Extreme Pressure Zones Indicator (EPZ) [BullByte]Extreme Pressure Zones Indicator(EPZ)
The Extreme Pressure Zones (EPZ) Indicator is a proprietary market analysis tool designed to highlight potential overbought and oversold "pressure zones" in any financial chart. It does this by combining several unique measurements of price action and volume into a single, bounded oscillator (0–100). Unlike simple momentum or volatility indicators, EPZ captures multiple facets of market pressure: price rejection, trend momentum, supply/demand imbalance, and institutional (smart money) flow. This is not a random mashup of generic indicators; each component was chosen and weighted to reveal extreme market conditions that often precede reversals or strong continuations.
What it is?
EPZ estimates buying/selling pressure and highlights potential extreme zones with a single, bounded 0–100 oscillator built from four normalized components. Context-aware weighting adapts to volatility, trendiness, and relative volume. Visual tools include adaptive thresholds, confirmed-on-close extremes, divergence, an MTF dashboard, and optional gradient candles.
Purpose and originality (not a mashup)
Purpose: Identify when pressure is building or reaching potential extremes while filtering noise across regimes and symbols.
Originality: EPZ integrates price rejection, momentum cascade, pressure distribution, and smart money flow into one bounded scale with context-aware weighting. It is not a cosmetic mashup of public indicators.
Why a trader might use EPZ
EPZ provides a multi-dimensional gauge of market extremes that standalone indicators may miss. Traders might use it to:
Spot Reversals: When EPZ enters an "Extreme High" zone (high red), it implies selling pressure might soon dominate. This can hint at a topside reversal or at least a pause in rallies. Conversely, "Extreme Low" (green) can highlight bottom-fish opportunities. The indicator's divergence module (optional) also finds hidden bullish/bearish divergences between price and EPZ, a clue that price momentum is weakening.
Measure Momentum Shifts: Because EPZ blends momentum and volume, it reacts faster than many single metrics. A rising MPO indicates building bullish pressure, while a falling MPO shows increasing bearish pressure. Traders can use this like a refined RSI: above 50 means bullish bias, below 50 means bearish bias, but with context provided by the thresholds.
Filter Trades: In trend-following systems, one could require EPZ to be in the bullish (green) zone before taking longs, or avoid new trades when EPZ is extreme. In mean-reversion systems, one might specifically look to fade extremes flagged by EPZ.
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation: The dashboard can fetch a higher timeframe EPZ value. For example, you might trade a 15-minute chart only when the 60-minute EPZ agrees on pressure direction.
Components and how they're combined
Rejection (PRV) – Captures price rejection based on candle wicks and volume (see Price Rejection Volume).
Momentum Cascade (MCD) – Blends multiple momentum periods (3,5,8,13) into a normalized momentum score.
Pressure Distribution (PDI) – Measures net buy/sell pressure by comparing volume on up vs down candles.
Smart Money Flow (SMF) – An adaptation of money flow index that emphasizes unusual volume spikes.
Each of these components produces a 0–100 value (higher means more bullish pressure). They are then weighted and averaged into the final Market Pressure Oscillator (MPO), which is smoothed and scaled. By combining these four views, EPZ stands out as a comprehensive pressure gauge – the whole is greater than the sum of parts
Context-aware weighting:
Higher volatility → more PRV weight
Trendiness up (RSI of ATR > 25) → more MCD weight
Relative volume > 1.2x → more PDI weight
SMF holds a stable weight
The weighted average is smoothed and scaled into MPO ∈ with 50 as the neutral midline.
What makes EPZ stand out
Four orthogonal inputs (price action, momentum, pressure, flow) unified in a single bounded oscillator with consistent thresholds.
Adaptive thresholds (optional) plus robust extreme detection that also triggers on crossovers, so static thresholds work reliably too.
Confirm Extremes on Bar Close (default ON): dots/arrows/labels/alerts print on closed bars to avoid repaint confusion.
Clean dashboard, divergence tools, pre-alerts, and optional on-price gradients. Visual 3D layering uses offsets for depth only,no lookahead.
Recommended markets and timeframes
Best: liquid symbols (index futures, large-cap equities, major FX, BTC/ETH).
Timeframes: 5–15m (more signals; consider higher thresholds), 1H–4H (balanced), 1D (clear regimes).
Use caution on illiquid or very low TFs where wick/volume geometry is erratic.
Logic and thresholds
MPO ∈ ; 50 = neutral. Above 50 = bullish pressure; below 50 = bearish.
Static thresholds (defaults): thrHigh = 70, thrLow = 30; warning bands 5 pts inside extremes (65/35).
Adaptive thresholds (optional):
thrHigh = min(BaseHigh + 5, mean(MPO,100) + stdev(MPO,100) × ExtremeSensitivity)
thrLow = max(BaseLow − 5, mean(MPO,100) − stdev(MPO,100) × ExtremeSensitivity)
Extreme detection
High: MPO ≥ thrHigh with peak/slope or crossover filter.
Low: MPO ≤ thrLow with trough/slope or crossover filter.
Cooldown: 5 bars (default). A new extreme will not print until the cooldown elapses, even if MPO re-enters the zone.
Confirmation
"Confirm Extremes on Bar Close" (default ON) gates extreme markers, pre-alerts, and alerts to closed bars (non-repainting).
Divergences
Pivot-based bullish/bearish divergence; tags appear only after left/right bars elapse (lookbackPivot).
MTF
HTF MPO retrieved with lookahead_off; values can update intrabar and finalize at HTF close. This is disclosed and expected.
Inputs and defaults (key ones)
Core: Sensitivity=1.0; Analysis Period=14; Smoothing=3; Adaptive Thresholds=OFF.
Extremes: Base High=70, Base Low=30; Extreme Sensitivity=1.5; Confirm Extremes on Bar Close=ON; Cooldown=5; Dot size Small/Tiny.
Visuals: Heatmap ON; 3D depth optional; Strength bars ON; Pre-alerts OFF; Divergences ON with tags ON; Gradient candles OFF; Glow ON.
Dashboard: ON; Position=Top Right; Size=Normal; MTF ON; HTF=60m; compact overlay table on price chart.
Advanced caps: Max Oscillator Labels=80; Max Extreme Guide Lines=80; Divergence objects=60.
Dashboard: what each element means
Header: EPZ ANALYSIS.
Large readout: Current MPO; color reflects state (extreme, approaching, or neutral).
Status badge: "Extreme High/Low", "Approaching High/Low", "Bullish/Neutral/Bearish".
HTF cell (when MTF ON): Higher-timeframe MPO, color-coded vs extremes; updates intrabar, settles at HTF close.
Predicted (when MTF OFF): Simple MPO extrapolation using momentum/acceleration—illustrative only.
Thresholds: Current thrHigh/thrLow (static or adaptive).
Components: ASCII bars + values for PRV, MCD, PDI, SMF.
Market metrics: Volume Ratio (x) and ATR% of price.
Strength: Bar indicator of |MPO − 50| × 2.
Confidence: Heuristic gauge (100 in extremes, 70 in warnings, 50 with divergence, else |MPO − 50|). Convenience only, not probability.
How to read the oscillator
MPO Value (0–100): A reading of 50 is neutral. Values above ~55 are increasingly bullish (green), while below ~45 are increasingly bearish (red). Think of these as "market pressure".
Extreme Zones: When MPO climbs into the bright orange/red area (above the base-high line, default 70), the chart will display a dot and downward arrow marking that extreme. Traders often treat this as a sign to tighten stops or look for shorts. Similarly, a bright green dot/up-arrow appears when MPO falls below the base-low (30), hinting at a bullish setup.
Heatmap/Candles: If "Pressure Heatmap" is enabled, the background of the oscillator pane will fade green or red depending on MPO. Users can optionally color the price candles by MPO value (gradient candles) to see these extremes on the main chart.
Prediction Zone(optional): A dashed projection line extends the MPO forward by a small number of bars (prediction_bars) using current MPO momentum and acceleration. This is a heuristic extrapolation best used for short horizons (1–5 bars) to anticipate whether MPO may touch a warning or extreme zone. It is provisional and becomes less reliable with longer projection lengths — always confirm predicted moves with bar-close MPO and HTF context before acting.
Divergences: When price makes a higher high but EPZ makes a lower high (bearish divergence), the indicator can draw dotted lines and a "Bear Div" tag. The opposite (lower low price, higher EPZ) gives "Bull Div". These signals confirm waning momentum at extremes.
Zones: Warning bands near extremes; Extreme zones beyond thresholds.
Crossovers: MPO rising through 35 suggests easing downside pressure; falling through 65 suggests waning upside pressure.
Dots/arrows: Extreme markers appear on closed bars when confirmation is ON and respect the 5-bar cooldown.
Pre-alert dots (optional): Proximity cues in warning zones; also gated to bar close when confirmation is ON.
Histogram: Distance from neutral (50); highlights strengthening or weakening pressure.
Divergence tags: "Bear Div" = higher price high with lower MPO high; "Bull Div" = lower price low with higher MPO low.
Pressure Heatmap : Layered gradient background that visually highlights pressure strength across the MPO scale; adjustable intensity and optional zone overlays (warning / extreme) for quick visual scanning.
A typical reading: If the oscillator is rising from neutral towards the high zone (green→orange→red), the chart may see strong buying culminating in a stall. If it then turns down from the extreme, that peak EPZ dot signals sell pressure.
Alerts
EPZ: Extreme Context — fires on confirmed extremes (respects cooldown).
EPZ: Approaching Threshold — fires in warning zones if no extreme.
EPZ: Divergence — fires on confirmed pivot divergences.
Tip: Set alerts to "Once per bar close" to align with confirmation and avoid intrabar repaint.
Practical usage ideas
Trend continuation: In positive regimes (MPO > 50 and rising), pullbacks holding above 50 often precede continuation; mirror for bearish regimes.
Exhaustion caution: E High/E Low can mark exhaustion risk; many wait for MPO rollover or divergence to time fades or partial exits.
Adaptive thresholds: Useful on assets with shifting volatility regimes to maintain meaningful "extreme" levels.
MTF alignment: Prefer setups that agree with the HTF MPO to reduce countertrend noise.
Examples
Screenshots captured in TradingView Replay to freeze the bar at close so values don't fluctuate intrabar. These examples use default settings and are reproducible on the same bars; they are for illustration, not cherry-picking or performance claims.
Example 1 — BTCUSDT, 1h — E Low
MPO closed at 26.6 (below the 30 extreme), printing a confirmed E Low. HTF MPO is 26.6, so higher-timeframe pressure remains bearish. Components are subdued (Momentum/Pressure/Smart$ ≈ 29–37), with Vol Ratio ≈ 1.19x and ATR% ≈ 0.37%. A prior Bear Div flagged weakening impulse into the drop. With cooldown set to 5 bars, new extremes are rate-limited. Many traders wait for MPO to curl up and reclaim 35 or for a fresh Bull Div before considering countertrend ideas; if MPO cannot reclaim 35 and HTF stays weak, treat bounces cautiously. Educational illustration only.
Example 2 — ETHUSD, 30m — E High
A strong impulse pushed MPO into the extreme zone (≥ 70), printing a confirmed E High on close. Shortly after, MPO cooled to ~61.5 while a Bear Div appeared, showing momentum lag as price pushed a higher high. Volume and volatility were elevated (≈ 1.79x / 1.25%). With a 5-bar cooldown, additional extremes won't print immediately. Some treat E High as exhaustion risk—either waiting for MPO rollover under 65/50 to fade, or for a pullback that holds above 50 to re-join the trend if higher-timeframe pressure remains constructive. Educational illustration only.
Known limitations and caveats
The MPO line itself can change intrabar; extreme markers/alerts do not repaint when "Confirm Extremes on Bar Close" is ON.
HTF values settle at the close of the HTF bar.
Illiquid symbols or very low TFs can be noisy; consider higher thresholds or longer smoothing.
Prediction line (when enabled) is a visual extrapolation only.
For coders
Pine v6. MTF via request.security with lookahead_off.
Extremes include crossover triggers so static thresholds also yield E High/E Low.
Extreme markers and pre-alerts are gated by barstate.isconfirmed when confirmation is ON.
Arrays prune oldest objects to respect resource limits; defaults (80/80/60) are conservative for low TFs.
3D layering uses negative offsets purely for drawing depth (no lookahead).
Screenshot methodology:
To make labels legible and to demonstrate non-repainting behavior, the examples were captured in TradingView Replay with "Confirm Extremes on Bar Close" enabled. Replay is used only to freeze the bar at close so plots don't change intrabar. The examples use default settings, include both Extreme Low and Extreme High cases, and can be reproduced by scrolling to the same bars outside Replay. This is an educational illustration, not a performance claim.
Disclaimer
This script is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Markets involve risk; past behavior does not guarantee future results. You are responsible for your own testing, risk management, and decisions.
Wyszukaj w skryptach "马斯克+100万"
Swing EMAWhat is Swing EMA?
Swing EMA is an exponential moving average crossover-based indicator used for low-risk directional trading.
it's used for different types of Ema 20,50,100 and 200, 3 of them are plotted on chat 20,100,200.
100 and 200 Ema is used for showing support and resistance and it contains highlights area between them and its change color according to market crossover condition.
20 moving average is used for knowing Market Behaviour and changing its color according to crossover conditions of 50 and 20 Ema.
How does it work?
It contains 4 different types of moving averages 20,50,100, 200 out of 3 are plotted on the chart.
20 Ema is used for knowing current market behavior. Its changes its color based on the crossover of 50 Ema and 20 Ema, if 20 Ema is higher than 50 Ema then it changes its color to green, and its opposites are changed their color to red when 20 Ema is lower than 50 Ema.
100 and 200 Ema used as a support and resistance and is also contain highlighted areas between them its change their color based on the crossover if 100 Ema is higher than 200 Ema a then both of them are going to change color to Green and as an opposite, if 200 Ema is higher then 100 Ema is going to change its color to red.
So in simple word 100 and 200 Ema is used as support and resistance zone and 20 Ema is used to know current market behavior.
How to use it?
It is very easy to understand by looking at the example I gave where are the two different types of phrases. phrase bull phrase and bear phrase so 100 and 200 Ema is used as a support and resistance and to tell you which phrase is currently on the market on example there is a bull phrase on the left side and bear phrase on the right side by using your technical analysis you can find out a really good spot to buy your stocks on a bull phrase and too short on the bear phrase. 20 Ema is used as a knowing the current market behavior it doesn't make any difference on buying or selling as much as 100 Ema and 200 Ema.
Tips
Don't trade against the market.
Try trade on trending stocks rather than sideways stock.
The higher the area between 100 Ema and 200 Ema is the stronger the phrase.
Do Backtesting before real trading.
Enjoy Trading.
BossHouse - CCI ExtendedBossHouse - CCI Extended ( An Extended version of the Original CCI ).
The commodity channel index (CCI) is an oscillator originally introduced by Donald Lambert in 1980.
Guideline
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Lambert's trading guidelines for the CCI focused on movements above +100 and below −100 to generate buy and sell signals. Because about 70 to 80 percent of the CCI values are between +100 and −100, a buy or sell signal will be in force only 20 to 30 percent of the time. When the CCI moves above +100, a security is considered to be entering into a strong uptrend and a buy signal is given. The position should be closed when the CCI moves back below +100. When the CCI moves below −100, the security is considered to be in a strong downtrend and a sell signal is given. The position should be closed when the CCI moves back above −100.
Since Lambert's original guidelines, traders have also found the CCI valuable for identifying reversals. The CCI is a versatile indicator capable of producing a wide array of buy and sell signals.
CCI can be used to identify overbought and oversold levels. A security would be deemed oversold when the CCI dips below −100 and overbought when it exceeds +100. From oversold levels, a buy signal might be given when the CCI moves back above −100. From overbought levels, a sell signal might be given when the CCI moved back below +100.
As with most oscillators, divergences can also be applied to increase the robustness of signals. A positive divergence below −100 would increase the robustness of a signal based on a move back above −100. A negative divergence above +100 would increase the robustness of a signal based on a move back below +100.
Trend line breaks can be used to generate signals. Trend lines can be drawn connecting the peaks and troughs. From oversold levels, an advance above −100 and trend line breakout could be considered bullish. From overbought levels, a decline below +100 and a trend line break could be considered bearish.
Settings
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Show 0 line
Lenght
Source
Any help and suggestions will be appreciated.
Marcos Issler @ Isslerman
marcos@bosshouse.com.br
Smart Money Flow Index (SMFI) - Advanced SMC [PhenLabs]📊Smart Money Flow Index (SMFI)
Version: PineScript™v6
📌Description
The Smart Money Flow Index (SMFI) is an advanced Smart Money Concepts implementation that tracks institutional trading behavior through multi-dimensional analysis. This comprehensive indicator combines volume-validated Order Block detection, Fair Value Gap identification with auto-mitigation tracking, dynamic Liquidity Zone mapping, and Break of Structure/Change of Character detection into a unified system.
Unlike basic SMC indicators, SMFI employs a proprietary scoring algorithm that weighs five critical factors: Order Block strength (validated by volume), Fair Value Gap size and recency, proximity to Liquidity Zones, market structure alignment (BOS/CHoCH), and multi-timeframe confluence. This produces a Smart Money Score (0-100) where readings above 70 represent optimal institutional setup conditions.
