Triple CCI Strategy MFI Confirmed [Skyrexio]Overview
Triple CCI Strategy MFI Confirmed leverages 3 different periods Commodity Channel Index (CCI) indicator in conjunction Money Flow Index (MFI) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability setups. Fast period CCI is used for having the high probability to enter in the direction of short term trend, middle and slow period CCI are used for confirmation, if market now likely in the mid and long-term uptrend. MFI is used to confirm trade with the money inflow/outflow with the high probability. EMA is used as an additional trend filter. Moreover, strategy uses exponential moving average (EMA) to trail the price when it reaches the specific level. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
Dynamic stop-loss system: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes average true range (ATR) multiplied by user given number subtracted from the position entry price as a dynamic stop loss level.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Four layers trade filtering system: Strategy utilizes two different period CCI indicators, MFI and EMA indicators to confirm the signals produced by fast period CCI.
Trailing take profit level: After reaching the trailing profit activation level scrip activate the trailing of long trade using EMA. More information in methodology.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
Fast period CCI shall crossover the zero-line.
Slow and Middle period CCI shall be above zero-lines.
Price shall close above the EMA. Crossover is not obligatory
MFI shall be above 50
When long trade is executed, strategy set the stop-loss level at the price ATR multiplied by user-given value below the entry price. This level is recalculated on every next candle close, adjusting to the current market volatility.
At the same time strategy set up the trailing stop validation level. When the price crosses the level equals entry price plus ATR multiplied by user-given value script starts to trail the price with EMA. If price closes below EMA long trade is closed. When the trailing starts, script prints the label “Trailing Activated”.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup the following strategy settings:
ATR Stop Loss (by default = 1.75)
ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level (by default = 2.25)
CCI Fast Length (by default = 14, used for calculation short term period CCI)
CCI Middle Length (by default = 25, used for calculation short term period CCI)
CCI Slow Length (by default = 50, used for calculation long term period CCI)
MFI Length (by default = 14, used for calculation MFI
EMA Length (by default = 50, period of EMA, used for trend filtering EMA calculation)
Trailing EMA Length (by default = 20)
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Before understanding why this particular combination of indicator has been chosen let's briefly explain what is CCI, MFI and EMA.
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is a momentum-based technical indicator that measures the deviation of a security's price from its average price over a specific period. It helps traders identify overbought or oversold conditions and potential trend reversals.
The CCI formula is:
CCI = (Typical Price − SMA) / (0.015 × Mean Deviation)
Typical Price (TP): This is calculated as the average of the high, low, and closing prices for the period.
Simple Moving Average (SMA): This is the average of the Typical Prices over a specific number of periods.
Mean Deviation: This is the average of the absolute differences between the Typical Price and the SMA.
The result is a value that typically fluctuates between +100 and -100, though it is not bounded and can go higher or lower depending on the price movement.
The Money Flow Index (MFI) is a technical indicator that measures the strength of money flowing into and out of a security. It combines price and volume data to assess buying and selling pressure and is often used to identify overbought or oversold conditions. The formula for MFI involves several steps:
1. Calculate the Typical Price (TP):
TP = (high + low + close) / 3
2. Calculate the Raw Money Flow (RMF):
Raw Money Flow = TP × Volume
3. Determine Positive and Negative Money Flow:
If the current TP is greater than the previous TP, it's Positive Money Flow.
If the current TP is less than the previous TP, it's Negative Money Flow.
4. Calculate the Money Flow Ratio (MFR):
Money Flow Ratio = Sum of Positive Money Flow (over n periods) / Sum of Negative Money Flow (over n periods)
5. Calculate the Money Flow Index (MFI):
MFI = 100 − (100 / (1 + Money Flow Ratio))
MFI above 80 can be considered as overbought, below 20 - oversold.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that places greater weight and significance on the most recent data points. It is widely used in technical analysis to smooth price data and identify trends more quickly than the Simple Moving Average (SMA).
Formula:
1. Calculate the multiplier
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1) , Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
This strategy leverages Fast period CCI, which shall break the zero line to the upside to say that probability of short term trend change to the upside increased. This zero line crossover shall be confirmed by the Middle and Slow periods CCI Indicators. At the moment of breakout these two CCIs shall be above 0, indicating that there is a high probability that price is in middle and long term uptrend. This approach increases chances to have a long trade setup in the direction of mid-term and long-term trends when the short-term trend starts to reverse to the upside.
Additionally strategy uses MFI to have a greater probability that fast CCI breakout is confirmed by this indicator. We consider the values of MFI above 50 as a higher probability that trend change from downtrend to the uptrend is real. Script opens long trades only if MFI is above 50. As you already know from the MFI description, it incorporates volume in its calculation, therefore we have another one confirmation factor.
