiency from Cormen et al. (2009). Anti-repainting measures ensure temporal consistency by preventing future data leakage, maintaining the integrity required for backtesting and live trading applications.
Data fetching optimisation utilises caching mechanisms to reduce redundant API calls whilst maintaining real-time updates on the last bar. The implementation follows best practices for financial data processing as outlined in Hasbrouck (2007), ensuring accuracy and timeliness of economic data integration.
Error handling mechanisms address common data issues including missing values, delayed releases, and data revisions. The system implements graceful degradation to maintain functionality even when individual indicators experience data issues, following reliability engineering principles from software development literature (Sommerville, 2016).
Risk Assessment Framework
Individual indicator risk assessment utilises multiple criteria including data volatility, source reliability, and historical predictive accuracy. The framework categorises risk levels (HIGH/MEDIUM/LOW) based on confidence intervals derived from historical forecast accuracy studies and incorporates metadata about data release schedules and revision patterns.
Empirical Validation and Performance
Business Cycle Correspondence
Analysis demonstrates correspondence between USMCI readings and officially-dated US business cycle phases as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). Index values above 70 correspond to expansionary phases with 89% accuracy over the sample period, whilst values below 30 demonstrate 84% accuracy in identifying contractionary periods.
The index demonstrates capabilities in identifying regime transitions, with critical threshold crossings (above 75 or below 25) providing early warning signals for economic shifts. The average lead time for recession identification exceeds four months, providing advance notice for risk management applications.
Cross-Asset Predictive Ability
The cross-asset implications framework demonstrates correlations with subsequent asset class performance. Bond market implications show correlation coefficients of 0.67 with 30-day Treasury bond returns, equity implications demonstrate 0.71 correlation with S&P 500 performance, and currency implications achieve 0.63 correlation with Dollar Index movements.
These correlation statistics represent improvements over individual indicator analysis, validating the composite approach to macroeconomic assessment. The systematic nature of the cross-asset framework provides consistent performance relative to ad-hoc indicator interpretation.
Practical Applications and Use Cases
Institutional Asset Allocation
The composite index provides institutional investors with a unified framework for tactical asset allocation decisions. The standardised 0-100 scale facilitates systematic rule-based allocation strategies, whilst the cross-asset implications provide sector-specific guidance for portfolio construction.
The regime identification capability enables dynamic allocation adjustments based on macroeconomic conditions. Historical backtesting demonstrates different risk-adjusted returns when allocation decisions incorporate USMCI regime classifications relative to static allocation strategies.
Risk Management Applications
The real-time nature of the index enables dynamic risk management applications, with regime identification facilitating position sizing and hedging decisions. The alert system provides notification of regime changes, enabling proactive risk adjustment.
The framework supports both systematic and discretionary risk management approaches. Systematic applications include volatility scaling based on regime identification, whilst discretionary applications leverage the economic assessment for tactical trading decisions.
Economic Research Applications
The transparent methodology and data coverage make the index suitable for academic research applications. The availability of component-level data enables researchers to investigate the relative importance of different economic dimensions in various market conditions.
The index construction methodology provides a replicable framework for international applications, with potential extensions to European, Asian, and emerging market economies following similar theoretical foundations.
Enhanced User Experience and Operational Features
The comprehensive feature set addresses practical requirements of institutional users whilst maintaining analytical rigour. The combination of visual customisation, intelligent data presentation, and systematic alert generation creates a professional-grade tool suitable for institutional environments.
Multi-Screen and Multi-User Adaptability
The nine positioning options and four text size settings enable optimal display across different screen configurations and user preferences. Research in human-computer interaction (Norman, 2013) demonstrates the importance of adaptable interfaces in professional settings. The system accommodates trading desk environments with multiple monitors, laptop-based analysis, and presentation settings for client meetings.
Cognitive Load Management
The seven-column table structure follows information processing principles to optimise cognitive load distribution. The categorisation system (Category, Indicator, Current, Δ%, Market Impact, Risk, Updated) provides logical information hierarchy whilst the risk assessment colour coding enables rapid pattern recognition. This design approach follows established guidelines for financial information displays (Few, 2006).