🚀Points of Innovation
Volume-Validated Order Block Detection – Only displays Order Blocks when formation candle exceeds customizable volume multiplier (default 1.5x average), filtering weak zones and highlighting true institutional accumulation/distribution
Auto-Mitigation Tracking System – Fair Value Gaps and Order Blocks automatically update status when price mitigates them, with visual distinction between active and filled zones preventing trades on dead levels
Proprietary Smart Money Score Algorithm – Combines weighted factors (OB strength 25%, FVG proximity 20%, Liquidity 20%, Structure 20%, MTF 15%) into single 0-100 confidence rating updating in real-time
ATR-Based Adaptive Calculations – All distance measurements use 14-period Average True Range ensuring consistent function across any instrument, timeframe, or volatility regime without manual recalibration
Dynamic Age Filtering – Automatically removes liquidity levels and FVGs older than configurable thresholds preventing chart clutter while maintaining relevant levels
Multi-Timeframe Confluence Integration – Analyzes higher timeframe bias with customizable multipliers (2-10x) and incorporates HTF trend direction into Smart Money Score for institutional alignment
🔧Core Components
Order Block Engine – Detects institutional supply/demand zones using characteristic patterns (down-move-then-strong-up for bullish, up-move-then-strong-down for bearish) with minimum volume threshold validation, tracks mitigation when price closes through zones
Fair Value Gap Scanner – Identifies price imbalances where current candle's low/high leaves gap with two-candle-prior high/low, filters by minimum size percentage, monitors 50% fill for mitigation status
Liquidity Zone Mapper – Uses pivot high/low detection with configurable lookback to mark swing points where stop losses cluster, extends horizontal lines to visualize sweep targets, manages lifecycle through age-based removal
Market Structure Analyzer – Tracks pivot progression to identify trend through higher-highs/higher-lows (bullish) or lower-highs/lower-lows (bearish), detects Break of Structure and Change of Character for trend/reversal confirmation
Scoring Calculation Engine – Evaluates proximity to nearest Order Blocks using ATR-normalized distance, assesses FVG recency and distance, calculates liquidity proximity with age weighting, combines structure bias and MTF trend into smoothed final score
🔥Key Features
Customizable Display Limits – Control maximum Order Blocks (1-10), Liquidity Zones (1-10), and FVG age (10-200 bars) to maintain clean charts focused on most relevant institutional levels
Gradient Strength Visualization – All zones render with transparency-adjustable coloring where stronger/newer zones appear more solid and weaker/older zones fade progressively providing instant visual hierarchy
Educational Label System – Optional labels identify each zone type (Bullish OB, Bearish OB, Bullish FVG, Bearish FVG, BOS) with color-coded text helping traders learn SMC concepts through practical application
Real-Time Smart Money Score Dashboard – Top-right table displays current score (0-100) with color coding (green >70, yellow 30-70, red <30) plus trend arrow for at-a-glance confidence assessment
Comprehensive Alert Suite – Configurable notifications for Order Block formation, Fair Value Gap detection, Break of Structure events, Change of Character signals, and high Smart Money Score readings (>70)
Buy/Sell Signal Integration – Automatically plots triangle markers when Smart Money Score exceeds 70 with aligned market structure and fresh Order Block detection providing clear entry signals
🎨Visualization
Order Block Boxes – Shaded rectangles extend from formation bar spanning high-to-low of institutional candle, bullish zones in green, bearish in red, with customizable transparency (80-98%)
Fair Value Gap Zones – Rectangular areas marking imbalances, active FVGs display in bright colors with adjustable transparency, mitigated FVGs switch to gray preventing trades on filled zones
Liquidity Level Lines – Dashed horizontal lines extend from pivot creation points, swing highs in bearish color (short targets above), swing lows in bullish color (long targets below), opacity decreases with age
Structure Labels – "BOS" labels appear above/below price when Break of Structure confirmed, colored by direction (green bullish, red bearish), positioned at 1% beyond highs/lows for visibility
Educational Info Panel – Bottom-right table explains key terminology (OB, FVG, BOS, CHoCH) and score interpretation (>70 high probability) with semi-transparent background for readability
📖Usage Guidelines
General Settings
Show Order Blocks – Default: On, toggles visibility of institutional supply/demand zones, disable when focusing solely on FVGs or Liquidity
Show Fair Value Gaps – Default: On, controls FVG zone display including active and mitigated imbalances
Show Liquidity Zones – Default: On, manages liquidity line visibility, disable on lower timeframes to reduce clutter
Show Market Structure – Default: On, toggles BOS/CHoCH label display
Show Smart Money Score – Default: On, controls score dashboard visibility
Order Block Settings
OB Lookback Period – Default: 20, Range: 5-100, controls bars scanned for Order Block patterns, lower values detect recent activity, higher values find older blocks
Min Volume Multiplier – Default: 1.5, Range: 1.0-5.0, sets minimum volume threshold as multiple of 20-period average, higher values (2.0+) filter for strongest institutional candles
Max Order Blocks to Display – Default: 3, Range: 1-10, limits simultaneous Order Blocks shown, lower settings (1-3) maintain focus on most recent zones
Fair Value Gap Settings
Min FVG Size (%) – Default: 0.3, Range: 0.1-2.0, defines minimum gap size as percentage of close price, lower values detect micro-imbalances, higher values focus on significant gaps
Max FVG Age (bars) – Default: 50, Range: 10-200, removes FVGs older than specified bars, lower settings (10-30) for scalping, higher (100-200) for swing trading
Show FVG Mitigation – Default: On, displays filled FVGs in gray providing visual history, disable to show only active untouched imbalances
Liquidity Zone Settings
Liquidity Lookback – Default: 50, Range: 20-200, sets pivot detection period for swing highs/lows, lower values (20-50) mark shorter-term liquidity, higher (100-200) identify major swings
Max Liquidity Age (bars) – Default: 100, Range: 20-500, removes liquidity lines older than specified bars, adjust based on timeframe
Liquidity Sensitivity – Default: 0.5, Range: 0.1-1.0, controls pivot detection sensitivity, lower values mark only major swings, higher values identify minor swings
Max Liquidity Zones to Display – Default: 3, Range: 1-10, limits total liquidity levels shown maintaining chart clarity
Market Structure Settings
Pivot Length – Default: 5, Range: 3-15, defines bars to left/right for pivot validation, lower values (3-5) create sensitive structure breaks, higher (10-15) filter for major shifts
Min Structure Move (%) – Default: 1.0, Range: 0.1-5.0, sets minimum percentage move required between pivots to confirm structure change
Multi-Timeframe Settings
Enable MTF Analysis – Default: On, activates higher timeframe trend analysis incorporation into Smart Money Score
Higher Timeframe Multiplier – Default: 4, Range: 2-10, multiplies current timeframe to determine analysis timeframe (4x on 15min = 1hour)
Visual Settings
Bullish Color – Default: Green (#089981), sets color for bullish Order Blocks, FVGs, and structure elements
Bearish Color – Default: Red (#f23645), defines color for bearish elements
Neutral Color – Default: Gray (#787b86), controls color of mitigated zones and neutral elements
Show Educational Labels – Default: On, displays text labels on zones identifying type (OB, FVG, BOS), disable once familiar with patterns
Order Block Transparency – Default: 92, Range: 80-98, controls Order Block box transparency
FVG Transparency – Default: 92, Range: 80-98, sets Fair Value Gap zone transparency independently from Order Blocks
Alert Settings
Alert on Order Block Formation – Default: On, triggers notification when new volume-validated Order Block detected
Alert on FVG Formation – Default: On, sends alert when Fair Value Gap appears enabling quick response to imbalances
Alert on Break of Structure – Default: On, notifies when BOS or CHoCH confirmed
Alert on High Smart Money Score – Default: On, alerts when Smart Money Score crosses above 70 threshold indicating high-probability setup
✅Best Use Cases
Order Block Retest Entries – After Break of Structure, wait for price retrace into fresh bullish Order Block with Smart Money Score >70, enter long on zone reaction targeting next liquidity level
Fair Value Gap Retracement Trading – When price creates FVG during strong move then retraces, enter as price approaches unfilled gap expecting institutional orders to continue trend
Liquidity Sweep Reversals – Monitor price approaching swing high/low liquidity zones against prevailing Smart Money Score trend, after stop hunt sweep watch for rejection into premium Order Block/FVG
Multi-Timeframe Confluence Setups – Identify alignment when current timeframe Order Block coincides with higher timeframe FVG plus MTF analysis showing matching trend bias
Break of Structure Continuations – After BOS confirms trend direction, trade pullbacks to nearest Order Block or FVG in direction of structure break using Smart Money Score >70 as entry filter
Change of Character Reversal Plays – When CHoCH detected indicating potential reversal, look for Smart Money Score pivot with opposing Order Block formation then enter on structure confirmation
⚠️Limitations
Lagging Pivot Calculations – Pivot-based features (Liquidity Zones, Market Structure) require bars to right of pivot for confirmation, meaning these elements identify levels retrospectively with delay equal to lookback period
Whipsaw in Ranging Markets – During choppy conditions, Order Blocks fail frequently and structure breaks produce false signals as Smart Money Score fluctuates without clear institutional bias, best used in trending markets
Volume Data Dependency – Order Block volume validation requires accurate volume data which may be incomplete on Forex pairs or limited in crypto exchange feeds
Subjectivity in Scoring Weights – Proprietary 25-20-20-20-15 weighting reflects general institutional behavior but may not optimize for specific instruments or market regimes, user cannot adjust factor weights
Visual Complexity on Lower Timeframes – Sub-hour timeframes generate excessive zones creating cluttered charts, requires aggressive display limit reduction and higher minimum thresholds
No Fundamental Integration – Indicator analyzes purely technical price action and volume without incorporating economic events, news catalysts, or fundamental shifts that override technical levels
💡What Makes This Unique
Unified SMC Ecosystem – Unlike indicators displaying Order Blocks OR FVGs OR Liquidity separately, SMFI combines all three institutional concepts plus market structure into single cohesive system
Proprietary Confidence Scoring – Rather than manual setup assessment, automated Smart Money Score quantifies probability by weighting five institutional dimensions into actionable 0-100 rating
Volume-Filtered Quality – Eliminates weak Order Blocks forming without institutional volume confirmation, ensuring displayed zones represent genuine accumulation/distribution
Adaptive Lifecycle Management – Automatically updates mitigation status and removes aged zones preventing trades on dead levels through continuous validity and age monitoring
Educational Integration – Built-in tooltips, labeled zones, and reference panel make indicator functional for both learning Smart Money Concepts and executing strategies
🔬How It Works
Order Block Detection – Scans for patterns where strong directional move follows counter-move creating last down-candle before rally (bullish OB) or last up-candle before sell-off (bearish OB), validates formations only when candle exhibits volume exceeding configurable multiple (default 1.5x) of 20-bar average volume
Fair Value Gap Identification – Compares current candle’s high/low against two-candles-prior low/high to detect price imbalances, calculates gap size as percentage of close and filters micro-gaps below minimum threshold (default 0.3%), monitors whether subsequent price fills 50% triggering mitigation status
Liquidity Zone Mapping – Employs pivot detection using configurable lookback (default 50 bars) to identify swing highs/lows where retail stops cluster, extends horizontal reference lines from pivot creation and applies age-based filtering to remove stale zones
Market Structure Analysis – Tracks pivot progression using structure-specific lookback (default 5 bars) to determine trend, confirms uptrend when new pivot high exceeds previous by minimum move percentage, detects Break of Structure when price breaks recent pivot level, flags Change of Character for potential reversals
Multi-Timeframe Confluence – When enabled, requests security data from higher timeframe (current TF × HTF multiplier, default 4x), compares HTF close against HTF 20-period MA to determine bias, contributes ±50 points to score ensuring alignment with institutional positioning on superior timeframe
Smart Money Score Calculation – Evaluates Order Block component via ATR-normalized distance producing max 100-point contribution weighted at 25%, assesses FVG factor through age penalty and distance at 20% weight, calculates Liquidity proximity at 20%, incorporates structure bias (±50-100 points) at 20%, adds MTF component at 15%, applies 3-period smoothing to reduce volatility
Visual Rendering and Lifecycle – Draws Order Block boxes, Fair Value Gap rectangles with color coding (green/red active, gray mitigated), extends liquidity dashed lines with fade-by-age opacity, plots BOS labels, displays Smart Money Score dashboard, continuously updates checking mitigation conditions and removing elements exceeding age/display limits
💡Note:
The Smart Money Flow Index combines multiple Smart Money Concepts into unified institutional order flow analysis. For optimal results, use the Smart Money Score as confluence filter rather than standalone entry signal – scores above 70 indicate high-probability setups but should be combined with risk management, higher timeframe bias, and market regime understanding.
LA - Opening Price based Previous day Range PivotThis "LA - Opening Price based Previous day Range Pivot" indicator is a custom technical analysis tool designed for Trading View charts. It plots support and resistance levels (often referred to as pivots or ranges) based on the current opening price combined with the previous period's trading range. The "previous period" can be daily, weekly, or monthly, making it a multi-timeframe tool. These levels are projected using Fibonacci-inspired multipliers to create potential breakout or reversal zones.
The core idea is inspired by concepts like the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) strategy or Fibonacci pivots, but it's customized here to use a dynamic range calculation (the maximum of several absolute price differences) rather than a simple high-low range. This makes it more robust for volatile markets. Levels are symmetric above (resistance) and below (support) the opening price, helping traders identify potential entry/exit points, stop-losses, or targets. This will be useful when there is a gap-up/down as in Nifty/Sensex .
Purpose of the Indicator:
To visualize potential support/resistance zones for the current trading session based on the opening price and historical range data. This helps traders anticipate price movements, such as breakouts above resistance or bounces off support
Use Cases:
Intraday Trading: On lower timeframes (e.g., 5-min or 15-min charts), it shows daily levels for short-term trades.
Swing Trading: On higher timeframes (e.g., hourly or daily), it displays weekly/monthly levels for longer holds.
Range Identification: The filled bands highlight "zones" where price might consolidate or reverse.
Conditional Display: Levels only appear on appropriate timeframes (e.g., daily levels on intraday charts <60min), preventing clutter.
Theoretical Basis: It builds on pivot point theory, where the opening price acts as a central pivot. Multipliers (e.g., 0.618 for Fibonacci golden ratio) project levels, assuming price often respects these ratios due to market psychology.
How Calculations Work
Let's dive into the math with examples. Assume a stock with:
Current daily open (cdo) = $100
Previous daily high (pdh) = $105, low (pdl) = $95, close (pdc) = $102, close 2 days ago (pdc2) = $98
Step 1: Dynamic Range Calculation (var_d2):
This is the max of:
|pdh - pdc2| = |105 - 98| = 7
|pdl - pdc2| = |95 - 98| = 3
|pdh - pdl| = |105 - 95| = 10 (previous day range)
|pdh - cdo| = |105 - 100| = 5
|pdl - cdo| = |95 - 100| = 5
|pdc - cdo| = |102 - 100| = 2
|pdc2 - cdo| = |98 - 100| = 2
Max = 10 (so range = 10). This ensures the range accounts for gaps and extended moves, not just high-low.
Step 2: Level Projections:
Resistance (above open): Open + (Range * Multiplier)
dre6 = 100 + (10 * 1.5) = 115
dre5 = 100 + (10 * 1.27) ≈ 112.7
... down to dre0 = 100 + (10 * 0.1) = 101
dre50 = 100 + (10 * 0.5) = 105 (midpoint)
Support (below open): Open - (Range * Multiplier)
dsu0 = 100 - (10 * 0.1) = 99
... up to dsu6 = 100 - (10 * 1.5) = 85
Without Indicator
With Indicator
Pros and Cons
Pros:
Multi-Timeframe Flexibility: Seamlessly integrates daily, weekly, and monthly levels, useful for aligning short-term trades with longer trends (e.g., intraday breakout confirmed by weekly support).
Dynamic Range Calculation: Unlike standard pivots (just (H+L+C)/3), it uses max of multiple diffs, capturing gaps/volatility better—great for stocks with overnight moves.
Customizable via Inputs: Users can toggle levels, adjust multipliers, or change timeframes without editing code. Inline inputs keep the UI clean.
Visual Aids: Filled bands make zones obvious; conditional colors highlight "tight" vs. "wide" ranges (e.g., for volatility assessment).
Fibonacci Integration: Levels based on proven ratios, appealing to technical traders. Symmetric supports/resistances simplify strategy building (e.g., buy at support, sell at resistance).
No Repainting: Uses historical data with lookahead, so levels are fixed once calculated—reliable for back-testing.
Cons:
Chart Clutter: With all toggles on, 50+ plots/fills can overwhelm the chart, especially on mobile or small screens. Requires manual disabling.
Complexity for Beginners: Many inputs and calculations; without understanding fib ratios or range logic, it might confuse new users.
Performance Overhead: On low timeframes (e.g., 1-min), fetching higher TF data multiple times could lag, especially with many symbols or back-tests.
Assumes Volatility Persistence: Relies on previous range projecting future moves; in low-vol markets (e.g., sideways trends), levels may be irrelevant or too wide/narrow.
No Alerts or Signals: Purely visual; no built-in buy/sell alerts or crossover conditions—users must add separately.
Hardcoded Styles/Colors: Limited customization without code edits (e.g., can't change line styles via inputs).
Also, not optimized for non-stock assets (e.g., forex with 24/7 trading).
In summary, this is a versatile pivot tool for range-based trading based on Opening price, excelling in volatile markets but requiring some setup. If you're using it, start with defaults on a daily chart and toggle off unnecessary levels.
Guitar Hero [theUltimator5]The Guitar Hero indicator transforms traditional oscillator signals into a visually engaging, game-like display reminiscent of the popular Guitar Hero video game. Instead of standard line plots, this indicator presents oscillator values as colored segments or blocks, making it easier to quickly identify market conditions at a glance.
Choose from 8 different technical oscillators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Stochastic %K
Stochastic %D
Williams %R
CCI (Commodity Channel Index)
MFI (Money Flow Index)
TSI (True Strength Index)
Ultimate Oscillator
Visual Display Modes
1) Boxes Mode : Creates distinct rectangular boxes for each bar, providing a clean, segmented appearance. (default)
This visual display is limited by the amount of box plots that TradingView allows on each indictor, so it will only plot a limited history. If you want to view a similar visual display that has minor breaks between boxes, then use the fill mode.
2) Fill Mode : Uses filled areas between plot boundaries.
Use this mode when you want to view the plots further back in history without the strict drawing limitations.
Five-Level Color-Coded System
The indicator normalizes all oscillator values to a 0-100 scale and categorizes them into five distinct levels:
Level 1 (Red): Very Oversold (0-19)
Level 2 (Orange): Oversold (20-29)
Level 3 (Yellow): Neutral (30-70)
Level 4 (Aqua): Overbought (71-80)
Level 5 (Lime): Very Overbought (81-100)
Customization Options
Signal Parameters
Signal Length: Primary period for oscillator calculation (default: 14)
Signal Length 2: Secondary period for Stochastic %D and TSI (default: 3)
Signal Length 3: Tertiary period for TSI calculation (default: 25)
Display Controls
Show Horizontal Reference Lines: Toggle grid lines for better level identification
Show Information Table: Display current signal type, value, and normalized value
Table Position: Choose from 9 different screen positions for the info table
Display Mode: Switch between Boxes and Fills visualization
Max Bars to Display: Control how many historical bars to show (50-450 range)
Normalization Process
The indicator automatically normalizes different oscillator ranges to a consistent 0-100 scale:
Williams %R: Converts from -100/0 range to 0-100
CCI: Maps typical -300/+300 range to 0-100
TSI: Transforms -100/+100 range to 0-100
Other oscillators: Already use 0-100 scale (RSI, Stochastic, MFI, Ultimate Oscillator)
This was designed as an educational tool
The gamified approach makes learning about oscillators more engaging for new traders.
FlowScape PredictorFlowScape Predictor is a non-repainting, regime-aware entry qualifier that turns complex market context into two readiness scores (Long & Short, each 0/25/50/75/100) and clean, confirmed-bar signals. It blends three orthogonal pillars so you act only when trend energy, momentum, and location agree:
Regime (energy): ATR-normalized linear-regression slope of a smooth HMA → EMA baseline, gated by ADX to confirm when pressure is meaningful.
Momentum (push): RSI slope alignment so price has directional follow-through, not just drift.
Structure (location): proximity to pivot-confirmed swings, scaled by ATR, so “ready” appears near constructive pullbacks—not mid-trend chases.
A soft ATR cloud wraps the baseline for context. A yellow Predictive Baseline extends beyond the last bar to visualize near-term trajectory. It is visual-only: scores/alerts never use it.
