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chartwatchers
29 lip 2016 09:07

Energy trade 4 - 200 SMA Long

Crude Oil (WTI)FXCM

Opis

I've started to post an Energy / Stock / Metal Trade for the followers to trade.
I will post the update in the "update status" section of the portfolio post.
Starting capital is 10.000 $ in each portfolio. When I close the actual trade I will move the whole amount to the next trade - in this case it will be Energy trade X.
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I moved 10.000$ starting capital+13.620$ profit and the rest of the opened positions:
1000 ARP long 0,8$
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The 200 SMA played an important role in oil's past performance.
I will take some awful chances and go long with a SMALL position from here.
We are on the 6th day of panic selling - usually lasts for 6-9 days in oil.
We can easily drop to 37-38$ from here. I will be adding there.
This is a very important resistance should bounce for at least 1-2 days from here...

4% of the total capital only !

BUYING 200 US Crude October at 41.32$.
( Here at the chart the price is 40.58$)


Komentarz

No stops for this position.
The position size is very important !
If you go all in here you can loose everything.

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It seems we bought the exact bottom at the 200 SMA.

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Buying 300 OAS (Oasis Petroleum) at 7.51$

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Buying 300 LGCY (Legacy Reserves) at 1.71$

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We missed ERX...

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Buying 500 SXE ( Southcross Energy Partner)

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Holding the gains near to the close , energy stocks in a rally mode.
Buying 400 US CRUDE October at 41.60.

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And we are back above the 200 MA

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Buying 100 ERX at 28.40. If we continue the rally tomorrow I will buy 100 ERX again.

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Closing the 100 ERX position at 30.30. Only the ERX.

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It's good that we jumped out of ERX.
We will get a better buying opportunity and don't have to worry about margins while oil ios printing the double bottom.

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Buying 100 ERX at 31.81$.

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Buying 100 ERX at 32.50$.
Just matter of time and it will break out.

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Today I will make a fast calculation how much money do we have at the energy trade.
It shows exactly my personal trades on my account.
I just play with a few more zeros.

Komentarz

I will do an interesting thing now.
I'm turning the capital into oil shares as oil is printed a horrible rally. I think oil shares will perform better from now in the following days.
I have 600 US CRUDE. I will seel 200 US Crude and will buy 200 ERX at the same time

Komentarz

Selling 200 US Crude October at 48.50$
Buying 200 ERX at 32.88$

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Selling 200 US Crude October at 48.90$ (200 US CRude left)
Buying 200 ERX at 33.3$.
This is going to be our spaceship.

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Buying 200 ERX at today's pullback at 33.10

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I hope it's clear why did I switch to ERX.
Even if it's 3x ETF its only down o.5% while oil is down 2%

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We are almost there:
Buying 100 US Crude October at 46.53$.
The other 100 I will buy at 46.30.

Komentarz

Unfortunately I couldn't post here only at the " Red candle day" post that I'm buying.
So now I will post here. But I will buy at this price where we are now.

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Buying 300 US CRUDE November at 48$.

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I'm almost 100% sure the pullback is done.

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Buying 100 ERX at 31.81$. It's also a buy today.

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Selling 100 US OIL Crude at 49.50 $.

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Selling all of the rest of the USOIL position.
I will explain in the weekend oil post. We will have a pullback.
Selling 500 USOIL CRUDE at 49.76. I have only ERX now.

Komentarz

OIL at new highs but ERX stil couldn't break out...
I'm going to sell half of the ERX position.
(I don't remember how much I have here exactly I will summarize the amount later)

Komentarz

I'm doing the same thing on my energy account.
I'm moving the capital to miners. (GDX,GDXJ,JNUG,NUGT)

Komentarz

XLE/ERX seems to be filled an exhaustion gap and oil is moving down into the HCL.
I don't want to risk the position . We sold the 50% of ERX at the exact top I will sell the rest of ERX now at 33.10.
I'm out of oil now with great yearly profits. Waiting for the next long entry.

Zlecenie zamknięto ręcznie

Komentarze
Krasen
What about GOLD?
mrtommifunn
yes i'm with you on this and i'm buying at $46.73. I see consolidation forming now and a nice breakout to the upside.
PowerOfCapital
Thanks for updating,
bertcoin
I had sold 1/2 the UWTI a couple days ago at 25.5. Bot 1/4 back at 24 (close to USOIL 46.30), with dry powder ready at 23 (USOIL about 45). Might switch the dry powder order to ERX.
koastech
Wise choice Arpi.I didn't switch from uwti and I am paying the price.
Tj
Arpi, looks like today is the first red day of Oil rally. Do you still suggest to enter long for those who where on the sides. Thank you.
chartwatchers
Today we are waiting. I think we will have minimum 2 red days after the monster rally.
I want to see how this day ends
kizly
Thanks for update.
PowerOfCapital
Hi Arpi,

Are you going to load more ERX today?
chartwatchers
ERX is position is fully loaded. I will buy oil now.
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