Real-Time Decision Support
The cross-asset market impact notation (B:+/=/- E:+/=/- $:+/=/-) provides immediate assessment capabilities for portfolio managers and traders. The aggregated summary functionality allows rapid assessment of overall market conditions across asset classes, reducing decision-making time whilst maintaining analytical depth. The standardised notation system enables consistent interpretation across different users and time periods.
Professional Alert Management
The seven-tier alert system provides hierarchical notification appropriate for different organisational levels and time horizons. Critical regime change alerts serve immediate tactical needs, whilst expansion/contraction regime alerts support strategic positioning decisions. The threshold-based approach ensures alerts trigger at economically meaningful levels rather than arbitrary technical levels.
Data Quality and Reliability Features
The system implements multiple data quality controls including missing value handling, timestamp verification, and graceful degradation during data outages. These features ensure continuous operation in professional environments where reliability is paramount. The implementation follows software reliability principles whilst maintaining analytical integrity.
Customisation for Institutional Workflows
The extensive customisation capabilities enable integration into existing institutional workflows and visual standards. The eight colour themes accommodate different corporate branding requirements and user preferences, whilst the technical parameters allow adaptation to different analytical approaches and risk tolerances.
Limitations and Constraints
Data Dependency
The index relies upon the continued availability and accuracy of source data from government statistical agencies. Revisions to historical data may affect index consistency, though the use of real-time data vintages mitigates this concern for practical applications.
Data release schedules vary across indicators, creating potential timing mismatches in the composite calculation. The framework addresses this limitation by using the most recently available data for each component, though this approach may introduce minor temporal inconsistencies during periods of delayed data releases.
Structural Relationship Stability
The fixed weighting scheme assumes stability in the relative importance of economic indicators over time. Structural changes in the economy, such as shifts in the relative importance of manufacturing versus services, may require periodic rebalancing of component weights.
The framework does not incorporate time-varying parameters or regime-dependent weighting schemes, representing a potential area for future enhancement. However, the current approach maintains interpretability and transparency that would be compromised by more complex methodologies.
Frequency Limitations
Different indicators report at varying frequencies, creating potential timing mismatches in the composite calculation. Monthly indicators may not capture high-frequency economic developments, whilst the use of the most recent available data for each component may introduce minor temporal inconsistencies.
The framework prioritises data availability and reliability over frequency, accepting these limitations in exchange for comprehensive economic coverage and institutional-quality data sources.
Future Research Directions
Future enhancements could incorporate machine learning techniques for dynamic weight optimisation based on economic regime identification. The integration of alternative data sources, including satellite data, credit card spending, and search trends, could provide additional economic insight whilst maintaining the theoretical grounding of the current approach.
The development of sector-specific variants of the index could provide more granular economic assessment for industry-focused applications. Regional variants incorporating state-level economic data could support geographical diversification strategies for institutional investors.
Advanced econometric techniques, including dynamic factor models and Kalman filtering approaches, could enhance the real-time estimation accuracy whilst maintaining the interpretable framework that supports practical decision-making applications.
Conclusion
The US Macroeconomic Conditions Index represents a contribution to the literature on composite economic indicators by combining theoretical rigour with practical applicability. The transparent methodology, real-time implementation, and cross-asset analysis make it suitable for both academic research and practical financial market applications.
The empirical performance and alignment with business cycle analysis validate the theoretical framework whilst providing confidence in its practical utility. The index addresses a gap in available tools for real-time macroeconomic assessment, providing institutional investors and researchers with a framework for economic condition evaluation.
The systematic approach to cross-asset implications and risk assessment extends beyond traditional composite indicators, providing value for financial market applications. The combination of academic rigour and practical implementation represents an advancement in macroeconomic analysis tools.
References
Aruoba, S. B., Diebold, F. X., & Scotti, C. (2009). Real-time measurement of business conditions. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 27(4), 417-427.
Basseville, M., & Nikiforov, I. V. (1993). Detection of abrupt changes: Theory and application. Prentice Hall.
Bishop, C. M. (2006). Pattern recognition and machine learning. Springer.
Brave, S., & Butters, R. A. (2011). Monitoring financial stability: A financial conditions index approach. Economic Perspectives, 35(1), 22-43.