What you see
Baseline line that turns green/red when regime is strong in that direction; gray when weak.
ATR cloud around the baseline (context for stretch and pullbacks).
Scores (Long & Short, 0–100 in steps of 25) and optional “L/S” icons on bar close.
Yellow Predictive Baseline that extends to the right for a few bars (visual trajectory of the smoothed baseline).
The scoring system (simple and transparent)
Each side (Long/Short) sums four binary checks, 25 points each:
Regime aligned: trendStrong is true and LR slope sign favors that side.
Momentum aligned: RSI side (>50 for Long, <50 for Short) and RSI slope confirms direction.
Baseline side: price is above (Long) / below (Short) the baseline.
Location constructive: distance from the last confirmed pivot is healthy (ATR-scaled; not overstretched).
Valid totals are 0, 25, 50, 75, 100.
Best-quality signal: 100/0 (your side/opposite) on bar close.
Good, still valid: 75/0, especially when the missing block is only “location” right as price re-engages the cloud/baseline.
Avoid: 75/25 or any opposition > 0 in a weak (gray) regime.
The Predictive (Kalman) line — what it is and isn’t
The yellow line is a visual forward extension of the smoothed baseline to help you see the current trajectory and time pullback resumptions. It does not predict price and is excluded from scores and alerts.
How it’s built (plain English):
We maintain a one-dimensional Kalman state x as a smoothed estimate of the baseline. Each bar we observe the current baseline z.
The filter adjusts its trust using the Kalman gain K = P / (P + R) and updates:
x := x + K*(z − x), then P := (1 − K)*P + Q.
Q (process noise): Higher Q → expects faster change → tracks turns quicker (less smoothing).
R (measurement noise): Higher R → trusts raw baseline less → smoother, steadier projection.
What you control:
Lead (how many bars forward to draw).
Kalman Q/R (visual smoothness vs. responsiveness).
Toggle the line on/off if you prefer a minimal chart.
Important: The predictive line extends the baseline, not price. It’s a visual timing aid—don’t automate off it.
How to use (step-by-step)
Keep the chart clean and use a standard OHLC/candlestick chart.
Read the regime: Prefer trades with green/red baseline (trendStrong = true).
Check scores on bar close:
Take Long 100 / Short 0 or Long 75 / Short 0 when the chart shows a tidy pullback re-engaging the cloud/baseline.
Mirror the logic for shorts.
Confirm location: If price is > ~1.5 ATR from its reference pivot, let it come back—avoid chasing.
Set alerts: Add an alert on Long Ready or Short Ready; these fire on closed bars only.
Risk management: Use ATR-buffered stops beyond the recent pivot; target fixed-R multiples (e.g., 1.5–3.0R). Manage the trade with the baseline/cloud if you trail.
Best-practice playbook (quick rules)
Green light: 100/0 (best) or 75/0 (good) on bar close in a colored (non-gray) regime.
Location first: Prefer entries near the baseline/cloud right after a pullback, not far above/below it.
Avoid mixed signals: Skip 75/25 and anything with opposition while the baseline is gray.
Use the yellow line with discretion: It helps you see rhythm; it’s not a signal source.
Timeframes & tuning (practical defaults)
Intraday indices/FX (5m–15m): Demand 100/0 in chop; allow 75/0 when ADX is awake and pullback is clean.
Crypto intraday (15m–1h): Prefer 100/0; 75/0 on the first pullback after a regime turn.
Swing (1h–4h/D1): 75/0 is often sufficient; 100/0 is excellent (fewer but cleaner signals).
If choppy: raise ADX threshold, raise the readiness bar (insist on 100/0), or lengthen the RSI slope window.
What makes FlowScape different
Energy-first regime filter: ATR-normalized LR slope + ADX gate yields a consistent read of trend quality across symbols and timeframes.
Location-aware entries: ATR-scaled pivot proximity discourages mid-air chases, encouraging pullback timing.
Separation of concerns: The predictive line is visual-only, while scores/alerts are confirmed on close for non-repainting behavior.
One simple score per side: A single 0–100 readiness figure is easier to tune than juggling multiple indicators.
Transparency & limitations
Scores are coarse by design (25-point blocks). They’re a gatekeeper, not a promise of outcomes.
Pivots confirm after right-side bars, so structure signals appear after swings form (non-repainting by design).
Avoid using non-standard chart types (Heikin Ashi, Renko, Range, etc.) for signals; use a clean, standard chart.
No lookahead, no higher-timeframe requests; alerts fire on closed bars only.
Wavelet-Trend ML Integration [Alpha Extract]Alpha-Extract Volatility Quality Indicator
The Alpha-Extract Volatility Quality (AVQ) Indicator provides traders with deep insights into market volatility by measuring the directional strength of price movements. This sophisticated momentum-based tool helps identify overbought and oversold conditions, offering actionable buy and sell signals based on volatility trends and standard deviation bands.
🔶 CALCULATION
The indicator processes volatility quality data through a series of analytical steps:
Bar Range Calculation: Measures true range (TR) to capture price volatility.
Directional Weighting: Applies directional bias (positive for bullish candles, negative for bearish) to the true range.
VQI Computation: Uses an exponential moving average (EMA) of weighted volatility to derive the Volatility Quality Index (VQI).
Smoothing: Applies an additional EMA to smooth the VQI for clearer signals.
Normalization: Optionally normalizes VQI to a -100/+100 scale based on historical highs and lows.
Standard Deviation Bands: Calculates three upper and lower bands using standard deviation multipliers for volatility thresholds.
Signal Generation: Produces overbought/oversold signals when VQI reaches extreme levels (±200 in normalized mode).
Formula:
Bar Range = True Range (TR)
Weighted Volatility = Bar Range × (Close > Open ? 1 : Close < Open ? -1 : 0)
VQI Raw = EMA(Weighted Volatility, VQI Length)
VQI Smoothed = EMA(VQI Raw, Smoothing Length)
VQI Normalized = ((VQI Smoothed - Lowest VQI) / (Highest VQI - Lowest VQI) - 0.5) × 200
Upper Band N = VQI Smoothed + (StdDev(VQI Smoothed, VQI Length) × Multiplier N)
Lower Band N = VQI Smoothed - (StdDev(VQI Smoothed, VQI Length) × Multiplier N)
🔶 DETAILS
Visual Features:
VQI Plot: Displays VQI as a line or histogram (lime for positive, red for negative).
Standard Deviation Bands: Plots three upper and lower bands (teal for upper, grayscale for lower) to indicate volatility thresholds.
Reference Levels: Horizontal lines at 0 (neutral), +100, and -100 (in normalized mode) for context.
Zone Highlighting: Overbought (⋎ above bars) and oversold (⋏ below bars) signals for extreme VQI levels (±200 in normalized mode).
Candle Coloring: Optional candle overlay colored by VQI direction (lime for positive, red for negative).
Interpretation:
VQI ≥ 200 (Normalized): Overbought condition, strong sell signal.
VQI 100–200: High volatility, potential selling opportunity.
VQI 0–100: Neutral bullish momentum.
VQI 0 to -100: Neutral bearish momentum.
VQI -100 to -200: High volatility, strong bearish momentum.
VQI ≤ -200 (Normalized): Oversold condition, strong buy signal.
🔶 EXAMPLES
Overbought Signal Detection: When VQI exceeds 200 (normalized), the indicator flags potential market tops with a red ⋎ symbol.
Example: During strong uptrends, VQI reaching 200 has historically preceded corrections, allowing traders to secure profits.
Oversold Signal Detection: When VQI falls below -200 (normalized), a lime ⋏ symbol highlights potential buying opportunities.
Example: In bearish markets, VQI dropping below -200 has marked reversal points for profitable long entries.
Volatility Trend Tracking: The VQI plot and bands help traders visualize shifts in market momentum.
Example: A rising VQI crossing above zero with widening bands indicates strengthening bullish momentum, guiding traders to hold or enter long positions.
Dynamic Support/Resistance: Standard deviation bands act as dynamic volatility thresholds during price movements.
Example: Price reversals often occur near the third standard deviation bands, providing reliable entry/exit points during volatile periods.
🔶 SETTINGS
Customization Options:
VQI Length: Adjust the EMA period for VQI calculation (default: 14, range: 1–50).
Smoothing Length: Set the EMA period for smoothing (default: 5, range: 1–50).
Standard Deviation Multipliers: Customize multipliers for bands (defaults: 1.0, 2.0, 3.0).
Normalization: Toggle normalization to -100/+100 scale and adjust lookback period (default: 200, min: 50).
Display Style: Switch between line or histogram plot for VQI.
Candle Overlay: Enable/disable VQI-colored candles (lime for positive, red for negative).
The Alpha-Extract Volatility Quality Indicator empowers traders with a robust tool to navigate market volatility. By combining directional price range analysis with smoothed volatility metrics, it identifies overbought and oversold conditions, offering clear buy and sell signals. The customizable standard deviation bands and optional normalization provide precise context for market conditions, enabling traders to make informed decisions across various market cycles.
Volatility Quality [Alpha Extract]The Alpha-Extract Volatility Quality (AVQ) Indicator provides traders with deep insights into market volatility by measuring the directional strength of price movements. This sophisticated momentum-based tool helps identify overbought and oversold conditions, offering actionable buy and sell signals based on volatility trends and standard deviation bands.
🔶 CALCULATION
The indicator processes volatility quality data through a series of analytical steps:
Bar Range Calculation: Measures true range (TR) to capture price volatility.
Directional Weighting: Applies directional bias (positive for bullish candles, negative for bearish) to the true range.
VQI Computation: Uses an exponential moving average (EMA) of weighted volatility to derive the Volatility Quality Index (VQI).
vqiRaw = ta.ema(weightedVol, vqiLen)
Smoothing: Applies an additional EMA to smooth the VQI for clearer signals.
Normalization: Optionally normalizes VQI to a -100/+100 scale based on historical highs and lows.
Standard Deviation Bands: Calculates three upper and lower bands using standard deviation multipliers for volatility thresholds.
vqiStdev = ta.stdev(vqiSmoothed, vqiLen)
upperBand1 = vqiSmoothed + (vqiStdev * stdevMultiplier1)
upperBand2 = vqiSmoothed + (vqiStdev * stdevMultiplier2)
upperBand3 = vqiSmoothed + (vqiStdev * stdevMultiplier3)
lowerBand1 = vqiSmoothed - (vqiStdev * stdevMultiplier1)
lowerBand2 = vqiSmoothed - (vqiStdev * stdevMultiplier2)
lowerBand3 = vqiSmoothed - (vqiStdev * stdevMultiplier3)
Signal Generation: Produces overbought/oversold signals when VQI reaches extreme levels (±200 in normalized mode).
Formula:
Bar Range = True Range (TR)
Weighted Volatility = Bar Range × (Close > Open ? 1 : Close < Open ? -1 : 0)
VQI Raw = EMA(Weighted Volatility, VQI Length)
VQI Smoothed = EMA(VQI Raw, Smoothing Length)
VQI Normalized = ((VQI Smoothed - Lowest VQI) / (Highest VQI - Lowest VQI) - 0.5) × 200
Upper Band N = VQI Smoothed + (StdDev(VQI Smoothed, VQI Length) × Multiplier N)
Lower Band N = VQI Smoothed - (StdDev(VQI Smoothed, VQI Length) × Multiplier N)
🔶 DETAILS
Visual Features:
VQI Plot: Displays VQI as a line or histogram (lime for positive, red for negative).
Standard Deviation Bands: Plots three upper and lower bands (teal for upper, grayscale for lower) to indicate volatility thresholds.
Reference Levels: Horizontal lines at 0 (neutral), +100, and -100 (in normalized mode) for context.
Zone Highlighting: Overbought (⋎ above bars) and oversold (⋏ below bars) signals for extreme VQI levels (±200 in normalized mode).
Candle Coloring: Optional candle overlay colored by VQI direction (lime for positive, red for negative).
Interpretation:
VQI ≥ 200 (Normalized): Overbought condition, strong sell signal.
VQI 100–200: High volatility, potential selling opportunity.
VQI 0–100: Neutral bullish momentum.
VQI 0 to -100: Neutral bearish momentum.
VQI -100 to -200: High volatility, strong bearish momentum.
VQI ≤ -200 (Normalized): Oversold condition, strong buy signal.
🔶 EXAMPLES
Overbought Signal Detection: When VQI exceeds 200 (normalized), the indicator flags potential market tops with a red ⋎ symbol.
Example: During strong uptrends, VQI reaching 200 has historically preceded corrections, allowing traders to secure profits.
Oversold Signal Detection: When VQI falls below -200 (normalized), a lime ⋏ symbol highlights potential buying opportunities.
Example: In bearish markets, VQI dropping below -200 has marked reversal points for profitable long entries.
Volatility Trend Tracking: The VQI plot and bands help traders visualize shifts in market momentum.
Example: A rising VQI crossing above zero with widening bands indicates strengthening bullish momentum, guiding traders to hold or enter long positions.
Dynamic Support/Resistance: Standard deviation bands act as dynamic volatility thresholds during price movements.
Example: Price reversals often occur near the third standard deviation bands, providing reliable entry/exit points during volatile periods.
🔶 SETTINGS
Customization Options:
VQI Length: Adjust the EMA period for VQI calculation (default: 14, range: 1–50).
Smoothing Length: Set the EMA period for smoothing (default: 5, range: 1–50).
Standard Deviation Multipliers: Customize multipliers for bands (defaults: 1.0, 2.0, 3.0).
Normalization: Toggle normalization to -100/+100 scale and adjust lookback period (default: 200, min: 50).
Display Style: Switch between line or histogram plot for VQI.
Candle Overlay: Enable/disable VQI-colored candles (lime for positive, red for negative).
The Alpha-Extract Volatility Quality Indicator empowers traders with a robust tool to navigate market volatility. By combining directional price range analysis with smoothed volatility metrics, it identifies overbought and oversold conditions, offering clear buy and sell signals. The customizable standard deviation bands and optional normalization provide precise context for market conditions, enabling traders to make informed decisions across various market cycles.
RSI Weighted Trend System I [InvestorUnknown]The RSI Weighted Trend System I is an experimental indicator designed to combine both slow-moving trend indicators for stable trend identification and fast-moving indicators to capture potential major turning points in the market. The novelty of this system lies in the dynamic weighting mechanism, where fast indicators receive weight based on the current Relative Strength Index (RSI) value, thus providing a flexible tool for traders seeking to adapt their strategies to varying market conditions.
Dynamic RSI-Based Weighting System
The core of the indicator is the dynamic weighting of fast indicators based on the value of the RSI. In essence, the higher the absolute value of the RSI (whether positive or negative), the higher the weight assigned to the fast indicators. This enables the system to capture rapid price movements around potential turning points.
Users can choose between a threshold-based or continuous weight system:
Threshold-Based Weighting: Fast indicators are activated only when the absolute RSI value exceeds a user-defined threshold. Below this threshold, fast indicators receive no weight.
Continuous Weighting: By setting the weight threshold to zero, the fast indicators always receive some weight, although this can result in more false signals in ranging markets.
// Calculate weight for Fast Indicators based on RSI (Slow Indicator weight is kept to 1 for simplicity)
f_RSI_Weight_System(series float rsi, simple float weight_thre) =>
float fast_weight = na
float slow_weight = na
if weight_thre > 0
if math.abs(rsi) <= weight_thre
fast_weight := 0
slow_weight := 1
else
fast_weight := 0 + math.sqrt(math.abs(rsi))
slow_weight := 1
else
fast_weight := 0 + math.sqrt(math.abs(rsi))
slow_weight := 1
Slow and Fast Indicators
Slow Indicators are designed to identify stable trends, remaining constant in weight. These include:
DMI (Directional Movement Index) For Loop
CCI (Commodity Channel Index) For Loop
Aroon For Loop
Fast Indicators are more responsive and designed to spot rapid trend shifts:
ZLEMA (Zero-Lag Exponential Moving Average) For Loop
IIRF (Infinite Impulse Response Filter) For Loop
Each of these indicators is calculated using a for-loop method to generate a moving average, which captures the trend of a given length range.
RSI Normalization
To facilitate the weighting system, the RSI is normalized from its usual 0-100 range to a -1 to 1 range. This allows for easy scaling when calculating weights and helps the system adjust to rapidly changing market conditions.
// Normalize RSI (1 to -1)
f_RSI(series float rsi_src, simple int rsi_len, simple string rsi_wb, simple string ma_type, simple int ma_len) =>
output = switch rsi_wb
"RAW RSI" => ta.rsi(rsi_src, rsi_len)
"RSI MA" => ma_type == "EMA" ? (ta.ema(ta.rsi(rsi_src, rsi_len), ma_len)) : (ta.sma(ta.rsi(rsi_src, rsi_len), ma_len))
Signal Calculation
The final trading signal is a weighted average of both the slow and fast indicators, depending on the calculated weights from the RSI. This ensures a balanced approach, where slow indicators maintain overall trend guidance, while fast indicators provide timely entries and exits.
// Calculate Signal (as weighted average)
sig = math.round(((DMI*slow_w) + (CCI*slow_w) + (Aroon*slow_w) + (ZLEMA*fast_w) + (IIRF*fast_w)) / (3*slow_w + 2*fast_w), 2)
Backtest Mode and Performance Metrics
This version of the RSI Weighted Trend System includes a comprehensive backtesting mode, allowing users to evaluate the performance of their selected settings against a Buy & Hold strategy. The backtesting includes:
Equity calculation based on the signals generated by the indicator.
Performance metrics table comparing Buy & Hold strategy metrics with the system’s signals, including: Mean, positive, and negative return percentages, Standard deviations (of all, positive and negative returns), Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, and Omega Ratio
f_PerformanceMetrics(series float base, int Lookback, simple float startDate, bool Annualize = true) =>
// Initialize variables for positive and negative returns
pos_sum = 0.0
neg_sum = 0.0
pos_count = 0
neg_count = 0
returns_sum = 0.0
returns_squared_sum = 0.0
pos_returns_squared_sum = 0.0
neg_returns_squared_sum = 0.0
// Loop through the past 'Lookback' bars to calculate sums and counts
if (time >= startDate)
for i = 0 to Lookback - 1
r = (base - base ) / base
returns_sum += r
returns_squared_sum += r * r
if r > 0
pos_sum += r
pos_count += 1
pos_returns_squared_sum += r * r
if r < 0
neg_sum += r
neg_count += 1
neg_returns_squared_sum += r * r
float export_array = array.new_float(12)
// Calculate means
mean_all = math.round((returns_sum / Lookback) * 100, 2)
mean_pos = math.round((pos_count != 0 ? pos_sum / pos_count : na) * 100, 2)
mean_neg = math.round((neg_count != 0 ? neg_sum / neg_count : na) * 100, 2)
// Calculate standard deviations
stddev_all = math.round((math.sqrt((returns_squared_sum - (returns_sum * returns_sum) / Lookback) / Lookback)) * 100, 2)
stddev_pos = math.round((pos_count != 0 ? math.sqrt((pos_returns_squared_sum - (pos_sum * pos_sum) / pos_count) / pos_count) : na) * 100, 2)
stddev_neg = math.round((neg_count != 0 ? math.sqrt((neg_returns_squared_sum - (neg_sum * neg_sum) / neg_count) / neg_count) : na) * 100, 2)
// Calculate probabilities
prob_pos = math.round((pos_count / Lookback) * 100, 2)
prob_neg = math.round((neg_count / Lookback) * 100, 2)
prob_neu = math.round(((Lookback - pos_count - neg_count) / Lookback) * 100, 2)
// Calculate ratios
sharpe_ratio = math.round(mean_all / stddev_all * (Annualize ? math.sqrt(Lookback) : 1), 2)
sortino_ratio = math.round(mean_all / stddev_neg * (Annualize ? math.sqrt(Lookback) : 1), 2)
omega_ratio = math.round(pos_sum / math.abs(neg_sum), 2)
// Set values in the array
array.set(export_array, 0, mean_all), array.set(export_array, 1, mean_pos), array.set(export_array, 2, mean_neg),
array.set(export_array, 3, stddev_all), array.set(export_array, 4, stddev_pos), array.set(export_array, 5, stddev_neg),
array.set(export_array, 6, prob_pos), array.set(export_array, 7, prob_neu), array.set(export_array, 8, prob_neg),
array.set(export_array, 9, sharpe_ratio), array.set(export_array, 10, sortino_ratio), array.set(export_array, 11, omega_ratio)
// Export the array
export_array
The metrics help traders assess the effectiveness of their strategy over time and can be used to optimize their settings.
