Bitcoin Dominance showing us things ARE Very Different this time
There are so many things that ARE the same as previous cycles, to date.
And we have seemingly begun a draw down and even I am seeing possible similarities to the post 2021 ATH draw down.
But Bitcoin Dominance shows us a Glaring difference.
The chart above shows us the BTC.D PA and the Bitcoin Halving dates to ATH in Blue Boxes at the Top of chart
We have the ATH to ATH day count at the bottom of the Chart in blue Boxes.
Also At the Bottom of the Chart, in Yellow and orange boxes, we have the % draw down in BTC.D from the Halving date to the ATH
To the 2017 ATH after halving, we saw a -61.17% DROP in Bitcoin Dominance.
To the 2021ATH after halving, we saw a -42,53% DROP in Bitcoin Dominance.
From the Halving in April 2024 to the current ATH, we have a GAIN in BTC.D of 9.21%
The fact thaat Vitcoin is holding Dominance in the market is so incredably BULLISH and does lead to the possibility that the 4 year cucle has ended and we may well be entering a Super cycle.
We will not know if this has happened for a while.....But I am watching the Ascending channel closely on the Bitcoin charts.
New days maybe ahead
Btcdominancechart
ALTCOIN SEASON IS IMMINENT IF THIS HAPPENS!! Must Read.BTC Dominance is approaching a major long-term resistance trendline that has consistently acted as a rejection zone in previous cycles.
Key Observations:
* BTC.D has been moving inside a rising channel on the weekly timeframe.
* Price is currently testing the upper boundary of the channel along with a macro descending resistance.
* In past instances, rejections from this trendline resulted in strong altcoin rallies.
* EMA structure shows signs of weakening momentum, with repeated crossovers near resistance, often indicating trend exhaustion.
What to Expect:
* A rejection around the current levels (approximately 59–60%) would be a strong signal for capital rotation into altcoins.
* This zone historically offers a high-probability short opportunity on BTC.D, which aligns with bullish setups across quality altcoins.
* A confirmed breakdown below the channel support would further accelerate altseason momentum.
Invalidation:
* A clean weekly close above the descending resistance would invalidate the bearish dominance view and suggest continued Bitcoin strength.
Conclusion:
BTC Dominance is at a critical decision point.
Rejection favours altcoins outperforming Bitcoin, while acceptance above resistance delays the altseason narrative.
If you find this idea useful, please hit the like button to support so I can keep posting such important updates for you all.
Thank you
#PEACE
BTC Dominance (BTC.D) – Chart Update. BTC Dominance (BTC.D) – Chart Update
BTC Dominance is moving inside a tight symmetrical triangle, indicating compression and a big move ahead.
Current zone: ~59.3%, hovering near the triangle’s apex.
Resistance: Downward trendline near 59.8% – 60.0%
Support: Rising trendline around 58.8% – 59.0%
Breakdown below 58.8% → Possible altcoin rally / altseason phase.
⚠️BTC.D is at a decision point. A confirmed breakout or breakdown will likely define the next market rotation.
Trade patiently and wait for confirmation.
BTC Dominance (BTC.D) – Weekly Chart BTC Dominance (BTC.D) – Weekly Chart | Full Details (with 25MA and 100 MA)
BTC.D is trading within a long-term descending channel. After a strong recovery from the 2022 lows, the dominance is now stalling near the mid-range resistance (~59–60%).
25 MA: Tracks short-term momentum
BTC.D is hovering around/slightly below the 25 MA.
100 MA: The price is still above the 100 MA, meaning the overall BTC dominance trend has not yet broken down.
A break below the 100 MA would signal a significant shift towards altcoin strength.
This is a decision zone.
BTC dominance is not yet bearish, but the strength of the uptrend is weakening.
Keep a close eye on the MA — they will guide the next move.
DYOR | NFA
#BTC.D Update: Charts Don’t Lie.The Hidden Altcoin Opportunity!💬 Bitcoin vs BTC Dominance Update:
While many of you are stressing about Bitcoin, BTC Dominance is flashing multiple bearish signals.