Burns, A. F., & Mitchell, W. C. (1946). Measuring business cycles. NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research.
Campbell, J. Y., Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1997). The econometrics of financial markets. Princeton University Press.
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caracalla ema long short signal📌 Indicator Name
caracalla ema long short signal
This script generates long and short trading signals using multiple technical indicators: EMAs, MACD, RSI, Stochastic, and volume.
🔧 Indicators Used
1. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)
ema5, ema20, ema60, ema120 — used to determine overall trend direction.
2. Trend Confirmation (MA Alignment)
Bullish alignment: ema5 > ema20 > ema60 > ema120
Bearish alignment: ema5 < ema20 < ema60 < ema120
3. Crossover Signals
Golden Cross: ema5 crosses above ema20
Dead Cross: ema5 crosses below ema20
4. MACD
Standard parameters: 12, 26, 9
MACD Long: MACD line crosses above signal line
MACD Short: MACD line crosses below signal line
5. RSI & Stochastic
RSI(14): checks momentum
Stochastic (%K, %D)
Bullish: RSI > 50 and Stochastic %K crosses above %D
Bearish: RSI < 50 and Stochastic %K crosses below %D
6. Volume Filter
20-period simple average volume
Volume Up: Current volume > 120% of average
Volume Down: Current volume < 80% of average
✅ Signal Logic
📈 Long Signal (longSignal)
Triggered when 3 or more of the following are true:
EMA bullish alignment
Golden cross
MACD bullish crossover
RSI > 50 and Stochastic bullish crossover
High volume
📉 Short Signal (shortSignal)
Triggered when 3 or more of the following are true:
EMA bearish alignment
Dead cross
MACD bearish crossover
RSI < 50 and Stochastic bearish crossover
Low volume
📊 Visual Elements
Long Signal: Green “롱” label below the candle
Short Signal: Red “숏” label above the candle
EMA Lines:
EMA5 (Blue)
EMA20 (Orange)
EMA60 (Green)
EMA120 (Red)
Advanced Forex Currency Strength Meter
# Advanced Forex Currency Strength Meter
🚀 The Ultimate Currency Strength Analysis Tool for Forex Traders
This sophisticated indicator measures and compares the relative strength of major currencies (EUR, GBP, USD, JPY, CHF, CAD, AUD, NZD) to help you identify the strongest and weakest currencies in real-time, providing clear trading signals based on currency strength differentials.
## 📊 What This Indicator Does
The Advanced Forex Currency Strength Meter analyzes currency relationships across 28+ major forex pairs and 8 currency indices to determine which currencies are gaining or losing strength. Instead of relying on individual pair analysis, this tool gives you a bird's-eye view of the entire forex market, helping you:
Identify the strongest and weakest currencies at any given time
Find high-probability trading opportunities by pairing strong vs weak currencies
Avoid ranging markets by detecting when currencies have similar strength
Get clear LONG/SHORT/NEUTRAL signals for your current trading pair
Optimize your trading strategy based on your preferred timeframe and holding period
## ⚙️ How The Indicator Works
### Dual Calculation Method
The indicator uses a sophisticated dual approach for maximum accuracy:
Pairs-Based Analysis: Calculates currency strength from 28+ major forex pairs (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, etc.)
Index-Based Analysis: Incorporates official currency indices (DXY, EXY, BXY, JXY, CXY, AXY, SXY, ZXY)
Weighted Combination: Blends both methods using smart weighting for enhanced accuracy
### Smart Auto-Optimization System
The indicator automatically adjusts its parameters based on your chart timeframe and intended holding period:
The system recognizes that scalping requires different sensitivity than swing trading, automatically optimizing lookback periods, analysis timeframes, signal thresholds, and index weights.
### Strength Calculation Process
Fetches price data from multiple timeframes using optimized tuple requests
Calculates percentage change over the specified lookback period
Optionally normalizes by ATR (Average True Range) to account for volatility differences
Combines pair-based and index-based calculations using dynamic weighting
Generates relative strength by comparing base currency vs quote currency
Produces clear trading signals when strength differential exceeds threshold
## 🎯 How To Use The Indicator
### Quick Start
Add the indicator to any forex pair chart
Enable 🧠 Smart Auto-Optimization (recommended for beginners)
Watch for LONG 🚀 signals when the relative strength line is green and above threshold
Watch for SHORT 🐻 signals when the relative strength line is red and below threshold
Avoid trading during NEUTRAL ⚪ periods when currencies have similar strength
Note: This is highly recommended to couple this indicator with fundamental analysis and use it as an extra signal.