Calibration Mode
A calibration mode is included to assist users in tuning the indicator to their specific needs. In this mode, traders can focus on a specific indicator (e.g., DMI, CCI, Aroon, ZLEMA, IIRF, or RSI) and fine-tune it without interference from other signals.
The calibration plot visualizes the chosen indicator's performance against a zero line, making it easy to see how changes in the indicator’s settings affect its trend detection.
Customization and Default Settings
Important Note: The default settings provided are not optimized for any particular market or asset. They serve as a starting point for experimentation. Traders are encouraged to calibrate the system to suit their own trading strategies and preferences.
The indicator allows deep customization, from selecting which indicators to use, adjusting the lengths of each indicator, smoothing parameters, and the RSI weight system.
Alerts
Traders can set alerts for both long and short signals when the indicator flips, allowing for automated monitoring of potential trading opportunities.
Cantom Chart - CL CTG vs BKDEnglish : This Pine Script indicator, named "Cantom Chart - CL CTG vs BKD," uniquely analyzes the immediate state of oil futures contracts to determine if they are in contango or backwardation. The script uses the price ratio between the nearest (CL1) and the next nearest (CL2) NYMEX crude oil futures contracts. It multiplies this ratio by 100 for clarity and scales fluctuations for enhanced visibility.
Key Features:
Dynamic Ratio Calculation: Computes the ratio (CL1/CL2 * 100) to determine the immediate market state.
Market State Interpretation: A ratio above 100 indicates backwardation, suggesting higher demand than supply, while a ratio below 100 indicates contango, suggesting higher supply than demand.
Volatility Adjustment: Amplifies market state changes by tripling the deviation from the baseline of 100, making it easier to observe subtle shifts.
Anomaly Detection: Caps the adjusted ratio at 125 for highs and 75 for lows, maintaining these limits until the ratio returns to normal levels.
Usage: This indicator is especially useful for traders analyzing supply-demand dynamics and inflationary pressures in the oil market. To apply it, simply add the script to your TradingView chart and adjust the 'Lower Threshold' and 'Upper Threshold' lines as needed based on your trading strategy.
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日本語 : この「Cantom Chart - CL CTG vs BKD」Pine Scriptインジケーターは、直近の原油先物契約がコンタンゴまたはバックワーデーションにあるかを特定するための独自の分析を提供します。最近の（CL1）と次の（CL2）NYMEX原油先物契約間の価格比を使用し、この比率に100を掛けて明確性を高め、変動の視認性を向上させます。
主要機能:
動的比率計算: 市場の即時状態を判断するために比率（CL1/CL2 * 100）を計算します。
市場状態の解釈: 比率が100を超える場合はバックワーデーション（需要が供給を上回る）、100未満の場合はコンタンゴ（供給が需要を上回る）を示します。
変動調整: 基準値100からの偏差を3倍にして、微妙な変化を容易に観察できるようにします。
異常値検出: 調整された比率を高値で125、低値で75に制限し、通常のレベルに戻るまでこれらの限界を維持します。
使用方法: このインジケーターは、原油市場における需給ダイナミクスとインフレ圧力を分析するトレーダーにとって特に有用です。使用するには、このスクリプトをTradingViewチャートに追加し、トレーディング戦略に基づいて「Lower Threshold」と「Upper Threshold」のラインを必要に応じて調整します。
Trend Forecasting - The Quant Science🌏 Trend Forecasting | ENG 🌏
This plug-in acts as a statistical filter, adding new information to your chart that will allow you to quickly verify the direction of a trend and the probability with which the price will be above or below the average in the future, helping you to uncover probable market inefficiencies.
🧠 Model calculation
The model calculates the arithmetic mean in relation to positive and negative events within the available sample for the selected time series. Where a positive event is defined as a closing price greater than the average, and a negative event as a closing price less than the average. Once all events have been calculated, the probabilities are extrapolated by relating each event.
Example
Positive event A: 70
Negative event B: 30
Total events: 100
Probabilities A: (100 / 70) x 100 = 70%
Probabilities B: (100 / 30) x 100 = 30%
Event A has a 70% probability of occurring compared to Event B which has a 30% probability.
🔍 Information Filter
The data on the graph show the future probabilities of prices being above average (default in green) and the probabilities of prices being below average (default in red).
The information that can be quickly retrieved from this indicator is:
1. Trend: Above-average prices together with a constant of data in green greater than 50% + 1 indicate that the observed historical series shows a bullish trend. The probability is correlated proportionally to the value of the data; the higher and increasing the expected value, the greater the observed bullish trend. On the other hand, a below-average price together with a red-coloured data constant show quantitative data regarding the presence of a bearish trend.
2. Future Probability: By analysing the data, it is possible to find the probability with which the price will be above or below the average in the future. In green are classified the probabilities that the price will be higher than the average, in red are classified the probabilities that the price will be lower than the average.
🔫 Operational Filter .
The indicator can be used operationally in the search for investment or trading opportunities given its ability to identify an inefficiency within the observed data sample.
⬆ Bullish forecast
For bullish trades, the inefficiency will appear as a historical series with a bullish trend, with high probability of a bullish trend in the future that is currently below the average.
⬇ Bearish forecast
For short trades, the inefficiency will appear as a historical series with a bearish trend, with a high probability of a bearish trend in the future that is currently above the average.
📚 Settings
Input: via the Input user interface, it is possible to adjust the periods (1 to 500) with which the average is to be calculated. By default the periods are set to 200, which means that the average is calculated by taking the last 200 periods.
Style: via the Style user interface it is possible to adjust the colour and switch a specific output on or off.
🇮🇹Previsione Della Tendenza Futura | ITA 🇮🇹
Questo plug-in funge da filtro statistico, aggiungendo nuove informazioni al tuo grafico che ti permetteranno di verificare rapidamente tendenza di un trend, probabilità con la quale il prezzo si troverà sopra o sotto la media in futuro aiutandoti a scovare probabili inefficienze di mercato.
🧠 Calcolo del modello
Il modello calcola la media aritmetica in relazione con gli eventi positivi e negativi all'intero del campione disponibile per la serie storica selezionata. Dove per evento positivo si intende un prezzo alla chiusura maggiore della media, mentre per evento negativo si intende un prezzo alla chiusura minore della media. Calcolata la totalità degli eventi le probabilità vengono estrapolate rapportando ciascun evento.
Esempio
Evento positivo A: 70
Evento negativo B: 30
Totale eventi : 100
Formula A: (100 / 70) x 100 = 70%
Formula B: (100 / 30) x 100 = 30%
Evento A ha una probabilità del 70% di realizzarsi rispetto all' Evento B che ha una probabilità pari al 30%.
🔍 Filtro informativo
I dati sul grafico mostrano le probabilità future che i prezzi siano sopra la media (di default in verde) e le probabilità che i prezzi siano sotto la media (di default in rosso).
Le informazioni che si possono rapidamente reperire da questo indicatore sono:
1. Trend: I prezzi sopra la media insieme ad una costante di dati in verde maggiori al 50% + 1 indicano che la serie storica osservata presenta un trend rialzista. La probabilità è correlata proporzionalmente al valore del dato; tanto più sarà alto e crescente il valore atteso e maggiore sarà la tendenza rialzista osservata. Viceversa, un prezzo sotto la media insieme ad una costante di dati classificati in colore rosso mostrano dati quantitativi riguardo la presenza di una tendenza ribassista.
2. Probabilità future: analizzando i dati è possibile reperire la probabilità con cui il prezzo si troverà sopra o sotto la media in futuro. In verde vengono classificate le probabilità che il prezzo sarà maggiore alla media, in rosso vengono classificate le probabilità che il prezzo sarà minore della media.
🔫 Filtro operativo
L' indicatore può essere utilizzato a livello operativo nella ricerca di opportunità di investimento o di trading vista la capacità di identificare un inefficienza all'interno del campione di dati osservato.
⬆ Previsione rialzista
Per operatività di tipo rialzista l'inefficienza apparirà come una serie storica a tendenza rialzista, con alte probabilità di tendenza rialzista in futuro che attualmente si trova al di sotto della media.
⬇ Previsione ribassista
Per operatività di tipo short l'inefficienza apparirà come una serie storica a tendenza ribassista, con alte probabilità di tendenza ribassista in futuro che si trova attualmente sopra la media.
📚 Impostazioni
Input: tramite l'interfaccia utente Input è possibile regolare i periodi (da 1 a 500) con cui calcolare la media. Di default i periodi sono impostati sul valore di 200, questo significa che la media viene calcolata prendendo gli ultimi 200 periodi.
Style: tramite l'interfaccia utente Style è possibile regolare il colore e attivare o disattivare un specifico output.
Stochastic RSI of Smoothed Price [Loxx]What is Stochastic RSI of Smoothed Price?
This indicator is just as it's title suggests. There are six different signal types, various price smoothing types, and seven types of RSI.
This indicator contains 7 different types of RSI:
RSX
Regular
Slow
Rapid
Harris
Cuttler
Ehlers Smoothed
What is RSI?
RSI stands for Relative Strength Index . It is a technical indicator used to measure the strength or weakness of a financial instrument's price action.
The RSI is calculated based on the price movement of an asset over a specified period of time, typically 14 days, and is expressed on a scale of 0 to 100. The RSI is considered overbought when it is above 70 and oversold when it is below 30.
Traders and investors use the RSI to identify potential buy and sell signals. When the RSI indicates that an asset is oversold, it may be considered a buying opportunity, while an overbought RSI may signal that it is time to sell or take profits.
It's important to note that the RSI should not be used in isolation and should be used in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools to make informed trading decisions.
What is RSX?
Jurik RSX is a technical analysis indicator that is a variation of the Relative Strength Index Smoothed ( RSX ) indicator. It was developed by Mark Jurik and is designed to help traders identify trends and momentum in the market.
The Jurik RSX uses a combination of the RSX indicator and an adaptive moving average (AMA) to smooth out the price data and reduce the number of false signals. The adaptive moving average is designed to adjust the smoothing period based on the current market conditions, which makes the indicator more responsive to changes in price.
The Jurik RSX can be used to identify potential trend reversals and momentum shifts in the market. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with values above 50 indicating a bullish trend and values below 50 indicating a bearish trend . Traders can use these levels to make trading decisions, such as buying when the indicator crosses above 50 and selling when it crosses below 50.
The Jurik RSX is a more advanced version of the RSX indicator, and while it can be useful in identifying potential trade opportunities, it should not be used in isolation. It is best used in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools to make informed trading decisions.
What is Slow RSI?
Slow RSI is a variation of the traditional Relative Strength Index ( RSI ) indicator. It is a more smoothed version of the RSI and is designed to filter out some of the noise and short-term price fluctuations that can occur with the standard RSI .
The Slow RSI uses a longer period of time than the traditional RSI , typically 21 periods instead of 14. This longer period helps to smooth out the price data and makes the indicator less reactive to short-term price fluctuations.
Like the traditional RSI , the Slow RSI is used to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions in the market. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with values above 70 indicating overbought conditions and values below 30 indicating oversold conditions. Traders often use these levels as potential buy and sell signals.
The Slow RSI is a more conservative version of the RSI and can be useful in identifying longer-term trends in the market. However, it can also be slower to respond to changes in price, which may result in missed trading opportunities. Traders may choose to use a combination of both the Slow RSI and the traditional RSI to make informed trading decisions.
What is Rapid RSI?
Same as regular RSI but with a faster calculation method
What is Harris RSI?
Harris RSI is a technical analysis indicator that is a variation of the Relative Strength Index ( RSI ). It was developed by Larry Harris and is designed to help traders identify potential trend changes and momentum shifts in the market.
The Harris RSI uses a different calculation formula compared to the traditional RSI . It takes into account both the opening and closing prices of a financial instrument, as well as the high and low prices. The Harris RSI is also normalized to a range of 0 to 100, with values above 50 indicating a bullish trend and values below 50 indicating a bearish trend .
Like the traditional RSI , the Harris RSI is used to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions in the market. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with values above 70 indicating overbought conditions and values below 30 indicating oversold conditions. Traders often use these levels as potential buy and sell signals.
The Harris RSI is a more advanced version of the RSI and can be useful in identifying longer-term trends in the market. However, it can also generate more false signals than the standard RSI . Traders may choose to use a combination of both the Harris RSI and the traditional RSI to make informed trading decisions.
What is Cuttler RSI?
Cuttler RSI is a technical analysis indicator that is a variation of the Relative Strength Index ( RSI ). It was developed by Curt Cuttler and is designed to help traders identify potential trend changes and momentum shifts in the market.
The Cuttler RSI uses a different calculation formula compared to the traditional RSI . It takes into account the difference between the closing price of a financial instrument and the average of the high and low prices over a specified period of time. This difference is then normalized to a range of 0 to 100, with values above 50 indicating a bullish trend and values below 50 indicating a bearish trend .
Like the traditional RSI , the Cuttler RSI is used to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions in the market. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with values above 70 indicating overbought conditions and values below 30 indicating oversold conditions. Traders often use these levels as potential buy and sell signals.
The Cuttler RSI is a more advanced version of the RSI and can be useful in identifying longer-term trends in the market. However, it can also generate more false signals than the standard RSI . Traders may choose to use a combination of both the Cuttler RSI and the traditional RSI to make informed trading decisions.
What is Ehlers Smoothed RSI?
Ehlers smoothed RSI is a technical analysis indicator that is a variation of the Relative Strength Index ( RSI ). It was developed by John Ehlers and is designed to help traders identify potential trend changes and momentum shifts in the market.
The Ehlers smoothed RSI uses a different calculation formula compared to the traditional RSI . It uses a smoothing algorithm that is designed to reduce the noise and random fluctuations that can occur with the standard RSI . The smoothing algorithm is based on a concept called "digital signal processing" and is intended to improve the accuracy of the indicator.
Like the traditional RSI , the Ehlers smoothed RSI is used to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions in the market. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with values above 70 indicating overbought conditions and values below 30 indicating oversold conditions. Traders often use these levels as potential buy and sell signals.
The Ehlers smoothed RSI can be useful in identifying longer-term trends and momentum shifts in the market. However, it can also generate more false signals than the standard RSI . Traders may choose to use a combination of both the Ehlers smoothed RSI and the traditional RSI to make informed trading decisions.
What is Stochastic RSI?
Stochastic RSI (StochRSI) is a technical analysis indicator that combines the concepts of the Stochastic Oscillator and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). It is used to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions in financial markets, as well as to generate buy and sell signals based on the momentum of price movements.
To understand Stochastic RSI, let's first define the two individual indicators it is based on:
Stochastic Oscillator: A momentum indicator that compares a particular closing price of a security to a range of its prices over a certain period. It is used to identify potential trend reversals and generate buy and sell signals.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges between 0 and 100 and is used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in the market.
Now, let's dive into the Stochastic RSI:
The Stochastic RSI applies the Stochastic Oscillator formula to the RSI values, essentially creating an indicator of an indicator. It helps to identify when the RSI is in overbought or oversold territory with more sensitivity, providing more frequent signals than the standalone RSI.
The formula for StochRSI is as follows:
StochRSI = (RSI - Lowest Low RSI) / (Highest High RSI - Lowest Low RSI)
Where:
RSI is the current RSI value.
Lowest Low RSI is the lowest RSI value over a specified period (e.g., 14 days).
Highest High RSI is the highest RSI value over the same specified period.
StochRSI ranges from 0 to 1, but it is usually multiplied by 100 for easier interpretation, making the range 0 to 100. Like the RSI, values close to 0 indicate oversold conditions, while values close to 100 indicate overbought conditions. However, since the StochRSI is more sensitive, traders typically use 20 as the oversold threshold and 80 as the overbought threshold.
Traders use the StochRSI to generate buy and sell signals by looking for crossovers with a signal line (a moving average of the StochRSI), similar to the way the Stochastic Oscillator is used. When the StochRSI crosses above the signal line, it is considered a bullish signal, and when it crosses below the signal line, it is considered a bearish signal.
It is essential to use the Stochastic RSI in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and indicators, as well as to consider the overall market context, to improve the accuracy and reliability of trading signals.
Signal types included are the following;
Fixed Levels
Floating Levels
Quantile Levels
Fixed Middle
Floating Middle
Quantile Middle
Extras
Alerts
Bar coloring
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Copy/Paste LevelsCopy/Paste Levels allows levels to be pasted onto your chart from a properly formatted source.
This tool streamlines the process of adding lines to your chart, and sharing lines from your chart.
More than one ticker at a time!
This indicator will only draw lines on charts it has values for!
This means you can input levels for every ticker you need all at once, one time, and only be displayed the levels for the current chart you are looking at. When you switch tickers, the levels for that ticker will display. (Assuming you have levels entered for that ticker)
The formatting is as follows:
Ticker,Color,Style,Width,Lvl1,Lvl2,Lvl3;
Ticker - Any ticker on Tradingview can be used in the field
Color - Available colors are: Red,Orange,Yellow,Green,Blue,Purple,White,Black,Gray
Style - Available styles are: Solid,Dashed,Dotted
Width - This can be any negative integer, ex.(-1,-2,-3,-4,-5)
Lvls - These can be any positive number (decimals allowed)
Semi-Colons separate sections, each section contains enough information to create at least 1 line.
Each additional level added within the same section will have the same styling parameters as the other levels in the section.
Example:
2 solid lines colored red with a thickness of 2 on QQQ, 1 at $300 and 1 at $400.
QQQ,RED,SOLID,-2,300,400;
IMPORTANT MUST READ!!!
