Wyszukaj w skryptach "做空标普500"
S&P 500 Quandl Data & RatiosTradingView has a little-known integration that allows you to pull in 3rd party data-sets from Nasdaq Data Link, also known as Quandl. Today, I am open-sourcing for the community an indicator that uses the Quandl integration to pull in historical data and ratios on the S&P500. I originally coded this to study macro P/E ratios during peaks and troughs of boom/bust cycles.
The indicator pulls in each of the following datasets, as defined and provided by Quandl. The user can select which datasets to pull in using the indicator settings:
Dividend Yield : S&P 500 dividend yield (12 month dividend per share)/price. Yields following June 2022 (including the current yield) are estimated based on 12 month dividends through June 2022, as reported by S&P. Sources: Standard & Poor's for current S&P 500 Dividend Yield. Robert Shiller and his book Irrational Exuberance for historic S&P 500 Dividend Yields.
Price Earning Ratio : Price to earnings ratio, based on trailing twelve month as reported earnings. Current PE is estimated from latest reported earnings and current market price. Source: Robert Shiller and his book Irrational Exuberance for historic S&P 500 PE Ratio.
CAPE/Shiller PE Ratio : Shiller PE ratio for the S&P 500. Price earnings ratio is based on average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years, known as the Cyclically Adjusted PE Ratio (CAPE Ratio), Shiller PE Ratio, or PE 10 FAQ. Data courtesy of Robert Shiller from his book, Irrational Exuberance.
Earnings Yield : S&P 500 Earnings Yield. Earnings Yield = trailing 12 month earnings divided by index price (or inverse PE) Yields following March, 2022 (including current yield) are estimated based on 12 month earnings through March, 2022 the latest reported by S&P. Source: Standard & Poor's
Price Book Ratio : S&P 500 price to book value ratio. Current price to book ratio is estimated based on current market price and S&P 500 book value as of March, 2022 the latest reported by S&P. Source: Standard & Poor's
Price Sales Ratio : S&P 500 Price to Sales Ratio (P/S or Price to Revenue). Current price to sales ratio is estimated based on current market price and 12 month sales ending March, 2022 the latest reported by S&P. Source: Standard & Poor's
Inflation Adjusted SP500 : Inflation adjusted SP500. Other than the current price, all prices are monthly average closing prices. Sources: Standard & Poor's Robert Shiller and his book Irrational Exuberance for historic S&P 500 prices, and historic CPIs.
Revenue Per Share : Trailing twelve month S&P 500 Sales Per Share (S&P 500 Revenue Per Share) non-inflation adjusted current dollars. Source: Standard & Poor's
Earnings Per Share : S&P 500 Earnings Per Share. 12-month real earnings per share inflation adjusted, constant August, 2022 dollars. Sources: Standard & Poor's for current S&P 500 Earnings. Robert Shiller and his book Irrational Exuberance for historic S&P 500 Earnings.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Open-source scripts I publish in the community are largely meant to spark ideas that can be used as building blocks for part of a more robust trade management strategy. If you would like to implement a version of any script, I would recommend making significant additions/modifications to the strategy & risk management functions. If you don’t know how to program in Pine, then hire a Pine-coder. We can help!
Stock Comparison to S&P 500This indicator, "Stock Comparison to S&P 500," is designed to help traders compare the financial health and valuation of a chosen stock to the S&P 500 index. It compares several key financial metrics of the stock to the corresponding metrics of the S&P 500, including earnings growth, price-to-earnings ratio, price-to-book ratio, and price-to-sales ratio.
The indicator calculates the differences between each metric of the selected stock and the S&P 500, and then weights them using a formula that takes into account the importance of each metric. The resulting value represents the overall comparison between the stock and the S&P 500.
The indicator also displays the differences between the individual metrics in separate plots, allowing traders to see how each metric contributes to the overall comparison. Additionally, it colors the plots green if the selected stock is performing better than the S&P 500 in a particular metric and red if it's performing worse.
Traders can use this indicator to gain insight into the relative financial health and valuation of a selected stock compared to the S&P 500 index, which can help inform their trading decisions.
