Euro / Dolar USA
Long

Final Leg of Diagonal Pattern - 1.1050 Key Level

1 301
With the Fed beating the drum of rate increases, many are looking for the Greenback to fundamentally strengthen. Though when and if the Fed actually increases rates is a debate for another day, let's look at the technical picture for EURUSD.

It appears we are finalizing the 4th wave of a 5 wave diagonal pattern. We're looking for this 4th wave to terminate in the 1.1050-1.1200 price zone, then pivot higher to for a 1.17 retest. Two items can help with the long trigger:

1. Live trader positioning through FXCM - it currently reads +1.01...look for this number to drop to signal a bullish signal

2. A break above the red resistance trend line would signal the mood of the market could be shifting towards bulls.

If this occurs, one could place a stop loss just below the recent swing low while targeting 1.16 for a positive risk to reward ratio.

If prices meaningful penetrate 1.1050, then we'll need to consider the alternate patterns.

Best of luck and happy trading!

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