Technically, BTC.D looks ready for a massive drop, and that’s extremely bullish for altcoins.
Those 80% crashes in alts? In my opinion, they’re opportunities, not reasons to panic.
This is a big moment, and very few people can see what’s coming.
I’ve been calling altseasons with high accuracy since 2017, and I’ll say it again,
Alts will have their time.
Focus on new altcoin launches that don’t have heavy bag-holders.
The era of long-term big-cap alts is fading.
You get into altcoins to stack more BTC, and stables always remember that.
Our strategy for the next few months:
👉 Spot trading selective altcoins
👉 Gradually increasing portfolio exposure
If you’re interested, I’ll be sharing new altcoin picks soon. Show some support on this chart.
Multiple indicators, such as VWAP, MACD, StochRSI, candlestick patterns, and oscillators, are all signalling a bearish move in BTC Dominance soon.
So look at the bright side.
❌Invalidation: Break and close above the upper resistance trendline.
DYOR | NFA
If this update helped you, please hit the like button 👍
Thank you.
#PEACE ✌️
$BTC.D Dominance Dip Signals Alt Rally?CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D Dominance Dip Signals Alt Rally?
BTC Dominance trending bearish on 1H, testing key support at 59.6% after sharp pullback from 60.5% highs—holding here could spark rebound to resistance, but risk of deeper dip to 58.5% if breached, fueling altcoin surge.
Bullish for alts overall! Target: 58% on breakdown.
Watching: RSI at 35 (oversold bounce potential), declining 50MA, low volume. 📉🚀
#BTCDominance #Altseason #CryptoMarkets
USDT.DOMINANCE CHART ANALIYSIS !!USDT Dominance Chart Update.
USDT dominance is again rejecting at the long-term trendline resistance (point 4), currently around 5.17%.
Structure suggests another potential move lower, with possible targets in the green zone (2.0%–3.0%) if the downtrend continues.
This scenario typically favors fresh capital rotation into Bitcoin and altcoins as traders de-risk from stablecoins.
Summary:
USDT dominance remains weak below the trendline. A sustained drop could spark further altcoin momentum and a broader crypto rally.
Bitcoin dominance showing a VERY different market cycle BULLSIH
As ever.yjr chart says it all but why am I posting this on a Saturday night in Europe ?
Because something is going to change soon.......and I have no idea in which direction BUT.............
As you can easily see, in the previous 2 cycles on this chart, were we had a tangible Bitcoin dominance over other crypto assets, that dominance fell dramatically as we approached Bitcoin All time highs after Bitcoin Halvings.
As we see, for the 2017 BTC ATH, we had a 61% drop in BTC.D and then a recovery to the next halving.
From that Halving to the next ATH in 2021, we had a near 37% Drop in BTC.D
Many people, including me, have been saying how different things are this cycle and this is shown very clearly with the BTC.D this cycle.
Just see the difference on the chart. Since 2023, a slow, steady, near unstoppable climb
And IF the current ATH in BTC is the Cycle High, then we need to see that BTC.D is NOT in a negative number but is in fact OVER +5% higher than when the halving took place.
YES, we have had a drop from a higher % to this current level but it is NOTHING as much as previous cycle.
SO, the question is now, Is this the Cycle TOP ?
We will not know until the moment has passed. but even to see a -30% would see Bitcoin entering a price range that is HIGHLY unlikely now.
It is the Failure of the ALTS to take peoples money that has led to this and the reason for this is simply that BITCOIN is now regarded as a Real, proper asset class.
It has Matured.
It is utter DOMINANCE over its Rivals.
So, what now ?
We wait and see if we are entering a BEAR Market, in which case, the ALTS have had their day and sadly, will dwindle away and some will remain, fighting each other for a small part in the Market. Some WILL Dominate others and I think we all know which they are.
Maybe things will move and money will flow out of BTC into ALTS...but we have already past the time period where this has happened after a halving.....
