Gap Size Outcome Statistics [vnhilton]This indicator displays a table with statistics showing the outcomes of gap ups or downs based on your threshold (i.e. does the day end in green or red?). This can be useful for trading, where you're using relevant ETFs & see that they've gapped up/down, & can assume based on statistics that the ETF will end in green/red depending on which has the higher probability (however, you can use these on any other instruments such as stocks to find edges e.g. seeing whether stock XYZ is more likely to end in green/red when it gaps up 100%).
The table also includes sample sizes for your threshold tests for more confidence in the statistics, & also displays average gap up & downs & their respective sample sizes as well. This indicator is intended to be used on the daily timeframe, but can be used on lower or higher timeframes if you prefer.
In the chart snapshot image above, we can see that when the SPY gaps up > 1%, the day is more likely to end in green than in red. But when the SPY gaps down < -1%, it's also more likely to end in green than in red.
( IMPORTANT NOTE : There's 1 limitation with this indicator & it's that it assumes that days where close=open are green days, & that 0% gaps exact are considered gap ups.)
Wyszukaj w skryptach "创业板+etf"
Gap Reversion StrategyToday I am releasing to the community an original short-term, high-probability gap trading strategy, backed by a 20 year backtest. This strategy capitalizes on the mean reverting behavior of equity ETFs, which is largely driven by fear in the market. The strategy buys into that fear at a level that has historically mean reverted within ~5 days. Larry Connors has published useful research and variations of strategies based on this behavior that I would recommend any quantitative trader read.
What it does:
This strategy, for 1 day charts on equity ETFs, looks for an overnight gap down when the RSI is also in/near an oversold position. Then, it places a limit order further below the opening of the gapped-down day. It then exits the position based on a higher RSI level. The limit buy order is cancelled if the price doesn't reach your limit price that day. So, the larger you make the gap and limit %, the less signals you will have.
Features:
Inputs to allow the adjustment of the limit order %, the gap %, and the RSI entry/exit levels.
An option to have the limit order be based on a % of ATR instead of a % of asset price.
An optional filter that can turn-off trades when the VIX is unusually high.
A built in stop.
Built in alerts.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Open-source scripts I publish in the community are largely meant to spark ideas that can be used as building blocks for part of a more robust trade management strategy. If you would like to implement a version of any script, I would recommend making significant additions/modifications to the strategy & risk management functions. If you don’t know how to program in Pine, then hire a Pine-coder. We can help!
VIX Volatility Trend Analysis With Signals - Stocks OnlyVIX VOLATILITY TREND ANALYSIS CLOUD WITH BULLISH & BEARISH SIGNALS - STOCKS ONLY
This indicator is a visual aid that shows you the bullish or bearish trend of VIX market volatility so you can see the VIX trend without switching charts. When volatility goes up, most stocks go down and vice versa. When the cloud turns green, it is a bullish sign. When the cloud turns red, it is a bearish sign.
This indicator is meant for stocks with a lot of price action and volatility, so for best results, use it on charts that move similar to the S&P 500 or other similar charts.
This indicator uses real time data from the stock market overall, so it should only be used on stocks and will only give a few signals during after hours. It does work ok for crypto, but will not give signals when the US stock market is closed.
**HOW TO USE**
When the VIX Volatility Index trend changes direction, it will give a green or red line on the chart depending on which way the VIX is now trending. The cloud will also change color depending on which way the VIX is trending. Use this to determine overall market volatility and place trades in the direction that the indicator is showing. Do not use this by itself as sometimes markets won’t react perfectly to the overall market volatility. It should only be used as a secondary confirmation in your trading/trend analysis.
For more signals with earlier entries, go into settings and reduce the number. 10-100 is best for scalping. For less signals with later entries, change the number to a higher value. Use 100-500 for swing trades. Can go higher for long swing trades. Our favorite settings are 20, 60, 100, 500 and 1000.
***MARKETS***
This indicator should only be used on the US stock markets as signals are given based on the VIX volatility index which measures volatility of the US Stock Markets.
***TIMEFRAMES***
This indicator works on all time frames, but after hours will not change much at all due to the markets being closed.
**INVERSE CHARTS**
If you are using this on an inverse ETF and the signals are showing backwards, please comment with what chart it is and I will configure the indicator to give the correct signals. I have included over 50 inverse ETFs into the code to show the correct signals on inverse charts, but I'm sure there are some that I have missed so feel free to let me know and I will update the script with the requested tickers.
***TIPS***
Try using numerous indicators of ours on your chart so you can instantly see the bullish or bearish trend of multiple indicators in real time without having to analyze the data. Some of our favorites are our Auto Fibonacci, Directional Movement Index, Volume Profile with buy & sell pressure, Auto Support And Resistance, Vix Scalper and Money Flow Index in combination with this Vix Trend Analysis. They all have real time Bullish and Bearish labels as well so you can immediately understand each indicator's trend.
Risk On Risk OffA helpful indicator for those who follow a systematic long-term investment approach.
What it shows:
It shows the 60 Day Cumulative Return of $BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF against the 60 Day Cumulative Return of $BIL SPDR Bloomberg Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF.
Why:
This Indicator will provide you a sense of where the economic environment is at, if the indicator shows that the 60 Day Cumulative return of $BND is ABOVE $BIL, it means that it's a good idea to go Risk ON in the stock market; On the other hand, if the inverse is true, it means that is a good idea to go Risk OFF in the stock market.
Example Uses:
Warren Buffet often advice Investors to just buy a S&P500 index tracking ETF like $SPY consistently and you will likely to be making money in the long-term.
With this indicator you will be able to make the Buffet Strategy even simpler: when the indicator shows Risk ON, buy the $SPY; when the indicator shows Risk OFF, consider hedges like $IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF. AMEX:SPY
VIX Reversal Scalper by Trend Friend - Stocks OnlyVIX REVERSAL SCALPER BY TREND FRIEND - STOCKS ONLY
This indicator is built for scalping, but can be used for swing trades by adjusting the signal settings to a higher number.
This indicator is meant for stocks with a lot of price action and volatility, so for best results, use it on charts that move similar to the S&P 500 or other similar charts.
This indicator uses real time data from the stock market overall, so it should only be used on stocks and will only give a few signals during after hours. It does work ok for crypto, but will not give signals when the US stock market is closed.
**HOW TO USE**
When the VIX Volatility Index trend changes direction, it will give a bull or bear signal on the chart depending on which way the VIX is now trending. Follow these when price is near support/resistance or fibonacci levels.
For more signals with earlier entries, go into settings and reduce the number. 10-100 is best for scalping. For less signals with later entries, change the number to a higher value. Use 100-500 for swing trades. Can go higher for long swing trades.
***MARKETS***
This indicator should only be used on the US stock markets as signals are given based on the VIX volatility index which measures volatility of the US Stock Markets.
***TIMEFRAMES***
This indicator works on all time frames.
**NOTE**
Repainting does happen but it is seldom. If I get enough requests to remove repainting I will, but since it is built for early entries, preventing it from repainting will make the signals show up later than normal.
Due to various factors, this indicator might not give exit signals every time it should, so be sure to watch the price action for entries/exits and don't rely solely on this indicator.
**INVERSE CHARTS**
If you are using this on an inverse ETF and the signals are showing backwards, please comment with what chart it is and I will configure the indicator to give the correct signals. I have included over 50 inverse ETFs into the code to show the correct signals on inverse charts, but I'm sure there are some that I have missed so feel free to let me know and I will update the script with the requested tickers.
***TIPS***
Try using numerous indicators of ours on your chart so you can instantly see the bullish or bearish trend of multiple indicators in real time without having to analyze the data. Some of our favorites are our Auto Fibonacci, Directional Movement Index, Volume Profile, Auto Support And Resistance and Money Flow Index in combination with this Vix Reversal Scalper. They all have real time Bullish and Bearish labels as well so you can immediately understand each indicator's trend.
