AMDX Session Bias [Plazo Sullivan Roche Capital]

4 dni temu

📊 AMDX Session Bias [Plazo Sullivan Roche Capital]

1. Core Logic (Why it Works)

London open is the first major liquidity injection of the day.

It usually establishes a directional bias that the New York session either extends or retraces into before continuing.

By filtering out fakeouts in the first 30–60 minutes, you can position with institutions.

2. Step-by-Step Framework

🔹 Step 1: Define the Pre-London Range

Mark the Asian session high and low (8 PM – 2 AM NY).
This acts as your first liquidity pool.
Note if price is consolidating inside this range or raiding one side just before London.

🔹 Step 2: Observe the London Killzone (2:30–4:30 AM NY)

ICT calls this the London Killzone.

Look for:

Liquidity Sweeps: Did London run Asian highs/lows?
Market Structure Shift (BOS/CHOCH): After the sweep, did structure flip bullish or bearish?
This sweep + BOS sets the daily bias.

🔹 Step 3: Confirm with Higher Timeframe Anchor

Use Daily/4H bias (EMA20, VWAP, or ICT daily bias).
If London sweep aligns with HTF trend → strong conviction.

Example:
Daily bullish → London sweeps Asian low → BOS up → Buy bias.

🔹 Step 4: Validate with Order Blocks / FVG

After BOS, identify the order block or fair value gap (FVG) where institutions enter.
This zone becomes your precision entry.

🔹 Step 5: Ride Into NY Session (8:30–11 AM NY)

If bias set in London, NY usually provides the continuation leg.
NY may retrace into London’s OB/FVG before resuming.
Exit near London close (11 AM NY) or US close depending on momentum.

3. Entry & Exit Rules

✅ Long Setup (Bullish Bias)

London sweeps Asian low.
BOS to upside on M5–M15.
Enter at OB/FVG after BOS.
Stop below sweep low.

Target = 2–3R or NY session expansion.

✅ Short Setup (Bearish Bias)

London sweeps Asian high.
BOS to downside on M5–M15.
Enter at OB/FVG after BOS.
Stop above sweep high.
Target = 2–3R or NY session expansion.

4. Risk Management

Use 1–2% max risk per trade.
Favor 2R+ trades only.
Avoid overtrading—London bias is often one clean move.

5. Optimal Use Cases

Best Assets: EURUSD, GBPUSD, DXY, DAX, FTSE, US30, NAS100.
Sessions: London open (3–5 AM NY) + New York open (8:30–11 AM NY).
Avoid: Trading mid-day chop (11 AM – 1 PM NY).

🎯 Bottom Line

The AMDX London Sweep + BOS Method gives you the day’s bias.
Sweep Asian liquidity.
Confirm BOS in London Killzone.
Enter at OB/FVG.
Ride the move through New York expansion.

This method is brutal in its simplicity—you’re aligning with where institutions already showed their hand.

Do it Manually?

Idea in one line

Wait for London to raid Asian liquidity, confirm a structure flip (BOS), then enter on a retrace into the OB/FVG in the BOS direction. Hold through NY continuation unless invalidated.

Session windows (NY time)

Asian range: 20:00 → 02:00
London Killzone: 02:30 → 04:30
NY Expansion window: 08:30 → 11:00

Signals (mechanical)

Bullish day bias
1. During/just after London Killzone: sweep of Asian Low (wick takes it by at least sweepTicks),
2. BOS up on M5–M15 (close > prior swing-high),
3. Mark bullish OB (last down candle pre-BOS) and bullish FVG (optional),
4. Entry: limit at OB mid or FVG mid (configurable),
5. Stop: below sweep low,
6. Targets: +2R base; trail through NY expansion if momentum remains.

Bearish day bias is symmetrical (sweep Asian High → BOS down → short at OB/FVG).

Risk template

Position risk: ≤ 1% per idea
Base TP: 2R; optional runner to 3–4R if NY confirms
Daily stop: 2 losing attempts max

How to trade it (mechanical checklist)

Wait for London KZ (02:30–04:30 NY).
Confirm sweep of the Asian High/Low (script marks it).
Require BOS in the opposite direction of the sweep.
Place a limit at the displayed Entry Ref (OB/FVG per your input).
SL = beyond the sweep extreme.
TP = at least 2R; manage a runner through 08:30–11:00 NY if momentum persists.
Stand down if no sweep + BOS combo prints by ~05:00 NY (lower probability day).

