ARIA

ARIA - Adaptive Regime & Integrated Analysis (Scoreboard + Risk + Lab)

Overview
ARIA is an overlay indicator that consolidates multiple market dimensions into a single, consistent decision workflow:
- Trend strength (ADX + SMA200 slope)
- Momentum (normalized RSI + MACD histogram + volume ratio)
- Regime labeling (ADA: Stable/Unstable trend vs Range)
- Timeframe suggestion (DTA: Short/Standard/Long mode)
- Macro “Market Weather” (index trend + fear index thresholds)
- Risk sizing + position management (stop, ideal shares, addable shares)
- A lightweight Strategy Lab for quick signal sanity-checking

Instead of switching between many tools, ARIA provides a structured “read → score → act → manage risk” routine via an on-chart scoreboard.

Core Outputs (Scoreboard)
1) Market Condition
- Trend Strength (0–100)
- Momentum (-1..1)
- Inflow % (0–100, CMF-derived)
- Trend Regime (ADA)
- Overall Score (0–100) and a simple action label

2) Position
- Shares held, P/L and P/L%
- “Addable Shares” and “Ideal Shares” based on your risk settings

3) Risk & Targets
- Suggested stop price (ATR-based + recent-low reference)
- TP1/TP2 targets (1R / 2R from entry) and risk-reward status

4) Strategy Lab
- Rolling window evaluation of the Buy signal (win rate, avg return per trade, total return sum, and avg win/loss R ratio)

Quick Start
1) Choose a preset:
- Swing: balanced
- Conservative: trend-stability oriented
- Breakout: momentum oriented

2) Keep “Auto-tune by Asset/Vol” ON for most users.
Turn it OFF only when you want a fixed-threshold A/B comparison.

3) (Recommended) Fill Position inputs if you are in a trade:
- Current Shares
- Avg Entry Price
This unlocks P/L, R-based targets, and the AES trailing proposal.

Signals (Markers)
- Buy Signal: ARIA score crosses upward into the Buy zone (default threshold 70)
- Sell Signal: ARIA score crosses downward into the Sell zone (default threshold 40)
- Squeeze Release: Bollinger/Keltner squeeze turns off with directional confirmation
- Breakout: new 20-bar high with strong relative volume
- Add-on label: appears when a Buy signal occurs AND risk sizing indicates you can add shares

Alerts
Built-in alert conditions are provided for:
- Buy / Sell signals
- Squeeze release
- Breakout
- Profit targets (TP1/TP2), stop-loss proximity
- AES trailing proposal breach and momentum slowdown while in profit
Use “Alert Cooldown (bars)” to reduce noise.

Important Notes / Limitations
- Signals are computed on confirmed bars. Higher-timeframe requests use lookahead OFF.
- Pivot-based S/R is confirmation-based and appears with an inherent delay (not predictive).
- Strategy Lab is a simplified, long-only model (no fees/slippage; intrabar fill assumptions apply). Use it as a sanity check, not as a performance claim or guarantee.
- Volume-based components may be less meaningful on symbols without reliable volume.
- This script is for analysis/education and does not constitute financial advice.

Version: ARIA v1.0.0


--- 日本語（任意）---

概要
ARIA は、トレンド・モメンタム・出来高/資金流入・ボラティリティ・マクロ環境・リスク管理までを、1つのスコアボードに統合して「判断の手順」を固定化するオーバーレイ型インジケーターです。

主な機能
- トレンド強度：ADX + SMA200 傾き
- モメンタム：正規化 RSI + MACD ヒストグラム + 出来高比
- ADA：相場レジーム判定（安定/不安定トレンド、レンジ）
- DTA：環境に合わせた推奨時間足（短期/標準/長期）
- Macro Compass：指数の方向 + 恐怖指数で Market Weather を判定
- リスク管理：ストップ候補・理想株数・追加可能株数
- Strategy Lab：買いシグナルの簡易検証（勝率、平均、合計、RR など）

使い方（最短）
1) Preset を選択（Swing / Conservative / Breakout）
2) Auto-tune は基本 ON
3) 既にポジションがある場合は Current Shares / Avg Entry Price を入力（P/L、TP、AES が有効化）

注意点
- Strategy Lab は簡易モデルであり、手数料/スリッページ等は考慮しません。結果の断定・保証には使わないでください。
- S/R はピボット確定型のため、一定の遅延が前提です（予測ではありません）。
- 投資助言ではありません。