Overnight Gap AnalysisThere is a wide range of opinion on holding positions overnight due to gap risk. So, out of curiosity, I coded this analysis as a strategy to see what the result of only holding a position overnight on an asset would be. The results really surprised me. The script backtests 10+ years, and here are the findings:
Holding a position for 1 hour bar overnight on QQQ since January 2010 results in a 545% return. QQQ's entire return holding through the same period is 643%
The max equity drawdown on holding that position overnight is lower then the buy/hold drawdown on the underlying asset.
It doesn't matter if the last bar of the day is green or red, the results are similar.
It doesn't matter if it is a bull or bear market. Filtering the script to only trade when the price is above the 200-day moving average actually reduces its return from 545% to 301%, though it does also reduce drawdown.
I see similar patterns when applying the script to other index ETFs. Applying it to leveraged index ETFs can end up beating buy/hold of the underlying index.
Since this script holds through the 1st bar of the day, this could also speak to a day-opening price pattern
The default inputs are for the script to be applied to 1 hour charts only that have 7 bars on the chart per day. You can apply it to other chart types, but must follow the instructions below for it to work properly.
What the script is doing :
This script is buying the close of the last bar of the day and closing the trade at the close of the next bar. So, all trades are being held for 1 bar. By default, the script is setup for use on a 1hr chart that has 7 bars per day. If you try to apply it to a different timeframe, you will need to adjust the count of the last bar of the day with the script input. I.e. There are 7 bars per day on an hour chart on US Stocks/ETFs, so the input is set to 7 by default.
Other ways this script can be used :
This script can also test the result of holding a position over any 1 bar in the day using that same input. For instance, on an hour chart you can input 6 on the script input, and it will model buying the close of the 6th bar of the day while selling on the close of the next bar. I used this out of curiosity to model what only holding the last bar of the day would result in. On average, you lose money on the last bar every day.
The irony here is that the root cause of this last bar of the day losing may be people selling their positions at the end of day so that they aren't exposed to overnight gap risk.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Open-source scripts I publish in the community are largely meant to spark ideas that can be used as building blocks for part of a more robust trade management strategy. If you would like to implement a version of any script, I would recommend making significant additions/modifications to the strategy & risk management functions. If you don’t know how to program in Pine, then hire a Pine-coder. We can help!
MS Market Timing ModelThis script uses subtle sentiment analysis to try to reduce the risk of positioning in assets. By "assets" I mean: the QQQ ETF as a synonym for positioning in Nasdaq-100 stocks and the TLT ETF as a placeholder for US government bonds with very long maturity and that as a risk-averse alternative. The coloring of the pseudo capital curve means:
* green = 100% QQQ
* red = 100% TLT
* yellow = 50% QQQ/50% TLT
Live off your portofolio (decumulate)This indicator simulates living off your portofolio consisting of a single security or stock such as the SPY etf or even Bitcoin. The simulation starts at a certain point on the chart (which you input as year and month).
Withrawals from the portofolio are made each month according to the yearly withdrawal rate you enter, such as the 4% SWR. The monthly withdrawal income is calculated in USD at the beginning of the retirement period and then adjusted according to the US inflation (CPI) on 01/01 of each year.
The blue graph represents the USD value of the remaining portofolio.
This indicator is meant to be used on daily, weekly or monthly time frame. It may not work properly (and makes little sense to use) on intraday timeframe or larger time frames such as quarterly (3M).
When withdrawing, the indicator considers that fractional stock values can be used (the portofolio value is kept as a float). This may not be true, as most stock brokers currently don't allow this.
It does not explicitly take into account dividends. In order to do this you will have to enable "Adjust for dividends" by clicking on "adj" in the lower right corner of the screen, or by using the indicator on a Total Return (TR) index such as DAX. Unfortunately SPX does not have dividend data, you will have to use the SPY etf (which doesn't have a long history)
Moving Average and PerformanceThis indicator combines several tools that are used daily for analysis:
The performance of the action we are seeing.
The percentage of retracement the stock has made from its all time high.
Possibility of using up to four exponential or simple moving averages in the length we want.
It allows to see or not the levels of four moving averages in daily temporality.
This indicator is unique since it allows you to see in real time the performance of the Stock or ETF that is being analyzed, which allows you to make a timely decision for short, medium or long-term investments.
If you are doing scalping, swing, or intraday trading, you can see the retracement it has made from the ATH (3, 5, 10 or 13%) which can become Supports or Resistances where the price can rebound, Likewise, the levels of the moving averages in 1D temporality can be observed at the same time, which are usually dynamic supports or resistances and it can also be observed in the same temporality of the chart four moving averages that the trader can configure in the length that you deem convenient to improve your analysis and make decisions as quickly as possible.
Este indicador es único ya que permite ver en tiempo real el rendimiento de la Acción o ETF que se está analizando, lo cual permite tomar una decisión oportuna para las inversiones a corto, mediano o largo plazo.
Si se está haciendo trading tipo scalping, swing, o intradía, se puede observar el retroceso que ha hecho desde el ATH (3, 5, 10 o 13%) el cual puede convertirse en Soportes o Resistencias en donde el precio puede hacer rebotes, así mismo se pueden estar observando al mismo tiempo los niveles de las medias móviles en temporalidad de 1D, los cuales usualmente son Soportes o resistencias dinámicas y también se puede observar en la misma temporalidad del gráfico cuatro medias móviles que el trader puede configurar en la longitud que crea conveniente para mejorar su análisis y tomar decisiones lo más rápido posible.
Retroceso 3%, 5%, 20% desde ATHThe Script shows us the% retracement that an action or ETF normally makes after it reaches its ATH, it also allows us to see the EMA 8, 21 and the MA 50 that show us the trend
El Script nos muestra el % de retroceso que normalmente hace una acción o ETF después que llega a su ATH, también nos permite ver las ver las EMA 8, 21 y la MA 50 que nos muestran la tendencia
Buy in Bollinger Band uptrend (Weekly and Daily) // © PlanTradePlanMM 6/14/2020
// ---------------------------------------------------
// Name: Buy in Bollinger Band uptrend (Weekly and Daily)
// ---------------------------------------------------
// Key Points in this study:
// 1. Long in BB Upper band, probability of price going up is more than 50%
// 2. Buy at the bottom 1/4 of upper band (Upper line - EMA), Stop is EMA, tartget is Upper line; it matches risk:reward=1:3;
//
// Draw Lines:
// BB Upper : is the Target (Black line)
// BB EMA : is the initial Stop (Black line)
// BuyLine : EMA20 + 1/4 of (Target-Stop), which matches risk:/reward=1:3 naturally
// Prepare Zone : between EMA and BuyLine
// buyPrice : Blue dot line only showing when has long position, Which shows entry price.
// StopPrice : Black dot line only showing when has long position, Which shows updated stop price.
//
// Add SMA(50) to filter the trend. Price >= SMA, allow to long
//
// What (Condition): in BB uptrend band
// When (Price action): Price cross over BuyLine;
// How (Trading Plan): Buy at BuyLine;
// Initial Stop is EMA;
// Initial Target is BB Upper Line;
//
// FollowUp: if price moves up first, and the EMA is higher than Entry point, Use EMA as new stop. At least "make even" in this trade;
//
// Exit: 1. Initial stop -- "Stop" when down first, close below stop price.
// 2. Target reached -- "TR" when up quickly, Target reached
// 3. make even -- "ME" when small up and down, Exit at entry Price
// 4. Small Winner -- "SM" when EMA above Entry price, Exit when close below EMA, and higher than entry Price
//
// --------------
// Because there are too many flags in up trend study already, I will create a down trend script separately.
// Uptrend study is good for SPY, QQQ, and strong stocks.
// Downtrend Study is good for weak ETF, stock, and (-2x, -3x) ETFs, such as FAZ, UVXY, USO, XOP, AAL, CCL
// -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
// Back test Weekly and daily chart for SPY, QQQ
// If it will be a big Gap down or a big down move, stop at close price could be a big loss; But this way could avoid may noise, to stay in a trending position longer.
