@Leix, @Dalin_anderson Perhanps you can explain this... The axis on the left is "DEATHS". The curve peaks and then goes down. I hate to break it to you, but the dead are not going to be resurrected come mid April.
High_Altitude_Investing
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@BlueDog624, Both black lines are for the cases not deaths
BlueDog624
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@Dalin_anderson, I think you are off in your appreciation of the scale of this crisis. "Cases" are not a reliable or valid parameter to follow. There is a huge discrepancy between known confirmed cases and the actual known number of cases in a community (highly dependent upon testing). Deaths are a much more reliable parameter to follow and then back calculate number of cases. Consider this predictive model from IHME. It is my opinion that you are not appreciating the true scale of this crisis. Which may intern blind you to the effects it will have on the S&P500. Fractals are an important tool, but consider the impact of the fundamentals here. Only time will prove who is correct (I hope I am wrong), but this scenario should be considered. This virus does not kill with emotion.
High_Altitude_Investing
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@BlueDog624, Thank you for sharing your perspective I appreciate two different views.
I could also be wrong, I have seen viruses blown up in the media before and us to find cures faster than they project.
I have been praying fasting & meditating that we find a solution as a species.
Stay profitable
BlueDog624
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Market cycles are emotional. Although the human response to the virus is extremely emotional, the virus has no emotion. Check out healthdata.org for a model based upon how the virus has been behaving The models is updated at regular intervals with real-time data. Most experts criticize this model for being too optimistic. It projects 90k+ loss of human life in the US alone (assuming Wuhan style social distancing). Fauci is projecting 100-200k. I wish you were right, but you are not.
Leix
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@BlueDog624, Lol the whole pandemic is being fueled by emotion, just look at the news! All Dr. Fauci is doing is rolling out the red carpet for the new world, that is why Trump(master marketer/WWE Hall of fame) allows him the air time. I recommend reading Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics by Joel Best to get a better idea of what I'm getting at ...