S&P 500 & Normalized CAPE Z-Score AnalyzerThis macro-focused indicator visualizes the historical valuation of the U.S. equity market using the CAPE ratio (Shiller P/E), normalized over its long-term average and standard deviations. It helps traders and investors identify overvaluation and undervaluation zones over time, combining both statistical signals and historical context.
💡 Why It’s Useful
This indicator is ideal for macro traders and long-term investors looking to contextualize equity valuations across decades. It helps identify statistical extremes in valuation by referencing the standard deviation of the CAPE ratio relative to its long-term mean. The overlay of S&P 500 price with valuation zones provides a visual confirmation tool for macro decisions or timing insights.
It includes:
✅ Three display modes:
-S&P 500 (color-coded by CAPE valuation zone)
-Normalized CAPE (vs. long-term mean)
-CAPE Z-Score (standardized measure)
🎯 How to Interpret
Dynamic coloring of the S&P 500 price based on CAPE valuation:
🔴 Z > +2σ → Highly Overvalued
🟠 Z > +1σ → Overvalued
⚪ -1σ < Z < +1σ → Neutral
🟢 Z < -1σ → Undervalued
✅ Z < -2σ → Strong Buy Zone
-Live valuation label showing the current CAPE, Z-score, and zone.
-Macro event shading: major historical events (e.g. Great Depression, Oil Crisis, Dot-com Bubble, COVID Crash) are shaded on the chart for context.
✅ Built-in alerts:
CAPE > +2σ → Potential risk zone
CAPE < -2σ → Potential opportunity zone
📊 Use Cases
This indicator is ideal for:
🧠 Macro traders seeking long-term valuation extremes.
📈 Portfolio managers monitoring systemic valuation risk.
🏛️ Long-term investors timing strategic allocation shifts.
🧪 How It Works
CAPE ratio (Shiller PE) is retrieved from Quandl (MULTPL/SHILLER_PE_RATIO_MONTH).
The script calculates the long-term average and standard deviation of CAPE.
The Z-score is computed as:
(CAPE - Mean) / Standard Deviation
Users can switch between:
S&P 500 chart, color-coded by CAPE valuation zones.
Normalized CAPE, centered around zero (historic mean).
CAPE Z-score, showing statistical positioning directly.
Visual bands represent +1σ, +2σ, -1σ, -2σ thresholds.
You can switch between modes using the “Display” dropdown in the settings panel.
📊 Data Sources
CAPE: MULTPL/SHILLER_PE_RATIO_MONTH via Quandl
S&P 500: Monthly close prices of SPX (TradingView data)
All data updated on monthly resolution
This is not a repackaged built-in or autogenerated script. It’s a custom-built and interactive indicator designed for educational and analytical use in macroeconomic valuation studies.
S&P 500 Sector StrengthsThe "S&P 500 Sector Strengths" indicator is a sophisticated tool designed to provide traders and investors with a comprehensive view of the relative performance of various sectors within the S&P 500 index. This indicator utilizes the True Strength Index (TSI) to measure and compare the strength of different sectors, offering valuable insights into market trends and sector rotations.
At its core, the indicator calculates the TSI for each sector using price data obtained through the request.security() function. The TSI, a momentum oscillator, is computed using a user-defined smoothing period, allowing for customization based on individual preferences and trading styles. The resulting TSI values for each sector are then plotted on the chart, creating a visual representation of sector strengths.
To use this indicator effectively, traders should focus on comparing the movements of different sector lines. Sectors with lines moving higher are showing increasing strength, while those with descending lines are exhibiting weakness. This comparative analysis can help identify potential investment opportunities and sector rotations. Additionally, when multiple sector lines move in tandem, it may signal a broader market trend.
The indicator includes dashed lines at 0.5 and -0.5, serving as reference points for overbought and oversold conditions. Sectors with TSI values above 0.5 might be considered overbought, suggesting caution, while those below -0.5 could be viewed as oversold, potentially indicating buying opportunities.
One of the key advantages of this indicator is its flexibility. Users can toggle the visibility of individual sectors and customize their colors, allowing for a tailored analysis experience. This feature is particularly useful when focusing on specific sectors or reducing chart clutter for clearer visualization.