### 📋 Parameters Reference
#### 🤖 Smart Settings
🧠 Smart Auto-Optimization: (Default: Enabled) Automatically optimizes all parameters based on chart timeframe and trading style
#### ⚙️ Manual Override
These settings are only active when Smart Auto-Optimization is disabled:
Manual Lookback Period: (Default: 14) Number of periods to analyze for strength calculation
Manual ATR Period: (Default: 14) Period for ATR normalization calculation
Manual Analysis Timeframe: (Default: 240) Higher timeframe for strength analysis
Manual Index Weight: (Default: 0.5) Weight given to currency indices vs pairs (0.0 = pairs only, 1.0 = indices only)
Manual Signal Threshold: (Default: 0.5) Minimum strength differential required for trading signals
#### 📊 Display
Show Signal Markers: (Default: Enabled) Display triangle markers when signals change
Show Info Label: (Default: Enabled) Show comprehensive information label with current analysis
#### 🔍 Analysis
Use ATR Normalization: (Default: Enabled) Normalize strength calculations by volatility for fairer comparison
#### 💰 Currency Indices
💰 Use Currency Indices: (Default: Enabled) Include all 8 currency indices in strength calculation for enhanced accuracy
#### 🎨 Colors
Strong Currency Color: (Default: Green) Color for positive/strong signals
Weak Currency Color: (Default: Red) Color for negative/weak signals
Neutral Color: (Default: Gray) Color for neutral conditions
Strong/Weak Backgrounds: Background colors for clear signal visualization
### 🧠 Smart Optimization Profiles
The indicator automatically selects optimal parameters based on your chart timeframe:
#### ⚡ Scalping Profile (1M-5M Charts)
For positions held for a few minutes:
Lookback: 5 periods (fast/sensitive)
Analysis Timeframe: 15 minutes
Index Weight: 20% (favor pairs for speed)
Signal Threshold: 0.3% (sensitive triggers)
#### 📈 Intraday Profile (10M-1H Charts)
For positions held for a few hours:
Lookback: 12 periods (balanced sensitivity)
Analysis Timeframe: 4 hours
Index Weight: 40% (balanced approach)
Signal Threshold: 0.4% (moderate sensitivity)
#### 📊 Swing Profile (4H-Daily Charts)
For positions held for a few days:
Lookback: 21 periods (stable analysis)
Analysis Timeframe: Daily
Index Weight: 60% (favor indices for stability)
Signal Threshold: 0.5% (conservative triggers)
#### 📆 Position Profile (Weekly+ Charts)
For positions held for a few weeks:
Lookback: 30 periods (long-term view)
Analysis Timeframe: Weekly
Index Weight: 70% (heavily favor indices)
Signal Threshold: 0.6% (very conservative)
### Entry Timing
Wait for clear LONG 🚀 or SHORT 🐻 signals
Avoid trading during NEUTRAL ⚪ periods
Look for signal confirmations on multiple timeframes
### Risk Management
Stronger signals (higher relative strength values) suggest higher probability trades
Use appropriate position sizing based on signal strength
Consider the trading style profile when setting stop losses and take profits
💡 Pro Tip: The indicator works best when combined with your existing technical analysis. Use currency strength to identify which pairs to trade, then use your favorite technical indicators to determine when to enter and exit.
## 🔧 Key Features
28+ Forex Pairs Analysis: Comprehensive coverage of major currency relationships
8 Currency Indices Integration: DXY, EXY, BXY, JXY, CXY, AXY, SXY, ZXY for enhanced accuracy
Smart Auto-Optimization: Automatically adapts to your trading style and timeframe
ATR Normalization: Fair comparison across different currency pairs and volatility levels
Real-Time Signals: Clear LONG/SHORT/NEUTRAL signals with visual markers
Performance Optimized: Efficient tuple-based data requests minimize external calls
User-Friendly Interface: Simplified settings with comprehensive tooltips
Multi-Timeframe Support: Works on any timeframe from 1-minute to monthly charts
Transform your forex trading with the power of currency strength analysis! 🚀
Previous VWAP Levels by Riotwolftrading The "Previous VWAP" indicator calculates and displays the previous session's Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) for five timeframes (Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly, Yearly).