Remember to not include any spaces between commas and the entries in each field!
ex. ; QQQ, red, dotted, -1, 325; <- Wrong
ex. ;QQQ,red,dotted,-1,325;)<- Right
However,
All fields must be filled out, to use default values in the fields, insert a space between the commas.
ex. ;QQQ,red,dotted,,325; <- Wrong
ex. ;QQQ,red,dotted, ,325; <- Right
While spaces can not be included line breaks can!
I recommend for easier typing and viewing to include a line break for each new line (if changing styling or ticker)
Example:
2 solid lines, one red at $300, one green at $400, both default width. Written in a single line AND using multiple lines, both give the same output.
QQQ,red,solid, ,300;QQQ,green,solid, ,400;
or
QQQ,red,solid, ,300;
QQQ,green,solid, ,400;
In this following screenshot you can see more examples of different formatting variations.
The textbox contains exactly what is pasted into the settings input box.
As you can see, capitalization does not matter.
Default Values:
Color = optimal contrast color, If this field is filled in with a space it will display the optimal contrast color of the users background.
Style = solid
Width = -1
More Examples:
Multi-Ticker: drawing 3 lines at $300, all default values, on 3 different tickers
SPY, , , ,300;QQQ, , , ,300;AAPL, , , ,300
or
SPY, , , ,300;
QQQ, , , ,300;
AAPL, , , ,300
Multiple levels: There is no limit* to the number of levels that can be included within 1 section.
* only TV default line limit per indicator (500)
This will be 4 lines all with the same styling at different values on 2 separate tickers.
SPY,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400;QQQ,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400
or
SPY,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400;
QQQ,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400
Semi-colons must separate sections, but are not required at the beginning or end, it makes no difference if they are or are not added.
SPY,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400;
QQQ,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400
==
SPY,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400;
QQQ,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400;
==
;SPY,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400;
QQQ,BLUE,SOLID,-2,100,200,300,400;
All the above output the same results.
Hope this is helpful for people,
Enjoy!
Stochastic RSI - WT Confluence Signal Detectors (TraderDemircan)Description
What This Indicator Does:
This indicator combines two powerful momentum oscillators—WaveTrend and Stochastic RSI—to identify high-probability trading signals through confluence. Instead of relying on a single indicator that may generate false signals, this tool only triggers buy/sell alerts when both oscillators simultaneously confirm extreme market conditions and trend reversals. This confluence approach significantly reduces noise and helps traders focus on the most reliable setups.
Key Features:
Dual-Oscillator Confluence: Generates signals only when both WaveTrend crossovers and Stochastic RSI extreme levels align
Normalized Scale Display: Both oscillators are plotted on a unified -100 to +100 scale for easy visual comparison
Visual Signal Confirmation: Clear intersection points marked with colored circles, plus optional candle coloring at crossover moments
Customizable Thresholds: Adjust overbought/oversold levels for both oscillators to match your trading style and asset volatility
Clean Visual Presentation: Optional area fill showing WaveTrend momentum difference, making divergences easier to spot
How It Works:
The indicator operates on a confluence principle where multiple conditions must align:
For BUY Signals (Green):
WaveTrend 1 crosses above WaveTrend 2 (bullish crossover)
WaveTrend is in oversold territory (below -53 or -60)
Stochastic RSI K-line is below 20 (oversold)
For SELL Signals (Red):
WaveTrend 1 crosses below WaveTrend 2 (bearish crossover)
WaveTrend is in overbought territory (above 53 or 60)
Stochastic RSI K-line is above 80 (overbought)
WaveTrend Component:
Uses the hlc3 price (average of high, low, close) to calculate a channel index that identifies market momentum waves. The two WaveTrend lines (WT1 and WT2) act similarly to MACD, where crossovers indicate momentum shifts. The oscillator ranges from approximately -100 to +100, with extreme values suggesting potential reversals.
Stochastic RSI Component:
Applies stochastic calculations to RSI values rather than raw price, creating a more sensitive momentum indicator. Values above 80 indicate overbought conditions (potential selling opportunity), while values below 20 indicate oversold conditions (potential buying opportunity). The indicator includes both K-line (faster) and D-line (slower, smoothed) for additional confirmation.
Normalization Technology:
To enable direct visual comparison, the Stochastic RSI (normally 0-100 scale) is normalized to match WaveTrend's -100 to +100 scale. This allows traders to see both oscillators' movements in relation to the same reference levels, making divergences and convergences more apparent.
How to Use:
For Trend Traders:
Wait for confluence signals in the direction of the larger trend
Use buy signals in uptrends as entry points during pullbacks
Use sell signals in downtrends as entry points during bounces
For Reversal Traders:
Focus on confluence signals at major support/resistance levels
Look for divergences between price and oscillators before confluence signals
Consider stronger signals when both oscillators reach extreme levels (WT beyond ±60, Stoch beyond 20/80)
For Scalpers:
Lower the WaveTrend Channel Length (default 10) to 5-7 for more frequent signals
Tighten overbought/oversold thresholds slightly (e.g., WT: ±50, Stoch: 30/70)
Use on lower timeframes (5m, 15m) with strict stop losses
Settings Guide:
WaveTrend Parameters:
Channel Length (10): Controls sensitivity. Lower = more signals but more noise. Higher = fewer but more reliable signals
Average Length (21): Smoothing period for WT2. Higher values reduce whipsaws
Overbought Levels (60/53): Two-tier system. Breaching 60 indicates strong overbought, 53 is moderate
Oversold Levels (-60/-53): Mirror of overbought levels for downside extremes
Stochastic RSI Parameters:
K-Smooth (3): Smoothing for the K-line. Higher = smoother but delayed
D-Smooth (3): Additional smoothing for the D-line signal
RSI Period (14): Standard RSI calculation period
Stoch Period (14): Stochastic calculation lookback
Oversold (20) / Overbought (80): Classic thresholds for extreme conditions
Visual Options:
Show WT Difference Area: Displays the momentum difference between WT1 and WT2 as a blue shaded area
Show WT Intersection Points: Marks crossover points with colored circles (red for bearish, green for bullish)
Color Candles at Intersection: Changes candle colors at crossover moments (blue for bearish, yellow for bullish)
Show Stoch Over Signals: Displays when Stochastic RSI breaches extreme levels
What Makes This Original:
While WaveTrend and Stochastic RSI are established indicators, this script's originality lies in:
Confluence Logic: The specific combination requiring simultaneous confirmation from both oscillators in extreme zones, not just simple crossovers
Normalization Approach: Displaying both oscillators on the same -100 to +100 scale for direct visual comparison, which is not standard
Multi-Tier Overbought/Oversold: Using two levels (60/53) instead of one, allowing for nuanced signal strength assessment
Integrated Visual System: Combining area fills, intersection markers, and candle coloring in a coordinated display that shows momentum flow at a glance
Important Considerations:
This is a momentum-based oscillator system, which performs best in ranging or trending markets with clear swings
In strong trending markets, the oscillator may remain in extreme zones for extended periods (remain overbought during strong uptrends, oversold during strong downtrends)
Confluence signals are intentionally rare to maintain quality—expect fewer signals than with single-indicator systems
Always combine with price action analysis, support/resistance levels, and proper risk management
Not recommended for extremely low volatility or thin markets where oscillators may produce erratic readings
Best Timeframes:
Intraday: 15m, 1H (with tighter parameters)
Swing Trading: 4H, Daily (with default parameters)
Position Trading: Daily, Weekly (with extended Channel Length 15-20)
Typical Use Cases:
Identifying exhaustion points in trending markets
Timing entries during pullbacks in established trends
Spotting potential reversal zones at key price levels
Filtering out weak momentum signals during consolidation
MA Oscillator Map [ChartPrime]⯁ OVERVIEW
The MA Oscillator Map transforms moving average deviations into an oscillator framework that highlights overextended price conditions. By normalizing the difference between price and a chosen moving average, the tool maps oscillations between -100 and +100 , with gradient coloring to emphasize bullish and bearish momentum. When the oscillator cools from extreme levels (-100/100), the indicator marks potential reversal points and extends short-term levels from those extremes. A compact side table and dynamic bar coloring make momentum context visible at a glance.
⯁ KEY FEATURES
Oscillator Mapping (±100 Scale):
Price deviation from the selected MA is normalized into a percentage scale, allowing consistent overbought/oversold readings across assets and timeframes.
// MA
MA = ma(close, maLengthInput, maTypeInput)
diff = src - MA
maxVal = ta.highest(math.abs(diff), 50)
osc = diff / maxVal * 100
Customizable MA Types:
Choose SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, or VWMA to fine-tune the smoothing method that powers the oscillator.
Extreme Signal Diamonds:
When the oscillator retreats from +100 or -100, the script plots diamonds to flag potential exhaustion and reversal zones.
Dynamic Levels from Extremes:
Upper and lower dotted lines extend from recent overextension points, projecting temporary barriers until broken by price.
Gradient Bar Coloring:
Candles and oscillator values adopt a bullish-to-bearish gradient, making shifts in momentum instantly visible on the chart.
Compact Momentum Map:
A table at the chart’s edge plots the oscillator position with a gradient scale and live percentage label for precise momentum tracking.
⯁ USAGE
Watch for diamonds after the oscillator exits ±100 — these mark potential exhaustion zones.
Use extended dotted levels as short-term reference lines; if broken, trend continuation is favored.
Combine gradient bar coloring with oscillator shifts for confirmation of momentum reversals.
Experiment with different MA types to adapt sensitivity for trending vs. ranging markets.
Use the side momentum table as a quick-read gauge of trend strength in percent terms.
⯁ CONCLUSION
The MA Oscillator Map reframes moving average deviations into a visual momentum tracker with extremes, reversal signals, and dynamic levels. By blending oscillator math with intuitive visuals like gradient candles, diamonds, and a live gauge, it helps traders spot overextension, exhaustion, and momentum shifts across any market.
Free Stock ScreenerMissing great trade opportunities is annoying, and unless you have 12 screens or only trade one market, you are missing a lot of trades. To fix that, we created this free stock screener so you get notified instantly of potential great trading conditions in real time, right on your chart.
You get notified of trading benchmarks being met by the value being displayed on the scanner as well as a color change so that it grabs your attention and makes you aware that you should take a look at the other market and look for a potential trade. It also has built in alerts so you can have an alert notification go off when any of your trading conditions are met instead of needing to watch the scanner for color changes.
The screener will change the ticker symbol background color to red green when price is above or below the previous daily range and above or below both VWAPs. This signals that the ticker is trending, which typically means it is a great time to trade that market and follow the trend.
This free stock screener allows you to scan up to 10 different markets at the same time for various different conditions so you always know what is going on with your favorite trading symbols. If you want to scan more tickers, just add the indicator to your chart again and change the table position to the other side of the screen and update the tickers on the 2nd screener, allowing you to have 20 tickers at a time.
The scanner can be fully customized by changing the markets that it screens and turning on or off as many of them as you would like. You can also turn on or off any of the different data sets so that you only get information about trading conditions that matter to you.
The screener can provide data on any type of market, such as stocks, crypto, futures, forex and more. Each ticker can be adjusted to whatever market you would like it to scan for data in the settings panel, the only limitation is that it will not provide data for the VWAP and volume trend score if the ticker you are screening does not provide volume data.
Screener Features
The scanner will provide the following types of data for each ticker that is turned on:
Volume - Provides a volume score compared to the average volume and notifies you of higher than normal volume and volume spikes on individual bars by changing colors.
Volatility - Provides a volatility score compared to the average volatility and notifies you of higher than normal volatility by changing colors.
Oscillator - Choose between the RSI or CCI. The value of that oscillator will be displayed and will notify you when values are in extreme ranges such as overbought or oversold conditions according to the threshold values you enter in the settings panel. When those thresholds have been breached, you will be notified by it changing color.
Big Candles - Compares the current candle to average previous candle sizes, and changes color to notify you of big candles including a big top wick, big bottom wick, big candle body and big candle high to low range.
Daily Level Touches & Trends - Calculates and displays various daily candle and intraday open price levels that act as support and resistance. Notifies you when price is touching any of the daily levels that are turned on. The levels you can have on are as follows: previous day high, previous day low or previous day open. It also will notify you when price is touching the current day’s open, NY 930am open, Asia 8pm open, London 2am open and NY midnight 12am open. It will also say “Above” if price is above the previous day’s high or it will say “Below” if price is below the previous day’s low. The color of the cell will also change when a level touch is happening or price is above the previous day high or below the previous day low.
VWAP - Choose from 2 different VWAP lengths, default settings are daily and weekly VWAPs. You will get notified if price touches either of the VWAPs and they will also say “Above” or “Below” if price is currently above or below each VWAP.
How To Use The Screener To Help You Trade
The main purpose of the screener is to scan other markets and notify you of potential good trading opportunities such as price bouncing off of the daily levels or VWAPs. It can also be used to know when price is trending according to the VWAPs and daily levels. Lastly, you can use it to know how the volume and volatility trends are currently which gives you more confidence in taking a trade with this data when volume and volatility are present.
Volume Score
When volume is high, this represents a good time to trade because there are many market participants and price is likely to be volatile while there is high volume which can present a lot of good trade setups for you to take.
The volume score shown on the screener measures the current volume trend compared to previous volume trends and calculates that into a score based on 100 being the same as the previous volume trend. So any value above 100 means it is high volume and any value less than 100 means it is lower volume than normal.
In the settings panel, you can adjust the volume threshold that needs to be met for a volume notification to show up. The default setting is at 120, so you will get notified when the current volume trend score is 120 or higher or you can adjust that threshold value to whatever value you prefer.
It also will notify you when there is a volume spike on the current bar. This is determined by calculating an average of the recent volume totals and then checking to see if the current bar is greater than or equal to that average multiplied by 3. So if a single bar has volume that is greater than 3 times what the average volume is, then you will get a notification that says “Spike” to make you aware of that volume spike.
The volume trend threshold, volume spike multiplier and lookback length for the average volume used in volume spike calculations can all be adjusted in the settings panel to fit your desired preferences.
Volatility Score
High volatility can mean it is a great time to trade because the market is moving quickly and providing large enough movements that you can get in and out in a short amount of time, while still accruing decent sized trade PnL.
The volatility score will calculate the current volatility for each market compared to previous conditions and then divide the current volatility by the average volatility to give you a volatility score. Anything over 100 means the market is decently volatile and you should look at that market to find potential trade setups to execute on. Anything below 100 means the market is not very volatile and it is usually best to just wait until volatility returns before you start trading again.
The screener will notify you when the volatility score is above the threshold you set. The default value is set to 90, but can be adjusted to your preference. Pay attention to any market that shows an alert and take a look at that chart because the high volatility may present a good trade setup for you in the near future.
Oscillator Score
The oscillator data can be switched between Relative Strength Index(RSI) and Commodity Channel Index(CCI).
The RSI provides a value between 0 and 100 that indicates the momentum and strength of the recent price action. Many traders use the extremes of the 0-100 range to signal overbought or oversold conditions and use that as a sign to look for price to reverse in the near future. The typical values used for this and the default settings to provide notifications are: 70 for overbought and 30 for oversold. The scanner will notify you when the RSI value is considered overbought or oversold so you know to take a look at the chart and analyze if it is ready for a trade to be taken.
The CCI provides a value that can be used to determine the trend strength of the underlying asset when the oscillator moves above 100 or below -100. These extreme values are outside of the normal accumulation range and signify that price is moving strongly in that direction so it may be a good time to take a trade in the direction of the trend. The scanner will show you the value of the CCI for each market and notify you if that value is above 100 or below -100.
Both RSI and CCI settings can be adjusted in the settings panel to your desired settings so you have the exact oscillator settings you prefer to use as well as the exact values that you want to use for being notified.
Big Candles
Big candles can mean that many traders are buying or selling at the same time and many times indicate a good signal to trade in that same direction. That is why we included this calculation in the screener, so you are always aware when a large candle prints.
It calculates the average size of the recent candles and then uses that average as the benchmark to determine if the current candle is considered big and worthy of notifying you to take a look at that chart.
You can adjust the multiplier used for the big candle threshold to whatever you desire, but the default setting is 3 which means the candle will be considered big and notify you if it is 3 times as large as an average candle.
The big candles data will track the following candle values and notify you with these labels:
High to Low candle size = HL
Candle Body from open to close candle size = OC
Top Wick size = TW
Bottom Wick size = BW
Daily Level Touches & Trend
Daily level touches are excellent levels to watch for price to bounce because they often act as support and resistance levels for intraday trading. The scanner will track each market and notify you when the current candle is touching any of the daily levels that you have turned on in the settings panel.
The main levels that are turned on by default and are useful for all markets and how they will be labeled on the scanner are as follows:
Previous Day High = High
Previous Day Low = Low
Previous Day Open = < Open
Previous Day Close = Close
Current Day Open = Open
We also included some extra levels that are useful for futures traders. They are as follows:
NY 930am Open = 930am
NY 12am Midnight Open = 12am
Asia Open at 8pm NY time = Asia
London Open at 2am NY Time = London
Watch how price reacts to these levels and then trade the bounces off of these levels if the price action confirms that it is going to respect that level.
When price is currently above the previous day high, the scanner will say “Above” and show a green color, indicating a bullish trend and that price is above the previous daily candle’s high.
When price is currently below the previous day low, the scanner will say “Below” and show a red color, indicating a bearish trend and that price is below the previous daily candle’s low.
Pay attention to when price is trending above or below the previous daily candle as those trends can provide excellent trend trading opportunities.
The daily levels that you have turned on in the settings will also show as lines on the chart and include a label next to them, identifying each level so you know what each line represents. You can turn on or off all of the lines shown on the chart in the main settings or turn them off one by one in the style panel of the settings. Labels can also be turned on or off for all of the lines in the main settings panel. You can adjust the label positioning in the Label Offset section of the settings panel.
VWAP Touches & Trend
VWAP stands for volume weighted average price and is a very popular tool that traders use to determine trend direction based on volume as well as an excellent level to trade price bounces off of.
The typical VWAP time period used is Daily, which means the volume weighted average price will reset at the beginning of a new day. We set the first VWAP to be the daily VWAP by default and the second one to be the weekly VWAP. You can adjust both of the time periods to be any of the provided time lengths that you choose.
The screener will show “Above” with a green background color when price is above the VWAP, indicating a bullish trend. It will show “Below” with a red background color when price is below the VWAP, indicating a bearish trend. When both VWAPs are showing Above or Below, you can expect price to trend in that direction, so look for pullbacks you can trade in the direction of the trend. If the VWAPs are showing different directions, then you should expect to bounce back and forth between the VWAPs, but be careful and watch out for price to break beyond either one and start a trend.
When the current candle is touching the VWAP, the scanner will change colors and say VWAP to notify you that price is touching the VWAP and you should look at that chart and analyze the market for a potential bounce off of the VWAP to trade.
Trending Market Signals
Strong trends are excellent markets to trade and can many times provide excellent trading opportunities that don’t require expert price action reading skills to be able to take winning trades from. That is why we included a signal to notify you of a strong trending market.
