make lead signalAdd derivative of a signal for leading behaviour
formula: sig = (lambda/100)*source + (1-lambda/100)**momentum )
it has a multiplier and an offset for adjustment of result.
final formula: sig = multiplier*( (lambda/100)*src + (1-lambda/100)*mom_coef*mom ) + offset
Forecasting
Bitcoin Best Value CorridorHere is my interpretation of the "Best Time To Buy" Bitcoin over its lifetime using a logarithmic regression trendline. The upper and lower lines are 10% deviations from the centre line. I calculated the trendline in excel and then coded my results into pine script.
CapX Core SignalsThis is an indicator that generates Long and Short Signals on multiple marketable instruments such as Indices, Stocks and Crypto. This indicator has almost everything for intraday and Swing trading. Works perfectly on multiple timeframe and give signal on real time. Tested on Indices.
We make use of Relative Strength and Moving Averages to Generate Signal but at the same time, a signal is confirmed by Volatility Indicators and trend. This way we are able generate a few signals but more precise one. While generating a signal, system gives us Stop Loss Level Instantly which is calculated from Average Ture Range.
MACD Level Modified - The Smooth Line help reduce false break out
RSI is confirmed with Crossover of RSI and EMA
ADX level used to Identify Volatility ,
ATR Multiplied with float factor to give Stop Loss Range. - User get option to input ATR Float Value
EMA 9, EMA 14 and EMA 21 Used to Identify Short trend in market
DEMA 100 and DEMA 200 used to find Long Trend in Market
Support Resistance Levels marked
What makes this Indicator Unique is that it is free from clutters, indicators and signals. Less Number of signals but precise one are only generated. Charts are not cluttered with many drawing or indicators so you get a clear view of price actions and you can further work on chart and candle Pattern.
We have placed a Information Dashboard on top right corner that work real time to give you exact trend checked with EMA and Confirmed by other moving averages. The Dashboard also informs about On Going Market volatility in simple words and gives faster signal in color coded cells.
Mean Shift Pivot ClusteringCore Concepts
According to Jeff Greenblatt in his book "Breakthrough Strategies for Predicting Any Market", Fibonacci and Lucas sequences are observed repeated in the bar counts from local pivot highs/lows. They occur from high to high, low to high, high to low, or low to high. Essentially, this phenomenon is observed repeatedly from any pivot points on any time frame. Greenblatt combines this observation with Elliott Waves to predict the price and time reversals. However, I am no Elliottician so it was not easy for me to use this in a practical manner. I decided to only use the bar count projections and ignore the price. I projected a subset of Fibonacci and Lucas sequences along with the Fibonacci ratios from each pivot point. As expected, a projection from each pivot point resulted in a large set of plotted data and looks like a huge gong show of lines. Surprisingly, I did notice clusters and have observed those clusters to be fairly accurate.
Fibonacci Sequence: 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34...
Lucas Sequence: 2, 1, 3, 4, 7, 11, 18, 29, 47...
Fibonacci Ratios (converted to whole numbers): 23, 38, 50, 61, 78, 127, 161...
Light Bulb Moment
My eyes may suck at grouping the lines together but what about clustering algorithms? I chose to use a gimped version of Mean Shift because it doesn't require me to know in advance how many lines to expect like K-Means. Mean shift is computationally expensive and with Pinescript's 500ms timeout, I had to make due without the KDE. In other words, I skipped the weighting part but I may try to incorporate it in the future. The code is from Harrison Kinsley . He's a fantastic teacher!
Usage
Search Radius: how far apart should the bars be before they are excluded from the cluster? Try to stick with a figure between 1-5. Too large a figure will give meaningless results.
Pivot Offset: looks left and right X number of bars for a pivot. Same setting as the default TradingView pivot high/low script.
Show Lines Back: show historical predicted lines. (These can change)
Use this script in conjunction with Fibonacci price retracement/extension levels and/or other support/resistance levels. If it's no where near a support/resistance and there's a projected time pivot coming up, it's probably a fake out.
Notes
Re-painting is intended. When a new pivot is found, it will project out the Fib/Lucas sequences so the algorithm will run again with additional information.
The script is for informational and educational purposes only.
Do not use this indicator by itself to trade!
Momentum CloudThis is a modified Ichimoku Cloud:
-The default Lookback-Length and Displacement settings have been modified to operate optimally on 24/7 markets - which is popular among Crypto analysts.
-The Lagging Span, Base Line, and Conversion Line have been removed - leaving just the bare cloud.