The indicator's ability to provide a comprehensive overview of all major S&P 500 sectors in a single chart is a significant benefit. This consolidated view enables quick comparisons and helps in identifying relative strengths and weaknesses across sectors. Such insights can be invaluable for portfolio allocation decisions and in spotting emerging market trends.
Moreover, the dynamic legend feature enhances the indicator's usability. It automatically updates to display only the visible sectors, improving chart readability and interpretation.
By leveraging this indicator, market participants can gain a deeper understanding of sector dynamics within the S&P 500. This enhanced perspective can lead to more informed decision-making in sector allocation strategies and individual stock selection. The indicator's ability to potentially detect early trends by comparing sector strengths adds another layer of value, allowing users to position themselves ahead of broader market movements.
In conclusion, the "S&P 500 Sector Strengths" indicator is a powerful tool that combines technical analysis with sector comparison. Its user-friendly interface, customizable features, and comprehensive sector coverage make it an valuable asset for traders and investors seeking to navigate the complexities of the S&P 500 market with greater confidence and insight.
S&P 500 Earnings Yield SpreadThis indicator compares the attractiveness of equities relative to the risk-free rate of return, by comparing the earnings yields of S&P 500 companies to the 10Y treasury yields. "Earnings yield" refers to the net income attributable to shareholders divided by the stock's price - effectively the inverse of the PE ratio. The tangible meaning of this metric is "the annual income received by (attributable to) shareholders as a percent of the price paid to receive said income." Therefore, earnings yield is comparable to bond yields, which are "the annual income received by bond holders as a percent of the price paid to receive said income."
This indicator subtracts the earnings yield of S&P 500 companies from the current 10-year treasury bond yield, creating a "spread" between the yields that determines whether equities are currently an attractive investment relative to bonds. That is, if the S&P 500 earnings yield exceeds the 10Y treasury yield, then equity investors are receiving more attributable income per dollar paid than bondholders, which could be an indication that equities are an attractive purchase relative to the risk-free rate. The same applies vice-versa; if the 10Y treasury yield exceeds that of the S&P 500 earnings yield, then equities may not be an attractive investment relative to the risk-free rate.
Since data on S&P 500 companies' earnings yields are pulled on a monthly basis, this indicator should be used on a monthly timeframe or longer. Historical data has shown that the critical zones for the indicator are at -4% and +3%, i.e. when equities are trading with a 4% greater yield than 10Y T-bonds and when equities are trading with a 3% lower yield than 10Y T-bonds, respectively. In the "Oversold" case (-4%), equities are trading at a steep discount to the risk-free rate and has often represented a strong buying opportunity. In the "Overbought" case (+3%), equities are trading at a premium to the risk-free rate, which may be an indication that caution should be exercised within the stock market. When the indicator first crosses into "Oversold" territory, this has historically been near a the bottom of a crash on the S&P 500. When the indicator first crosses into the "Overbought" territory, this has often precipitated a correction of 15% on the S&P 500.
Some notable "misses," crashes that this indicator missed, include the 1973 stock market crash and the 2008 global recession. However, both of these cases were largely precipitated by unprecedented economic events, as opposed to stocks simply being "Overbought" relative to treasury yields. Nonetheless, this indicator should form only a small portion of your fundamental analysis, as there are many macroeconomic factors that could lead to major corrections besides the impact of treasury yields. Furthermore, it should also be noted that since markets are "forward looking," future earnings growth or interest rate hikes may become "priced into" both the stock and bond markets, affecting the outputs of this indicator. However, since both the stock and bond markets should account for these factors simultaneously, the impact has historically been minimized.
I hope you find this indicator to be beneficial to your strategies. Stay safe, and happy trading.
[COG]S&P 500 Weekly Seasonality ProjectionS&P 500 Weekly Seasonality Projection
This indicator visualizes S&P 500 seasonality patterns based on historical weekly performance data. It projects price movements for up to 26 weeks ahead, highlighting key seasonal periods that have historically affected market performance.