// When buy in trending move, the position could be hold for a big range.
// The best samples are SPY and QQQ daily chart.
//
// Better to use another way to verify the long term up trend first.
// For single stock, it is better shows more relative strength than SPY.
basic fixed fraction strategyOne of the most common trading strategy is to invest a certain percentage in an asset, and keep the percentage fixed. For example you invest 2% in a stock, and as the value goes up you sell. And as the value goes down you buy. Always trying to keep the value of how much you have invested in that asset at 2%.
This works very well with assets that are stable. If you have something that fluctuates around a value, you will find yourself that each time it has gone back to the value in which you entered, you have actually gained something. With an asset that grows it also works. But in general you might find that more aggressive investments are more profitable. On the other side if there is a bubble, and you invest from the beginning using this strategy you will find yourself at the end of the bubble having gained something. Not as much as having bought all at the beginning and having sold all at the end, but still you will have sold going up, and bought going down. Plus you will have gained in the fluctuation.
Where is instead very dangerous is in stock and assets that go to zero. This because you might invest just 2% in an investment. But then as the strategy works you keep investing more as you are trying to keep 2%. You basically can lose all your money in this way (like if you were invested 100% in an asset). Very dangerous. This is why you should only use this with assets that you are sure cannot go to zero (an ETF on S & P 500 could be a good example).
So I coded this strategy on TradingView. basically it will ask you what percentage you want to invest. Then starts with entering with an order of that amount, and will then keep sitself at the same percentage. The system is discrete, as it can only buy a discrete number of contract.
Note that if you use this for cryptocurrency (where you can buy a fraction of a coin, like 0.01 btc) then you should multiply the money that you have by 10, 100, 1000 ... depending on how many digits after the comma your exchange permit you to trade.
If you are using this for forex or crypto it is quite easy that the number of order will explode. As such I added the date range taken from Allanster great script
One way to use Fixed Fractioning is to calculate the Kelly Index of an asset (which will give you a percentage), and then invest half or a quarter of the kelly in that coin, and then keep this fixed.
Another way (which goes well beyond what this script can do alone) to use the Fixed Fractioning is, if you have two assets that are anticorrelated (has a negative correlation), then investing a certain percentage of your capital in one and another percentage in another. And then each time one goes up (and the other goes down) you sell the one that is going up, and buy the one that is going down to keep the percentages fixed.
Something else, it is pretty common for people to invest around 80% of their money in an ETF that follows tha S&P500. This is why here we use 80%. Generally I have seen a more common investment strategy to be around 2%.
As everybody says: I am not responsible for your money. Study before investing.
MCL RSI Conflux v2.5 — Multi-Timeframe Momentum & Z-Score Full Description
Overview
The MCL RSI Conflux v2.5 is a multi-timeframe momentum model that integrates daily, weekly, and monthly RSI values into a unified composite. It extends the classical RSI framework with adaptive overbought/oversold thresholds and statistical normalization (Z-score confluence).
This combination allows traders to visualize cross-timeframe alignment, identify synchronized momentum shifts, and detect exhaustion zones with higher statistical confidence.
Methodology
The script extracts RSI data from three major time horizons:
Daily RSI (short-term momentum)
Weekly RSI (intermediate trend)
Monthly RSI (macro bias)
Each RSI is optionally smoothed, weighted, and aggregated into a Composite RSI.
A Z-score transformation then measures how far each RSI deviates from its historical mean, revealing when momentum strength is statistically extreme or aligned across timeframes.
Key Features
Multi-Timeframe RSI Engine – Computes RSI across D/W/M intervals with individual weighting controls.
Adaptive Overbought/Oversold Bands – Automatically adjusts OB/OS thresholds based on rolling volatility (standard deviation of daily RSI).
Composite RSI Score – Weighted consensus RSI that represents total market momentum.
Z-Score Confluence Analysis – Identifies when all three timeframes are statistically synchronized.
Z-Composite Histogram – Displays aggregated Z-score strength around the midline (50).
Divergence Detection – Flags confirmed pivot-based bull and bear divergences on the daily RSI.
Dynamic Gradient Background – Shifts from red to green based on composite momentum regime.
Customizable Control Panel – Displays RSI values, Z-scores, state, and adaptive bands for each timeframe.
Integrated Alerts – For crossovers, risk-on/off thresholds, alignment, and Z-confluence events.
Interpretation
All RSI values above 50: multi-timeframe bullish alignment.
All RSI values below 50: multi-timeframe bearish alignment.
Composite RSI > 60: risk-on environment; momentum expansion.
Composite RSI < 45: risk-off environment; momentum contraction.
Adaptive OB/OS hits: potential exhaustion or mean reversion setup.
Green Z-ribbon: all Z-scores positive and aligned (statistical confirmation).
Red Z-ribbon: all Z-scores negative and aligned (broad market weakness).
Divergences: short-term warning signals against the prevailing momentum bias.
Practical Application
Use the Composite RSI as a global momentum gauge for position bias.
Trade only in the direction of higher-timeframe alignment (avoid countertrend RSI).
Combine Z-ribbon confirmation with Composite RSI crosses to filter noise.
Use divergence labels and adaptive thresholds for risk reduction or exit timing.
Ideal for swing traders and macro momentum models seeking trend synchronization filters.
Recommended Settings
Market Mode k-Band Lookback Use Case
Stocks / ETFs Adaptive 0.85 200 Medium-term rotation filter
Crypto Adaptive 1.00 150 Volatility-responsive swing filter
Commodities Fixed 70/30 100 Mean reversion model
Alerts Included
Daily RSI crossed above/below Weekly RSI
Composite RSI > Risk-On threshold
Composite RSI < Risk-Off threshold
All RSI aligned above/below 50
Z-Score Conformity (All positive or all negative)
Overbought/Oversold triggers
Author’s Note
This indicator was designed for research and systematic confluence analysis within Mongoose Capital Labs.
It is not financial advice and should be used in combination with independent risk assessment, volume confirmation, and higher-timeframe context.
Reactive Curvature Smoother Moving Average IndicatorSummary in one paragraph
RCS MA is a reactive curvature smoother for any liquid instrument on intraday through swing timeframes. It helps you act only when context strengthens by adapting its window length with a normalized path energy score and by smoothing with robust residual weights over a quadratic fit, then optionally blending a capped one step forecast. Add it to a clean chart and watch the single colored line. Shapes can shift while a bar forms and settle on close. For conservative use, judge on bar close.