-Additionally, the Cloud's color will shift blue when it is compressed. (More specifically - when Leading Span A retreats to Leading Span B, the color changes.)
This allows the user to easily identify when the Cloud is "thinning", either to the upside, or the downside.
Being that the "spread" or "width" of an Ichimoku Cloud generally gauges it's efficacy as potential Support or Resistance, this tool is particularly useful for highlighting when momentum is weakening.
*This script will be updated in the future to allow the user to view the Momentum Cloud of alternate time-frames! (e.g, Viewing the 1D Momentum Cloud on the 1H timeframe)
High Low Index SPY Top 40Modification from original code for "High Low Index" by © LonesomeTheBlue
- Made modification specifically for Top 40 AMEX:SPY holdings
- Added Market sentiment histogram (Total count green vs red), and SMA line for it
- Added arrows for peaks and dips on High Low Index and Market Sentiment MA
Idea behind this indicator is that SPY should follow the overall sentiment of its top holdings. I believe this bring great value to SPY traders.
Enjoy~!
Current bar predicted volumeDrag this indicator in the same panel with the volume in the object tree, then right click on the scale bar and set "merge all scale into one" for a correct visualization.
This indicator multiply the current traded volume of a candle with the total time of that candle. This offer a prediction of where, in case the volumes would keep trading at a comparable magnitude, the volume bar would close when the candle will close.
The predicted volume is indicated with a blue short line above the current volume bar, and updates in real time.
I find this indicator extremely useful to offer at a glance an idea of an ascending or descending volume pattern, that can serve as confirmation for a reversal or breakout for example.
Very suitable for short time frames, where decisions have to be taken fast.
Enjoy,
Luca.
Cubic Bézier Curve Extrapolation [LuxAlgo]The following script allows for the extrapolation of a Cubic Bézier Curve fit using custom set control points and can be used as a drawing tool allowing users to estimate underlying price trends or to forecast future price trends.
Settings
Extrapolation Length: Number of extrapolated observations.
Source: Source input of the script.
Style
Width: Bézier curve line width.
Colors: The curve is colored based on the direction it's taking, the first color is used when the curve is rising, and the second when it is declining.
The other settings determine the locations of the control points. The user does not need to change them from the settings, instead only requiring adjusting their location on the chart like with a regular drawing tool. Setting these control points is required when adding the indicator to your chart.
Usage
Bézier curves are widely used in a lot of scientific and artistic fields. Using them for technical analysis can be interesting due to their extrapolation capabilities as well as their ease of calculation.
A cubic Bézier curve is based on four control points. Maxima/Minimas can be used as control points or the user can set them such that part of the extrapolated observation better fits the most recent price observations.
A possible disadvantage of Bézier curves is that obtaining a good fit with the data is not their primary goal. Rational Bézier curves can be used if obtaining a good fit is the primary user goal.
Details
At their core, Bézier curves are obtained from nested linear interpolation between each control point and the resulting linearly interpolated results. The Bézier curve point located at the first control point P0 and the last curve point located at the last control point Pn are equal to their respective control points. However, this script does not make use of this approach, instead using a more explicit form.
As mentioned previously, the complexity of a Bézier curve can be determined by its number of control points which is related to the Bézier curve degree (number of control points - 1). Instead of using nested linear interpolations to describe Bézier curves, one can describe them as a polynomial of a degree equal to the degree of the wanted Bézier curve.
The Bounded Slope IndicatorThis indicator uses the concept of slopes and normalizes the values so that they are bounded between 0 and 100. The steps required to calculate the indicator are as follows:
* Calculate the slope of the price using a lookback period (by default, it is either 14 or 21). The slope is calculated by subtracting the current close price from the close price 21 (or 14) periods ago and dividing the result by 21 (or 14).
* Calculate the RSI of the slope calculations to get a normalized slope indicator.
The bounded slope indicator can be used the same way as the RSI:
* Through oversold and overbought levels. A bullish bias is present whenever the indicator is close to its oversold level (by default, it is 30) and a bearish bias is present whenever the indicator is close to its overbought level (by default, it is 70).
* Through the divergence technique. A bullish bias is present whenever the indicator is making higher lows and the market is making lower lows. A bearish bias is present whenever the indicator is making lower highs and the market is making higher highs.
The main advantage of the indicator is its different approach to measuring momentum which can be a good uncorrelated indicator to other classical ones (such as the stochastic oscillator and the MACD).
Financial GrowthThis indicator will acquire the financial data provided by Tradview.
the data is compare between Quarter, Annual and TTM in term of percent of growth.