Key Features:
Projects price movements based on historical S&P 500 weekly seasonality patterns (2005-2024)
Highlights six key seasonal periods: Jan-Feb Momentum, March Lows, April-May Strength, Summer Strength, September Dip, and Year-End Rally
Customizable forecast length from 1-26 weeks with quick timeframe selection buttons
Optional moving average smoothing for more gradual projections
Detailed statistics table showing projected price and percentage change
Seasonality mini-map showing the full annual pattern with current position
Customizable colors and visual elements
How to Use:
Apply to S&P 500 index or related instruments (daily timeframe or higher recommended)
Set your desired forecast length (1-26 weeks)
Monitor highlighted seasonal zones that have historically shown consistent patterns
Use the projection line as a general guideline for potential price movement
Settings:
Forecast length: Configure from 1-26 weeks or use quick select buttons (1M, 3M, 6M, 1Y)
Visual options: Customize colors, backgrounds, label sizes, and table position
Display options: Toggle statistics table, period highlights, labels, and mini-map
This indicator is designed as a visual guide to help identify potential seasonal tendencies in the S&P 500. Historical patterns are not guarantees of future performance, but understanding these seasonal biases can provide valuable context for your trading decisions.
Note: For optimal visualization, use on Daily timeframe or higher. Intraday timeframes will display a warning message.
Machine Learning + Geometric Moving Average 250/500Indicator Description - Machine Learning + Geometric Moving Average 250/500
This indicator combines password-protected market analysis levels with two powerful Geometric Moving Averages (GMA 250 & GMA 500).
🔒 Password-Protected Custom Levels
Access pre-defined long and short price levels for select assets (crypto, stocks, and more) by entering the correct password in the indicator settings.
Once the correct password is entered, the indicator automatically displays:
Green horizontal lines for long entry zones.
Red horizontal lines for short entry zones.
If the password is incorrect, a warning label will appear on the chart.
📈 Geometric Moving Averages (GMA)
This indicator calculates GMA 250 and GMA 500, two long-term trend-following tools.
Unlike traditional moving averages, GMAs use logarithmic smoothing to better handle exponential price growth, making them especially useful for assets with strong trends (e.g., crypto and tech stocks).
GMA 250 (white line) tracks the medium-term trend.
GMA 500 (gold line) tracks the long-term trend.
⚙️ Customizable & Flexible
Works on multiple assets, including cryptocurrencies, equities, and more.
Adaptable to different timeframes and trading styles — ideal for both swing traders and long-term investors.
This indicator is ideal for traders who want to blend custom support/resistance levels with advanced geometric trend analysis to better navigate both volatile and trending markets.
S&P 500 Top 25 - EPS AnalysisEarnings Surprise Analysis Framework for S&P 500 Components: A Technical Implementation
The "S&P 500 Top 25 - EPS Analysis" indicator represents a sophisticated technical implementation designed to analyze earnings surprises among major market constituents. Earnings surprises, defined as the deviation between actual reported earnings per share (EPS) and analyst estimates, have been consistently documented as significant market-moving events with substantial implications for price discovery and asset valuation (Ball and Brown, 1968; Livnat and Mendenhall, 2006). This implementation provides a comprehensive framework for quantifying and visualizing these deviations across multiple timeframes.
The methodology employs a parameterized approach that allows for dynamic analysis of up to 25 top market capitalization components of the S&P 500 index. As noted by Bartov et al. (2002), large-cap stocks typically demonstrate different earnings response coefficients compared to their smaller counterparts, justifying the focus on market leaders.
The technical infrastructure leverages the TradingView Pine Script language (version 6) to construct a real-time analytical framework that processes both actual and estimated EPS data through the platform's request.earnings() function, consistent with approaches described by Pine (2022) in financial indicator development documentation.
At its core, the indicator calculates three primary metrics: actual EPS, estimated EPS, and earnings surprise (both absolute and percentage values). This calculation methodology aligns with standardized approaches in financial literature (Skinner and Sloan, 2002; Ke and Yu, 2006), where percentage surprise is computed as: (Actual EPS - Estimated EPS) / |Estimated EPS| × 100. The implementation rigorously handles potential division-by-zero scenarios and missing data points through conditional logic gates, ensuring robust performance across varying market conditions.