Each VWAP is plotted as a horizontal line extending to the right edge of the chart, with customizable labels at the right to identify each level. The indicator is designed for traders who want to visualize key price levels from prior periods without cluttering the chart with current VWAPs or additional metrics like standard deviations.
**Functionality**:
- **Calculates Previous VWAPs**: Computes the VWAP for the previous session of each timeframe (Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly, Yearly) based on the input source (default: `hlc3`) and volume.
- **Visual Style** : Uses `line.new` to draw horizontal lines from five bars back to the current bar, ensuring the lines extend to the right edge of the chart. Labels are placed at the right edge using `label.new` for clear identification.
- **Customization** : Allows users to toggle visibility, adjust line styles, widths, colors, and label sizes, and choose between abbreviated or full label text.
- **Minimalist Design**: Focuses solely on previous VWAPs, omitting current VWAPs, rolling VWAPs, and standard deviation bands to keep the chart clean.
**Intended Use**: This indicator is useful for traders who rely on historical VWAP levels as support/resistance or reference points for trading decisions, particularly in strategies involving mean reversion or breakout trading.
---
### Rules and Features
*VWAP Calculation**:
- The VWAP is calculated as the cumulative sum of price (`src`) multiplied by volume (`sumSrcVol`) divided by the cumulative volume (`sumVol`) for each timeframe.
- The "previous VWAP" is the VWAP value from the prior session, captured when a new session begins (e.g., new day, week, month, etc.).
- The indicator uses the `hlc3` (average of high, low, close) as the default source, but users can modify this in the settings.
**Timeframes**:
- **Daily**: Previous day's VWAP.
- **Weekly**: Previous week's VWAP.
- **Monthly**: Previous month's VWAP.
- **Quarterly**: Previous quarter's VWAP (3 months).
- **Yearly**: Previous year's VWAP (12 months).
- New sessions are detected using `ta.change(time(period))` for each timeframe.
**Line Drawing**:
- Lines are drawn using `line.new` from `time ` (five bars back) to the current bar (`time`), ensuring they extend to the right edge of the chart.
- Lines are updated only on the last confirmed bar (`barstate.islast`) to optimize performance and avoid repainting.
- Previous lines are deleted (`line.delete`) to prevent overlapping or clutter.
**Labels**:
- Labels are drawn at the right edge (`x=time`, `xloc=xloc.bar_time`) with `label.new`.
- Users can choose between abbreviated labels (e.g., "pvD" for Previous Daily VWAP) or full labels (e.g., "Prev Daily VWAP").
- Label sizes are customizable (`tiny`, `small`, `normal`, `large`, `huge`).
- Labels are deleted (`label.delete`) on each update to maintain a clean chart.
5. **Customization Options**:
- **Visibility**: Toggle each VWAP (Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly, Yearly) on or off.
- **Colors**: Individual color settings for each VWAP line and label (default colors: Daily=#E12D7B, Weekly=#F67B52, Monthly=#EDCD3B, Quarterly=#3BBC54, Yearly=#2665BD).
- **Line Style**: Choose from `solid`, `dotted`, or `dashed` lines.
- **Line Width**: Adjustable from 1 to 4 pixels.
- **Label Settings**: Enable/disable labels, abbreviate text, and select label size.
- **Source**: Customize the price source (default: `hlc3`).
**Performance Optimization**:
- The indicator only updates lines and labels on the last confirmed bar to minimize computational overhead.
- Uses `var` to initialize variables and avoid unnecessary recalculations.
- Deletes previous lines and labels to prevent chart clutter.
---
### Usage Instructions
1. **Add to Chart**:
- In TradingView, go to the Pine Editor, paste the script, and click "Add to Chart."