Scope and intent
• Markets: major FX pairs, index futures, large cap equities, liquid crypto
• Timeframes: one minute to daily
• Purpose: reduce lag in trends while resisting chop and outliers
• Limits: indicator only, no orders
Originality and usefulness
• Novelty: adaptive window selection by minimizing normalized path energy with directionality bias, plus Huber weighted residuals and curvature aware penalty, finished with a mintick capped forecast blend
• Failure modes addressed: whipsaws from fixed length MAs and outlier spikes that pull means
• Testable: Inputs expose all components and optional diagnostics show chosen length, directionality, and energy
• Portable yardstick: forecast cap uses mintick to stay symbol aware
Method overview in plain language
Base measures
• Range span of the tested window and a path energy defined as the sum of squared price increments, normalized by span
Components
Adaptive window chooser: scans L between Min and Max using an energy over trend score and picks the lowest score
Robust smoother: fits a quadratic to the last L bars, computes residuals, applies Huber weights and an exponential residual penalty scaled down when curvature is high
Forecast blend: projects one step ahead from the quadratic, caps displacement by a multiple of mintick, blends by user weight
Fusion rule
• Final line equals robust mean plus optional capped forecast blend
Signal rule
• Visual bias only: color turns lime when close is above the line, red otherwise
What you will see on the chart
• One colored line that tightens in trends and relaxes in chop
• Optional debug overlays for core value, chosen L, directionality, and energy
• Optional last bar label with L, directionality, and energy
• Reminder: drawings can move intrabar and settle on close
Inputs with guidance
Setup
• Source: price series to smooth
Logic
• Min window l_min. Typical 5 to 21. Higher increases stability, adds lag
• Max window l_max. Typical 40 to 128. Higher reduces noise, adds lag ceiling
• Length step grid_step. Typical 1 to 8. Smaller is finer and heavier
• Trend bias trend_bias. Typical 0.50 to 0.80. Higher favors trend persistence
• Residual penalty lambda_base. Typical 0.8 to 2.0. Higher downweights large residuals more
• Huber threshold huber_k. Typical 1.5 to 3.0. Higher admits more outliers
• Curvature guard curv_guard. Typical 0.3 to 1.0. Higher reduces influence when curve is tight
• Forecast blend lead_blend. 0 disables. Typical 0.10 to 0.40
• Forecast cap lead_limit. Typical 1 to 5 minticks
• Show chosen L and metrics show_debug. Diagnostics toggle
Optional: enable diagnostics to see length, direction, and energy
Realism and responsible publication
• No performance claims. Past results never guarantee future outcomes
• Shapes can move while bars are open and settle on close
• Use on standard candles for analysis and combine with your own risk process
Honest limitations and failure modes
• Very quiet regimes can reduce energy contrast, length selection may hover near the bounds
• Gap heavy symbols can disrupt quadratic fit on the window edges
• Excessive forecast blend may look anticipatory; use low values and the cap
TriAnchor Elastic Reversion US Market SPY and QQQ adaptedSummary in one paragraph
Mean-reversion strategy for liquid ETFs, index futures, large-cap equities, and major crypto on intraday to daily timeframes. It waits for three anchored VWAP stretches to become statistically extreme, aligns with bar-shape and breadth, and fades the move. Originality comes from fusing daily, weekly, and monthly AVWAP distances into a single ATR-normalized energy percentile, then gating with a robust Z-score and a session-safe gap filter.
Scope and intent
• Markets: SPY QQQ IWM NDX large caps liquid futures liquid crypto
• Timeframes: 5 min to 1 day
• Default demo: SPY on 60 min
• Purpose: fade stretched moves only when multi-anchor context and breadth agree
• Limits: strategy uses standard candles for signals and orders only
Originality and usefulness
• Unique fusion: tri-anchor AVWAP energy percentile plus robust Z of close plus shape-in-range gate plus breadth Z of SPY QQQ IWM
• Failure mode addressed: chasing extended moves and fading during index-wide thrusts
• Testability: each component is an input and visible in orders list via L and S tags
• Portable yardstick: distances are ATR-normalized so thresholds transfer across symbols
• Open source: method and implementation are disclosed for community review
Method overview in plain language
Base measures
• Range basis: ATR(length = atr_len) as the normalization unit
• Return basis: not used directly; we use rank statistics for stability
Components
• Tri-Anchor Energy: squared distances of price from daily, weekly, monthly AVWAPs, each divided by ATR, then summed and ranked to a percentile over base_len
• Robust Z of Close: median and MAD based Z to avoid outliers
• Shape Gate: position of close inside bar range to require capitulation for longs and exhaustion for shorts
• Breadth Gate: average robust Z of SPY QQQ IWM to avoid fading when the tape is one-sided
• Gap Shock: skip signals after large session gaps
Fusion rule
• All required gates must be true: Energy ≥ energy_trig_prc, |Robust Z| ≥ z_trig, Shape satisfied, Breadth confirmed, Gap filter clear
Signal rule
• Long: energy extreme, Z negative beyond threshold, close near bar low, breadth Z ≤ −breadth_z_ok
• Short: energy extreme, Z positive beyond threshold, close near bar high, breadth Z ≥ +breadth_z_ok
What you will see on the chart
• Standard strategy arrows for entries and exits
• Optional short-side brackets: ATR stop and ATR take profit if enabled
Inputs with guidance
Setup
• Base length: window for percentile ranks and medians. Typical 40 to 80. Longer smooths, shorter reacts.
• ATR length: normalization unit. Typical 10 to 20. Higher reduces noise.
• VWAP band stdev: volatility bands for anchors. Typical 2.0 to 4.0.
• Robust Z window: 40 to 100. Larger for stability.
• Robust Z entry magnitude: 1.2 to 2.2. Higher means stronger extremes only.
• Energy percentile trigger: 90 to 99.5. Higher limits signals to rare stretches.
• Bar close in range gate long: 0.05 to 0.25. Larger requires deeper capitulation for longs.
Regime and Breadth
• Use breadth gate: on when trading indices or broad ETFs.
• Breadth Z confirm magnitude: 0.8 to 1.8. Higher avoids fighting thrusts.
• Gap shock percent: 1.0 to 5.0. Larger allows more gaps to trade.
Risk — Short only
• Enable short SL TP: on to bracket shorts.
• Short ATR stop mult: 1.0 to 3.0.
• Short ATR take profit mult: 1.0 to 6.0.
Properties visible in this publication
• Initial capital: 25000USD
• Default order size: Percent of total equity 3%
• Pyramiding: 0
• Commission: 0.03 percent
• Slippage: 5 ticks
• Process orders on close: OFF
• Bar magnifier: OFF
• Recalculate after order is filled: OFF
• Calc on every tick: OFF
• request.security lookahead off where used
Realism and responsible publication
• No performance claims. Past results never guarantee future outcomes
• Fills and slippage vary by venue
• Shapes can move during bar formation and settle on close
• Standard candles only for strategies
Honest limitations and failure modes
• Economic releases or very thin liquidity can overwhelm mean-reversion logic
• Heavy gap regimes may require larger gap filter or TR-based tuning
• Very quiet regimes reduce signal contrast; extend windows or raise thresholds
Open source reuse and credits
• None
Strategy notice
Orders are simulated by TradingView on standard candles. request.security uses lookahead off where applicable. Non-standard charts are not supported for execution.
Entries and exits
• Entry logic: as in Signal rule above
• Exit logic: short side optional ATR stop and ATR take profit via brackets; long side closes on opposite setup
• Risk model: ATR-based brackets on shorts when enabled
• Tie handling: stop first when both could be touched inside one bar
Dataset and sample size
• Test across your visible history. For robust inference prefer 100 plus trades.
FluxGate Daily Swing StrategySummary in one paragraph
FluxGate treats long and short as different ecosystems. It runs two independent engines so the long side can be bold when the tape rewards upside persistence while the short side can stay selective when downside is messy. The core reads three directional drivers from price geometry then removes overlap before gating with clean path checks. The complementary risk module anchors stop distance to a higher timeframe ATR so a unit means the same thing on SPY and BTC. It can add take profit breakeven and an ATR trail that only activates after the trade earns it. If a stop is hit the strategy can re enter in the same direction on the next bar with a daily retry cap that you control. Add it to a clean chart. Use defaults to see the intended behavior. For conservative workflows evaluate on bar close.
Scope and intent
• Markets. Large cap equities and liquid ETFs major FX pairs US index futures and liquid crypto pairs
• Timeframes. From one minute to daily
• Default demo in this publication. SPY on one day timeframe
• Purpose. Reduce false starts without missing sustained trends by fusing independent drivers and suppressing activity when the path is noisy
• Limits. This is a strategy. Orders are simulated on standard candles. Non standard chart types are not supported for execution
Originality and usefulness
• Unique fusion. FluxGate extracts three drivers that look at price from different angles. Direction measures slope of a smoothed guide and scales by realized volatility so a point of slope does not mean a different thing on different symbols. Persistence looks at short sign agreement to reward series of closes that keep direction. Curvature measures the second difference of a local fit to wake up during convex pushes. These three are then orthonormalized so a strong reading in one does not double count through another.
• Gates that matter. Efficiency ratio prefers direct paths over treadmills. Entropy turns up versus down frequency into an information read. Light fractal cohesion punishes wrinkly paths. Together they slow the system in chop and allow it to open up when the path is clean.
• Separate long and short engines. Threshold tilts adapt to the skew of score excursions. That lets long engage earlier when upside distribution supports it and keeps short cautious where downside surprise and venue frictions are common.