The visual representation system employs a multi-layered approach consistent with best practices in financial data visualization (Few, 2009; Tufte, 2001).
The indicator presents time-series plots of the four key metrics (actual EPS, estimated EPS, absolute surprise, and percentage surprise) with customizable color-coding that defaults to industry-standard conventions: green for actual figures, blue for estimates, red for absolute surprises, and orange for percentage deviations. As demonstrated by Padilla et al. (2018), appropriate color mapping significantly enhances the interpretability of financial data visualizations, particularly for identifying anomalies and trends.
The implementation includes an advanced background coloring system that highlights periods of significant earnings surprises (exceeding ±3%), a threshold identified by Kinney et al. (2002) as statistically significant for market reactions.
Additionally, the indicator features a dynamic information panel displaying current values, historical maximums and minimums, and sample counts, providing important context for statistical validity assessment.
From an architectural perspective, the implementation employs a modular design that separates data acquisition, processing, and visualization components. This separation of concerns facilitates maintenance and extensibility, aligning with software engineering best practices for financial applications (Johnson et al., 2020).
The indicator processes individual ticker data independently before aggregating results, mitigating potential issues with missing or irregular data reports.
Applications of this indicator extend beyond merely observational analysis. As demonstrated by Chan et al. (1996) and more recently by Chordia and Shivakumar (2006), earnings surprises can be successfully incorporated into systematic trading strategies. The indicator's ability to track surprise percentages across multiple companies simultaneously provides a foundation for sector-wide analysis and potentially improves portfolio management during earnings seasons, when market volatility typically increases (Patell and Wolfson, 1984).
References:
Ball, R., & Brown, P. (1968). An empirical evaluation of accounting income numbers. Journal of Accounting Research, 6(2), 159-178.
Bartov, E., Givoly, D., & Hayn, C. (2002). The rewards to meeting or beating earnings expectations. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 33(2), 173-204.
Bernard, V. L., & Thomas, J. K. (1989). Post-earnings-announcement drift: Delayed price response or risk premium? Journal of Accounting Research, 27, 1-36.
Chan, L. K., Jegadeesh, N., & Lakonishok, J. (1996). Momentum strategies. The Journal of Finance, 51(5), 1681-1713.
Chordia, T., & Shivakumar, L. (2006). Earnings and price momentum. Journal of Financial Economics, 80(3), 627-656.
Few, S. (2009). Now you see it: Simple visualization techniques for quantitative analysis. Analytics Press.
Gu, S., Kelly, B., & Xiu, D. (2020). Empirical asset pricing via machine learning. The Review of Financial Studies, 33(5), 2223-2273.
Johnson, J. A., Scharfstein, B. S., & Cook, R. G. (2020). Financial software development: Best practices and architectures. Wiley Finance.
Ke, B., & Yu, Y. (2006). The effect of issuing biased earnings forecasts on analysts' access to management and survival. Journal of Accounting Research, 44(5), 965-999.
Kinney, W., Burgstahler, D., & Martin, R. (2002). Earnings surprise "materiality" as measured by stock returns. Journal of Accounting Research, 40(5), 1297-1329.
Livnat, J., & Mendenhall, R. R. (2006). Comparing the post-earnings announcement drift for surprises calculated from analyst and time series forecasts. Journal of Accounting Research, 44(1), 177-205.
Padilla, L., Kay, M., & Hullman, J. (2018). Uncertainty visualization. Handbook of Human-Computer Interaction.
Patell, J. M., & Wolfson, M. A. (1984). The intraday speed of adjustment of stock prices to earnings and dividend announcements. Journal of Financial Economics, 13(2), 223-252.
Skinner, D. J., & Sloan, R. G. (2002). Earnings surprises, growth expectations, and stock returns or don't let an earnings torpedo sink your portfolio. Review of Accounting Studies, 7(2-3), 289-312.
Tufte, E. R. (2001). The visual display of quantitative information (Vol. 2). Graphics Press.
