BTC OT Quant Alpha: Institutional Trend Hunter based on Optimal Core Philosophy:
This is not your average RSI or MACD mashup. BTC OT introduces a Nobel-level mathematical framework—Optimal Transport Theory—to treat Bitcoin's price action as a problem of probability distribution transport. Instead of predicting price, it calculates the Wasserstein Distance between short-term price distributions and long-term baselines to precisely identify shifts in "Market Regimes."
Key Features:
The Mathematical Edge: Moving beyond lagging traditional indicators, it captures trend initiations directly in probability space. This is a quantitative method often used by hedge funds, now available on TradingView.
4H Swing Hunter: Specifically fine-tuned for the Bitcoin 4-Hour (4H) timeframe. It ignores intraday noise and refuses to "HODL" blindly through bear markets. It targets only the most profitable impulsive waves.
Trend Shield: A unique "EMA Dual-Verification Mechanism." Even if an OT signal triggers, the strategy refuses to open a trade if the price is below the key Trend Shield. This perfectly filters out "dead cat bounces" and bull traps in bear markets.
No Repainting: Strictly executed with process_orders_on_close=true. The backtest results you see are the real signals generated. What you see is what you get—no repainting, ever.
Performance (2016-2026 Backtest):
Total Return: > 40,000% (400x Return, significantly outperforming Buy & Hold)
Max Drawdown: < 50% (Exceptional risk control for a volatile asset like BTC)
Profit Factor: > 1.45
Win Rate: ~38% (Typical of robust trend-following strategies: Cut losses short, let profits run. We don't chase win rate; we chase high Risk/Reward ratios.)
Risk Warning:
This strategy is not a "money printer." There will be periods of consecutive stop-losses (whipsaws). This is the "premium" paid to catch the massive trends. It is recommended to allocate only 10%-20% of your total capital.
核心理念: 这不是一个普通的 RSI 或 MACD 拼接指标。 BTC OT 引入了前沿数学工具——最优传输理论 (Optimal Transport Theory),将比特币的价格波动视为概率分布的“能量传输”问题。 它不预测价格,而是通过计算短期分布与长期基准分布之间的 Wasserstein 距离,精准识别“市场体制 (Market Regime)”的突变。
策略亮点:
数学降维打击: 摒弃滞后的传统指标,直接在概率空间捕捉趋势的起始点。这是对冲基金级别的量化手段,首次下沉到 TradingView 脚本中。
4小时波段猎手 (4H Swing Hunter): 专为 BTC 4小时 (4H) 周期深度调校。它过滤了日内的随机噪音,拒绝了死拿不动的迟钝,只吃鱼身最肥美的主升浪。
趋势盾牌 (Trend Shield): 独创的“EMA 双重验证机制”。即使 OT 信号触发,如果价格位于关键均线盾牌之下,策略会拒绝开单。这完美过滤了熊市中的诱多反弹和“死猫跳”。
绝无重绘 (No Repainting): 基于 process_orders_on_close=true 严格执行。您看到的回测就是真实的信号。所见即所得,绝无马后炮。
历史表现 (2016-2026 回测数据):
总回报 (Total Return): > 40,000% (400倍收益,大幅跑赢买入持有)
最大回撤 (Max Drawdown): < 50% (在 BTC 这种高波动资产中,这是极佳的风控表现)
盈利因子 (Profit Factor): > 1.45
胜率 (Win Rate): ~38% (趋势策略的典型特征:截断亏损,让利润奔跑。我们不追求高胜率,只追求极高的盈亏比)
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风险提示: 本策略非“圣杯”,会有连续止损 (Whipsaw) 的时期。这是捕捉大趋势必须支付的“保险费”。建议仅使用总资金的 10%-20% 进行配置。
如何获取权限: 本脚本为**“仅限邀请 (Invite-Only)”**的私有策略。
订阅方式: 终身买断制 / 年度订阅
联系邮箱: liequanche@gmail.com
邮件标题: TradingView ID + 申请 BTC OT 策略
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