Finally, strategy uses EMA an additional trend filter. It allows to open long trades only if price close above EMA (by default 50 period). It increases the probability of taking long trades only in the direction of the trend.
ATR is used to adjust the strategy risk management to the current market volatility. If volatility is low, we don’t need the large stop loss to understand the there is a high probability that we made a mistake opening the trade. User can setup the settings ATR Stop Loss and ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level to realize his own risk to reward preferences, but the unique feature of a strategy is that after reaching trailing profit activation level strategy is trying to follow the trend until it is likely to be finished instead of using fixed risk management settings. It allows sometimes to be involved in the large movements. It’s also important to make a note, that script uses another one EMA (by default = 20 period) as a trailing profit level.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2022.04.01 - 2024.11.25. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 50%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -4.13%
Maximum Single Profit: +19.66%
Net Profit: +5421.21 USDT (+54.21%)
Total Trades: 108 (44.44% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.006
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 777.40 USDT (-7.77%)
Average Profit per Trade: 50.20 USDT (+0.85%)
Average Trade Duration: 44 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 2h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Cciindicator
Trend CCITrend CCI (TCCI) Indicator
Description:
The Trend CCI (TCCI) indicator is a unique combination of the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and the Average True Range (ATR), designed to identify trends and market reversals with a refined sensitivity to price volatility. The indicator plots the CCI, adjusted by an ATR filter, and color-codes the trendline to signal uptrends and downtrends.
How It Works:
This indicator uses the CCI to measure price momentum and an ATR-based filter to smooth out market noise, making it easier to detect significant shifts in the market trend. Key parameters such as the ATR Period, ATR Multiplier, and CCI Period have been carefully chosen to optimize the indicator's performance:
1. ATR Period (default: 18)
The ATR Period determines the number of periods used to calculate the **Average True Range**, which reflects market volatility. In this case, an **ATR Period of 18** has been selected for several reasons:
Balance between responsiveness and noise reduction : A period of 18 strikes a balance between being responsive to recent price movements and filtering out minor fluctuations. Shorter ATR periods might be too reactive, creating false signals, while longer periods might miss shorter-term trends.
Adaptable to various market conditions : An 18-period ATR is suitable for both intraday and swing trading strategies, making it versatile across different time frames.
Standard industry practice : Many traders use ATR settings between 14 and 20 periods as a convention for detecting reliable volatility levels.
2. ATR Multiplier (default: 1.5)
The ATR Multiplier is applied to the ATR value to define how sensitive the indicator is to volatility. In this case, a multiplier of 1.5 has been chosen:
Avoiding whipsaws in low volatility markets: By setting the multiplier to 1.5, the indicator filters out smaller, less significant price movements, reducing the likelihood of whipsaw signals (i.e., false trend reversals during periods of low volatility).
Optimizing signal accuracy: A moderate multiplier like 1.5 ensures that the indicator only generates signals when the price moves a significant distance from the average range. Higher multipliers (e.g., 2.0) may ignore valid opportunities, while lower multipliers (e.g., 1.0) might create too many signals.
Enhancing trend clarity : The multiplier’s role in widening the range allows the indicator to respond more clearly during periods of strong trends, reducing signal noise and false positives.
3. CCI Period (default: 63)
The CCI Period defines the number of periods used to calculate the Commodity Channel Index. A 63-period CCI is selected based on the following considerations:
Smoothing the momentum calculation: A longer period, such as 63, is used to smooth out the CCI and reduce the effects of short-term price fluctuations. This period captures longer-term momentum, making it ideal for identifying more significant market trends.
-Filtering out short-term noise: While shorter CCI periods (e.g., 14 or 20) may be more reactive, they tend to produce more signals, some of which may be false. A 63-period CCI focuses on stronger and more sustained price movements, providing fewer but higher-quality signals.
Adapted to intermediate trading: A 63-period CCI aligns well with traders looking for medium-term trend-following strategies, striking a balance between long-term trend identification and responsiveness to significant price shifts.
How to Use:
Green Area: When the trendline turns green, it signals that the CCI is positive, reflecting upward momentum. This can be interpreted as a buy signal, indicating the potential for long positions or continuing bullish trades.
Red Area: When the trendline turns red, it signals that the CCI is negative, reflecting downward momentum. This can be interpreted as a sell signal, indicating potential short positions or bearish trades.
ATR Filter: The ATR helps reduce false signals by ignoring minor price movements. Traders can adjust the ATR Multiplier to make the indicator more or less sensitive based on market conditions. A lower multiplier (e.g., 1.2) may increase signal frequency, while a higher multiplier (e.g., 2.0) reduces it.