Market Internal Strength (Nasdaq/S&P 500)### Summary
This indicator is a versatile tool designed to measure the "internal health" or "market breadth" of a major stock index. Instead of just looking at the index's price, it analyzes the percentage of its constituent stocks that are participating in the trend. Users can easily switch between the **Nasdaq 100** and the **S&P 500** directly from the settings.
The data is displayed as an oscillator (scaled 0-100), similar to the RSI, making it intuitive to identify broad market **Overbought** and **Oversold** conditions and spot potential **Divergences** against the index price.
---
### What does it measure?
The indicator plots three lines based on the selected index's market breadth data:
* **% > 20D MA (Blue Line):** The percentage of stocks trading above their 20-day moving average (short-term trend).
* **% > 50D MA (Orange Line):** The percentage of stocks trading above their 50-day moving average (medium-term trend).
* **% > 200D MA (Red Line):** The percentage of stocks trading above their 200-day moving average (long-term trend).
---
### How to Use and Interpret
**1. Overbought / Oversold Conditions:**
* **Approaching the Overbought Zone (Value > 80):** This indicates that a very high number of stocks are in an uptrend, suggesting the market may be overheated or in a state of "Greed." This can signal a potential pullback or consolidation ahead.
* **Approaching the Oversold Zone (Value < 20):** This indicates that a large number of stocks have been sold off heavily, suggesting the market may be in a state of "Extreme Fear." This could present an opportunity for a technical rebound.
**2. Trend Confirmation:**
* When an index (e.g., QQQ or SPY) is making new highs and the **% > 200D MA** line is also rising, it confirms that the uptrend is healthy and broadly supported by the majority of stocks.
**3. Divergence Signals:**
* **Bearish Divergence:** If the index price reaches a new high but the indicator (especially the 50D and 200D lines) forms a lower high, it's a warning sign. This suggests that fewer stocks are participating in the rally and the trend's foundation is weakening, which could precede a reversal.
* **Bullish Divergence:** Conversely, if the index price makes a new low but the indicator forms a higher low, it signals that selling pressure is exhausting. Fewer stocks are making new lows, which could be an early sign of a potential bottom and a reversal to the upside.
---
### Settings
* **Index:** Choose between the "Nasdaq 100" and "S&P 500" as your data source.
* **Timeframe:** Allows you to select the data's timeframe (Daily "D" is recommended as the minimum).
* **Overbought/Oversold Level:** Lets you customize the threshold for the OB/OS zones.
* **Line Visibility:** You can toggle the visibility of each of the three lines.
S&P 500 Estimated PE (Sampled Every 4)📊 **S&P 500 Estimated PE Ratio (from CSV)**
This indicator visualizes the forward-looking estimated PE ratio of the S&P 500 index, imported from external CSV data.
🔹 **Features:**
- Real historical daily data from 2008 onward
- Automatically aligns PE values to closest available trading date
- Useful for macro valuation trends and long-term entry signals
📌 **Best for:**
- Investors interested in forward-looking valuation
- Analysts tracking over/undervaluation trends
- Long-term timing overlay on price action
Category: `Breadth indicators`, `Cycles`
SP 500 PE Ratio (Loose Date Match)📈 **S&P 500 PE Ratio (from Excel Data)**
This custom indicator visualizes the historical S&P 500 Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratio loaded from Excel. Each data point represents a snapshot of the market valuation at a specific time, typically on an annual or quarterly basis.
🔹 **What it does:**
- Plots the PE ratio values on the chart aligned with historical dates
- Uses stepwise or linear rendering to account for missing trading days
- Helps identify valuation cycles and extremes (e.g., overvalued vs undervalued)
🔍 **Use case:**
- Long-term market analysis
- Compare PE trends with price performance
- Spot long-term entry/exit zones based on valuation
🛠️ Future plans:
- Add value zone highlighting (e.g., PE > 30 = red, PE < 15 = green)
- Support for dynamic datasets (via Google Sheets or Notion)
Category: `Breadth indicators`, `Cycles`
💡 Source: Manually imported data (can be replaced with any custom macro data series)
S&P 500 E-Mini TrackerThis script generates a reference price for the S&P 500 ETF - SPY based on the current price of the ES contract, which is an E-Mini Futures contract representing the S&P 500 index. The indicator plots this reference price on the chart, providing a unique view of the relationship between these two popular markets.