YoY, QoQ and CAGR is also available by this script (The minimum is 4).
in addition, ploting of data, label and table also available (you can check the mark to toggle on / off).
Data : Revenue, Net Income, EBITDA, EPS, DVPS, Free Cash Flow and Forward PE .
How to use it.
just select the financial data, period and size of data to compare.
you can check the box to toggle the plotting line, label and table.
Enjoy.
Nifty_Price_Movement_BuildUPDashboard to see Price Momentum Build-Up at Nifty.
It cumulates all prices and their respective weightage.
During initial of a candle, we are not aware of volume is High or Not, we only get it in later buildup. But Price buildup will display it at the same instant that what is going with the price of all stocks.
The logic used here is that
1) If a stock close > open at a particular instant it will add that stock multiplied with its weightage in Nifty to the list of stocks that are positive.
2) If a stock close < open at a particular instant it will add that stock multiplied with its weightage in Nifty to the list of stocks that are negative.
3) Above two will give you data that how many of them are positive and are negative at a particular instant and how they are going to affect Nifty.
In one of the many possible ways, it is superior than that of Volume buildup is that, to determine volume is higher than previous volume, we have to wait for first few seconds/minutes/hours (depending on timeframe you are in) to see volume buildup. The Volume buildup function based indicator is kind of lagging, though volume itself being instant.
Saylor to Schiff RatioI'm reposting the Saylor to Schiff Ratio indicator that was originally developed by Michael Silva
This indicator may be used to predict key momentum shifts in the price of Bitcoin
I've set up this indicator for it to be used on the weekly timeframe as was intended.
The indicator plots in any BTCUSD spot, futures , BLX index and BTCEUR .
It paints in all time frames, but Weekly time frame is the correct one to interpret the 'official' read of it.
For that reason, I've enabled by default an option that forces the indicator to display on the Weekly value even though the time frame could be higher or lower.
Credit for this idea goes to Michael Silva: @mikepsilva
Compound Indicator Strategy - BTC/USDT 3hThis is an Strategy finds and utilise end points of short term market trends and this is a combination of many indicators such as
1. Volume change oscillator
2. Money flow index ( MFI )
3. Momentum Oscillator (MOM)
4. Stochastic Indicator
6. Relative Strength Indicator ( RSI )
7. Relative volatility index (RVI)
8. Balance of power (BOP)
9. Small moving average ( SMA )
10. Exponential moving average ( EMA )
11. Parabolic SAR
12. Super trend indicator
this script forms a compound indicator after analysing movements of those indicators through different time frames and measure its co-relation and variance with the price action. buy doing that, indicator in a position to identify short term market reversals and presented.
after generating a common indicator, it evaluates standard deviation and standard variance with currant market price action and generates a buy and sell signals. you can determine your own trading method based on available options.
Wave Chart v1##Wave Chart v1##
For analyzing Neo-wave theory
Plot the market's highs and lows in real-time order.
Then connect the highs and lows
with a diagonal line. Next, the last plot of one day (or bar) is connected with a straight line to the
first plot of the next day (or bar).
##How To Use##
if you want a weekly chart you drop the time frame to the daily chart.
Then you set the range to 7(if the market opens 7 days per week).
Then you click "highlight the bar that runs to plot" and you must shift the highlight to the last day that the weekly chart bar close(Sunday / Friday)
##Example 1
Weekly chart BTCUSDT on BINANCE
first open daily chart, set range = 7 and Bars_shift = 3 (shift highlight to Sunday)
##Example 2
Weekly chart XAUUSD on FXOPEN
first open daily chart, set range = 5 (market open 5 days per week) and Bars_shift = 1 (shift highlight to Friday)
##Note##
If the market has a special holiday Wave Chart may be inaccurate.
Bitcoin Inflation-Adjusted Support and Resistance5year breakeven inflation rate fitted for log BTC chart as Support and Resistance
STRATEGY R18-F-BTCHi, I'm @SenatorVonShaft
Just finished the strategy "STRATEGY R18-F-BTC" for trading on #bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
As any strategy on TradingView, R18 opens Long/Short positions (with no leverage) on certain price points for assets in the chart. But I intentionally make this strategy for Bitcoin . Strategy is effective with 1h chart and it has %36 winning trade ratio for #bitcoin trade. As strategy uses approximately 1/3 ratio of SL/TP levels, gross profit for 1 year backtest is above %200 (I mean above 3x for only BTC )
Strategy is built on combination of:
- MACD
- RSI
- FIBONACCI levels
- BTCUSDT price itself as indicator (for different crypto assets and BTCUSDTPERP trading. You can select different assets you like for indicator (it's BTCUSDT:Binance by default))
I fine-tuned all levels of indicators above accordingly (it has more than 10 variables that effects strategy itself).