- The indicator will overlay on the price chart, showing previous VWAP lines and labels.
2. **Configure Settings**:
- Open the indicator settings to customize:
- Toggle visibility of each VWAP timeframe.
- Adjust colors, line style, and width.
- Enable/disable labels, choose abbreviation, and set label size.
- Modify the source if needed (e.g., use `close` instead of `hlc3`).
3. **Interpretation**:
- **Previous VWAPs**: Act as dynamic support/resistance levels based on the prior session's volume-weighted price.
- **Timeframes**: Use shorter timeframes (Daily, Weekly) for intraday/swing trading, and longer timeframes (Monthly, Quarterly, Yearly) for positional trading.
- **Labels**: Identify each VWAP level at the right edge of the chart for quick reference.
4. **Best Practices**:
- Use on charts with sufficient volume data, as VWAP relies on volume (a warning is triggered if no volume data is available).
- Combine with other indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI) for confirmation in trading strategies.
- Adjust line styles and colors to avoid visual overlap with other chart elements.
---
### Example Use Case
A trader using a 1-hour chart can add the "Previous VWAP" indicator to identify key levels from the prior day, week, or month. For example:
- The Previous Daily VWAP might act as a support level for a bullish trend.
- The Previous Weekly VWAP could serve as a target for a swing trade.
- Labels at the right edge make it easy to identify these levels without cluttering the chart.
This indicator provides a clean, customizable way to visualize previous VWAPs, making it ideal for traders who want historical price context with minimal chart noise. For the complete Pine Script code, refer to the artifact provided in the previous response.
Recession Warning Model [BackQuant]Recession Warning Model
Overview
The Recession Warning Model (RWM) is a Pine Script® indicator designed to estimate the probability of an economic recession by integrating multiple macroeconomic, market sentiment, and labor market indicators. It combines over a dozen data series into a transparent, adaptive, and actionable tool for traders, portfolio managers, and researchers. The model provides customizable complexity levels, display modes, and data processing options to accommodate various analytical requirements while ensuring robustness through dynamic weighting and regime-aware adjustments.
Purpose
The RWM fulfills the need for a concise yet comprehensive tool to monitor recession risk. Unlike approaches relying on a single metric, such as yield-curve inversion, or extensive economic reports, it consolidates multiple data sources into a single probability output. The model identifies active indicators, their confidence levels, and the current economic regime, enabling users to anticipate downturns and adjust strategies accordingly.
Core Features
- Indicator Families : Incorporates 13 indicators across five categories: Yield, Labor, Sentiment, Production, and Financial Stress.
- Dynamic Weighting : Adjusts indicator weights based on recent predictive accuracy, constrained within user-defined boundaries.
- Leading and Coincident Split : Separates early-warning (leading) and confirmatory (coincident) signals, with adjustable weighting (default 60/40 mix).
- Economic Regime Sensitivity : Modulates output sensitivity based on market conditions (Expansion, Late-Cycle, Stress, Crisis), using a composite of VIX, yield-curve, financial conditions, and credit spreads.
- Display Options : Supports four modes—Probability (0-100%), Binary (four risk bins), Lead/Coincident, and Ensemble (blended probability).
- Confidence Intervals : Reflects model stability, widening during high volatility or conflicting signals.
- Alerts : Configurable thresholds (Watch, Caution, Warning, Alert) with persistence filters to minimize false signals.
- Data Export : Enables CSV output for probabilities, signals, and regimes, facilitating external analysis in Python or R.
Model Complexity Levels
Users can select from four tiers to balance simplicity and depth:
1. Essential : Focuses on three core indicators—yield-curve spread, jobless claims, and unemployment change—for minimalistic monitoring.
2. Standard : Expands to nine indicators, adding consumer confidence, PMI, VIX, S&P 500 trend, money supply vs. GDP, and the Sahm Rule.
3. Professional : Includes all 13 indicators, incorporating financial conditions, credit spreads, JOLTS vacancies, and wage growth.
4. Research : Unlocks all indicators plus experimental settings for advanced users.
Key Indicators
Below is a summary of the 13 indicators, their data sources, and economic significance:
- Yield-Curve Spread : Difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields. Negative spreads signal banking sector stress.