• Practical risk behavior. Stops are ATR anchored on a higher timeframe so the unit is portable. Take profit is expressed in R so two R means the same concept across symbols. Breakeven and trailing only activate after a chosen R so early noise does not squeeze a good entry. Re entry after stop lets the system try again without you babysitting the chart.
• Testability. Every major window and the aggression controls live in Inputs. There is no hidden magic number.
Method overview in plain language
Base measures
• Return basis. Natural log of close over prior close for stability and easy aggregation through time. Realized volatility is the standard deviation of returns over a moving window.
• Range basis for risk. ATR computed on a higher timeframe anchor such as day week or month. That anchor is steady across venues and avoids chasing chart specific quirks.
Components
• Directional intensity. Use an EMA of typical price as a guide. Take the day to day slope as raw direction. Divide by realized volatility to get a unit free measure. Soft clip to keep outliers from dominating.
• Persistence. Encode whether each bar closed up or down. Measure short sign agreement so a string of higher closes scores better than a jittery sequence. This favors push continuity without guessing tops or bottoms.
• Curvature. Fit a short linear regression and compute the second difference of the fitted series. Strong curvature flags acceleration that slope alone may miss.
• Efficiency gate. Compare net move to path length over a gate window. Values near one indicate direct paths. Values near zero indicate treadmill behavior.
• Entropy gate. Convert up versus down frequency into a probability of direction. High entropy means coin toss. The gate narrows there.
• Fractal cohesion. A light read of path wrinkliness relative to span. Lower cohesion reduces the urge to act.
• Phase assist. Map price inside a recent channel to a small signed bias that grows with confidence. This helps entries lean toward the right half of the channel without becoming a breakout rule.
• Shock control. Compare short volatility to long volatility. When short term volatility spikes the shock gate temporarily damps activity so the system waits for pressure to normalize.
Fusion rule
• Normalize the three drivers after removing overlap
• Blend with weights that adapt to your aggression input
• Multiply by the gates to respect path quality
• Smooth just enough to avoid jitter while keeping timing responsive
• Compute an adaptive mean and deviation of the score and set separate long and short thresholds with a small tilt informed by skew sign
• The result is one long score and one short score that can cross their thresholds at different times for the same tape which is a feature not a bug
Signal rule
• A long suggestion appears when the long score crosses above its long threshold while all gates are active
• A short suggestion appears when the short score crosses below its short threshold while all gates are active
• If any required gate is missing the state is wait
• When a position is open the status is in long or in short until the complementary risk engine exits or your entry mode closes and flips
Inputs with guidance
Setup Long
• Base length Long. Master window for the long engine. Typical range twenty four to eighty. Raising it improves selectivity and reduces trade count. Lowering it reacts faster but can increase noise
• Aggression Long. Zero to one. Higher values make thresholds more permissive and shorten smoothing
Setup Short
• Base length Short. Master window for the short engine. Typical range twenty eight to ninety six
• Aggression Short. Zero to one. Lower values keep shorts conservative which is often useful on upward drifting symbols
Entries and UI
• Entry mode. Both or Long only or Short only
Complementary risk engine
• Enable risk engine. Turns on bracket exits while keeping your signal logic untouched
• ATR anchor timeframe. Day Week or Month. This sets the structural unit of stop distance
• ATR length. Default fourteen
• Stop multiple. Default one point five times the anchor ATR
• Use take profit. On by default
• Take profit in R. Default two R
• Breakeven trigger in R. Default one R
Usage recipes
Intraday trend focus
• Entry mode Both
• ATR anchor Week
• Aggression Long zero point five Aggression Short zero point three
• Stop multiple one point five Take profit two R
• Expect fewer trades that stick to directional pushes and skip treadmill noise
Intraday mean reversion focus
• Session windows optional if you add them in your copy
• ATR anchor Day
• Lower aggression both sides
• Breakeven later and trailing later so the first bounce has room
• This favors fade entries that still convert into trends when the path stays clean
Swing continuation
• Signal timeframe four hours or one day
• Confirm timeframe one day if you choose to include bias
• ATR anchor Week or Month
• Larger base windows and a steady two R target
• This accepts fewer entries and aims for larger holds
Properties visible in this publication
• Initial capital 25.000
• Base currency USD
• Default order size percent of equity value three - 3% of the total capital
• Pyramiding zero
• Commission zero point zero three percent - 0.03% of total capital
• Slippage five ticks
• Process orders on close off
• Recalculate after order is filled off
• Calc on every tick off
• Bar magnifier off
• Any request security calls use lookahead off everywhere
Realism and responsible publication
• No performance promises. Past results never guarantee future outcomes
• Fills and slippage vary by venue and feed
• Strategies run on standard candles only
• Shapes can update while a bar is forming and settle on close
• Keep risk per trade sensible. Around one percent is typical for study. Above five to ten percent is rarely sustainable
Honest limitations and failure modes
• Sudden news and thin liquidity can break assumptions behind entropy and cohesion reads
• Gap heavy symbols often behave better with a True Range basis for risk than a simple range
• Very quiet regimes can reduce score contrast. Consider longer windows or higher thresholds when markets sleep
• Session windows follow the exchange time of the chart if you add them
• If stop and target can both be inside a single bar this strategy prefers stop first to keep accounting conservative
Open source reuse and credits
• No reused open source beyond public domain building blocks such as ATR EMA and linear regression concepts
Legal
Education and research only. Not investment advice. You are responsible for your decisions. Test on history and in simulation with realistic costs
Real Time UVXY Spike Level TrackerKey Features
Real Time All-Time Low Tracking: Continuously updates the ATL using daily timeframe data.
Multiple Spike Levels: Displays +20%, +50%, +75%, and +100% levels above the ATL.
Real-Time Spike Percentage: Shows current distance from ATL in an easy-to-read table.
Understanding the Chart Lines
Red Line (ATL): The all-time low baseline. This is your reference point for measuring volatility spikes.
Yellow Line (+20%): First level of moderate volatility increase. Minor market stress or routine volatility expansion.
Blue Line (+50%): Significant volatility event. Indicates elevated market concern or technical dislocation.
Purple Line (+75%): Major volatility spike. Typically coincides with substantial market selloffs or uncertainty.
Fuchsia Line (+100%): Extreme volatility event. Rare occurrences associated with market crashes, black swan events, or severe panic.
The Data Table Displays: Current Spike %: Real-time percentage showing how far price is above the ATL (highlighted in green)
Level Column: Each spike threshold level
Price Column: Exact price at each level for quick reference
Understanding UVXY spike levels is valuable for several reasons:
Market Timing & Entry/Exit Points UVXY typically experiences extreme spikes during market panics or crashes. Knowing historical spike levels helps you:
Identify extreme fear levels - When UVXY hits unusually high levels, it often signals peak panic and potential market bottoms
Avoid chasing volatility - Understanding what constitutes an "extreme" spike prevents buying in after the move is already exhausted Mean Reversion Trading
UVXY has a strong tendency to decay over time due to its leveraged structure and the contango in VIX futures. Spike levels matter because:
High probability reversals - When UVXY reaches extreme levels (say 2-3x normal), there's historically been a high probability of reversion
Risk/reward assessment - You can better evaluate whether a short position or volatility-selling strategy makes sense Leveraged ETF enthusiasts and volatility traders often use specific spike percentages as triggers to open short positions. For example, some traders might short when UVXY spikes 5-50%+ in a week or reaches certain percentage thresholds, betting on the inevitable decay back down
Quantum Flux Universal Strategy Summary in one paragraph
Quantum Flux Universal is a regime switching strategy for stocks, ETFs, index futures, major FX pairs, and liquid crypto on intraday and swing timeframes. It helps you act only when the normalized core signal and its guide agree on direction. It is original because the engine fuses three adaptive drivers into the smoothing gains itself. Directional intensity is measured with binary entropy, path efficiency shapes trend quality, and a volatility squash preserves contrast. Add it to a clean chart, watch the polarity lane and background, and trade from positive or negative alignment. For conservative workflows use on bar close in the alert settings when you add alerts in a later version.