Originality:
The Trend CCI (TCCI) stands out due to its combination of the CCI and ATR. While many indicators simply plot raw CCI values, this script enhances the CCI’s effectiveness by incorporating an ATR-based volatility filter. This ensures that only significant trends trigger signals, making it a more reliable tool in volatile markets. The choice of the ATR period, multiplier, and CCI period ensures a refined balance between trend detection and noise reduction, distinguishing it as a powerful trend-following indicator.
Additionally, the visual aspect—using color-coded trendlines that dynamically shift between green and red—simplifies the interpretation of market trends, offering traders a clear and immediate understanding of trend direction and momentum strength.
Final Recommendations:
Use in Trending Markets The TCCI is most effective in trending markets, where its signals align with broader market momentum. In sideways or low-volatility markets, consider adjusting the ATR multiplier or using other complementary indicators to confirm the signals.
Risk Management: Always integrate robust risk management practices, such as using stop-loss orders and position sizing, to protect against sudden market reversals or periods of heightened volatility.
Adjust for Volatility: Consider the volatility of the asset being traded. In highly volatile assets, a higher ATR multiplier (e.g., 2.0) may be necessary to filter out noise, while in more stable assets, a lower multiplier (e.g., 1.2) might generate earlier signals.
By using the Trend CCI (TCCI) indicator with a deeper understanding of its key parameters, traders can better identify trends, reduce noise, and improve their overall decision-making in the markets.
Good Profits!
Double CCI Confirmed Hull Moving Average Reversal StrategyOverview
The Double CCI Confirmed Hull Moving Average Strategy utilizes hull moving average (HMA) in conjunction with two commodity channel index (CCI) indicators: the slow and fast to increase the probability of entering when the short and mid-term uptrend confirmed. The main idea is to wait until the price breaks the HMA while both CCI are showing that the uptrend has likely been already started. Moreover, strategy uses exponential moving average (EMA) to trail the price when it reaches the specific level. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
Dynamic stop-loss system: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes average true range (ATR) multiplied by user given number subtracted from the position entry price as a dynamic stop loss level.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Double trade setup confirmation: Strategy utilizes two different period CCI indicators to confirm the breakouts of HMA.
Trailing take profit level: After reaching the trailing profit activation level scrip activate the trailing of long trade using EMA. More information in methodology.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
Short-term period CCI indicator shall be above 0.
Long-term period CCI indicator shall be above 0.
Price shall cross the HMA and candle close above it with the same candle
When long trade is executed, strategy set the stop-loss level at the price ATR multiplied by user-given value below the entry price. This level is recalculated on every next candle close, adjusting to the current market volatility.
At the same time strategy set up the trailing stop validation level. When the price crosses the level equals entry price plus ATR multiplied by user-given value script starts to trail the price with EMA. If price closes below EMA long trade is closed. When the trailing starts, script prints the label “Trailing Activated”.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup the following strategy settings:
ATR Stop Loss (by default = 1.75)
ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level (by default = 2.25)
CCI Fast Length (by default = 25, used for calculation short term period CCI
CCI Slow Length (by default = 50, used for calculation long term period CCI)
Hull MA Length (by default = 34, period of HMA, which shall be broken to open trade)
Trailing EMA Length (by default = 20)
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Before understanding why this particular combination of indicator has been chosen let's briefly explain what is CCI and HMA.
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is a momentum-based technical indicator used in trading to measure a security's price relative to its average price over a given period. Developed by Donald Lambert in 1980, the CCI is primarily used to identify cyclical trends in a security, helping traders to spot potential buying or selling opportunities.
The CCI formula is:
CCI = (Typical Price − SMA) / (0.015 × Mean Deviation)
Typical Price (TP): This is calculated as the average of the high, low, and closing prices for the period.
Simple Moving Average (SMA): This is the average of the Typical Prices over a specific number of periods.
Mean Deviation: This is the average of the absolute differences between the Typical Price and the SMA.
The result is a value that typically fluctuates between +100 and -100, though it is not bounded and can go higher or lower depending on the price movement.
The Hull Moving Average (HMA) is a type of moving average that was developed by Alan Hull to improve upon the traditional moving averages by reducing lag while maintaining smoothness. The goal of the HMA is to create an indicator that is both quick to respond to price changes and less prone to whipsaws (false signals).
How the Hull Moving Average is Calculated?
The Hull Moving Average is calculated using the following steps:
Weighted Moving Average (WMA): The HMA starts by calculating the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) of the price data over a period square root of n (sqrt(n))
Speed Adjustment: A WMA is then calculated for half of the period n/2, and this is multiplied by 2 to give more weight to recent prices.