You can find out your own strategy levels by adjusting long/short tp&sl variables as well as initial capital ratio variable.
Reverse option open reverse positions of the strategy
The Namib FlowThis is an alert/notification system consisting of the building on the following existing indicators:
Hull Suite by InSilico
Follow Line Indicator by Dreadblitz
QQE MOD by Mihkel00
It is not my strategy - it is based on a video I watched.
It will give and alert/notification once the following conditions are aligned:
Bullish Alert
Hull Suite Line Fully Green
Follow Line Indicator Blue
QQE MOD Green
First Bullish Candle after the three indicators hit the conditions as described above.
Bearish Alert
Hull Suite Line Fully Red
Follow Line Indicator Red
QQE MOD Red
First Bearish Candle after the three indicators hit the conditions as described above.
Notes:
This alert system only works on the first three candles (bullish or bearish after the Hull Suite band color change) otherwise there would be too many candles.
The buy is at the close of the candle.
The SL is at the follow line indicator.
The TP is at a RRR of 1:2.
Comments appreciated.
Lankou Shad helperdisplay values of the current price x2 and x4 and /2, /4
it permit to compare the security values to its past and see if x2 is nearly probable are totally out of reach, he same for /2 of price.
It can be used for Sell Half At Double strategy: SHAD.
Probability ConesA probability cone is an indicator that forecasts a statistical distribution from a set point in time into the future.
Features
Forecast a Standard or Laplace distribution.
Change the how many bars the cones will lookback and sample in their calculations.
Set how many bars to forecast the cones.
Let the cones follow price from a set number of bars back.
Anchor the cones and they will not update from their last location.
Show or hide any set of cones.
Change the deviation used of any cone's upper or lower line.
Change any line's color, style, or width.
Change or toggle the fill colors between any two cone lines.
Basic Interpretations
First, there is an assumption that the distribution starting from the cone's origin, based on the number of historical bars sampled, is likely to represent the distribution of future price.
Price typically hangs around the mean.
About 68% of price stays within the first deviation cones.
About 95% of price stays within the second deviation cones.
About 99.7% of price stays within the third deviation cones.
When price is between the first and second deviation cones, there is a higher probability for a reversal.
However, strong momentum while above or below the first deviation can indicate a trend where price maintains itself past the first deviation. For this reason it's recommended to use a momentum indicator alongside the cones.
There is no mean reversion assumption when price deviates. Price can continue to stay deviated.
It's recommended that the cones are placed at the beginning of calendar periods. Like the month, week, or day.
Be mindful when using the cones on various timeframes. As the lookback setting, which selects the number of bars back to load from the cone's origin, will load the number of bars back based on the current timeframe.
Second Deviation Strategy
How to react when price goes beyond the second deviation is contingent on your trading position.
If you are holding a losing trade and price has moved past the second deviation, it could be time to stop trading and exit.
If you are holding a winning trade and price has moved past the second deviation, it would be best to look at exit strategies to capitalize on the outperformance.
If price has moved beyond the second deviation and you hold no position, then do not open any new trades.
The Echo Forecast [LuxAlgo]This indicator uses a simple time series forecasting method derived from the similarity between recent prices and similar/dissimilar historical prices. We named this method "ECHO".
This method originally assumes that future prices can be estimated from a historical series of observations that are most similar to the most recent price variations. This similarity is quantified using the correlation coefficient. Such an assumption can prove to be relatively effective with the forecasting of a periodic time series. We later introduced the ability to select dissimilar series of observations for further experimentation.
This forecasting technique is closely inspired by the analogue method introduced by Lorenz for the prediction of atmospheric data.
1. Settings
Evaluation Window: Window size used for finding historical observations similar/dissimilar to recent observations. The total evaluation window is equal to "Forecast Window" + "Evaluation Window"
Forecast Window: Determines the forecasting horizon.
Forecast Mode: Determines whether to choose historical series similar or dissimilar to the recent price observations.
Forecast Construction: Determines how the forecast is constructed. See "Usage" below.
Src: Source input of the forecast
Other style settings are self-explanatory.
2. Usage
This tool can be used to forecast future trends but also to indicate which historical variations have the highest degree of similarity/dissimilarity between the observations in the orange zone.
The forecasting window determines the prices segment (in orange) to be used as a reference for the search of the most similar/dissimilar historical price segment (in green) within the gray area.