Scope and intent
• Markets. Large cap equities and ETFs. Index futures. Major FX pairs. Liquid crypto
• Timeframes. One minute to daily
• Default demo used in the publication. QQQ on one hour
• Purpose. Provide a robust and portable way to detect when momentum and confirmation align, while dampening chop and preserving turns
• Limits. This is a strategy. Orders are simulated on standard candles only
Originality and usefulness
• Unique concept or fusion. The novelty sits in the gain map. Instead of gating separate indicators, the model mixes three drivers into the adaptive gains that power two one pole filters. Directional entropy measures how one sided recent movement has been. Kaufman style path efficiency scores how direct the path has been. A volatility squash stabilizes step size. The drivers are blended into the gains with visible inputs for strength, windows, and clamps.
• What failure mode it addresses. False starts in chop and whipsaw after fast spikes. Efficiency and the squash reduce over reaction in noise.
• Testability. Every component has an input. You can lengthen or shorten each window and change the normalization mode. The polarity plot and background provide a direct readout of state.
• Portable yardstick. The core is normalized with three options. Z score, percent rank mapped to a symmetric range, and MAD based Z score. Clamp bounds define the effective unit so context transfers across symbols.
Method overview in plain language
The strategy computes two smoothed tracks from the chart price source. The fast track and the slow track use gains that are not fixed. Each gain is modulated by three drivers. A driver for directional intensity, a driver for path efficiency, and a driver for volatility. The difference between the fast and the slow tracks forms the raw flux. A small phase assist reduces lag by subtracting a portion of the delayed value. The flux is then normalized. A guide line is an EMA of a small lead on the flux. When the flux and its guide are both above zero, the polarity is positive. When both are below zero, the polarity is negative. Polarity changes create the trade direction.
Base measures
• Return basis. The step is the change in the chosen price source. Its absolute value feeds the volatility estimate. Mean absolute step over the window gives a stable scale.
• Efficiency basis. The ratio of net move to the sum of absolute step over the window gives a value between zero and one. High values mean trend quality. Low values mean chop.
• Intensity basis. The fraction of up moves over the window plugs into binary entropy. Intensity is one minus entropy, which maps to zero in uncertainty and one in very one sided moves.
Components
• Directional Intensity. Measures how one sided recent bars have been. Smoothed with RMA. More intensity increases the gain and makes the fast and slow tracks react sooner.
• Path Efficiency. Measures the straightness of the price path. A gamma input shapes the curve so you can make trend quality count more or less. Higher efficiency lifts the gain in clean trends.
• Volatility Squash. Normalizes the absolute step with Z score then pushes it through an arctangent squash. This caps the effect of spikes so they do not dominate the response.
• Normalizer. Three modes. Z score for familiar units, percent rank for a robust monotone map to a symmetric range, and MAD based Z for outlier resistance.
• Guide Line. EMA of the flux with a small lead term that counteracts lag without heavy overshoot.
Fusion rule
• Weighted sum of the three drivers with fixed weights visible in the code comments. Intensity has fifty percent weight. Efficiency thirty percent. Volatility twenty percent.
• The blend power input scales the driver mix. Zero means fixed spans. One means full driver control.
• Minimum and maximum gain clamps bound the adaptive gain. This protects stability in quiet or violent regimes.
Signal rule
• Long suggestion appears when flux and guide are both above zero. That sets polarity to plus one.
• Short suggestion appears when flux and guide are both below zero. That sets polarity to minus one.
• When polarity flips from plus to minus, the strategy closes any long and enters a short.
• When flux crosses above the guide, the strategy closes any short.
What you will see on the chart
• White polarity plot around the zero line
• A dotted reference line at zero named Zen
• Green background tint for positive polarity and red background tint for negative polarity
• Strategy long and short markers placed by the TradingView engine at entry and at close conditions
• No table in this version to keep the visual clean and portable
Inputs with guidance
Setup
• Price source. Default ohlc4. Stable for noisy symbols.
• Fast span. Typical range 6 to 24. Raising it slows the fast track and can reduce churn. Lowering it makes entries more reactive.
• Slow span. Typical range 20 to 60. Raising it lengthens the baseline horizon. Lowering it brings the slow track closer to price.
Logic
• Guide span. Typical range 4 to 12. A small guide smooths without eating turns.
• Blend power. Typical range 0.25 to 0.85. Raising it lets the drivers modulate gains more. Lowering it pushes behavior toward fixed EMA style smoothing.
• Vol window. Typical range 20 to 80. Larger values calm the volatility driver. Smaller values adapt faster in intraday work.
• Efficiency window. Typical range 10 to 60. Larger values focus on smoother trends. Smaller values react faster but accept more noise.
• Efficiency gamma. Typical range 0.8 to 2.0. Above one increases contrast between clean trends and chop. Below one flattens the curve.
• Min alpha multiplier. Typical range 0.30 to 0.80. Lower values increase smoothing when the mix is weak.
• Max alpha multiplier. Typical range 1.2 to 3.0. Higher values shorten smoothing when the mix is strong.
• Normalization window. Typical range 100 to 300. Larger values reduce drift in the baseline.
• Normalization mode. Z score, percent rank, or MAD Z. Use MAD Z for outlier heavy symbols.
• Clamp level. Typical range 2.0 to 4.0. Lower clamps reduce the influence of extreme runs.
Filters
• Efficiency filter is implicit in the gain map. Raising efficiency gamma and the efficiency window increases the preference for clean trends.
• Micro versus macro relation is handled by the fast and slow spans. Increase separation for swing, reduce for scalping.
• Location filter is not included in v1.0. If you need distance gates from a reference such as VWAP or a moving mean, add them before publication of a new version.
Alerts
• This version does not include alertcondition lines to keep the core minimal. If you prefer alerts, add names Long Polarity Up, Short Polarity Down, Exit Short on Flux Cross Up in a later version and select on bar close for conservative workflows.
Strategy has been currently adapted for the QQQ asset with 30/60min timeframe.
For other assets may require new optimization
Properties visible in this publication
• Initial capital 25000
• Base currency Default
• Default order size method percent of equity with value 5
• Pyramiding 1
• Commission 0.05 percent
• Slippage 10 ticks
• Process orders on close ON
• Bar magnifier ON
• Recalculate after order is filled OFF
• Calc on every tick OFF
Honest limitations and failure modes
• Past results do not guarantee future outcomes
• Economic releases, circuit breakers, and thin books can break the assumptions behind intensity and efficiency
• Gap heavy symbols may benefit from the MAD Z normalization
• Very quiet regimes can reduce signal contrast. Use longer windows or higher guide span to stabilize context
• Session time is the exchange time of the chart
• If both stop and target can be hit in one bar, tie handling would matter. This strategy has no fixed stops or targets. It uses polarity flips for exits. If you add stops later, declare the preference
Open source reuse and credits
• None beyond public domain building blocks and Pine built ins such as EMA, SMA, standard deviation, RMA, and percent rank
• Method and fusion are original in construction and disclosure
Legal
Education and research only. Not investment advice. You are responsible for your decisions. Test on historical data and in simulation before any live use. Use realistic costs.
Strategy add on block
Strategy notice
Orders are simulated by the TradingView engine on standard candles. No request.security() calls are used.
Entries and exits
• Entry logic. Enter long when both the normalized flux and its guide line are above zero. Enter short when both are below zero
• Exit logic. When polarity flips from plus to minus, close any long and open a short. When the flux crosses above the guide line, close any short
• Risk model. No initial stop or target in v1.0. The model is a regime flipper. You can add a stop or trail in later versions if needed
• Tie handling. Not applicable in this version because there are no fixed stops or targets
Position sizing
• Percent of equity in the Properties panel. Five percent is the default for examples. Risk per trade should not exceed five to ten percent of equity. One to two percent is a common choice
Properties used on the published chart
• Initial capital 25000
• Base currency Default
• Default order size percent of equity with value 5
• Pyramiding 1
• Commission 0.05 percent
• Slippage 10 ticks
• Process orders on close ON
• Bar magnifier ON
• Recalculate after order is filled OFF
• Calc on every tick OFF
Dataset and sample size
• Test window Jan 2, 2014 to Oct 16, 2025 on QQQ one hour
• Trade count in sample 324 on the example chart
Release notes template for future updates
Version 1.1.