Lag Reduction: The WMA of the full period n is subtracted from the doubled n/2 WMA.
Final Smoothing: To smooth the result and reduce noise, a WMA is calculated for the square root of the period n.
The formula can be represented as:
HMA(n) = WMA(WMA(n/2) × 2 − WMA(n), sqrt(n))
The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is a type of moving average that gives more weight to recent data points, making it more responsive to recent price changes than a Simple Moving Average (SMA). In a WMA, each data point within the selected period is multiplied by a weight, with the most recent data receiving the highest weight. The sum of these weighted values is then divided by the sum of the weights to produce the WMA.
This strategy leverages HMA of user given period as a critical level which shall be broken to say that probability of trend change to the upside increased. HMA reacts faster than EMA or SMA to the price change, that’s why it increases chances to enter new trade earlier. Long-term period CCI helps to have an approximation of mid-term trend. If it’s above 0 the probability of uptrend increases. Short-period CCI allows to have an approximation of short-term trend reversal from down to uptrend. This approach increases chances to have a long trade setup in the direction of mid-term trend when the short-term trend starts to reverse.
ATR is used to adjust the strategy risk management to the current market volatility. If volatility is low, we don’t need the large stop loss to understand the there is a high probability that we made a mistake opening the trade. User can setup the settings ATR Stop Loss and ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level to realize his own risk to reward preferences, but the unique feature of a strategy is that after reaching trailing profit activation level strategy is trying to follow the trend until it is likely to be finished instead of using fixed risk management settings. It allows sometimes to be involved in the large movements. It’s also important to make a note, that script uses HMA to enter the trade, but for trailing it leverages EMA. It’s used because EMA has no such fast reaction to price move which increases probability not to be stopped out from any significant uptrend move.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2022.07.01 - 2024.08.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 100%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -4.67%
Maximum Single Profit: +19.66%
Net Profit: +14897.94 USDT (+148.98%)
Total Trades: 104 (36.54% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.312
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 1302.66 USDT (-9.58%)
Average Profit per Trade: 143.25 USDT (+0.96%)
Average Trade Duration: 34 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 2h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Trend Indicator with RSI and Fibbonacci Band 0.702 crossingsToday we have a new Indicator set, which I created using inspiration from the Trend Magic Indicator from KivancOzbilgic and adding several new aspects to it and a slightly modified calculation of the trend indicator itself.
You can change the inputs by changing the pre set values in the settings, but I found the current settings quite accurate. Feel free to experiment to fine tune the indicators.
Here are the details of the script:
Trend indicated within candles and as a line
- bullish and bearish trends are now also indicated within the candle based on the CCI calculation.
- Bullish is indicated by a green circle below the candle or as one may call it a "dot"
- bearish trend is indicated by a red circle above the candle
Entry Signal based on RSI crossing its EMA
- my motivation was to have a clearer entry signal besides highlighting a trend, which can not really be used to identify a good entry but to give confidence or when loosing trend to give an exit signal.
- after studiying the RSI and how it works together with its EMA it looks quite interesting as an entry or exit signal. But be cautios if the EMA and RSI values are moving in a narrow area we get a lot of crosses and therefore signals which should rather be ignored rather to be act on. So the the range where the cross happens is also quite important. But this aspect is not yet reflected as a rule/ logic.
But I am thinking of adding something.. or alternativly best to switch to another timeframe to get some better data
RSI overbought and oversold as Diamonds
- I also added key indications of oversold or overbought as Blue and Pink diamonds, can be considered as additional information to maybe identify a short term top or bottom.. but its not very accurate.
Entry signal based on crossing Fibbonachi Band 0.702
- So far the 0.702 seems to be quite an interesting retracement level which seems to be met a lot of times
- based on the assumption the price will evantually hit the 0.702 either direction I wanted to get a signal when this happens
- BUT! a big but, unfortunalty the Fibbonachi bands tend to bloat up in case of high volatility so it is not easy to find the crossing on higher timeframes
Here are the standard value which I found quite accurate for the assets I use this indicator set:
CCI Period = 5
ATR Multiplier = 1
ATR Period = 1
Source = High Low Close (hlc3 average value of the candle
Here the inputs used for the RSI Crossing signal (here you should play around a little to see which entry would have been best..)
RSI Length = 14
RSI Oversold = 25 (to be used for the "golden" entry signal based on the FBB crossing)
RSI Overbought = 80 (to be used for the "golden" entry signal based on the FBB crossing)
RSI Moving Average Length
In future versions I will add options to activate or deactive some of the plotting and espacially this golden dot when the fibbonachi band is being crossed needs some fine tuning..
And lets see if there is a way to fix the bloating of those bands..