The strong trending market will show up as a green or red background color for the ticker name. If the color of the ticker name is green, it is notifying you that the price is above the previous daily high, above VWAP 1 and above VWAP 2 and is a good market to look for bullish trend trades. If the color of the ticker name is red, it is notifying you that the price is below the previous daily low, below VWAP 1 and below VWAP 2 and is a good market to look for bearish trend trades.
Changing The Tickers It Scans
To change the tickers that the indicator scans, scroll near the bottom of the settings panel and select the ticker symbol you want to update and then search for the exact symbol you want to use. If you want to scan less tickers, then just turn some of the tickers off that you don’t need.
Scanning More Than 10 Tickers
If you want to scan more than 10 tickers, you can add the scanner to your chart again and then just change the table position to the other side of the screen. This will allow you to scan 10 more tickers that will show up separately. Then if you want even more, just add the indicator to your chart again and update the table position until you have as many markets as you want. The table position setting can be found at the bottom of the main settings panel.
Alerts
The screener has alerts that can be used to notify you when any of the data set thresholds have been met or if price is touching one of the levels. You can set alerts for the following events:
Bullish Trend Alert - Price is above the previous daily high and above both VWAPs.
Bearish Trend Alert - Price is below the previous daily low and below both VWAPs.
High Volume Alert - Volume is higher than the threshold or a volume spike is detected.
High Volatility Alert - Volatility is higher than the threshold.
Oscillator Is Extended Alert - Oscillator value has exceeded the upper or lower threshold.
Big Candle Alert - A big candle has been detected.
Daily Level Touch Alert - One of the daily levels that is turned on is being touched.
VWAP Touch Alert - One of the 2 VWAPs are being touched.
An alert will trigger when any one of tickers on your scanner meets the alert conditions, so when you see the alert, you will need to go to your chart and look at the scanner to see which ticker it was and then navigate to that chart to look for potential trade setups.
The alerts will use the exact same settings you have configured in the settings panel to send you alert notifications. With normal settings, this could give you a lot of alerts, so if you only want alerts to fire when abnormal conditions are being met, try setting up a second screener on your chart that has very high threshold values and only has the most important level touches on. Then turn the setting "Do Not Show The Screener On The Chart" to off so the calculations will still run and fire alerts, but won't clog up your charts. This way you can only get alert notifications when major events happen but still have your normal screener settings available on your chart.
Markets This Can Be Used On
This screener uses the price action and volume data so you can use it to scan any type of market you would like as long as the ticker you are scanning has price and volume data feeds. If a market does not have volume data, then it will just show NaN in the volume row and the VWAP rows will not show anything.
Kelly Position Size CalculatorThis position sizing calculator implements the Kelly Criterion, developed by John L. Kelly Jr. at Bell Laboratories in 1956, to determine mathematically optimal position sizes for maximizing long-term wealth growth. Unlike arbitrary position sizing methods, this tool provides a scientifically solution based on your strategy's actual performance statistics and incorporates modern refinements from over six decades of academic research.
The Kelly Criterion addresses a fundamental question in capital allocation: "What fraction of capital should be allocated to each opportunity to maximize growth while avoiding ruin?" This question has profound implications for financial markets, where traders and investors constantly face decisions about optimal capital allocation (Van Tharp, 2007).
Theoretical Foundation
The Kelly Criterion for binary outcomes is expressed as f* = (bp - q) / b, where f* represents the optimal fraction of capital to allocate, b denotes the risk-reward ratio, p indicates the probability of success, and q represents the probability of loss (Kelly, 1956). This formula maximizes the expected logarithm of wealth, ensuring maximum long-term growth rate while avoiding the risk of ruin.
The mathematical elegance of Kelly's approach lies in its derivation from information theory. Kelly's original work was motivated by Claude Shannon's information theory (Shannon, 1948), recognizing that maximizing the logarithm of wealth is equivalent to maximizing the rate of information transmission. This connection between information theory and wealth accumulation provides a deep theoretical foundation for optimal position sizing.
The logarithmic utility function underlying the Kelly Criterion naturally embodies several desirable properties for capital management. It exhibits decreasing marginal utility, penalizes large losses more severely than it rewards equivalent gains, and focuses on geometric rather than arithmetic mean returns, which is appropriate for compounding scenarios (Thorp, 2006).
Scientific Implementation
This calculator extends beyond basic Kelly implementation by incorporating state of the art refinements from academic research:
Parameter Uncertainty Adjustment: Following Michaud (1989), the implementation applies Bayesian shrinkage to account for parameter estimation error inherent in small sample sizes. The adjustment formula f_adjusted = f_kelly × confidence_factor + f_conservative × (1 - confidence_factor) addresses the overconfidence bias documented by Baker and McHale (2012), where the confidence factor increases with sample size and the conservative estimate equals 0.25 (quarter Kelly).
Sample Size Confidence: The reliability of Kelly calculations depends critically on sample size. Research by Browne and Whitt (1996) provides theoretical guidance on minimum sample requirements, suggesting that at least 30 independent observations are necessary for meaningful parameter estimates, with 100 or more trades providing reliable estimates for most trading strategies.
Universal Asset Compatibility: The calculator employs intelligent asset detection using TradingView's built-in symbol information, automatically adapting calculations for different asset classes without manual configuration.
ASSET SPECIFIC IMPLEMENTATION
Equity Markets: For stocks and ETFs, position sizing follows the calculation Shares = floor(Kelly Fraction × Account Size / Share Price). This straightforward approach reflects whole share constraints while accommodating fractional share trading capabilities.
Foreign Exchange Markets: Forex markets require lot-based calculations following Lot Size = Kelly Fraction × Account Size / (100,000 × Base Currency Value). The calculator automatically handles major currency pairs with appropriate pip value calculations, following industry standards described by Archer (2010).
Futures Markets: Futures position sizing accounts for leverage and margin requirements through Contracts = floor(Kelly Fraction × Account Size / Margin Requirement). The calculator estimates margin requirements as a percentage of contract notional value, with specific adjustments for micro-futures contracts that have smaller sizes and reduced margin requirements (Kaufman, 2013).
Index and Commodity Markets: These markets combine characteristics of both equity and futures markets. The calculator automatically detects whether instruments are cash-settled or futures-based, applying appropriate sizing methodologies with correct point value calculations.
Risk Management Integration
The calculator integrates sophisticated risk assessment through two primary modes:
Stop Loss Integration: When fixed stop-loss levels are defined, risk calculation follows Risk per Trade = Position Size × Stop Loss Distance. This ensures that the Kelly fraction accounts for actual risk exposure rather than theoretical maximum loss, with stop-loss distance measured in appropriate units for each asset class.
Strategy Drawdown Assessment: For discretionary exit strategies, risk estimation uses maximum historical drawdown through Risk per Trade = Position Value × (Maximum Drawdown / 100). This approach assumes that individual trade losses will not exceed the strategy's historical maximum drawdown, providing a reasonable estimate for strategies with well-defined risk characteristics.
Fractional Kelly Approaches
Pure Kelly sizing can produce substantial volatility, leading many practitioners to adopt fractional Kelly approaches. MacLean, Sanegre, Zhao, and Ziemba (2004) analyze the trade-offs between growth rate and volatility, demonstrating that half-Kelly typically reduces volatility by approximately 75% while sacrificing only 25% of the growth rate.
The calculator provides three primary Kelly modes to accommodate different risk preferences and experience levels. Full Kelly maximizes growth rate while accepting higher volatility, making it suitable for experienced practitioners with strong risk tolerance and robust capital bases. Half Kelly offers a balanced approach popular among professional traders, providing optimal risk-return balance by reducing volatility significantly while maintaining substantial growth potential. Quarter Kelly implements a conservative approach with low volatility, recommended for risk-averse traders or those new to Kelly methodology who prefer gradual introduction to optimal position sizing principles.
Empirical Validation and Performance
Extensive academic research supports the theoretical advantages of Kelly sizing. Hakansson and Ziemba (1995) provide a comprehensive review of Kelly applications in finance, documenting superior long-term performance across various market conditions and asset classes. Estrada (2008) analyzes Kelly performance in international equity markets, finding that Kelly-based strategies consistently outperform fixed position sizing approaches over extended periods across 19 developed markets over a 30-year period.
Several prominent investment firms have successfully implemented Kelly-based position sizing. Pabrai (2007) documents the application of Kelly principles at Berkshire Hathaway, noting Warren Buffett's concentrated portfolio approach aligns closely with Kelly optimal sizing for high-conviction investments. Quantitative hedge funds, including Renaissance Technologies and AQR, have incorporated Kelly-based risk management into their systematic trading strategies.
Practical Implementation Guidelines
Successful Kelly implementation requires systematic application with attention to several critical factors:
Parameter Estimation: Accurate parameter estimation represents the greatest challenge in practical Kelly implementation. Brown (1976) notes that small errors in probability estimates can lead to significant deviations from optimal performance. The calculator addresses this through Bayesian adjustments and confidence measures.
Sample Size Requirements: Users should begin with conservative fractional Kelly approaches until achieving sufficient historical data. Strategies with fewer than 30 trades may produce unreliable Kelly estimates, regardless of adjustments. Full confidence typically requires 100 or more independent trade observations.
Market Regime Considerations: Parameters that accurately describe historical performance may not reflect future market conditions. Ziemba (2003) recommends regular parameter updates and conservative adjustments when market conditions change significantly.
Professional Features and Customization
The calculator provides comprehensive customization options for professional applications:
Multiple Color Schemes: Eight professional color themes (Gold, EdgeTools, Behavioral, Quant, Ocean, Fire, Matrix, Arctic) with dark and light theme compatibility ensure optimal visibility across different trading environments.
Flexible Display Options: Adjustable table size and position accommodate various chart layouts and user preferences, while maintaining analytical depth and clarity.
Comprehensive Results: The results table presents essential information including asset specifications, strategy statistics, Kelly calculations, sample confidence measures, position values, risk assessments, and final position sizes in appropriate units for each asset class.
Limitations and Considerations
Like any analytical tool, the Kelly Criterion has important limitations that users must understand:
Stationarity Assumption: The Kelly Criterion assumes that historical strategy statistics represent future performance characteristics. Non-stationary market conditions may invalidate this assumption, as noted by Lo and MacKinlay (1999).
Independence Requirement: Each trade should be independent to avoid correlation effects. Many trading strategies exhibit serial correlation in returns, which can affect optimal position sizing and may require adjustments for portfolio applications.
Parameter Sensitivity: Kelly calculations are sensitive to parameter accuracy. Regular calibration and conservative approaches are essential when parameter uncertainty is high.
Transaction Costs: The implementation incorporates user-defined transaction costs but assumes these remain constant across different position sizes and market conditions, following Ziemba (2003).
Advanced Applications and Extensions
Multi-Asset Portfolio Considerations: While this calculator optimizes individual position sizes, portfolio-level applications require additional considerations for correlation effects and aggregate risk management. Simplified portfolio approaches include treating positions independently with correlation adjustments.
Behavioral Factors: Behavioral finance research reveals systematic biases that can interfere with Kelly implementation. Kahneman and Tversky (1979) document loss aversion, overconfidence, and other cognitive biases that lead traders to deviate from optimal strategies. Successful implementation requires disciplined adherence to calculated recommendations.
Time-Varying Parameters: Advanced implementations may incorporate time-varying parameter models that adjust Kelly recommendations based on changing market conditions, though these require sophisticated econometric techniques and substantial computational resources.
Comprehensive Usage Instructions and Practical Examples
Implementation begins with loading the calculator on your desired trading instrument's chart. The system automatically detects asset type across stocks, forex, futures, and cryptocurrency markets while extracting current price information. Navigation to the indicator settings allows input of your specific strategy parameters.
Strategy statistics configuration requires careful attention to several key metrics. The win rate should be calculated from your backtest results using the formula of winning trades divided by total trades multiplied by 100. Average win represents the sum of all profitable trades divided by the number of winning trades, while average loss calculates the sum of all losing trades divided by the number of losing trades, entered as a positive number. The total historical trades parameter requires the complete number of trades in your backtest, with a minimum of 30 trades recommended for basic functionality and 100 or more trades optimal for statistical reliability. Account size should reflect your available trading capital, specifically the risk capital allocated for trading rather than total net worth.
Risk management configuration adapts to your specific trading approach. The stop loss setting should be enabled if you employ fixed stop-loss exits, with the stop loss distance specified in appropriate units depending on the asset class. For stocks, this distance is measured in dollars, for forex in pips, and for futures in ticks. When stop losses are not used, the maximum strategy drawdown percentage from your backtest provides the risk assessment baseline. Kelly mode selection offers three primary approaches: Full Kelly for aggressive growth with higher volatility suitable for experienced practitioners, Half Kelly for balanced risk-return optimization popular among professional traders, and Quarter Kelly for conservative approaches with reduced volatility.
Display customization ensures optimal integration with your trading environment. Eight professional color themes provide optimization for different chart backgrounds and personal preferences. Table position selection allows optimal placement within your chart layout, while table size adjustment ensures readability across different screen resolutions and viewing preferences.
Detailed Practical Examples
Example 1: SPY Swing Trading Strategy
Consider a professionally developed swing trading strategy for SPY (S&P 500 ETF) with backtesting results spanning 166 total trades. The strategy achieved 110 winning trades, representing a 66.3% win rate, with an average winning trade of $2,200 and average losing trade of $862. The maximum drawdown reached 31.4% during the testing period, and the available trading capital amounts to $25,000. This strategy employs discretionary exits without fixed stop losses.
Implementation requires loading the calculator on the SPY daily chart and configuring the parameters accordingly. The win rate input receives 66.3, while average win and loss inputs receive 2200 and 862 respectively. Total historical trades input requires 166, with account size set to 25000. The stop loss function remains disabled due to the discretionary exit approach, with maximum strategy drawdown set to 31.4%. Half Kelly mode provides the optimal balance between growth and risk management for this application.
The calculator generates several key outputs for this scenario. The risk-reward ratio calculates automatically to 2.55, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 53% before scientific adjustments. Sample confidence achieves 100% given the 166 trades providing high statistical confidence. The recommended position settles at approximately 27% after Half Kelly and Bayesian adjustment factors. Position value reaches approximately $6,750, translating to 16 shares at a $420 SPY price. Risk per trade amounts to approximately $2,110, representing 31.4% of position value, with expected value per trade reaching approximately $1,466. This recommendation represents the mathematically optimal balance between growth potential and risk management for this specific strategy profile.
Example 2: EURUSD Day Trading with Stop Losses
A high-frequency EURUSD day trading strategy demonstrates different parameter requirements compared to swing trading approaches. This strategy encompasses 89 total trades with a 58% win rate, generating an average winning trade of $180 and average losing trade of $95. The maximum drawdown reached 12% during testing, with available capital of $10,000. The strategy employs fixed stop losses at 25 pips and take profit targets at 45 pips, providing clear risk-reward parameters.
Implementation begins with loading the calculator on the EURUSD 1-hour chart for appropriate timeframe alignment. Parameter configuration includes win rate at 58, average win at 180, and average loss at 95. Total historical trades input receives 89, with account size set to 10000. The stop loss function is enabled with distance set to 25 pips, reflecting the fixed exit strategy. Quarter Kelly mode provides conservative positioning due to the smaller sample size compared to the previous example.
Results demonstrate the impact of smaller sample sizes on Kelly calculations. The risk-reward ratio calculates to 1.89, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 32% before adjustments. Sample confidence achieves 89%, providing moderate statistical confidence given the 89 trades. The recommended position settles at approximately 7% after Quarter Kelly application and Bayesian shrinkage adjustment for the smaller sample. Position value amounts to approximately $700, translating to 0.07 standard lots. Risk per trade reaches approximately $175, calculated as 25 pips multiplied by lot size and pip value, with expected value per trade at approximately $49. This conservative position sizing reflects the smaller sample size, with position sizes expected to increase as trade count surpasses 100 and statistical confidence improves.
Example 3: ES1! Futures Systematic Strategy
Systematic futures trading presents unique considerations for Kelly criterion application, as demonstrated by an E-mini S&P 500 futures strategy encompassing 234 total trades. This systematic approach achieved a 45% win rate with an average winning trade of $1,850 and average losing trade of $720. The maximum drawdown reached 18% during the testing period, with available capital of $50,000. The strategy employs 15-tick stop losses with contract specifications of $50 per tick, providing precise risk control mechanisms.
Implementation involves loading the calculator on the ES1! 15-minute chart to align with the systematic trading timeframe. Parameter configuration includes win rate at 45, average win at 1850, and average loss at 720. Total historical trades receives 234, providing robust statistical foundation, with account size set to 50000. The stop loss function is enabled with distance set to 15 ticks, reflecting the systematic exit methodology. Half Kelly mode balances growth potential with appropriate risk management for futures trading.
Results illustrate how favorable risk-reward ratios can support meaningful position sizing despite lower win rates. The risk-reward ratio calculates to 2.57, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 16%, lower than previous examples due to the sub-50% win rate. Sample confidence achieves 100% given the 234 trades providing high statistical confidence. The recommended position settles at approximately 8% after Half Kelly adjustment. Estimated margin per contract amounts to approximately $2,500, resulting in a single contract allocation. Position value reaches approximately $2,500, with risk per trade at $750, calculated as 15 ticks multiplied by $50 per tick. Expected value per trade amounts to approximately $508. Despite the lower win rate, the favorable risk-reward ratio supports meaningful position sizing, with single contract allocation reflecting appropriate leverage management for futures trading.
Example 4: MES1! Micro-Futures for Smaller Accounts
Micro-futures contracts provide enhanced accessibility for smaller trading accounts while maintaining identical strategy characteristics. Using the same systematic strategy statistics from the previous example but with available capital of $15,000 and micro-futures specifications of $5 per tick with reduced margin requirements, the implementation demonstrates improved position sizing granularity.
Kelly calculations remain identical to the full-sized contract example, maintaining the same risk-reward dynamics and statistical foundations. However, estimated margin per contract reduces to approximately $250 for micro-contracts, enabling allocation of 4-5 micro-contracts. Position value reaches approximately $1,200, while risk per trade calculates to $75, derived from 15 ticks multiplied by $5 per tick. This granularity advantage provides better position size precision for smaller accounts, enabling more accurate Kelly implementation without requiring large capital commitments.
Example 5: Bitcoin Swing Trading
Cryptocurrency markets present unique challenges requiring modified Kelly application approaches. A Bitcoin swing trading strategy on BTCUSD encompasses 67 total trades with a 71% win rate, generating average winning trades of $3,200 and average losing trades of $1,400. Maximum drawdown reached 28% during testing, with available capital of $30,000. The strategy employs technical analysis for exits without fixed stop losses, relying on price action and momentum indicators.
Implementation requires conservative approaches due to cryptocurrency volatility characteristics. Quarter Kelly mode is recommended despite the high win rate to account for crypto market unpredictability. Expected position sizing remains reduced due to the limited sample size of 67 trades, requiring additional caution until statistical confidence improves. Regular parameter updates are strongly recommended due to cryptocurrency market evolution and changing volatility patterns that can significantly impact strategy performance characteristics.