When BTC enters a Bear, so do the ALTS>.
Maybe we will not see a BEAR this Time.
Things ARE different on so many fronts......
But ask yourself......Can you see the corporations selling 100's of Bitcoin now or after we see antoehr ATH ?
That would maybe reduce BTC dominance over other assets in Crypto...but -30% ?
NO WAY
Altseason on the Horizon?Technically, BTC Dominance has retested the breakdown of the rising channel, confirming a clean rejection from the retest area.
If price manages to break below the current support zone, we could see a strong shift toward altcoins as capital starts rotating out of BTC.
This recent move also flushed out over-leveraged traders, resetting market positioning, a healthy sign before the next major leg.
Stay patient and always analyze your risk before entering any position. The next few weeks could be decisive for the altcoin market.
DYOR, NFA
Stay tuned for more update
THANKS FOR THE READING
#PEACE
BTC Dominance: Key Levels to WatchAfter the recent correction, BTC dominance is bouncing from the support zone at 59.64%. It looks like BTC dominance will likely retest the nearest resistance zone before any further downside.
If BTC.D breaks above this resistance, we could see more pressure on altcoins.
However, a rejection from this resistance zone could signal some relief for altcoins, giving them a chance to recover.
#PEACE
THANKS for the Read
BTC Dominance analysis!BTC dominance has fromed a harmonic pattern, and from the current structure I think it could rise into the 61–62% zone.
If that plays out, it would likely pressure altcoins to the downside, as money rotates back into Bitcoin.
It’s always tough to watch traders and investors lose money during these cycles — but unfortunately, that’s how markets work: capital flows shift, and not every phase favors every asset.
🎯 Conclusion: My view is that BTC dominance will likely climb into the 61–62% region, which may weigh on altcoins in the short term.
👉 For more structured market insights and professional analysis, follow along.
BTC.D, expected roadmap!Hi fellow traders,
On this chart I’m analyzing the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) on the weekly timeframe using Elliott Wave principles.
Looking at the structure, I expect a major corrective phase to unfold in the coming years. Historically, we have seen two big Altseasons (1 and 2), followed by smaller rallies. My projection suggests we could first experience a “Mini-Altseason” when BTC.D enters the lower golden box, before heading higher again.
This move up could then create the conditions for a much larger Altseason, similar in magnitude to the previous major ones, once BTC.D reaches the higher golden box zone.
Mini Altseason: Potential short-term relief for alts as dominance corrects lower into the first golden box.
Big Altseason: A larger, more powerful move, expected after BTC.D completes a strong retracement into the upper golden box region.
The invalidation levels are clearly marked, and as long as the structure remains intact, I expect BTC.D to respect these Fibonacci-based zones and follow this corrective path.
This analysis indicates that while we may see a temporary bounce in BTC.D the long-term outlook still favors another significant Altseason ahead.
Good luck and trade safe!
BTCDOM : Near to breakout from trendline resistanceBitcoin dominance is nearing a breakout from trend line resistance. Keep a close watch as a breakout from here could lead to a short-term market correction, negatively affecting altcoins. Stay cautious with your long positions and use proper stop loss strategies.
KEEP A CLOSE WATCH ON IT
Final Breakdown from Rising Wedge – Alts About to Run?BTC dominance has been rising steadily inside a rising wedge, but now it looks like the structure is giving up.
Price just broke below the wedge, a move many traders watch as a potential shift in momentum.
If this breakdown holds, it could be the final breakdown before altcoins start gaining serious strength.
Eyes on alts, the rotation might be starting.
#BTC.D Just Hit the DAILY SUPPORT, WILL THERE BE A PULLBACK?CRYPTOCAP:USDT is breaking out on LTF while BTC.D just hit support that looks ready to break down.
Not a short call, but if you've been trading well, this is when you reduce margin and cut leverage.
Although I could be wrong about USDT here but profit-taking matters.
We will probably get a pullback this week to enter again.
It's better to watch coins rise a few more waves without you than to give it all back in a few reckless trades.