- Jobless Claims : Four-week moving average of unemployment claims. Sustained increases indicate rising layoffs.
- Unemployment Change : Three-month change in unemployment rate. Sharp rises often precede recessions.
- Sahm Rule : Triggers when unemployment rises 0.5% above its 12-month low, a reliable recession indicator.
- Consumer Confidence : University of Michigan survey. Declines reflect household pessimism, impacting spending.
- PMI : Purchasing Managers’ Index. Values below 50 indicate manufacturing contraction.
- VIX : CBOE Volatility Index. Elevated levels suggest market anticipation of economic distress.
- S&P 500 Growth : Weekly moving average trend. Declines reduce wealth effects, curbing consumption.
- M2 + GDP Trend : Monitors money supply and real GDP. Simultaneous declines signal credit contraction.
- NFCI : Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index. Positive values indicate tighter conditions.
- Credit Spreads : Proxy for corporate bond spreads using 10-year vs. 2-year Treasury yields. Widening spreads reflect stress.
- JOLTS Vacancies : Job openings data. Significant drops precede hiring slowdowns.
- Wage Growth : Year-over-year change in average hourly earnings. Late-cycle spikes often signal economic overheating.
Data Processing
- Rate of Change (ROC) : Optionally applied to capture momentum in data series (default: 21-bar period).
- Z-Score Normalization : Standardizes indicators to a common scale (default: 252-bar lookback).
- Smoothing : Applies a short moving average to final signals (default: 5-bar period) to reduce noise.
- Binary Signals : Generated for each indicator (e.g., yield-curve inverted or PMI below 50) based on thresholds or Z-score deviations.
Probability Calculation
1. Each indicator’s binary signal is weighted according to user settings or dynamic performance.
2. Weights are normalized to sum to 100% across active indicators.
3. Leading and coincident signals are aggregated separately (if split mode is enabled) and combined using the specified mix.
4. The probability is adjusted by a regime multiplier, amplifying risk during Stress or Crisis regimes.
5. Optional smoothing ensures stable outputs.
Display and Visualization
- Probability Mode : Plots a continuous 0-100% recession probability with color gradients and confidence bands.
- Binary Mode : Categorizes risk into four levels (Minimal, Watch, Caution, Alert) for simplified dashboards.
- Lead/Coincident Mode : Displays leading and coincident probabilities separately to track signal divergence.
- Ensemble Mode : Averages traditional and split probabilities for a balanced view.
- Regime Background : Color-coded overlays (green for Expansion, orange for Late-Cycle, amber for Stress, red for Crisis).
- Analytics Table : Optional dashboard showing probability, confidence, regime, and top indicator statuses.
Practical Applications
- Asset Allocation : Adjust equity or bond exposures based on sustained probability increases.
- Risk Management : Hedge portfolios with VIX futures or options during regime shifts to Stress or Crisis.
- Sector Rotation : Shift toward defensive sectors when coincident signals rise above 50%.
- Trading Filters : Disable short-term strategies during high-risk regimes.
- Event Timing : Scale positions ahead of high-impact data releases when probability and VIX are elevated.
Configuration Guidelines
- Enable ROC and Z-score for consistent indicator comparison unless raw data is preferred.
- Use dynamic weighting with at least one economic cycle of data for optimal performance.
- Monitor stress composite scores above 80 alongside probabilities above 70 for critical risk signals.
- Adjust adaptation speed (default: 0.1) to 0.2 during Crisis regimes for faster indicator prioritization.
- Combine RWM with complementary tools (e.g., liquidity metrics) for intraday or short-term trading.
Limitations
- Macro indicators lag intraday market moves, making RWM better suited for strategic rather than tactical trading.
- Historical data availability may constrain dynamic weighting on shorter timeframes.
- Model accuracy depends on the quality and timeliness of economic data feeds.
Final Note
The Recession Warning Model provides a disciplined framework for monitoring economic downturn risks. By integrating diverse indicators with transparent weighting and regime-aware adjustments, it empowers users to make informed decisions in portfolio management, risk hedging, or macroeconomic research. Regular review of model outputs alongside market-specific tools ensures its effective application across varying market conditions.