Advanced Usage Scenarios
Portfolio position sizing requires sophisticated consideration when running multiple strategies simultaneously. Each strategy should have its Kelly fraction calculated independently to maintain mathematical integrity. However, correlation adjustments become necessary when strategies exhibit related performance patterns. Moderately correlated strategies should receive individual position size reductions of 10-20% to account for overlapping risk exposure. Aggregate portfolio risk monitoring ensures total exposure remains within acceptable limits across all active strategies. Professional practitioners often consider using lower fractional Kelly approaches, such as Quarter Kelly, when running multiple strategies simultaneously to provide additional safety margins.
Parameter sensitivity analysis forms a critical component of professional Kelly implementation. Regular validation procedures should include monthly parameter updates using rolling 100-trade windows to capture evolving market conditions while maintaining statistical relevance. Sensitivity testing involves varying win rates by ±5% and average win/loss ratios by ±10% to assess recommendation stability under different parameter assumptions. Out-of-sample validation reserves 20% of historical data for parameter verification, ensuring that optimization doesn't create curve-fitted results. Regime change detection monitors actual performance against expected metrics, triggering parameter reassessment when significant deviations occur.
Risk management integration requires professional overlay considerations beyond pure Kelly calculations. Daily loss limits should cease trading when daily losses exceed twice the calculated risk per trade, preventing emotional decision-making during adverse periods. Maximum position limits should never exceed 25% of account value in any single position regardless of Kelly recommendations, maintaining diversification principles. Correlation monitoring reduces position sizes when holding multiple correlated positions that move together during market stress. Volatility adjustments consider reducing position sizes during periods of elevated VIX above 25 for equity strategies, adapting to changing market conditions.
Troubleshooting and Optimization
Professional implementation often encounters specific challenges requiring systematic troubleshooting approaches. Zero position size displays typically result from insufficient capital for minimum position sizes, negative expected values, or extremely conservative Kelly calculations. Solutions include increasing account size, verifying strategy statistics for accuracy, considering Quarter Kelly mode for conservative approaches, or reassessing overall strategy viability when fundamental issues exist.
Extremely high Kelly fractions exceeding 50% usually indicate underlying problems with parameter estimation. Common causes include unrealistic win rates, inflated risk-reward ratios, or curve-fitted backtest results that don't reflect genuine trading conditions. Solutions require verifying backtest methodology, including all transaction costs in calculations, testing strategies on out-of-sample data, and using conservative fractional Kelly approaches until parameter reliability improves.
Low sample confidence below 50% reflects insufficient historical trades for reliable parameter estimation. This situation demands gathering additional trading data, using Quarter Kelly approaches until reaching 100 or more trades, applying extra conservatism in position sizing, and considering paper trading to build statistical foundations without capital risk.
Inconsistent results across similar strategies often stem from parameter estimation differences, market regime changes, or strategy degradation over time. Professional solutions include standardizing backtest methodology across all strategies, updating parameters regularly to reflect current conditions, and monitoring live performance against expectations to identify deteriorating strategies.
Position sizes that appear inappropriately large or small require careful validation against traditional risk management principles. Professional standards recommend never risking more than 2-3% per trade regardless of Kelly calculations. Calibration should begin with Quarter Kelly approaches, gradually increasing as comfort and confidence develop. Most institutional traders utilize 25-50% of full Kelly recommendations to balance growth with prudent risk management.
Market condition adjustments require dynamic approaches to Kelly implementation. Trending markets may support full Kelly recommendations when directional momentum provides favorable conditions. Ranging or volatile markets typically warrant reducing to Half or Quarter Kelly to account for increased uncertainty. High correlation periods demand reducing individual position sizes when multiple positions move together, concentrating risk exposure. News and event periods often justify temporary position size reductions during high-impact releases that can create unpredictable market movements.
Performance monitoring requires systematic protocols to ensure Kelly implementation remains effective over time. Weekly reviews should compare actual versus expected win rates and average win/loss ratios to identify parameter drift or strategy degradation. Position size efficiency and execution quality monitoring ensures that calculated recommendations translate effectively into actual trading results. Tracking correlation between calculated and realized risk helps identify discrepancies between theoretical and practical risk exposure.
Monthly calibration provides more comprehensive parameter assessment using the most recent 100 trades to maintain statistical relevance while capturing current market conditions. Kelly mode appropriateness requires reassessment based on recent market volatility and performance characteristics, potentially shifting between Full, Half, and Quarter Kelly approaches as conditions change. Transaction cost evaluation ensures that commission structures, spreads, and slippage estimates remain accurate and current.
Quarterly strategic reviews encompass comprehensive strategy performance analysis comparing long-term results against expectations and identifying trends in effectiveness. Market regime assessment evaluates parameter stability across different market conditions, determining whether strategy characteristics remain consistent or require fundamental adjustments. Strategic modifications to position sizing methodology may become necessary as markets evolve or trading approaches mature, ensuring that Kelly implementation continues supporting optimal capital allocation objectives.
Professional Applications
This calculator serves diverse professional applications across the financial industry. Quantitative hedge funds utilize the implementation for systematic position sizing within algorithmic trading frameworks, where mathematical precision and consistent application prove essential for institutional capital management. Professional discretionary traders benefit from optimized position management that removes emotional bias while maintaining flexibility for market-specific adjustments. Portfolio managers employ the calculator for developing risk-adjusted allocation strategies that enhance returns while maintaining prudent risk controls across diverse asset classes and investment strategies.
Individual traders seeking mathematical optimization of capital allocation find the calculator provides institutional-grade methodology previously available only to professional money managers. The Kelly Criterion establishes theoretical foundation for optimal capital allocation across both single strategies and multiple trading systems, offering significant advantages over arbitrary position sizing methods that rely on intuition or fixed percentage approaches. Professional implementation ensures consistent application of mathematically sound principles while adapting to changing market conditions and strategy performance characteristics.
Conclusion
The Kelly Criterion represents one of the few mathematically optimal solutions to fundamental investment problems. When properly understood and carefully implemented, it provides significant competitive advantage in financial markets. This calculator implements modern refinements to Kelly's original formula while maintaining accessibility for practical trading applications.
Success with Kelly requires ongoing learning, systematic application, and continuous refinement based on market feedback and evolving research. Users who master Kelly principles and implement them systematically can expect superior risk-adjusted returns and more consistent capital growth over extended periods.
The extensive academic literature provides rich resources for deeper study, while practical experience builds the intuition necessary for effective implementation. Regular parameter updates, conservative approaches with limited data, and disciplined adherence to calculated recommendations are essential for optimal results.
References
Archer, M. D. (2010). Getting Started in Currency Trading: Winning in Today's Forex Market (3rd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Baker, R. D., & McHale, I. G. (2012). An empirical Bayes approach to optimising betting strategies. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician), 61(1), 75-92.
Breiman, L. (1961). Optimal gambling systems for favorable games. In J. Neyman (Ed.), Proceedings of the Fourth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability (pp. 65-78). University of California Press.
Brown, D. B. (1976). Optimal portfolio growth: Logarithmic utility and the Kelly criterion. In W. T. Ziemba & R. G. Vickson (Eds.), Stochastic Optimization Models in Finance (pp. 1-23). Academic Press.
Browne, S., & Whitt, W. (1996). Portfolio choice and the Bayesian Kelly criterion. Advances in Applied Probability, 28(4), 1145-1176.
Estrada, J. (2008). Geometric mean maximization: An overlooked portfolio approach? The Journal of Investing, 17(4), 134-147.
Hakansson, N. H., & Ziemba, W. T. (1995). Capital growth theory. In R. A. Jarrow, V. Maksimovic, & W. T. Ziemba (Eds.), Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science (Vol. 9, pp. 65-86). Elsevier.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291.
Kaufman, P. J. (2013). Trading Systems and Methods (5th ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Kelly Jr, J. L. (1956). A new interpretation of information rate. Bell System Technical Journal, 35(4), 917-926.
Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1999). A Non-Random Walk Down Wall Street. Princeton University Press.
MacLean, L. C., Sanegre, E. O., Zhao, Y., & Ziemba, W. T. (2004). Capital growth with security. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 28(4), 937-954.
MacLean, L. C., Thorp, E. O., & Ziemba, W. T. (2011). The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice. World Scientific.
Michaud, R. O. (1989). The Markowitz optimization enigma: Is 'optimized' optimal? Financial Analysts Journal, 45(1), 31-42.
Pabrai, M. (2007). The Dhandho Investor: The Low-Risk Value Method to High Returns. John Wiley & Sons.
Shannon, C. E. (1948). A mathematical theory of communication. Bell System Technical Journal, 27(3), 379-423.
Tharp, V. K. (2007). Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom (2nd ed.). McGraw-Hill.
Thorp, E. O. (2006). The Kelly criterion in blackjack sports betting, and the stock market. In L. C. MacLean, E. O. Thorp, & W. T. Ziemba (Eds.), The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice (pp. 789-832). World Scientific.
Van Tharp, K. (2007). Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom (2nd ed.). McGraw-Hill Education.
Vince, R. (1992). The Mathematics of Money Management: Risk Analysis Techniques for Traders. John Wiley & Sons.
Vince, R., & Zhu, H. (2015). Optimal betting under parameter uncertainty. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 161, 19-31.
Ziemba, W. T. (2003). The Stochastic Programming Approach to Asset, Liability, and Wealth Management. The Research Foundation of AIMR.
Further Reading
For comprehensive understanding of Kelly Criterion applications and advanced implementations:
MacLean, L. C., Thorp, E. O., & Ziemba, W. T. (2011). The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice. World Scientific.
Vince, R. (1992). The Mathematics of Money Management: Risk Analysis Techniques for Traders. John Wiley & Sons.
Thorp, E. O. (2017). A Man for All Markets: From Las Vegas to Wall Street. Random House.
Cover, T. M., & Thomas, J. A. (2006). Elements of Information Theory (2nd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Ziemba, W. T., & Vickson, R. G. (Eds.). (2006). Stochastic Optimization Models in Finance. World Scientific.
SynchroTrend Oscillator (STO) [PhenLabs]📊 SynchroTrend Oscillator
Version: PineScript™ v5
📌 Description
The SynchroTrend Oscillator (STO) is a multi-timeframe synchronization tool that combines trend information from three distinct timeframes into a single, easy-to-interpret oscillator ranging from -100 to +100.
This indicator solves the common problem of having to analyze multiple timeframe charts separately by consolidating trend direction and strength across different time horizons. The STO helps traders identify when markets are truly synchronized across timeframes, potentially indicating stronger trend conditions and higher probability trading opportunities.
Using either Moving Average crossovers or RSI analysis as the trend definition metric, the STO provides a comprehensive view of market structure that adapts to various trading strategies and market conditions.
🚀 Points of Innovation
Triple-timeframe synchronization in a single view eliminates chart switching
Dual trend detection methods (MA vs Price or RSI) for flexibility across different markets
Dynamic color intensity that automatically increases with signal strength
Scaled oscillator format (-100 to +100) for intuitive trend strength interpretation
Customizable signal thresholds to match your risk tolerance and trading style
Visual alerts when markets reach full synchronization states
🔧 Core Components
Trend Scoring System: Calculates a binary score (+1, -1, or 0) for each timeframe based on selected metrics, providing clear trend direction
Multi-Timeframe Synchronization: Combines and scales trend scores from all three timeframes into a single oscillator
Dynamic Visualization: Adjusts color transparency based on signal strength, creating an intuitive visual guide
Threshold System: Provides customizable levels for identifying potentially significant trading opportunities
🔥 Key Features
Triple Timeframe Analysis: Synchronizes three user-defined timeframes (default: 60min, 15min, 5min) into one view
Dual Trend Detection Methods: Choose between Moving Average vs Price or RSI-based trend determination
Adjustable Signal Smoothing: Apply EMA, SMA, or no smoothing to the oscillator output for your preferred signal responsiveness
Dynamic Color Intensity: Colors become more vibrant as signal strength increases, helping identify strongest setups
Customizable Thresholds: Set your own buy/sell threshold levels to match your trading strategy
Comprehensive Alerts: Six different alert conditions for crossing thresholds, zero line, and full synchronization states
🎨 Visualization
Oscillator Line: The main line showing the synchronized trend value from -100 to +100
Dynamic Fill: Area between oscillator and zero line changes transparency based on signal strength
Threshold Lines: Optional dotted lines indicating buy/sell thresholds for visual reference
Color Coding: Green for bullish synchronization, red for bearish synchronization
📖 Usage Guidelines
Timeframe Settings
Timeframe 1: Default: 60 (1 hour) - Primary higher timeframe for trend definition
Timeframe 2: Default: 15 (15 minutes) - Intermediate timeframe for trend definition
Timeframe 3: Default: 5 (5 minutes) - Lower timeframe for trend definition
Trend Calculation Settings
Trend Definition Metric: Default: “MA vs Price” - Method used to determine trend on each timeframe
MA Type: Default: EMA - Moving Average type when using MA vs Price method
MA Length: Default: 21 - Moving Average period when using MA vs Price method
RSI Length: Default: 14 - RSI period when using RSI method
RSI Source: Default: close - Price data source for RSI calculation
Oscillator Settings
Smoothing Type: Default: SMA - Applies smoothing to the final oscillator
Smoothing Length: Default: 5 - Period for the smoothing function
Visual & Threshold Settings
Up/Down Colors: Customize colors for bullish and bearish signals
Transparency Range: Control how transparency changes with signal strength
Line Width: Adjust oscillator line thickness
Buy/Sell Thresholds: Set levels for potential entry/exit signals
✅ Best Use Cases
Trend confirmation across multiple timeframes
Finding high-probability entry points when all timeframes align
Early detection of potential trend reversals
Filtering trade signals from other indicators
Market structure analysis
Identifying potential divergences between timeframes
⚠️ Limitations
Like all indicators, can produce false signals during choppy or ranging markets
Works best in trending market conditions
Should not be used in isolation for trading decisions
Past performance is not indicative of future results
May require different settings for different markets or instruments
💡 What Makes This Unique
Combines three timeframes in a single visualization without requiring multiple chart windows
Dynamic transparency feature that automatically emphasizes stronger signals
Flexible trend definition methods suitable for different market conditions
Visual system that makes multi-timeframe analysis intuitive and accessible
🔬 How It Works
1. Trend Evaluation:
For each timeframe, the indicator calculates a trend score (+1, -1, or 0) using either:
MA vs Price: Comparing close price to a moving average
RSI: Determining if RSI is above or below 50
2. Score Aggregation:
The three trend scores are combined and then scaled to a range of -100 to +100
A value of +100 indicates all timeframes show bullish conditions
A value of -100 indicates all timeframes show bearish conditions
Values in between indicate varying degrees of alignment
3. Signal Processing:
The raw oscillator value can be smoothed using EMA, SMA, or left unsmoothed
The final value determines line color, fill color, and transparency settings
Threshold levels are applied to identify potential trading opportunities
💡 Note:
The SynchroTrend Oscillator is most effective when used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy that includes proper risk management techniques. For best results, consider using the oscillator in conjunction with support/resistance levels, price action analysis, and other complementary indicators that align with your trading style.
Triple Moving Average CrossoverBelow is the Pine Script code for TradingView that creates an indicator with three user-defined moving averages (with default periods of 10, 50, and 100) and labels for buy and sell signals at key crossovers. Additionally, it creates a label if the price increases by 100 points from the buy entry or decreases by 100 points from the sell entry, with the label saying "+100".
Explanation:
Indicator Definition: indicator("Triple Moving Average Crossover", overlay=true) defines the script as an indicator that overlays on the chart.
User Inputs: input.int functions allow users to define the periods for the short, middle, and long moving averages with defaults of 10, 50, and 100, respectively.
Moving Averages Calculation: The ta.sma function calculates the simple moving averages for the specified periods.
Plotting Moving Averages: plot functions plot the short, middle, and long moving averages on the chart with blue, orange, and red colors.
Crossover Detection: ta.crossover and ta.crossunder functions detect when the short moving average crosses above or below the middle moving average and when the middle moving average crosses above or below the long moving average.
Entry Price Tracking: Variables buyEntryPrice and sellEntryPrice store the buy and sell entry prices. These prices are updated whenever a bullish or bearish crossover occurs.
100 Points Move Detection: buyTargetReached checks if the current price has increased by 100 points from the buy entry price. sellTargetReached checks if the current price has decreased by 100 points from the sell entry price.
Plotting Labels: plotshape functions plot the buy and sell labels at the crossovers and the +100 labels when the target moves are reached. The labels are displayed in white and green colors.
SA 2.0The 100/200 EMA crossover strategy is a popular trend-following strategy used in technical analysis. It aims to identify potential buy and sell signals based on the crossover of two exponential moving averages (EMAs), specifically the 100-period EMA and the 200-period EMA. This strategy is designed to capture the momentum of the market and take advantage of sustained trends in the price of US30. This strategy can also work on other instruments, just backtest the winrate.
How it Works:
Timeframe Selection: The strategy is optimized for the US30 index and is implemented on both the 5-minute and 3-minute charts. These shorter timeframes provide more frequent trading opportunities and allow for quicker decision-making.
EMA Crossover: The strategy focuses on the crossover of the 100-period EMA and the 200-period EMA. When the 100 EMA crosses above the 200 EMA, it generates a bullish signal, indicating a potential upward trend. Conversely, when the 100 EMA crosses below the 200 EMA, it generates a bearish signal, suggesting a potential downward trend.
Rejection Confirmation: To filter out false signals and increase the reliability of the strategy, it incorporates a rejection confirmation. After the initial crossover, the strategy looks for price rejections near the 100 EMA. A rejection occurs when the price briefly moves below the 100 EMA and then quickly bounces back above it, indicating potential support and a possible continuation of the trend. It is during this rejection that the strategy generates the buy or sell signal.
Buy and Sell Signals: When a rejection occurs after the crossover, the strategy generates a buy signal if the rejection is above the 100 EMA. This suggests that the price is likely to continue its upward momentum. On the other hand, a sell signal is generated if the rejection occurs below the 100 EMA, indicating a potential continuation of the downward trend. These signals help traders identify favorable entry points for long or short positions.
Risk Management: As with any trading strategy, proper risk management is crucial. Traders can use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses in case the market moves against their positions. Additionally, setting profit targets or trailing stops can help secure profits as the trend progresses.
It's important to note that no trading strategy guarantees success, and it's recommended to test the strategy on historical data or in a demo trading environment before applying it with real funds. Furthermore, regular monitoring and adjustment may be necessary to adapt to changing market conditions.
Disclaimer: This description is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading carries risks, and individuals should exercise caution and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Any Oscillator Underlay [TTF]We are proud to release a new indicator that has been a while in the making - the Any Oscillator Underlay (AOU) !
Note: There is a lot to discuss regarding this indicator, including its intent and some of how it operates, so please be sure to read this entire description before using this indicator to help ensure you understand both the intent and some limitations with this tool.