Advantages:
Identifies divergence between the ES and SPY prices, indicating potential trading opportunities or shifts in market sentiment.
Confirms trends by showing the correlation between the ES and SPY prices.
Eliminates the need for multiple charts, allowing traders to focus on a single screen and make more informed decisions.
Customizable Parameters:
Color Scheme: Choose from various color options to customize the appearance of the indicator.
Line Style: Select from different line styles to change the visual representation of the reference price.
Divisor: Set the dividing factor to adjust the ratio at which the reference price is calculated. (Default value: 10). It is recommended to keep it at 10 for SPY.
To use it with other Stocks/ ETFs, use simple ratio math to calculate the divisor and you can customize the indicator to scale accordingly.
By using this indicator, traders can gain a deeper understanding of the relationship between the E-Mini and SPY markets, making it easier to identify trading opportunities and confirm trends.
(JS)S&P 500 Volatility Oscillator For Options 2.0I am going to start taking requests to open source my indicators and they will also be updated to Version 4 of Pinescript.
I added some features to the original code such the ability to smooth the oscillator and select the look back periods for the historical volatility.
Link to original:
Original post:
"The idea for this started here: www.tradingview.com with the user @dime
This should only be used on SPX or SPY (though you could use it on other things for correlation I suppose) given that the instrument used to create this calculation is derived from the S&P 500 (thank you VIX ). There's a lot of moving parts here though, so allow me to explain...
First: The main signal is when Implied Volatility (from VIX ) drops beneath Historical Volatility - which is what you want to see so you aren't purchasing a ton of premium on long options. Green and above 0 means that IV% has dropped lower than Historical Volatility . (this signal, for example, would suggest using a Long Call or Put depending on your sentiment)
Second: The green line running underneath zero is the bottom portion of the "Average True Range" derived from the values used to create the oscillator. the closer the bottom histogram is to the green line, the more "normal" IV% is. Obviously, if this gets far away from the line then it could be setting up nicely to short options and sell the IV premium to someone else. (this signal, for example, would suggest using something like a Bull Put Spread)
Third: The red background along with the white line that drops down below zero signals when (and how far) the IV% from 3 months out (from VIX3M ) is less than the current IV%. This would signal the current environment has IV way too high, a signal to short options once again (and don't take any long option positions!).
Tried to make this simple, yet effective. If you trade options on SPX , SPY , even ES1! futures - this is a tool tailored specifically for you! As I said before, if you want you can use it for correlation on other securities. Any other ideas or suggestions surrounding this, please let me know! Enjoy!
Feb 17, 2019
Release Notes: Cosmetic update for a much cleaner look:
-Replaced the "HIGH IV" with a simlple "H"
-Now the white line is constantly showing you the relationship between VIX and VIX3M - when VIX is greater than VIX3M the background still goes red
-However, now when VIX drops below Historical Volatility, the background is bright green
-When both above are true - it's dark green
-The Average True Range on the bottom is now a series of crosses"
Daily Directional Bias Indicator (S&P 500)This indicator is designed to help you be on the right side of the trade.
Most traders who struggle to know which way price may move are only looking at part of the picture. This Directional Bias Indicator uses both the Accumulation/Distribution Line and VIX for directional confirmation.
The Accumulation/Distribution Line
The Accumulation/Distribution (ACC) line helps us gauge market momentum by showing the cumulative flow of money into or out of an asset. When the ACC line is rising, it suggests that buying pressure is dominating, indicating a bullish market. Conversely, when the ACC line is falling, it suggests that selling pressure is stronger, indicating a bearish market. By comparing the ACC line with the VWAP, traders can see if the price is moving in line with the overall market sentiment. If the ACC line is above the VWAP, it suggests the market is in a bullish phase; if it's below, it indicates a bearish phase.