Spot bags? HODL and DCA.
Futures? Trade cautiously.
DYOR. NFA.
Do show your support with your likes if this post adds any value, and hit the like button.
Thank You
#PEACE
Dominance & Altcoins- This graph is purely based on fibonacci law.
- 61.8% is the core of the system ( check rectangles in graph to get it )
- Most of long term traders not even look at the price.
- they just wait the good time to buy using Fibo.
- in 2016 BTC was almost 100%. Altcoins were inexistant. (less than 2% of the market with ETH)
- in 2021 BTC Dominance pushed to 75% (altseason followed the push)
- in 2024 we could see BTC dominance knocks 60% ish ( Altseason will follow )
- BTC is maturing.
- Cryptos are growing.
- Don't look too much at your altcoin wallets.
- Most of the time the story repeats itself.
- Respect the cycle, be patient and eat noodles!
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTC.D – Distribution Confirmed. Is the Final Altseason Next?Over the past couple of months, I’ve been tracking the development of a potential high time frame (HTF) Wyckoff distribution range forming on BTC Dominance (BTC.D), and it’s now looking like that structure is starting to break down.
Back on June 14th, I noted that while we hadn’t confirmed a trend shift yet, BTC.D was showing strength and likely to push into the 65% region, with altcoin weakness to follow. The very next day, I shared my idea of a potential Wyckoff distribution forming — and since then, it’s followed that path almost perfectly.
🧠 What’s Happened Since?
✅ Sweep of the HTF range high at ~65%
✅ Second deviation of the highs
✅ Volume divergence into supply — declining volume + strong rejection candles
✅ Formation of a UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution)
✅ 1D bearish market structure break after the sweep
✅ Price now back inside the range
This is textbook distribution behaviour — even if it doesn’t follow the Wyckoff schematic to the letter, the key elements are present: deviation, volume drop-off, and structural breakdown.
🔮 What Comes Next?
BTC.D is currently holding inside a prior unmitigated daily demand, but given the structural shift, I’m expecting:
A pullback to 65–65.5% (daily supply + range high retest)
Then a continuation bearish, targeting:
🔸 49% (prior accumulation range high)
🔻 46% (FVG fill + range breakout retest)
These lower targets align with where I expect altcoins to top out — so as BTC.D breaks down, I expect capital to rotate hard into ETH and alts, triggering the final phase of altseason before the macro cycle top.
⚠️ Why This Matters
This distribution range has been developing since late 2024, and with BTC.D now showing bearish market structure, combined with:
- ETH.D flipping bullish
- OTHERS.D pushing higher
- Stablecoin dominance pairs breaking down
…we’re seeing confluence across the board for a risk-on altcoin environment.
I believe this is the setup that leads to the final euphoric altcoin rotation before the 4-year cycle top prints later this year.
📌 Watch for the retest. Watch for the rejection. The breakdown will be fast.
This is the window — time to stay sharp.
Let me know in the comments if you’ve been tracking this too, or drop your altcoin rotation picks.
— Marshy 🔥
1D:
3D:
1W:
1M:
BTC Dominance Nearing Breaking Point – What It Means for Alts🚨📈 BTC Dominance Nearing Breaking Point – What It Means for Alts ⚠️🧩
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is climbing — and fast. As of now, we're at 64.13% , officially in the “ Bad for Alts ” zone. Historically, this level has meant one thing for altcoins: trouble ahead . But what if we go further?
🔵 The chart tells the full story:
Above 73% dominance, we're not just bad — it's disaster territory for altcoins.
The biggest alt bull runs in history started when BTC dominance reversed from these high levels .
But now? We're riding a rising channel with no sign of slowing, and a potential peak at 71.34% could be next.
📉 If dominance hits that upper wedge, altcoins may face an extinction-level drawdown — especially if meme coins, scams, and greedy behavior continue to dominate the space.