Our intent for building this indicator was to accomplish the following:
Combine all of the oscillators that we like to use into a single indicator
Take up a bit less screen space for the underlay indicators for strategies that utilize multiple oscillators
Provide a tool for newer traders to be able to leverage multiple oscillators in a single indicator
Features:
Includes 8 separate, fully-functional indicators combined into one
Ability to easily enable/disable and configure each included indicator independently
Clearly named plots to support user customization of color and styling, as well as manual creation of alerts
Ability to customize sub-indicator title position and color
Ability to customize sub-indicator divider lines style and color
Indicators that are included in this initial release:
TSI
2x RSIs (dubbed the Twin RSI )
Stochastic RSI
Stochastic
Ultimate Oscillator
Awesome Oscillator
MACD
Outback RSI (Color-coding only)
Quick note on OB/OS:
Before we get into covering each included indicator, we first need to cover a core concept for how we're defining OB and OS levels. To help illustrate this, we will use the TSI as an example.
The TSI by default has a mid-point of 0 and a range of -100 to 100. As a result, a common practice is to place lines on the -30 and +30 levels to represent OS and OB zones, respectively. Most people tend to view these levels as distance from the edges/outer bounds or as absolute levels, but we feel a more way to frame the OB/OS concept is to instead define it as distance ("offset") from the mid-line. In keeping with the -30 and +30 levels in our example, the offset in this case would be "30".
Taking this a step further, let's say we decided we wanted an offset of 25. Since the mid-point is 0, we'd then calculate the OB level as 0 + 25 (+25), and the OS level as 0 - 25 (-25).
Now that we've covered the concept of how we approach defining OB and OS levels (based on offset/distance from the mid-line), and since we did apply some transformations, rescaling, and/or repositioning to all of the indicators noted above, we are going to discuss each component indicator to detail both how it was modified from the original to fit the stacked-indicator model, as well as the various major components that the indicator contains.
TSI:
This indicator contains the following major elements:
TSI and TSI Signal Line
Color-coded fill for the TSI/TSI Signal lines
Moving Average for the TSI
TSI Histogram
Mid-line and OB/OS lines
Default TSI fill color coding:
Green : TSI is above the signal line
Red : TSI is below the signal line
Note: The TSI traditionally has a range of -100 to +100 with a mid-point of 0 (range of 200). To fit into our stacking model, we first shrunk the range to 100 (-50 to +50 - cut it in half), then repositioned it to have a mid-point of 50. Since this is the "bottom" of our indicator-stack, no additional repositioning is necessary.
Twin RSI:
This indicator contains the following major elements:
Fast RSI (useful if you want to leverage 2x RSIs as it makes it easier to see the overlaps and crosses - can be disabled if desired)
Slow RSI (primary RSI)
Color-coded fill for the Fast/Slow RSI lines (if Fast RSI is enabled and configured)
Moving Average for the Slow RSI
Mid-line and OB/OS lines
Default Twin RSI fill color coding:
Dark Red : Fast RSI below Slow RSI and Slow RSI below Slow RSI MA
Light Red : Fast RSI below Slow RSI and Slow RSI above Slow RSI MA
Dark Green : Fast RSI above Slow RSI and Slow RSI below Slow RSI MA
Light Green : Fast RSI above Slow RSI and Slow RSI above Slow RSI MA
Note: The RSI naturally has a range of 0 to 100 with a mid-point of 50, so no rescaling or transformation is done on this indicator. The only manipulation done is to properly position it in the indicator-stack based on which other indicators are also enabled.
Stochastic and Stochastic RSI:
These indicators contain the following major elements:
Configurable lengths for the RSI (for the Stochastic RSI only), K, and D values
Configurable base price source
Mid-line and OB/OS lines
Note: The Stochastic and Stochastic RSI both have a normal range of 0 to 100 with a mid-point of 50, so no rescaling or transformations are done on either of these indicators. The only manipulation done is to properly position it in the indicator-stack based on which other indicators are also enabled.
Ultimate Oscillator (UO):
This indicator contains the following major elements:
Configurable lengths for the Fast, Middle, and Slow BP/TR components
Mid-line and OB/OS lines
Moving Average for the UO
Color-coded fill for the UO/UO MA lines (if UO MA is enabled and configured)
Default UO fill color coding:
Green : UO is above the moving average line
Red : UO is below the moving average line
Note: The UO naturally has a range of 0 to 100 with a mid-point of 50, so no rescaling or transformation is done on this indicator. The only manipulation done is to properly position it in the indicator-stack based on which other indicators are also enabled.
Awesome Oscillator (AO):
This indicator contains the following major elements:
Configurable lengths for the Fast and Slow moving averages used in the AO calculation
Configurable price source for the moving averages used in the AO calculation
Mid-line
Option to display the AO as a line or pseudo-histogram
Moving Average for the AO
Color-coded fill for the AO/AO MA lines (if AO MA is enabled and configured)
Default AO fill color coding (Note: Fill was disabled in the image above to improve clarity):
Green : AO is above the moving average line
Red : AO is below the moving average line
Note: The AO is technically has an infinite (unbound) range - -∞ to ∞ - and the effective range is bound to the underlying security price (e.g. BTC will have a wider range than SP500, and SP500 will have a wider range than EUR/USD). We employed some special techniques to rescale this indicator into our desired range of 100 (-50 to 50), and then repositioned it to have a midpoint of 50 (range of 0 to 100) to meet the constraints of our stacking model. We then do one final repositioning to place it in the correct position the indicator-stack based on which other indicators are also enabled. For more details on how we accomplished this, read our section "Binding Infinity" below.
MACD:
This indicator contains the following major elements:
Configurable lengths for the Fast and Slow moving averages used in the MACD calculation
Configurable price source for the moving averages used in the MACD calculation
Configurable length and calculation method for the MACD Signal Line calculation
Mid-line
Note: Like the AO, the MACD also technically has an infinite (unbound) range. We employed the same principles here as we did with the AO to rescale and reposition this indicator as well. For more details on how we accomplished this, read our section "Binding Infinity" below.
Outback RSI (ORSI):
This is a stripped-down version of the Outback RSI indicator (linked above) that only includes the color-coding background (suffice it to say that it was not technically feasible to attempt to rescale the other components in a way that could consistently be clearly seen on-chart). As this component is a bit of a niche/special-purpose sub-indicator, it is disabled by default, and we suggest it remain disabled unless you have some pre-defined strategy that leverages the color-coding element of the Outback RSI that you wish to use.
Binding Infinity - How We Incorporated the AO and MACD (Warning - Math Talk Ahead!)
Note: This applies only to the AO and MACD at time of original publication. If any other indicators are added in the future that also fall into the category of "binding an infinite-range oscillator", we will make that clear in the release notes when that new addition is published.
To help set the stage for this discussion, it's important to note that the broader challenge of "equalizing inputs" is nothing new. In fact, it's a key element in many of the most popular fields of data science, such as AI and Machine Learning. They need to take a diverse set of inputs with a wide variety of ranges and seemingly-random inputs (referred to as "features"), and build a mathematical or computational model in order to work. But, when the raw inputs can vary significantly from one another, there is an inherent need to do some pre-processing to those inputs so that one doesn't overwhelm another simply due to the difference in raw values between them. This is where feature scaling comes into play.
With this in mind, we implemented 2 of the most common methods of Feature Scaling - Min-Max Normalization (which we call "Normalization" in our settings), and Z-Score Normalization (which we call "Standardization" in our settings). Let's take a look at each of those methods as they have been implemented in this script.
Min-Max Normalization (Normalization)
This is one of the most common - and most basic - methods of feature scaling. The basic formula is: y = (x - min)/(max - min) - where x is the current data sample, min is the lowest value in the dataset, and max is the highest value in the dataset. In this transformation, the max would evaluate to 1, and the min would evaluate to 0, and any value in between the min and the max would evaluate somewhere between 0 and 1.
The key benefits of this method are:
It can be used to transform datasets of any range into a new dataset with a consistent and known range (0 to 1).
It has no dependency on the "shape" of the raw input dataset (i.e. does not assume the input dataset can be approximated to a normal distribution).
But there are a couple of "gotchas" with this technique...
First, it assumes the input dataset is complete, or an accurate representation of the population via random sampling. While in most situations this is a valid assumption, in trading indicators we don't really have that luxury as we're often limited in what sample data we can access (i.e. number of historical bars available).
Second, this method is highly sensitive to outliers. Since the crux of this transformation is based on the max-min to define the initial range, a single significant outlier can result in skewing the post-transformation dataset (i.e. major price movement as a reaction to a significant news event).
You can potentially mitigate those 2 "gotchas" by using a mechanism or technique to find and discard outliers (e.g. calculate the mean and standard deviation of the input dataset and discard any raw values more than 5 standard deviations from the mean), but if your most recent datapoint is an "outlier" as defined by that algorithm, processing it using the "scrubbed" dataset would result in that new datapoint being outside the intended range of 0 to 1 (e.g. if the new datapoint is greater than the "scrubbed" max, it's post-transformation value would be greater than 1). Even though this is a bit of an edge-case scenario, it is still sure to happen in live markets processing live data, so it's not an ideal solution in our opinion (which is why we chose not to attempt to discard outliers in this manner).
Z-Score Normalization (Standardization)
This method of rescaling is a bit more complex than the Min-Max Normalization method noted above, but it is also a widely used process. The basic formula is: y = (x – μ) / σ - where x is the current data sample, μ is the mean (average) of the input dataset, and σ is the standard deviation of the input dataset. While this transformation still results in a technically-infinite possible range, the output of this transformation has a 2 very significant properties - the mean (average) of the output dataset has a mean (μ) of 0 and a standard deviation (σ) of 1.
The key benefits of this method are:
As it's based on normalizing the mean and standard deviation of the input dataset instead of a linear range conversion, it is far less susceptible to outliers significantly affecting the result (and in fact has the effect of "squishing" outliers).
It can be used to accurately transform disparate sets of data into a similar range regardless of the original dataset's raw/actual range.
But there are a couple of "gotchas" with this technique as well...
First, it still technically does not do any form of range-binding, so it is still technically unbounded (range -∞ to ∞ with a mid-point of 0).
Second, it implicitly assumes that the raw input dataset to be transformed is normally distributed, which won't always be the case in financial markets.
The first "gotcha" is a bit of an annoyance, but isn't a huge issue as we can apply principles of normal distribution to conceptually limit the range by defining a fixed number of standard deviations from the mean. While this doesn't totally solve the "infinite range" problem (a strong enough sudden move can still break out of our "conceptual range" boundaries), the amount of movement needed to achieve that kind of impact will generally be pretty rare.
The bigger challenge is how to deal with the assumption of the input dataset being normally distributed. While most financial markets (and indicators) do tend towards a normal distribution, they are almost never going to match that distribution exactly. So let's dig a bit deeper into distributions are defined and how things like trending markets can affect them.
Skew (skewness): This is a measure of asymmetry of the bell curve, or put another way, how and in what way the bell curve is disfigured when comparing the 2 halves. The easiest way to visualize this is to draw an imaginary vertical line through the apex of the bell curve, then fold the curve in half along that line. If both halves are exactly the same, the skew is 0 (no skew/perfectly symmetrical) - which is what a normal distribution has (skew = 0). Most financial markets tend to have short, medium, and long-term trends, and these trends will cause the distribution curve to skew in one direction or another. Bullish markets tend to skew to the right (positive), and bearish markets to the left (negative).
Kurtosis: This is a measure of the "tail size" of the bell curve. Another way to state this could be how "flat" or "steep" the bell-shape is. If the bell is steep with a strong drop from the apex (like a steep cliff), it has low kurtosis. If the bell has a shallow, more sweeping drop from the apex (like a tall hill), is has high kurtosis. Translating this to financial markets, kurtosis is generally a metric of volatility as the bell shape is largely defined by the strength and frequency of outliers. This is effectively a measure of volatility - volatile markets tend to have a high level of kurtosis (>3), and stable/consolidating markets tend to have a low level of kurtosis (<3). A normal distribution (our reference), has a kurtosis value of 3.
So to try and bring all that back together, here's a quick recap of the Standardization rescaling method:
The Standardization method has an assumption of a normal distribution of input data by using the mean (average) and standard deviation to handle the transformation
Most financial markets do NOT have a normal distribution (as discussed above), and will have varying degrees of skew and kurtosis
Q: Why are we still favoring the Standardization method over the Normalization method, and how are we accounting for the innate skew and/or kurtosis inherent in most financial markets?
A: Well, since we're only trying to rescale oscillators that by-definition have a midpoint of 0, kurtosis isn't a major concern beyond the affect it has on the post-transformation scaling (specifically, the number of standard deviations from the mean we need to include in our "artificially-bound" range definition).
Q: So that answers the question about kurtosis, but what about skew?
A: So - for skew, the answer is in the formula - specifically the mean (average) element. The standard mean calculation assumes a complete dataset and therefore uses a standard (i.e. simple) average, but we're limited by the data history available to us. So we adapted the transformation formula to leverage a moving average that included a weighting element to it so that it favored recent datapoints more heavily than older ones. By making the average component more adaptive, we gained the effect of reducing the skew element by having the average itself be more responsive to recent movements, which significantly reduces the effect historical outliers have on the dataset as a whole. While this is certainly not a perfect solution, we've found that it serves the purpose of rescaling the MACD and AO to a far more well-defined range while still preserving the oscillator behavior and mid-line exceptionally well.
The most difficult parts to compensate for are periods where markets have low volatility for an extended period of time - to the point where the oscillators are hovering around the 0/midline (in the case of the AO), or when the oscillator and signal lines converge and remain close to each other (in the case of the MACD). It's during these periods where even our best attempt at ensuring accurate mirrored-behavior when compared to the original can still occasionally lead or lag by a candle.
Note: If this is a make-or-break situation for you or your strategy, then we recommend you do not use any of the included indicators that leverage this kind of bounding technique (the AO and MACD at time of publication) and instead use the Trandingview built-in versions!
We know this is a lot to read and digest, so please take your time and feel free to ask questions - we will do our best to answer! And as always, constructive feedback is always welcome!
TARVIS Labs - Bitcoin Macro Bottom/Top SignalsSCRIPT DESCRIPTION
This is a script specifically written to help provide indicators from a macro view. This script is best run on the 1 day interval on Bitstamp's $BTCUSD chart. It helps indicate when to accumulate bitcoin, and when its in a bull run when there are local tops, strong top warnings, and a signal to exit a bull run. This is described further below.
If you don't have interest in trading on the way to the top I suggest turning off the following indicators in the settings of the indicator:
- Opportunity To Buy Back In Indicator
- Local Top Near Bull Run Top Indicator
ACCUMULATION ZONE INDICATOR - LIGHT GREEN
Description
When we look at the history of Bitcoin every bottom has crossed below the 100 week EMA. Once it does its accompanied by hash ribbon cross with miner capitulation. After that is the prime time to accumulate as theres a clearer signal the bottom is in. Specifically, a signal to look for is the 14 day MACD/signal cross and the 14 day MACD continuing to stay above the signal until the price returns above the 100 week EMA. This is prime accumulation territory.
Strategy for Usage
A good strategy to use when accumulating the bottom is dollar-cost averaging over a 30 day period. The accumulation zone can last longer than 30 days but 30 days is a good range of time to DCA.
STRONG BUY IN ACCUMULATION ZONE INDICATOR - DARK GREEN
Description
We can add to the bottoming signal by looking for post-downtrend reversals inside the bottoming signal. We do this by using a 9/19 daily cross.
Strategy for Usage
These post-downtrend reversals can potentially provide better targeted days for accumulation than the broader bottoming signal and can be used to add more on that day than on an average day for the dollar cost average strategy. Say for example, use 1/3 of funds on these days rather than 1/30th.
OPPORTUNITY TO BUY BACK IN INDICATOR - BLUE
Description
When the 1d 18 EMA > 1d 63 EMA and the 12/52 1d crosses. These together provide good buy opportunities to buy bitcoin.
Strategy for Usage
If you happen to find yourself out of the market from your own TA or a trade, this signal can provide a buy opportunity to reenter the market if you're out of it.
BULL RUN LOCAL TOP INDICATOR - ORANGE
Description
We will similarly use the 100 week EMA to determine trend reversal into a bull run. When we see the 100 week EMA uptrending, we can begin to look for local tops using the 9/19 daily MACD/signal bearish cross along with the 12 EMA having a negative slope, which could be the beginning signal for a local top.
Strategy for Usage
This is a rather light indicator, but can be used in tandem with your own technical analysis to determine if you want to reenter after you exit from its signal.
LOCAL TOP NEAR BULL RUN TOP INDICATOR - RED
Description
When the 100 week EMA is in an uptrend we can look for significant loss of momentum in order to determine if a local top is in near a bull run top. Similar to the Bull Run Local Top Indicator, this strategy uses a MACD/signal cross but instead uses the 30/65 day EMAs.
Strategy for Usage
Ideally the right strategy to use here is to exit the market when this indicator starts. When the indicator ends if the "End of Bull Run Indicator" is not showing on the chart you can buy back into the market.
TOP IS LIKELY IN INDICATOR
Description
When the 100 week EMA is in a very strong uptrend and the 9/19 weekly MACD/signal bearish cross occurs, and the 63 EMA begins to downtrend.
Strategy for Usage
This signal typically accompanies the "Local Top Near Bull Run Top Indicator" therefore if you're following the strategy you would likely already be out of the market, but if you're not and this signal fires its a strong signal the top is in and we're likely going to start seeing a strong retrace. This is typically right before we see the "End of Bull Run Indicator". There is only one occurrence where it wasn't followed by a large drop & the "End of Bull Run Indicator" and that was in the 2017 bull run where there were many strong retracements post local top. The likelihood we see that again is low, but if it were to happen you can buy back into the market when the "Top is Likely In Indicator" and the "Local Top Near Bull Run Top Indicator" are not firing.
TOP IS LIKELY IN INDICATOR
Description
When the 100 week EMA is in a strong uptrend and the 9/19 weekly MACD/signal bearish cross occurs, and the 63 EMA begins to downtrend.
Strategy for Usage
This signal typically accompanies the "Local Top Near Bull Run Top Indicator" therefore if you're following the strategy you would likely already be out of the market, but if you're not and this signal fires its a strong signal the top is in and we're likely going to start seeing a strong retrace. This is typically right before we see the "End of Bull Run Indicator". There is only one occurrence where it wasn't followed by a large drop & the "End of Bull Run Indicator" and that was in the 2017 bull run where there were many strong retracements post local top. The likelihood we see that again is low, but if it were to happen you can buy back into the market when the "Top is Likely In Indicator" and the "Local Top Near Bull Run Top Indicator" are not firing.
END OF BULL RUN INDICATOR
Description
When the 100 week EMA is in an uptrend and the 1d 18 EMA crosses the 1d 63 EMA.
Strategy for Usage
When the 100 week EMA is a strong uptrend and the 18/63 cross occurs the top is very likely in. It has occurred in every bull run top leading to the bear market.