• Add alertcondition lines for long, short, and exit short
• Add optional table with component readouts
• Add optional stop model with a distance unit expressed as ATR or a percent of price
Notes. Backward compatibility Yes. Inputs migrated Yes.
Continuation Suite v1 — 5m/15mContinuation Suite v1 — 5m/15m (Non-Repainting, S/R + Trend Continuation)
What it does
Continuation Suite v1 is a practical intraday toolkit that combines non-repainting trend-continuation signals with auto-built Support/Resistance (S/R) from confirmed pivots. It’s designed for fast, liquid names on 5m charts with an optional 15m higher-timeframe (HTF) overlay. You get: stacked-EMA bias, disciplined pullback+reclaim entries, optional volume/volatility gates, a “Strong” signal tier, solid S/R lines or zones, and a compact dashboard for fast reads.
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Why traders use it
• Clear bias using fast/mid/slow EMA stacking.
• Actionable entries that require a pullback, a reclaim, and (optionally) a minor break of prior extremes.
• Signal quality gates (volume vs SMA, ATR%, ADX/DI alignment, EMA spacing, slope).
• Non-repainting logic when “Confirm on Close” = ON. Intrabar previews show what’s forming, but confirmed signals only print on bar close.
• S/R that matters: confirmed-pivot lines or ATR-sized zones, optional HTF overlay, and auto de-dup to avoid clutter.
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Signal construction (no magic, just rules)
Bullish continuation (base):
1. Trend: EMA fast > EMA mid > EMA slow
2. Pullback: price pulls into the stack (lowest low or close vs EMA fast/mid over a lookback)
3. Reclaim: close > EMA fast and close > open
4. Break filter (optional): current bar takes out the prior bar’s high
5. Filters: volume > SMA (if enabled) and ATR% ≤ max (if enabled)
6. Cooldown: a minimum bar gap between signals
Bearish continuation (base): mirror of the above.
Strong signals: base conditions plus ADX ≥ threshold, DI alignment (DI+>DI- for longs; DI->DI+ for shorts), minimum EMA-spacing %, and minimum fast-EMA slope.
Reference stops:
• Longs: lowest low over the pullback lookback
• Shorts: highest high over the pullback lookback
Alerts are included for: Bullish Continuation, Bearish Continuation, STRONG Bullish, STRONG Bearish.
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S/R engine (current TF + optional HTF)
• Builds S/R from confirmed pivots only (left/right bars).
• Choose Lines (midlines) or Zones (ATR-sized).
• Zones merge when a new pivot lands near an existing zone’s mid (ATR-scaled epsilon).
• Touches counter tracks significance; you can require a minimum to draw.
• HTF overlay (default 15m) draws separate lines/zones with tiny TF tags on the right.
• De-dup option hides current-TF zones that sit too close to HTF zones (ATR-scaled), reducing overlap.
• Freeze on Close (optional) keeps arrays stable intrabar; snapshots show levels immediately as bars open.
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Presets
• Auto: Detects QQQ-like tickers (QQQ, QLD, QID) or SoFi; else defaults to Custom.
• QQQ: Tighter ATR% and EMA settings geared to index-ETF behavior.
• SoFi: Wider ATR allowances and longer mid/slow for single-name behavior.
• Custom: Expose all key inputs to tune for your product.
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Dashboard (top-right)
• Preset in use
• Bias (Bullish CONT / Bearish CONT / Neutral)
• Strong (Yes/No)
• Volatility (ATR% bucket)
• Trend (ADX bucket)
• HTF timeframe tag
• Volume (bucket or “off”)
• Signals mode (Close-Confirmed vs Intrabar)
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Inputs you’ll actually adjust
Trend/Signals
• Fast/Mid/Slow EMA lengths
• Pullback lookback, Min bars between signals
• Volume filter (vol > SMA N)
• ATR% max filter (cap excessive volatility)
• Require break of prior bar’s high/low
• “Strong” gates: min EMA slope, min EMA spacing %, ADX length & threshold
Support/Resistance
• Lines vs Zones
• Pivot left/right bars
• Extend left/right (bars)
• Max pivots kept (current & HTF)
• Zone width (× ATR), Merge epsilon (× ATR), Min gap (× ATR)
• Min touches, Max zones per side near price
• De-dup current TF vs HTF (× ATR)
Repainting control
• Confirm on Close: when ON, signals/SR finalize on bar close (non-repainting)
• Freeze on Close: freeze S/R intrabar with snapshot updates
• Show previews: translucent intrabar labels for what’s forming
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How to use it (straightforward)
1. Load on 5-minute chart (baseline). Keep Confirm on Close ON if you hate repainting.
2. Use Bias + Strong + S/R context. If a long prints into HTF resistance, you have information.
3. Manage risk off the reference stop (pullback extreme). If ATR% reads “Great,” widen expectations; if “Poor,” size down or pass.
4. Alerts: wire the four alert types to your workflow.
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Notes and constraints
• Designed for liquid symbols. Thin books and synthetic “volume” will degrade the volume gate.
• S/R is pivot-based. On very choppy tape, touch counts help. Increase min touches or switch to Lines to declutter.
• If your chart timeframe isn’t 5m, behavior changes because lengths are in bars, not minutes. Tune lengths accordingly.
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Disclaimers
This is a research tool. No signals are guaranteed. Markets change, outliers happen, slippage is real. Nothing here is financial advice—use your own judgment and risk management.
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Author: DaddyScruff
License: MPL-2.0 (Mozilla Public License 2.0)
Portfolio Simulator & BacktesterMulti-asset portfolio simulator with different metrics and ratios, DCA modeling, and rebalancing strategies.
Core Features
Portfolio Construction
Up to 5 assets with customizable weights (must total 100%)
Support for any tradable symbol: stocks, ETFs, crypto, indices, commodities
Real-time validation of allocations
Dollar Cost Averaging
Monthly or Quarterly contributions
Applies to both portfolio and benchmark for fair comparison
Model real-world investing behavior
Rebalancing
Four strategies: None, Monthly, Quarterly, Yearly
Automatic rebalancing to target weights
Transaction cost modeling (customizable fee %)
Key Metrics Table
CAGR: Annualized compound return (S&P 500 avg: ~10%)
Alpha: Excess return vs. benchmark (positive = outperformance)
Sharpe Ratio: Return per unit of risk (>1.0 is good, >2.0 excellent)
Sortino Ratio: Like Sharpe but only penalizes downside (better metric)
Calmar Ratio: CAGR / Max Drawdown (>1.0 good, >2.0 excellent)
Max Drawdown: Largest peak-to-trough decline
Win Rate: % of positive days (doesn't indicate profitability)
Visualization
Dual-chart comparison - Portfolio vs. Benchmark
Dollar or percentage view toggle
Customizable colors and line width
Two tables: Statistics + Asset Allocation
Adjustable table position and text size
🚀 Quick Start Guide
Enter 1-5 ticker symbols (e.g., SPY, QQQ, TLT, GLD, BTCUSD)
Make sure percentage weights total 100%
Choose date range (ensure chart shows full period - zoom out!)
Configure DCA and rebalancing (optional)
Select benchmark (default: SPX)
Analyze results in statistics table
💡 Pro Tips
Chart data matters: Load SPY or your longest-history asset as main chart
If you select an asset that was not available for the selected period, the chart will not show up! E.g. BTCUSD data: Only available from ~2017 onwards.