🧠 As the chart says:
“The END of Alts would be back here…” (not a valid scenario in my opinion but it exists)
Unless fundamentals and real utility make a comeback, we may be heading for a cleansing phase — where only the strongest survive . And that's Bitcoin only.
🔎 Key Zones:
>73% = 🚫 Disaster for Alts
64–73% = ❌ Bad for Alts
54–62% = ⚖️ Neutral / Good for select alts
<45% = ✅ Historically Great for Altcoins
💬 What do you think? Is this a final dominance pump before reversal? Or are we witnessing the long-awaited re-centralization of crypto around BTC?
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Altseason Ahead? BTC Dominance Cycle RepeatsBTC dominance is forming a pattern similar to the 2021 cycle, where dominance peaked after a long uptrend and then sharply declined, triggering a major altseason. Interestingly, that drop occurred after a 1,085-day rise, a time span we are once again approaching in 2025, projected to end around late August. If history repeats, BTC dominance could start declining from mid-Q3 2025, leading into a strong altcoin rally that may last through the end of Q4. This setup aligns with typical post-halving behavior, suggesting the final phase of the cycle could heavily favor altcoins.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:ETH CRYPTOCAP:XRP
renderwithme | BTC - Dominance about to hit resistanceBitcoin dominance (BTC.D), which measures Bitcoin’s market capitalization as a percentage of the total cryptocurrency market cap, is a key indicator of market sentiment and capital flow between Bitcoin and alt coins . As of July 5, 2025, recent data and technical analysis suggest Bitcoin dominance is at a critical juncture, with potential shifts in market dynamics for the upcoming week. Below is an analysis based on current trends, historical patterns, and technical indicators.Current State of Bitcoin DominanceCurrent Level: Bitcoin dominance is approximately 64.36% to 65.68%, based on recent data .
Recent Trends: Dominance has been testing a multi-year resistance zone between 66.5% and 69.5%
Historical highs in this range (e.g., 64.34% in early 2025) have often preceded pullbacks or altcoin rallies.
Chart indicate bearish signals, such as weekly bearish divergences and potential reversal candles, suggesting a possible decline.
Technical Analysis for Next WeekResistance and Support Levels:Resistance: The 66.8%–67.2% zone is a critical resistance level, aligning with Fibonacci extensions and a long-term descending trend line. A failure to break above this could signal a reversal.
Support: Key support levels are at 61.90%–62.20%, with a potential drop to 58% if bearish momentum accelerates.
Chart for your reference
Disclaimer --
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
#Boost and comment will be highly appreciated
Altseason isn’t cancelled, it’s just delayed. Here's WHY!CRYPTOCAP:BTC Dominance Update:
Altseason isn’t cancelled, it’s just delayed.
The key zone to watch is 69.5%–73% dominance. That’s where we’re likely to see a strong rejection if it doesn't start soon, which seems unlikely given the current circumstances.
The longer it takes to reach that level, the stronger the altcoin rally will be once it hits.
This isn’t hope, it’s exactly what the charts are showing.
Historically, 70% dominance has acted as a major reversal zone.
If there are signs of reversal before this level, I'll let you know beforehand.
So follow me if you don't and share this chart with your crypto friends.
Do not forget to keep cash/stables!
Let me know what you think in the comments.
Thank you
#PEACE
BTC.D - Could it be Wyckoff Distribution DevelopingJust toying with ideas of what may be developing here so dont take the chart as what i think will happen perfectly as shown.
With the strength seen from BTC.D atm, it looks more and more likely it may go for the highs again and into the higher levels above 65%.
I still see this as a very large range from the february high and lows that got put in and the prior high was a deviation of the larger range resulting in the reaction we seen.
We could expect to see a further deviation of the range highs and this wouldn't be uncommon in the development of a wyckoff distribution range.
Im still looking for a HTF reversal bearish from these supply levels and my bias doesnt change right now as we continue to develop this range until proven otherwise.
That being said, we could see some further weakness in altcoins until this tops out and gives us the right confirmations of a trend shift bearish.
1D:






