Most forecasting techniques highly benefit from a detrended series. Due to the nature of this method, we highly recommend applying it to a detrended and periodic series.
You can see above the method is applied on a smooth periodic oscillator and a momentum oscillator.
The construction of the forecast is made from the price changes obtained in the green area, denoted as w(t) . Using the "Cumulative" options we construct the forecast from the cumulative sum of w(t) . Finally, we add the most recent price value to this cumulated series.
Using the "Mean" options will add the series w(t) with the mean of the prices within the orange segment.
Finally the "Linreg" will add the series w(t) to an extrapolated linear regression fit to the prices within the orange segment.
Yield Curve Inversion IndicatorIntroduction
The last time (as of this publishing) that this indicator detected an inverted interest rate yield curve was on February 20th, 2020 at 12:30pm EST, the afternoon before the S&P500 began one of its largest crashes in US history. The vast majority of major economic recessions since the 1950's have been preceded by an interest rate yield curve inversion. I created this indicator originally as an input to study the impacts of more conservative risk management on quantitative trading strategies following a yield curve inversion event. It is being shared with the community as a quick indicator to check to see the comparative status of short term and long term interest rates, and as an indicator where you can easily check to see if we are experiencing an inverted yield curve in real-time.
Background of the significance of an inverted yield curve:
"What an inverted yield curve really means is that most investors believe that short-term interest rates are going to fall sharply at some point in the future. As a practical matter, recessions usually cause interest rates to fall. Historically, inversions of the yield curve have preceded recessions in the U.S. Due to this historical correlation, the yield curve is often seen as a way to predict the turning points of the business cycle. When the yield curve inverts, short-term interest rates become higher than long-term rates. This type of yield curve is the rarest of the three main curve types and is considered to be a predictor of economic recession. Because of the rarity of yield curve inversions, they typically draw attention from all parts of the financial world." (www.investopedia.com)
Settings and Usage
This indicator pulls in pricing data from tickers that represent short term and long term interest rates, and compares them. The red line represents short term interest rates, and the green line represents long term interest rates. When the red line is above the green line, it indicates that we are experiencing a yield curve inversion. Small blue crosses also appear on the bottom of the indicator during an inversion to further highlight the event visually. This indicator pulls in the same information on the same two interest rate tickers regardless of what chart it is applied to.
Other Thoughts
This script uses the f_secureSecurity function as a best practice. For those that are versed in PineScript, code from this indicator could be adapted to be applied to an interest rate chart that allows custom alerts to be created the moment that there is an inverted interest rate yield curve.
Pivot High/Low Analysis & Forecast [LuxAlgo]Returns pivot points high/low alongside the percentage change between one pivot and the previous one (Δ%) and the distance between the same type of pivots in bars (Δt). The trailing mean for each of these metrics is returned on a dashboard on the chart. The indicator also returns an estimate of the future time position of the pivot points.
This indicator by its very nature is not real-time and is meant for descriptive analysis alongside other components of the script. This is normal behavior for scripts detecting pivots as a part of a system and it is important you are aware the pivot labels are not designed to be traded in real-time themselves
🔶 USAGE
The indicator can provide information helping the user to infer the position of future pivot points. This information is directly used in the indicator to provide such forecasting. Note that each metric is calculated relative to the same type of pivot points.
It is also common for analysts to use pivot points for the construction of various figures, getting the percentage change and distance for each pivot point can allow them to eventually filter out points of non-interest.
🔹 Forecast
We use the trailing mean of the distance between respective pivots to estimate the time position of future pivot points, this can be useful to estimate the location of future tops/bottoms. The time position of the forecasted pivot is given by a vertical dashed line on the chart.
We can see a successful application of this method below:
Above we see the forecasted pivots for BTCUSD15. The forecast of interest being the pivot high. We highlight the forecast position with a blue dotted line for reference.
After some time we obtain a new pivot high with a new forecast. However, we can see that the time location of this new pivot high matches perfectly with the prior forecast.
The position in time for the forecast is given by:
x1_ph + E
x1_pl + E
where x1_ph denotes the position in time of the most recent pivot high. x1_pl denotes the position in time of the most recent pivot low and E the average distance between respective pivot points.
🔶 SETTINGS
Length: Window size for the detection of pivot points.
Show Forecasted Pivots: Display forecast of future pivot points.
🔹 Dashboard
Dashboard Location: Location of the dashboard on the chart
Dashboard Size: Size of the dashboard on the chart
Text/Frame Color: Determines the color of the frame grid as well as the text color