Transaction fees: 0.1% default (adjust to match your broker)
⚠️ Important Notes
Requires visible chart data (zoom out to show full date range)
Limited by each asset's historical data availability
Transaction fees and costs are modeled, but taxes/slippage are not
Past performance ≠ future results
Use for research and education only, not financial advice
Let me know if you have any suggestions to improve this simulator.
Recovery StrategyDescription:
The Recovery Strategy is a long-only trading system designed to capitalize on significant price drops from recent highs. It enters a position when the price falls 10% or more from the highest high over a 6-month lookback period and adds positions on further 2% drops, up to a maximum of 5 positions. Each trade is held for 6 months before exiting, regardless of profit or loss. The strategy uses margin to amplify position sizes, with a default leverage of 5:1 (20% margin requirement). All key parameters are customizable via inputs, allowing flexibility for different assets and timeframes. Visual markers indicate recent highs for reference.
How It Works:
Entry: Buys when the closing price drops 10% or more from the recent high (highest high in the lookback period, default 126 bars ~6 months). If already in a position, additional buys occur on further 2% drops (e.g., 12%, 14%, 16%, 18%), up to 5 positions (pyramiding).
Exit: Each trade exits after its own holding period (default 126 bars ~6 months), regardless of profit or loss. No stop loss or take-profit is used.
Margin: Uses leverage to control larger positions (default 20% margin, 5:1 leverage). The order size is a percentage of equity (default 100%), adjustable via inputs.
Visualization: Displays blue markers (without text) at new recent highs to highlight reference levels.
Inputs:
Lookback Period for High Peak (bars): Number of bars to look back for the recent high (default: 126, ~6 months on daily charts).
Initial Drop Percentage to Buy (%): Percentage drop from recent high to trigger the first buy (default: 10.0%).
Additional Drop Percentage to Buy (%): Further drop percentage to add positions (default: 2.0%).
Holding Period (bars): Number of bars to hold each position before selling (default: 126, ~6 months).
Order Size (% of Equity): Percentage of equity used per trade (default: 100%).
Margin for Long Positions (%): Percentage of position value covered by equity (default: 20%, equivalent to 5:1 leverage).
Usage:
Timeframe: Designed for daily charts (126 bars ~6 months). Adjust Lookback Period and Holding Period for other timeframes (e.g., 1008 hours for hourly charts, assuming 8 trading hours/day).
Assets: Suitable for stocks, ETFs, or other assets with significant price volatility. Test thoroughly on your chosen asset.
Settings: Customize inputs in the strategy settings to match your risk tolerance and market conditions. For example, lower Margin for Long Positions (e.g., to 10% for 10:1 leverage) to increase position sizes, but beware of higher risk.
Backtesting: Use TradingView’s Strategy Tester to evaluate performance. Check the “List of Trades” for skipped trades due to insufficient equity or margin requirements.
Risks and Considerations:
No Stop Loss: The strategy holds trades for the full 6 months without a stop loss, exposing it to significant drawdowns in prolonged downtrends.
Margin Risk: Leverage (default 5:1) amplifies both profits and losses. Ensure sufficient equity to cover margin requirements to avoid skipped trades or simulated margin calls.
Pyramiding: Up to 5 positions can be open simultaneously, increasing exposure. Adjust pyramiding in the code if fewer positions are desired (e.g., change to pyramiding=3).
Market Conditions: Performance depends on price drops and recoveries. Test on historical data to assess effectiveness in your market.
Broker Emulator: TradingView’s paper trading simulates margin but does not execute real margin trading. Results may differ in live trading due to broker-specific margin rules.
How to Use:
Add the strategy to your chart in TradingView.
Adjust input parameters in the settings panel to suit your asset, timeframe, and risk preferences.
Run a backtest in the Strategy Tester to evaluate performance.
Monitor open positions and margin levels in the Trading Panel to manage risk.
For live trading, consult your broker’s margin requirements and leverage policies, as TradingView’s simulation may not match real-world conditions.
Disclaimer:
This strategy is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, especially with leverage and no stop loss. Always backtest thoroughly and consult a financial advisor before using any strategy in live trading.
Fear & Greed [theUltimator5]This indicator attempts to replicate CNN's Fear & Greed Index methodology to measure market sentiment on a scale from 0-100. It combines seven key market components into a single sentiment score, where lower values indicate fear and higher values indicate greed.
Note: It is impossible to perfectly replicate the true Fear & Greed indicator due to data limitations, so this indicator attempts to best replicate the output for each of the (7) components using available data.
The uniqueness of this indicator comes from the calculation methods for the 7 components as well as the visual representation of the data, which includes a table and selectable plots for each of the 7 components which make up the overall sentiment. Existing variants of the Fear & Greed Index have substantial flaws in the calculations of several of the components which result in warped final sentiment numbers. This indicator attempts to better track all 7 components and provide a closer model to the actual Fear & Greed index.
Here are the seven components and a brief description of how each are calculated:
1. Market Momentum
Calculation: S&P 500 current price vs. 125-day moving average
Measures how far the market has moved from its long-term trend
Uses CNN-style Z-score normalization over 252 trading days
Higher values indicate strong upward momentum (greed)
Lower values suggest declining momentum (fear)
2. Stock Strength
Calculation: S&P 500 RSI scaled to 252-day range
Uses 14-period RSI of the S&P 500 index
Normalizes RSI values based on their 252-day minimum and maximum
Measures overbought/oversold conditions relative to recent history
Higher values indicate overbought conditions (greed)
Lower values suggest oversold conditions (fear)
3. Price Breadth
Calculation: Modified McClellan Oscillator
Primary: Uses NYSE advancing vs. declining issues with 7-day smoothing
Fallback: Compares sector performance (QQQ, IWM vs. SPY)
Measures how many stocks participate in market moves
Broader participation indicates healthier trends
Narrow breadth suggests selective or weak trends
4. Put/Call Ratio
Calculation: Inverted CBOE Put/Call ratios
Primary: CBOE Equity-only Put/Call ratio (more sensitive)
Fallback: CBOE Total Put/Call ratio
Uses 5-day average and applies CNN normalization
Higher put/call ratios indicate fear (inverted to lower scores)
Lower put/call ratios suggest complacency (higher scores)
5. Market Volatility
Calculation: VIX relative to its 50-day average
Compares current VIX level to its 50-day moving average
Measures deviation from normal volatility expectations
Higher VIX relative to average indicates fear (lower scores)
Lower relative VIX suggests complacency (higher scores)
6. Safe Haven Demand
Calculation: Stock returns vs. bond yield changes
Compares 20-day smoothed S&P 500 returns to Treasury yield changes
When stocks outperform bonds, indicates risk appetite (higher scores)
When bonds outperform stocks, suggests risk aversion (lower scores)
Uses Treasury 10-year yields as the safe haven benchmark
7. Junk Bond Demand
Calculation: High-yield bond spread analysis
Measures yield spread between junk bonds (JNK ETF) and Treasuries
Compares current spread to its 5-day average
Narrowing spreads indicate risk appetite (higher scores)
Widening spreads suggest risk aversion (lower scores)
The combined sentiment is plotted as a single line which changes color based on the current sentiment value.
0-25: Extreme Fear (Red) - Market panic, oversold conditions
26-45: Fear (Orange) - Cautious sentiment, bearish bias
46-55: Neutral (Yellow) - Balanced market sentiment
56-75: Greed (Light Green) - Optimistic sentiment, bullish bias
76-100: Extreme Greed (Green) - Market euphoria, potentially overbought
There are dashed lines to represent the threshold values for each of the sentiments to better visualize transitions.
The table displays each of the (7) components of the index and their respective values. The table can be toggled on/off and the position can be moved.
An optional secondary line can be toggled on to display (1) of the (7) components as a unique color and the component name and value will highlight on the table. The secondary line can be used to dig into the main driving forces behind the overall index value.
Real-Time FTFC Dashboard (Styled)Full Time Frame Continuity dashboard that monitors real-time market direction across multiple timeframes for any stock, ETF, or index. Uses green, red, and pause emojis to visually indicate bullish, bearish, or inactive periods, helping traders quickly assess overall market alignment.