The VIX
The VIX (Volatility Index) is often referred to as the "fear gauge" of the market. When the VIX is rising, it typically signals increased market fear and higher volatility, which can be a sign of bearish market conditions. Conversely, when the VIX is falling, it suggests lower volatility and a more stable, bullish market. Using the VIX with the VWAP helps us confirm market direction, particularly in relation to the S&P 500.
VWAP
For both the ACC Line and VIX, we use a VWAP line to gauge whether the ACC line or the VIX is above or below the average. When the ACC line is above the VWAP, we view it as a sign that price will go up. However, because the VIX has an inverse relationship, when the VIX falls below the VWAP, we take that as a sign to go long.
How to use
The yellow line represents the ACC Line.
The red line represents the VWAP based on the ACC line.
The triangles at the bottom simply show when the ACC line is above or below the VWAP.
The triangles at the top show whether the VIX is bullish or bearish.
If both triangles (top or bottom) are bullish, this confirms that the price of an asset like the S&P 500 will likely go up. If both triangles are pointing down, it suggests that price will fall.
As always, test for yourself.
Happy trading!
Top 40 constituents of S&P 500 IndexDisplays real-time candles of top 40 constituents of S&P 500 Index ( TVC:SPX ) for a given time frame, side-by-side. This gives an overall idea of breadth and depth of market movements in the time-frame.
Please note that, this is not a standard chart rendered bar-wise and may take time to load as it requests multiple securities. You could modify the contents, from settings, to include stocks from your portfolio or indices of different sectors.
52 Weeks Highs-Lows S&P 500 - MugurThe script uses the MAHP and the MALP index and subtracts the second from the first. So you can see how many stocks in the S&P 500 make new highs or new lows on a 52 weeks basis and see the trend of the market.
5 Day Highs-Lows S&P 500 - MugurThe script uses the M5HP and the M5LP index and subtracts the second from the first. So you can see how many stocks in the S&P 500 make new highs or new lows on a 5 days basis and see the trend of the market.
3 Month Highs-Lows S&P 500 - MugurThe script uses the M3HP and the M3LP index and subtracts the second from the first. So you can see how many stocks in the S&P 500 make new highs or new lows on a 3 month basis and see the trend of the market.
1 Month Highs-Lows S&P 500 - MugurThe script uses the M1HP and the M1LP index and subtracts the second from the first. So you can see how many stocks in the S&P 500 make new highs or new lows on a 1 month basis and see the trend of the market.
S&P 500 Sector Strength IndexHi traders , this is lonelygrass again 😄, and I am going to show what you don't often see out there and share it with you.
This indicator is called "s&p 500 sector strength index"😎 , which allows you to distinguish strengths and weaknesses between different sectors in s&p500, and to create meaningful trading frameworks around it.
Similar to the RSI indicator , it also has overbought and oversold levels , you can clearly figure out the degree of crowd behaviors in various sectors' stocks .
For me 🤣, I will use it to "BUY LOW⬇️ , SELL HIGH⬆️". When a sector is oversold at the moment, I will try to buy those stocks when I find price actions and chart patterns in comply with the analysis by this indicator , the opposite for shortselling.
Also, for sake of being more user-friendly 👍, I added a function which enables you to only select the sector(s) you want to look at in order to make it less messy.
If you can't help to know what I will share with you coming up, then FOLLOW my account 😙 . Also , your likes and shares are really important 🎊. I will get more motivated to bring you new thing every day!!! ✍
ANN MACD S&P 500 This script is formed by training the S & P 500 Index with various indicators. Details :
Learning cycles: 78089
AutoSave cycles: 100
Training error: 0.011650 (Far less than the target, but acceptable.)
Input columns: 19
Output columns: 1
Excluded columns: 0
Training example rows: 300
Validating example rows: 0
Querying example rows: 0
Excluded example rows: 0
Duplicated example rows: 0
Input nodes connected: 19
Hidden layer 1 nodes: 2
Hidden layer 2 nodes: 1
Hidden layer 3 nodes: 0
Output nodes: 1
Learning rate: 0.7000
Momentum: 0.8000
Target error: 0.0100
Note : Thanks for dear wroclai for his great effort .
Deep learning series will continue . Stay tuned! Regards.