Notes & Options

Timeframes: M5 is the sweet spot. M1 for sniper fills; M15 for fewer but higher-quality prints.
Assets: EURUSD, GBPUSD, DXY proxy; US100/US30/DAX all behave well with this logic.
Chop filter (optional): add a 20EMA HTF alignment later if you want an extra filter.
Two-strike rule: if two entries fail, shelve the bias for the day.

VWAP as the Institutional Anchor

What it does: VWAP shows the average price weighted by volume.

Why it matters: Large banks and algos benchmark execution against VWAP. Staying above/below it reflects whether smart money is net long or short on the day.

👉 Rule of thumb:

Price trading above VWAP = bullish daily bias.
Price trading below VWAP = bearish daily bias.
Frequent whipsaws around VWAP = neutral/consolidation day.

VWAP Dashboard

During 2:00–5:00 AM NY (London kill-zone):

After the Asian range sweep, watch how price reacts around session VWAP.
If London sweeps liquidity, prints a BOS, and then reclaims VWAP → that confirms bullish intent.
If London sweeps and rejects from VWAP downward → bearish bias likely.

Example workflow:

Mark Asian high/low.
Identify sweep + BOS (ICT/SMC).
Check VWAP reaction:
BOS up + VWAP support retest → bullish bias.
BOS down + VWAP rejection → bearish bias.

New-York Session Continuation

From 8:00–12:00 PM NY (London–NY overlap):
Institutions often re-benchmark against VWAP.
A bullish London bias is strengthened if NY open holds VWAP as support.
If NY open aggressively flips VWAP the other way, that’s a bias invalidation signal.

Anchored VWAP Used on Our Dashboard:

We anchored VWAP to midnight open, London open (3 AM NY), or NY open (8:30 AM) to see where institutions are “averaging in.”

VWAP confluence:
When VWAP lines up with an OB, FVG, or Asian high/low → high-conviction entry zone.

Risk Management With VWAP

If you trade with VWAP, keep stops just beyond VWAP (if bias is valid, price should not reclaim it in the opposite direction).

If bias flips at VWAP, exit—because it signals institutional sentiment has shifted.

✅ Takeaway:
VWAP helps you avoid “guessing” bias. After London sweeps and structure shifts, VWAP confirmation tells you whether institutions are supporting that move. If price is comfortably above VWAP, bias is long; if comfortably below, bias is short. New-York continuation is more reliable when VWAP agrees.

Further Reading on our use of VWAP

🔹 1. Midnight Anchored VWAP

Anchor: 00:00 New-York (daily open)
Purpose: Measures the entire day’s institutional fair price.

Strengths:

Gives you the “true daily mean” — where all volume has flowed since the start of the calendar day.
Good for higher-timeframe swing or “am I with/against the day’s crowd?” decisions.

Weakness:

Less sensitive to session-specific shifts (London may bias bullish while midnight VWAP still sits lower).

👉 Best if you want to trade daily direction in context and avoid fading the dominant order flow of the day.

🔹 2. London Anchored VWAP

Anchor: 3:00 AM NY (London open)
Purpose: Measures fair price of the London session flow only.

Strengths:

Excellent for catching the first real directional push after Asian consolidation.
Lets you see if London is accumulating above or below its own benchmark.

Weakness:

May reset bias again at NY open if US traders disagree with London.
👉 Best for 3 AM–8 AM NY window, where you want to know if London is building a sustained directional leg.

🔹 3. New-York Anchored VWAP

Anchor: 8:30 AM NY (US equities open, high liquidity event).
Purpose: Benchmarks fair price of the NY order flow.

Strengths:

Critical for confirming or rejecting London’s bias.
If NY flow holds the same side of VWAP as London, bias is locked for the day.
If NY flips VWAP hard, it’s often a full bias reversal.

Weakness:

You can’t use it until 8:30 AM, so it doesn’t help during early London.
👉 Best for 8:30 AM–12 NN NY, as it validates whether London’s move will extend or fail.

✅ Practical Bias Workflow (3 AM–12 NN NY)

3–8 AM:

Use London VWAP to see if London is trending above/below its benchmark.
This sets your provisional daily bias.
8:30–12 NN:
Overlay NY VWAP.
If price agrees with London VWAP → bias confirmed, trend likely extends.
If NY VWAP flips against London → treat it as a bias reversal day.

Midnight VWAP is always on your chart as the macro “fair price” anchor, but for intraday bias, you’ll rely on London first, then NY for confirmation.

✨ Bottom line:

London VWAP (3 AM anchor) = best for initial bias.
NY VWAP (8:30 AM anchor) = best for confirmation or reversal.
Midnight VWAP = background macro compass.

3 dni temu

Informacje o Wersji

VWAP optimizations